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Even 2022, when the S & P 500 fell more than 19%, saw bigger inflows. These investors missed out with the S & P 500 ending the year with a 9-week winning streak to bring the benchmark's return for 2023 to 24%. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1 year The S & P 500 fell to start the trading year on Tuesday and was indicated to fall slightly again on Wednesday. January is typically the strongest month of year for equity inflows anyway, Goldman notes. If investors allocate the typical percentage to stocks they do every January, this month could see $60 billion of inflows.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Scott Rubner, Rubner, Michael Bloom Organizations: Global
This year could be a better one for dividend stocks. This year, the Federal Reserve has said it's likely to cut interest rates three times , which could bode well for dividend stocks . "Moving forward … it's the time to start buying dividend stocks." The insurance company has a 3.1% dividend yield and 16% upside to the average analyst price target. The stock, which has a 3.3% dividend yield, has 26% upside to the average price target.
Persons: bode, Matt Powers, VIG, FactSet, TD Cowen, Matt Elkott, Jimmy Bhullar, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Powers Advisory, CNBC, Trinity Industries, Trinity, MetLife, JPMorgan, MET, Utilities
UBS is getting more bullish on the outlook for artificial intelligence and bracing for another prosperous year for the "tech theme of the decade." The firm lifted its revenue forecast for AI by 40%. In comparison, it took the smart devices industry more than 10 years for its revenues to grow by 15 times. "Meanwhile, software, with broadening AI demand trends from applications and models, is a defensive play, thanks to its strong recurring revenue base." Within the semiconductor industry, UBS favors logic, memory, capital equipment and foundry names, while companies exposed to office productivity, cloud and models appear best situated in software.
Persons: — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, Devices, Broadcom, Marvell Technology, VanEck Semiconductor, Semiconductors
With interest rates expected to come down in 2024, real estate — a sector beloved for its steady income payments — could see upside in the new year. "When rates are low, a lot of income-oriented investors see that REIT dividend as very attractive, and they are willing to take the risks associated with equity investment to have this dividend payment." Jefferies is neutral on the office REIT sector but has raised its rating on Boston Properties to buy from hold. The senior housing occupancy rate was 84.4% in the third quarter of 2023, according to the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care . That's up more than 6 percentage points from the pandemic low of 77.8%, but it's still off from the pre-pandemic occupancy rate of 87.1%.
Persons: REITs, Kevin Brown, Jefferies, Peter Abramowitz, Morningstar's Brown, it's, Brown, JPMorgan's Anthony Paolone, Ventas, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Chris Hayes Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Boston Properties, Boston, National Investment Center, Seniors Housing & Care, Realty Locations: U.S, Boston, Friday's
Arjun Kharpal | CNBCBEIJING — BYD produced more than 3 million new energy vehicles in 2023, surpassing Tesla 's production for a second straight year. Tesla said Tuesday it produced 1.84 million cars in 2023. While total production surpassed Tesla, BYD manufactured 1.6 million battery-only passenger cars and 1.4 million hybrids, putting Tesla on top for battery-only production. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconEven though it surpassed the 3 million mark, BYD's annual sales slightly missed CLSA's expectations for 3.05 million vehicles. BYD said it sold 3.02 million new energy vehicles in 2023.
Persons: BYD, Arjun Kharpal, Tesla, Elon, Aito, Geely, Zeekr, Nezha, Joel Ying, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC BEIJING, Elon Musk's, Monday, Overseas, CNBC, EV, China, EU Locations: Europe, Munich, Germany, China, Hong Kong, Hungary
Many biotech stocks struggled in 2023 despite a robust year for U.S. drug approvals. "We expect this environment to continue but look forward to the prospect of lower interest rates in 2024." When that happens, Canaccord Genuity said to expect a "strong rally across the biotech sector rewarding innovative, but riskier assets." Analysts have said the rich price reflects the opportunity for ImmunoGen's Elahere cancer treatment , which has quickly established itself as the standard of care for types of ovarian cancer. 'Oversold and cheap' In a research note Friday, Jefferies analyst Michael Yee said "a significant short squeeze" was helping biotech stocks in the fourth quarter.
