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☆ Billionaire investor John Paulson says the Fed can 'move aggressively' on rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Billionaire investor and hedge fund veteran John Paulson said Friday that he would like to see the Federal Reserve start big with its rate cuts. The central bankers seem to be deciding between a cut of 25 basis points or 50 basis points. One asset class that often rises when the Federal Reserve cuts rate is gold, and Paulson is a longtime bull on the yellow metal. Paulson is a veteran figure in the hedge fund world and is perhaps most famous for betting against the housing market ahead of the 2007 crash. Paulson announced in 2020 that he was converting his hedge fund into a family office.

Persons: John Paulson, Paulson, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Treasurys Organizations: Federal Reserve, Paulson, Co, Mines, U.S

☆ Goldman Sachs loves these 4 top European stocks — giving one 110% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Four U.K.-listed stocks — one of which was given 110% upside — are among Goldman Sachs' European conviction list. While the S & P 500 fell by 5.85% in the first week of August, the FTSE 100, an index of the 100 largest London-listed stocks, outperformed by falling by only 2.4%. .FTSE .SPX 5Y line The investment bank said the FTSE 100 "can also provide good diversification from the concentrated and Tech-heavy S & P 500 ." The bank notes that SSE's "leading capabilities vs. peers position it well to capture this investment growth." The investment bank said the company "is at the start of a revenue acceleration" supported by increasing market share and expansion into new markets.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Sharon Bell, Tufan Erginbilgic, LSEG Goldman, LSEG Organizations: FTSE, SPX, Tech, BT Group, Royce, London Stock Exchange, BT, London Stock Exchange Group, Bloomberg, Microsoft Locations: British, London, United States

☆ Wednesday's comeback shows why stocks may be volatile the rest of September
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite shed as much as 1.6% and 1.4%, respectively. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq, meanwhile, posted gains of 1.1% and 2.2%, respectively. The comeback came as Wall Street struggles to find its footing in September, with seasonal headwinds and worries over the economy putting pressure on stocks. The S & P 500 has already posted four 1% moves in September. Correction: The Dow on Wednesday closed 124.75 higher, while the S & P 500 and Nasdaq gained 1.1% and 2.2%, respectively.

Persons: whiplash, Dow, Adam Crisafulli, Marco Iachini, Iachini, Steve Sosnick Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Vital, Vanda Research, Interactive Brokers, Dow

☆ Applying to jobs is tough, try doing it 2,200 times
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, this guy is ready to give up after applying to nearly 2,200 jobs . The big storyNot hiringKevin Cash Ben BoxerHow tough is the current job market? AdvertisementThe job market is in a weird spot these days. On paper — and maybe in another labor market — Kevin appears to be the perfect candidate. It's a tough reality check for employees who previously held all the power in the job market.

Persons: —, Zer, Kevin Cash Ben Boxer, Kevin Cash, Tim Paradis, Kevin, it's, Forget, Tyler Le, we're, duMond, Chip Somodevilla, Alyssa Powell, Harris, Rebecca Zisser, Elon, Apple, Jensen, Goldman Sachs, David Soloman, Huang, Chelsea Jia Feng, Trump, Brian Niccol, We're, Niccol, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Mensa, BI Trump, Oppenheimer, Fed, Twitter, Nvidia, Kroger, London Locations: San Francisco, Austin, New York, London

☆ Stock market today: Indexes rise as investors assess producer inflation and jobless claims data
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Indexes rose Thursday as investors digested new inflation and labor market data. Jobless claims last week rose slightly following two weeks of consecutive declines. The producer price index logged a 0.2% monthly rise, in-line with expectations. In the second inflation reading of the week, the producer price index rose 0.2% from July to August, in line with expectations. This corner of the stock market is set to outperform once the Fed starts cutting interest rates, Goldman Sachs says.

Persons: —, Harris, Ed Yardeni, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Here's, Trump

☆ Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha sees room for S&P 500 to run into year-end
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha lifted his year-end target for the S & P 500 on Thursday, saying the market has more room to run despite current turmoil. He tied this call to the fact that valuations are supported despite being at the top of their fair-value ranges. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, year to date He said to expect more choppiness, such as what investors have experienced in recent weeks, even as the market recovers from its current correction. Chadha expects prices to retreat again going into the presidential election, only to rally afterward to year-end. The S & P 500 has added about 2.5% in the third quarter despite rocky trading.

