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"Everyone seems to believe that inflation will return to its boring old normal," said Chief European economist Tomasz Wieladek. Changes in central bank policy, expectations, labor markets, and globalization mean that inflation will likely stay volatile going forward." Depending on circumstances, this could set the scene for another large inflation target miss." For instance, JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon has repeated warnings of a pricey future, as global militarization and the green transition stoke inflation. "While AI will likely have a disinflationary effect in the medium term, the associated energy consumption could contribute to higher short-term inflation."
Persons: , Rowe Price, Tomasz Wieladek, Wieladek, Jamie Dimon, Donald Trump Organizations: Service, Financial Times, Business, JPMorgan Locations: Europe
"I am tactically bearish for the next 2 months," wrote Rebecca Cheong, head of Americas equity derivatives strategy for UBS, in a note. The S & P 500 rapidly rebounded, though, making back most of the losses and approaching a new high once again. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD And September has gotten off to a sour start with the S & P 500 down four of the first five trading days. Other reasons that make the trader bearish: UBS clients have sold stocks 11 of the last 12 days. Cheong suggested hedges that would pay off if the S & P 500 is down 10% in one month and 15% in two months.
Persons: Rebecca Cheong, Cheong Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, Global, Tech, Federal, U.S
Influencer marketing and talent management are key drivers of M&A activity in the creator economy. Business Insider reviewed 15 recent deals to learn what types of influencer companies are selling. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! French ad holding company Publicis Groupe, which has a market cap of around $27 billion, announced it acquired influencer-marketing firm Influential in July. Global marketing firm Stagwell announced its purchase of the influencer-marketing company Leaders that same month.
Persons: , Stagwell Organizations: Business, Service, Publicis Groupe, Global
Related storiesIn the second phase of the game, soon after the Chinese invasion began, US forces were said to have engaged and stopped the Chinese amphibious assault, though China continued to bombard Taiwan. Daniel Ceng/Anadolu via Getty ImagesThis caught the hedge fund players by surprise: they had assumed EU sanctions were unlikely because of the depth of China-Europe trade, which reached $815 billion annually in 2023. The hedge fund "agreed that any room for avoiding a total divestment from China and the South China Sea was now completely lost, and market re-entry was probably many years away." The hedge fund responded by choosing to invest heavily in semiconductors manufactured in regions not affected by the war. "This would provide potential opportunities for new players to emerge in the Global South, particularly if loans can be collateralized," Knightsbridge noted.
Persons: Finley Grimble, liquidating, KSG, Daniel Ceng, Knightsbridge, Grimble, Michael Peck Organizations: Service, Business, Knightsbridge Strategic, Getty, Treasury, Defense, Foreign Policy, Rutgers Univ, Twitter, LinkedIn Locations: British, China, Taiwan, South China, Europe, South America, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Anadolu, South, Ukraine, Africa, East, Southeast Asia, Zimbabwe, Forbes
OPEC+ extends oil output cuts again through November
  + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
This isn’t the first time OPEC+ has extended output cuts in a bid to boost crude prices. That same month, OPEC+ extended a cut of 1.65 million barrels per day announced in April 2023 until the end of 2025. Oil prices rose initially but settled slightly lower Thursday. Oil prices have declined this year despite continued output cuts and ongoing geopolitical tension in the Middle East. In June, the International Energy Agency said that a glut of oil supply could weaken the sway OPEC+ has over oil prices.
Persons: Organizations: New, New York CNN, of, Petroleum, West Texas, Brent, International Energy Agency, IEA Locations: New York, OPEC, China, United States
Honor launched the Magic V3 foldable smartphone in international markets as it steps up its challenge to Samsung. With the Honor Magic V3, Honor talked up how thin the device is compared to rivals. Honor launched the Magic V3, its latest foldable smartphone, in international markets on Thursday as the Chinese tech company ramps up its challenge to Samsung in the fast-growing market. Global foldable smartphone shipments grew 48% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2024, Counterpoint Research data shows. Competition in the space continues to rise with Google last month launching its latest foldable phone.
