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Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week’s half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite. In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed’s twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment. Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week’s meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Organizations: Federal Locations: Kentucky
Half of registered voters plan to vote early this fall, new figures from the September NBC News poll show, with Democrats continuing to run up the score among early voters and Republicans getting stronger backing from those who plan to vote in person on Election Day. It's a smaller lead among a slightly smaller share of the electorate than Harris has over those early voters. The massive political difference of early and Election Day voters is the latest evidence of a dramatic and enduring shift in the Trump years. And with that jump came a massive partisan difference — future President Joe Biden led among early voters by 26 points in the survey, while Trump led with Election Day voters by 29 points. But while the share of voters planning to vote early has dropped between the end of 2020 and now, the major partisan split remains.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, Bill McInturff, Republican pollster, Jeff Horwitt, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden Organizations: NBC, Republicans, Republican, Hart Research Associates, Trump, Wall, Election
The pharmaceutical executive who was once New York City’s Covid czar was fired Monday, days after he admitted participating in “private gatherings” that were prohibited during the height of the pandemic, a federal filing shows. Varma was the company’s executive vice president and chief medical officer, the filing says. Varma acknowledged the prohibited gatherings after a conservative podcaster posted video last week of what appeared to be hidden camera recordings that showed Varma describing them. Varma's spokesman previously said that he was a part-time City Hall consultant at the time and that all participants were vaccinated. “I served in City Hall between April 2020 — May 2021,” Varma said in the statement.
Persons: New York City’s, Jay Varma, Varma, Bill de Blasio’s, Irving, podcaster, , , ” Varma Organizations: SIGA Technologies, Securities and Exchange Commission, Brooklyn Nets, Covid Locations: New York, New York City, City Hall
Americans are fretting over the job market
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Washington CNN —America’s slowing job market is taking a toll on people’s moods. The Conference Board’s latest consumer survey showed that Americans became much more pessimistic about the US economy’s current health and the future of the job market. “September’s decline was the largest since August 2021 and all five components of the Index deteriorated.”The US job market is in decent shape, but it is clearly running at a much slower pace these days than it has in recent years. Peterson said the weaker-than-expected survey results “reflected consumers’ concerns about the labor market and reactions to fewer hours, slower payroll increases, fewer job openings — even if the labor market remains quite healthy, with low unemployment, few layoffs and elevated wages.”The job market’s fate is unclear. Employers might be holding back on hiring for two good reasons: Uncertainty over the upcoming US presidential election and the fate of interest rates, CNN previously reported.
Persons: , Dana Peterson, mightily, Peterson, Jerome Powell, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Washington CNN, Conference Board, Employers, Federal Reserve, CNN
September consumer confidence falls the most in three years
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The board's Consumer Confidence Index slid to 98.7, down from 105.6 in August, the biggest one-month decline since August 2021. By contrast, the index had a reading of 132.6 in February 2020, a month before the Covid pandemic hit. "Consumers' assessments of current business conditions turned negative while views of the current labor market situation softened further. Consumers were also more pessimistic about future labor market conditions and less positive about future business conditions and future income," said Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board. The last time the confidence index dropped more came as inflation was just beginning a climb to what ultimately was the highest level in more than 40 years.
