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The most bullish S&P 500 price target is 6,000 from Evercore ISI, which represents a gain of about 7%. While the average year-end S&P 500 price target is 5,429, according to data from Bloomberg, the median year-end price target is 5,600. Yardeni Research: S&P 500 price target of 5,800Yardeni Research raised its year-end S&P 500 price target to 5,800 from 5,400 this week. Goldman Sachs: S&P 500 price target of 5,600Goldman Sachs strategist David Kostin boosted his S&P 500 price target to 5,600 from 5,200 last month. UBS: S&P 500 price target of 5,600UBS raised its S&P 500 price target to 5,600 from 5,400 in May, and that's after the bank raised its price target in February.
Persons: , Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, they're, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, Eric Wallerstein, Wallerstein, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Jonathan Golub Organizations: Wall, ISI, Service, Bloomberg, CNBC, Security, Yardeni, Research, Federal Reserve, Ned Davis Research, UBS, Chicago, & $ Locations: bearish
IWM 5D mountain iShares Russell 2000 ETF Next week's earnings results will help investors glean whether that rotation trade is sustainable. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is weighted more toward the real economy than is the S & P 500 and Nasdaq, rose to a new record above 40,000. According to FactSet consensus estimates, S & P 500 companies are set to post blended earnings growth of 9.2% in the second quarter. "It's not unthinkable to see us exiting this year at 5,800 on the S & P," he said. This follows a difficult 2Q, when 75% of Large Cap Core managers trailed the S & P 500," Palfrey wrote.
Persons: Patrick Palfrey, Hogan, Keith Buchanan, Buchanan, Palfrey, David Sekera, Quincy Krosby, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Huntington Organizations: Nasdaq, UBS, Investors, Riley, Dow Jones, Globalt Investments, Riley Securities, Big Tech, Core, LPL, BlackRock, Bank of America, Taiwan Semiconductor, Price, Retail, Hunt Transport Services, State, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, United Airlines, Discover Financial Services, U.S . Bancorp, Johnson, Citizens Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Netflix, T Bank, KeyCorp, American Express, Halliburton, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Locations: Nasdaq, NAHB, Horton, Blackstone, Taiwan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman: Opportunities in junk bonds when the Fed starts cutting ratesGurpreet Garewal, Global Fixed Income Macro Strategist at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, discusses the outlook for fixed income in the second half of the year.
Organizations: Goldman, Fed, Goldman Sachs Asset Management
Thursday's top analyst calls nvidia correction
  + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Goldman Sachs recommended a buy rating for Nvidia. A previous version of this article misstated the move.
Persons: Goldman Sachs Organizations: Nvidia
The City of London is a city, ceremonial county and local government district that contains the primary central business district CBD of London. The City of London is widely referred to simply as the City is also colloquially known as the Square Mile. LONDON — The U.K. economy grew by 0.4% in May, flash figures published by the Office for National Statistics showed on Thursday, with the British pound jumping to a four-month high against the U.S. dollar after the announcement. The British economy exited a shallow recession in the first quarter of the year, then flatlined in April. Goldman Sachs last week upgraded its growth forecast for the U.K. following left-of-center Labour's thumping victory in the country's general election.
Persons: Sterling, Keir Starmer, Goldman Sachs, Ashley Webb, Price, BOE Organizations: Office, National Statistics, U.S, Gross, Labour Party, Capital, Bank of England's, Bank of England, European Central Bank Locations: London, United Kingdom, The City, British, U.K
Brands are "shifting from one-time, short-term partnerships to long-term, recurring partnerships," said Olivia McNaughten, senior director of product marketing and partnerships at the influencer firm Grin. Influencer marketing remains a bright spot in the creator industry, whereas companies in other categories have struggled to grow. Influencer marketing, by contrast, is humming along, with billions of dollars expected to pour into the category this year. Influencer marketing may also be outperforming other creator-economy businesses because it taps into an existing market rather than inventing something new. Goldman Sachs analysts forecasted in April 2023 that influencer marketing and creator advertising would help grow the creator economy to a $480 billion industry by 2027.