Persons: Honor's Organizations: Samsung, Google, Research, Competition, Huawei Locations: China, Europe, Asia, India, South Korea, America, Western Europe, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, East, Asia Pacific, Africa
U.K. stocks are looking particularly attractive after a fresh bout of market volatility, according to the chief investment officer of financial firm Wren Sterling. It is in this context that Wren Sterling's Rory McPherson believes British stocks look "cheap" and "under-owned." When asked whether investors should consider U.K. stocks as part of a shift away from U.S. tech companies, McPherson replied, "Well, we think so. I mean you look at the market like the U.K., it's on 12 times earnings, its cheap, its under-owned. Analysts have recently turned bullish on U.K. stocks, which had been unpopular for years.
Persons: Wren Sterling, Wren, Rory McPherson, McPherson, CNBC's, " McPherson Organizations: Global, U.S, Analysts, BlackRock Investment, BlackRock, Labour Party, CNBC, Bank of, Bank of England Locations: U.S
London CNN —The United States and Europe are racing to narrow China’s commanding lead in clean energy technologies, throwing subsidies at local manufacturers and hiking tariffs on Chinese imports in a strikingly protectionist turn. Without China’s electric vehicles (EVs), solar panels, wind turbines, and batteries, reducing planet-heating pollution could take longer and ultimately increase costs for businesses and consumers. Beijing’s virtual monopoly on the processing of some critical minerals comes with particular risks for the global green transition. Zhu Haipeng/VCG/APAny delay in switching to clean energy will exact a heavy toll on the planet. Birol at the IEA also advocates for trade policies that diversify supply chains while reducing the risk of delays to the clean energy transition.
Persons: , Margrethe Vestager, , ” Fatih Birol, David G, Victor, Michael R, Davidson, ” Victor, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Zhu Haipeng, Victor of, Birol, don’t Organizations: London CNN, Russia, Getty, , International Energy Agency, Global, University of California, CNN, Monetary Fund, McKinsey Global Institute, Victor of University of California, IEA Locations: United States, Europe, China, Lianyungang, Washington, Netherlands, Japan, Beijing, of Taicang, Suzhou, Brookings, University of California San Diego, Fuzhou, Victor of University of California San Diego
Ninety-three percent of the fund managers in the survey are expecting lower short-term rates in the next 12 months, marking the highest percentage in the past 24 years, BofA said. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Only 31% of fund managers are overweight stocks now, down from 51% in July, the survey showed. Global growth expectations are at their lowest in 8 months with about half of respondents expecting weaker growth the next 12 months, the survey showed. Still, the majority of investors (76%) expect the Fed to engineer a soft landing, up from 68% last month, the survey said. The August survey from BofA captured the sentiment of 220 respondents with $590 billion in assets under management.
Persons: BofA, Michael Hartnett Organizations: Federal Reserve
“The Qixi Festival is not as robust as previous years. Couples attend a kissing contest during the traditional Qixi festival in Shenyang, northeast China's Liaoning province, on August 13, 2013. “The only part of the world where consumer confidence remains very low is China,” L’Oreal CEO Nicolas Hieronimus told analysts on an earnings call late last month. Lower-than-expected growth in the global beauty sector this year is largely a consequence of low consumer confidence in China, he added. People take photos at a bus stop decorated with flowers during Qixi Festival, or Chinese Valentine's Day, on August 22, 2023 in Chongqing, China.
