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The basic theory behind prediction markets is that a lot of people with money on the line can better predict an outcome than any one expert. “Financial markets are generally pretty efficient, and the evidence suggests that the same is true of prediction markets,” Eric Zitzewitz, an economics professor at Dartmouth, tells me. The shares trade between $0 and $1, and once the event is resolved, shares tied to the correct outcome pay out a dollar. If you bought Trump shares on Monday, when they were 58 cents, you can expect to make 42 cents on the dollar. Later that fall, the popular betting market PredictIt gave Hillary Clinton an 82% chance of beating Donald Trump.
Persons: CNN Business ’, pollsters, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Kamala Harris, PredictIt, Eric Zitzewitz, , aren’t, Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, You’re, Shayne Coplan, Harris, Coplan, ” Zitzewitz, , “ Brexit, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Clinton, Nate Silvers, Ann Selzers, FiveThirtyEight Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Wednesday, , Dartmouth, Chiefs, Lions, Ravens, Trump, Bloomberg, CNBC, European Union Locations: New York, America, United Kingdom
That’s just one example of companies eliminating an endless assortment of products to boost profit. Hormel is cutting some pepperoni products. Cutting products boosted companies’ profit margins by 0.9% compared to 2019, L.E.K. The strategy is going to make customers’ choices “a little simpler” and reduce re-stocking work for store employees, he said. Companies can upset customers who are loyal to a specific version of a product, pushing them to switch to another brand or stores’ private-label versions.
Persons: New York CNN — Pepperoni, Applegate, Jennie, Hormel, , That’s, Gene J, Rob Wilson, Levi’s, Todd Vasos, Scott Olson, Gina Goetter, Bob Eddy, Taco Bell, David Garfield, “ We’ve Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, Companies, L.E.K, Consulting, Starbucks, Hasbro, Dollar, BJ’s Wholesale, Walmart Locations: New York, Turkey, mayo, Asia
Sonya Moore decided that if Trump won in 2016, she would leave the US. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Advertisement"If Trump wins this election, I'm moving out of the country." Trump won the election, and 9 months later, I left the US. After four months in India, I continued making my way through Asia for eight more months.
Persons: Sonya Moore, Trump, Moore, , I'm, uproot, Dalai Lama, I've, We've Organizations: Service, Trump Locations: Asia, Siem Reap, Cambodia, India, Dalai, Maldives, Bali, mountaintops, Laos, Philippines, Myanmar, Manhattan, COVID, France, Papua New Guinea, America
Nissan Motor shares slumped 6% in Tokyo trade Friday, a day after the Japanese automaker said it would cut 9,000 jobs and a fifth of its manufacturing capacity as it struggles with sales in China and the United States. It said restructuring would cut costs by 400 billion yen ($2.61 billion) in the financial year to the end of March. Nissan is also challenged in the US where it lacks a line-up of hybrids just as that vehicle type is in strong demand. On Friday, Japan’s Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Yoji Muto declined to comment to reporters when asked his views on potential government support for Nissan. “The company released its mid-term plan this spring, but in the end there was no meaning to that.
Persons: Japan’s, Makoto Uchida, Carlos Ghosn, Industry Yoji Muto, Seiji Sugiura, ” Sugiura, Nissan’s Organizations: Nissan Motor, Nissan, Renault, Japan’s, Economy, Trade, Industry, Tokai Tokyo Intelligence Laboratory Locations: Tokyo, China, United States
People visit a riverside in front of the Lujiazui financial district, during the National People's Congress (NPC) in Shanghai, China, March 7, 2023. Aly Song | ReutersAsia-Pacific markets were set to climb on Tuesday, after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points and major U.S. indexes continued their postelection rally. In Japan, the country will be releasing spending data for September, which will offer clues to the policy path ahead for the Bank of Japan. Strong spending data would support the case for the BOJ to raise rates, and vice versa. If stocks follow futures, the Hong Kong index will hit its highest level in about a month.
