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What it means to have a ‘Black job’ in America
  + stars: | 2024-08-04 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
Still, the discussion comes as Black workers have made significantly positive — and, in many cases, historic — employment advancements. “So, to suggest that immigration is lowering the black employment rate is just not bearing out, based on this superficial look at the facts,” Algernon said. The pandemic recovery and economic expansion since has resulted in wage gains for many workers, and that has included Black workers, she noted. “We talk a lot about the 2-to-1 ratio between Black and White unemployment (the Black unemployment rate typically is twice the White unemployment rate), so, the progress has been marginal in terms of that disparity.”In July, the unemployment rate for White workers was 3.8% (versus 6.3% for Black workers). “For example, according to BLS data, Black workers are just 12.8% of all employed Americans, but 48.4% of postal service workers, 38.1% of nurse assistants, and 36.1% of security guards,” Pollak said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , Algernon Austin, ” Algernon, there’s, that’s, It’s, Valerie Wilson, ” Wilson, , Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter, ” Pollak Organizations: CNN, National Association of Black Journalists, Black, Center for Economic, Research, of Labor Statistics, Baby Boomers, BLS
There are cracks forming in the US jobs market
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
CNN —The pandemic threw the US job market into chaos, but four years later, things finally seem to be back to normal. Most indicators support the idea that the labor market is no longer overheated and could easily maintain a new normal of steady, but slower growth. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. “This is a labor market that’s otherwise moderated,” Nick Bunker, director of North American economic research at Indeed, told CNN. The same goes for the prime-age labor force participation rate, which at 83.7% also is the highest in 23 years.
Persons: hasn’t, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, , , , , Madhavi Bokil, Indeed’s Bunker, Bunker, ” Elise Gould, ” Bunker, “ It’s, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, can’t Organizations: CNN, Federal, of Labor, Challenger, Economic Policy Institute, Locations: Oxford
Tom Merton | Ojo Images | Getty ImagesJob seekers have been sour on the job market for a while now — and with good reason. "The soft landing in the U.S. labor market is in danger," Nick Bunker, Economic Research Director for North America for Indeed Hiring Lab, wrote in a statement on Friday. "Yellow flags had started to pop up in the labor market data over the past few months, but now the flags are turning red," Bunker said. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate increased to 4.3%, the highest since October 2021. To pivot, assess 'transferrable skills'Because the labor market is weakening, it might be hard for workers to find opportunities in their preferred industries, Bustamante noted.
Persons: Tom Merton, Nick Bunker, Bunker, Nonfarm payrolls, Alí Bustamante, Julia Pollak, Pollak, NEETS, Bustamante Organizations: Economic, North, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Worker Power, Economic Security, Roosevelt Institute, ZipRecruiter, Health, Finance Locations: U.S, North America, New York City
CNN —The pandemic threw the US job market into chaos, but four years later, things finally seem to be back to normal. Most indicators support the idea that the labor market is no longer overheated and could easily maintain a new normal of steady, but slower growth. “This is a labor market that’s otherwise moderated,” Nick Bunker, director of North American economic research at Indeed, told CNN. Labor force participation/employment to population ratio: These metrics are key reasons why Bunker and others believe the labor market remains in good shape. The same goes for the prime-age labor force participation rate, which at 83.7% also is the highest in 23 years.
Persons: hasn’t, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, , , , , Madhavi Bokil, Indeed’s Bunker, Bunker, ” Elise Gould, ” Bunker, “ It’s, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, can’t Organizations: CNN, Federal, of Labor, Challenger, Labor, Economic Policy Institute, Locations: Oxford
Private job growth slowed further in July while the pace of wage gains hit a three-year low, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Companies added just 122,000 jobs on the month, the slowest pace since January and below the upwardly revised 155,000 in June. Several sectors reported net losses on the month. The ADP report comes two days before the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services releases its nonfarm payrolls count, which, unlike the ADP tally, includes government jobs. The two reports can differ substantially, with ADP overshooting the BLS estimate of 136,000 for private payrolls in June.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: FedEx, Broadway, Companies, ADP, Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services Locations: New York City, Midwest
Every year, nearly 10,000 electricians either retire or change careers, but only about 7,000 new ones enter the field. "We're benefitting from a generation that's looking past high school and is not seeing a career going through the traditional four-year college pathway. Contributing to that shift are high school guidance counselors like Steve Schneider, who has advised students for 28 years, currently at Sheboygan South High School in Wisconsin. It offers high school students hands-on training alongside workers from local companies, introducing them to skilled trades and other occupations, which can lead to an apprenticeship after graduation. Among LATTC's 12,000 students, 4,600 are currently enrolled in electrician training, he said, adding that tuition is around $1,000 a year.
