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"Bitcoin continues to demonstrate its inability to successfully get through that stubborn $70k resistance level," Wolfe's Rob Ginsberg said in a note Wednesday. "It reminds us of another group that has been unable to overcome its own resistance level ... small caps," he continued. Now, bitcoin has retested its highs while small caps have barely proved they can stay above $2,000 in [the Russell 2000 ]." BTC.CM= .RUT 6M mountain Bitcoin and Russell 2000 Bitcoin has been meandering in the $60,000 level since the beginning of March. All of the major stock indexes are down for the month, and the small-cap Russell 2000 is tracking for a deeper loss of about 6%.
Persons: Bitcoin, Rob Ginsberg, bitcoin, Russell, Ginsberg, Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve
How the corporate America is handling sticky inflation and the prospect of higher interest rates will be top of mind for investors in the week ahead, after this week's choppy moves. The first-quarter earnings season, which kicked off Friday, will give Wall Street insight into how businesses expect to weather an environment of elevated interest rates. More macro data, such as U.S. retail sales, will give insight into how the consumer is handling higher pricing pressures. First-quarter earnings season underway The corporate earnings season kicks into high gear in the week ahead. This week, the small cap Russell 2000 is on track for a losing week, down by more than 1%.
Persons: Bob Doll, CNBC's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, FactSet, Robert Haworth, Haworth, Charles Schwab, Johnson, D.R, KeyCorp Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Exxon Mobil, Costco, Apple, Crossmark, Investments, Investors, Bank of America, Consumer, U.S . Bank, Index, Retail, T Bank, Housing, Manufacturing, Hunt Transport Services, United Airlines, Johnson, Bank of New York Mellon, UnitedHealth Group, Northern Trust, CSX, Discover Financial Services, Prologis, U.S . Bancorp, Philadelphia Fed, American Express, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Schlumberger Locations: America, China, NAHB, Vegas Sands, U.S, Horton
Fed Chair Jerome Powell also noted that a strong labor market wouldn't deter the central bank from cutting rates. Fundstrat's Tom Lee told CNBC he expects the Russell 2000 to rally 50% . "I think the Russell 2000 represents sort of the best of things to happen when the Fed starts cutting." The small-cap Russell 2000 rose 1.6% this week. The iShares Russell 2000 ETF tracks that index.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Blair Boyer, Boyer, Goldman Sachs, Tom Lee, Russell, , Lee Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Dow, CNBC, Nvidia, Microsoft, Devices, Visa, Blackwell, JPMorgan, NVIDIA, Fed, GE Vernova, New York Stock Exchange, GE Locations: Jennison
Over the past month, a notable shift in performance has occurred among the 11 sectors of the S & P 500 . Understanding the S & P 500 sectors The 11 sectors of the S & P 500 represent the various industries powering the U.S. economy. For example, last year, the market-cap-weighted S & P 500 gained 24.2% while the equal-weighted index advanced only 11.6% in 2023. .SPXEW .SPX 1M mountain The equal-weighted S & P 500 over the past month compared with the S & P 500. Encouragingly, overall earnings estimates for the S & P 500 also have gone up recently.
