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Meanwhile, there is growing excitement that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission will approve the first ever bitcoin ETF, after years of opposition. With all of this excitement comes some quite bold predictions about bitcoin's price. "No rationale for that prediction," Mobius said, except that a bitcoin ETF looks likely and "that has heightened interest" in the cryptocurrency. Yang attributes the anticipated price rise to a bitcoin ETF being approved, leading to higher institutional investment in bitcoin, as well as May 2024's bitcoin halving, which would result in the bitcoin supply being constrained. Alexander told CNBC that during the first quarter of 2024, bitcoin will trade within the $40,000 to $55,000 range, owing to "professional traders creating volatility."
Persons: Filip Radwanski, Bitcoin, bitcoin, FTX, Sam Bankman, Fried, Binance's Changpeng Zhao, Mark Mobius, Mobius, Yang, Luna, James Butterfill, Butterfill, Antoni Trenchev, Trenchev, Carol Alexander, Alexander, Coinbase, Matrixport Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Department of Justice, U.S, U.S . Securities, Exchange, Chartered, University of Sussex, Exchange Commission, SEC, Fidelity, Blackrock, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, bitcoin, Blackrock
.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD As for the "too far, too fast" argument, it's worth recalling that all the S & P 500 has done is nearly complete an almost-symmetrical two-year round trip. Ned Davis Research U.S. strategist Ed Clissold looked back at prior times the S & P 500 has gone more than a year without making a record high. This is always a tricky proposition – cash that leaves money markets to buy stocks leaves the seller of the stocks with cash. For one thing, $6 trillion is only about 12% of total U.S. equity market cap, near the lower end of its historical range. At the 2009 market low money markets were 50% of equity market cap.
Persons: , we've, Jason Goepfert, Jeff deGraaf, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Jerome Powell, it's, Cash Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Timely, National Association of Active Investment, Ned Davis Research, Investment, of
Combination showing Former FTX CEO, Sam Bankman-Fried (L) and Zhao Changpeng (R), founder and chief executive officer of Binance. Meanwhile, Solana is nearly 10x higher in the last 12 months, and bitcoin miner Marathon Digital has also skyrocketed. That same year, Bankman-Fried earned street cred in crypto circles for his bitcoin arbitrage trading strategy, dubbed the Kimchi swap. The relationship between Zhao and Bankman-Fried began to sour a few months after they met. In Nov. 2022, a fight between Bankman-Fried and CZ on Twitter, now known as X, pulled the mask off the scheme.
Persons: Sam Bankman, Zhao Changpeng, Bitcoin, Solana, Binance's, Zhao, FTX's Sam Bankman, Fried, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, bitcoin, Bill Gates, Warren Buffett, Elizabeth Warren, execs, Renato Mariotti, Michael Lewis, Sam, gunning, Lewis, SBF, Binance, FTX, Goldman Sachs, General Merrick Garland, Garland, Amr Alfiky Organizations: Marathon, JPMorgan, Microsoft, Capitol, Department of Justice, U.S . Justice Department's Securities, Commodities, CZ, Alameda Research, Formula, Democratic, Twitter, Emergency Economic, U.S ., Futures Trading Commission, Treasury Department, Securities, Exchange Commission, Justice Department, DOJ, Reuters Locations: Hong Kong, Singapore, Bankman, FTX, Miami, Washington, Alameda, U.S, New York City
Brad Gerstner rose to prominence in the tech investment scene for his early lucrative bets in Snowflake and Meta Platforms , and he's showing no signs of slowing down. The tech investor launched his investment firm Altimeter Capital in the depths of the 2008 financial crisis with less than $3 million raised from his family and friends. Altimeter has also been an on-and-off investor in Meta Platforms since the early 2010s. As a top 15 institutional investor, Gerstner wrote a critical open letter in October 2022, saying the company needed to slash headcount and stop spending so much money on metaverse. The widely followed tech investor called the rise of AI a "super-cycle" just like the dot-com boom in the late 1990s.
Persons: Brad Gerstner, Gerstner, Snowflake, Meta, Mark Zuckerberg, he's Organizations: Harvard Business School, Microsoft, Nvidia, Federal Reserve Locations: Snowflake
Next year should be another good one for money market funds, even amid anticipated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, experts predict. An estimated $950 billion has gone into money market funds so far this year, bringing the total net assets to $5.87 trillion as of Dec. 20, according to the Investment Company Institute . The Federal Reserve has indicated three rate cuts for 2024, which means the yields in short-term assets like money market funds and online savings accounts will follow suit. That's because money market funds are competing with bank savings accounts for cash, not necessarily equities and fixed income assets, he said. Certified financial planner Cathy Curtis, founder and CEO of Curtis Financial Planning, would look at money market funds for cash you will need in six months or less.
