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Expect to work a little harder for those fixed income returns in the new year. As a result, it may be time to start unwinding those big cash positions and adopt a longer-term mentality for fixed income investments. A runup in bond yields is accompanied by a decline in prices, and the two move inversely to one another. The sector "remains well positioned to maintain its high credit quality, driven by solid state credit quality and strong state financial support, despite soft enrollment trends," analyst Kathleen McNamara wrote last week. Consider dollar cost averaging into those longer-dated positions, incrementally building up exposure to intermediate duration bonds.
Persons: Jerome Powell, it's, Kathy Jones, Shannon Saccocia, Jones, Nicholos Venditti, Kathleen McNamara, Schwab's Jones, Barry McAlinden, Michael Bloom Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Bond, SEC, Muni Bond ETF, Allspring Global Investments, UBS
Today's market-leading stocks may not have the luxury to sit on their laurels, according to Goldman Sachs. Since Goldman Sachs began tracking the "Laggards" trade in 2022, the trend has held up 13 years out of 21, according to Mehta. The laggards have on average outperformed the S & P 500 by 130 basis points. The first, "differentiated buys," includes opportunities where Goldman Sachs analysts have out-of-consensus buy ratings. Finally, Goldman Sachs analysts also identified stocks with a "track record of CROCI [cash return on capital invested] generation," a metric that evaluates a company's cash return against its total equity.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, there's, Deep Mehta, Mehta, Laggards, laggards, Locker, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Financial, Barclays, Mosaic, CF Industries, Clear, Chesapeake Energy, Shoals Technologies, Biomarin Pharmaceutical, Body Works, Mohawk Industries, Bristol, Myers Squibb, Honeywell International, United Parcel Service Locations: . Norfolk Southern, Bath
Goldman Sachs reiterates Nike as buy After a transfer of analyst coverage, Goldman Sachs said it sees improving growth for Nike shares. UBS downgrades United Rentals to neutral from buy UBS said in its downgrade of the equipment rental company that it sees a more balanced risk/reward. UBS reiterates Apple as neutral UBS said its analysis of Apple's App Store shows revenue increasing. UBS reiterates Netflix as buy UBS said it's standing by its buy rating on Netflix shares after hosting the company at a conference. William Blair reiterates Charles Schwab as outperform William Blair named Schwab a top pick for 2024, noting it's well-positioned.
Persons: Raymond James, Piper Sandler downgrades Albemarle, Piper Sandler, it's, Goldman Sachs, Roth, Roth MKM, TD Cowen, Bernstein, Mizuho downgrades Prologis, Wells, Wells Fargo, Oppenheimer, Domino's, Elliott, Morgan Stanley, Meta, Needham, Coinbase, JPMorgan, Raymond James downgrades Lululemon, LULU, Strong, William Blair, Charles Schwab, Schwab Organizations: Crescent Energy, Energy Company, Eagle Ford, UW, Nike, Bank of America, UBS, Credit Suisse, Yale, HY, United Rentals, Apple, Semiconductors, JPMorgan, IBM, Consulting, Mizuho, Marriott, of America, Netflix, Management, Integra, Financial, ISI, Disney, BR, Cargo Therapeutics, Citi, Travere Therapeutics Locations: Houston, Uinta, Eagle, LTHM, 2024E, 2025E, Argentina, Boston, China, Mexican
The broad market index ended Friday at 4,594.63, its highest close for 2023. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2023 Year to date, the broad market index is up nearly 19%, fueled primarily by large-cap tech names like Meta and Nvidia . He also noted that the market faces bleak prospects going into the early 2030s, expecting a range-bound S & P 500 in real terms" as investors navigate a secular bear market. "The CPI inflation-adjusted S & P 500 peaked near 5,300 in Dec-2021 and has been lower since, which is characteristic of a decade-long Secular Bear Market featuring a flattish/range bound market," Bannister said. As the market growth story shifts to cyclical growth, Bannister says the previous "high level of returns … is gone for a generation."
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia
Novo Nordisk is blessed with an extremely promising growth outlook, according to TD Cowen. NVO YTD mountain Novo Nordisk YTD chart Novo Nordisk is one of the largest makers of glucagon-like peptide 1 drugs used to treat both diabetes and obesity. "The company's merits have been widely recognized, and its shares have outperformed, but we believe there is more gas in the tank," the TD Cowen analyst wrote. For one, the analyst expects Novo's strong revenue and earnings growth to outpace its peers, especially as the company benefits from global GLP-1 supply constraints. "We are optimistic for favorable outcomes on all fronts," the analyst wrote.
