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Without strong profit progress in the Q1 earnings season starting in mid-April, US stocks may surrender their 8.2% year-to-date gain. Loftier estimates, top-heavy earnings are reasons for worryFirms have a rather low bar to clear in the upcoming earnings season, as is often the case. The market's largest companies are disproportionately driving earnings growth in addition to stock returns, Goldman Sachs found. The Q1 earnings season begins in earnest on Friday as big banks share results. Early reporters have beaten earnings estimates by 13.5%, Golub wrote, which he added is more than double the typical rate.
Persons: Richard Saperstein, James Ragan, David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Kostin, Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise, we're, Saglimbene, Arun Bharath, Bharath, Jonathan Golub, Golub, they're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Business, Treasury Partners, DA Davidson, Nvidia, Big Tech, Bel Air Investment Advisors, UBS, Institute for Supply Management Locations: America
Investors may want to keep an eye on Marvell Technology , as it is poised for artificial intelligence success, according to Wall Street analysts. The commentary comes on the back of the chipmaker's AI event on Thursday, where it announced a new compute customer many speculate could be Microsoft. On the back of the event, Wells Fargo analyst Gary Mobley lifted 2025 revenue and earnings per share estimates to account for a quicker ramp in AI sales. While Morgan Stanley continues to view the stock as an AI winner, analyst Joseph Moore noted he still favors Nvidia. That is in part due to the "sideways" action Marvell has experienced over the past year and its elevated multiple.
Persons: MRVL, Timothy Arcuri, Arcuri, JPMorgan's Harlan Sur, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Wells, Gary Mobley, Morgan Stanley, Joseph Moore, Marvell Organizations: Marvell Technology, Wall Street, UBS, Microsoft, Marvell, Nvidia Locations: CY28, Wells Fargo
For example, we now have a higher interest rate environment that will add more pressure on deposit costs. There is anticipation of more builds for reserves, particularly for commercial real estate, but also possibly for credit cards. The commercial real estate problem is the main issue. "Anything that's levered like commercial real estate, it's a different world," Tom Michaud, CEO of Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, said in a recent interview on FactSet. "I expect more commercial real estate losses in every category, the question is whether it is going to be cataclysmic or is it going to be manageable."
Persons: Financials, Banks, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Wells Fargo, it's, Tom Michaud, Keefe, Woods Organizations: UBS, Credit Suisse, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, First Republic, Regional Bank ETF, Bank, Allstate, Travelers Locations: Wells Fargo, Treasurys, Hartford
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan's net interest income was a bit of a disappointment, says UBS analyst Erika NajarianErika Najarian, UBS bank analyst, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss JPMorgan's stock slide post-earnings, potential rate cuts that impact the bank's business, and more.
Persons: Erika Najarian Erika Najarian Organizations: UBS
Here are Friday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley reiterates Netflix as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on the stock to $700 per share from $600. Morgan Stanley reiterates Starbucks as overweight Morgan Stanley lowered its price target to $115 per share from $120 but says it's sticking with Starbucks shares. "Charles Schwab's profitability, earnings growth, and free cash flow yield make it an attractive stock in the Financial sector." "Our 12-month price target of $84 (17% potential upside) is unchanged and we maintain our Buy rating on the stock." Goldman Sacks reiterates Apple as buy Goldman said it's sticking with its buy rating ahead of earnings in early May.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Wolfe, Piper Sandler, Charles Schwab, Piper, Schwab, Charles, Marvell, Jefferies, ASO's, BTIG, it's, Rosenblatt, Raymond James, Goldman Sacks, Apple, Goldman, Janney, Tesla Organizations: Netflix, BMO, Microsoft, Starbucks, JPMorgan, " Bank of America, Bank of America, Sports, Environment, UBS, NYSE, Energy, Arista Networks, Arista, AI Data Center, Mizuho, Citi, Cisco Citi, Cisco, Boeing, Novo Nordisk Locations: South America, Europe, China
Recent inflation reports spooked investors, sparking a sell-off on Wednesday, but defensive stocks could provide some stability the next time markets get rocky. Those fears have contributed to a pullback in the market, with the S & P 500 slipping around 1% since the start of April. Investors could consider rotating into more defensively focused names to prepare for market volatility. Roper, on the other hand, has struggled this year, with the software stock's shares falling slightly in 2024. He said this week that Coterra was the firm's only buy-rated name in the natural gas exploration and production space.