Persons: Shelly Antoniewicz, Peter Crane, Crane, it's, Christine Benz, Cathy Curtis, Curtis, Kristy Akullian Organizations: Federal Reserve, Crane Data, Investment Company Institute, Federal, Crane, Morningstar, Benz, Curtis Financial, CNBC, BlackRock
Friday is the official start of the Santa Claus rally. What the Santa Claus Rally is, and isn't Over the years, Jeff Hirsch of the Stock Trader's Almanac has repeatedly told me the key to understanding the Santa Claus rally is that it is not a trading strategy, it is an indicator. Fortunately, a negative Santa Claus rally period doesn't happen very often, only 12 times since 1969 (less than 25% of the time). In the years when the Santa Claus period is negative, the S & P is up an average of only 5.0%, versus an average gain of 9.1% in all years. You can see this very clearly in this chart: The common explanation is that: 1) markets are stronger with a sitting president because a sitting President can pull levers to help the economy, and 2) markets tend to be weaker with no sitting president because of increased uncertainty around economic outcomes.
Persons: Santa Claus, Yale Hirsch, Ryan Detrick, I've, Jeff Hirsch, Hirsch Organizations: Carson Group, Santa Locations: Santa
Coinbase shares have even further to climb despite already being up 13% since the start of December and the low appetite for crypto coming from retail investors, according to Needham. Needham raised its price target on Coinbase on Tuesday to $160 from $120, implying about 13% upside from its closing price Monday. Meanwhile, although retail investors' appetite for crypto has improved since bottoming a year ago after the collapse of FTX, interest is generally low, according to Needham. "Retail crypto engagement is considerably lower than in prior years and despite the recent price gains, has been fairly muted," Todaro said. Dominance tends to rise in bear markets as investors rotate into the safety of bitcoin compared to other crypto coins .
Persons: Needham, John Todaro, Todaro, Coinbase, Franklin Templeton, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S . Department of Justice, Apple Locations: Needham, U.S, BlackRock, WisdomTree, bitcoin
Moody's though retained China's "A1" long-term rating on the country's sovereign bonds, while expecting China annual GDP growth to slow to 4% in 2024 and 2025 and average 3.8% from 2026 to 2030. Structural factors including weak demographics will drive a decline to 3.5% by 2030, it said. China credit default swaps (the cost of insuring against a government default) rose 4 basis points from Monday's closing level, according to Reuters data. Beijing disappointmentChina's Finance Ministry expressed its disappointment with Moody's downgrade decision. "Moody's concerns about China's economic growth prospects and fiscal sustainability are unnecessary," the ministry said in a statement Tuesday.
Persons: Javier Ghersi, Moody's Organizations: China's, Ministry Locations: China, Beijing
Options strategists believe market gyrations may stay subdued for some time - potentially smoothing the way for further gains in equities. The S&P 500 is up 19% year-to-date, following a 9% gain in November - its best monthly performance since July 2022. Since the VIX tends to move inversely to stocks, market participants watch it closely as an indicator of investor sentiment and positioning. Among the factors closely watched by market participants are the funds that take their signals from market volatility, selling when volatility picks up and buying when it subsides. History also shows that once volatility expectations become subdued, they can linger at low levels for a while.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Ilya Feygin, Nomura, Charlie McElligott, Brent Kochuba, Cantor Fitzgerald, Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald’s, Johnston, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Grant McCool Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Monday, WallachBeth, Nomura Securities, , Thomson
Barclays shares slip after major backer Qatar cuts stake
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Qatar Investment Authority, the state sovereign wealth fund which owns Qatar Holding, did not respond to a request for comment. The share sale comes as Barclays embarks on a shake-up to cut costs and revive its share price, which has halved since Qatar first invested in 2008. Barclays' stock fell as much as 4.5% in early trading and was last down 2.5% at 1007 GMT. Qatar became Barclays' largest shareholder during the 2008 financial crisis when it injected 4 billion pounds into the UK bank in a deal that helped avert a taxpayer bailout. Britain's financial watchdog later fined Barclays $55 million for fees paid to Qatari entities in the 2008 fundraising, which Barclays said it would appeal.