Persons: China’s, Louis Vuitton, , forlornly, Huang Jinkun, Alfred Wu, Lee, , Yeap Jun Rong, Xi Jinping, Peng Liyuan, Stringer, De Beers, That’s, Niulang, Nicolas Hieronimus, Joanne Wilson, didn’t, ” Mercedes, Ola Kaellenius Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Weibo, CNN, Qixi, Lee Kuan Yew, of Public, National University of Singapore, Volkswagen, Ministry of Civil Affairs, Getty, Diamond, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Global, WPP, China News Service, Mercedes, ” Mercedes Benz Locations: China, Hong Kong, Shenyang, Liaoning province, Beijing, China's Liaoning province, AFP, Chongqing
Commodity prices have tumbled over the past month, signaling underlying weakness in the global economy despite the U.S. stock market bouncing back from recession fears. But commodity markets may be telling a different story about the global economy. The Invesco DB Base Metals Fund is down more than 7% over the past month, while crude oil futures dropped 14% from July 5 through Aug. 5. @HG.1 YTD mountain Copper futures, YTD Weakness in China, the world's second-largest economy, is weighing on copper and oil in particular, Melek said. OPEC on Monday lowered its global oil demand growth forecast this year by 135,000 barrels per day as expectations in China have softened.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Bart Melek, DBB @HG, We've, Melek, I'm Organizations: U.S, Investors, Invesco DB Base Metals, Wolfe Research, TD Securities, DBB, Metals, Copper, CNBC, Global, Beijing, European Union, World Trade Organization, Federal Reserve, Securities Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
And they know you’re going to act so they won’t mess with you. Put it in somebody else’s mouth because it was AI mean, it didn’t sound like Joe Biden to me. I think you’re I think you’re underselling this a little bit. And if they don’t, I’m going to keep my promise and send them 100 powdered wigs because they’re just living in a different era. All these other politicians, these career politicians didn’t know how to make a good deal.
Persons: Nancy Pelosi, Harris, Tim Walz, Al Gore, They’re, he’s, Joe Biden, Obama, Walz, Donald Trump, it’s, Trump, Said, JD Vance, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Ro Khanna, Scott Wiener, haven’t, Liam McCarthy, Willie Brown, George Moscone, Leo, Dianne Feinstein, It’s, Kamala, she’s, let’s, Suzan, You’ll, That’s, you’ll, I’m, that’s, We’re, I’ve, He’s, what’s, Bob Dole, George Bush, Svetlana, they’re, Scott Brown, Ted Kennedy’s, Ted Kennedy, Scott Brown’s, We’ve, you’re, Bill, Harry, Harry Reid, Pelosi, John Boehner, you’ve, Weaver, that’s O.K, Kevin McCarthy, kaka, Bernie Sanders, Sanders, Ted Cruz, Let’s, Barney Frank, Bill I, Steny Hoyer, don’t, You’re, John Dingell, Roe, Ira, Biden, McCarthy, o’clock, Wade, Kathy Manning of, Kathy Manning, didn’t, America’s, Republicans can’t, You’ve, Mary Barra, Steph Curry, Elton John Bono, Bill Gates, ain’t, Abraham, Little, Hillary, Norman Lear, Umberto, Gabriel Garcia Marquez’s, I’ll, Darwin, Lincoln Organizations: Democratic Party, Democratic, Republican, Veterans Affairs, Trump, Republicans, Democrat, San, Cal Stanford, University of San, Morning, NATO, Affordable, Senate, White House, California Democratic Party, Technology Committee, North, Global, Abraham Accords, Rogue, Republican Party Locations: America, Minnesota, San Francisco, University of San Francisco, United States, It’s, Belarus, Massachusetts, California, Iraq, Idaho, Italian, Kathy Manning of North Carolina, China, Sudan, Michigan, Arizona, David, South, Baltimore
Warner Bros. Here is how Warner Bros. Warner Bros. Discovery's balance sheet carries a significant amount of goodwill stemming from mergers and acquisitions, namely the combination of Warner Bros. and Discovery in 2022. Warner Bros.
