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US stocks moved higher on Wednesday, while bond yields declined Tuesday's highs. ADP reported private payrolls climbed 89,000 in September, below forecasts of 160,000. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks moved higher on Wednesday, as the 10-year US Treasury yield retreated slightly after hitting 16-year highs.
Persons: payrolls, , Dow Jones, Dan North, Quincy Krosby Organizations: Treasury, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Allianz Trade North, JPMorgan, Dow Jones Locations: Allianz Trade North America
Jordanian Dinar, Yuan, Dollar, Canadian Dollar, Pound and Riyals banknotes are seen in this picture illustration taken June 13, 2017. JP Morgan analyst Sin Beng Ong in a note on the pressure it was putting on emerging Asia markets. RICHARD MCGUIRE, HEAD OF RATES STRATEGY, RABOBANK, LONDON:“The markets reflect effectively flying blind because the models don't work, everybody's been calling for a recession that just simply refuses to arrive. "Our view is that the U.S. economy slows into next year... so from that perspective, at some point, we expect it (bond market selloff) to normalise." (Compiled by the Global Finance & Markets Breaking News team)Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Yuan, Dado Ruvic, BENG ONG, JP Morgan, Sin Beng Ong, RICHARD MCGUIRE, everybody's, you've, VIKRAM AGGARWAL, ” JUAN VALENZUELA, ARTEMIS, , ” NICK NELSON Organizations: REUTERS, OF, JPMORGAN, RABOBANK, LONDON, Federal Reserve, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: Treasuries, ASIA, SINGAPORE, Asia, U.S
"If the unemployment rate ticks up just a couple of tenths it will be recession alert," Gundlach wrote on X. AdvertisementAdvertisementBond-market turmoil could be a sign that a recession is on the way, Jeff Gundlach has warned. "The US Treasury yield curve is de-inverting very rapidly," Gundlach wrote in a post on X. That "should put everyone on recession warning, not just recession watch," he added. That's led to the gap in returns offered by 2- and 10-year Treasurys narrowing to just 33 basis points, for the tightest yield curve since late March.
Persons: Jeff Gundlach, Gundlach, Buckle, , That's, , David Lebovitz Organizations: DoubleLine, Service, Treasury, Federal Reserve, London School of Economics, JPMorgan
Asia’s breakup party is happening under duress
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Pranav Kiran | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
As with other big breakups in the region however, there are unspoken reasons for him to join the party. Vedanta Resources is in talks with bondholders to extend the maturity by roughly three years on about $3.2 billion of debt due in 2024 and 2025. But even then, Vedanta Resources may still have a funding gap until 2027 under certain conditions, according to JPMorgan. Even if those were sold for as much as $1.5 billion, JPMorgan estimates Vedanta Resources will at most receive only $350 million in net proceeds. For every one share in Vedanta, shareholders will receive one additional share of each of the five new companies.
Persons: Anil Agarwal, Ajay Agarwal, Vedanta, Mukesh Ambani, Una Galani, Katrina Hamlin Organizations: Reuters, Vedanta, Vedanta Resources, London Stock Exchange, JPMorgan, Hindustan, HK, Reliance Industries, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, Mumbai, Hindustan, People’s Republic, Asia, Vedanta
Lots of Wall Street firms are getting out ahead of this week's earnings from Constellation Brands (STZ) with price target increases. At the time, we were optimistic and increased our price target on the Modelo and Corona maker to $270 per share from $260. When measuring beer growth, he assesses how much shelf space companies get every year and how quickly those products fly off the shelves. All these factors "drive solid beer growth even as the macro environment gets worse," Falorni said. Wedbush also thinks Constellation will be able to weather those macro consumer storms and continue to drive earnings and revenue growth.
Persons: It's, we'll, We'd, Filippo Falorni, there's, Falorni, Wedbush, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Jim Cramer, Bill Newlands, Elliott, Luca Zaramella, Bill Giles, Sands, Jim, Elliot, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Constellation Brands, Modelo, Revenue, Federal Reserve, Constellation, Citi, CNBC, JPMorgan, Modelo Especial, Elliott Management, Club, Mondelez, AutoZone, Getty Locations: Corona, Wells Fargo, U.S, Simi, STZ
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 'disinversion' of the curve makes a hard landing a lot more likely, says JPMorgan's Priya MisraPriya Misra, JPMorgan Asset Management fixed income portfolio manager, and Carol Schleif, BMO Family Office CIO, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, the impact of higher Treasury rates on the equity market, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's Priya Misra Priya Misra, Carol Schleif Organizations: JPMorgan, Management, BMO Family
There's a worrying signal in the bond market that suggests a recession could soon arrive. Investors have typically pointed to the spread between the two-year and 10-year Treasury yields as an indicator of a coming recession. The two-year yield surpassing that of the 10-year bond has been a signal that's preceded every economic slump since 1955. Meanwhile, 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security yields, which are adjusted for inflation, are currently hovering around 2.5%, Misra said. "The US Treasury yield curve is de-inverting very rapidly," Gundlach said in post on X, formerly known as Twitter, on Tuesday.