Persons: Aly Song, Australia's Organizations: National People's Congress, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, China's National People Congress, Bank of Japan, Nikkei Locations: Shanghai, China, Reuters Asia, Pacific, U.S, Asia, Japan, Chicago, Osaka, Hong Kong
It is months before Trump's inauguration, but tariffs are already on the lips of global business leaders. AdvertisementAs soon as Donald Trump won reelection, CEOs worldwide discussed his plans for a new era of global tariffs. AdvertisementOn Wednesday, Oliver Zipse, chairman of BMW, downplayed fears over tariffs during a third-quarter earnings call, citing the company's large US business. Advertisement"Politics is politics," Ikea's CEO, Jesper Brodin, told Business Insider when asked about how Trump's tariffs would affect international business. Soon after Trump's departure from the White House, the two sides ended their dispute and axed the tariffs, but renewed tariffs could lead to issues once again.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ralph Lauren, , Trump, he'd, John Deere, Trump's, Shinju Aoyama, Aoyama, Shinji Aoyama, YOSHIKAZU, Piyush Gupta, Gupta, Europe Trump, Davidson, Oliver Zipse, Zipse, Maja Hitij, Arne Freundt, Freundt, Jesper Brodin, Guillaume Faury, Faury, OZAN KOSE, Martin Sorrell, Sorrell, Justin Picicci, Ralph Lauren's, Picicci, Timothy Boyle Organizations: BMW, Airbus, Ikea, Service, Biden, Japan's Honda Motors, Honda, Getty, DBS, Mercedes, Volkswagen, Puma, European Union, Boeing, EU, White, North, Columbia, Washington Post Locations: China, Mexico, Europe, AFP
Trade Tracker: Bryn Talkington buys Uber
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrade Tracker: Bryn Talkington buys UberBryn Talkington, managing partner at Requisite Capital Management, joins CNBC's 'Halftime Report' to discuss why she's buying the ride sharing company.
Persons: Bryn Talkington Organizations: Capital Management
Luxury brands face uncertainty after Donald Trump won the US presidential election. His victory spells trouble for the sector's hopes of a comeback in China. AdvertisementAmerica has elected a new president, paving an uncertain future for luxury brands looking to boost sales in China. Tariffs further complicate luxury's China issuesChina has been a reliable cash cow for luxury brands for decades. AdvertisementNationalism's rise doesn't play well for luxuryTrump's return to the White House is a signal of a wider issue facing luxury brands — rising nationalism.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, Jelena Sokolova, Martin Roll, they'll, Cheng Xin, Gary Ng, Ng, Daniel Langer, Justin Sullivan, It's Organizations: Service, America, Beijing, Morningstar, Trump, McKinsey, Pepperdine University Locations: China, outflows, Russia, Europe
“Our Executive Slaves will come get you in a Brown Van,” the message read, “be prepared to be searched down once you’ve enter the plantation.”A text message received by Monét Miller. But that day, with the climate and everything going on, I genuinely felt scared.”Black social media users across the country said they have received text messages similar to Miller’s. Various Clemson University students reported receiving the text messages, prompting a public statement from the school. It is unclear who is behind the mass text messages, what motivated them or how they obtained phone numbers for swaths of Black people. Although college students seem to be the most targeted with the texts, Black people of varying ages have reported receiving the messages.
Persons: Monèt Miller, Donald Trump, , Monét Miller, Monet Miller Miller, ” Miller, Domonique, ” Valles, “ TextNow, , Brian Hughes, Trump, ” Hughes, Corryn Freeman, ” Freeman, John Anthony, ” Anthony, ‘ let’s, Miller Organizations: White, Ohio State University, Clemson University, University of Southern, Missouri State University, NBC News, Kappa Alpha Psi, FBI, U.S . Department of Justice, & Safety, Police, , NAACP, Democrats weren’t, Black Republican, Federal Communications Commission Locations: Atlanta , Georgia, Brown, South Carolina, University of Southern California, Domonique Valles, Virginia, Fort Lauderdale , Florida, Illinois, Trump
Hurricane Rafael has turned to the west after lashing Cuba where it knocked out the country’s electrical grid, leaving its 10 million residents in the dark. Rafael will continue to move away from western Cuba on Thursday and will weaken over the central Gulf of Mexico. “On the forecast track, Rafael is expected to move over the southern Gulf of Mexico for the next few days,” the National Hurricane Center said. A man walks through a darkened street due to a blackout after the pass of hurricane Rafael in Havana, on Wednesday. I hope all the power will be restored when the storm is over,” Havana resident Mabel Suarez told Reuters.
Persons: Rafael, Yamil Lage, Mabel Suarez Organizations: National Hurricane Center, Locals, Reuters, , The Associated Press Locations: Cuba, Cuban, Artemisa, Key West , Florida, Mexico, , Havana, AFP, Florida, ” Havana
From AI healthcare solutions to groundbreaking mobility and cybersecurity tech, GITEX GLOBAL 2024 showcased innovations and industry shifts set to shape the future digital landscape. Hassan Alnaqbi, CEO of Khazna Data Centers, joins a panel discussion at GITEX GLOBAL 2024. Xpeng Aeroht's flying car prototype and Zapata's Airscooter on display at GITEX GLOBAL 2024. Confronting global challengesWith global cybercrime damage projected to hit $10.5 trillion annually by 2025, cybersecurity was a hot topic at GITEX GLOBAL 2024. Find out more about GITEX GLOBAL 2024 here.
