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As the fourth quarter ramps up, several stocks have room to appreciate in coming months, according to Jefferies. Heading into the end of the year, Jefferies has updated its list of stock recommendations it calls its "franchise picks," spotlighting high-conviction, buy-rated names. "Higher reinvestment rates are correlated with better returns," Jefferies added. Their average price target of almost $24 implies roughly 10% upside – less than the nearly 26% that would result if Jefferies' target of $27 is reached. And Jefferies' target of $295 implies more than 17% upside from the current price.
Persons: Jefferies, Morgan Stanley, Wells, , Johnson Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Consumer, Johnson, PepsiCo, Sysco, Jefferies, ConocoPhillips, Port, North Field, Oil, Procter, Gamble, Colgate Locations: Wells Fargo, Alaska, Port Arthur, Texas, Qatar, Houston, LSEG, U.S, , New Jersey, Kenvue
Consumer spending was expected to hold strong in September, possibly even more than forecast and enough to throw another wrinkle into the Federal Reserve's thought process. "If retail sales accelerate considerably, in our view, the narrative may shift further toward 'no landing' or even re-acceleration." "Monthly retail sales data can be volatile. For now, Bhave thinks a strong sales report will "probably not … at least, not yet" hit Fed policy. At the same time the retail report drops, the Labor Department will issue its weekly reading on initial unemployment claims.
Persons: Dow Jones, Aditya Bhave, Bhave, Hurricanes Helene, Milton Organizations: Bank of America, Fed, Labor Department, Hurricanes, Boeing Locations: Michigan
New York CNN —Wall Street traders are popping champagne and toasting the two-year anniversary of a period of outsized gains known as a bull market. What makes this bull market unusual is how much uncertainty and economic worry investors have had to contend with during its run. Historically, bull markets recover around 194% of the previous downturn, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. While the first two years of a bull market often see significant gains, history shows that the third year can bring challenges, said Stovall. On average, bull markets entering their third year post a modest return of just 2%.
Persons: Stocks, Sam Stovall, Adam Turnquist, Quincy Krosby, , Stovall Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wall, LPL, LPL Financial, Federal Locations: New York, Europe, East
Investors should snatch up shares of Flutter Entertainment following a recent sell-off, according to Wells Fargo. Analyst Daniel Politzer upgraded shares of the online sports betting company to overweight from equal weight. The change comes after the stock sold off 8.8% on Friday following reports that the U.K. is weighing higher taxes on the gambling industry. Wells Fargo isn't the only firm turning more bullish on Flutter. "Despite similar-to-better business and financial characteristics, Flutter trades at a 35% discount to its "new peers", highlighting strong re-rating potential."
Persons: Daniel Politzer, Politzer, Wells, Adrien de Saint Hilaire Organizations: of America Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S, Friday's
Florida communities grapple with destruction after Hurricane Milton. And Barack Obama talks about “real strength” at a rally for Kamala Harris. Florida embarks on road to recovery after MiltonAt least 16 people have been confirmed dead in Florida after tornadoes touched down and Hurricane Milton slammed into the state this week, leaving a trail of damage and devastation. Milton was the fifth hurricane to hit Florida’s barrier islands in two years, but steadfast residents say living there is worth the risk. More Hurricane Milton coverage:1 dead, 23 rescued after Colorado tourist mine malfunctionAt least one person is dead after an elevator equipment malfunction at a tourist mine in Colorado.
Persons: Hurricane Milton, Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, Milton, ” Fort Myers Beach Mayor Dan Allers, Kathleen Mine, Fisher, Price, Price Snuga, Richard Trumka Jr, , , Obama, Trump, Harris, I’ve, Tim Walz, Read, ➡️ Harris, Howard Stern, Joy Behar, Stephen Colbert, Harris sidestepped, Joe Biden, ➡️, ➡️ Trump, Russian Vladimir Putin, Putin, Angela Alsobrooks, Larry Hogan, — Richie Duchon, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: Hurricane, The Clearwater Police Department, Coast Guard, , ” Fort Myers, ” Fort Myers Beach Mayor, Tampa International, Disney, Universal Studios, Hurricane Milton, U.S . Consumer Product Safety, Fisher, Minnesota Gov, ➡️, Univision, White, Trump, Republican, NBC, Getty, Hurricanes Locations: Florida, Hurricane, Clearwater, Gulf of Mexico, ” Fort, ” Fort Myers Beach, Sarasota, Orlando, Colorado, Teller County, Denver, Pittsburgh, North Carolina, Detroit, Russian, York, Maryland
However, prices for many physical goods have deflated as supply-and-demand dynamics return to normal following pandemic-era contortions. "Outside of goods prices, I don't think we'll see price cuts," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's. That served to weaken demand, which also pushed down prices, economists said. Outside of supply-demand dynamics, the U.S. dollar's strength relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in prices for imported goods, economists said. Energy, food and consumer electronicsOutside of imported goods, consumers may also see a "normalization" of prices in food and energy, Zandi said.