Persons: , David Long, They're, Adrian Sauceda, We've, Sauceda, Thayer Long, IEC's Thayer Long, Steve Schneider, Schneider, Kohler, NECA's David Long, Bill Elarton, Selig, Alan Marzullo, Marzullo, NECA's Long Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, National Electrical Contractors Association, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, Independent Electrical Contractors, IEC, Sheboygan South High School, Rockline Industries, Inspire Wisconsin, NECA, Electrical Training Alliance, Department of Labor, Los Angeles Trade, Technical College, Syracuse University's College of Professional Studies, Consortium, Micron Technology, Local, Micron Locations: U.S, Wisconsin, Sheboygan, America, Clay , New York
"As they continue to annually increase their minimum wages, the number of low-wage workers does go down," says Henderson. Similarly, many states hiked their tipped minimum wages — or did away with a tipped minimum altogether. 53% of tipped wage workers earn less than $17 per hourAll that said, there are still nearly 40 million workers making less than $17 per hour. Nationwide, more than half, 53% of tipped wage workers earn less than $17 per hour, according to the report. A third, 33% of Latin or Hispanic workers and 32% of Black workers earn less than $17 per hour, compared to 21% of white workers, according to the report.
Persons: Kaitlyn Henderson, Henderson, Workers aren't, Judy Conti Organizations: Federal, Health, Education, Labor, Pensions, " Workers, Oxfam, Workers, Institute, National Employment Law, Bureau, National Women's Law, BLS, Agriculture, National Center, Farmworker Health, Census Bureau Locations: New York City, Washington, Maine, Oregon, EPI, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Kentucky, Texas, North Carolina, Mexico, West Virginia
The US economy added 206,000 jobs in June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported July 5, a small dip from May’s tally of 215,000 jobs. Inflation rates are nowhere near the pandemic-era peak reached in June 2022, when US inflation hit 9.1%, its highest annual rate in more than 40 years. As of last month, annual inflation was 3%, down from 3.3% in May, according to the Consumer Price Index. But the legislation comes as some manufacturing jobs have also been cut due to outsourcing. Manufacturing jobs across the country have plateaued at 13 million employees after recovering from a sharp pandemic-related downswing in 2020, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Persons: Joe Biden, , Biden, Jobs, aren’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Democratic, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, Consumer, Index, “ Companies, White House, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, America, United States, China, Arizona , Colorado , New Mexico , Oregon, Texas
CNN —In 2018, Jonathan and Trista Schmier felt the economy was so strong that they could take a big risk. “The customers got very, very upset.”Trista and Jonathan Schmier felt confident enough about the economy during the Trump administration to open a small chain of restaurants. Poll after poll show that voters have more faith in Trump’s ability to handle the economy than President Joe Biden’s. By many measures, however, the economy under Biden — who took office while the pandemic was still underway — has also been strong. “I trust the other guy better,” said Southworth, 74, referring to Trump, whom he voted for in 2016 and 2020.