Persons: Dan Lyons, Janus Henderson, John Newman, Canaccord Genuity, Janus, Lyons, Bristol Myers Squibb, Karuna, AstraZeneca, Eli Lilly, AbbVie, Jonathan Miller, Miller, bode, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, BTIG's, Jefferies, Michael Yee, Yee, NASH, Madrigal, we're, David Risinger, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Drug, Federal, Bristol Myers, Karuna Therapeutics, CART, Bristol Myers Squibb, Cerevel Therapeutics, Securities and Exchange Commission, pharma, P Biotech, Nasdaq Biotech, Apogee Therapeutics, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Madrigal, resmetirom, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Leerink Partners Locations: ImmunoGen
Lilly's Zepbound recently entered the weight loss market, and is off to a strong start. But what's ahead for the weight loss trade in 2024? Beyond weight loss One of 2023's most pivotal events in the space was Novo Nordisk's release of top line results from its Select trial in August . In 2023, the exuberance around weight loss drugs roiled markets in many unexpected ways. The affected companies have also been very vocal in addressing how they plan to coexist with these weight loss products.
Persons: Oprah Winfrey, Eli Lilly, they've, Lilly's, Lilly's Zepbound, Andy Acker, Janus Henderson's, Lilly, Novo, FactSet, Acker, Janus, Buzz, Gregory Renza, Renza, Goldman Sachs, Chris Shibutani, Mike Kratky, Kratky, Dexcom, Leerink, Winfrey, I've, Winfrey's, Michael Bloom Organizations: Novo Nordisk, Wall Street, Wall, RBC Capital, Pfizer, Structure Therapeutics, AstraZeneca, Leerink, Nestle, Oprah Daily, Winfrey, International Locations: Friday's, Eccogene, MedTech, 3Q23
Nike shares plunged Friday after the athletic apparel maker cut its revenue outlook for the fiscal year, with sneaker retailer Foot Locker also feeling the blow. Foot Locker, which relies heavily on Nike products in its stores, closed down nearly 4%. Nike said in its earnings report Thursday that the company now expects its revenue to grow 1% for the fiscal year, down from the prior outlook of mid-single-digit growth. The company also said it was going to cut costs of upward of $2 billion over the next three years. The new outlook reflects increased headwinds "particularly in Greater China and EMEA," finance chief Matthew Friend said in the earnings call Thursday.
Persons: Locker, Matthew Friend, Cowen, Goldman Sachs, Gabrielle Fonrouge, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nike, EMEA, CNBC PRO Locations: Greater China
It turns out that the Santa Claus rally on Wall Street extends beyond the official seven-session stretch from December into January for the S & P 500 , according to Bank of America. The official seven-session Santa Claus rally encompasses the final five trading sessions of December and the first two days of January. Historically during that period, the S & P 500 has gained 79% of the time with an average return of 1.66%, Bank of America found. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 is less than 1% away from reaching a fresh all-time high close. This year, the S & P 500 rallied 3.3% over the first 10 sessions of December, which ran through the 14 th of the month, Suttmeier found.
Persons: Santa Claus, Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, Russell, Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Santa
(PRO subscribers can view the official 2024 strategist survey here . ) "Lifting our 12-month S & P 500 target to 5100 as inflation falls, the Fed turns dovish, and real yields plunge," Kostin wrote. Other Wall Street firms with similarly bullish forecasts include Citigroup and BMO Capital Markets, which each have S & P 500 price targets of 5,100. Barclays' Venu Krishna was even more bearish, anticipating the S & P 500 would fall to 3,725. Entering the penultimate trading week of the year, the S & P 500 is almost 23% higher in 2023, while the Nasdaq Composite has advanced almost 42%.