Persons: Discovery, Gunnar Wiedenfels, David Zaslav, Discovery's, , Zaslav, Disney, Hulu —, Max Organizations: Warner Brothers Discovery, Turner Broadcasting, Warner Bros, LSEG, Discovery, NBA, Warner Bros . Discovery, Amazon, Revenue, TBS, TNT, Hulu, ESPN, Fox Locations: Atlanta , Georgia
A carry trade involves an investor borrowing a currency with low interest rates and reinvesting it in higher-yielding assets elsewhere — taking advantage of that differential to make a financial gain. Investors piled into yen carry trades in recent years, attracted by Japan's low volatility and ultra-loose monetary policy. Global stock markets meanwhile plunged as "safe haven" assets such as the Swiss franc and U.S. Treasurys were bolstered. "You can't unwind the biggest carry trade the world has ever seen without breaking a few heads," Kit Juckes, chief foreign exchange strategist at Societe Generale, said in a Monday note. Trichet told CNBC Tuesday: "The correction can be seen as a healthy correction, in some respects.
Persons: it's, Jean, Claude Trichet, CNBC's, Treasurys, Kit Juckes, Trichet Organizations: European Central Bank, ., Bank of Japan, U.S, Global, Swiss, Societe Generale, CNBC, Federal Locations: France's, U.S, Europe, United States
High-end real estateAbout 30% of India's UHNWI investments go into luxury real estate, including overseas projects, said Alok Saigal, president of wealth management firm Nuvama Private. People have moved away from investing in land as it is less liquid, and more wealth has been allocated to residential real estate since the pandemic, he added. Around 20% of Dubai's offshore real estate pie is owned by Indian investors. Startups' lureInvesting in startups is becoming increasingly popular, especially with the younger generation of rich Indians, wealth managers told CNBC. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesAbout 17% of India's UHNWIs' wealth goes into luxury goods, with jewelry, art and watches as top preferences, findings from Knight Frank revealed.
Persons: Knight Frank, Alok Saigal, Alok, Chethan Shenoy, Anand, Saigal, Nitin Chengappa, India's, Chengappa, Anand Rathi Wealth's, LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Organizations: Getty, India, Nuvama Private, Offshore, Nuvama, CNBC, Standard Chartered Bank, Shoppers, DLF, BMI, Bloomberg, Fitch Solutions, LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA Locations: Mumbai, Beijing, New York, London, UHNWIs, Dubai, Delhi, New Delhi, India
Flanked by another two of the U.S.-made combat aircraft, Zelenskyy announced on Sunday that the country's air force had already started operations using the warplanes against Russia. A number of Ukraine's European allies have pledged to send F-16s to Ukraine, and the first batch arrived in the country in late July. Russia has dismissed the supply of F-16s, with Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov saying last Thursday that Russian forces were prepared to shoot down the F-16 jets. The first General Dynamics F-16 Fighting Falcon received by Ukraine is seen on the Day of Ukrainian Air Force on August 4, 2024 in Unspecified, Ukraine. "The jets will considerably enhance Ukraine's ability to prevent Russian pilots entering Ukrainian air space, and can also target Russian cruise missiles in flight.
Persons: Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Zelenskyy, Ukraine's, Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyi, Vitalii, Antony Blinken, Dmitry Peskov, Peskov, Mykola Bielieskov, Bielieskov Organizations: Falcons, Dynamics, Anadolu, Getty, Ukraine's Air Forces, Ukrainian, Ukrainian Air Force, Anadolu Agency, NATO, Defense, National Institute for Strategic Studies, Fighting Falcons, Ukraine Locations: Ukraine, Russia, U.S, Denmark, Netherlands, Belgium, Norway, States, USSR, Kyiv, Ukrainian
Warren Buffett walks the floor ahead of the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha, Nebraska on May 3, 2024. Warren Buffett sent shockwaves through the investing world over the weekend by slashing his big Apple stake by half, causing the tech stock to crater on Monday amid the intensifying global sell-off. Berkshire Hathaway disclosed in its earnings filing that its Apple holding was valued at $84.2 billion at the end of the second quarter, indicating that the Oracle of Omaha dumped a little more than 49% of the tech stake. Global stock markets are on the brink of a major correction, triggered by concerns of an economic slowdown. Buffett also started selling his second biggest holding Bank of America in July.
