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"FANG" and other big cap tech have faded as favorite trades, but i nvesting in foreign stocks as a way to generate better returns is just beginning. The outperformance in foreign markets has not gone unnoticed by U.S. investors, bruised by the 19.4% decline in the S & P 500 last year. Also, investors in foreign stocks will benefit if their local currencies gain against the dollar. Investors are now monitoring foreign markets much more and focusing on what's happening in currency pairs, like dollar/yen. "I think a lot of investors will play Europe stocks right out of the gate," he said.
Sequentially, the biggest driver was higher interest rates, as well as a benefit from higher loan balances and lower mortgage-backed securities premium amortization. Key company metrics Net interest income: $13.43 billion, up 11% quarter-over-quarter and 45% year-over-year, outpacing analysts' forecasts of $12.99 billion. Net interest margin: 3.14%, compared with 2.11% during the same period a year prior, and above the consensus estimate of 3.02%. Within consumer lending, home lending was down 57% from last year, while credit card revenue increased 6% over last year. Noninterest expenses increased 4% year-over-year but were down 3% sequentially, with the annual increase resulting from higher operating costs and salary expenses.
New York CNN —Delta Air Lines has a backup to the federal aviation safety system that failed this week, but the airline decided against using it, CEO Ed Bastian said Friday. Bastian described the Delta’s secondary system as “fairly old backup technology” involving the notices known as NOTAMs distributed by the Federal Aviation Administration alerting pilots of obstacles, closures, and other information. Delta’s backup system collects data from the NOTAM database. But a new labor deal with its pilots union will trim profitability going forward. The main headwind: a new tentative labor agreement with its pilots union, reached a month ago, that will increase pay by 34% over the life of the contract.
An internal Google document laid out a theory for why the company has become so slow. Komoroske compared Google's bottom-up organizational structure to a slime mold: single-cell organisms that can work independently but also form together to create a larger network. "Google is basically a slime mold," wrote Komoroske, placing Google on a sliding scale from top-down to bottom-up structures. The last update on the internal document was made in 2019. "I believe they are not specific to any one context, but rather emerge inherently any time there are individuals with autonomy who care deeply," wrote Komoroske.
A Covid-19 trend of drinkers flocking to spirits instead of beer is continuing to pressure brewers, making now a good time to sell shares of Anheuser-Busch InBev , according to UBS. The firm on Thursday downgraded shares of the beverage company to sell from neutral and slashed its price target to €53 from €57. "Our analysis suggests the beer category is unlikely to benefit from deceleration in premium and above spirits," said Oliver. Overall, UBS expects that Anheuser-Busch InBev will struggle to grow in 2023 and 2024 and face an additional currency exchange headwind in the latter year. Deutsche Bank on Thursday also downgraded shares of Anheuser-Busch InBev to hold from buy, saying that the company is still well-placed but is not "broadly fairly valued."
Unlike in previous crypto winters, however, macro forces outside the crypto industry are the biggest drivers of the market. The Shanghai upgrade Ethereum developers are gearing up for the network's next big upgrade, the "Shanghai" upgrade, which has a target release of March 2023. "The problem right now is if you stake ether into the network, your ether will be locked until the Shanghai upgrade," Lau said. "There will be more liquidity of ether after the Shanghai upgrade," he added. Gox but the expected distribution of the bitcoin recovered from the exchange's 2014 implosion could be a near-term headwind for bitcoin investors.
Weaker demand for denim products could prove a major headwind for shares of Levi Strauss in the near future, according to Citigroup. Analyst Paul Lejuez downgraded the jeans maker to neutral from a buy rating, citing comments from other management teams indicating a slowdown in denim trends that began during the back-to-school season and persisted into the holidays. Even after plummeting 38% in 2022 and underperforming Citi's broader coverage group over the past 12 months, Lejuez said Levi shares still don't look cheap. As a result, he trimmed Citi's price target to $17 from $19, suggesting that shares will only stay near Tuesday's closing price. "LEVI's ability to reduce promos and raise prices will likely be diminished in F23 as the denim category is facing a broad slowdown," Lejuez wrote, adding that he expects caution from management when it shares the outlook for 2023.
With the dollar weakening, it's time for U.S. investors to get more serious about going abroad for stock market gains. Europe, China, Japan, Asia are actually going to move from losers to winners," he said. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI), iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) and KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) are invested in shares of Chinese companies. Chinese stocks make up 33% of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) represents that index.
