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☆ Goldman Sachs sees S&P 500 at 6,000 in 12 months, gives basket to play lower rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Wall Street investment bank sees the S & P 500 rising about 6% to 6,000 in the next 12 months from Friday's close of 5,626.02. "Resilient economic growth should lead to modestly higher bond yields while continued earnings growth drives modestly higher equity prices," David Kostin, Goldman's head of U.S. equity, said in a note to clients on Friday. Wall Street is counting on lower corporate and consumer borrowing costs to boost earnings growth and stock prices. With multiples flat, EPS growth will lead the S & P 500 modestly higher." Goldman believes stocks with a "long duration" could outperform in a falling interest rate environment.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin, Russell, Goldman's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Electric, Rivian Automotive, Lucid, Costco Wholesale Locations: U.S, Friday's

☆ Get ready for stocks to embark on a weekslong rally after the Fed cuts rates, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Stocks are set to climb higher for at least the next few weeks, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. Lee pointed to the Fed's policy meeting, with markets expecting a rate cut on Wednesday. A Fed rate cut will be bullish for stocks, regardless of its size, he told CNBC. AdvertisementWall Street has been anticipating rate cuts for months, especially as the economy has shown some weakness stemming from tighter financial conditions. However, stocks should move higher regardless of the size of the rate cut, Lee said, so long as central bankers assure markets that more cuts are coming.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, —, Powell Organizations: CNBC, Service, Bureau of Labor, New York Fed

☆ Stock market today: Indexes close mixed as tech stumbles and traders brace for Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks ended mixed on Monday ahead of the start of the Fed's two-day policy meeting. The Fed is widely expected to deliver a rate cut of 25 or 50 basis points at the end of its meeting on Wednesday. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementStocks close mixed on Monday as traders and investors prepared for the start of the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated policy meeting. The Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed's rate-setting group, is expected to deliver an interest rate cut at 2 p.m. on Wednesday.

Persons: —, Savita Subramanian, Apple, Morgan Stanley, Z Organizations: Apple, Service, Federal, Market Committee, Bank of America, Tech, Nasdaq, Broadcom, Nvidia, Micro, Micron Technology Locations: Here's

☆ Citigroup says both candidates are negative for stocks, so hope for a split Congress
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors may be better off if November's election ends with neither candidate having enough wiggle room to enact their economic policies, according to Citigroup. "We maintain our ongoing view that either candidate's policy platforms are U.S. equity negative, but notably in a 'sweep' context. We mark the Harris platform as incrementally more negative (-4% to -6%) vs the Trump platform (0% to -4%). A split congress with either candidate mitigates most of the nearer term risk to fair values," the note said. … We continue to reiterate our ongoing concern that the deficit circumstance will move more front and center with investors post election," the Citigroup said.

Persons: Scott Chronert, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, mitigates, Trump Organizations: Citigroup, Trump, White Locations: Montana , Nevada , Arizona, Pennsylvania

☆ Trump’s social media stock reacts to latest security scare
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —Shares of Donald Trump’s social media company are experiencing another bout of turbulence following the latest assassination attempt against the former president and face of Truth Social. Experts have compared Trump Media to a meme stock because it tends to trade on sentiment and hype, not fundamentals. And even though it brings in little revenue, the conservative social media company continues to be valued in the billions of dollars. Trump Media finished the day up by 12%, its best performance in three weeks. Investors who bought Trump Media when it went public this March remain deeply in the red.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, ” Trump, Trump, Trump’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Media & Technology, Trump, Trump Media, Nasdaq Locations: New York

☆ Cramer says to 'sit on your hands' until the Fed makes a rate cut decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

While Wall Street widely expects the Fed to cut rates after its meeting later this week, it remains up in the air how large the cut will be. Some expect a 25 basis-point cut, while others are hoping for a 50 basis-point cut. According to Cramer, investors took profits in tech and bought cyclical stocks because many anticipate a higher rate cut. He suggested that if the Fed decides to cut rates by 0.25%, investors will shift back into tech, and Monday's winners will suffer. It flows right back to where it came from: The tech stocks that got sold today," he said.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, there's, Don't, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Toll Brothers

☆ Young, rich investors are making 2 key mistakes, says CFP and financial psychologist: They'll 'learn the hard way'
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

If you're looking to build wealth, traditional forms of investment aren't going to get you there — at least according to young, rich people. For younger wealthy investors, though, stocks come in behind seven other types of investments, including real estate, cryptocurrency, private equity and direct investment into companies. Klontz says that younger wealthy investors may be falling victim to some of the same cognitive biases that regular investors do — and it may be holding them back from maximizing their returns. Young people have ignored traditional advice 'for thousands of years'In general, it's not surprising that younger investors, regardless of wealth level, want to chart a different path than older generations. DON'T MISS: How to master your money and grow your wealth Older investors tend to favor the returns offered by stocks, because that is what has historically delivered returns.