Persons: , Olivia McNaughten, Grin, Fohr, Dollar Boy, it's, Lindsey Lugrin, Grace Murray Vazquez, Petit, they've, Ansley Williams, influencer, influencers, Williams, Lugrin, Goldman Sachs, Ed East, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Dollar, Voices, Cannes Lions, Southwest, Ogilvy North, YouTube Locations: London, Emarketer, South, Ogilvy North America
Founder Chris Kirchner was sentenced to 20 years in prison for using startup funds for personal use. The supply chain tech startup Kirchner founded, called Slync, shut down in October 2023. AdvertisementChris Kirchner, a startup founder convicted of defrauding investors, money laundering, and wire fraud, was sentenced to 20 years in federal prison Thursday after using $25 million of his funders' cash for personal use, according to court documents. Kirchner, 36, founded a supply chain tech startup called Slync, raising more than $50 million from venture investors, including Goldman Sachs, between 2018 and 2021. He also wired $20 million directly to his own checking account, according to the US Attorney's office in the Northern District of Texas.
Persons: Chris Kirchner, Prosecutors, Kirchner, , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Northern District of, Business Locations: Northern District, Northern District of Texas
Costco stock has 10% upside after raising its annual membership fees for the first time since 2017, according to Bank of America. Costco stock has been on a tear, rising 35% year-to-date, nearly double the S&P 500's 18% rise. Costco's annual membership fee will jump $5 to $65 for its Gold Star and Business memberships, while its Executive membership fee will increase by $10 to $130. Goldman estimates that Costco's fee increase will add about $400 million to membership fee income over the next two years. On top of the fee increase, Costco also announced June sales data, which saw same-store-sales jump 6.9% on a year-over-year basis to $24.48 billion.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Costco, Bank of America, Service, Star, Costco's, Goldman Locations: Thursday's
With that in mind, the authors of the note — led by Ryan Hammond — are closely watching downward revenue revisions for signs the AI spending isn't paying off. "Today's hyperscalers will eventually be required to prove that revenues and earnings will be generated from their investments," analysts wrote. "Investors have expressed uncertainty about the return on those investments for the mega-cap tech stocks, but these stocks remain extremely popular," the analysts wrote. Goldman also points out that, according to a measure it tracks, just 5% of companies are currently using AI to produce goods and services. "Adjusting for profits of these companies, the AI capex cycle still pales in comparison to the tech bubble," the analysts wrote.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , they'll, Goldman, Ryan Hammond — Organizations: Meta, Microsoft, Service, Nvidia
Tighter lending could weigh heavily on private equity and real estate, according to Howard Marks. Experts have cautioned on commercial real estate in particular as looming debt maturities pose a risk. That's created "fundamental questions" in specific parts of the real estate market, like office and retail properties, he added. The wider commercial real estate sector has over $1 trillion in debt set to mature in 2024, per Goldman Sachs. Billionaire investor Barry Sternlicht recently said he foresaw weekly bank closures and extreme losses in commercial real estate as high interest rates impact the sector.
Persons: Howard Marks, Marks, , Banks, That's, Goldman Sachs, Barry Sternlicht Organizations: Service, Oaktree Capital Management, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Billionaire
"Our conversations with investors have been defined by skepticism about latter stages of AI adoption," Ryan Hammond of Goldman's portfolio strategy research team said in a recent note to clients. "Even among investors that are long-term bullish on the potential gains from AI adoption, there appears to be considerable uncertainty about the timeline." Goldman's AI adoption tracker showed that only 5% of U.S. companies are using generative AI to produce goods and services. Many software companies tied to AI posted disappointing guidance during the last earnings seasons that triggered a sizeable sell-off, Goldman noted. Investors should focus on revised sales forecasts of AI-related companies, Goldman said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Ryan Hammond, Goldman, Hammond Organizations: Nvidia, Wall, Investors Locations: U.S
But for now, we're turning to Wall Street in our big story, as big banks gear up to report their earnings. The big storyEarnings to watchMomo Takahashi/BIJust like that, it's Wall Street earnings season once again. Wall Street banks have been waiting for M&A, IPOs, and other fee-generating corporate dealmaking to come roaring back for two years. In May, the CEO shocked Wall Street by saying he plans to step down in the next five years . Will banks start charging for everyday consumer products like checking accounts?
