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VIEW Bank of England lifts UK rates to 3% in historic hike
  + stars: | 2022-11-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
REUTERS/Toby MelvilleLONDON, Nov 3 (Reuters) - The Bank of England raised UK interest rates to 3% on Thursday in its largest rate hike since 1989 and warned of a "very challenging outlook" for the economy. Money markets showed traders now expect UK rates to peak at 4.6% by next September, compared to expectations of 4.8% just two days ago. UK bank stocks (.FTNMX301010) fell 0.8%BONDS: Yields on the two-year gilt were last up 1 basis points at 3.041%, compared with 3.064% before the BoE announced its decision. Rates markets are pricing another 50bps hike at each of the December and February meetings, although still reflect a lower terminal rate than just a week ago. ANDREW ALDRIDGE, PARTNER AT DEEPBRIDGE CAPITAL, LONDON"Quelling rampant inflation and kickstarting a slowing economy left the Bank facing a difficult balancing act, with today's interest rate hike to 3% hardly surprising in this context.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere is a "zero percent" chance that Congress will approve windfall tax on oil firms, says analystPavel Molchanov of Raymond James says that there is "never" the vote in Congress to "single out a particular industry for a special tax" based on its track record.
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Bank of America reinstates Deckers as buy Bank of America called Deckers a "rare, consistent compounder." Deutsche Bank reiterates Amazon as buy Deutsche said "macro challenges are no doubt pressuring ad budgets" for Amazon, but the company continues to be well positioned. JPMorgan upgrades Carvana to neutral from underweight JPMorgan said in its upgrade of the stock that risks are now better understood. JPMorgan upgrades Monster to outperform from neutral JPMorgan said the beverage giant has an "attractive narrative." Bank of America reiterates Advanced Micro Devices as buy Bank of America said shares of AMD are attractive heading into earnings Tuesday afternoon.
Newell Brands – Shares of Newell Brands, a consumer goods manufacturer, slipped 7.3%. Paramount Global –Shares of Paramount Global shed 3.6% after being downgraded by Wells Fargo Securities to underweight from equal weight. Meta Platforms – Shares of Meta Platforms fell 5.5%, leading declines in megacap technology stocks following disappointing earnings results last week. The firm has an equal weight rating on the stock. Amgen — The biopharma stock dipped 1.5% after Barclays downgraded Amgen to underweight from equal weight, saying investor enthusiasm ahead of an obesity drug update next week may be overdone.
As years go, it’s fair to say that 2022 has become something of an Annus Horribilis for Tom Brady. His Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost three straight matches, the first time that’s happened in Brady’s storied career since 2002. The Bucs’ inconsistency has seen the 45-year-old quarterback’s frustrations boil over, with his explosive outbursts caught on the sidelines in multiple games. After rumors of marital unrest between him and his wife, Gisele Bündchen Bündchen, the couple announced last week that they are divorcing after 13 years of marriage. Mike Ehrmann/Getty ImagesA long few monthsAfter a crushing end to the Bucs’ season in the playoffs last year, the team was left with more questions than answers.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPressure on consumer and enterprise spending hitting tech sector, says Raymond James' Aaron KesslerAaron Kessler, Raymond James analyst, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss slowdowns in the tech sector, changes to the operating expense trajectory, and findings from core earnings multiples.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're preparing for home prices to fall, says Raymond James' Buck HorneBuck Horne, director of equity research, homebuilding, and residential REITS at Raymond James, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss opportunity in the home building space, cost-to-own and cost-to-buy spread differentials and dramatic drops in lumber prices.
Investors who are worried about the tech sector can take comfort in the fact the current shift is not the same as the bust of 2000, according to Raymond James chief investment officer Larry Adam. watch nowThe biggest names in the pure tech sector — Apple , Microsoft and Visa — make up more than 45% of earnings in that space, according to Adam. Alphabet and Meta , which are technically in communication services, represent 53% of the earnings in that sector. "It's always about making sure you don't end up in a lopsided portfolio," Viktorin said. For example, someone who works in tech is already taking on substantial risk outside of their portfolio because their income is dependent on the sector, Viktorin said.