Tech stocks were the hardest hit in 2022 but, in 2023, they could slightly outperform the S & P 500, according to investors surveyed by JPMorgan. The bank conducted a buyside survey of about 74 long-term investors and hedge funds to gauge their sentiment on internet stocks in 2023. About 43% of the investors that participated indicated they expect internet stocks to rise more than 5% this year, while 30% expect "flattish" performance. More investors, 41%, identified Meta Platforms as the mega-cap tech stock most likely to succeed than any other. On the flip side, Netflix is the most likely to show the worst performance this year, according to 43% of survey respondents.
NEW DELHI, Jan 8 (Reuters) - Mercedes Benz (MBGn.DE) expects double-digit sales growth in India this year, despite concerns that a weaker rupee could increase car prices, the head of its local unit said in an interview. So that's some headwind we see when it comes to the growth potential," Iyer said. "But we are starting the year with a very healthy order bank and that gives us the confidence of a double-digit growth even for 2023," said Iyer. Mercedes plans to launch 10 new cars in India in 2023, most costing more than 10 million rupees ($120,000), the top-end segment that grew 69% in 2022. The company launched three EVs in India in 2022 including a locally assembled, electric model of its flagship S-Class sedan.
Wells Fargo is getting more bullish on shares of First Solar , Sunnova Energy and Sunrun , expecting margins to improve as supply chains ease and raw material costs decline. Benefits from the legislation have also yet to materialize in stock prices, he added. Many have also come to view the solar stock as a major beneficiary of tax credits from the government's climate bill. Blum expects Sunnova and Sunrun, meanwhile, to benefit from their power purchase agreement models poised to gain in the next year. low-income projects, domestic content, and energy community) are only available to solar financing deals structured as lease/PPAs," Blum said.
Futures muted as Fed minutes confirm more tightening ahead
  + stars: | 2023-01-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Wall Street's main indexes erased some of their gains on Wednesday after meeting minutes showed the Fed was laser-focused on fighting inflation even as officials agreed to slow the interest rate hiking pace to limit risks to economic growth. "The meeting minutes suggested 'more evidence' is needed to confirm inflation is under control," said Victoria Scholar, head of investment at Interactive Investor. "Consequently, the Fed is expected to continue raising interest rates, with hawkish policy a continued headwind for equities into 2023." This comes a day after data showed a moderate fall in U.S. job openings, indicating a still tight market. ET, Dow e-minis were up 13 points, or 0.04%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 3.25 points, or 0.08%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 13.5 points, or 0.12%.
Neal Berger's hedge fund returned 163% in 2022 betting on the end of the easy money era, according to a Bloomberg report. Berger said more pain is still to come for global markets and everything will continue to decline. "The reason why I started the fund was that central bank flows were going to change 180 degrees. Per the report, Eagle's View has about $700 million in assets under management, and roughly $200 million in the Contrarian Macro Fund. In particular, his Contrarian Macro Fund is mostly betting against Europen and American assets, though it also has hedges that will pay returns in upswings.
Stocks still have at least 7% more to fall before hitting a bottom, according to JPMorgan's chief stock strategist Dubravko Lakos. He told CNBC that earnings estimates for 2023 are still too high, and the Fed would likely stay restrictive on monetary policy. "I don't think the Fed is going to make it easy for the market. He predicted the S&P 500 will dip at least to 3,600, representing a 7% decline from current levels, particularly since central bankers are expected to keep interest rates restrictive. The Fed hiked interest rates by 425 basis points last year to rein in inflation, leading the S&P 500 to sink 20% for its worst losses since 2008.
Skyrocketing energy costs have spurred investment in renewable energy across the world. UBS said it brought online about 200 megawatts of solar energy plants last year, enough to power 100,000 homes. NextEra Energy , one of the world's largest wind energy generators, also made UBS' list. UBS said NextEra produces more than 35% of its 58-gigawatt power generation through wind and solar power. Shares of NextEra Energy Partners , a publicly traded subsidiary of NextEra Energy based in Florida, are also expected to rise by 28%.
Minneapolis CNN —America’s central bank found itself in a glaring spotlight for much of this past year, as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell wielded blunt tools of interest rate hikes and quantitative tightening to curb surging inflation. That means the Fed, with its “laser focus on the job market,” could be “continually hawkish” at the start of 2023, said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird. “This latent strength in the job market could be the reason that the Fed over-tightens,” he told CNN. Jerome Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, from right, Lael Brainard, vice chair of the board of governors for the Federal Reserve System, and John Williams, president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, during a break at the Jackson Hole economic symposium in Moran, Wyoming, on Aug. 26, 2022. That’s 0.2 percentage points higher than the 4.4% rate they were expecting in September and significantly higher than the current 3.7% rate.