Persons: GITEX, Hassan Alnaqbi, Denis Ledenkof, Robosculptor, , Shameer Khader, Salahaldeen AlMarzooqi, cybersecurity, Cybersecurity, Mohamed Al Kuwaiti, , ” Todd Conklin, Siyuan Liu, Peng Xiao Organizations: Dubai World Trade, Khazna Data, GITEX, Oracle Health, Precision Medicine, Sanofi, Mobility, Transport Authority, Metro, Department, RTA, UAE Government, UAE, US Department of, Treasury, IoT, Strategy, Nissan Hyper Force Locations: cybersecurity, China
Ties have been at their lowest point in decades amid disputes over trade, technology, Taiwan and Chinese aggression in the South China Sea. “We respect the choice of the American people,” the Chinese Foreign Ministry said in a statement earlier. A second Trump presidency “could mark a new beginning in China-U.S. relations if the chance that has been offered is not wasted,” state-run newspaper China Daily said in an editorial on Wednesday. But Chinese officials laser-focused on stabilizing their faltering economy are also mindful of the tariffs of 60% or more that Trump has vowed to impose on all Chinese imports. One person it may turn to for help is tech billionaire Elon Musk, a devoted Trump supporter with extensive business interests in China who is wildly popular there.
Persons: , Xi Jinping, Donald Trump, Biden, Xi, Trump, China “, , Susan Walsh, Rick Waters, Kamala Harris, Waters, Trump’s, ” Waters, Harris, Mao Ning, Elon Musk, Ian Bremmer Organizations: Trump, ” Xinhua, Foreign Ministry, Eurasia Group, Democratic, ., China Daily, CNBC Locations: HONG KONG, Taiwan, South China, Beijing, China, Asia, Pacific, South Korea, Japan, Australia, U.S, China’s, New York, Houston, Chengdu
Weeks after sticky black balls washed up on the famed beaches of Sydney, Australia, scientists say they have partly solved the mystery behind the “disgusting” blobs. Initially thought to be tar balls, the golf-ball-size debris turned out to be something much different — a combination of decomposed cooking oils, hair and food waste, the New South Wales Environment Protection Authority (EPA) said Wednesday. Balls collected for testing in a laboratory at the University of New South Wales in Sydney. They said preliminary test results indicated that the blobs were tar balls formed when oil comes into contact with debris and water. Sydney Water confirmed there were no issues at the Bondi or Malabar water facilities, while Transport for NSW Maritime reviewed recent weather patterns but found no clear answers, according to the statement.
Persons: , Balls, Jonathan Beve, , William Alexander Donald, Donald, we’re, ” Donald Organizations: New South, New South Wales Environment Protection Authority, University of New, Authorities, University of New South Wales Sydney, NBC News, Sydney Water, Transport, NSW Maritime Locations: Sydney, Australia, New South Wales, University of New South Wales, Bondi, University of New South, Victoria, Malabar
Trump and the GOP have denied the tariffs would be inflationary, pointing to Trump’s success in imposing tariffs in his first term without reigniting inflation. Yet those tariffs, at $300 billion on selected Chinese goods, were much more targeted than the $3 trillion worth of blanket tariffs Trump is now expected to propose. And the inflationary environment is different now, too: During Trump’s first term, inflation only briefly ever climbed above 2%. It was Trump who appointed Powell to lead the Federal Reserve in his first term. But Trump has signaled a willingness this year to abandon the long-running principle of maintaining the Fed as an independent body.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump’s, Trump, ’ Anna Kelly, David Seif, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Trump, ” Seif, Seif Organizations: Federal, Wall, Federal Reserve, Nomura Holdings, Trump, GOP, Republican National Committee, Nomura, Fed, Bloomberg, Chicago Economic, Reuters Locations: China
HAVANA — Cuba’s national electrical grid collapsed on Wednesday as Hurricane Rafael slammed into the island’s southwest shore, packing sustained winds of 115 mph and wreaking havoc on the already crisis-stricken country. The hurricane was churning about 60 miles west of Cuba’s capital Havana on Wednesday night, after lashing the capital city of nearly two million people with driving rain and violent wind gusts. The Miami-based National Hurricane Center warned of a “life-threatening storm surge, damaging hurricane-force winds and flash flooding” across much of western Cuba. Cuba’s state-run grid operator UNE said the high winds had caused the country’s electrical system to collapse. Forecasters predict Rafael will spin off towards the western Gulf of Mexico later this week, though the track remains uncertain, the hurricane center said.
