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A US recession is coming, they say, in the second half of 2023. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon warned on Thursday of great economic danger lurking just over the horizon. Things weren’t great last year: Inflation hit a 40-year peak, gas prices were elevated, consumer sentiment plunged and markets fell by 20%. “This has been the most predicted potential recession in memory,” said Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Tom Barkin way back in January. Historically, recession typically coincides with that peak, said Barry Gilbert, asset allocation strategist for LPL Financial.
Investment giant BlackRock has been planning for CEO Larry Fink's succession for years. Leadership has discussed BlackRock cofounder Susan Wagner as someone who could succeed Fink if the board does not have a clear candidate. For years, BlackRock has been planning for Chief Executive Larry Fink's succession, a torch-passing the industry has long speculated over. BlackRock has become shorthand for the intense backlash from primarily Republican lawmakers over sustainable investment strategies that Fink has championed as CEO. Goldstein, 49, is a BlackRock lifer and has been chief operating officer for nearly a decade.
AMERICAS Debt cap tick-tock leaves eerie calm
  + stars: | 2023-05-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The issue dominated much of the G7 finance chiefs meeting in Japan. Dimon claimed any technical default could cause financial panic and JPMorgan had convened a 'war room' internally to deal with the issue. "It's very unfortunate, it's time-consuming, hopefully it won't happen, but it affects contracts, collateral, clearing houses, clients," Dimon said. Chinese stocks underperformed, with the G7 meeting mulling restrictions on investment to the world's second-biggest economy. Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill speaksReuters GraphicsJobless claimsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsBy Mike Dolan, editing by Christina Fincher, <a href="mailto:mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com" target="_blank">mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com</a>.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Thursday that markets will be gripped by panic as the U.S. approaches a possible default on its sovereign debt. An actual default would be "potentially catastrophic" for the country, Dimon told Bloomberg in a televised interview. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has said the idea that the country could default should be "unthinkable" and would lead to economic disaster. "If it gets to that panic point, people have to react, we've seen that before," Dimon said. But "it's a really bad idea, because panic becomes something that is not good," he added.
"Panic isn't necessarily a rational thing," the website quoted Dimon as saying. And (when) you see people panic -- that's '08, '09 again, and that's really what you want to avoid." "There's a higher chance of a mistake here because of the politics of the situation" with damaging economic consequences, Dimon said. "I hope, one day, we get rid of it," he said, restating a call to scrap the debt limit permanently. Reporting by Tatiana Bautzer; Editing by Lananh Nguyen; Editing by Sandra MalerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
ThredUp , the clothing-consignment company, announced Tuesday that it's dual listing its stock on the Long Term Stock Exchange, or LTSE, a national securities exchange designed to promote sustainable principles and a long-term focus among investors and businesses. Reinhart says he first read about the market a few years ago and started talks to list on the exchange over the past two years. The new stock exchange wants to "reverse the epidemic of short-term thinking," Ries told CNBC. There are more than a dozen stock exchanges in the U.S., but the majority of all trading occurs on the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq Stock Market, making it difficult for alternatives to gain traction. One other company, the communication platform Twilio , did list on LTSE but it delisted in 2022, citing cost concerns.
The Week in Business: The 10th Straight Rate Increase
  + stars: | 2023-05-07 | by ( Marie Solis | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +4 min
It was the third consecutive increase of that size and the 10th straight rate increase since last March. This encroaching deadline presents a tricky political problem for Mr. Biden. Republicans are trying to extract concessions from Mr. Biden that would significantly undermine his agenda. He could negotiate spending cuts but divorce those discussions from the debt limit. There is one other possible option: a constitutional challenge to the debt limit, a long-shot plan that would rely on a clause in the 14th Amendment.
Opinion: Vladimir Putin’s anxious time
  + stars: | 2023-05-07 | by ( Richard Galant | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +15 min
We’re looking back at the strongest, smartest opinion takes of the week from CNN and other outlets. He imagines a boy sitting “upon the high and giddy mast” of a ship tossed by wind and waves. “Uneasy lies the head that wears a crown,” concludes the king in Shakespeare’s play. Russia said that President Vladimir Putin was the intended target of a foiled Ukrainian drone attack on the Kremlin, an allegation Ukraine denied. The unfortunate monarch who was the last to own the original St. Edward’s Crown, King Charles I, was convicted of treason and beheaded on January 30, 1649.
Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase, is planning his first visit to mainland China in four years as the American bank prepares to host three conferences in Shanghai at the end of May. The visit is Dimon's first to mainland China since the pandemic gathered pace in 2020 and closed the world's second-largest economy for almost three years as it enforced some of the world's most stringent restrictions. He will also visit Hong Kong in early June after the Shanghai trip, two of the sources added. Dimon visited the Asian financial hub of Hong Kong to meet the bank's staff and clients in November 2021. A JPMorgan spokesperson in Hong Kong declined to comment on Dimon's visit to mainland China and Hong Kong.
Nearly half of US adults are worried about the safety of their money in banks, per a Gallup survey. The survey found that 48% of adults were concerned about their money being in banks. Of those, 19% said they were "very" worried and 29% said they were "moderately" concerned about their funds. The majority of Republicans surveyed — 55% — said they were at minimum moderately worried about the safety of their funds. More than half of those without a college degree said they were very or moderately concerned but only 36% of those with a college degree said they were worried.
Regional bank stocks were poised to bounce back on Friday, but the beaten down sector was still on track for steep losses for the week after the failure of First Republic. PacWest entered down more than 68% for the week and closed at just $3.17 per share on Thursday. Analysts at JPMorgan Chase upgraded Western Alliance, Zions and Comerica to overweight on Friday, saying the bank stocks "appear substantially mispriced to us." Many on Wall Street are looking to Washington for regulatory changes to calm the banking system, such as potentially expanding deposit insurance rules. Some have raised the possibility of temporarily banning short-selling on bank stocks.
The visit is Dimon's first to mainland China since the pandemic gathered pace in 2020 and closed the world's second-largest economy for almost three years as it enforced some of the world's most stringent restrictions. He will also visit Hong Kong in early June after the Shanghai trip, two of the sources added. Dimon visited the Asian financial hub of Hong Kong to meet the bank's staff and clients in November 2021. A JPMorgan spokesperson in Hong Kong declined to comment on Dimon's visit to mainland China and Hong Kong. Reporting by Julie Zhu in Hong Kong, Scott Murdoch in Sydney and Nupur Anand in New York; Editing by Sumeet Chatterjee and Clarence FernandezOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
New York CNN —Western Alliance Bank denied reports that it’s exploring a sale or has hired an advisor to explore strategic options. Shares of the regional bank tumbled 36% Thursday, slightly paring back its losses after plunging over 50% at one point on reports that the company is the regional bank latest to explore a potential sale. The Financial Times, citing two anonymous sources, reported Thursday that the Arizona-based bank is exploring strategic options. “This story is absolutely false, there is no truth to this,” a Western Alliance spokesperson told CNN in an email. Western Alliance is not exploring a sale, nor has it hired an advisor to explore strategic option.
The selloff in regional banks may have created a buying opportunity for certain investors in some of the safer, large-cap names, UBS said in a note Thursday. PacWest is the latest regional bank to lead the sector lower following the news late Wednesday that it is weighing its options , including a possible sale. The rout began in March with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and subsequent deposit outflows in regional banks. However, regional banks were under pressure again Thursday. The SPDR S & P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) dropped more than 8%.
A federal judge said that Google co-founder Larry Page can be served with legal papers by the government of the U.S. Virgin Islands for its civil lawsuit against JPMorgan Chase related to sex trafficking by the bank's long-time customer Jeffrey Epstein. A docket entry on Thursday did not disclose the nature of the legal papers the USVI wants to serve Page in the suit, which is pending in U.S. District Court in Manhattan. Page was CEO of Google's parent Alphabet from 2015 through 2019, after previously serving as Google's chief executive officer. The USVI and a woman who says she was sexually abused by Epstein are separately suing JPMorgan, claiming the bank was complicit in his sex trafficking of multiple women. JPMorgan, whose CEO Jamie Dimon is due to be deposed in the case in late May, denies wrongdoing.
BNP only partly earns title of Europe’s JPMorgan
  + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, May 3 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Bank investors and analysts often like to say that BNP Paribas (BNPP.PA) is the closest Europe has to a JPMorgan (JPM.N), the goliath of U.S. banking that just bought First Republic Bank (FRC.N). Compare that with Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE), whose deposits fell by 4.7% over the same period. JPMorgan will earn a 19% return on tangible equity this year, using Visible Alpha consensus data, which is good even for a U.S. bank. There’s no shame in losing to a bigger stateside rival on returns, but BNP also risks falling behind regional peers. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPM CEO Dimon to be deposed in Jeffrey Epstein lawsuit on May 26 and 27CNBC's Eamon Javers joins 'Halftime Report' to report on JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon being deposed in the Jeffrey Epstein case later this month.