Persons: Dow, Dana Peterson, Stocks, Peterson Organizations: Conference Board, Treasury, Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week's half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite. In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed's twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment. Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week's meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman Organizations: Federal Locations: Kentucky
Over 400 economists and ex-officials endorse Kamala Harris
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
New York CNN —More than 400 economists and former high-ranking US policymakers are endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris and her vision for the American economy, according to a document announcing the endorsement seen by CNN. “The choice in this election is clear: between failed trickle-down economic policies that benefit the few and economic policies that provide opportunity for all,” the endorsement document reads. Harris plans to roll out new policies on what she calls the “opportunity economy” during a speech in Pennsylvania, another key battleground state, on Wednesday. Several notable economists threw their weight behind Harris, including University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers and Claudia Goldin, who won the Nobel Prize last year for tracking women’s labor participation and the evolving wage gap. The endorsement argued that Harris has a “proven track record of economic leadership,” crediting her with efforts as vice president to lower costs, cut taxes and raise wages.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump’s, Brian Deese, Obama, Jason Furman, Bill Daley, Penny Pritzker, Clinton, Robert Reich, Alan Blinder, Donald Trump, , Trump, Sean O’Keefe, George W, Justin Wolfers, Claudia Goldin, Marty Walsh, Deval Patrick, Larry Summers, Robert Rubin, Mark Cuban, James Murdoch, he’s, Bill Ackman, Peter Thiel, Tesla, Elon Musk, ” Harris, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Sonnenfeld Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, Federal Reserve, Management, NASA, University of Michigan, House, Labor, Massachusetts Gov, Democratic, JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, Wall Street, Trump, Yale, That’s Locations: New York, Georgia, Pennsylvania, United States, America, Dimon
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we've, Jensen Huang, Huang, Oppenheimer, , We've, Cintas, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, China, Tech, Nvidia, Devices, Broadcom, Jim Cramer's Charitable
In another twist of his extreme rhetoric, Trump also seems to be seeking scapegoats should he lose the election in just over 40 days. Last week, at an event on antisemitism, the former president warned that “the Jewish people” would be partly to blame if he loses in November. As president, I have to be your protector.”Former President Donald Trump holds a fighting antisemitism event at Trump National Golf Club Bedminster on August 15, 2024, in Bedminster, New Jersey. On Monday, the former president warned that if Congress tried to block him from imposing new tariffs on China, he’d just ignore lawmakers. Like Trump, Harris argues that US Steel should remain American owned in opposing a sale to Nippon Steel — Japan’s biggest steelmaker.
Persons: Donald Trump, , ” Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, , Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, he’s, Biden, Netanyahu, , Adam Gray, We’re, Viktor Orbán, ” mused Trump, Republican Party —, Xi Jinping, Xi, he’d, John Deere, “ I’m, haven’t, Joe Biden, Win McNamee Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Fox News Town, America, Trump National Golf Club Bedminster, Getty, Farmers, Capitol, Republican, Republican National Convention, Republican Party, Monday, Investments, Trump, The New York Times, Siena College, Steel, Nippon Steel Locations: Pennsylvania, China, Israel, Bedminster , New Jersey, Harris, America, Hungarian, Beijing, Mexico, United States, Illinois, Ramos, Sprankle's, Kittanning , Pennsylvania, Arizona , North Carolina, Georgia
My husband, Nick, and I thought it was cute when our first daughter was born on August 25, 2015, on our dog, Koda's fourth birthday. The day before we had our latest baby, Valentina, my eldest Sophia, 9, wished upon a star that she would arrive healthy on her birthday. Our daughters feel unique and specialAnother thing that people say to us is, "Oh, the poor kids, having to share a birthday." Meanwhile, Nick contacted the Guinness Book of World Records from the hospital on the day that Valentina, now one month old, was born. Do you have an interesting story about your family to share with Business Insider?
Persons: , Kristin Lammert, Nick, Koda's, Valentina, Sophia, I'd, we'd, Guilana, Mia, Covid, hyperemesis, Guiliana —, Mia —, they'd, We're Organizations: Service, Business, Guinness, World Records Locations: South Carolina
Go to newsletter preferencesSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewA doctor's note may be the best way for a remote employee to avoid their company's return-to-office mandate. "They must be accommodated if they have a disability that requires accommodation, but it's not a choice as to which accommodation," she said. Related storiesReasonable accommodations under the ADA can include modifying a work schedule or workplace setting, as well as moving to remote work. "Let's be clear, why is remote work addressing that disability?"
Persons: , Ron Zambrano, Zambrano, Domenique Camacho Moran, Farrell Fritz, Camacho Moran, it's, Zacchery Belval, Belval Organizations: Service, Trial, Business, National Labor Relations Board, Washington, Electric, BI Locations: California, New York, Connecticut
An acceleration of US economic growth is a major risk for investors, says economist Steven Blitz. Blitz warns a "no landing" scenario could lead to inflation rebound and Fed rate hikes. The fed funds rate should be around 4% due to economic resilience, Blitz advises. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAn acceleration of economic growth in the US might be the stock market's worst-case scenario, according to GlobalData TS Lombard chief economist Steven Blitz.