Persons: Chadha Organizations: CNBC

☆ These 5 portfolio stocks crushed the volatile market since our August Monthly Meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

It's been a topsy-turvy stock market since the Club's August Monthly Meeting. These were two of our top performers since the August Monthly Meeting. The stock closed nearly 5% higher on the eve of the September Monthly Meeting. The S & P 500's health care sector is up 2.2% since the August Monthly Meeting, slightly outperforming the broad index's 1.8% rise in that timeframe. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: It's, We've, Eli Lilly, Estee Lauder, Jerome Powell, it's, DA Davidson, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Andy Jassy's, TJX, Jensen Huang, Abbott, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Investor, Federal, Procter, Gamble, Dover, Abbott Laboratories, TJX, Amazon, Micro Devices, Jackson, Bank of America, Telsey Advisory Group, JPMorgan, Oracle, Devices, AMD, Nvidia, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: seesaw, Wednesday's, U.S

☆ Explosive trading in Nvidia options could be dictating the whole stock market
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Nvidia 's wild price swings are having a strong hold on the entire market, and "insane" options trading in the chipmaker could be the culprit. While some believe Wednesday's advance was driven by CEO Jensen Huang's bullish comments about artificial intelligence , others think the action was mostly triggered by the explosion of short-term options trading activity in Nvidia. "I don't think yesterday's +8% ripper in the stock was fundamentally driven," Wells Fargo trading desk said in a note to clients Thursday. The desk pointed to a host of Nvidia call options that are set to expire on Friday, and which were the most actively-traded contracts Wednesday. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia Nvidia, which topped $3 trillion in market value earlier in 2024, is now third-largest stock in the S & P 500 after Apple and Microsoft .

Persons: Jensen Huang's, Oppenheimer Organizations: Nvidia, Wednesday, SEC, Securities and Exchange Commission, Nvidia Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft Locations: Fargo, Wells Fargo

☆ Stocks linked to the economy are acting poorly, especially this bellwether, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Carter Braxton Worth | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Year to date, the S & P 500 machinery group is up only 8% versus the S & P 500 industrial sector, which is up 12%. The S & P 500 itself which is up 16%. We remain underweight industrials generally, and machinery stocks specifically. Here's S & P 500 machinery industry comprising 17 stocks with a total market capitalization of $764 billion: The 2-panel chart below depicts the S & P 500 machinery industry marking new highs the past 18 months, yet a series of lower relative highs to the market. Top Panel: S & P 500 Machinery Industry Group Bottom panel: Machinery's Relative Performance to the S & P 500 Index Caterpillar chart below... we're sellers here.

Persons: Here's, Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Caterpillar, Machinery Industry, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S

☆ These 5 parts of the stock market are most at risk if Trump wins the election and implements wide-reaching tariffs, Barclays says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The presidential candidate has pledged to unleash universal tariffs on all US trade if elected. The firm outlined which five sectors are the most exposed to losses if Trump wins and implements tariffs. To be sure, US firms have some way of navigating higher costs associated with tariffs, Barclays said. Other economists have loudly criticized Trump's tariff idea as fuel for inflation, given that prices will rise amid a pullback in foreign products. AdvertisementAccording to Barclays, inflation would climb 0.09 percentage points in the short run, and US GDP could take a 1.2% hit in the first 12 months.

Persons: Trump's, —, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Trump Organizations: Barclays, Trump, Service, Democratic, Companies Locations: Mexico

☆ Wholesale prices rose 0.2% in August, in line with expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Wholesale prices rose in August about in line with expectations, the final inflation data point as the Federal Reserve gets set to lower interest rates. The core increase was the same when excluding trade services. On a 12-month basis, headline PPI rose 1.7%. On the PPI measure, services prices pushed much of the gain, with a 0.4% monthly increase driven by a rise in services less trade, transportation and warehousing. The release comes a day after the BLS reported that consumer prices rose 0.2% on the month in line with expectations.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Labor Department, BLS

PHILADELPHIA — Former President Donald Trump found out Tuesday night that he's got a much tougher rival on his hands now. Harris, eager to portray herself as different from both Trump and Biden, reminded him that Biden won't be on the ballot. Trump said Harris has had 3½ years to make the changes she promises to make and argued the Biden-Harris administration squandered progress Trump gave them. Trump and Harris also clashed over the 2020 election, with Trump again falsely claiming that he won. Throughout the debate, Harris needled Trump in ways that undermined his self-image as a popular, strong leader whom American’s adversaries fear.

Persons: Donald Trump, he's, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Trump, bristled, Laura Ingraham, Harris, —, ”, “ Trump, Ohio — Trump, Biden, doesn't, “ You’re, You’re, MAGA, ” Harris, Tim Walz, We’re, Sen, JD Vance, Roe, Wade, didn’t, Hannibal Lecter, don’t, “, Chris Christie, Trump “, Christie, Harris needled Trump, Viktor Orbán, He’s, Smart, ” Trump Organizations: PHILADELPHIA, Democratic, Fox News, Trump, ABC, Biden, Former New Jersey Gov, Republican Locations: Ohio, Hungary

☆ This volatility-resistant area of the stock market is ripe for outperformance after two decades of decline, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

According to Bank of America, one area of the market is set to benefit from increased market volatility: quality stocks, or stocks with strong business models and financial fundamentals. And the cherry on top is that quality stocks — which typically become expensive during downturns — are still cheap despite their recent rally, coming out of a two-decade rut. As seen in the graph below, the high-quality factor serves as a hedge against elevated market volatility. Bank of AmericaQuality is still cheapLuckily for investors, this safe-haven area of the stock market is trading at an attractive valuation. Bank of AmericaWhile quality stocks have recently re-rated to a slight premium, they're still reasonably priced, according to Bank of America.