Persons: Brad Klontz, Klontz, it's, Everything's, They're Organizations: of America Private Bank, Wealthy, Creighton University

☆ Don’t expect much from stocks for the next decade, says JPMorgan
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

As investors are navigating all the buzz about this week's potential rate cut and the upcoming presidential election, JPMorgan is forecasting a serious risk to long-term stock returns. The market appears to be too expensive relative to history, according to the firm, which is projecting a 5.7% annual return from the S & P 500 over the next decade. That is barely above half its post-World War II average, analyst Jan Loeys said in a recent note to clients. .SPX 5Y mountain S & P 500 performance over the past five years. The "Great Moderation" refers to the period from the mid-1980s to 2007 that saw low inflation and steady economic growth.

Persons: Jan Loeys, Loeys Organizations: JPMorgan

☆ Morgan Stanley lays out the stock market's best-case scenario for this week's Fed decision — and 2 areas to buy after the cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ideally the Fed will cut rates by a half-point without triggering growth worries, Morgan Stanley says. According to new research from Morgan Stanley, that would be the best possible outcome for stocks. Ahead of the rate cut, Morgan Stanley suggested that investors increase exposure to two stock cohorts that have historically outperformed in similar environments: defensive and high-quality. Defensive stocks include sectors such as utilities and consumer staples — groups that are less reliant on macroeconomic conditions to perform well. Large caps also tend to outperform small caps both before and after the Fed's first rate cut.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, —, Morgan, cyclicals, Wilson Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve

☆ Stock market today: Indexes trade mixed as investors look forward to major Fed decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks were mixed on Monday ahead of the Fed's expected rate cut later in the week. Fed fund futures show markets see odds of a 50 basis point cut as more likely than a 25 basis point move. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed on Monday ahead of a major Federal Reserve meeting that's expected to deliver the first interest rate cut in four years. Treasury yields dipped, with the 10-year bond down about one basis point to 3.64%.

Persons: —, it's, Dan Ives, Powell, Ives Organizations: Treasury, Service, Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Fed, Wedbush Securities, Nvidia, Broadcom, Oracle, Here's

☆ The 2 things that will determine whether last week's stock market rally will continue this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

The S & P 500 rebounded 4% this past week, almost clawing back all of the prior week's horrible decline. Fed watch The Fed is the big market event this week. ET: Fed rate decision Before the bell: General Mills (GIS) After the bell: Steelcase (SCS) Thursday, Sept. 19 8:30 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang's, Goldman Sachs, Jim, Huang, Lisa Su, Su, Vimal Kapur, Morgan, Brian Niccol, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jerome Powell, They're, Lennar, Doug Yearley, Mills, LEN, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Club, Technology, CNBC, Oracle, Devices, TAM, Apple, Honeywell, Starbucks, Barclays Global Financial Services, Fed, FedEx, homebuilder, Home Depot, Darden, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Las Vegas, U.S, America, Horton, New York City

☆ Resist the temptation of AI and bet on safe defensive stocks, Wall Street analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

More analysts are recommending "defensive" shares over AI plays as macro conditions change. With some questioning the AI rally, investors could benefit from non-tech growth companies, an analyst said. Similar to BofA's call, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson last week called the AI theme "overcooked" and said investors should shift to defensive shares. But in tune with what others had said, Diton also touted that utilities stocks as one meaningful investment to make right now. As bullish on AI as he may be, he warned that the market has become extremely concentrated in tech's leading names, and investors need to diversify.

Persons: —, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brad Conger, Hirtle Callaghan, Conger, Morgan Stanley's Wilson, Eric Diton, Diton Organizations: Service, Nvidia, P Global Semiconductor, Bank of America, Vanguard, JPMorgan, Wealth Alliance, Federal Reserve Locations: BlackRock

☆ How I'm approaching the stock market after its wild reversal to start September
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The week before, Broadcom had allegedly disappointed, causing Nvidia , the inevitable key to this market, to continue its descent. Which brings me back to the initial concept of the big declining week followed by the big advancing week. A good week for Kamala Harris turns out to be a big week for Nextracker — and that's really it for now. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

Persons: Larry Ellison, Ellison, Cerner, Ellison's, Eaton, Jensen, Bing, Microsoft's Bing, underinvesting, Huang, Blackwell, Dupont, Kamala Harris, Nextracker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Broadcom, Nvidia, Oracle, Marvell, Meta, Microsoft, Google, mightily, Street, Fed, Dreamforce, downer, Adobe, JPMorgan, Healthcare, pharma, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Silicon Valley, San Francisco

☆ Brazil recently hit a record high. Why further gains may be harder to come by
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Brazilian stocks have been on a tear, but stubborn inflation could grind the recent rally to a stop. It's a work in progress, and most likely will require further rate hikes by the central bank." BCA Research's Arthur Budaghyan agreed that the Brazilian central bank is unlikely to hike rates for very long. Against this backdrop, Budaghyan advises clients steer clear of Brazilian stocks in the near term. U.S. investors who want exposure to the Brazilian stock market can obtain it through the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) .