Persons: , It's, Wells, Linde, Russell, Labor Department —, Genuity, Canaccord, Encouragingly, Eaton, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Victor J Organizations: Big Tech, Financial, Coterra Energy, DuPont, Tech, Communication Services, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Club, Tesla, Linde, Wolfe Research, Labor Department, Fed, RBC Capital Markets, RBC, Bank of America, Eaton, CNBC, Visitors, New York Stock Exchange, Blue, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Tuesday's, U.S
But some investors are concerned markets could be due for a broader unwind without the help from AI names. As it is, five of the Magnificent Seven names dropped last week, with the exception of Nvidia and Meta Platforms. That advance has helped the S & P 500 climb for 16 out of 19 weeks, notching record after record in its ascent. "A consolidation in the AI trade has been overdue for a while now, so Friday's key reversal day could signal the start of that unwind." NVDA 5D mountain Nvidia Crowding in AI Indeed, other market observers warned investors the overreliance on AI beneficiaries this year could mean danger for the overall market.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Peter Boockvar, semi's, Dubravko, BTIG's Krinsky, there's, Russell, Chris Verrone, Goldman Sachs, Krinsky, Samantha Subin Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Apple, AMD, Bleakley Financial, Google, JPMorgan, Sunday
The February consumer price index, set for release Tuesday, and the producer price index, due out Thursday, could hurt equities if the reports come out hotter than expected. The S & P 500 closed out the week with losses, but has advanced more than 7% for the year. Some stubborn spots in inflation February's consumer inflation data next week comes after January's surprisingly hot report dented investor hopes the so-called last mile to the Fed's 2% inflation target will be easy. Export Price Index (February) 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (February) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Giuseppe Sette, FactSet, James Ragan, Davidson, Nordstrom, Davidson's Ragan, Kathleen Grace, Russell, Office's Grace, Grace, Price, Jeff Cox, Nick Wells Organizations: Fed, Nvidia, Meta, Oracle, Treasury Budget, Adobe, Price, Index, Manufacturing Locations: chug, Michigan
The S & P 500 broke past 5,000 for the first time ever this week, but investors will see if the momentum can stick in the week ahead with more inflation data and earnings results on deck. On Friday, both the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite were headed for their fifth straight week of gains, and their 14th winning week in 15. FactSet data shows S & P 500 earnings are tracking to have risen 2.8% in the fourth quarter, which would be a second straight quarter of earnings growth, and some expect that positive momentum will remain intact in the weeks ahead. A cooler-than-expected print has the potential to be greeted with enthusiasm, sending the S & P 500 even higher. The S & P 500 is up by 5% this year, with Nvidia higher by more than 40%.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, CNBC's, Siegel, Karim El Nokali, we've, Tony Welch, Dow, SignatureFD's Welch, there's, Welch, Russell, Jason Hunter, that's, Hunter, Matt Kishlansky, Biogen, Kraft Heinz, Generac Organizations: Treasury, Wharton Business, Nasdaq, Arista Networks, Marriott International, Occidental Petroleum, Deere, Applied Materials, Dow Jones, Wall, Nvidia, Arm Holdings, JPMorgan, New York Community Bancorp, Federal Reserve, Treasury Budget, Waste, CPI, MGM Resorts International, Akamai Technologies, Howmet Aerospace, Molson Coors Beverage, Hasbro, Price, Index, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, PPI Locations: SignatureFD, U.S, Long, GenTrust, Albemarle, NAHB, Michigan
Wall Street is headed into the thick of earnings season, with results on deck from the bulk of the so-called Magnificent Seven names. On top of that, the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy decision and the January jobs report will be in focus. Federal Reserve meeting Investors aren't anticipating much out of the Fed meeting next week. Market participants say recent reports show the trends have been going in the right direction, and Friday's report is expected to confirm the softening in the jobs market. Other significant earnings in the week ahead include Boeing , a major Dow component.
Persons: Russell, we've, Shannon Saccocia, Jonathan Krinsky, Tesla, that'll, Hogan, you've, John Bailer, Jerome Powell, Tony Welch, Welch, FactSet Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, JPMorgan, Riley Securities, Newton Investment Management, Fed, PCE, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, Dallas, Whirlpool, Petroleum, United Parcel Service, General Motors, Pfizer, Devices, ADP, ECI Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, Mastercard, Qualcomm, Labor, PMI, Manufacturing, Apple, Chevron, Exxon Mobil Locations: Thursday's, nonfarm payrolls, Chicago, Royal Caribbean, Michigan
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on Dec. 4, 2023. U.S. stock futures were flat Monday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 38,000 for the first time ever. S&P 500 futures rose 0.03%, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.07%. In extended trading, United Airlines rose more than 6% after reporting strong fourth-quarter results. The 30-stock Dow advanced more than 100 points, or 0.4%, to hit a new record and close above 38,000 for the first time.
