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Morning Bid: Jobs glow, crude pops, dollar lifts
  + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanWorld markets retained a warm afterglow from Friday's shining U.S. employment reading, with only minor gains in crude oil prices on Saudi Arabia's output cut clouding the picture. While Brent crude oil prices popped up about $1 per barrel on the Saudi output cut plans, the move was limited and year-on-year crude losses continue to clock some 35%. May U.S. service sector readings dominate the Monday diary, as does the likely start of Treasury rebuilding its depleted coffers with 3- and 6-month bill auctions. Soundings from China's service sector earlier helped partly to offset fears that dour factory readings questioned its post-COVID recovery. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Mike Dolan, Russell, Morgan, Mehmet Simsek, Christine Lagarde, Loretta Mester, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Apple, Brent, Treasury, Wall Street, Global, Central Bank, Cleveland Federal, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Saudi, Asia
Copper prices are at their lowest levels in almost a year, but it could provide investors with a buying opportunity. In another May report, Goldman Sachs gave copper prices 25% upside over the next 12 months, rising to $11,000 per ton. Copper prices suffered a nearly 6% decline in May — on pace for the worst month in almost a year since June 2022, according to CNBC analysis. But the market is currently in a "significant deficit" phase, said Goldman analysts. Filo Mining , another Canadian miner, had the highest buy rating at 91%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, It's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall Street, Citi, CNBC, CNBC Pro, Copper Miners, NGEx Minerals, Teck Resources, Filo Mining, United States Copper, Bloomberg Locations: China, U.S, Teck
Most Gulf markets gain after US debt deal, job data
  + stars: | 2023-06-04 | by ( Ateeq Shariff | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
June 4 (Reuters) - Most stock markets in the Gulf ended higher on Sunday after the U.S. Congress passed a debt ceiling deal that averted a government default in the world's biggest economy, while jobs data fuelled hopes for a possible pause in Fed rate hikes. Oil prices - a key catalyst for the Gulf's financial markets - rose more than 2% on Friday after the U.S. debt deal and jobs data. In Qatar, the index (.QSI) finished 1.8% higher, with almost all the stocks closing in positive territory including Qatar Islamic Bank (QISB.QA), which gained 2.1%. Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30) eased 0.4%, hit by a 0.7% fall in top lender Commercial International Bank (COMI.CA). Reporting by Ateeq Shariff in Bengaluru; Editing by David HolmesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Joe Biden, Ateeq, David Holmes Organizations: U.S, Congress, Saturday, Al Rajhi Bank, Riyad Bank, Gulf Cooperation, Saudi, Qatar Islamic Bank, Commercial International Bank, Saudi Arabia's Milling, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Saudi, Al Rajhi, Gulf, Qatar, Ateeq Shariff, Bengaluru
Toyota shares closed up 3.4%, outperforming the 1.2% gain in the Nikkei index (.N225). BOARD INDEPENDENCENew York City Comptroller Brad Lander said in a statement the Toyota board was not adequately independent. The New York comptroller's office oversees a pension system with $243 billion in assets under management. Those funds held 6.7 million shares in Toyota Group companies, including Toyota Boshoku (3116.T) and Toyota Tsusho (8015.T) as of end March. The New York pension system has also urged both Ford (F.N) and General Motors (GM.N) to move rapidly toward electrification and to disclose more about their lobbying on vehicle standards.
Persons: Akio Toyoda, Glass Lewis, Toyoda, CalPERS, Brad Lander, Daniel Leussink, David Dolan, Maki Shiraki, Kevin Krolicki, Jamie Freed, Christopher Cushing, Leslie Adler Organizations: Toyota Motor Corp, California Public Employees, New York, Toyota, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Nikkei, The, Toyota Group, Ford, General Motors, Lexus, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, New York City, York, Tokyo
Investors poured a record $8.5 billion of cash into tech funds last week, Bank of America found. The AI "baby bubble" has become the dominant theme for markets, strategist Michael Hartnett said. Tech funds brought in a record $8.5 billion in the week ending May 31, the bank found. Contrarian-minded investors should sell AI stocks and buy shares in Hong Kong-listed companies, which could benefit from China's efforts to revive its faltering economy, Hartnett said. Read more: Tech stocks are outperforming their rivals by the most since the dot-com bubble
Persons: Michael Hartnett, , Bill Ackman, Stanley, Hartnett, Read Organizations: Bank of America, Nasdaq, Service, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Federal Reserve Locations: ChatGPT, There's, Hong Kong
Right now though, the market has never been more top-heavy and the share of market constituents outperforming the broader index has never been lower. According to Ed Clissold at Ned Davis Research, the percentage of stocks outperforming the S&P 500 this year is just 24.5%. The percentage of S&P 500 stocks outperforming the index on a rolling three-month basis is just 20.3%, a record low. Clissold says that the S&P 500's one-year gain after periods of relative strength by a small group of large caps is an average 1.8%. These five stocks account for over a quarter of the S&P 500's $36.78 trillion market cap, and the top 10 account for a third of the total.