Persons: Venkatakrishnan, Vekatakrishnan, Iain Withers, Sinead Cruise, Pablo Mayo Cerqueiro, Lawrence White, Danilo Masoni, Andrew Mills, Kirsten Donovan, Emelia Organizations: Barclays, Qatar, Reuters, Qatar Investment Authority, Qatar Holding, Thomson Locations: Qatar, Germany, London, Milan, Doha
Moody’s warns it may downgrade China
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Laura He | Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
The lowering of its outlook does not automatically mean the ratings agency will downgrade China’s creditworthiness, but it increases the chances. Analysts say the property downturn is likely to drag on, hobbling China’s growth prospects for years. Slower growth, weaker demographicsMoody’s expects China’s annual economic growth rate to slow to 4% in both 2024 and 2025, and average 3.8% a year from 2026 to 2030. “The affirmation of the A1 rating reflects China’s financial and institutional resources to manage the transition in an orderly fashion,” the agency said. “Its economy’s vast size and robust, albeit slowing, potential growth rate, support its high shock-absorption capacity.”China’s Finance Ministry said Tuesday it was “disappointed” with Moody’s decision to downgrade the country’s credit outlook.
Persons: Hong Kong / New Delhi CNN — Moody’s, China’s, Moody’s, , Hong, Seng, Anna Cooban Organizations: Hong Kong / New Delhi CNN, China’s Finance, CSI Locations: China, Hong Kong / New Delhi, China’s, , Shanghai, Shenzhen
Morning Bid: Small caps pick up baton, China rating hit
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. The likes of Microsoft (MSFT.O), Apple (AAPL.O), Nvidia (NVDA.O) and Amazon (AMZN.O) fell back over 1%, pressured by a modest bounceback in U.S. Treasury yields. China's blue-chip stocks slumped to their lowest since February 2019 amid fears of a possible cut to China's sovereign credit rating cut after Moody's outlook reduction. By Mike Dolan, Editing by Bernadette Baum; <a href="mailto:mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com" target="_blank">mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com</a>Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Russell, that's, Moody's, Isabel Schnabel, Michael Gibson, Christine Laggard, Mongo, Zero Fox, Bernadette Baum Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reserve, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Treasury, Reserve Bank of Australia, Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Barclays, Qatar, P Global, Federal, Division, Supervision, Financial Innovation, Descartes Systems, Health, Powell Industries, Dave, Buster's Entertainment, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Global, York, Treasuries, Europe
That's largely because IRA investors are "retail" investors while 401(k) savers often get access to more favorable "institutional" pricing. "Are you able to pay less by staying in your 401(k) plan?" The bottom line: Compare annual 401(k) fees — like investment "expense ratios" and administrative costs — to those of an IRA. And your current employer may not accept rollovers into your 401(k) from a previous employer's plan. Many 401(k) plans may not allow retirees as much flexibility.
Persons: Ellen Lander, Lander, Carolyn McClanahan, Ted Jenkin, Jenkin, you'd Organizations: Investment, IRA, Renaissance, Planning Partners, CNBC's FA, of America, Company, Workers Locations: IRAs, Jacksonville , Florida, CNBC's, Atlanta
[1/2] A Chinese national flag flutters at the headquarters of a commercial bank on a financial street near the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, China's central bank, in central Beijing November 24, 2014. "The outlook change also reflects the increased risks related to structurally and persistently lower medium-term economic growth and the ongoing downsizing of the property sector," Moody's said. "Moody's concerns about China's economic growth prospects, fiscal sustainability and other aspects are unnecessary," the ministry said. STRUGGLING FOR TRACTIONMost analysts believe China's growth is on track to hit the government's target of around 5% this year, but that compares with a COVID-weakened 2022 and activity is highly uneven. Analysts widely agree that China's growth is downshifting from breakneck expansion in the past few decades.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Moody's, Ken Cheung, Pan Gongsheng, COVID, Goldman Sachs, Gnaneshwar Rajan, Kevin Yao, Tom Hogue, Kim Coghill Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Mizuho Bank, Economic Work Conference, Fitch, China's Finance Ministry, International Monetary Fund, Thomson Locations: Beijing, Hong Kong, China, outflows, Bengaluru
Dec 4 (Reuters) - Call center software firm Five9 (FIVN.O) is weighing options for a sale, more than two years after a buyout by Zoom Video Communications (ZM.O) failed, Bloomberg News reported on Monday, citing people familiar with the matter. Five9 declined to comment while Zoom did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment. Deliberations were ongoing and there is no certainty they will result in a sale, the report added. Virtual meeting company Zoom abandoned its $14.7 billion acquisition of the company in October 2021 after Five9's shareholders voted against the deal. What would have been Zoom's biggest acquisition ever was terminated after proxy advisory firms Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) and Glass Lewis had cited growth concerns and advised Five9 shareholders against the deal.