Persons: —, Subramanian, Financials, Schwab Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, PMI, Investors, of, Companies, Equity Locations: of America's

☆ Investors may need to get more pessimistic before selling capitulates and stocks bottom
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors haven't become super pessimistic on stocks since the recent volatility bout began. Specifically, the firm's Crowd Sentiment Poll — a gauge for intermediate market sentiment — shows excessive optimism among investors after dipping to neutral last month. NDR's nearer-term daily trading composite, meanwhile, points to more neutral sentiment. Wall Street is also anxiously looking ahead to the U.S. presidential election in November. So bottom line: It may take another bout of selling to shake out the weak bullish investors and restart the long-term trend.

Persons: Ned Davis, London Stockton, Goldman Sachs downgrades, Morgan Stanley, Richard Ramsden Organizations: Ned Davis Research, London, Reserve, U.S Locations: NDR's

☆ The Gulf's IPO market is doing 'really well,' analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Gulf's IPO market is doing 'really well,' analyst saysAmer Halawi, head of research at AL Ramz Corporation, discusses the outlook for the stock market in the Gulf countries.

Persons: Amer Halawi Organizations: AL Ramz Corporation

☆ The market is acting like Harris won last night's debate against Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Price action in the stock market suggests markets think Kamala Harris won Tuesday's debate. Investors reacted by selling assets tied to the "Trump trade," with declines in Trump Media stock and bitcoin. AdvertisementThe first Presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is over and markets have named the winner. Following Tuesday night's debate, markets are showing signs that Vice President Harris came out on top, with investors voting with their portfolios and selling assets tied to the so-called Trump trade. On the flipside, assets that could see a boost from a Kamala Harris presidency were up Wednesday.

Persons: Price, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, —, Donald Trump, Matthew Ryan, Ebury, it's Organizations: Trump Media, Service, Trump, Technology Group, Truth, cryptocurrency, ING, ING Economics

☆ Stock market today: Stocks fall as annual inflation slows but monthly CPI notches surprise increase
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Core inflation rose 0.3% in August, slightly above economists' expectations. Meanwhile, investors dashed their hopes for a 50 basis point rate cut from the Fed next week. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Wednesday as investors took in last month's inflation report, which showed an unexpected increase in the monthly core consumer price index. Bond yields rose as traders readjusted expectations for a jumbo rate hike of 50 basis points at next week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting. AdvertisementThe surprise increase led investors to almost completely discount the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed's next policy meeting.

Persons: —, Josh Jamner, Jack McIntyre Organizations: Fed, Service, Dow Jones, ClearBridge Investments, Brandywine Global Locations: Here's

☆ This corner of the stock market is set to outperform once the Fed starts cutting interest rates, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Mid-cap stocks are poised for greater growth than small- and large-caps, Goldman Sachs says. They forecast a 13% return on mid-caps in the next year after rate cuts. AdvertisementThere's one area of the stock market that is likely set for outsized growth after rate cuts: the mid-cap shares. Mid-cap equities have historically seen stronger growth in the year after rate cuts compared to large- and small-caps, analysts from Goldman Sachs say. Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its policy meeting next week, followed by 25 basis points in November and December.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, Russell, Goldman Organizations: Service

☆ Small business owners could be poised for a 1990s-like boom
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( John Towfighi | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

This has spiked the interest rates small business owners are paying on new mortgages, credit, and loans. Related storiesPowell said that small business owners are poised to benefit regardless of the size of the cut and should remain hopeful about future growth. According to the National Federation of Independent Businesses, small business confidence dipped in August. AdvertisementHe said small businesses tend to be more credit-constrained, so changes in interest rates are particularly influential for business owners' management decisions. Are you a small business owner who has experienced a recent change in sales or hiring?

Persons: —, Phil Powell, it's, Powell, Jerome Powell, Sean Higgins, Higgins Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Indiana Business Research Center, Indiana University Kelley School of Business, Federal Open Markets, Treasury Department, National Federation of Independent Businesses, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Lower rates might hurt banks
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Tough environment for European companiesChina's environment for businesses is so thorny that European companies have grown discouraged with operating in the country, according to the EU Chamber of Commerce. If European companies were to invest in China further, Beijing must act on its pledges to improve the business conditions, the chamber's paper wrote. CNBC Pro looked for companies headquartered overseas, but listed in the U.S. – and may experience over 100% upside, according to analysts.