Persons: Steven Blitz, , Blitz Organizations: Service, GlobalData, Federal Reserve
Read previewThis as-told-to essay is based on a transcribed conversation with Christin Baumgarten, 39, about living in Bali with her husband and two kids. I moved to Bali from Berlin in April 2014. I moved to Bali when it was becoming known as an emerging startup hubI initially just planned to stay in Bali for the length of the three-month internship. Related storiesI was lonely at first, but now I have a husband and 2 kids hereInitially, I found Bali a bit lonely. Another is that following the Ukraine war, lots of people from Russia and Ukraine have moved to Bali.
Persons: , Christin Baumgarten, I'd, I've, we've, I'm Organizations: Service, Business, Tourism Locations: Bali, Berlin, Silicon Valley, Indonesian, Sumatra, Germany, Bali ., Ukraine, Russia, Renon
The Chinese central bank's largest stimulus measures since Covid should provide the world's second-largest economy with a much-needed boost, which should help our portfolio companies doing business there. The Club has a broad range of companies with significant sales exposure to China, and some with none. Here's a look at the percentages in our 32 stock portfolio, as well as recent earnings call commentary, about the business climate and the potential in China. On the industrial side, DuPont has the most China exposure because of its electronics and water businesses. Eaton and Dover don't have nearly as much China exposure.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, Colette Kress, Tim Cook, Brian Niccol, Gamble, Andre Schulten, Peter Arduini, Lori Koch, Stanley Black, , Jeff Marks, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Peng Organizations: People's Bank of China, Wall, Commodities, Republican, House, Democratic, Trump, Broadcom, Nvidia, AMD, Nvidia's, Apple, Starbucks, Investors, Huawei, Jefferies, Consumer, Procter, Barclays, GE Healthcare, GE, DuPont, Banking, Coterra Energy, Investing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Asia, China, America, U.S, Eaton, Dover, People's Republic of China
Read previewBillionaire investor Mark Cuban on Tuesday teed off on Donald Trump's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% and the former president's broader economic agenda. is the 10% price cap on credit card interest rates," Cuban said during a press call hosted by Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign. AdvertisementDuring a rally last week in New York, Trump floated the idea of temporarily capping credit card interest rates at "around 10%." AdvertisementExperts have said credit card companies would likely respond to an interest cap by making it harder for some people to access credit. The interest rates Americans pay on that debt are also higher now than they were before the COVID-19 pandemic.
Persons: , Mark Cuban, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Harris, I've, it's, Donald Trump, Trump, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio, Cortez, Donald, Steven Cheung, Josh Hawley, Messrs, Sanders, Matt Schulz, Karoline Leavitt Organizations: Service, Business, Cuban, Rep, Trump, Republican, CNN, Financial, New York Federal Reserve Locations: Savannah , Georgia, New York, Alexandria, Cortez of New York, Cuban, Josh Hawley of Missouri
The funds target distributions equal to six times the dividend payouts on the Nasdaq-100 Index and four times the S & P 500 dividend, respectively. The idea behind the Pacer funds is that the funds will capture more of that upside during market rallies, according to Sean O'Hara, president at Pacer ETF Distributors. The QDPL's website currently shows a distribution yield of 5.79%, or more than four-times the roughly 1.3% dividend yield on the S & P 500, according to YCharts.com. The dividend futures could also see bigger gains if more companies in the index decide to start paying dividends. To be sure, the dividend futures contracts could also decrease in value during times of economic stress.