Persons: bode, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Meb Faber, Chuck Prince's, Cambria's Faber, Jamie McGeever, Andrea Ricci Organizations: NYSE, Barclays, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Ned Davis Research, Reuters, Google, Cambria Investment Management, Citigroup, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida
One of them, Glass Lewis, recommended shareholders vote against re-electing Toyoda, citing what it said was his responsibility for the lack of a sufficiently independent board. CalPERS, which declined to comment, is the largest U.S. public pension fund with some $450 billion in assets under management. The New York City pension funds held 6.7 million shares in Toyota Group companies, including Toyota Boshoku (3116.T) and Toyota Tsusho (8015.T) as of end March. BOARD INDEPENDENCENew York City Comptroller Brad Lander said the Toyota board was not adequately independent, in a statement explaining the vote by the funds it oversees. The New York pension system has also urged both Ford (F.N) and General Motors (GM.N) to move rapidly toward electrification and to disclose more about their lobbying on vehicle standards.
Persons: Akio Toyoda, Glass Lewis, Toyoda, CalPERS, Brad Lander, Daniel Leussink, David Dolan, Maki Shiraki, Kevin Krolicki, Jamie Freed, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Toyota Motor Corp, California Public Employees, New York, Toyota, Tokyo Stock Exchange, The, New, Toyota Group, Nikkei, Ford, General Motors, Lexus, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, New York City, York, Tokyo
"The PMI surveys suggest that China's economic recovery was still ongoing in May, albeit at a slower pace. China's Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI rose to 50.9 in May from 49.5 in April, above the 50-point index mark that separates growth from contraction. Vietnam, Malaysia and Taiwan also saw factory activity shrink in May, while that of the Philippines expanded, the surveys showed. Asia's economy is heavily reliant on the strength of China's recovery, which has been uneven with services spending outperforming activity in export-oriented sectors. In forecasts released in May, the International Monetary Fund said it expects Asia's economy to expand 4.6% this year after a 3.8% gain in 2022, contributing around 70% of global growth.
Persons: Julian Evans, Pritchard, Wang Zhe, Leika Kihara, Sam Holmes Organizations: PMI, Capital Economics, P Global, Caixin Insight, Jibun, International Monetary Fund, Thomson Locations: South Korea, Vietnam, Taiwan, TOKYO, China, Japan, Asia, South, Malaysia, Philippines
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Cramer highlights the stock market's 'Magnificent Seven' outperforming stocks'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer looks back at the Dow Jones best performers through May 2023.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow Jones Organizations: Dow
The experts, including Jim Cramer , talked about the software company after it reported strong earnings for the first quarter. Both revenue and earnings surpassed expectations but cost concerns and dwindling demand for consulting deals caused concern for investors. Although the company raised its earnings forecast for 2024, the stock fell in after-hours trading Wednesday. Ultimately, shares closed Thursday's session 4.7% lower. Salesforce shares had been up 67% in 2023, outperforming the S & P 500.
Persons: Jim Cramer Organizations: Trust
Tech stocks haven't outperformed their rivals this much since the dot-com bubble, according to one measure. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite beat the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 9.3 percentage points in May. That’s the biggest gap between the two indices since October 2001, according to Dow Jones data. That's the biggest gap between the two stock-market gauges since October 2021, according to Dow Jones data that was cited by MarketWatch. Nvidia has emerged as a clear winner from the AI boom, racking up gains of nearly 160% year-to-date, with other mega-cap tech stocks like Meta Platforms and Tesla also surging in 2023.
Persons: Dow Jones, , Read Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Service, Tech, MarketWatch, Nvidia, Tesla
Summary Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fallsNon-manufacturing PMI falls, as services slowPMIs show economic recovery losing steamMarkets skid on PMI weaknessBEIJING, May 31 (Reuters) - China's factory activity shrank faster than expected in May on weakening demand, heaping pressure on policymakers to shore up a patchy economic recovery and knocking Asian financial markets lower. "The PMI data reveal that China may heading to a K-shaped recovery," said Bruce Pang, chief economist at Jones Lang LaSalle. "The sluggish domestic demand could weigh on China's sustainable growth, if there are no efficient and effective policy moves to engineer a broad-based recovery," said Pang. The PMI subindexes for May showed factory output swung to contraction from an expansion while new orders, including new exports, fell for the second month. Last month, imports contracted sharply, factory gate prices fell, property investment slumped, industrial profits plunged and factory output and retail sales both missed forecasts.