Persons: Rafael, Havana’s Jose, Ydael Pérez Brito, Oscar, Adalbero Roque Organizations: Hurricane Center, Police, Havana’s Jose Marti International Airport, Pinar del, Farmers, Agriculture, Communist, Getty Locations: HAVANA, Cuba’s, Havana, Miami, Cuba, State, Varadero, Cayo Largo, Artemisa, Pinar del Rio, AFP, Venezuela, Russia, Mexico, Cayman Islands, Gulf
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesDonald Trump's election victory over Vice President Kamala Harris marks a historic return to the White House — an extraordinary political comeback that is likely to have seismic ramifications for the global economy. The former president's litany of campaign pledges include steep tariffs, tax cuts, deregulation and a push to withdraw from key global agreements. Trump's favorite wordTrump has previously described "tariff" as his favorite word, calling it "the most beautiful word in the dictionary." And we don't see Trump's secondary tariff pledge — that baseline tariff, which would hurt European companies — as being all that feasible," Galbraith said. Analysts have warned that Trump's plan to impose universal tariffs are highly likely to raise prices for consumers and slow spending.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Trump, Lizzy Galbraith, Abrdn, Galbraith, CNBC's, Donald Trump, Ben May, Mitchell Reiss Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, European Union, Bloomberg, Trump, Oxford Economics, Signum Global Advisors, Macquarie Group, Royal United Services Institute Locations: Binzhou, China, Florida, U.S, Mexico, Greensboro , North Carolina, Ukraine, Europe, Asia, Qingdao Port, Shandong province, Qingdao, American
Japan is one stock market outside the U.S. that could win now that Donald Trump is headed back to the White House. Trump has previously proposed tariffs of up to 20% on imports, with a stringent tax of 60% on goods coming from China. Japanese stocks rallied, however, as the yen weakened with some investors expecting the U.S. defense partner stands to gain most from Trump's policies. However, Akutsu warned, with few positive earnings surprises in the market, a year-end rally could be "limited in scope." Takada said investors may have to weigh the near-term benefits of a Trump market against the risks of a possible trade war, even with a rise in the Japanese equity risk premium.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Tony Pasquariello, What's, Pasquariello, America's Masashi Akutsu, Akutsu, Morgan's Masanari Takada, Takada, It's Organizations: Nikkei, Bank, Bank of America, Hitachi, Retailing, Trump Locations: Japan, China, U.S, Europe
Investors boosted stocks after Donald Trump won a second term. But investors shouldn't depart from their long-term investing plan, Morningstar's Dave Sekera says. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But even as prices soar, it's important not to get caught up in the mania beyond your normal risk tolerance, warns Morningstar Senior US Market Strategist Dave Sekera. "The small-cap space, even with today's bump, it's still the most undervalued part of the market in our view," he said.
Persons: Donald Trump, shouldn't, Dave Sekera, , Morningstar, Sekera, Trump, aren't, Goldman Sachs, shouldn't overreact, John Rekenthaler, Joe Biden, That's, it's Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, White Locations: bullishness
China congratulates Trump, says it respects America's choice
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
President Donald Trump meets with China's President Xi Jinping at the start of their bilateral meeting at the G20 leaders summit in Osaka, Japan, June 29, 2019. China expressed respect for the U.S. election result and congratulated Donald Trump on his victory, and an official newspaper called for a "pragmatic" approach to bilateral differences as U.S. tariff threats loomed. Trump, a Republican who has promised to implement stiff tariffs, recaptured the White House with a sweeping victory over Democrat Kamala Harris in Tuesday's election. "We respect the choice of the American people and congratulate Mr. Trump on his election as president," a Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson said in a statement late on Wednesday. China-U.S. relations have been fraught for years, notably around trade and security including Taiwan and the South China Sea.
