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JPMorgan says the recent stock rebound driven by robust earnings masks looming stagflationary risks. The soft landing narrative is challenged by the first-quarter GDP report. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe recent rally in the stock market, bolstered by a wave of upbeat earnings, is glossing over a host of risks raised by the latest economic data points, JPMorgan said this week. Jamie Dimon and other experts are sounding the alarm, saying the US might be headed for a 1970s-style scenario, complete with a stock market crash.
Persons: , JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, hasn't, Jamie Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Microsoft
A crucial question is hanging over the American economy and the fall presidential election: Why are consumer prices still growing uncomfortably fast, even after a sustained campaign by the Federal Reserve to slow the economy by raising interest rates? Some are essentially quirks of the current economic moment, like a delayed, post-pandemic surge in the cost of home and auto insurance. Others are long-running structural issues, like a lack of affordable housing that has pushed up rents in big cities like New York as would-be tenants compete for units. That borrowing is a result of a federal budget deficit that has been elevated by tax cuts and spending increases. It is helping to fuel demand for goods and services by channeling money to companies and people who then go out and spend it.
Organizations: Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund Locations: New York
The stubbornly high inflation readings to start 2024 are good news for one group of stocks — insurance companies. Stocks to watch In general, Wall Street analysts are buying the underlying story for these insurance stocks. For a slightly different angle, Wells Fargo analyst Elyse Greenspan upgraded Hamilton Insurance Group to overweight last week. Potential downsides To be sure, there are several factors that could derail the rally for insurance stocks. Another concern is so-called "social inflation," in which legal trends or regulatory changes can drive costs higher for insurance companies.
Persons: Goldman, Robert Cox, Stocks, Goldman's Cox, Cox, Wells, Elyse Greenspan, Hamilton, HG, Greenspan, Jimmy Bhullar, Andrew McGee, McGee, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Allstate, Wall Street, PGR, Progressive, Hartford Financial Services, Hamilton Insurance Group, U.S . Insurance, JPMorgan, CNBC Locations: Northbrook , Illinois, Wells Fargo
In your 40s, financial priorities can range from taking care of aging parents to funding the activities and futures of your kids. Here are four steps certified financial planners recommend taking with your money throughout your 40s. You generally have two options for life insurance: term or permanent. Term life insurance provides coverage for a set amount of time, often somewhere between 10 and 30 years, while permanent life insurance, also known as whole life, provides coverage for the rest of your life. Term life insurance is generally fitting for people looking for affordable, temporary coverage, while permanent life insurance is more flexible and can earn interest.
Persons: Andrew Fincher, Fincher, you've, Joe Conroy Organizations: Financial
RobertCrum | Getty ImagesDETROIT – Skyrocketing auto insurance costs helped contribute to inflation accelerating at a faster-than-expected pace in March and are adding to the ever more expensive costs for U.S. vehicle owners. Auto insurance costs have been on the rise for some time, growing every month as part of the index since December 2021. However, auto insurance remains a small portion of the CPI, with a 2.85% weighting. watch nowThe insurance cost increases on inflation come more than two years after the Biden administration largely blamed used car prices for pushing inflation higher in January 2022. The cost of vehicle insurance — which is mandatory in almost every state — varies by provider, driver, coverage and location.
Persons: Sean Tucker, Kelley, David Sampson, Sampson, Biden, Mitchell, Power, , it's, Price, Mark Garrett, — CNBC's Robert Ferris, Jeff Cox Organizations: Getty, DETROIT, U.S, Auto, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, American, Casualty Insurance Association, CNBC, Progressive, Power's U.S . Auto Insurance, State Farm, Liberty Mutual Locations: U.S, Power's U.S, Geico, .
"The big rock in the way here is the cost of shelter," Zandi said. In fact, underlying inflation after stripping out shelter costs is already back to target, Zandi said. watch nowThe increase is largely attributable to higher oil prices. "For most Americans, the thing that bothers them the most about inflation is high food prices." Americans' buying patterns also simultaneously shifted away from services — like entertainment and travel — toward physical goods since they stayed at home more, driving up demand and fueling decades-high goods inflation.