Persons: Sean O'Hara, O'Hara, QDPL, Dow, Apple Organizations: Nasdaq, , ETF Distributors, Schwab, Equity, Dow Jones, CME Group, Pacer, SEC, Microsoft
KIRYAT BIALIK, Israel — Those who remain in the northern city of Kiryat Bialik are preparing for the worst-case scenario: a full-blown war between Israel and the Hezbollah militant group just across the country’s northern border with Lebanon. Surveying the damage in Kiryat Bialik on Monday, Ilan Itach was counting his blessings that his family and home for more than 30 years had survived the attack unharmed. “The entire family is all right, but they are very afraid,” he said, adding that they had left the city to join relatives in another part of northern Israel. First responders and Israeli security forces gather amid debris and charred vehicles in Kiryat Bialik in northern Israel. “Unfortunately for us in Israel, military confrontation is part of our risk assessment.”Richard Engel and Charlotte Gardiner reported from Kiryat Bialik.
Persons: KIRYAT BIALIK, Israel —, Kiryat Bialik, Ilan Itach, , Jack Guez, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel, Itach, Michael Halberthal, ” Halberthal, Halberthal, ” Richard Engel, Charlotte Gardiner, Yuliya Talmazan Organizations: NBC News, Getty, ., International Organization for Migration, Rambam, Home, Command, Staff Locations: Kiryat, Israel, Lebanon, Israel’s Haifa, Iran, Kiryat Bialik, AFP, Gaza, , Haifa, London
WASHINGTON — Crime, including serious violent incidents like murder and rape, dropped nationally from 2022 to 2023, according to new data released by the FBI on Monday. Violent crime was down about 3% from 2022 to 2023 and property crime took a similar drop of 2.4%, the FBI reported in its annual "Summary of Crime in the Nation." Preliminary numbers showed that 2024 crime numbers were also dropping for the early part of this year, continuing a trend of crime easing as America has come out of the pandemic. (Store closures and COVID-19 security measures likely decreased shoplifting in 2020 and 2021, and may have affected 2022 incidents as well.) But the violent crime rate dropped from 2022 to 2023, from 377.1 violent crimes per 100,000 people in 2022 to 363.8 violent crimes per 100,000 people in 2023, the new FBI data shows.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: WASHINGTON, FBI Locations: America, United States
The health commissioner chosen by Mayor Eric Adams to lead New York City out of the Covid-19 pandemic resigned on Monday, the third top administration official this month to leave, or announce plans to, amid multiple federal investigations of the mayor’s inner circle. The commissioner, Dr. Ashwin Vasan, a mental health expert, cited a desire to spend more time with his family in his decision to step down, which will take effect early next year. “As anyone with a family — or a chosen family — knows, you are never alone in service, Dr. Vasan said in a statement. “My wife and three young children have served alongside me, bearing the brunt of my absence and shouldering so much. I’m grateful for their love and have chosen that now it is time to support them and their well-being.”A City Hall spokesman, William Fowler, said Dr. Vasan’s departure was unrelated to the federal inquiries, and the commissioner affirmed that in a brief interview.
Persons: Eric Adams, Ashwin Vasan, , Vasan, , William Fowler, Vasan’s Organizations: New Locations: New York City
Local residents with umbrellas walk out of a metro station in rain during morning rush hour on September 20, 2024 in Beijing, China. China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesBEIJING — More economists are calling for China to stimulate growth, including those based inside the country. His presentation Saturday at Renmin University's China Macroeconomy Forum was titled: "A basket of stimulus and reform, an economic revitalization plan to substantially expand domestic demand." "The elephant in the room is the property market," said Xu Gao, Beijing-based chief economist at Bank of China International. To restore confidence and stabilize the property market, Xu said that policymakers should bail out the property owners.
Persons: Liu Shijin, Liu, Goldman Sachs, China's, Xu Gao, Xu, Nomura, Gabriel Wildau, Teneo, Yi Gang, Wildau, Yi Organizations: China News Service, Getty, Development Research, State Council, CNBC, China Macroeconomy, Goldman, Bank of China International, Center for, People's Bank of China Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING, Renmin, Center for China, U.S
But while lower mortgage rates may translate to more buying power for homebuyers, America’s housing market woes aren’t likely to be solved solely by rate cuts. But Enterprise Community Partners, the nonprofit where Donovan currently serves as CEO, estimates that the US needs 7 million new units in order to stabilize the housing market. “There are a lot of factors that have affected the housing supply and these are complicated issues to solve. “We’re not expecting mortgage rates to fall that much further, and we still think that the mortgage rate ‘lock-in’ effect will still be there,” Dougherty said. “Things will probably pick up as rates come down, but we’re not looking for a high-octane rebound,” Dougherty said of the housing market.