Persons: , Stocks, Sam Stovall, Monday, Stovall, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, America's Savita Subramanian, JPMorgan's, Bujas, Morgan Stanley, BofA's Subramanian —, Venu Krishna, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Dow Industrials Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, CFRA Research, Goldman, Oppenheimer Asset Management, Citigroup, BMO Capital Markets, Bank, America's, Nvidia, Microsoft, Barclays, Nasdaq Locations: Friday's
Stock market gains over the past six weeks have been so rapid, one technical indicator suggests a pullback may be ahead. Stocks in the S & P 500 have reached a level of overbought condition that has preceded past pullbacks, according to Wolfe Research analyst Rob Ginsberg. The S & P 500 is up 24% off its low for the year, including 9% this quarter alone. The stock market has fallen an average of 3.6% one month later roughly 60% of the time when this overbought indicator has been reached, according to Wolfe. The last time 30% or more of the stocks in the S & P 500 were overbought was in 2022.
Persons: Stocks, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Wolfe, overbought, Kraft Heinz, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, Boeing, Kraft, CNBC Pro
UBS is out with its 2024 outlook, and it expects some wild swings for markets next year. The Wall Street firm on Monday said it sees the S & P 500 ending next year at 4,850, roughly 5% above Monday's close of 4,622.44. Stocks have been on a tear recently, with the S & P 500 riding a six-week winning streak. "The large spread between current strength and expected weakness presents a dilemma for investors," Golub wrote Monday. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin said he anticipates the S & P 500 will end next year at 4,700 , just a stone's throw from where the broader index is currently trading.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, Stocks, Golub, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, UBS Investment Bank, Bank, America's
Widely followed Wall Street strategist Ed Yardeni issued a head-turning bull call on the stock market, seeing the S & P 500 soaring all the way to 6,000 in two years. The president of Yardeni Research raised his year-end 2025 target to 6,000, which represents a 30% leap from Monday's close of 4,622.44. His forecast assumes 2026 earnings for the S & P 500 of $300 per share, and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 20. The S & P 500 just registered a six-week winning streak, bringing 2023 gains to 20%. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 "This year's Santa Claus rally started early," Yardeni wrote.
Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Santa Claus, Michael Bloom Organizations: Yardeni Research Locations: Santa
Broadcom stock spikes to new yearlong high
  + stars: | 2023-12-11 | by ( Jake Piazza | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Broadcom shares jumped 9% Monday after Citigroup resumed its coverage of the stock with a buy rating and updated its price target to $1,100. Broadcom bought VMware in November to bolster its cloud technology infrastructure that it sells to other businesses. Citigroup's bullishness is largely because it believes Broadcom is well-positioned to earn money from the AI boom. "We expect sales from AI infrastructure to double from $4 billion in F23 (11% of F23 sales) to over $8 billion in F24 (17% in F24 sales)," the analysts wrote. Broadcom reported solid earnings for its fiscal fourth quarter last Thursday, which gave its shares a 2.4% boost to $944.30 at Friday's market close.
Persons: it's, bullishness, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Broadcom, Citigroup, VMware, Google, Comcast, Nvidia
Stocks will continue to rise as the U.S. skirts a recession in 2024, according to CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. "By the end of 2024, CFRA sees the S & P 500 challenging the 5,000 level," Stovall wrote in a Friday note. "But since large, round numbers traditionally act like rusty doors, requiring several attempts before finally swinging open, our year-end target for the S & P 500 is 4,940." .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has gained about 21% from the start of 2023. Stovall's forecast implies about 7% upside for the S & P 500 to the end of 2024.
Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Stovall, Stocks, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Reserve, Treasury Locations: U.S
Shares of Snap notched their highest price in over a year on Monday after analysts at Wells Fargo released a bullish report on the stock. The analysts upgraded the shares from equal weight to overweight and raised their price target from $8 to $22. Snap was trading around $15.75 as of market close Monday, the highest it has been since July 2022. Snap shares closed up more than 4% Monday. The Wells Fargo analysts added that Snap's recent changes to its products and leadership have been key to the company's revenue reacceleration and innovation.