Persons: Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, Kamala Harris, Mr, Trump Organizations: U.S, Trump, Republican Locations: Osaka, Japan, China, Tuesday's, U.S, Taiwan, South China
Global trade changed considerably over the past four years — benefiting India — as President Joe Biden retained much of Trump's tariffs on China. EnergyOn the one hand, analysts expect Indian interests to be aligned with those of the United States regarding oil prices . Trump's previous term in office, whether intentionally or coincidently, saw moderate to low oil prices. As India imports over 90% of its oil needs, New Delhi will likely welcome any move by the U.S. to keep oil prices low. A quick resolution of the war in Ukraine — Trump's campaign promise — would also prove to be negative for oil prices.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Donald Trump, Narendra Modi's, Joe Biden, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Trump, Uncle Sam, Samiran Chakraborty, Baqar Zaidi, Ukraine —, , Sanjeev Prasad Organizations: India's, U.S, Manufacturing, Global, Observer Research Foundation, Treasury, Indian, Citi, Companies, Tata Consultancy Services, HCL Tech, Infosys, Energy, Suzlon Locations: Hyderabad, New Delhi, India, China, U.S, Mumbai, United States, Ukraine
Traditionally Republicans have been more significant friends of the oil and gas industry. Increasing domestic oil production would theoretically achieve several goals for the new administration: increase domestic economic activity and employment, increase domestic energy security, and lower oil and gas prices. Interestingly, oil and gas production in the United States right now, the world's largest producer, has never been higher, and oil and gas prices, while well above pre-COVID levels, have stabilized. The incoming Trump administration will likely reduce federal regulations on drilling, pipeline development, and environmental protections that limit the expansion of oil and gas projects. This infrastructure investment benefits the oil services industry by enabling more accessible transport and new development projects, which Biden canceled.
Persons: Trump, Kamala Harris's, Biden, YTD We'll Organizations: Republicans, Trump, Keystone XL, Dakota, Schlumberger, Schlumberger Ltd, HAL, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Pennsylvania, United States, North, Halliburton, North America
Using its patented digital fingerprint technology, ProfilePrint can rapidly analyze the identity and quality of ingredients, helping agribusinesses save money and time. The problem, he explained, is a system of multiple rounds of physical food samples exchanged between buyer and sellers, replicated across "every part of the supply chain." Machine learning means the technology analyzes food samples at a molecular level and recognizes food quality within seconds. As well predicting the quality and flavor profiles, the company's ingredient quality platform can offer their client various options when it comes to balancing quality with price. Profile Print is not alone within the still embryonic pool of food quality and AI startups.
Persons: Alan Lai, Lai Organizations: CNBC Tech, Traders Locations: Singapore, California
Tanger CEO Stephen Yalof: There's a trade down mentality right nowTanger CEO Stephen Yalof joins 'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer to talk quarterly results, consumer trends, and more.
Persons: Stephen Yalof, Jim Cramer
President-elect Donald Trump claims he can split the alliance between Russia and China. "The one thing you never want to happen is you never want Russia and China uniting," Trump said. These are potentially all things that Trump could use to drive a wedge between Russia and China." The Trump effectAnother factor likely to draw Russia and China closer together is Trump himself. In East Asia, Trump has accused allies of freeloading off the US, a source of tension Beijing will likely seek to exploit.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Tucker Carlson, Trump, Biden, Vladimir Putin of, Xi, China's, Putin, Stefan Wolff, Carlson, Wolff, Paul Cormarie, Jonathan Ward, Vladimir Putin, they'd, Robert Dover, Zhiqun Zhu, Cormarie Organizations: Service, Trump, University of Birmingham, Pentagon, Trade, Anadolu, Getty, Central, RAND Corporation, BI, Hudson Institute, Kremlin Press, Anadolu Agency, International Security, Hull University, NATO, Bucknell University Locations: Russia, China, Ukraine, Glendale , Arizona, Vladimir Putin of Russia, Moscow, Beijing, Taiwan, Russian, Bering, European, East Asia
Krisztian Bocsi | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesDonald Trump's election as U.S. President could mark yet another major blow for the struggling German economy. The print came after the German economy ministry in October said it was now expecting the country's economy will contract, rather than grow this year. Trump's victory could make matters worse. Reliance on exportsThe German economy is heavily reliant on exports — and Trump is set to slap tariffs and other restrictions on imports. The German statistics office Destatis last month said that the U.S.' importance as a trading partner for Germany has been growing.
Persons: Olaf Scholz, Germany's, Krisztian Bocsi, Donald Trump's, Moritz Schularick, Trump, Schularick, ifo, Morningstar DBRS, Lisandra Flach Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, PMI, P Global, Hamburg Commercial Bank, Kiel Institute, Trump, Reliance, China, Beijing, Destatis, ifo Center, International Economics, European Union, EU Locations: Berlin, Germany, Federal Republic of Germany, Europe, U.S
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