Persons: Five9, Glass Lewis, Arsheeya, Shinjini Ganguli, Maju Samuel Organizations: Zoom Video Communications, Bloomberg, Services, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
When 2023 began, a single bitcoin could be had for less than $17,000 after losing more than 75% of its value. But fueling this latest rally are prospects for the possible approval of spot bitcoin exchange traded funds — a pooled investment security that can be bought and sold like stocks. While analysts expect the potential approval of spot bitcoin ETFs to create a much larger pool of crypto investors, future volumes could go either way, Carey added. Despite the recent excitement around bitcoin, experts still maintain that crypto is a risky bet with wildly unpredictable fluctuations in value. As of around 1:30 p.m. Eastern time Monday, the price of bitcoin stood at $41,709.
Persons: Bitcoin, Riyad Carey, Carey, Binance, Changpeng Zhao, , , Edward Moya, FTX, bitcoin Organizations: Federal, Industry, Regulators, Associated Locations: Silicon, bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, U.S
Business: Phillips 66 is an energy manufacturing and logistics company. Percentage Ownership: n/a Average Cost: n/a Activist Commentary: Elliott is a very successful and astute activist investor. On Wednesday, Elliott sent a letter to Phillips 66, announcing that it has taken a $1 billion stake and is seeking up to two board seats. While we do not generalize like that, it is hard to imagine a more amicable and constructive activist campaign than what Elliott is proposing at Phillips 66. When implemented, Phillips 66 saw costs increase relative to peers, burning shareholders' confidence in the management team's ability to achieve its goals.
Persons: Phillips, Elliott, Mark Lashier, Ken Squire Organizations: Phillips, Chevron Phillips Chemical, Valero Energy, Marathon Petroleum, Valero, 13D Locations: Chevron, U.S, Europe, COOs
“His life has been building the Republican majority and attaining the third-highest office in the land. Many colleagues still consider him a skillful convener of people with institutional knowledge about the workings of a Republican majority he helped build. But his inexperienced successor, Speaker Mike Johnson of Louisiana, has not sought him out for any advice on managing the fractious Republican conference. Mr. McCarthy has labored to acclimate. “After any stressful situation, it takes a while for the body to normalize,” Mr. McHenry said of the former speaker.
Persons: , Patrick T, McHenry, McCarthy’s, , McCarthy, Mike Johnson of, Johnson, Mr Organizations: Republican, Capitol, Oxford Union, New York Times Locations: McHenry of North Carolina, Mike Johnson of Louisiana
A pedestrian carrying an umbrella walks along the River Thames in view of City of London skyline in London, Britain, July 31, 2023. Finance executives, consultants and headhunters interviewed by Reuters predict subdued deal flows, modest bonuses for most and heavy job cuts in 2024. "2023 will ultimately be one of the lowest corporate finance fee pools in modern history," said Fabrizio Campelli, head of Corporate Bank and Investment Bank at Deutsche Bank. JOB CUTSBanks have already turned to cost cuts to try to weather the downturn, which in a people-intensive business means job losses. And although some bankers expect a tough 2024, others sense an opportunity for European banks from the Basel Endgame.
Persons: Hollie Adams, Fabrizio Campelli, Banks, Ronan O'Kelly, Oliver Wyman, O'Kelly, Dominic Hook, Goldman Sachs, Vis Raghavan, JP Morgan, Morgan McKinley's, Stephane Rambosson, headhunter, Rambosson, Ana Botin, Morgan's Raghavan, there's, Oliver Wyman's O'Kelly, Deutsche's Campelli, Anousha Sakoui, Carolyn Cohn, Jesus Aguado, Alexander Smith Organizations: REUTERS, LONDON, Finance, Reuters, Corporate Bank, Investment Bank, Deutsche Bank, Organisation for Economic Cooperation, Development, Barclays, Lloyds, Challenger Metro Bank, UBS UBSG.S, Citi, Workers, Global Investment Banking, Employment, European Union, Santander, Global, Basel, Thomson Locations: City, London, Britain, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Ukraine, West, China, United States, India, Madrid
A view shows a board with the logo of Sovcombank at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 17, 2022. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov Acquire Licensing RightsMOSCOW, Dec 1 (Reuters) - Russian lender Sovcombank said on Friday it expects a market capitalisation of 200-219 billion roubles ($2.24-$2.46 billion)after its initial public offering (IPO) on Moscow Exchange later this month, the latest in a small flurry of Russian market debuts. Sovcombank said it has already received offers for half of the expected overall offer size from a number of major Russian institutional investors to participate in the IPO. Russian companies have raised around 29 billion roubles this year through IPOs, with listings characterised by small volumes and the presence of domestic retail investors. Pawn broker Mosgorlombard also announced its intention to list on Friday, expecting a free float of 36% after an early-December debut.