Persons: Russell, Cheryl Young, Johnson, Lockheed Martin Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, United Airlines, Boeing, Max, Alaska Airlines, United . American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Alaska Air Group, Delta Air Lines, Nvidia, Rockefeller, Family, Procter, Gamble, Lockheed, Netflix
The small-cap Russell 2000 has dropped close to 4% against a fractional gain in the S & P 500 year to date. In broad terms, the S & P 500 could retreat to 4600 or so – about 4% down from here – and still be in a routine technical check-back to its latest launch point in early December. Todd Sohn of Strategas notes that the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) saw inflows go vertical last year to $13.5 billion, 30% above its prior 12-month record. Betting on 'peacetime' Fed cuts Right or wrong, the market debate right now can never get far before turning into a Fed-policy-path discussion. Last week's CPI and PPI data added to the market's collective conviction that inflation's downside momentum is strong, opening the way for "peacetime" Fed rate cuts.
Persons: that's, Russell, Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, Tony Pasquariello, Goldman Sachs, Henry McVey, KKR's, McVey, Morgan Stanley, Todd Sohn, Strategas, they're, Jerome Powell Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Goldman, Nasdaq, Apple, CPI, PPI Locations: U.S
This year's broader market rally isn't over just yet, according to Citi. "We look for further S & P 500 upside in the year ahead. Citi set a year-end target of 5,100 for the S & P 500, dependent on a $245 earnings per share estimate for the index. The S & P 500 , meanwhile, is up nearly 20% in 2023. "Our top-down sector earnings modeling continues to argue for more consistent sector level growth during 2024.
Persons: Scott Chronert, Chronert, Russell, Cyclicals Organizations: Citi, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Wall Street will endeavor to keep the November momentum going in the final month of 2023, as investors look for a broadening out of the rally that has been dominated this year by a handful of tech names. It also marked the best monthly performance for the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite since July 2022. While the S & P 500 cap-weighted index climbed more than 18% this year, the equal-weighted index is up by just over 4%. They highlight the attractive relative valuation of value stocks compared to growth stocks, as well as the significant underweighting of value names in portfolios by traders. And the question is, is it going to be in 2024, is it going to be 2025 or in 2026?
Persons: Stocks, Hogan, Olivier Sarfati, GenTrust's Sarfati, Carlos Asilis, Asilis, FactSet, nonfarm payrolls, They're, TK, Nonfarm Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Riley, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, Expedia, Paramount Global, Russell, Glovista Investments, PMI, Services PMI, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit, Broadcom Locations: U.S, Michigan
We are closing out an extraordinary month: The S & P 500 is up nearly 9%, its fourth-best month in 12 years. The equal weight S & P 500 is up almost as much as the market-cap weighted S & P 500. Of the 10 major financial firms, only two (Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan) see the S & P 500 lower next year. Wall Street strategists' year-end S & P 500 estimates . That puts the S & P 500 at a very rich multiple of almost 19 times forward earnings (17x is the historic norm).
Persons: Russell, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, bullish, Brian Belski, Scott Wren, Wren, That's, JP Morgan's, Dubravko Organizations: Wall, Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, Capital Markets, Bank of America, Barclays, Goldman, UBS Global Wealth, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, Treasury, Core PCE, Wells Fargo Institute, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, Atlanta
REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 24 (Reuters) - Signs the U.S. stock market rally is broadening from the so-called Magnificent Seven of mega-cap growth and technology companies is bolstering investor hopes for a rally through year-end. In one encouraging sign, about 55% of the S&P 500 were trading above their 200-day moving averages as of Monday. Among other signs, the equal-weight S&P 500 (.SPXEW) -- a proxy for the average stock in the index -- rose 3.24% last week. The equal-weight S&P 500 is trading at a 5% discount to its 10-year average forward price-to-earnings ratio, according to Edward Jones. Still, there are reasons to think that the market rally is not on the verge of a sustained broadening.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Adam Turnquist, Meta, Russell, Mona Mahajan, Edward Jones, ” Mahajan, Steve Sosnick, Jason Draho, David Randall, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Megan Davies, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, LPL, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Interactive Brokers, UBS Global Wealth Management, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Treasuries
The S&P 500 (.SPX), the Nasdaq (.IXIC) and the Dow (.DJI) registered their third straight week of gains. For the week, the S&P 500 added 2.2% while the Nasdaq composite rose 2.4% and the Dow climbed 1.9%. Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid Acquire Licensing RightsEnergy, finishing up 2.1%, was the biggest percentage gainer among the 11 major S&P 500 sectors as oil prices settled up more than 4%. The S&P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 55 new highs and 97 new lows.