Persons: Eric Thayer, That's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, It's, Hamrick, They're, Sarah House Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Labor Department, Moody's, of Labor Statistics, U.S, Energy Information Administration, BLS, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Wednesday discussed two of the most high-profile billionaires on Wall Street, Elon Musk and Warren Buffett. He said investors continually admire Buffett, but have turned on Musk with the sharp decline in Tesla 's share price. To Cramer, investors love Musk as long as Tesla's stock is performing well, saying they call him a "genius" and praise the company's electric vehicles. "With the downgrades and price target cuts, the long knives are really out for Musk," Cramer said. "They obviously never liked him, they only liked that Tesla's stock was a juggernaut."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Elon Musk, Warren Buffett, Buffett, Tesla, that's, Cramer, Musk, carmakers, Cramer hasn't, he's, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Berkshire, CNBC
The Fed is going to cut interest rates just two times in 2024, according to Goldman Sachs. The bank lowered its rate cut forecast from three to two following a hot March inflation report. "We are pushing back our forecast of the first rate cut from June to July," Goldman Sachs said. Still, following the hot CPI report, Hatzius bumped his expectations for the March PCE report. AdvertisementPart of Goldman's confidence in just two interest rate cuts this year stems from the fact that the Federal Reserve's most recent dot plot showed a central bank that was almost evenly split between two or three interest rate cuts this year.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius Organizations: Dow Jones, Investors, Federal
What are Insurance Premiums?
  + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Tanza Loudenback | Alani Asis | Paul Kim | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +12 min
Health insurance, life insurance, auto insurance, disability insurance, homeowners insurance, and renters insurance all require the policyholder to pay a premium to continue receiving coverage. The types of insurance policy premiums include car, life, health, homeowners, renters, and disability insurance. Life insurance premiumsAs previously mentioned, term life insurance premiums are locked in when the policy is signed. Another factor that goes into homeowners insurance premiums is your insurance score, which you do have some control over. Insurance premiums frequently asked questionsHow often do I have to pay insurance premiums?
Persons: policyholders, you'll, they're, Policygenius Organizations: Health Locations: New York, California
The information for the following product(s) has been collected independently by Business Insider: Navy Federal Credit Union® Platinum Credit Card, Navy Federal Credit Union® More Rewards American Express® Credit Card, Navy Federal Credit Union® nRewards® Secured Credit Card, Citi® Diamond Preferred® Card, Citi® Diamond Preferred® Card. Navy Federal Credit Union® Platinum Credit Card QualificationsYou'll need to be a Navy Federal Credit Union member to be eligible for the Navy Federal Credit Union® Platinum Credit Card. Navy Federal Credit Union® Platinum Credit Card RewardsThe Navy Federal Credit Union® Platinum Credit Card doesn't earn rewards from spending. Navy Federal Credit Union® More Rewards American Express® Credit Card vs. Navy Federal Credit Union® Platinum Credit CardThe Navy Federal Credit Union® More Rewards American Express® Credit Card is designed for consumers with good to excellent credit. Navy Federal Credit Union® nRewards® Secured Credit Card vs. Navy Federal Credit Union® Platinum Credit CardThe Navy Federal Credit Union® nRewards® Secured Credit Card is designed for people who want to build or repair their credit, and may be a good option if you can't qualify for a Navy Federal Credit Union® Platinum Credit Card due to low credit.
Persons: Federal nRewards, cardholders, Read, Cardholders, Organizations: Business Insider, Navy Federal Credit, Card, Navy Federal Credit Union, Citi, Federal Credit, Credit, National Guard, Department of Defense, DOD, The Navy Federal Credit, Federal Credit Union, Emergency Assistance Navy Federal Credit, Federal, American, Walmart, Wells, Citi Diamond Preferred, Navy, Navy Federal, of Defense, Business Locations: Wells
The biggest monthly bills Americans pay each month are mortgage, rent, and auto loans. AdvertisementThe biggest monthly bills Americans pay each month are mortgage, rent, and auto loans, according to the report. The other most common bills include utilities, auto insurance, cable and internet, mobile phones, health insurance, life insurance, and home security. Of those monthly bills, utilities, mobile phones, and health insurance have jumped the most in the last five years. AdvertisementThe most common monthly bills are just part of the picture for manyThese bills are just one piece of the picture showing the current cost of living.
Persons: Lynnette, Cox Organizations: Census Bureau, Resilience, Business Locations: Doxo
Why auto insurance rates are skyrocketing in the U.S.
  + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( Shawn Baldwin | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Car insurance is getting more expensive. The average annual premium for full coverage auto insurance in the U.S. rose to $2,543 in 2024 — up 26% from the previous year, according to Bankrate. "That has led to an environment where the consumer, the insured, is out shopping for auto insurance and finding that they cannot find an insurer that has a lower premium for them." Around 215 million Americans carry auto insurance and the market is valued at roughly $353 billion, according to IBISWorld. So, what other factors are behind the spike in auto insurance rates and what impact are rising premiums having on consumers and large publicly traded companies such as Allstate, Progressive and Berkshire Hathaway's Geico ?
Persons: Stephen Crewdson, Berkshire Hathaway's Organizations: American, Casualty Insurance Association, Allstate, Progressive, Berkshire Locations: U.S, .
One cost pulling the average way up: car insurance, which rose 20.6% over the past 12 months. For drivers, the question isn't why rates are up across the board, but how they can keep their auto insurance costs from breaking the budget. How to keep your car insurance costs downSome reasons for rising premiums are unique to you, experts point out. But if your car insurance costs are going up as a matter of course, there are a few steps you can take to bring things down. "The best way to save money on your car insurance is to compare quotes from multiple companies to make sure you are getting the lowest possible rate," she says.