Persons: , Joe Biden's, Sen, Peter Welch, Biden, Momo Takahashi, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Kaja Whitehouse, Jamie Dimon's, Kaja, Jefferies, Jamie Dimon, Wall, Marianne Lake, We're, Larry Fink, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Neil Dutta, Tesla's, Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Rich Guy, Alyssa Powell, Andrei Cojocaru, David Zaslav, isn't, Joe, Zaslav, Jordan Parker Erb, Lisa Ryan, Joe Ciolli, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Democrat, Democratic, Hollywood, NATO, Business, showtime, JPMorgan, Citigroup, BlackRock, Bank of America, Getty, Warner Bros, Discovery, Air Lines, PepsiCo, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, Chicago, London
Dave Sekera, chief US market strategist at Morningstar, says that he’s watching for insights on banks’ delinquency rates. Consumers have increasingly fallen behind on or missed payments in recent months as they get squeezed by high interest rates. But banks could see higher losses compared to 2023 if the economy were to experience a downturn, the Fed warned. Investors are wagering that the central bank will begin easing rates as soon as September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. “The worst outcome for all of us is what you call stagflation: higher rates and recession,” Dimon said in an interview with CNBC.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Dave Sekera, Stocks, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Matt Egan, it’s, , Joe Brusuelas, Mark Zandi, ” Zandi, , Jerome Powell, Erika Tulfo, “ It’s, Neil Saunders, Abrigo, Gen Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, United, United States ’, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, Morningstar, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, JPMorgan, CNBC, Federal, RSM, , Moody’s, CNN, GlobalData, Apple Locations: New York, United States, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, China
Wuhan is the largest operational region for Baidu's Apollo Go, one of the largest robotaxi operators in China. CNBC was unable to independently verify the document, which claimed the taxi company had to stop operating four of its 159-car fleet since April due to falling income. Ride-hailing drivers on the riseA surge of new companies and ride-hailing drivers have meanwhile prompted some local governments to restrict the industry. China had more than 7 million registered ride-hailing drivers as of the end of May, according to the Ministry of Transport. In comparison, the U.S. had nearly 400,000 taxi and ride-hailing drivers, shuttle drivers and chauffeurs in 2022, according to the latest available figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Persons: Baidu, robotaxis, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Baidu, Bloomberg, Getty, BEIJING, Weibo, CNBC, Ministry of Transport, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Wuhan, San Francisco, Phoenix , Arizona, Beijing, Guangzhou, robotaxis, China, Wuhan city, Guyuan, Ningxia, Guiyang, That's, U.S
Kelly Evans: The cuts are coming
  + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Kelly Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Seeing the June CPI print with a negative sign. You can be pretty sure now that Fed rate cuts are coming. Core CPI for the past three months annualized is now running just 1.1%. In fact, core goods prices have dropped 12 out of the past 13 months in the CPI. We could actually be at a pretty nice economic inflection point right now--but only if the labor market doesn't keep slowing.