Persons: Jonathan, Trista Schmier, Angus, , Jonathan Schmier, ” Trista, Trump, Andrew Craft, Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Carroll Doherty, Doherty, Trump’s, Barack Obama, Biden —, , Bernard Yaros, ’ paychecks, Jimmy Carter, ” Yaros, Yaros, Ted Southworth, Ted, Rebecca Southworth, Ted Southworth Southworth, Southworth, Becky Cantrell, Cantrell Organizations: CNN, Fayetteville Observer, USA, Pew Research Center, Biden, Black Americans, Census Bureau, Oxford Economics, Trump Locations: Burger, Fayetteville , North Carolina, Burlington , North Carolina, , Florida
So when worldwide events like the Covid-19 pandemic push inflation well above that 2% target, it can be a real shock to consumers. There are a handful of retail categories, dominated by consumer electronics, that buck the trend and are actually cheaper now than they were before the pandemic, based on a CNBC review of CPI categories in June 2024 compared with June 2019. Same price, better valueEven when annual inflation was at its peak, prices for consumer electronics consistently showed signs of deflation. Such hedonic adjustments — the term BLS uses to describe it's adjustments for changes in item quality — span the whole consumer price index and include categories from men's underwear to home computers to refrigerators. Why televisions continue to be cheapBut hedonic adjustments can't account for everything when the CPI is registering drops in prices.
Persons: it's, Andrew Csicsila, That's, Csicsila Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNBC, CPI, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Americas
Wall Street’s expectations for a September rate cut rose to roughly 93% on Thursday from 73% the day before, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. “A September rate cut should be a done deal at this point,” wrote Ron Temple, chief market strategist at Lazard, in a Thursday note. Some economists worry that if the Fed doesn’t cut rates by then, cracks could begin to deepen in the labor market. A September rate cut “may not be the magic elixir some investors are seeking,” wrote Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, in a Monday note. On an annual basis, consumer prices are increasing at their slowest pace since June 2023, matching the lowest annual rate since early 2021.
Persons: , Ron Temple, Jerome Powell didn’t, Brent Schutte, Alicia Wallace, , Elisabeth Buchwald, McDonald’s, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Lazard, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Taco Bell Locations: New York, Burger
watch nowHousing inflation has remained stubbornly high even as inflation in the broad U.S. economy has cooled significantly from peak levels during the pandemic era. At a high level, "shelter" inflation is a measure of U.S. rental prices, said Jessica Lautz, deputy chief economist at the National Association of Realtors. Why CPI shelter inflation has fallen slowlyThe pullback in shelter inflation has been slower than expected, economists said. How the CPI reflects homeownershipThe shelter inflation index is meant to measure the average cost of housing in the U.S. economy, J.P. Morgan's Seydl said. "When it comes to the CPI, [shelter] does not mean the cost for homes for purchase," said the NAR's Lautz.
Persons: Joe Seydl, Jessica Lautz, Olivia Cross, We've, Jerome Powell, Selma Hepp, Morgan's Seydl, Powell, Seydl Organizations: Morgan Private Bank, Housing, National Association of Realtors, of Labor Statistics, Capital Economics, Finance, Federal, CoreLogic, BLS, Olivia Cross North, Capital, CPI Locations: North America, U.S, Olivia Cross North America
They also generally like to examine "core" inflation readings. The monthly core CPI reading was 0.1% in June, the smallest increase in about three years, since August 2021. Shelter inflation has moderated much slower than expected, one of the big reasons inflation hasn't yet fallen back to target, economists said. There were encouraging signals in the latest CPI report: Monthly shelter inflation dropped to 0.2% after being stuck at 0.4% for four consecutive months. Services inflation is the trouble spotInflation for physical goods spiked as the U.S. economy reopened in 2021.
Persons: David Paul Morris, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Sarah House, Aubrey George, George, Joe Seydl, Olivia Cross Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Labor Department, Moody's, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S . Federal Reserve, CPI, Housing, of Labor Statistics, Morgan Private Bank, Capital Economics, BLS Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, North America
CNN —US consumer prices did something in June that they haven’t done since the early part of the pandemic: They fell. Economists were expecting a 0.1% monthly increase and an annual gain of 3.1%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. Excluding energy and food prices, a closely watched “core” index of underlying inflation also slowed more than expected. Dow futures rose 80 points. Nasdaq futures rose 0.3% as well.