Persons: TD Cowen, Michael Nedelcovych's, Cowen, Nedelcovych, Novo's, NASH, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Novo Nordisk, Nordisk, Novo, European Union Locations: Danish, Novo
Analysts say Uber Technologies' forthcoming ticket into the S & P 500 is a positive catalyst for the stock moving forward. UBER YTD mountain Uber stock. Helfstein said in a report that Uber's entry into the S & P 500 could underpin future stock appreciation by bolstering investor sentiment. "Following the inclusion, we expect UBER to lean into growth and share buybacks, which should increase investor sentiment for growth/return in 2024," Helfstein wrote. "We believe that Uber will transition from 'nice to own' by investors to an 'allocation consideration' now that it is included in the S & P 500."
Persons: Dow, Oppenheimer, Jason Helfstein, Helfstein, William Blair, Ralph Schackart, James Cordwell, Cordwell, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Technologies, Dow Jones, Sealed Air Corp,
Uber shares pop as company is slated to join S&P 500
  + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Ashley Capoot | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Shares of Uber rose more than 5% on Monday after S&P Dow Jones Indices announced Friday that the ride-hailing company has been selected to join the S&P 500. Analysts at Oppenheimer reiterated their outperform rating on the stock and raised their price target to $75 per share from $65. They said Uber's ticket into the S&P 500 will likely help improve investors' sentiment about returns. Members of the index must have positive earnings in the most recent quarter and over the prior four quarters in total, according to S&P's rules. Uber also has a market cap of about $118 billion, which surpasses the S&P's criteria that companies must have an adjusted market cap of at least $14.5 billion.
Persons: Dara Khosrowshahi, Dow, Oppenheimer, Uber, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Economic Cooperation, APEC, Dow Jones, Air Corp, CNBC PRO, &' $ Locations: Asia, San Francisco , California
Morgan Stanley thinks Palo Alto Networks will be the leader in artificial intelligence-driven security platforms, eventually propelling it far past its peers. Palo Alto Networks on Friday approached $300 a share, becoming the first cybersecurity company to surpass $100 billion in market capitalization, the investment bank said. Morgan Stanley rates Palo Also overweight and has a $304 price target on the stock, but the most bullish case says the stock is worth $350. Palo Alto Networks' growth is a significant milestone for the security industry, according to Fodderwala. Correction: Cortex XSIAM is a security platform from Palo Alto Networks.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Hamza Fodderwala, Fodderwala, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Networks, Alto Networks, Palo Alto Networks Locations: Palo, billings
The best long-term dividend growth strategy is to buy stocks that offer a combination of high dividend growth and high free cash flow yield, the strategist said. Here are 10 names that Wolfe likes for their high dividend growth and free cash flow yields. NXP Semiconductors, for instance, has a 2% dividend yield and last 12 months dividend growth of 32%. It has a 6% estimated free cash flow yield for 2024. Meanwhile, Qualcomm has a 6% estimated free cash flow yield for 2024 and 9% last 12 months dividend growth.
Persons: Chris Senyek, Wolfe, Karen Lynch, Kroger, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, CVS, CNBC, NXP Semiconductors, Skyworks Solutions, Qualcomm Locations: U.S
Here's where to invest $250,000 for the next 5 years
  + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
CNBC Pro spoke to financial advisors and investment experts to find out how they would allocate $250,000 over the next five years. Preferred Stocks: Preferred stocks have attractive yields and are depressed after two years of weak stock and bond markets — and so are set to gain if the stock market recovers, Hatfield said. Preferred stocks have characteristics of both stocks and bonds — they trade on exchanges like stocks but they have a face value and pay dividends like bonds. They are also like bonds in that when the value of the preferred stock goes down, yields rise. $30,000 to investment grade bonds: This is a conservative investment that will benefit if long-term rates rally, he said.