Persons: Maxim Shemetov, Sovcombank, Dmitry Gusev, Mosgorlombard, Elena Fabrichnaya, Alexander Marrow, Guy Faulconbridge, Susan Fenton Organizations: St ., Economic, REUTERS, Rights, Thomson Locations: St, St . Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Russia, Moscow, Ukraine, IPOs
Executives don't need to worry about Irrational misrepresenting their company, and participation can open them up to potential inclusion in products such as an ETF, van Adelsberg said. In total, the ETF recently held nearly 150 equities and is benchmarked to the CIBC Human Capital Index. Still, the team noted some challenges in building broader awareness of what human capital is or why it matters. "In this market, what we're seeing is that those companies who have strong human capital ratings are outperforming," van Adelsberg said. "The role that human capital plays in driving future equity performance isn't going down.
Persons: doesn't, Kristof Gleich, , it's, Gleich, , Morningstar, HAPI, David van Adelsberg, van Adelsberg, Eli Lilly, Johnson, Berkshire Hathaway, JPMorgan Chase, they've, It's Organizations: Capital Factor, Capital Advisors, Irrational, ETF, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Morningstar, Mastercard, Berkshire, CIBC Human, JPMorgan, Securities, Exchange
This case requires us to determine whether the same rule applies to police encounters that take place on a bus. The mere fact that Bostick did not feel free to leave the bus does not mean that the police seized him. This court is not empowered to forbid law enforcement practices simply because it considers them distasteful. We therefore believe the district court erred in relying on whether the conduct ‘seriously affect plaintiff's psychological well-being’ ... As for the victims, the government now has license to transfer property from those with fewer resources to those with more.
Persons: Sandra Day O'Connor, Bostick, , James Acton, Bollinger, , Rumsfeld, , James Madison, impartially Organizations: Florida Supreme, Systems, Law, Ritz, Carlton Locations: Florida, Hudson, New York, Harris, Davis, Vernonia, Acton, America, Hamdi, City of New London,
Coinbase has the added benefit of having survived the so-called crypto winter, while so many of its rivals disappeared or downsized. Combination showing Former FTX CEO, Sam Bankman-Fried (L) and Zhao Changpeng (R), founder and chief executive officer of Binance. With assets of more than $65 billion on the platform, Binance remains the world's largest crypto exchange globally. watch nowBoth Coinbase and Binance still face legal battles with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which was noticeably absent from the Binance settlement. Regulatory approval would open up many more avenues for people to buy bitcoin.
Persons: Brian Armstrong, Carlos Jasso, Coinbase, Sam Bankman, FTX, Changpeng Zhao, Zhao Changpeng, Binance, Zhao, CoinGecko, Mizuho, it's, CNBC's Joumanna, Armstrong, Bittrex, JPMorgan Chase, Franklin Templeton Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Bloomberg, Getty, Tech, Reuters, Justice Department, CNBC, Mizuho, Securities and Exchange Commission, U.S, SEC, JPMorgan, WisdomTree Locations: U.S, Binance, Needham, BlackRock, WisdomTree
What do options traders mean when they referred to an "implied move"? A core component of the implied move is the implied volatility of the options. Implied volatility is an estimate of a stock's future volatility and is embedded in an option's price. What causes large moves, such as the one seen in Foot Locker, and what are traders betting on now? FL YTD mountain Foot Locker in 2023 As the chart reveals, FL has had a tough go of it this year.
Persons: Locker, Foot Locker Organizations: FL, NBA
Landing an internship in college can help you get ahead of your peers when you graduate. But knowing how to gain the skills employers want without having experience in the workplace can be difficult. Don't always focus on the largest companiesMany college students prioritize internships at big companies that pay the most, but that isn't always the best way to gain experience, Palomaki said. Research the skills employers wantIt's worth spending time researching the skills employers are looking for, Palomaki said. "You have to be able to justify why your skills are relevant for the position that you're applying for," he said.
Persons: Lasse Palomaki, isn't, Palomaki, I'm, I've, who've, It's, it's Organizations: Business, University of South, University of North, National Association of Colleges, Employers, hustles Locations: University of South Florida, University of North Carolina, Greensboro
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