Persons: Bruce Pang, Jones Lang LaSalle, Pang, Jones Lang LaSalle's Pang, Li Qiang, Zhiwei Zhang, Liangping Gao, Ryan Woo, Sam Holmes Organizations: PMI, National Bureau of Statistics, . Service, New, Jones, Labor, Nomura, Barclays, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, Asia, New Zealand, China, Japan
American Express is one of Wells Fargo's top picks for a tougher recession scenario. The firm said the payment card company has an excellent risk-reward valuation — even in the case of revenue growth being cut in half. "Their ability to flex peak investment expense is a powerful lever," Wells Fargo said in a Wednesday client note. "We view AXP shares as quite defensive, and it's our Top Pick. We believe their earnings would hold up better than many expect should we head into a tougher economic environment than the mild recession we assume.
Persons: Wells Fargo's, Wells Fargo, Donald Fandetti, Fandetti, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Locations: Wells
Collectively, the five companies have raised their market cap by about $2.9 trillion in 2023 — contributing 96% of the almost $3 trillion gains in the S&P 500's market value this year, Fortune reported on Wednesday. Read further to know the five bigwigs' market capitalization — or marcap — gains this year, in descending order:1. Apple: $718 billion in marcap gainsThe world's largest company by market cap, Apple shares ended 2022 at $129.93 apiece. On Tuesday, the chipmaker's market cap briefly hit the coveted $1 trillion mark for the first time. This takes Amazon's market cap to $1.25 trillion — up from $857 billion at the end of 2022.
Persons: Fortune, Insider's Zahra Tayeb, Mohamed El, Read, Tim Cook, Cook, CNBC's Steve Kovach, Bing, Jensen Huang, Huang, Sundar Pichai, Pichai, Andy Jassy Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Allianz, Big Tech, CNBC, Wall, OpenAI, Bloomberg, Amazon Locations: California, Nvidia's
Here's how the company did:Earnings: $1.69 per share, adjusted, vs. $1.61 per share as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv. $1.69 per share, adjusted, vs. $1.61 per share as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv had expected $1.70 in adjusted earnings per share and $8.49 billion in revenue. It's now calling for $7.41 to $7.43 in adjusted earnings per share on $34.5 billion to $34.7 billion in revenue. During the quarter, Salesforce announced Einstein GPT generative artificial intelligence technology designed to help salespeople, marketers and customer-service agents do their jobs more efficiently.
Persons: Marc Benioff, Salesforce, Refinitiv, Salesforce's, Brian Millham, Millham, Amy Weaver, ChatGPT, Lidiane Jones Organizations: Jazz, Lincoln Center, StreetAccount, Elliott Investment Management Locations: New York, Refinitiv, Salesforce
The easiest trade of the year is fizzling, and the lost momentum is keeping investors' money out. "I will not put any more money into stocks until all my losses are recovered," he said. Interviews with a dozen more small investors showed the sentiment to be reasonably widespread. Brokerage account creation, while volatile, likewise dropped off in April after promising momentum in February and March, China Securities Depository and Clearing data showed. "It is as if stocks are losing faith in the China recovery story," said Grow Investment Group chief economist Hong Hao.
The easiest trade of the year is fizzling, and the lost momentum is keeping investors' money out. Interviews with a dozen more small investors showed the sentiment to be reasonably widespread. Brokerage account creation, while volatile, likewise dropped off in April after promising momentum in February and March, China Securities Depository and Clearing data showed. "It is as if stocks are losing faith in the China recovery story," said Grow Investment Group chief economist Hong Hao. China's April industrial output and retail sales growth undershot forecasts as the recovery turned wobbly.
Persons: Eric Yu, Yi Huiman, Hong Hao, Wang Zaizheng, Chi Lo, Hayden Briscoe, Meng, Jason Xue, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: China Securities Regulatory, JPMorgan, China Securities Depository, Mutual, Grow Investment Group, Management, UBS Asset Management, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, China's, Shanghai, China, United States, Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific, Singapore
Amid a chaotic few months in the US economy, the stock market has remained relatively stable. Quant funds, which use computer models to trade, are helping calm the markets, The Wall Street Journal reported. Yet still, the stock market has remained somewhat calm. That stability is at least in part thanks to quant funds, according to The Wall Street Journal. Quant funds, or quantitative hedge funds, are investment funds that use computer-created algorithms, mathematical models, and artificial intelligence to make stock predictions.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy Mastercard's stock has outperformed Visa's over the past 5 yearsMastercard is one of the world's most recognizable brands. It's the second largest card network in the U.S., accounting for more than a quarter of all purchase volume using a payment card. As the world transitions to a more cashless society, Mastercard's value has continued to soar. Shares have seen nearly a 100% gain over the past five years, even outperforming No. So exactly how is Mastercard setting itself apart from its competitors?