Persons: Evan Spiegel, Spiegel, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wells, Google, Meta, CNBC PRO
JPMorgan predicts European stock markets will struggle to produce positive returns next year as investors digest slowing economic growth across the continent. The forecast for 2024 comes from the same team of strategists that have, so far, accurately called the MSCI Eurozone's performance this year. They expected the index to rise 9.1% to close at 256 points by the end of December 2023 on a local currency basis. "We look for flat European [earnings per share] growth in 2024, based on no recession materializing," said JPMorgan strategists led by Mislav Matejka in a note to clients on Nov. 29. The JPMorgan strategists believe stocks will sink in the first half of 2024 as markets factor in potential downward adjustments to earnings estimates.
Persons: Mislav Matejka, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, FTSE
Goldman Sachs has unveiled its "conviction list" of top stock picks in Europe for December — and London-listed shares of BT Group stand out. Goldman Sachs expects BT's share price to more than double to 290 pence over the next 12 months. Wall Street rivals Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan also believe BT shares are mispriced as investors have undervalued its network arm, Openreach. Conviction list Other prominent stocks on Goldman's conviction list include Delivery Hero , Burberry , Bureau Veritas and Philips . Goldman notes that its conviction list should not be seen as a portfolio, as the stocks are not weighted.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Openreach, Terence Tsui, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BT Group, BT, Wall, JPMorgan, Burberry, Veritas, Philips Locations: Europe, London
Investors should focus on defensive stocks ahead of an expected economic slowdown in 2024, according to the Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Against this forecast, Cronk added that investors may have to wait until the second half of 2024 before visibility improves and markets meaningfully recover. Wednesday saw stocks climb after two back to back losing sessions for both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 . "The lack of market breadth (along with our expectation for an economic slowdown) suggests late-cycle dynamics are at play, leading us to maintain our defensive positioning entering 2024," he said. Cronk highlighted health care, industrials and materials as three key market segments that fit his suggested defensive investor focus.
Persons: Darrell Cronk, Cronk, Michael Bloom Organizations: Wells, Investment Institute, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Wells Fargo
It has been quite a year for both Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk given the boom in weight-loss drugs. Shares in Eli Lilly are up around 60% year-to-date, while its Danish counterpart Novo Nordisk has seen a gain of around 50%. At present, both Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk offer weight loss treatments. Novo Nordisk Novo Nordisk's Wegovy recently made headlines for reducing the risk of heart attacks and strokes by 20% in adults with heart disease and obesity. Aside from Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, Pfizer , Johnson & Johnson and AstraZeneca are also developing weight-loss drugs.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Stocks, Rahul Ghosh, Rowe Price, TRP's Ghosh, Eli Lilly's, Ghosh, FactSet, Lilly, Novo Nordisk Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, Elizabeth Field, Squawk, What's, it's, Michael Bloom Organizations: Novo Nordisk, Nordisk, CNBC Pro, U.S . Food, Administration, pharma, Novo Nordisk Novo Nordisk's, Heart Association Scientific, Citi, Pfizer, Johnson, AstraZeneca, Barclays Locations: Danish, U.S, Novo
Three stocks — Liberty Broadband , U.K.'s BT Group and JD Sports Fashion — have risen by double-digit percentages this year. Liberty Broadband Liberty Broadband is a telecommunication holding company that has an ownership interest in Charter Communications, the second-largest cable operator in the United States. The consensus price target of analysts polled by FactSet points to a 55% upside potential for Liberty Broadband shares from the current share price of $82. Deutsche Bank views Liberty Broadband as an attractive way to invest in Charter, estimating it trades at a 32% discount to net asset value (NAV). BT.A-GB YTD line Their price target of 220 pence implies an additional 79% share price increase over the next year from the current share price of 123 pence.