Persons: we've, we're, Julia Coronado, J.P, Morgan, Powell, Goldman Sachs, Gary Cohn, Kelly Twitter, @KellyCNBC, @realkellyevans Organizations: CPI, Treasury, Trump, CNBC, Nasdaq
Here are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley reiterates Eli Lilly as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on the stock to $1,083 per share from $1,023. "We are initiating RBBN with a Buy rating and $5 price target because the investment thesis has significantly improved." Rosenblatt reiterates Broadcom as buy Rosenblatt raised its price target on the stock to a Street high $2,400. Morgan Stanley downgrades Microchip to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said the semis company has a "lofty" valuation. Morgan Stanley upgrades Telefonica Brasil to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said it's bullish on shares of the LatAm telecom company.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Eli Lilly, Rosenblatt, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Mizuho, Truist, Wells, Guggenheim, it's, Jefferies downgrades Darden, Jefferies, Roblox, VIV, OW, Uber, McDonald's Organizations: Broadcom, AVGO, " Bank of America, Apple, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Nvidia, Digital Realty, Mizuho, Services, AMD, Silo AI, KBW, Guggenheim, Costco, Jefferies, Spotify, Telefonica Brasil, Energy, Uber, CART Locations: NYC, Europe, underperform, Olive, China
As earnings season begins ramping up, there are some early reports to watch that have historically beaten expectations and rallied as a result. Earnings season kicks into higher gear next week, with major names including Goldman Sachs , United Airlines and Netflix on the docket. Bespoke Investment Group screened for stocks reporting next week that have beaten the Street's consensus earnings estimate at least 75% of the time. Entering this earnings season, JPMorgan Michael Rehaut named the stock one of his longs. But the average analyst, while having a buy rating, sees a correction of more than 2% coming over the next year.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Pancari, Pancari, Ally, LSEG, Horton, JPMorgan Michael Rehaut, Rehaut, D.R, David Roman Organizations: United Airlines, Netflix, Wall, Investment, JPMorgan
But a Republican win yielded a higher return at 15.3%. The S&P 500 fell 9% in 2000 as the tech bubble peaked months before George W. Bush's Republican win. This could increase the chances of a Trump win — at least, that's what the market thinks. The two graphs below from a Goldman Sachs note on July 8 indicate what prediction markets perceive as each candidate's odds of winning following the debate. On that front, consumer discretionary stocks are perceived as riskier under a Trump administration due to the threat of increased tariffs.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, George W, Barack Obama, Biden's, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Organizations: Service, Republican, Democratic, Business, Bush's Republican, Trump, Republican Presidency, Republican House, Senate, Biden
Along with the top- and bottom-line numbers, Wall Street is also keeping close watch on net interest income and guidance. "We see the greatest sources of potential earnings upside being driven by higher loan growth and capital markets." Barclays analyst Goldberg anticipates a slight decrease in net interest income in the second quarter due to a compression in net interest margin. Last year, the company posted $21.9 billion in net interest income for the period. Despite expectations for seasonally lower trading, he also expects strong investment banking activity and net interest income to drive ongoing positive momentum.
Persons: Jason Goldberg, Jamie Dimon, Goldman Sachs, Richard Ramsden, America's Ebrahim Poonawala, Goldberg, Wells, Mike Mayo, Redburn, John Heagerty Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, LSEG, Barclays, JPMorgan, Bank, America's Locations: United States
Read previewDespite its French headquarters, Capital Fund Management has long been connected to the US. Advertisement"There's no way around the US" as a quant fund, he explained, which use a vast amount of data and historical trends to inform computer-driven investment strategies. Alternative managers have turned to the private wealth channel for capital increasingly in recent years, mostly driven by large private equity firms like Blackstone, Apollo, and KKR. Tiger cubs like Tiger Global and Coatue have had long-standing relationships with JPMorgan's private wealth unit. Quant funds operate in a similar fashion, he said, and the firm thinks this can be translated to a broader audience than just longtime hedge-fund allocators.
Persons: , Philippe Jordan, Jordan, Stifel, Blackstone, Bobby Jain's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, there's Organizations: Service, Capital Fund Management, Business, CFM, Stratus, Apollo, KKR, Products, Abu, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, UBS, HSBC, Bloomberg Locations: New York, Chicago, London, America, Paris, Louis, Abu Dhabi
These bank stocks are cheap and expected to rally
  + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
These bank stocks are cheap and expected to jump, according to CNBC Pro. The bank stock has underperformed this year, down more than 7%. But it's expected to surge 19% to its consensus price target, and has a forward P/E of 10.6. The stock is expected to gain 17% from here, and looks relatively cheap with its 10.1 forward P/E. It has a forward P/E of just 8.4.