Persons: Jeff Greenberg, Mark Zandi, Zandi, women's outerwear, Sarah House Organizations: Universal, Getty, Finance, Social Security, Vehicles, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics ., U.S . Federal, Fed, U.S, Energy Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S
Inside data brokers' massive vaultCybersecurity experts estimate that data brokers collect an average of 1,000 data points on each individual with an online presence. Little oversight around data privacyThe lack of comprehensive regulation around data privacy allows data brokers to operate with little oversight, unlike the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) in the European Union. Opt-out links and instructions are readily available for most of the major data brokers: ExperianTransUnionLexisNexisEpsilon But data privacy experts says reclaiming or deleting your data from brokers can be a deliberately complex process that is not only time-consuming but frustrating. "With AI, data brokers will create even more detailed and predictive profiles, incorporating everything from biometric data to behavioral tracking," Abed said. Until regulation steps in, data brokers will continue to collect as much data as possible.
Persons: Pew, Arjun Bhatnagar, Roger Grimes, Jeff Chester, Chester, I'm, Bruno Kurtic, Chris Henderson, Chelsea Magnant, Rob Hughes, Kurtic, Cloaked's Bhatnagar, Henderson, Javad Abed, Abed Organizations: Pew Research, Social, LexisNexis, Epsilon, OneRep, Center for Digital Democracy, D.C, Bedrock Security, National Security Agency, CNBC, Data Protection, European Union, NYU's Center for Global Affairs, Brunswick, RSA, U.S, Consumers, Consumer, Engage, Federal Trade Commission, FTC, Johns Hopkins Carey Business School Locations: Washington, California, U.S, Chester
Visa Protect is an AI-driven suite of solutions that includes real-time risk scoring to help prevent fraud and secure digital transactions. These risk solutions harness the power of artificial intelligence to help safeguard merchants, financial institutions, and consumers at every transaction stage. AI shines in fraud preventionFor over 30 years, Visa has been a leader in using AI to combat fraud. But AI has proven to be a powerful weapon in risk prevention for digital payments and transactions. Learn more about Visa Protect risk solutions.
Persons: James Mirfin, Mirfin, We've Organizations: Visa, Research, Visa Protect, Open Banking, Intelligence, Service, Insider Studios
The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell around 2 basis points to 4.075%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was down by more than 2 basis points to 3.974%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield edged lower on Friday as market participants awaited the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The yield on the 10-year Treasury briefly topped 4.1% in the previous session following commentary from Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic that suggested his openness to a cutting pause. Sticking on the data front, investors will turn their attention to the release of the latest PPI reading, which is expected at 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Dow, — CNBC's Brian Evans Organizations: Treasury, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street Journal, Fed, U.S, Consumer, Index, PPI Locations: U.S
Gold drifts higher after data supports U.S. rate-cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices climbed on Friday after recent data supported bets for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month, while market participants awaited the U.S. Producer Price Index report for further direction. Spot gold rose 0.5% to $2,641.70 per ounce by 0245 GMT but was down about 0.4% for the week. Data on Thursday showed that U.S. consumer prices rose slightly more than expected in September, while jobless claims increased to 258,000 in the week ended Oct. 5, versus estimates of 230,000. "Gold is seeing short-term gains as recent data has been positive. If the PPI data comes in softer, gold's momentum could continue upward," said Kelvin Wong, OANDA's senior market analyst for Asia Pacific.