Persons: technology's, ServiceNow, LSEG . Roper, LSEG, Roper, TJX, Coterra, Josh Silverstein, Silverstein Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors, CNBC, Beta, CNBC Pro, Roper Technologies, Nasdaq, Coterra Energy
Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Netflix to $700 from $600. 7:13 a.m.: JPMorgan cuts Boeing price target, but says demand should push strong long-term growth Investors shouldn't give up on Boeing as a long-term investment, according to JPMorgan. Analyst Seth Seifman lowered his price target by $20 to $210, implying 21.1% potential upside for shares of the aerospace company. He raised his target price by $14 to $62, which suggests 4.2% potential upside for DocuSign over the next year. The analyst kept his neutral rating on the stock but cut his price target by $16 to $180.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Seth Seifman, Seifman, — Pia Singh, Evan Seigerman, Seigerman, Karl Keirstead, DocuSign, Keirstead, Itay Michaeli, Michaeli, Tesla, Elon Musk, Benjamin Swinburne, Swinburne, Wolfe, Shreyas Patil, Patil, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Wolfe Research, JPMorgan, Boeing, Novo Nordisk, BMO Capital Markets BMO Capital, pharma, UBS, Adobe, Citi, Citi Research, Tesla, Netflix Netflix, Mobileye Locations: China, Novo, U.S, Netflix's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Lose-lose situation': New Swiss bank laws could derail UBS challenge to Wall Street giantsBeat Wittman, partner at Porta Advisors, reviews new Swiss banking regulation and its potential impact on UBS in the wake of its absorption of Credit Suisse.
Persons: Beat Wittman Organizations: UBS, Wall Street, Porta Advisors, Credit Suisse Locations: Swiss
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS shares move lower after politicians request strong capital requirementsCNBC's Silvia Amaro reports on the "Too Big To Fail" report from Switzerland, which calls for strong capital requirements from banking giant UBS after the absorption of Credit Suisse.
Persons: CNBC's Silvia Amaro Organizations: UBS, Credit Suisse Locations: Switzerland
Goldman Sachs reiterates Alphabet as buy Goldman said it's sticking with its buy rating following the company's Google Cloud Next event. "We are initiating coverage of Airbnb (ABNB) with a BUY rating and a $190 per share price target." "Following a period of restriction, we are moving to an Overweight rating and a December 2024 price target of $140." "Given the increase in stock price, we believe valuation levels have disconnected from the fundamental outlook." Piper Sandler reiterates Meta as overweight Piper raised its price target on the stock to $600 per share from $525. "
Persons: Evercore, it's bullish, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Berenberg, TD Cowen, Visa, Oppenheimer, it's, Snowflake, Raymond James, Simona Jankowski, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Moffett, We've, Marsh, Bernstein, Kenvue, underperform Bernstein, Johnson, Needham, Airbnb, CVX, TTE, Piper Sandler, Meta, Piper, Wells Fargo Organizations: JPMorgan, Apple, Mastercard, Barclays, Nasdaq, Nvidia, UBS, Gartner, IT, Deutsche Bank, ATI, Deutsche, Disney, Microsoft, TEAM, " Bank of America, Nike, of America, Citi, Robinhood, MMC, Qualcomm, Johnson, Consumer, Scotiabank, Hamilton Insurance, Costco, ~$ Locations: Albemarle, Chevron
The banking giant is expected to report earnings of $4.15 per share and $41.84 billion in revenue, according to LSEG. Many analysts also anticipate an upward revision to net interest income guidance, with the firm already forecasting $90 billion for the full year. Graseck views JPMorgan as one of the best-positioned stocks for upward net interest income revisions, also highlighting its significant excess capital relative to others within the firm's coverage. What else to watch If not during earnings, this upward guidance adjustment to net interest income could occur at JPMorgan's investor day in May, she said. Another key figure some analysts are watching is earnings from First Republic, which the company took over in May 2023 .