Persons: Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury
Still, the industry largely saw strong monthly job gains following the losses it faced early on in the pandemic, averaging 205,000 jobs a month in 2021. Data out Friday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed this industry saw a month-over-month job gain of 7,000; the overall nonfarm payroll job gain in June was 206,000. The industry has historically had higher rates of quits and job openings than the overall labor market, per the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Additionally, the healthcare and social assistance sectors have seen robust job growth and likely will be looking for job seekers long-term. AdvertisementThe overall tougher labor market still has potential for job seekers.
Persons: , switchers, Julia Pollak, " Pollak, Pollak, Nick Bunker Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, BLS, Healthcare, North America Locations: Federal
But BLS data shows that employment in California's limited-service restaurant industry dips in the winter. Related storiesThe BLS data includes employment at all limited-service restaurants, including those exempt from the new minimum wage. The year-over-year growth in limited-service restaurant employment is a continuation of a trend seen before the pandemic, too, with total employment in the industry growing every year. AdvertisementThe $20 minimum wage was introduced to support workers in a state with a notoriously high cost of living. Have you been affected by California's new $20 minimum wage?
Persons: , Gavin Newsom, Newsom, Newsom's, Tom Manzo, It's Organizations: Service, Business, California, Industrial Alliance, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, Wall Street, California Employment Development Department, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS Locations: California, USA
Private payroll growth edged lower in June, according to a report Wednesday from ADP that indicates a potential slowdown in the U.S. labor market. Companies added 150,000 jobs for the month, below the upwardly revised 157,000 in May and the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 160,000. The sector added 63,000 jobs, easily the biggest gain among the categories that payrolls processing firm ADP measures. ADP's report serves as a precursor to the more closely watched nonfarm payrolls count that the Labor Department will release Friday. For May, the BLS reported that private payrolls rose by 229,000, or 72,000 more than ADP's estimate.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson, Job switchers Organizations: Companies, Labor Department, ADP, of Labor, BLS Locations: U.S
CNN —The number of available jobs in the US unexpectedly grew in May, signaling continued resilience in the nation’s labor market. Job openings jumped higher to 8.14 million in May, from a downwardly revised 7.91 million in April, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report released Tuesday. While both hires and job openings rates (as a percentage of total employment) ticked higher for May, the quits rate and layoffs rate were unchanged. The labor market appears to be at a crossroads, Nick Bunker, Indeed Hiring Lab’s head of economic research, wrote in commentary posted Tuesday. But some Fed officials have noted that the job market has lost momentum recently and that it’s highly unclear whether it will continue to hold steady or weaken further.
Persons: Economists, , ” Robert Frick, switchers, David Tinsley, Nick Bunker, ” Bunker, , you’ve, Austan Goolsbee, ” Marisa DiNatale Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Labor, Navy Federal Credit Union, Industries, Bank of America, Bank of America Institute, , Federal Reserve, Chicago Fed, Bloomberg, European Central Bank, Moody’s, Labor Statistics Locations: Sintra , Portugal
Delaware and Montana are second and third in new business openings per 100,000 residents since the start of 2024. AdvertisementThe boom in business translates to 283 new businesses per 100,000 residents in Wyoming, 153 in Delaware, and 106 in Montana. Wyoming also led the nation in new business applications per capita in 2023, according to the Chamber of Commerce. Business-friendly taxationWyoming, Delaware, and Montana are all particularly attractive to new business owners due to their tax laws. AdvertisementAre you a new small-business owner in Wyoming, Delaware, or Montana?
Persons: , Louis Fed, LendingTree, Louis, EIG Organizations: Service, Business, Census, Chamber of Commerce, Fed, of Labor Statistics, Louis Fed, Tax Foundation, Washington D.C, Fortune, state's, Corporations, Economic Innovation Group Locations: Wyoming, Delaware, Montana, In Montana, New York City, San Francisco, South Dakota, Nevada, Washington, , Wyoming, West, Wyoming , Delaware
"Real" earnings measure the net growth in workers' wages after inflation. The trend of growth in annual real earnings has persisted since May 2023, according to BLS data. That marks a reversal from April 2021 to April 2023, when inflation spiked and eclipsed growth in the average worker's paycheck. That month, the average worker saw their pay growth spike to about 6% annually. "This is good news for consumers," since it generally equates to an increase in their well-being over time, he added.