Persons: Price, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, CME's Organizations: Federal, PPI, Asia Locations: Tokyo, Japan, CME's FedWatch, Beirut
He called on Fisher-Price to recall the entire product and reimburse customers for the full cost: around $160. In the last five years, Fisher-Price has recalled several infant products due to safety concerns. Eight more infant deaths followed, prompting Fisher-Price to issue a reminder to consumers last year about the recall. In total, the company has received reports of at least 100 infant deaths linked to the Rock ‘n Play. Then, in 2022, Fisher-Price warned consumers that 13 infant deaths had been linked to its Infant-to-Toddler Rockers and Newborn-to-Toddler Rockers.
Persons: Fisher, Price, Snuga, Richard Trumka Jr, don’t, , ” Trumka, Organizations: U.S . Consumer Product Safety, Fisher, Mattel, NBC, Walmart, Target Locations: U.S, Canada, Mexico
Gold ticks up, U.S. inflation data in focus
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices nudged higher on Thursday, while traders await a key U.S. inflation data due later in the day to gauge the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy stance. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,614.00 per ounce by 0246 GMT, after easing for the previous six sessions. The U.S. Consumer Price Index for September is due at 1230 GMT and Producer Price Index data on Friday. Markets see an 80% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in November. Dallas Fed Bank President Lorie Logan called for gradual cuts and said that the U.S. central bank should not rush.
Persons: Price, Ilya Spivak, Spivak, Mary Daly, Lorie Logan, Israel's Organizations: U.S, Consumer, Treasury, Fed, San Francisco Fed Bank, Dallas Fed Bank Locations: U.S, Iran
Gold lacks momentum as investors brace for Fed minutes
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices slipped on Thursday as investors booked profits after a sustained rally and pressure from institutional investors looking to raise cash, while focus shifted to U.S. economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's rate path. Gold prices were subdued on Wednesday as investors strapped in for minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting for insights into the U.S. central bank's interest rate trajectory. "Gold prices seem to be seeing a much-needed retracement lower. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said on Tuesday that weakening inflation trends make it likely the U.S. central bank can implement further interest rate cuts. Zero-yield bullion tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment.
Persons: I'm, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Susan Collins Organizations: Federal, Index, Traders, U.S . Consumer, Boston, Gold Locations: U.S, North America
Passengers line up to check in at Chengdu Tianfu International Airport on October 6, 2024 as China's week-long National Day holiday draws to a close. China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's Golden Week holiday affirmed a trend in more cautious spending, while consumers put greater emphasis on experiences. The Golden Week holiday in China commemorates the founding of the People's Republic of China on Oct. 1. "The Golden Week consumption could still suggest a modest recovery versus August, in our view, due to trade-in subsidies (for appliances and autos) and consumption vouchers issued by the local governments," Peng said. During Golden Week, mainland China recorded 765 million domestic trips, up from both the prior year and before the pandemic, according to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Trip.com, Kenneth Chow, Oliver Wyman, Chow, It's, Christine Peng, Peng Organizations: Chengdu Tianfu International, China News Service, Getty, BEIJING, China Film Administration, Consumers, CNBC, UBS, Ministry of Culture, Tourism Locations: Chengdu, China, People's Republic of China, Greater China, Japan, Thailand
New York CNN —“Mtn Dew” is getting a makeover, with the word “mountain” reappearing on cans and bottles following a roughly two-decade-long hiatus. “Mountain Dew appears ready to shake off the adrenaline rush that has defined the brand’s marketing for almost two decades, when a key strategy was to market Dew like an energy drink to an energy drink crowd,” Duane Stanford, editor and publisher of Beverage Digest, told CNN. A major change in marketing is essential for Mountain Dew. The new look for Mountain Dew is more about an “evolution and nurturing that we wanted to give to this beloved franchise,” said JP Bittencourt, vice president of marketing at Mountain Dew. “This design has been in the works for some time, so this is not a response to anybody.”A rebrand could also attract drinkers that have perhaps forgotten about Mountain Dew.
Persons: ” Duane Stanford, Spelling, , Mauro Porcini, Porcini, ” Porcini, Stanford, Ramon Laguarta, ” —, Bittencourt Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Mtn, PepsiCo, CNN, Beverage Digest, Mist, Dew, Rockstar Energy Locations: New York, North America, Tennessee Smoky
Gold eases as dollar firms; focus on Fed cues, U.S. data
  + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold was down 0.2% to $2,639.45 per ounce, as of 0303 GMT. U.S. gold futures lost 0.3% to $2,658.70. The dollar index hovered near a seven-week high, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year yield topped 4% for the first time in more than two months. Investors are focused on the minutes of the Fed's latest policy meeting, due on Wednesday, followed by the U.S. Consumer Price Index on Thursday and the Producer Price Index data on Friday. "Looking ahead, if we see any upside surprises in the U.S. CPI numbers this week, this could boost further boost the dollar and pressure gold," Waterer added.