Persons: JPM, Piper Sandler's Scott Siefers, Morgan Stanley's Betsy Graseck, Graseck, Goldman Sachs, Richard Ramsden, America's Ebrahim Poonawala, Erika Najarian, NII, Wells, Mike Mayo, Ramsden Organizations: JPMorgan, Wall Street, Management, Bank, America's, First Locations: buybacks, First Republic, Republic
Club holding Wells Fargo will post quarterly results on Friday, followed by our other financial holding, Morgan Stanley, on Tuesday. In theory, higher borrowing costs mean Wells Fargo can generate more money from those interest-earning assets, but it's not that simple. It's hard to say with the fluid inflation and rate expectations whether Wells Fargo might change its NII outlook when it reports on Friday. Wells Fargo also has a key long-term growth prospect in the potential removal of its $1.9 trillion Fed-imposed asset cap. A woman walks past Wells Fargo bank in New York City, U.S., March 17, 2020.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, We're, Jim Cramer, Wells, Wells Fargo's, Mike Santomassimo, Santomassimo, Jim said, Jim, Wells Fargo, Charlie Scharf, Charlie's, He's, Morgan, there's, Jefferies, Reddit's, James Gorman, Ted Pick, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Club, Silicon Valley Bank, UBS, Investment, JPMorgan, Jefferies, Discover, Wall Street, Amer Sports, Astera Labs, Reddit's, New York Stock Exchange, Street Journal, CNBC Locations: Wells, Silicon, Wells Fargo, Capital, Wilson, Morgan, New York City, U.S
Inflation slowed substantially in 2023 as the Fed lifted rates to nearly a quarter-century high and held them at that level since July. Still, most Fed officials have signaled that they plan to cut rates this year if the economy evolves as expected. And if the inflation situation worsens even further, the Fed may even have to consider raising rates. Like Bowman and Kashkari, New York Fed President John Williams said rate hikes aren’t part of his baseline outlook. The timing of that first rate cut is critical because if the Fed cuts too soon, it risks locking in inflation at a high level.
Persons: hasn’t, Michelle Bowman, Neel Kashkari, Bowman, John Williams, he’s, ” Williams, Williams, Jerome Powell, Susan Collins, ” Collins, Powell, Larry Summers, ” Summers, Summers, Goldman Sachs, Organizations: CNN, Wall, Federal Reserve, ” Minneapolis, Kashkari , New York Fed, Boston, CPI, Bloomberg, UBS, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: Kashkari , New
Sergio Ermotti, CEO of Swiss banking giant UBS, during the group's annual shareholders meeting in Zurich on May 2, 2013. Fabrice Coffrini | Afp | Getty ImagesSwitzerland's tough new banking regulations create a "lose-lose situation" for UBS and may limit its potential to challenge Wall Street giants, according to Beat Wittmann, partner at Zurich-based Porta Advisors. The government-backed takeover was the biggest merger of two systemically important banks since the Global Financial Crisis. At $1.7 trillion, the UBS balance sheet is now double the country's annual GDP, prompting enhanced scrutiny of the protections surrounding the Swiss banking sector and the broader economy in the wake of the Credit Suisse collapse. The Wednesday report floated giving additional powers to the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority, applying capital surcharges and fortifying the financial position of subsidiaries — but stopped short of recommending a "blanket increase" in capital requirements.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, Fabrice Coffrini, Beat Wittmann, Wittmann, Wittman, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley — Organizations: UBS, Afp, Getty, Wall, Porta Advisors, Swiss, Credit Suisse, Suisse, Swiss Financial Market, Authority, JPMorgan, Citigroup Locations: Zurich, Switzerland
Why gold prices are at record highsFrom central banks to Costco customers, it seems everyone is buying gold these days, reports CNN’s John Towfighi. Central banks see gold as a long-term store of value and a safe haven during times of economic and international turmoil. When interest rates fall, gold prices tend to rise, as bullion becomes more appealing than income-paying assets like bonds. The People’s Bank of China bought gold for the 17th straight month in March, adding 160,000 ounces to bring reserves to 72.74 million troy ounces of gold, according to Reuters. The Honest Company posted a strong fourth quarter in March.