Persons: Warren Buffett, shockwaves, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett Organizations: Berkshire, Apple, Oracle, Global, of America Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha
Global Jets ETF , whose largest holdings are Southwest Airlines , United Airlines , American Airlines and Delta Air , is off 7.5% just since the end of June. GE Aerospace GE Aerospace is a pure play on the rise of global air travel, according to John Belton, portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds. Just about all 18 analysts polled by LSEG consider GE Aerospace a buy, with five rating it a strong buy. Central to the investment thesis for GE Aerospace is its market leadership. "The air travel industry is a growth industry," Galluccio said.
Persons: Richard Branson, John Belton, Belton, Nicholas Galluccio, Galluccio, Morningstar, that's, Tony Bancroft, Bancroft, there's, wanderlust Organizations: Virgin Group, U.S . Global Jets ETF, Southwest Airlines, United Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Air, Transportation, Boeing, Airbus, Gabelli, International Air Transport Association, AAR Corp, Teton Advisors, Westwood, Equity, GE Aerospace GE Aerospace, Gabelli Funds, New York Stock Exchange, General Electric, GE Aerospace, LSEG, GE, Airlines, Morningstar, Growth, Max, Federal Aviation Administration, Aerospace & Defense ETF, Heico Corporation, Triumph, TransDigm Locations: U.S, Eastern Europe
This Scientist Wants to Block the Sun to Cool the Earth
  + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( David Gelles | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
David Keith was a graduate student in 1991 when a volcano erupted in the Philippines, sending a cloud of ash toward the edge of space. Seventeen million tons of sulfur dioxide released from Mount Pinatubo spread across the stratosphere, reflecting some of the sun’s energy away from Earth. The result was a drop in average temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere by roughly one degree Fahrenheit in the year that followed. Global temperatures have hit record highs for 13 months in a row, unleashing violent weather, deadly heat waves and raising sea levels. The main driver of the warming, the burning of fossil fuels, continues more or less unabated.
Persons: David Keith, Keith Locations: Philippines, Mount Pinatubo, Northern
Westend61 | Getty ImagesAn automated financial advisor called PortfolioPilot has quickly gained $20 billion in assets in a possible preview of how disruptive artificial intelligence could be for the wealth management industry. The world's largest wealth management firms have rushed to implement generative AI after the arrival of OpenAI's ChatGPT, rolling out services that augment human financial advisors with meeting assistants and chatbots. "People are fed up with cookie-cutter portfolios," Harmsen told CNBC. Global Predictions targets people with between $100,000 and $5 million in assets — in other words, people with enough money to begin worrying about diversification and portfolio management, Harmsen said. After realizing it could have a broader use, Harmsen began building a team for Global Predictions, including three former employees of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund.
Persons: PortfolioPilot, Alexander Harmsen, OpenAI's, Morgan Stanley, Harmsen, we'll Organizations: Global, Morado Ventures, NEA Angel Fund, CNBC, Bank of America, Bridgewater Associates Locations: San Francisco
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementMetinvest has already made screens for Ukrainian tanks and said in June that it had made 25 screens, including for the US Abrams tank. Ukraine has received more than 300 Bradleys from the US, and has used them to transport troops and to target Russian armor, bunkers, and infantry. Global Images Ukraine | Getty ImagesThe vehicles are more maneuverable and repairable than some heavier armor and are also able to strike back. Related storiesBradleys have been filmed going head-to-head against Russia's armored vehicles, including Russia's most advanced tank, the T-90M.
Persons: , Oleksandr Myronenko, Myronenko, Metinvest, Pat Ryder, Bradley, it's Organizations: Service, Bradley, Ukraine's, Newsweek, Business, US Abrams, Getty, Pentagon Locations: Ukraine, Russian
If you haven't been paying attention to tobacco companies, you might not recognize the new landscape. The alternatives also include heated tobacco and nicotine vapor products, although with the latter, tobacco companies face big competition from vaping companies and the proliferation of illicit vapes. PM 1Y mountain Philip Morris' one-year performance Countries around the globe have been working for years to reduce tobacco use. There is no way back," Philip Morris Chief Financial Officer Emmanuel Babeau said at a Deutsche Bank conference in June. Most of that came from companies in China, with tobacco companies only taking about 15% share, the bank said.