Persons: , Priya Misra, That's, Misra, It's, Jeff Gundlach, Gundlach, Buckle Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Management, CNBC, Treasury Locations: Treasurys
A financial crisis is brewing as bond yields soar, according to JPMorgan Asset Management's David Lebovitz. "Eventually there's going to be a financial accident… something will break," he said Monday. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAdvertisementSoaring bond yields risk triggering financial chaos, a JPMorgan strategist has warned. Higher yields tend to be bad news for stocks – because they reduce the relative returns offered by a riskier asset class.
Persons: David Lebovitz, there's, , they've Organizations: Asset, Service, JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Asset Management, Bloomberg, Wall, Treasury, Silicon Locations: California
In this article DIS Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTHong Kong Disneyland Resort is opening a new land inspired by Disney's blockbuster "Frozen" movie franchise. World of Frozen is a recreation of Arendelle — a fictional village featured in the "Frozen" movies that is home to the Disney sisters, Elsa and Anna. Disney's Elsa and Anna at World of Frozen in Hong Kong Disneyland. Getting in earlyGuests who book packages through the travel company Klook can experience World of Frozen before it opens to the public. Source: MSL SingaporeThe company is selling a "First Look at Arendelle" package, which comes with two park tickets and a one-night hotel stay, for $880.
Persons: Disney, Elsa, Anna, Disney's Elsa, Walt Disney, Walt, Disney's Olaf, Sven Organizations: Hong Kong Disneyland, Walt Disney World's Hall, Presidents, Tokyo, Tokyo DisneySea's Indiana Jones, CNBC Travel, Singapore Locations: Hong Kong, Singapore, Hong, Tokyo DisneySea's Indiana, Arendelle, Norway
UAW President Shawn Fain has transformed the rituals of contract talks with General Motors(GM.N), Ford(F.N) and Chrysler parent Stellantis (STLAM.MI) into a high-stakes, made-for-media game. GM and Ford said Monday they were indefinitely laying off another 500 workers at four Midwestern plants, citing the impact of the walkouts. Analysts looking ahead to third-quarter financial results this month are starting to reckon the costs of what the UAW calls "Stand up strikes." Ford plans four EV battery plants in the U.S. - three under joint ventures with South Korean battery maker SK On(096770.KS). GM's joint venture battery plants also have separate status and GM has declined to include them in negotiations.
Persons: Shawn Fain, Mack Trucks, Ford, JP Morgan, Fain, Harley Shaiken, Mary Barra, Jim Farley, Farley, CATL, GM's, . Company bargainers, Joseph White, Ben Klayman, David Shepardson, David Gregorio Our Organizations: DETROIT, United Auto Workers, Detroit Three, UAW, General Motors, Ford, Chrysler, Volvo Group, GM, Chevrolet, University of California Berkley, automaker's, automaker's Michigan Assembly, SK, . Company, , Thomson Locations: Escalade, automaker's Michigan, U.S, Korean, Marshall , Michigan
These are JPMorgan’s top stocks for October
  + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
JPMorgan added three new stocks to its list of top names for October, including a sports betting company that has had a massive rally since the start of the year. The focus list comprises the top ideas of the bank's equity analysts spanning growth, value and short investment strategies. The bank has a $60 price target, more than 13% above the stock's $52.80 close on Friday. Returning names to the list include value stock General Motors , which is down 3% this year. Analyst Tessa Romero's $26 price target implies shares could rise more than 353% from their Friday close of $5.73.