Persons: Gold, Tim Waterer, Israel, Bullion, Waterer, Louis, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, KCM Trade, U.S . Consumer, U.S, CPI, Louis Fed Locations: Singapore, Haifa, Lebanon, Gaza, St
Tapping into people's passions can inspire emotional connections with consumers. In fact, our survey data identifies eight key roles that brands can play to either accelerate consumers' passions or alleviate their frustrations — one of which is fostering shared connections around their passions. A prime example of this is how Nike taps into peoples' passion for wellness, which is ranked the second highest among those we surveyed, while strengthening community bonds. Neuromarketing can derive an abundance of data-driven insights from study participants, allowing us to discern consumers' emotional associations with logos, messages, storylines, colors, and more. Inspiring an emotional response is an incredibly challenging task for marketers at a time when consumers feel bombarded by messages.
Persons: Raja Rajamannar, Rajamannar, , Johnnie Walker, Costa Organizations: Mastercard, Service, Harvard Business School, Carnegie Hall, Cannes Lions, Prix, Consumers, Nike, Nike Run
States sue TikTok over app's effect on kids' mental health
  + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Dan Mangan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Schwalb's suit alleges a slew of "profound" mental health risks are posed to teens and children by compulsive TikTok use, including depression, anxiety, sleep loss and body dysmorphia. "TikTok knows that its design features make its App more addictive and keep users engaged for longer," the suit in D.C. Superior Court alleges. The complaint also says that in 2019, the company introduced "two new dangerous features": a live-streaming feature called TikTok LIVE and a virtual currency system called TikTok "Coins." TikTok incentivizes users to go LIVE by promising these monetary rewards 'the more popular [their] content becomes.'" The suit says that TikTok "earns substantial revenue" from its Coins, charging commissions of up to 50% on each transaction.
Persons: ByteDance, Brian Schwalb, Schwalb, TikTok Organizations: U.S . House, District of Columbia, CNBC, Washington , D.C, NHL's Washington Capitals hockey, Schwalb, AGs, Senate Locations: TikTok, Culver City , California, New York, California, U.S, D.C, Los Angeles, Washington ,, United States, China, Beijing
Companies like Walmart and Apple could be among the most reliable plays during earnings season, according to Wolfe Research. The third-quarter earnings season is kicking off this week, with major consumer and financial names set to post their latest financial reports. The firm screened the S & P 500 for companies that have beat on the top- and bottom-lines with positive relative price action around their earnings reports over the past two quarters. His $89 price target on Walmart shares implies about 12.3% potential upside. Other stocks with strong performance around their earnings reports include cereal maker Kellanova , ON Semiconductor and Morgan Stanley .
Persons: Chris Senyek, Wolfe, Greg Badishkanian, Senyek, Apple, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Walmart, Apple, Wolfe Research, TJX Companies, Big Tech, Jefferies, ON Semiconductor
Jim Cramer is planning to stay in the game with Constellation Brands , despite a Wall Street firm moving to the sidelines on the Mexican beer importer. Shares of New York-based Constellation Brands fell 1.5% Monday, off their lows of the session. In the June-to-August period reported Thursday, beer sales rose 6%, compared with increases of 8%, 11% and 11.8% in its three prior quarters. In explaining why we're sticking with Constellation, Jim said Monday he liked what he heard from Constellation Brands CEO Bill Newlands during the executive's appearance Friday on "Mad Money." This uptick coincided with increased marketing spending behind its top beer brands, Newlands said.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, there's, Bill Newlands, Newlands, , Kim Crawford, Meiomi, Duckhorn, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Constellation Brands, Bank of America, Modelo, Corona, Constellation, CNBC Locations: York, Mexico, Corona, San Anselmo , California
krisanapong detraphiphat | Moment | Getty ImagesInvestors are at a heightened risk of cryptocurrency scams tied to fake relationships established over social media, dating apps and networking sites, federal officials warn. Last month, the SEC brought its first-ever enforcement actions tied to crypto relationship frauds. Crypto scam losses 'can be huge'Crypto, examples of which includes bitcoin and ethereum, is a digital currency. watch nowThere are "many variations" of crypto investment fraud, but the most prominent last year was the relationship scam, the FBI said. Jules, a victim of a crypto relationship scam, detailed her experience with the crime on a new FINRA podcast.