Persons: Philip Morris, , Brett Cooper, I'm, Philip, Emmanuel Babeau, Owen Bennett, Cooper, Altria, vapes —, Faham Baig, Dan Ahrens, Ahrens, Edge's Cooper, Jefferies, Bennett, Murray Garnick Organizations: Philip Morris International, Reynolds American, British, Tobacco, Big Tobacco, World Health, Philip Morris, Deutsche Bank, Jefferies, Philip Morris USA, Centers for Disease Control, Drug Administration, U.S, Supreme, FDA, UBS, WHO, Brands, BAT Locations: Colorado, China, rey, Japan, Iquos, U.S, Kentucky, Marlboro, U.S ., London, RRPs
Analyst Mauricio Serna also raised his price target to $20 from $13, indicating 57.6% upside potential from where shares closed on Thursday. Barclays also lowered its price target to $47 from $55, indicating 11.4% downside from Thursday's close. Analyst Benjamin Swinburne has a $780 price target on shares, indicating shares could rise 20% from Thursday's close. Cahall raised his price target to $758 from $726, suggesting nearly 18% upside potential from the stock's close price on Thursday. His new price target of $190, up from $107, implies upside of 20% from Thursday's close.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mauricio Serna, Serna, — Hakyung Kim, Barclays downgrades Molson Coors, Lauren Lieberman, BUD YTD, Hakyung Kim, Benjamin Swinburne, Swinburne, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Wells, Steven Cahall, Cahall, Arm Holdings Morgan Stanley, Lee Simpson, Simpson, GenAI, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Arm Holdings, UBS, Barclays downgrades, Barclays, bearish, Molson Coors, NFLX's, Holdings, ARM Locations: Serna, Thursday's, Wells Fargo
The Platinum Card® from American Express offers a ton of value from its welcome bonus and benefits. Introduction to American Express premium benefitsThe Platinum Card® from American Express has one of the highest annual fees of any publicly available consumer card: $695. Activating your Amex Platinum benefitsThe Platinum Card® from American Express Apply now lock icon An icon in the shape of lock. Apply and select your preferred metal Card design: classic Platinum, Platinum x Kehinde Wiley, or Platinum x Julie Mehretu. Add your Amex Platinum card to your Uber accountThe Amex Platinum Card offers cardholders up to $200 in Uber Cash credits each calendar year.
Persons: Uber, Wiley, Julie Mehretu, Peacock, Uber Cash, you've, you'll, It's, doled, it's, You'll, , cardholders Organizations: American Express, Read, Express, Hilton, Marriott, Saks, Entertainment, Disney, ESPN, The New York Times, Street, American, Walmart, TSA, Global, Saks Fifth, Spirit Airlines, Card, Hulu —, Hulu, Paramount, Nickelodeon, Comedy Central, MTV, CBS, Marriott Bonvoy, Gold, & Resorts, Fine Hotels & Resorts, Amex, Rockefeller, Avis, Hertz, Chevron, Saks Fifth Avenue Locations: Hulu
This card is the "best travel card for beginners" in our best travel rewards credit cards guide. This is one of the most generous credit card offers we've ever seen, especially for a credit card with such a low annual fee ($95, rates and fees). Other credit cards offer higher rewards in certain categories of spending Insider’s Take If you want an easy, no-fuss travel rewards credit card, the Capital One Venture Rewards Credit Card is a great fit. The current Capital One Venture Rewards Credit Card bonus, however, comes with an automatic $250 welcome credit as soon as you open your account. Global Entry/TSA PreCheck statement creditWelcome bonus aside, the Capital One Venture Rewards Credit Card is Business Insider's top-choice travel credit card for beginners for many good reasons.
Persons: hasn't, Here's, Miles, TSA PreCheck, you'll, Taylor, cardholders Organizations: Capital, Travelers, TSA, U.S, TSA PreCheck Locations: Grandma's, U.S
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