Persons: Joseph Greff, Robbie Marcus, Greff, Ryan Brinkman's, Tessa Romero's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Boston Scientific, Wynn Resorts, Boston, Motors, United Auto Workers, Ford Motor, Edgewise Therapeutics, Boyd Gaming Locations: DraftKings, Macau, China, UAE
Birkenstock, the German premium footwear brand backed by private-equity firm L Catterton, said on Monday it is seeking a valuation of up to $9.2 billion in its highly anticipated initial public offering (IPO) in New York. The U.S. securities regulator is well-staffed now that a government shutdown has been averted, allowing it to review IPO filings by companies looking to take advantage of the long-awaited reopening of the IPO window. On its website, the company says all elements of its design - the buckles, the straps, the sole and the footbed - have a "functional purpose". Most of its products are manufactured in facilities in Rhineland-Palatinate, North Rhine-Westphalia, Hesse and Saxony in Germany. Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley are among the underwriters for the IPO.
Persons: Margot Robbie, Goldman Sachs, J.P, Morgan, Morgan Stanley Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, underwriters Locations: New York, U.S, Rhineland, Palatinate, North Rhine, Westphalia, Hesse, Saxony, Germany
WASHINGTON (AP) — Americans view college campuses as far friendlier to liberals than to conservatives when it comes to free speech, with adults across the political spectrum seeing less tolerance for those on the right, according to a new poll. More recently, a conservative Princeton University professor was drowned out while discussing free speech at Washington College, a small school in Maryland. Overall, Republicans see a clear double standard on college campuses. “The reality is that there’s free speech for everyone on college campuses,” said Fleisher, a linguistics professor at the University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee. But as the nation has become more politically divided, so have college campuses, said Kristen Shahverdian, senior manager for education at PEN.
Persons: you’re, , Rhonda Baker, Donald Trump, , Chris Gauvin, , Gauvin, Nicholas Fleisher, Fleisher, Kristen Shahverdian, Morgan Ashford, Linda Woodward, Mike Darlington, Ilya Shapiro, Shapiro, Gene VanZandt, ___, ___ Gecker Organizations: WASHINGTON, University of Chicago, The Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, Republicans, Republican, Stanford University, Princeton University, Washington College, Overall, Yale University, Congress, GOP, American Association of University, University of Wisconsin, PEN America, PEN, Democrat, Troy University, Stanford, Foundation, Rights, University of, Manhattan Institute, Darlington, Associated Press, Carnegie Corporation of New, AP Locations: Goldsboro , North Carolina, Maryland, Manchester, Conn, Milwaukee, Alabama, Ashford, , Hot Springs, , Arkansas, Darlington, Chesterfield County , Virginia, Hampton , Virginia, San Francisco, Carnegie Corporation of New York
New reports show that, after years of inflation and rising travel costs, travelers may finally be curtailing their travel plans. Interest to travel also fell in Canada and Russia (-4 percentage points each), the survey showed. Source: Morning ConsultAs to whether this suggests pent-up demand is ending: "Yes, our data suggests that is so," said Lindsey Roeschke, travel and hospitality analyst at Morning Consult. "We are sticking with our call that the U.S. will enter recession around the turn of the year," the report states. Intentions to visit North America fell 23 percentage points from 2022 — far eclipsing a drop in interest from South Korea (12 percentage points) and Japan (9 percentage points).
Persons: Lindsey Roeschke Organizations: Travel, Morning, Oxford Economics, Oxford, U.S Locations: Europe, France, Germany, Canada, Russia, North American, Asia, Pacific, Malaysia, United States, U.S, China, Hong Kong, Macao, North America, South Korea, Japan
Making mistakes doesn't feel great, but they can provide some lessons you might not have learned otherwise. We asked this year's rising stars of Wall Street to open up about the biggest missteps of their careers so far and what they took away from them. Some shared their rookie errors — like slamming their laptop shut after forgetting to save their first big pitch deck or duplicating a trade — while others gave more reflective answers about how early career mistakes impacted their paths. We've got to iterate and change how we do things, and I think that's helped our team's process a lot. So my mistakes also brought me here, and everything that has been a mistake is always a learning experience.