Persons: Michael Barr, Mary Daly, Susan Collins, Robert Phipps, Per Stirling's Phipps, Dow, Jack McIntyre, Brendan McDermid, Russell, Rick Wilmer, Sinéad Carew, Shristi, Maju Samuel, Pooja Desai, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, San Francisco Fed, Boston Fed, Applied Materials, U.S . Justice, Stirling, Dow Jones, Brandywine Global, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights Energy, Technology, Microsoft, Ross Stores, Old Navy, ChargePoint Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Austin Texas, Philadelphia, New York City, New York, Bengaluru
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2023. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rose for the third straight session on Thursday as Treasury yields fell after higher-than-expected weekly jobless claims underscored market expectations that interest rates have peaked. The communication services index (.SPLRCL) led declines among the 11 major S&P 500 sectors, while energy shares (.SPNY) rose 1.1% as oil prices gained. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 2.72-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.88-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju SamuelOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Michael Barr, Mary Daly, Daly, Thomas Hayes, Russell, Rick Wilmer, Shristi Achar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Microsoft, Materials, San Francisco Fed, Great, Capital, Dow, Dow Jones, Old Navy, ChargePoint Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2023. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note dropped further to a two-month low on Friday and was last at 4.4082%. Most megacap stocks edged higher in premarket trading, with Amazon.com (AMZN.O) and Nvidia (NVDA.O) up 0.5% and 0.3% respectively. On the economic data front, markets will monitor the housing starts data for October, scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 93 points, or 0.27%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 10.75 points, or 0.24%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 6.5 points, or 0.04%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Russell, Mohit Kumar, Austan Goolsbee, Rick Wilmer, Shristi Achar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Materials, Jefferies, Chicago Fed, Dow e, Old Navy, ChargePoint Holdings, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, Bengaluru
[1/2] The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, July 20, 2023. The British consumer price index rose by 4.6% in the 12 months to October, slowing from September's 6.7% increase, the Office for National Statistics said. He sees a "more complicated" process ahead, where stock market exuberance eventually collides with bond market expectations that an economic slowdown will drive rate cuts. The dollar index , which measures the currency against a basket of peers, stood at 104.17, not far from Tuesday's two-month low of 103.98. Interest rate futures swung to price in an interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve as early as May, with a 30% chance it could come even sooner, in March.
Persons: May MILAN, Carlo Franchini, Naka, Russell, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Sterling, Danilo Masoni, Tom Westbrook, Alex Richardson Organizations: REUTERS, Staff, Bank of England, Banca Ifigest, National Statistics, CPI, Nasdaq, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bloomberg News, Golden, HSBC, Brent, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, United States, Europe, Asia, China, Milan, Ukraine, Italy, France, Tokyo, San Francisco, London, CHINA, Pacific, Japan, Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai, Singapore
The stock market is experiencing a "face ripper" rally that isn't going to end anytime soon, according to Fundstrat. "The bigger story seems to be inflation could be hitting a wall," Fundstrat's Tom Lee said. AdvertisementThe stock market is in the midst of a "face ripper" rally that should see follow-through heading into the end of the year, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. This should drive a change in both Fed's view of the 'stickiness' of inflation and also the market narrative." Advertisement"I think institutional investors and retail have been fighting this rally," Lee told CNBC on Monday.