Persons: Jay Hatfield, Hatfield, Microsoft —, Paul Gambles, James McManus, McManus, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, U.S . Preferred, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S . Federal Reserve, Family, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, Hatfield, Asia, Pacific, Europe
Wells Fargo downgrades Lululemon to equal weight from overweight Wells said in its downgrade of the stock that it sees less balanced risk/reward. Morgan Stanley downgrades Sea Limited to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley downgraded the Singapore-based tech conglomerate until its business outlook is clearer. Morgan Stanley upgrades Insulet to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley initiated the insulin pump therapy company and said it sees room for further gains. Wells Fargo reiterates Nike as overweight Wells says Nike is a top defensive pick for 2024. Morgan Stanley reiterates Palo Alto as overweight Morgan Stanley said Palo Alto shares have the poten tial to rise further.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mizuho, Wells, LULU, Roth, Evercore, Piper Sandler, Piper, NVDA, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish, KeyBanc, Worthington Enterprises –, TD Cowen, Coinbase, underperform TD Cowen, Oppenheimer, Uber, Truist, Herc, Palo Organizations: West Bancorp, Bank of America, Union Pacific, US Bancorp, Motors, Mizuho, GM, UAW, UBS, Apple, Deutsche Bank downgrades Anheuser Busch InBev, Deutsche, Deutsche Bank, Airlines, Alaska, " Bank of America, Google, Walmart, Nvidia, AMD, European Partners, Coke, JPMorgan, of America, Magellan, MMP, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Arrowhead Pharma, Worthington Steel, Worthington Industries, Worthington Enterprises, Barclays, Resources, Herc Holdings, United Rentals, Nike, Palo Alto, Palo Locations: China, Singapore, Indonesia
Tencent Music Entertainment is convincing more people in China to pay for music. Because of the size of China's market, it's more than Spotify 's claim of 574 million monthly active users —across 184 countries and territories. TME's "music value [is] still underappreciated," Morgan Stanley analysts led by Alex Poon wrote in a late November report. "We see room for [TME] music revenue to double and profit to triple in the next three years," the Morgan Stanley analysts wrote, noting "limited risks from macro and competition." Revenue from music subscriptions is estimated to rise 38% in 2023 versus 2022, Morgan Stanley estimates.
Persons: That's, Morgan Stanley, Alex Poon, ADRs, TME, Alex Yao, Gross, JPMorgan's Yao, Tencent, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Tencent, Entertainment, Spotify, Kugou Music, JPMorgan Locations: China, U.S, Tencent, 3Q23
Fifty oil and gas companies pledged to zero out methane emissions by 2030 at the UN climate summit. Satellites are the next tool that will hold oil and gas companies accountable in their promise to cut methane emissions and slow global warming. Many state-owned oil companies signed on, including the UAE's Adnoc, as well as Saudi Arabia's Saudi Aramco. This, in turn, means oil and gas companies responsible for the plumes can be notified faster and potentially take action. The country's state-owned oil companies are also absent from the "decabonization charter" announced in Dubai.
Persons: Adnoc, Catherine Boudreau, Erin Snodgrass, Michael Bloomberg, Sultan Al Jaber, Peter Dejong, Fred Krupp, Bloomberg Philanthropies, Melanie Robinson, Robinson Organizations: ExxonMobil, Shell, Service, United, Saturday, Environmental Defense Fund, Bloomberg, UN, Summit, EDF, IEA, RMI, European Union, Environmental Protection Agency, EPA, EU, Russia —, World Resources Institute Locations: Saudi Aramco, Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Los Angeles, Saudi, Argentina, EU, Glasgow, Scotland, China, Russia
An obesity beneficiary and a snack foods company are just a few of the top stocks to buy in December, analysts said this week. Wall Street research firms named a slew of companies that they believe have upside heading into the years end. Obin said the company has a "preponderance" of margin tailwinds for 2024, including "differentiated auto exposure, underappreciated margin expansion opportunities, and best-in-class execution." "We are including BUY-rated EL in our research team's Best-of-Breed Bison initiative, which focuses on long-term best-in-class companies with sustainable competitive moats," analyst Linda Bolton Weiser said earlier this week. Estee Lauder — DA Davidson, buy rating "We are including BUY-rated EL in our research team's Best-of-Breed Bison initiative, which focuses on long-term best-in-class companies with sustainable competitive moats.