Other than Apple , it was a brutal earnings week for Big Tech. Alphabet , Amazon , Meta and Microsoft combined lost over $350 billion in market cap after offering concerning commentary for the third quarter and the remainder of the year. Between slowing revenue growth — or declines in Meta's case — and efforts to control costs, the tech giants have found themselves in an unfamiliar position after unbridled growth in the past decade. In Amazon's ad business, revenue growth accelerated to 30% from 21%, topping analysts' estimates. Analyst Aaron Kessler at Raymond James lowered his price target on Amazon stock to $130 from $164 after the results.
Analysts expect that this week's biggest winners will cool off from here, with the notable exception of just two stocks: Centene and IQVIA. However, the majority of those names are set for single-digit gains, according to consensus estimates on FactSet. What's more, the health care stock has a buy rating from a majority of analysts, and is forecasted to advance nearly 20%. Another health care stock, IQVIA , jumped 14% this week. Enphase surpassed profit and sales expectations this week, according to consensus estimates from FactSet.
Morning Bid: Consumer drain as banks gain
  + stars: | 2022-10-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Google's results in particular bode ill for Facebook parent Meta Platforms (META.O), especially reliant on advertising and reporting its results late on Wednesday. Consumer blues contrasted with bumper earnings from banks who are raking in huge windfalls from rising interest rates - direct cash injections from reserves they hold at central banks along with higher net interest margins and trading revenues flattered by volatile markets. read more read more read more read moreEuropean banks reporting this week matched Wall St counterparts on that score, raising conundrums for the European Central Bank meeting this week and Bank of England and U.S. Federal Reserve gatherings next week. They all plan further policy rate rises to rein in inflation - but this also involves direct transfers to their banks and potentially a drain on government finances. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Revenue growth slowed to 6% from 41% a year earlier as the company contends with a continued downdraft in online ad spending. Analysts were expecting an increase of about 3% in YouTube ad revenue, but it slid about 2% to $7.07 billion from $7.21 billion a year ago. Raymond James analysts also maintained their outperform rating, citing expectations for long-term ad revenue growth and Google Cloud momentum. Alphabet's report marks an ominous start to Big Tech earnings week for investors focused on the digital ad market, and analysts at Needham said it is likely bad news for Meta . Meta is scheduled to report earnings after the bell Wednesday.
AT & T 's prospects keep getting better, according to Raymond James. Analyst Frank G. Louthan upgraded shares of AT & T to strong buy from outperform, saying the telecommunications company's return to its core business has improved the stock. "We believe this stronger rating is appropriate given AT & T's simpler story is starting to show up in the numbers," Louthan wrote in a Monday note. "We continue to believe a more focused vision along a simpler line of business creates a solid scenario for share price appreciation, and a solid, total return." Louthan said expectations of an economic downturn has already been built into the telecommunications stocks.
Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Jefferies downgrades Williams-Sonoma to underperform from hold Jefferies said it's concerned about a softer macro environment. Wells Fargo reiterates Disney as overweight Wells said it continues to like the stock heading into earnings in early November. " Bank of America downgrades Meta to neutral from buy Bank of America said it's concerned about an ad spending slump heading into earnings later this week. Mizuho reiterates Coinbase as neutral Mizuho said it's staying neutral on Coinbase as losses continue to "linger" on the company's platform. Bank of America reiterates Apple as neutral Bank of America said it sees a balanced risk-reward heading into Apple earnings later this week.
Mizuho doesn't like it either, cuts price target to $180 from $225 ... worried about expenses. Barclays cuts price targets on almost all of the chip makers, including Nvidia (NVDA), Qualcomm (QCOM) and Skyworks (SWKS). Amazing: American Express (AXP) price target trimmed to $128 from $130 at Citi. Wells Fargo cuts to $170 from $180 but keeps buy rating. Generac (GNRC) — Wells Fargo takes this down to $175 from $285.