Persons: Bovespa, Fernando Haddad, Goldman Sachs, Alberto Ramos, Ramos, Arthur Budaghyan, Budaghyan Organizations: U.S . Federal, CNBC, U.S, Fed, BCA, Banco, MRB Partners Locations: Lower U.S, overcompensate, America, Banco Central, Brazil, U.S

Lower interest rates may impact your investment portfolio following the Fed's first rate cut. "They get spooked by something like policy changes and sell out of a diversified investment portfolio. "Generally, lower interest rates boost the economy as lending gets cheaper for consumers and businesses, " says Eckles. However, as interest rates fall, the attractiveness of these cash investments declines. The inverse relationship between bond prices and interest rates means that as rates fall, bond prices rise, providing another return component.

Persons: Banks, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Bakkum, Pam Krueger, annualized, Jaime Eckles, Plante Moran, doesn't, We've, Krueger, Cash Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ Auto parts and dollar store execs warn that low-income Americans are stretched thin and running on borrowed time
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Dominick Reuter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

AdvertisementBut Americans are not a monolith, as Jefferies consumer strategist Carey Kaufman pointed out in a note to clients Tuesday. Heading into the autumn, a considerable number of those in the bottom quintile appear to be running on borrowed time. Dollar Tree, which owns Family Dollar, reported similar consumer headwinds during its quarterly earnings this month. "What we noticed was an even tighter core consumer at the very last week of each of the months in Q2," he said. "While that's always a tighter week of the month for our core consumer, it was by far the weakest."

Persons: —, Carey Kaufman, Ted Vasos, Vasos, David Bellinger, Ryan Grimsland, Will Stengel, Ally, Russell Hutchinson, paychecks aren't, that's, Bellinger Organizations: Service, Walmart, Costco, Business, Jefferies, Goldman, Global Retailing, Mizuho, Reuters, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ The stock market risks keeping Wall Street's biggest bulls up at night
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The bulls on Wall Street have been largely right about the stock market over the past two years. Business Insider asked three bullish stock strategists what they consider the biggest risks. Yet, those economists have been largely wrong about what could sink the stock market and economy. "In May/June, when you had a lot of bears or those that had been late to jump on the bull parade all of a sudden switch their forecasts and kind of chase markets up, which is pretty, I mean pretty, pretty, pretty classic," Belski told Business Insider. The second risk is, similar to Belski's concern, a 1990's type melt-up in the stock market.

Persons: —, Brian Belski, Belski, Yardeni Research's Eric Wallerstein Eric Wallerstein, Wallerstein, that's, Carson, Sonu Varghese Sonu Varghese, Varghese Organizations: Business, Service, BMO, Nvidia, Yardeni Research, Carson Group, Federal Locations: Russia, Ukraine, China, Taiwan

☆ 5 warning signs the economy is spiraling toward recession — and why there's 'major disconnect' between stocks and the job market
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

And yet, the unemployment rate continues to inch up, job openings continue to fall, and payroll data continue to underwhelm. But how long that enthusiasm can continue to outweigh declining labor market indicators remains to be seen. AdvertisementThe first is declining job openings, which are down to 7.6 million from 2022 highs above 12 million. BullAndBearProfits.comAnother sign Wolfenbarger shared showing the labor market is turning sour is the Kansas City Fed's Labor Market Conditions Index, which is a composite of 24 job market indicators. BullAndBearProfits.comFinally, in a September 2 note, Wolfenbarger shared a chart from Bank of America showing the decline in private job growth as a share of all job growth.

Persons: —, Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, Wolfenbarger, there's, BullAndBearProfits.com, John, Hussman, Stocks Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Business, Kansas City Fed's Labor, BullAndBearProfits.com, Bank of America Locations: Kansas

☆ To pop or not to pop: the smart way to invest in AI without worrying about the bubble
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

It's also common to draw parallels between the dot-com bubble and today's hype, leading investors to wonder if there's an AI bubble that's about to pop, too. Goldman Sachs' big AI headline of the month is "To buy, or not to buy, that is the question." The note from September 5, led by Peter Oppenheimer, suggests the answer is "to buy" but also to diversify. And the third is the application providers, which are the companies creating services for end users to harness AI. It comes from machine learning or big data workloads that various companies and governments use, Belton noted.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, Peter Oppenheimer, John Belton, doesn't, Brian Colello, Nancy Tengler, that's, it's, Tengler, Wall, Larry Ellison, Colello, Belton Organizations: Service, Business, Gabelli Funds, Morningstar Equity Research, Investments, Nvidia, Companies, Microsoft, Intel, Oracle, IBM, Broadcom, AMD, Cadence Design Systems, Google, AWS, Eaton Corporation Locations: GenAI, Belton

☆ CNBC Daily Open: With all key data in, the Fed's policy path looks more uncertain
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Hotter-than-expected core, againThe U.S. producer price index, which measures the prices producers receive before retailers sell goods and services to consumers, rose 0.2% in August, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. However, like the consumer price index, core PPI came in 10 basis points higher than expected. But investors are ignoring two big risks to the market, said a chief investment officer of a wealth management firm.