Persons: Loretta Worters, it's, Mark Hamrick, It's, Rachael Brennan, You'll Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Insurance, Institute, District of Columbia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTD Cowen's Andrew Kligerman breaks down why drivers are seeing skyrocketing car insurance ratesAndrew Kligerman, TD Cowen managing director, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the increase in auto insurance and how it's impacted consumers.
Persons: Andrew Kligerman, TD Cowen
According to a federal complaint filed this week seeking class-action status, it was because his 2021 Cadillac XT6 had been spying on him. When Mr. Chicco requested his LexisNexis file, it contained details about 258 trips he had taken in his Cadillac over the past six months. The data had been provided by General Motors — the manufacturer of his Cadillac. In a complaint against General Motors and LexisNexis Risk Solutions filed in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Florida, Mr. Chicco accused the companies of violation of privacy and consumer protection laws. LexisNexis Risk Solutions, and another data broker called Verisk, claim to have real-world driving behavior from millions of cars.
Persons: Romeo Chicco, XT6, Chicco, General Motors Organizations: Liberty Mutual, LexisNexis, General, General Motors, Southern, Southern District of, The New York Times, Solutions Locations: U.S, Southern District, Southern District of Florida
So Mr. Dahl, 65, was surprised in 2022 when the cost of his car insurance jumped by 21 percent. One insurance agent told him his LexisNexis report was a factor. Upon Mr. Dahl’s request, LexisNexis sent him a 258-page “consumer disclosure report,” which it must provide per the Fair Credit Reporting Act. What it contained stunned him: more than 130 pages detailing each time he or his wife had driven the Bolt over the previous six months. The only thing it didn’t have is where they had driven the car.
Persons: Kenn Dahl, He’s, Dahl, Dahl’s Organizations: Chevrolet, LexisNexis Locations: Seattle, New York
Many argue it's harder today for young adults to make it on their own. In addition to soaring food and housing costs, millennials and Generation Z face other financial challenges their parents did not at that age. More from Personal Finance:3 ways Gen Zers can build creditWhy can't today's young adults leave the nest? Gen Z, millennials are 'house hacking' to become homeownersBy other measures, young adults are doing well. And yet, 61% of adult children still living at home don't contribute to household expenses at all, Savings.com found.
Persons: Gen Zers, Savings.com Organizations: Savings.com, Finance
Auto Insurance Spike Hampers the Inflation Fight
  + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Talmon Joseph Smith | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Job growth, wage growth and business growth are all lively, and inflation has steeply fallen from its 2022 highs. One reason may be sticker shock from some highly visible prices — even as overall inflation has calmed. The cost of car insurance is a key example. Motor vehicle insurance rose 1.4 percent on a monthly basis in January alone and has risen 20.6 percent over the past year, the largest jump since 1976. According to a recent private-sector estimate, the average annual premium for full-coverage car insurance in 2024 is $2,543, compared with $2,014 in 2023 and $1,771 in 2022.
Locations: dampening
In a market bedazzled by flashy growth stocks, Torray Investment Partners instead runs a fund that's trying to redefine what value is. The Torray Fund , founded by the late Robert Torray in 1990, is ahead 7.4% so far this year, outpacing the 6.5% gain in the S & P 500. Apart from the Torray Fund, the firm manages four other concentrated portfolios that also hold between 20 and 30 companies. These portfolios are separately managed accounts of either concentrated large growth companies, small- and mid-capitalization growth names, large value companies and equity income. Compared to other large value funds, Torray is overweight in all three.
Persons: iShares Russell, Jeffrey Lent, Robert Torray, Berkshire Hathaway, Morningstar, Lent, Shawn Hendon, Eaton, McLennan, Hendon, Torray, it's Organizations: Torray Investment Partners, Value, Torray, Russell, Berkshire, American Express, Marsh, Financial, Morningstar, Applied Materials, Qualcomm, Nvidia Locations: Eaton, Berkshire
In the wake of Nvidia 's rapid ascension, CNBC's Jim Cramer on Monday picked companies he thinks could have a chance at breaking $1 trillion in market capitalization. Valued at a little more than $730 billion according to FactSet, drug maker Eli Lilly is Cramer's top contender. At $905 billion, Berkshire Hathaway comes in first and Tesla , which is worth a little more than $611 billion, comes in third, according to FactSet. Broadcom , which is currently worth about $606 billion according to FactSet, has potential because of its enterprising CEO Hock Tan, who Cramer said is adept at making acquisitions. "If that's the case, Nvidia might need to crack the $5 trillion mark before Broadcom crosses the $1 trillion threshold."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, they're, Eli Lilly, Berkshire Hathaway, Cramer, Warren, Tesla, it's, Hock Tan Organizations: Nvidia, Nvidia —, Broadcom Locations: Berkshire
Car repairs are getting more expensive. Here's why
  + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Robert Ferris | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Your eyes aren't fooling you — your car repair bill really is getting more expensive. Repair costs are rising relative to the overall rate of inflation. Motor vehicle maintenance and repair costs increased 4.1% per year from November 2013 to November 2023, compared with just 2.8% for the overall consumer price index. Meanwhile, talent to repair cars is scarce. Many in the auto space think costs can't continue to rise at these rates.