Persons: Tom Lee, , Lee, Russell, it's Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, CPI, Federal, Fed, CNBC
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. "This is what the Fed was looking for, slowing inflation, slowing labor market and the economy's holding up at the same time." Following the data, traders erased bets the Fed will raise borrowing costs any further and piled into bets on rate cuts starting by May. U.S. Treasury yields dropped, with the two-year yield , which best reflects short-term interest rate expectations, sliding to two-week lows. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 13.89-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 5.44-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Thomas Hayes, Russell, Jerome Powell, Michael Barr, Loretta Mester, Austan Goolsbee, Mike Johnson, Sruthi Shankar, Amruta, Ankika Biswas, Shinjini Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Reuters, May, U.S, Treasury, Nvidia, Banking Committee, Cleveland Fed, Chicago Fed, U.S . House, Dow Jones, Inc, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, United States, Bengaluru
A pullback for stocks could be on the horizon after a unique technical signal was flashed, BTIG said. The Russell 2000 ended last week down 3.2%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 2.9%. BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky pointed out there have been just seven other occasions since 1985 that such a divergence has been seen. Eight weeks following this signal flashing, the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 have lost 4.1% and 6.7%, respectively, on a median basis. To be sure, it was last seen on May 2 — and the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 were up 13.9% and 8.6%, respectively, eight weeks after.
Persons: BTIG, Russell, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, , — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, American Association of, Bears, Wall
For the week, the S&P 500 gained 5.9%, for its biggest gain since November 2022 and Nasdaq added 6.6%, also showing its biggest gain since Nov. 2022. The Dow showed a weekly gain of 5.1%, its biggest since late October 2022. The jobs data also helped push U.S. Treasury yields lower for the fourth consecutive session. Most of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors advanced, led by rate-sensitive real estate (.SPLRCR), which finished up 2.4%, after hitting its highest since late September. The S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 77 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, nonfarm, Matt Palazzolo, Palazzolo, Dow, Tony Welch, Russell, SignatureFD's Welch, Welch, Sinéad Carew, Amruta, Sriraj Kalluvila, Maju Samuel, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apple, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Labor, Big, Bernstein Private Wealth Management, Fed, Dow Jones, Treasury, SignatureFD, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Atlanta Georgia, New York
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 26, 2023. Such hopes, coupled with upbeat earnings reports, have put all three major Wall Street indexes on course for their biggest weekly percentage gain in about a year. Apple (AAPL.O) was an outlier, down 1.3% after its sales forecast for the holiday quarter fell short of Wall Street expectations. Most major S&P 500 sectors traded in the green, led by real estate (.SPLRCR), which jumped 3.3% to an over one-month high. The S&P index recorded 17 new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 42 new highs and 51 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, nonfarm, Paul Nolte, Murphy, Russell, Amruta Khandekar, Sriraj Kalluvila, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apple, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Labor, Big, Fed, Sylvest Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nvidia, Dow Jones, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Morning Bid: Stocks clocking best week of the year
  + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. The U.S. October employment report out later on Friday caps a hectic two weeks of central bank decisions, company updates and unnerving geopolitics. As the first major marker of U.S. economic strength in the final quarter of the year, the payrolls report packs a punch despite expected strike-related distortions. The interest rate relief this week is pervasive, however, as the Fed, ECB and BoE all paused tightening and U.S. Treasury debt sales worries ebbed somewhat. U.S. Treasury (.MOVE) and equity market (.BIX) volatility gauges have subsided to their lowest levels since early last month.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, BoE, ebbed, Antony Blinken, Sam Bankman, Fried, Michael Barr, Neel Kashkari, Huw Pill, Emelia Sithole Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Mike, U.S, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England, Apple, Fed, ECB, Treasury, U.S . Treasury, Labor Department, Eversource Energy, Cardinal Health, Dominion Energy, Gartner, Church, Dwight, AMC, Liberty Media, Icahn Enterprises, Federal, Bank of England, Israel Productivity, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Isreal, Gaza, Gaza City, Canada, Minneapolis, Israel
A report card for the stock market as it approaches one year since the October 2022 bottom of the mini-bear market would probably read, "Good effort, shows perseverance, needs improvement." The equal-weight S & P 500 is up less than 12% from its low. The median stock in the index is up between 3% and 4% over the past 12 months. All four times since 1979, the S & P 500 and Russell 2000 were both higher in the fourth quarter. The S & P 500 is now at 17.7-times 12-month forward profit forecasts, according to FactSet, down from almost 20 in late July.
Persons: Doug Ramsey, Russell, Stephen Suttmeier, Jurrien Timmer, Stocks Organizations: Leuthold, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Fidelity Investments, Fed, Federal Reserve, Deutsche, Treasury
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