Persons: Hong, Dow Jones, Sheila Kahyaoglu, Safra Catz, Bond Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Nikkei, U.S ., Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, Boeing, Jefferies, Oracle, Amazon, Google, Microsoft Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S, Seattle, Oregon

☆ Americans are the richest they've ever been thanks to soaring real estate and stock prices
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Americans' net worth hit a record $163.8 trillion in Q2, driven by a surge in real estate and stock prices. Data from the Federal Reserve shows a nearly 2% increase In net worth from Q1, with real estate leading the gains. Record highs in Americans' net worth could drive a "wealth effect" that leads to the economy's continued resilience. AdvertisementNew data from the Federal Reserve reveals that Americans are the richest they've ever been. A $1.8 trillion increase in real estate valued and a $700 billion gain in stocks drove the increase.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg, " Rosenberg, It's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, National, Census Locations: States

☆ Oracle's Larry Ellison briefly tops Jeff Bezos to become world's second-richest person
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Annie Palmer | In Annierpalmer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oracle 's best week on the stock market since 2021 has bolstered Chairman Larry Ellison's net worth, briefly edging him past Amazon founder Jeff Bezos on Friday to become the world's second-richest person. Ellison's net worth reached $208.4 billion shortly after the market open, then fell to $199 billion, according to Forbes' real-time billionaires list. Bezos, who has claimed the title of world's second-richest person on and off over the years, is worth $205 billion. Bezos, 60, and Ellison, 80, are jockeying for the title of world's second-richest person three days after their companies forged a new partnership. "With Oracle Database to be able to run AWS, Microsoft and Google, is incredibly important," Ellison said on the call.

Persons: Larry Ellison's, Jeff Bezos, Forbes, Elon Musk, Ellison, Oracle, Jordan Novet, Ari Levy Organizations: Amazon, Oracle, Nvidia, Microsoft, Google Locations: Las Vegas

☆ Stock market today: S&P 500 notches 5-day streak of gains ahead of next week's Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all posted gains amid rate cut speculation. Odds of a 50 basis point cut rose sharply this week from about 30% to 49%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 notched a five-day win streak, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged almost 300 points. Odds are split 49% / 51% for a 50 basis point or 25 basis point rate cut, respectively. Advertisement"A less aggressive Fed rate outlook could spark some volatility given market expectations," Adam said.

Persons: Dow Jones, —, Raymond James, Larry Adam, Adam Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Dow, Open, Fed, Markets

☆ Why the stock market's AI trade came back to life this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

AI stocks like Nvidia, Super Micro Computer, and Broadcom soared nearly 20% this week. Oracle shares surged 24% after Ellison's bullish comments on AI's long-term potential. AdvertisementThe stock market's artificial intelligence trade was revived this week, with shares of AI stalwarts like Nvidia, Super Micro Computer, and Broadcom all soaring nearly 20%. Since those bullish comments, Oracle shares soared as much as 24% at their intraday peak on Friday. The AI rally has spread throughout the tech sector this week, with semiconductor stocks seeing renewed interest and a nearly 10% surge.

Persons: Ellison's, —, Larry Ellison, Jensen Huang, Oracle's Ellison, Ellison, it's, Oracle, Jackson Ader, Huang, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Nvidia, Micro, Broadcom, Oracle, Service

☆ Goldman Sachs loves these 4 top European stocks — giving one 110% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Four U.K.-listed stocks — one of which was given 110% upside — are among Goldman Sachs' European conviction list. While the S & P 500 fell by 5.85% in the first week of August, the FTSE 100, an index of the 100 largest London-listed stocks, outperformed by falling by only 2.4%. .FTSE .SPX 5Y line The investment bank said the FTSE 100 "can also provide good diversification from the concentrated and Tech-heavy S & P 500 ." The bank notes that SSE's "leading capabilities vs. peers position it well to capture this investment growth." The investment bank said the company "is at the start of a revenue acceleration" supported by increasing market share and expansion into new markets.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Sharon Bell, Tufan Erginbilgic, LSEG Goldman, LSEG Organizations: FTSE, SPX, Tech, BT Group, Royce, London Stock Exchange, BT, London Stock Exchange Group, Bloomberg, Microsoft Locations: British, London, United States

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