Here's how the U.S. economy could escape a recession in 2023
  + stars: | 2022-12-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +12 min
The U.S. economy heads into 2023 facing what might be the most anticipated recession in history. That basically means some parts of the economy will feel like they're in a recession while others won't. "Some areas of the economy may not feel like they actually are in recession. "For certain parts of the economy, it will feel like a very deep recession. For other parts, it will feel like a healthy growth economy, particularly in the parts of the economy where we see strong demand," she said.
What made the fourth quarter stand out from the first three of the year? Here's a snapshot of the best and worst performers in the Investing Club's 33-stock portfolio for the fourth quarter, starting with our top 4 performers. Worst performers Turning to what didn't work in the fourth quarter, the worst performer for the club was Amazon (AMZN), which fell 27.6% in the quarter. Revenues declined year-over-year for the second quarter in a row, but that was mostly anticipated by the market. The fourth worst performer was Walt Disney (DIS), which fell 10.8% in the quarter It all unraveled for Disney after it reported a much weaker-than-expected fiscal fourth quarter in November.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCiti's Chronert says these three things will be a headwind for markets in 2023Scott Chronert, Citi U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss his strategy going into 2023 and what investors should look for in the first quarter of the new year.
As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. A graph displaying the Apple stock price on a smartphone app.
Regarding the cloud, AMZN's Web Services business is the market leader in cloud infrastructure services. Moreover, the scale of AMZN's web services business provides many cost advantages as very few companies can compete with AMZN's investment spend and first-mover advantage. Over the long term, we would expect MDLZ to generate double-digit total returns, consisting of high-single digit EPS growth and the 2.3% dividend. There is a long runway remaining for cloud growth as companies slowly deal with legacy investments that still drive value but are not cloud-based. Management remains committed to its goal of high single-digit EPS growth in 2023, followed by sustained double-digit growth in 2024 and beyond.
Double-digit U.S. home price growth streak skids to an end
  + stars: | 2022-12-27 | by ( Dan Burns | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller national home price index increased by 9.2% in October, down from 10.7% in September and notching the first single-digit gain since November 2020. On a month-over-month basis, S&P Case Shiller's index fell for a fourth straight month, while FHFA's gauge was unchanged. The housing market has suffered the most visible effects of aggressive Fed interest rate hikes that are aimed at curbing high inflation by undercutting demand in the economy. Unlike then, the supply of homes on the market remains extraordinarily limited and should keep a floor under house prices. "As the Fed tightens financial conditions, the housing market will likely slow further in the coming year," LPL Financial Chief Economist Jeffrey Roach said.
Third-quarter earnings season is finally behind us — and like the prior quarter, results were solid overall compared to analyst forecasts. Danaher (DHR) reported sales and earnings beats on the back of better-than-expected results in all three segments of the health technology company. While U.S. customer traffic was down in the quarter, management noted that it improved sequentially and improved throughout the quarter. Still the luxury hotel and casino company reported solid third-quarter results boosted by its U.S. properties. Amazon (AMZN) reported results that were disappointing, to say the least, and compounded by guidance that was even worse.
Goldman Sachs is expecting weaker growth in 2023 as interest rates stay elevated. Here's why the firm is optimistic about emerging markets and willing to invest in China. Instead, the investing chief at GSAM prefers emerging markets equities and debt in 2023. "It's had the trifecta of rising US rates, strong US dollar, and weaker growth," Shah said. Within emerging markets, Shah is most bullish on stocks in Asia, specifically India and China.
That works out to a 31.2% return on total average short interest of $973.6 billion throughout the year, according to S3 Partners. Stanphyl Capital portfolio manager Mark Spiegel, who has been short Tesla "constantly, in varying size" since 2014, said a bet against Tesla was his fund's most profitable individual short position this year. While higher interest rates have punished growth stocks, some investors believe Tesla CEO Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter is diverting his time running the electric car company. Long-short hedge funds, which bet on stock prices rising or falling, posted a 9.7% loss through November, according to data provider HFR. Charles Lemonides, portfolio manager at $226 billion hedge fund ValueWorks LLC, believes tight monetary policy will weigh on risk appetite next year.
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