Persons: David Goldsmith, Mitchell, hasn't, Matt Moore, Goldsmith, Ryan Mandell, Mandell, Alan Amici Organizations: Urban, Data, Insurance Institute for Highway, Mitchell, Technicians, Center for Automotive Research Locations: Brooklyn, New York City, U.S
And while the economy usually comes out on top as the issue for most voters, there are doubts over whether even a good economy is enough for Joe Biden to win a second term. Certainly, the improving economy – and most importantly an inflation rate that is trending back to the Federal Reserve’s desired 2% annual target – should be an asset for Biden. “Obviously perceptions of Biden and Trump are largely baked in and have been for a long time” says Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. “We’re playing at the margins at best.”For Democrats, running on a good economy will present its own challenges. The wing nuts have disproportionate power.”Ramamurti still believes that Biden should emphasize the economy, saying, “I’m of the view that good news is good news.
Persons: Joe Biden, , Jose Torres, ” Powell, , Biden, Al Capone, Alejandro Mayorkas, Bharat Ramamurti, Trump, Lee Miringoff, David Walker, Walker, “ There’s, ” Ramamurti, Ramamurti, Gregory Daco, Pollsters, Mark Zandi Organizations: Federal, Biden, Fed, Interactive, Republicans, Democrats, CBS, Trump, GOP, Homeland, National Economic Council, Marist, , Marist Institute, Public, Biden Administration, Republican, Democratic Party, Democrat, Dow Jones, Moody's Locations: Pennsylvania
The median age that workers 50 and older expect to retire is 67, according to the Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies. Brush up on Social Security, Medicare rulesIt is a great time in your 50s to look at your Social Security statement to see the retirement benefits for which you may qualify, according to Jenkin. The Social Security Administration provides free access to benefit information online. For example, it may make sense for someone to retire at age 63 and a half and then use COBRA coverage for the 18 months until they reach Medicare age, Jenkin said. If you're in your early to mid-50s, it's also a great time to explore what the Social Security claiming strategy fits your particular situation best.
Persons: Silke, Dogan, Ted Jenkin, Xers, Jenkin, they're, Brush, it's Organizations: Bank, Getty, Transamerica Center, Retirement, CNBC's, federal, Savings, Fidelity, Social Security, Social Security Administration Locations: Atlanta
A combination of inflation, increased interest rates, and the end of pandemic-tied relief, such as the moratorium on student loan payments, has led to record credit card debt, experts say. A recent report from credit rating company Moody’s found credit card delinquencies are now well above 2019, or pre-pandemic levels. If you're facing increased credit card debt, while feeling the ongoing effects of inflation, here's what to consider:ASK FOR A RATE CUTPhotos You Should See View All 45 ImagesOne of the first things you should do is ask your credit card company to lower your rates. While the Federal Reserve signaled Wednesday that its first interest rate cut is likely months away, the average credit card interest rate is already far and away higher than the rate set by the Fed. PAY OFF HIGHER-INTEREST DEBT FIRSTKnown as the “avalanche approach,” paying off debt that accumulates interest more quickly will always be more efficient than paying off lower-interest debt first.
Persons: Moody’s, Silvio Tavares, , Kia McCallister, Charles Schwab Organizations: , Federal Reserve, ASK, Fed, National Foundation, Credit, nfcc.org, Federal Trade, Public, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Federation of America, America, Associated Press, Charles, Charles Schwab Foundation, Inc, AP Locations: realtor.com
Say the premium is $2 on that $195 strike heading into earnings and I am sitting on 100 shares (remember every options contract represents 100 shares). If, however, shares hit the $195 strike, then I am, as the seller of that option contract, obligated to sell my shares at $195. To implement this strategy, you would sell a put at a higher strike price and then purchase another put as insurance at a lower strike price. In this case, we would be laying out $2 (paying $3 to buy the $195 strike and collecting $1 by selling the $190 strike). There are two high-level factors that determine an options price, intrinsic value and time value.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, It's, we'll, you'll, I've, it's, they're, we're, we've, We've, Jim Cramer, Steve Jobs, Tim Cook, Vega, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: CNBC, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, Club, Nvidia, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Delta, New York City
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