Organizations: Mastercard Locations: U.S
Yet despite all odds, 61% of those surveyed said they plan to travel this summer, up from the 49% who said the same in summer 2021. Some 56% of adults are more likely to stay in a hotel this summer than they were in 2022, according to the AHLA/Morning Consult survey. Booking Holdings is also an analyst favorite, with an average rating of overweight and 10% upside to the average price target, per FactSet. While prices are still high, the latest consumer price index for April showed the airline fares index fell 2.6% month over month, after rising in February and March. Airlines are essentially sold out for summer travel, according to TD Cowen analyst Helane Becker.
Persons: Matt Kramer, They're, You've, Sylvia Jablonski, Kramer, Freed, Bernstein, David Vernon, Price, Robin Farley, Farley, James Hardiman, Hardiman, Josh Weinstein's, RevPar, Tony Capuano, Chris Nassetta, Biden, Hilton, they've, Airbnb, Brian Chesky, it's, Evercore, Mark Mahaney, amortization, Mahaney, Cowen, Helane Becker, Becker, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Ashley Capoot Organizations: KPMG, KPMG Consumer, Survey, Cruise ETF, Royal, Holdings, Marriott, United Airlines, Morning, American, & Lodging Association, Cruises, UBS, Citi, CCL, CNBC, Hilton Worldwide, U.S . Travel Association, State Department, Booking Holdings, Booking, Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Copa Holdings, Panamanian, Copa Airlines Locations: United States, Royal Caribbean, United, Caribbean, CocoCay, Thursday's, China, North America, Asia, Europe
Some corners of the market may have been overbought this year, but there are still long-term opportunities for investors, according to financial research firm Redburn. Redburn analysts have chosen 12 companies where changes in the competitive or financial environment or management action could realise outsize value for shareholders," Redburn wrote in a May 23 report. Vestas Redburn said it believes Danish wind turbine manufacturer Vestas is set for a "return to double-digit margins." "While there are inflationary pressures in some areas, supply-chain cost and performance are clearly improving and raw material costs are well below recent peaks," the firm wrote. Sabre Redburn sees a "clear path" for shares of Sabre , a travel tech company, to "more than double."
Persons: Redburn, Vestas Redburn, Vestas, Bill Anderson, , Bayer, Sabre Redburn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Amazon Web, Bayer, Sabre Locations: United States, Europe, China
These are the best ETFs to ride the A.I. trend
  + stars: | 2023-05-25 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF (ARKQ) , on the other hand, had Nvidia as its ninth-largest position, with its stake in Tesla four-times larger as of Wednesday's close. There will likely be more AI ETFs hitting the market in coming months to meet the trend. Some small new funds include the Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF (CHAT) , which launched last week, and the VanEck Robotics ETF (IBOT) , which launched in April. Other places to look Another tactic for investors could be to look for actively managed growth funds, which will be looking for ways to play the AI boom. To bet on AI without doubling down on megacap tech, investors could look for other thematic plays that could benefit from the new technology.
Persons: Jay Jacobs Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Global, Robotics, Intelligence, Autonomous Technology & Robotics, Technology, VanEck Robotics, Blackrock, CNBC Locations: U.S
Philip Ripman manages the $1 billion Storebrand Global Solutions fund, with a focus on sustainability. As well as green energy stocks, Ripman also invests in chipmakers, cybersecurity stocks, pharmaceuticals and more. Ripman shared three tips for investing sustainably on CNBC Pro Talks , including how to play the renewables theme. Renewables are 'cheaper' right now Ripman said that renewable energy stocks look relatively cheap and offer "a lot of opportunity" right now. Consider what's needed in the future The four themes in Ripman's fund — smart cities, circular economy, equal opportunities, and renewable energy — are what he believes will be "essential in years to come."
Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.66%, while Japan's Nikkei (.N225) continued its ascent, rising to its highest since August 1990, during the country's so-called bubble era. Futures indicated European stocks were set to open higher, with Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.44%, German DAX futures up 0.41% and FTSE futures up 0.23%. China's blue-chip CSI300 Index (.CSI300) rose 0.20%, while the Shanghai Composite Index (.SSEC) was up 0.13%, having reversed from earlier losses. Hawkish rhetoric from Fed speakers continued with Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard saying inflation was not cooling fast enough to allow the Fed to pause its interest-rate hike campaign. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar rose 0.029% and was wedged near a two-month high.
A Franklin Templeton fund is outperforming 96% of peers with big bets on artificial intelligence. But the fund is avoiding other tech giants like Apple, Alphabet, Meta and Netflix. According to Bloomberg, Franklin Templeton's $158 million FTGF Martin Currie Global Long-Term Unconstrained Fund has outperformed 96% of peers this year. "But you have to look at it through different segments rather than invest across Big Tech." In fact, the fund is avoiding traditional tech heavyweights such as Apple, Alphabet, Meta, and Netflix.
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