Persons: Estee Lauder, Gracell Biotechnologies, Eli Lilly, Andrew Obin, Obin, it's, Nik Modi, Modi, MDLZ, Mondelez, LSEG, Estee Lauder DA Davidson, Linda Bolton Weiser, Bolton Weiser, Gracell, Eli Lilly — Morgan Stanley, Estee Lauder —, Davidson Organizations: CNBC, ITT, Gracell, Bank of America, RBC, ISI, pharma, ITT — Bank of America
China e-commerce is one of Goldman's top preferred sub-sectors — and there will be six key themes coming up in 2024, the bank said. The themes are: Consumers' focus on value for money — for which e-commerce platforms are well positioned. Goldman said that despite slowing consumption growth in China, e-commerce and e-commerce advertising is still one of its top preferred sectors — thanks in part to global expansion and attractive valuations. Goldman also expects its global e-commerce arm Temu to continue its growth momentum as a result of its global expansion. Goldman expects its third favored name — Kuaishou — to continue outpacing the industry.
Persons: , Goldman, Pinduoduo, Temu, Kuaishou, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Evelyn Cheng Locations: China, U.S, Pinduoduo, China's
Co-founder and CEO of UiPath Daniel Dines speaks on stage at TechCrunch Disrupt Berlin 2019 at Arena Berlin in Berlin on Dec. 12, 2019. UiPath stock popped more than 20% on Friday, one day after the company released quarterly earnings that beat Wall Street's top- and bottom-line expectations. UiPath also raised its fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2024 outlook for annual recurring revenue. For companies like UiPath that are reliant on subscriptions, annual recurring revenue is an important metric that reveals how much money a company receives on a recurring basis. "The weaving of Generative AI into its broadened automation platform, is driving strong adoption amongst enterprises," the analysts wrote.
Persons: UiPath Daniel Dines, UiPath, Davidson, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: TechCrunch, Berlin, Bank of America, CNBC PRO Locations: Berlin
There's good news for fixed-income investors heading into next year, according to Goldman Sachs Asset Management. After a dismal 2023, next year will be "the year of the bond," predicted Lindsay Rosner, head of multisector fixed income investing at the money manager. "Fixed income is a great place to be," she said in an interview with CNBC. The investment firm recently released its outlook for 2024 and called the recent run of negative fixed income returns in response to "an inflation and policy shock" an anomaly and not the trend. "Given [that] duration can be your friend again, things are lining up to put you in a really good position in fixed income."
Persons: Lindsay Rosner, TINA, TARA, Goldman, Rosner, Michael Bloom Organizations: Goldman Sachs Asset Management, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Treasury
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Friday: Stifel initiates Boeing at buy Stifel said it sees a "favorable" setup for Boeing shares. Citi downgrades Spotify to neutral from buy Citi said in its downgrade of Spotify that the risk/reward is less compelling. Jefferies initiates Arcos Dorados as a buy Jefferies said the Latin American McDonald's franchisee is a "consistent compounder." Jefferies initiates CSG Systems as buy Jefferies said in its initiation of the software-as-a-service company that it sees burgeoning growth. Jefferies initiates Amdocs as buy Jefferies said it sees opportunity for the Israel-based software and systems integration supplier. "
Persons: Stifel, TD Cowen, Morgan Stanley downgrades Alibaba, Morgan Stanley, it's, Alibaba, Tesla, Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, Jefferies, Piper Sandler, TXRH, Wells, Wells Fargo, Emerson, Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs, Bonnie Herzog's, MarketWise, Redburn, Johnson Organizations: Boeing, Delta, Air Lines, Citi, Spotify, RBC, Western Alliance, Novo Nordisk, Arcos, American, Crescent Energy, Fortrea Holdings, ISI, Aspen Technology, Emerson, JPMorgan, Constellation Brands, Constellation, UBS, Bank of America, Norfolk Southern, of America, Norfolk, CSG Systems, Communication Service, Financial Services, Technology, Healthcare, Westinghouse, Johnson, Innovative Medicine, Pharmaceutical Locations: Europe, China, Arcos, 4Q24, reaccelerate, Aspen, Norfolk, Israel
Here are JPMorgan’s top stock picks heading into December
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
JPMorgan Chase added a key information security stock to its list of favorite stock picks for December and parted with three names, including HP , from November . The firm added CyberArk to its Analyst Focus List, as well as biopharmaceutical firm Cytokinetics . The JPMorgan list covers its best stock ideas that fit into three categories: growth, value and short investment ideas. Here are some of the other top picks on the JPMorgan list. CYBR YTD mountain CyberArk stock.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Nicholas Rosato Jr, Rosato, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, HP, Palo Alto Networks, North
The S & P 500 entered Thursday up 8.5% in November, on track for its best month since July 2022. .SPX 1M mountain November is shaping up to be the best month of the year for the S & P 500. Through mid-November, when 94% of S & P 500 companies had reported results, third quarter earnings were tracking about 4.3% above the same time last year, according to FactSet. Top stocks Another important change in November is the stocks leading the way. Of the 10 biggest stocks in the S & P 500, five rose at least 10% in November, including the two largest in Apple and Microsoft .