Persons: Morgan, Dow, First Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Taylor Swift, Harris, Cat Lady Organizations: Canary, CNBC, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, U.S ., Trump, EU Chamber of Commerce, Federal Reserve Locations: Wharf, London, United Kingdom, Asia, Pacific, fracking, China, Instagram, Beijing, U.S

☆ Trading the election: Watch these pro-Harris stocks as her odds rise following the debate
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors and Wall Street analysts may want to take a closer look at stocks that could be winners under a President Kamala Harris after Tuesday night's debate . National polls showed a tight race heading into the debate, but some now believe Harris could get a bump from her performance. "We expect a near-term bounce towards Vice President Harris following the first debate with former President Trump, but the longer-term impact remains unclear," Raymond James Washington analyst Ed Mills said in a note to clients late Tuesday night. Wolfe Research has a similar list of stocks in an anti-Trump trade basket, including health care stocks like Centene and HCA . Of course, it could be difficult for new Democratic policies to become law even with a Harris win in November, depending on how Congressional races shake out.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Raymond James Washington, Ed Mills, Isaac Boltansky, Daniel Clifton, Strategas, Wolfe, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall Street, Democrat, Walmart, Raytheon Technologies, Wolfe Research, Trump, UBS, Republicans, Democrats, Eaton Corp, Waste Management Locations: Democratic, Ukraine, Russia

☆ Inside the guidance high-net-worth individuals are getting from money managers ahead of elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The top 1% aren't the only ones with a target on their backs: Those in the $400,000 to $1 million income bracket could see their capital gains tax rise under her. There has also been concern about whether the step-up in basis, a provision that adjusts capital gains taxes for inherited assets, could be repealed. A 1031 Exchange is popularly used to sell and buy investment property while deferring capital gains tax until future generations inherit it. Once they do, a step-up basis can be used to dismiss those previous capital gains taxes. AdvertisementAs for any impacts from the Trump administration, unilateral trade sanctions and tariffs would hurt the economy and be depressive to the market, Malek said.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Kent Smetters, it's Harris, Smetters, Harris, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, Mike Reynolds, Reynolds, Harris hasn't, Trump, Sandi Bragar Organizations: Service, Democratic, Penn Wharton Budget, Business, Biden, Nvidia, Fund Locations: Wall, Washington, Rhode Island , New York , California, Nebraska , Indiana , Wyoming, China

☆ Stock market today: Indexes rise as stocks whipsaw after inflation-fueled decline
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks traded mixed as traders reacted to a mixed inflation report. Core consumer prices rose more than expected, reducing chances of a 50 basis-point rate cut. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Wednesday, with investors staging a recovery after taking in a mixed inflation report. Odds for a 50 basis-point cut have been slashed by more than half to just 15%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Markets will assess August producer price inflation data and weekly jobless claims on Thursday and fresh retail sales data next Tuesday.

Persons: —, Bill Adams, Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Traders, Comercia Bank, Bank of America, Tech, Nvidia, Here's

☆ Here's why the stock market is throwing a tantrum about new inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Core inflation rose unexpectedly, dashing hopes for a bigger rate cut from the Fed. US indexes slumped on Wednesday, with the Dow dropping as much as 600 basis points in the early morning as traders took a mixed-bag of inflation data. That's the lowest headline inflation rate recorded since early 2021. On the other hand, cutting interest rates by just 25 basis points means higher for longer interest rates. "Today's inflation data cemented in a 25 basis point cut next week 50 basis points in out the window," she added.

Persons: —, Julian Howard, Gina Bolvin, Preston Caldwell, Chris Zacarelli Organizations: Fed, Traders, Service, Dow, of Labor Statistics, GAM Investments, Bolvin Wealth Management, Labor Department, Morningstar, Independent

☆ Nvidia stock jumps as CEO Jensen Huang looks to address key investor concerns
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Nvidia stock surged 6% on Wednesday, helping fuel a tech-led rebound in the stock market. CEO Jensen Huang discussed the return on investment of AI infrastructure at a Goldman Sachs conference. Productivity gains and immediate cost savings are the core tenets of Nvidia's ROI pitch to customers. The gains in Nvidia stock came as CEO Jensen Huang addressed investors at a Goldman Sachs conference in San Francisco Wednesday morning. "You reduce the computing time by about 20 times, and so you get a 10x savings," Huang said of running Nvidia's GPU accelerators relative to traditional CPUs.

Persons: Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs, —, David Solomon, Huang, Solomon, Nvidia's, Claude, There's Organizations: Nvidia, Goldman, Productivity, Service, San Locations: San Francisco

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