Persons: , ” Mark Carney, , GFANZ, Jamie Dimon, ” Dimon, JPMorgan, CNN’s John Towfighi, China —, Read, Jessica Alba, Ramishah Maruf, Alba’s, Chuck Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, European Central Bank, Glasgow Financial Alliance, UN, Bank of England, ECB, MIT, Columbia Business School, Zero Banking Alliance, United Nations, decarbonization, CNN, JPMorgan Chase, State, JPMorgan, Investors, Federal Reserve, China, People’s Bank of China, Reuters, UBS, The Honest, The Honest Company, Honest, Nasdaq Locations: New York, Glasgow, China, India, Turkey
As inflation concerns remain at the forefront of investors' minds, UBS is eyeing stocks that can find growth no matter the economic cycle. "We define compounders as all-weather stocks that leverage operational excellence and competitive advantages to grow through any phase of the economic cycle," analyst Joseph Parkhill wrote on Tuesday. S & P 500 stocks are trading near all-time high valuations of 20 times price to earnings and 14 times enterprise value/EBITDA, Parkhill said. Here's a look at some of the 17 stocks that UBS is watching. Stocks also on the UBS list include artificial intelligence plays Microsoft and Broadcom .
Persons: Joseph Parkhill, Parkhill, AMZN, Stephen Ju, Jay Sole, Stocks Organizations: UBS, Amazon, Microsoft, Broadcom
Switzerland's government said on Wednesday that UBS and three other systemically relevant banks must face tougher capital requirements to shield the country's wider economy, a year after the rescue of Credit Suisse. In 209 pages of recommendations on how to police banks deemed "too big to fail" (TBTF), the Swiss government pitched 22 measures for direct implementation. It stopped short of saying how far stricter capital requirements should go. The increase in requirements for UBS will be "substantial, especially if UBS were to retain its current size and structure, or even grow," it noted in an explanatory document. The Swiss government-backed takeover by UBS of Credit Suisse last year was the biggest merger of banks of systemic importance since the 2007-9 financial crisis.
Persons: Switzerland's Organizations: UBS, Credit Suisse, Swiss Locations: Manhattan , New York City, Switzerland, Swiss
Robert Kiyosaki warned an "everything bubble" spanning stocks, bonds, and real estate would pop. The "Rich Dad Poor Dad" author touted gold, silver, and bitcoin for riding out the storm. "The EVERYTHING BUBBLE, stocks, bonds, real estate SET to CRASH," he said in a recent X post. Please buy more real gold, silver, Bitcoin." The Rich Dad Company founder's latest crash warning should be treated with skepticism as his previous ones have failed to pan out.
Persons: Robert Kiyosaki, Dad, , — he's, bitcoin, Rich Dad, founder's, Kiyosaki, Lehman Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Credit Suisse, UBS Locations: Swiss
Why gold prices are at record highs
  + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( John Towfighi | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Central banks see gold as a long-term store of value and a safe haven during times of economic and international turmoil. When interest rates fall, gold prices tend to rise, as bullion becomes more appealing than income-paying assets like bonds. Investors also regard gold as a hedge against inflation, betting bullion will retain its value when prices rise. The People’s Bank of China bought gold for the 17th straight month in March, adding 160,000 ounces to bring reserves to 72.74 million troy ounces of gold, according to Reuters. Higher oil prices are likely to stoke concerns over inflation, boosting gold prices, according to the UBS research note.
Persons: China —, Ulf Lindahl, Lindahl, Morgan, JP Morgan, Janet Yellen’s, Yellen, Mark Zandi, Jerome Powell, Wells, Richard Galanti, It’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Investors, Federal Reserve, China, People’s Bank of China, Reuters, UBS, Research Associates, Moody’s, of Commerce, Costco Locations: New York, China, India, Turkey, Central, Wells Fargo
EV shoppers want more choices than Tesla. This is the latest sign that the EV slowdown is catching up to Elon Musk. Well over half of the EV shoppers surveyed by UBS in an annual study said they would prefer to buy an electric car from a legacy carmaker over a new manufacturer such as Tesla. On top of that, the bank found that the likelihood a US shopper would buy an EV increased with brands other than Tesla. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Elon Musk, Organizations: Service, EV, UBS, Business
Data centers house vast amounts of computing power needed for AI workloads, and that need is set to grow as many tech companies are rapidly developing infrastructure for artificial intelligence. The bank named three stocks to play the trend: U.S.-listed power management firm Eaton , French energy tech firm Schneider Electric and U.S. power tech firm Cummins . It says Eaton is the key U.S. play on data centers, with 14% exposure and "broad favourable trends" in electrification, while Cummins has "favourable backup power exposure" to data centers. UBS gave Eaton a price target of $330, representing marginal downside. It gave the stock a price target of 250 euros ($270), or around 20% potential upside.