Persons: there's, Luis Arteaga, David Trinh, you'll, Michael Dunn Goekjian, Tori Gilliland, didn't, It's, Andrew Almeida, Thoma Bravo I've, I've, Nadim Laiwala, Rachel Hunter, Goldman, Kristen Powers, Morgan Stanley, Sarah Sigfusson, Shanta Wu, Fred Michel, who's, Morgan, Neil Kamath, Rachel Barry, Chris Dell'Amore, We've, that's, Peter Gylfe, Ricky Mewani, Dominic Rizzo, Rowe Price, Lillian Qian Lin, of, Steve Schwarzman, Peter Peterson, Stephen Schwarzman, Blackstone, Patrick McGoldrick, Katya Brozyna, Michael Wilkinson, Yi Yi, Wells, Luna McKeon, , Anne, Victoire Auriault, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Barclays, Delta, Barclays Bridgewater Associates, Bridgewater Associates, Apollo Management, Thoma Bravo, Moelis, US, Bank of, Fidelity, JPMorgan, BlackRock Blackstone, Citadel, Blackstone, Jefferies, Citadel Securities, Blue Owl, Goldman Locations: Bank, Evercore, Wells, Americas
65% of surveyed investors believe the US office market is in for a steep crash, Bloomberg reported. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe US office market is in for a long, steep fall, according to investors surveyed by Bloomberg. In Bloomberg's latest Market Live Pulse survey, 65% of investors said they believed the US office market would only start to perk up after undergoing a serious decline. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe outlook for the broader commercial real estate market is similarly troubled. A crashing office market means banks could incur around $250 billion in losses, according to one hedge fund manager.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, National Association of Realtors, Capital Economics, JPMorgan
The logo of Credit Suisse is seen outside its office building in Hong Kong, China, August 8, 2023. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsZURICH, Oct 1 (Reuters) - Credit Suisse has reached an 11th-hour out-of-court settlement with Mozambique over the $1.5 billion-plus "tuna bond" scandal, the Swiss bank's new owner UBS (UBSG.S) said on Sunday, drawing a line under a damaging dispute it inherited. "The parties have mutually released each other from any liabilities and claims relating to the transactions," UBS said. The tuna bond case dates back to three deals between state-owned Mozambican companies and shipbuilder Privinvest - funded in part by loans and bonds from Credit Suisse and backed by undisclosed Mozambican government guarantees. UBS, which rescued scandal-scarred Credit Suisse amid turmoil in the global banking sector earlier this year, has a financial buffer of as much as $10 billion for litigation, JPMorgan analysts estimated in a note to clients on Wednesday.
Persons: Tyrone Siu, corruptly, Noele Illien, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Credit Suisse, REUTERS, Rights, UBS, Privinvest, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, China, Mozambique, Swiss, London, Mozambican
Another source identified Trump Organization employee Yuscil Taveras as the unnamed computer specialist whose fees prosecutors said were paid by Trump's political group. Trump's legal spokesperson Alina Habba, who is also general counsel at Save America, did not respond to detailed questions on the payments. In July, after Save America reported its legal expenses to the Federal Election Commission, Cheung said Save America was helping people who had worked for Trump avoid "financial ruin." Asked how legal spending would affect his campaign, Trump told a SiriusXM podcast earlier this month: "Fortunately, I have a lot more money." Save America and the Trump campaign have not responded to requests for comment on the legal fee estimates.
Persons: Donald Trump, Scott Morgan, Donald Trump's, Brand Woodward, Greenberg Traurig, Trump, Jason Osborne, Trump's, Osborne, Stanley Woodward, Jason Miller, Margo Martin, Dan Scavino, Matt Calamari Jr, Yuscil Taveras, Miller, Martin, Calamari Jr, Walt Nauta, Carlos De Oliveira, Michael Roman, Boris Epshteyn, Taylor Budowich, William Russell, Kash Patel, Brian Jack, Roman, Dhillon, Epshteyn, Jack, Patel, De Oliveira, Russell, Alina Habba, Steven Cheung, Cheung, Stephen Gillers, Jason Lange, Andrew Goudsward, Nathan Layne, Sarah N, Lynch, Karen Freifeld, Ted Hesson, Scott Malone, Deepa Babington Organizations: U.S, Republican, REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, Trump, Save, Federal, Commission, Make, Inc, MAGA Inc, Republican Party, America, Save America, Trump Organization, Scavino, New York University, Thomson Locations: Dubuque , Iowa, U.S, Save America, America's, Georgia, Budowich
As interest rates potentially peak, investment advisors say there are now opportunities for hefty gains through certain government bonds. This was during the Covid-19 pandemic when the Bank of England had just cut rates to 0.1%. "You potentially could make a good capital appreciation when interest rates start to fall," Amis added. Amis expects the Bank of England to cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points in August 2024. Meanwhile, interest rate traders in the U.S. expect the Federal Reserve to implement its first rate cut in July 2024.
Persons: Matthew Amis, Amis, Abrdn, Iain Stealey, Stealey Organizations: Bank of England, U.S, Treasury, Bank of, JPMorgan Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: U.K, U.S
Nike also reiterated its full-year guidance for midsingle-digit revenue growth. NKE YTD mountain Nike stock. The firm maintains an overweight rating on Nike stock and forecasts nearly 53% upside from Thursday's $89.62 close. McShane has a $136 per share price target on Nike stock, which implies more than 51% upside. Despite a near-term "choppy" outlook for Nike growth, the analyst says the company is well-positioned to navigate headwinds including "tough comparisons" and stiffer competition.