Persons: they’d, aren’t, , , Shaun Donovan, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, ” Donovan, Harris, Trump, Donovan, Jerome Powell’s, Freddie Mac, Charles Dougherty, That’s, “ We’re, ” Dougherty, ” Powell, that’s, Dougherty, “ It’s, ” Ryan McLennan Organizations: CNN, Housing, Urban Development, National Association of Realtors, Partners, Federal, Fed, National Association of Home Builders, homebuilders, Consumer Financial Locations: America, Wells Fargo, Houston, homebuying
China's youth unemployment rate in August rose to the highest level since the new system of record-keeping began in December, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed, amid an economic slowdown. China's urban unemployment rate across all age categories rose 5.3% in August, compared to a 5.2% climb in July. China paused reporting the youth unemployment rate for much of the latter half of last year while it reassessed its calculation methods. China's youth unemployment has also been affected by restrictive hiring policies amid a struggling economy as companies are refusing to hire recent college graduates due to the difficulty and costs involved in firing workers in China. "That's why the [overall] unemployment rate isn't that bad but the unemployment rate for youths is so high," Rein added.
Persons: That's, Dan Wang, Shaun Rein, Rein Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, HSBC, China Market Research, People's Bank of Locations: China, People's Bank of China
Read previewThe list of companies abandoning remote work is growing. But for some experts, remote work won't die either. "There's a big race for talent out there," she told Business Insider, adding that "attracting talent into a business is hard these days." For others, flexible work has become a game changer and one they can't see themselves looking back on. In contrast, other companies will continue to embrace the advantages of flexible work.
Persons: , Andy Jassy, PwC, Goldman Sachs, Kate Palmer, Palmer, Daniel Wheatley, Wheatley, Jassy Organizations: Service, Amazon, Big, Business, Citigroup, HSBC, Barclays, JPMorgan, Peninsula, University of Birmingham
Mainly a print model, Zheng used to rake in 30,000 yuan ($4,230) a month when she began working two years ago. Some are virtually indistinguishable from the real thing, while others are inspired by the original design and offer morecolors or textures. The popularity of this product category is soaring as consumer confidence in China nears a historic low, according to analysts. Shoppers are sitting on the sidelines due to a combination of falling stock prices, capital flight and “tepid” wage growth, the economists said. A Hong Kong court ordered the liquidation of the Chinese property giant on on January 29.
Persons: Zheng Jiewen, Zheng, , , Louis Vuitton, Chanel, Laurel Gu, Lulu, dupes isn’t, Nomura, Xinxin, Greg Baker, Nicole Hal, “ I’ve, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, CNN, Prada, Reuters, Shoppers, Barclays, Hong, Getty, Goldman Locations: China, Hong Kong, Guangzhou, Shanghai, Asia, Japan, Chongqing, Beijing, AFP, Europe,
Luxury stocks slip as fears grow of a prolonged downturn
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — European luxury stocks tumbled on Monday as analysts warned of a deteriorating demand outlook, particularly among high-spending Chinese consumers. "Following the post-Covid peak in consumption in 2022, luxury sector revenues have been sequentially slowing. Across European luxury firms, they expect a 1% revenue decline in 2024. The Stoxx Europe Luxury 10, an index tracking top names in the sector, managed to hold flat but has fallen 3.82% in the year to date. 'Prolonged period of weakness'They're not alone in their bearish view on Europe's luxury sector.
Persons: Hugo Boss, Germany's Hugo Boss, Burberry, Kering, Hermes, Jon Cox, Kepler Cheuvreux, CNBC's, Cox Organizations: Hugo, Hugo Boss AG, Bloomberg, Getty, Bank of America, Korean, BofA Securities, Kepler, U.S, CNBC, Burberry Locations: Shanghai, China, American, Europe
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