Persons: Eaton, Cummins, Schneider, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Capital Goods, Schneider Electric
Investors looking for high-quality income, as well as a bargain, should turn to agency mortgage-backed securities, according to UBS. Agency MBS are debt obligations backed by the government and are issued by agencies such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae. However, agency MBS lagged their higher-quality counterparts because they are highly correlated to interest rate volatility, she said. As gross domestic product slowly trends lower, the market will become more comfortable with the likelihood of the Fed cutting rates, Falconio said. Banks, which have been investing excess deposits in Treasurys, will be among those turning to agency MBS, Falconio said.
Persons: Leslie Falconio, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Falconio, Janus Henderson, Banks Organizations: UBS, CNBC, Agency MBS, Federal Reserve, MBS, SEC, Securities ETF Locations: UBS Americas, Treasurys
Some of those annoying fees on your credit card may soon be getting smaller. Banks and credit-card companies are almost certainly trying to figure out where else they squeeze money out of you. The response to the interchange-fee settlement has been a bit more muted: The Electronic Payments Coalition, which represents Visa, Mastercard, and other credit-card companies, said it was OK with the swipe-fees cap. Taken together, it's clear that many companies in the credit-card business would rather not be dealing with this situation. According to the Merchants Payments Coalition, Mastercard is now planning to increase different credit card fees soon, it's "network assessment" fee.
Persons: Banks, Matt Schulz, JPMorgan Chase, Mark Elliot, Doug Kantor, Mark Mason, Rich Fairbank, We've, it's, Ira Rheingold, Amanda Jackson, Emily Stewart Organizations: Consumer Financial, Mastercard, Visa, Bank Policy Institute, Electronic Payments Coalition, UBS, JPMorgan, American Express, National Association of Convenience Stores, Merchants Payments Coalition, Capital, JPMorgan Chase, National Association of Consumer, Companies, Financial Reform, Business
The Peninsula Hotel in Hong Kong, an iconic property that opened in 1928, offers a luxury experience. Steps away from the glistening Victoria Harbour sits the Peninsula Hotel. The flagship hotel in the Peninsula Hotels group, which boasts properties worldwide, opened in December 1928, making it one of the oldest hotels in Hong Kong. The iconic hotel, one of the official hotel partners of Art Basel Hong Kong, sponsored by the global lead partner UBS, is nestled right on the Kowloon Peninsula in Tsim Sha Tsui. Thanks to their Art in Resonance program, it's also home to four memorable art pieces featuring "emerging and mid-career" artists.
Persons: , Chanel, Harry Winston, it's, Bon Jovi, Tom Cruise Organizations: Service, Hotels, Art Basel, UBS Locations: Hong Kong, Art Basel Hong Kong, Tsim Sha Tsui
The mammoth integration of failed bank Credit Suisse into its former rival UBS will act as a "case study," UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti said Friday, one that will show that big bank mergers should be allowed. "Of course, we can't just rely on a crisis to create or facilitate the merger of banks," Ermotti said. "It's good to have strong players that can be part of the solution, like UBS was in the Credit Suisse case. UBS in June completed its takeover of the 167-year-old bank in a deal controversially brokered by Swiss authorities. The Swiss National Bank has said the size of the new entity flags potential competition issues that will need to be monitored.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, Ermotti, CNBC's Steve Sedgwick, it's Organizations: Suisse, UBS, Credit, Credit Suisse, Swiss, Swiss National Bank Locations: Europe, Italy, underperformance
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