This is the banking crisis that doesn't end
  + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
This is the banking crisis that doesn't end. So, about that banking crisis being over. The ink is barely dry on JPMorgan's agreement with regulators and it seems more regional banks are feeling the pain. Customers of regional banks are starting to ask questions about how safe their local lender is, the Financial Times reports. Here's more on how regional banks are still getting slammed despite JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon calling an end to the bank crisis.
If the Fed opts to pause, Treasury yields are expected to decline. Stocks that could gain on falling interest rates Here are the top stocks that are poised to move higher if the Fed signals it will pause rate increases. The gold miner benefits from a rise in gold prices, and in general, gold tends to rise when interest rates fall. Meanwhile, genetics company Illumina should gain if interest rates fall, according to its correlation to the SHY ETF. Stocks poised to gain on rate increases However, if the Fed suggests rate hikes will continue, short-term Treasury yields will likely go up, benefiting these stocks.
Regional bank stocks have fallen sharply this week after the failure and sale of First Republic, with the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) tumbling 8.9% in just two days, on Monday and Tuesday. KRE 5D mountain Regional bank stocks have fallen after First Republic's failure. But even if the immediate concerns have been put to rest, now the falling bank stocks could create a new round of issues, according to Evercore ISI. ... regional banks' troubles are earnings issues for most, rather than liquidity issues," Pancari said. He added that "select regionals appear oversold," highlighting Fifth Third Bancorp as one of Evercore ISI's favorite mid-sized banks.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon to be deposed in civil case over the bank's ties to Jeffrey EpsteinInvestigative Journalist Vicky Ward joins 'Last Call' to discuss her interviews with disgraced billionaire Jeffrey Epstein as we learn JPMorgan Chase's CEO Jamie Dimon will be deposed in a civil lawsuit in connection to the bank's ties to Jeffrey Epstein.
And as the bank swells in size, so does the potential risk it poses to the nation’s financial system. Some experts say they’re concerned that JPMorgan’s continued intervention during times of crisis has broader implications for the banking sector, the US financial system and its regulation. And with every failed bank that JPMorgan snaps up, the conundrum becomes clearer: JPMorgan is essentially the biggest risk to the financial system — and every time it expands to uphold the sector’s stability, so does its risk to the financial system. It has “that ability once again, to signal to the world that JPMorgan is a fortress, JPMorgan is the ultimate. But recent failures and the missteps that led to them indicate that deep flaws underline the financial system.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon will be deposed in late May over two days for civil lawsuits accusing the giant bank of benefitting from sex trafficking by the late money manager Jeffrey Epstein, a source told CNBC's Eamon Javers on Wednesday. The government of the U.S. Virgin Islands and one of Epstein's accusers are suing JPMorgan in U.S. District Court in Manhattan. The bank has said Dimon did not have knowledge about Epstein that was relevant to the lawsuit. JPMorgan argues that Staley, not the bank, is legally responsible for any civil liability related to its dealings with Epstein. Epstein killed himself in a Manhattan jail cell in 2019, a month after being arrested on federal child sex trafficking charges.
New York CNN —JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon is scheduled be deposed May 26 and 27 in two civil cases related to the bank’s former client, disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein, according to a source familiar with the cases. A complaint filed last month in New York alleged that JPMorgan Chase executives were aware of numerous sex abuse and trafficking allegations against Epstein several years before the financial institution cut ties. The complaint was part of a lawsuit against the bank filed by the attorney general for the US Virgin Islands (USVI). It added an additional count alleging that JPMorgan obstructed federal law enforcement and prosecuting agencies that were pursuing Epstein. CNN has reached out to JP Morgan for comment.
Leah Millis | ReutersAfter the rescue of First Republic Bank by JPMorgan Chase over the weekend, leading economists predict a prolonged period of higher interest rates will expose further frailties in the banking sector, potentially compromising the capacity of central banks to rein in inflation. Almost 80% of chief economists surveyed said central banks face "a trade-off between managing inflation and maintaining financial sector stability," while a similar proportion expects central banks to struggle to reach their inflation targets. Yet several leading economists told a panel at the World Economic Forum Growth Summit in Geneva on Tuesday that higher inflation and greater financial instability are here to stay. That means inflation, the impulse of inflation will be higher." She added that it "defies logic" that as the industry tries to pivot rapidly to a higher interest rate environment, there won't be further casualties beyond SVB, Signature, Credit Suisse and First Republic.
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