Even before the coronavirus pandemic hit in 2020, the agriculture industry was dealing with a number of headwinds, from hurricanes and poor planning disrupting crop growth cycles to the impact of retaliatory tariffs slashing exports. These issues have highlighted an immense need for investment in agriculture and specifically technology to improve the efficiency of the industry. Last year, Deere also purchased Bear Flag Robotics, a Silicon Valley agriculture technology startup that develops autonomous farm equipment, for $250 million. AGCO , an agricultural machinery manufacturer, has also made several investments or acquisitions in the last few years in new technology in the space. The agriculture company in September bought Symborg, a Spanish microbiological technologies firm that makes biostimulants and biofertilizers for many kinds of crops and agriculture systems that boost results.
People wait in line at Avis rental agency in the Miami International Airport Car Rental Center. Starbucks — Starbucks' shares dropped more than 5% in midday trading. Avis Budget Group — Shares of the rental car company jumped more than 12% after being upgraded by JPMorgan to overweight from neutral. Analysts believe car rental prices will remain elevated longer than investors believe. Tractor Supply Company — Shares of Tractor Supply Company rose 5.5% along with the market.
It's time to buy Juniper Networks , according to Raymond James. Analyst Simon Leopold upgraded shares of Juniper Networks to strong buy from outperform, saying the provider of internet routers has plenty of upside going forward. Juniper Networks was up 1.3% in the premarket Friday. Shares of Juniper Networks has mostly moved in line with the broader market this year, down 22.7% against the S & P 500's 23.1% decline. The analyst said improving sales with price hikes and a recovering supply chain have helped the company remain resilient in a post-pandemic world.
Snap — Shares of the Snapchat parent company cratered 30% after missing revenue estimates and sharing its slowest sales growth since going public as advertising spending slows. The results from Snap hit other ad-reliant stocks, sending shares of Pinterest and Meta Platforms down about 7.7% and 2.6%, respectively. Twitter — The social media stock sank more than 4% Friday amid a slew of media reports surrounding Twitter and Elon Musk. American Express – Shares of American Express fell about 3.5% even after the bank reported quarterly earnings and revenue that beat analysts' expectations. Huntington Bancshares — Shares gained 8% after the bank operator topped earnings estimates for the third quarter and upped its net interest income outlook for 2022.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe believe housing is in a structural supply deficit, says Raymond James' HorneBuck Horne, Raymond James housing and REIT analyst, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss how home prices will have to adjust, if the home price adjustment will be regional or national and more.
The three major averages closed higher Friday, with the S & P 500 adding 2.37% to close at 3,752.75. Stovall said the S & P 500 had six positive moves of 1% or more in the last 17 trading days, as of Friday. Earnings, earnings, earnings About 150 S & P 500 companies report earnings in the coming week. Technically speaking Scott Redler, partner with T3Live.com, said he is watching a formation in the S & P 500 that could be positive. His first target for the S & P 500 is 3,800.
Telsey downgrades Under Armour to market perform from outperform Telsey said it's concerned about too much inventory weighing on the stock. Bank of America downgrades Snap to neutral from buy Bank of America downgraded the stock after its "mixed" earnings report. " JPMorgan reiterates Apple as overweight JPMorgan said investors are too focused on iPhone growth heading into Apple earnings next week. Raymond James downgrades KB Home, Toll Brothers and PulteGroup to market perform from strong buy and D.R. Horton to outperform from strong buy and Lennar to market perform from outperform Raymond James downgraded several homebuilders due to rising mortgage rates.
Donald Trump is claiming several documents from his time in the White House are his personal property. The FBI seized thousands of documents during an August raid at Trump's Mar-a-Lago. The conflict likely signals further legal battles to come over the thousands of records yet to be reviewed in the DOJ's probe into whether Trump mishandled official White House records following his departure from office. Federal lawyers also rebuked Trump's allegation that the FBI took his personal records during the court-approved search earlier this year. "Personal records that are not government property are seized every day for use in criminal investigations.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere was a bit of a surprise in Snap's Q4 guidance, says Raymond James' Aaron KesslerAaron Kessler, Raymond James internet analyst, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Snap's quarterly earnings results, Snap's challenges in the near term, and how to think about online advertising and marketing.
Twitter (TWTR) and Musk new wild card. A separate report in the Washington Post said Musk is planning to cut the Twitter workforce by 75%. Jeffries lowered price target for Club name Estee Lauder (EL), but maintains its buy rating. Dow Inc. (DOW) price target raised to $47 from $45 at Citi. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
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