Persons: FactSet, Bryan Kraft, Benjamin Soff, Morgan Stanley, Openreach, Terence Tsui, Kate Calvert, Calvert, JD, Michael Bloom Organizations: Liberty Broadband, BT Group, JD, Wall, CNBC Pro, CNBC Pro Stock, Liberty Broadband Liberty Broadband, Charter Communications, Deutsche Bank, CHTR, BT, JD Sports, North America, Dick's Sporting Goods Locations: United States, Alaska, U.K, BT.A, Europe, North, Derby, Heerlen, Netherlands, U.S
Coinbase shares have even further to climb despite already being up 13% since the start of December and the low appetite for crypto coming from retail investors, according to Needham. Needham raised its price target on Coinbase on Tuesday to $160 from $120, implying about 13% upside from its closing price Monday. Meanwhile, although retail investors' appetite for crypto has improved since bottoming a year ago after the collapse of FTX, interest is generally low, according to Needham. "Retail crypto engagement is considerably lower than in prior years and despite the recent price gains, has been fairly muted," Todaro said. Dominance tends to rise in bear markets as investors rotate into the safety of bitcoin compared to other crypto coins .
Persons: Needham, John Todaro, Todaro, Coinbase, Franklin Templeton, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S . Department of Justice, Apple Locations: Needham, U.S, BlackRock, WisdomTree, bitcoin
Expect to work a little harder for those fixed income returns in the new year. As a result, it may be time to start unwinding those big cash positions and adopt a longer-term mentality for fixed income investments. A runup in bond yields is accompanied by a decline in prices, and the two move inversely to one another. The sector "remains well positioned to maintain its high credit quality, driven by solid state credit quality and strong state financial support, despite soft enrollment trends," analyst Kathleen McNamara wrote last week. Consider dollar cost averaging into those longer-dated positions, incrementally building up exposure to intermediate duration bonds.
Persons: Jerome Powell, it's, Kathy Jones, Shannon Saccocia, Jones, Nicholos Venditti, Kathleen McNamara, Schwab's Jones, Barry McAlinden, Michael Bloom Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Bond, SEC, Muni Bond ETF, Allspring Global Investments, UBS
Broadridge Financial Solutions , which provides proxy services for big corporations during boardroom brawls, could generate as much as $50 million in event-driven revenue from the Peltz-Disney war, according to Evercore ISI analyst David Togut. During Trian's 2017 proxy battle against Procter & Gamble, the consumer giant paid about $60 million to Broadridge for proxy service, Togut said. Evercore ISI said a company's retail investor base is the best representation for Broadridge's revenue. Since Disney has 81% of the retail shares P & G has, it estimated that Broadridge could make up to $50 million from the proxy war. Evercore ISI set an outperform rating on Broadridge and raised its 12-month price target to $230 from $226.
Persons: Nelson Peltz's, David Togut, Broadridge, Togut, Evercore, Peltz, Trian, Ike Perlmutter, Bob Iger, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Disney, Procter & Gamble, Marvel Entertainment, Evercore ISI
Goldman Sachs reiterates Nike as buy After a transfer of analyst coverage, Goldman Sachs said it sees improving growth for Nike shares. UBS downgrades United Rentals to neutral from buy UBS said in its downgrade of the equipment rental company that it sees a more balanced risk/reward. UBS reiterates Apple as neutral UBS said its analysis of Apple's App Store shows revenue increasing. UBS reiterates Netflix as buy UBS said it's standing by its buy rating on Netflix shares after hosting the company at a conference. William Blair reiterates Charles Schwab as outperform William Blair named Schwab a top pick for 2024, noting it's well-positioned.
Persons: Raymond James, Piper Sandler downgrades Albemarle, Piper Sandler, it's, Goldman Sachs, Roth, Roth MKM, TD Cowen, Bernstein, Mizuho downgrades Prologis, Wells, Wells Fargo, Oppenheimer, Domino's, Elliott, Morgan Stanley, Meta, Needham, Coinbase, JPMorgan, Raymond James downgrades Lululemon, LULU, Strong, William Blair, Charles Schwab, Schwab Organizations: Crescent Energy, Energy Company, Eagle Ford, UW, Nike, Bank of America, UBS, Credit Suisse, Yale, HY, United Rentals, Apple, Semiconductors, JPMorgan, IBM, Consulting, Mizuho, Marriott, of America, Netflix, Management, Integra, Financial, ISI, Disney, BR, Cargo Therapeutics, Citi, Travere Therapeutics Locations: Houston, Uinta, Eagle, LTHM, 2024E, 2025E, Argentina, Boston, China, Mexican
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