Persons: It's, Chris Tilly, Maximiliano Dvorkin, Louis, Dvorkin Organizations: Getty, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Finance, University of California, Federal Reserve Bank of St, BLS Locations: U.S, Los Angeles
CNN —“Good news is bad news” has been a common refrain for a while now. When economic reports are released that are solid, they have all too often been clouded with concerns that good news for the economy actually means a longer wait before the Federal Reserve rolls out rate cuts. Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index cooled more than expected in May, with prices holding flat on the month for the first time since July 2022. The markets don’t seem to be buying the one-cut plan, especially after the Producer Price Index on Thursday showed that wholesale prices fell from April to May and the BLS’ Import and Export Price Index showed that US imports prices fell 0.4% in May after rising 0.9% in April. And more good news is likely on the way this next week and later this month, Brusuelas said.
Persons: CNN —, , Joe Brusuelas, , ” Brusuelas, spoilsport, Price, ” Chris Rupkey, , ” Rupkey, Brusuelas Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, RSM US, New York Fed, National Federation of Independent, Consumer, Index, BLS, Price, FwdBonds, CPI, PPI
Wholesale prices unexpectedly fell 0.2% in May
  + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A measure of wholesale prices unexpectedly decreased in May, adding another piece of evidence that inflation is pulling back. The producer price index, a gauge of prices that producers get for their goods and services in the open market, declined 0.2% for the month, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday. Excluding food, energy and trade services, the PPI was unchanged, compared with expectations for a 0.3% increase. From the wholesale perspective, the PPI was held back by a 0.8% decrease in final demand goods prices, which was the largest decline since October 2023. On the services side, fuels and lubricants retailing margins surged 12.2%, but that was offset in part by a 4.3% plunge in airline passenger services prices.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, Stock, BLS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department
The inflation rate the government arrives at also impacts how much you receive in Social Security benefits and likely is a factor in determining your pay. The government also has a much longer history of producing inflation reports with extremely thorough standards. Like PCE and CPI, Truflation assigns relative importance values to categories to mirror how an average consumer’s income is allocated. That’s why small increases in the cost of housing can end up having big impacts on the overall inflation rate. How Truflation data is being usedWall Street traders were the first group drawn to Truflation, Rust said.
Persons: Truflation, Hilton, Stefan Rust, Rust, , ” Danielle DiMartino Booth, Richard Fisher, Booth Organizations: New, New York CNN, Index, Federal, Social Security, PCE, CPI, Amazon, Walmart, Nielsen, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Department, CNN, Dallas Fed, QI Research Locations: New York, Zillow
Investors cheered a soft May inflation report, which could pave the way for Fed easing this year. Rate cuts in September are "overwhelmingly likely," one economist said. AdvertisementSome Wall Street analysts predict the Fed's first cut could come as soon as July, though most see a rate cut in September as the most likely scenario. "But rate cuts starting by September should now be cemented as overwhelmingly likely." Investors are waiting for Fed Chair Jerome Powell to speak later Wednesday afternoon, which should give markets more guidance on the path of rate cuts.
Persons: , Skyler Weinand, Regan Capital, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Ryan Severino, BGO, Jerome Powell, Weinand, David Russell Organizations: Service, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed
Meanwhile, the gas index rose 2.2% from May 2023 to this past May, higher than the 1.2% year-over-year increase in April. The food index rose 2.1% for the 12 months ending May after it was consistently seeing year-over-year increases of 2.2%. More specifically, the food at home index rose 1.0% for the 12 months ending May after a 1.1% increase. Meanwhile, the food away from home index rose 0.4% in May from the preceding month and 4.0% year over year in May. Inflation measures like the CPI suggest US inflation is still too high although these rates look a lot better than back in 2022.
Persons: , it's, Elizabeth Renter, David Kelly Organizations: Service, Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, CPI, BLS, Housing, Morgan Asset Management
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