Persons: Matthew Boss, aren't, Jay Sole, Goldman Sachs, Kate McShane, McShane, Morgan Stanley's Alex Straton, Straton, Paul Lejuez, Lejuez, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nike, LSEG, JPMorgan, UBS, Paris Olympics, Air Max, 2Q, Citi Locations: U.S
Ever pack workout clothes for a vacation — only to unpack them, unworn, upon returning home? Data from exercise apps, which track users' physical locations and search history, show travelers tend to be more active in some locations more than others. Fitness app Strava shows travelers tend to exercise when they visit smaller cities in Europe. Conversely, the company's data shows travelers are less active, compared to locals, in parts of the Caribbean and Central America, namely:Trinidad and TobagoDominican RepublicPhilippinesVenezuelaCosta RicaThose who struggle to exercise on vacation can take heart in knowing that even active travelers tend to ease up from their usual routines on holiday. Nearly four in 10 runners cut their running times by at least 30% during their summer vacations in 2022, according to Strava's data.
Organizations: Portugal Las Palmas, Spain Nord, Trinidad and Tobago Locations: Europe, Split, Croatia Dodecanese, Greece Lagos, Portugal, Spain, Aurdal, Norway, Nord, Norway's, Lillehammer, Caribbean, Central America, Trinidad and, Trinidad and Tobago Dominican Republic Philippines Venezuela Costa
The meeting is the third time that Banking Committee Chair Sherrod Brown , D-Ohio, will hold an oversight hearing with the heads of the nation's biggest banks. Eight CEOs of the largest U.S. banks will face questioning at a Senate Banking Committee hearing in December, according to an announcement obtained by CNBC . "Part of that commitment is to hear directly from the biggest banks that hold too much power in the economy," he said. Brown and other Banking Committee members have ramped up oversight efforts in 2023, particularly regarding three banks that failed earlier in the year, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic. The failure of First Republic in May was the biggest bank failure in the United States since the 2008 financial crisis.
Persons: Sherrod Brown, Janet Yellen, Powell, Brown, Chuck Schumer Organizations: Federal, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, CNBC, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First, Republic, JPMorgan, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp Locations: Hart, Washington , DC, Ohio, First Republic, United States
Cable makers are green investing’s dark horses
  + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Lisa Jucca | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
An electrical power pylon with high-voltage power lines is seen next to wind turbines near Weselitz, Germany November 18, 2022. Moving away from fossil fuels will require laying thousands of new and stronger power lines carrying electricity from source to end users. Putting the additional earnings on Prysmian’s expected EBITDA multiple for 2026 of 8 times would generate an additional enterprise value of 2 billion euros, nearly 20% above today’s 11.6 billion euros. One potential snag is that cable makers’ annual capacity for high-voltage cables is currently only 6 billion euros per year. The volume of high-voltage cable orders has risen to more than 10 billion euros last year from around 3 billion euros in 2019, according to industry and analyst estimates.
Persons: Lisi Niesner, Prysmian, George Hay, Streisand Neto Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, International Energy Agency, JPMorgan, Reuters Breakingviews, Thomson Locations: Weselitz, Germany, Europe, North America, Britain, Denmark, China
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere are a lot of signs an economic slowdown is coming, says JPMorgan's David KellyEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald head of equity derivatives & cross Aasset, and David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action and upcoming jobs and inflation data.
Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald, David Kelly Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
Sam Bankman-Fried met with Jerome Powell last year to discuss crypto, per the NYT. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAdvertisementJerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, once met with Sam Bankman-Fried to discuss crypto, The New York Times reported. Prior to the meeting, Wetjen sent the Fed chair some policy papers that FTX had recently published, according to the NYT. The FDIC and a spokesperson for Bankman-Fried did not immediately respond to Insider's request for comment, sent outside US working hours.
Persons: Sam Bankman, Fried, Jerome Powell, SBF, Martin Gruenberg, , Mark Wetjen, Wetjen, FTX, Powell, stablecoins, cryptocurrencies, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Jamie Dimon, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Lael Brainard Organizations: Wall Street, Service, Federal Reserve, The New York Times, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, JPMorgan Chase, Times, Fed, National Economic Council, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, FDIC, Customers Locations: Alameda
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