Persons: krisanapong, Fraudsters, Grewal, CoinW6, Kim Casci, Palangio, Micah Hauptman, Hauptman, Jules, , Crispin La Valiente Organizations: Finance, FBI, Securities, Exchange Commission's, SEC, LinkedIn, Federal Bureau of Investigation, Consumers, Support, Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Consumer Federation of America Locations: Seattle
What a hot job market means for inflation
  + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN —The US job market is still piping hot. That comes after the Federal Reserve last month cut interest rates by a jumbo half-point, signaling that it is turning its attention from tamping down inflation to keeping the job market steady. But some warn that a still-strong labor market could make it more difficult for inflation to continue cooling. That’s because a low unemployment rate and hot job market underline a strong American consumer, whose spending helps drive up the cost of goods and services. Consumer inflation eased to its slowest annual pace since February 2021 in August, continuing a trend of cooling down in recent months.
Persons: FactSet, , Seema Shah, , Gina Bolvin Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Investors, , Fed, Asset Management, Labor Statistics, Bolvin Wealth Management Group, International Longshoremen’s Association, United States Maritime Alliance Locations: New York, July’s, Israel, Iran, Russia, Ukraine
Chappell Roan has endured backlash on social media for sharing her political opinions and canceling shows. That quote was subsequently clipped and shared widely on social media, where uproar promptly ensued. Even if canceling shows could drive away fans, it's worth the riskFans at a Chappell Roan concert in October 2023. Maybe Roan should pull back from social media — but that's ultimately her callChappell Roan points at a photographer on the VMAs red carpet. Swift turned off Instagram comments years ago, Gomez has said she deleted the app from her phone, and others have quit posting on social media altogether.
Persons: Chappell Roan, , Roan, she's, who's, Taylor Swift's, TikTok, Donald Trump, Gen Zers, Kamala Harris, mispronouncing Harris, they're, chappell, ake, ould, ong, ike J ustin, elena G omez,, ike, B, R., hore, orth, veryone's, IKE —, hite Organizations: Service, Poets Department, Guardian, Democratic, ust Locations: Roan, rive, ashington, uman
The American labor market, which for months has worried even some optimistic economists, looked in remarkably good shape today after the government released a new employment report. The robust jobs numbers align with other strong economic data to paint a portrait of a solid economy. The fresh data is good news for the Federal Reserve, the White House and Kamala Harris. The vice president has been trying to argue that she and President Biden deftly led the economy through the challenges of the pandemic. In related news, a surge in pandemic era start-ups has helped drive job growth, and could have longer-term benefits.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Biden Organizations: Employers, Federal Reserve, White
CNN —September’s jobs report, due out Friday morning, is expected to show that the US labor market has slowed somewhat but remains on solid footing. While September’s employment data is expected to stay relatively tame, the same can’t be said for the October jobs report, which is set to be released on November 1, just days before the presidential election. The strikes and hurricane-related effects “are not going to permanently alter the trajectory of the labor market; but September is probably our last clean reading on the labor market for a while,” Ryan Sweet, chief US economist at Oxford Economics, told CNN earlier this week. The August jobs report, which showed better-than-expected estimated 142,000 payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate, went a long way to quell those fears. It showed that the jobs market is in “stasis,” Wells Fargo economists wrote in a note issued Tuesday.
Persons: bode, Lydia Boussour, ” Ryan Sweet, Helene, , Erica Groshen, They’ve, , Andrew Challenger, Wells, Noah Yosif, ’ Sweet, Ejindu Ume, “ We’re, ” Ume Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Boeing, Gulf Coasts, Oxford Economics, of Labor Statistics, Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Employers, Challenger, Labor Department, Pantheon, Labor, BLS, , American Staffing Association, Oxford, Miami University in Locations: EY, Hurricane, East, Gulf, Miami University in Ohio
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