Persons: John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, It's, it's, Yung, Yu Ma, That's, Santa Claus, Chris Verrone, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Treasury, Federal, PCE, Fed, CNBC, Expedia, Carnival Corp, Generac Holdings, Paramount Global, Insulet Corp, BMO Wealth Management, Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, Energy, OPEC Locations: U.S, Santa
Investors who held a balanced portfolio and just let it ride through November are about to be handsomely rewarded: The 60/40 portfolio is cruising to its best month in three years. That's just short of the 7.5% advance in November 2020, when progress on Covid vaccines heralded an economic reopening. AOR YTD line YTD performance for iShares Core Growth Allocation ETF (AOR) First, bond yields cooled substantially in November. Bond yields decline when bond prices rise, so cooling rates have lifted prices for fixed income allocations. A recovery in both asset classes has since lifted the AOR to a total return of 10.8% for 2023, showing that staying the course can pay off.
Persons: That's, Henry Allen, they've, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Fed, ECB Locations: Wednesday's
Autonomous vehicles — or vehicles embedded with chips and sensors to enable self-driving — have been picking up steam, and several stocks make good plays on the theme, according to Fubon Research. Providers of sensors and cameras are among the autonomous vehicle related companies on Fubon Research's watch. 3008-TW YTD mountain Year-to-date share price of Largan Precision On Largan, Fubon Research's analysts pointed out that the company stands to gain from the addition of cameras in autonomous vehicles. "Cameras have become an important part of ADAS and autonomous driving. NVDA YTD mountain Year-to-date share price of Nvidia Meanwhile, Nvidia made Fubon Research's watch list thanks to its development of autonomous vehicle technologies under its NVIDIA DRIVE platform.
Persons: Fubon, Tong, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Research, Jefferies, Autonomous, Nvidia, NVIDIA, Primax Electronics, Qualcomm Inc Locations: Taiwan, ADAS
Analysts on Wall Street think Five Below is the retail stock investors should be buying as the holiday shopping season picks up steam. The report underpins a broader bullish trend for the retailer, analysts say, which is a more cost-sensitive consumer who is partial toward bargain hunting. Analyst Jason Haas noted the popularity of Five Below could improve further as shoppers gear up for the Christmas holiday. FIVE becomes most needs-based during the holiday season and the rollout of Five Beyond (products $6-25) better positions it in the gift-giving category." "All in, we think FIVE is well positioned to outperform in the current environment and will gain share behind several catalysts (e.g.
Persons: Jason Haas, Haas, Krisztina Katai, Katai, Morgan Stanley's Simeon Gutman, Gutman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: LSEG, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank
Tesla is set to kick off deliveries of its long-awaited Cybertruck Thursday, but not everyone on Wall Street is convinced the debut will move the needle in terms of stimulating growth for the Elon Musk-run company. TSLA 1M mountain Tesla shares over the last month To be sure, despite some cautionary commentary from major Wall Street firms, Tesla shares have almost doubled in 2023 as investors veered back into growth stocks. "However unlikely just a few days before first deliveries, canceling Cybertruck would probably be positive for shares," he wrote in a report to clients while reducing his Tesla price target to $210 from $250 a share. By itself, however, the new truck won't help Tesla's shares, Guggenheim believes. Jewsikow most recently retained a $125 price target on the stock, implying 49% downside from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Tesla, Ronald Jewsikow, Philippe Houchois, Tom Narayan, Narayan, Guggenheim's, Tesla's, Guggenheim, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Elon, Guggenheim Securities, Tesla, Treasury, Jefferies, RBC Capital, RBC
Raymond James is bracing for a "mild" recession in the new year that will likely result in only "modest positive gains" for equities in 2024. "Single Digit Returns A Decent Base Case," he added. In Raymond James' base case scenario, or what it believes is the most likely assumption, McCourt said that corporate profit expectations likely need to come down. Heading into the new year, Raymond James favors several stock sectors, among them medical devices, financial services and insurance issues. In its base case scenario, real estate, utilities and telecom offer the best risk-reward.
Persons: Raymond James, Tavis McCourt, McCourt, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq
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