Persons: Wells, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, It's, Stephens Organizations: CNBC Pro, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Silicon Valley Bank, Regional Banking, CNBC, KBW Nasdaq, U.S, Bancorp, U.S . Bancorp, Western Alliance, East West Bancorp Locations: Wells Fargo, Silicon
New York CNN —In lower Manhattan, a jury is now weighing a case against a little-known investor who made it big, lost everything, and briefly brought Wall Street to its knees. His positions were so large that when the stocks started falling, it had a seismic effect on the market. And on Tuesday, after a two-month trial in New York federal court, the case was handed over to a jury that will decide their fate. Before Archegos, market watchers knew unregulated family offices were a problem, and they knew that swaps going unreported was a problem. “Fifteen years after the global financial crash, we still have gross under-regulation of non-banks, and we have Wall Street megabanks engaged in high-risk activities that aren’t properly regulated,” Kelleher told me.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Bill Hwang, Wall, Bill Hwang’s, Hwang, Patrick Halligan, Halligan, Josh Naftalis, , Naftalis, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Dennis Kelleher, Wang, there’s, megabanks, ” Kelleher, Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Warner Bros, Prosecutors, Bloomberg, Southern, of, Pallas Partners Locations: New York, Manhattan, of New York
Goldman Sachs raised its price target on Tesla, but it still sees a a decline for the electric vehicle maker. Analyst Chris Pierce upgraded his rating to buy from hold and assigned a $160 price target on Carvana, implying shares could jump 27.3%. His $77 price target on Walmart suggests the stock could jump nearly 10.2% over the next 12 months. Analyst Peter Keith assumed coverage of the retailer with a neutral rating and $156 price target, suggesting shares can add 5.7% over the next year. LLY YTD mountain LLY year to date — Pia Singh 5:51 a.m.: Goldman raises Tesla price target, but still sees stock slide Don't expect Tesla's recent momentum to last, according to Goldman Sachs The bank raised its price target on the electric vehicle maker to $248 from $175.
Persons: Tesla, Goldman Sachs, Eli Lilly, Needham, Chris Pierce, Pierce, — Pia Singh, Jefferies, Corey Tarlowe, Tarlowe, Piper Sandler, Peter Keith, Keith, Carter Gould, Gould, Goldman, Mark Delaney, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Barclays, Jefferies, Walmart, Fox Robotics, EV, Tesla Locations: Tuesday's
As the second half of the year kicks off, Bernstein shared its latest selection of stocks that look attractive on both a quantitative and fundamental level. Bernstein's basket of stocks includes 14 names across six sectors that are highly ranked on a quantitative basis, not crowded and rated as overweight by the firm's analysts. The updated basket comes as the broader market trades at record highs, making it difficult for investors to find attractively valued stocks. Here is a look at some of the names in Bernstein's latest quantitative and fundamental basket of stocks: Telecommunication giant T-Mobile made the list. Analyst Daniel Roeska's $55 price target corresponds to another potential 19% upside from the stock's Tuesday closing price.
Persons: Bernstein, Ottavio Adorisio's, David Barden, Barden, Danilo Gargiulo, Goldman Sachs, Daniel Roeska's, Motors Organizations: Mobile, Bank of America, Automobile, General Motors
The rally for Japanese stocks is set to continue in the second half of the year, but the best way for American investors to participate in it could change, according to the BlackRock Investment Institute. The firm said in its midyear outlook that being overweight on Japanese stocks is one of its highest conviction calls. Many Americans have already been rushing into funds that track Japanese stocks, part of a broader increase in foreign investor money . HEWJ YTD mountain Currency-hedged Japanese funds like the HEWJ are outperforming their unhedged counterparts in 2024. Goldman Sachs Asset Management said in its midyear outlook that "in Japan, we expect strong equity market performance to continue being driven by structural changes."
Persons: Wei Li, Li Organizations: BlackRock Investment Institute, U.S ., BlackRock, Goldman, Management Locations: U.S, BlackRock, Japan, bullish
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