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Chinese technology stocks such as Alibaba and Tencent have been hammered in 2022 as regulatory pressure and a slowing Chinese economy weighed on growth. Alibaba — Shares jumped 9.8% after the e-commerce giant said it would split its company into six separate business groups. Meanwhile, the company reported revenue at $34.86 billion, beating the $33.53 billion expected by Wall Street. PagSeguro — Shares gained 5% after Citi upgraded the Brazilian payment stock to buy on the back of fourth-quarter earnings. Array Technologies — The renewable energy stock added 3.6% following an upgrade to buy from hold by Truist.
Its shares keep hitting all-time lows, dipping below $13 per share at some points during March. Rivian shares also plunged after it said it planned to raise $1.3 billion in cash via a sale of convertible bonds. Morgan Stanley analysts, led by Adam Jonas, also put the spotlight on its "aggressive growth," in a comparison with Tesla. However Morgan Stanley is still giving the stock an overweight rating, and a price target of $26 – or nearly 90% upside. Canaccord analysts also pointed to the possibility of new partnerships, beyond Amazon, that could be a tailwind for Rivian – a point that Morgan Stanley also raised.
Investors are still too optimistic about corporate earnings, and a severe deterioration is about to drag stocks lower, according to Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's chief investment officer. "This is typically how bear markets end—i.e., P/E multiples fall precipitously and unexpectedly, catching many investors off guard," Wilson said. "The recent underperformance of small caps and low quality stocks suggests it could be imminent." "We believe it's underappreciated how significant the negative operating leverage is going to get before this earnings recession is over," Wilson said. Given such a negative outlook, Morgan Stanley looked for defensive stocks to own that should fare better in a bear market.
March 22 (Reuters) - Activist investor Engine Capital on Wednesday urged fuel marketer Parkland Corp (PKI.TO) to look at strategic alternatives including the sale or spinoff of non-core assets to become a more focused fuel and convenience retailer. Parkland has accumulated a range of assets that are not typically owned by pure-play fuel and convenience operators, said Engine Capital. Engine added it was "particularly troubled by Parkland's staggering underperformance" compared with Canadian convenience retailer Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD.TO). "The letter has been circulated by management to the board of the company for its review and consideration," Parkland said in an e-mailed statement. Engine also urged the company to improve its compensation framework to better align management's incentives with shareholder interests.
It's not just regional bank shares that have been hit by the recent banking crisis — large-cap bank stocks have also tumbled. JPMorgan was down nearly 6% last week, while Bank of America tumbled 8% over the same period. It said big banks are a "big beneficiary" and fundamentals at JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citi look "rather strong." For those looking to invest, CNBC Pro takes a look at what analysts are saying about JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America in particular. However, Bank of America has only 8% of uninsured deposits as a proportion of its total deposit liabilities.
The logo of Swiss bank Credit Suisse is seen at an office building in Zurich, Switzerland February 21, 2022. The announcement that Credit Suisse would borrow up to 50 billion Swiss francs ($54 billion) from the central bank came after consecutive sessions of steep drops in its share price. It made Credit Suisse the first major bank to receive such an intervention since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. Scandals Credit Suisse is currently undergoing a massive strategic overhaul in a bid to address these chronic issues. These oversight failures resulted in a massive shakeup of Credit Suisse's investment banking, risk and compliance and asset management divisions.
Sell any bounce in the banks, warns BCA Research
  + stars: | 2023-03-16 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
With unprecedented volatility in the market this week, thanks to the recent U.S. bank closures and fear of contagion spreading across Europe, the BCA Research team is doubtful banks can stay profitable in the foreseeable future. The KBW Regional Banking Index is higher by just 0.2% Thursday. There also could be an opportunity for investors to use potential bounces to underweight the industry, she added. KBWR 1D mountain KBWR Regional Bank index "We believe that this remains the most prudent course of action, selling banking exposure into a potential bounce," she wrote. "To capture the best exit point, we are putting banks on a downgrade watch from current neutral position."
Big Oil’s old profligacy lives on Down Under
  + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( Antony Currie | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Throw in dividends and Santos shareholders have received a measly 6% total return during that period. Santos’ 15% return on capital employed last year puts it at the bottom of the class; BP delivered almost 25%. It looks slated to stay in the basement, with analysts projecting a sub-8% return for 2025, per Refinitiv data. The bonus is mostly tied to successful “growth projects”, which arguably encourages him to overinvest. If that happens again at next month’s annual meeting, it would, under Australian rules, allow investors to boot the entire board.
Leaders like Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff have begun walking back their initial praise of remote work, worrying that it leads to employee underperformance. The most existential question raised by remote work, however, is whether working from home makes workers more replaceable. But remote work has just been a facilitator, they suggest, and the real culprit may very well be America's broken immigration system. The flawed US immigration system is forcing companies to hire elsewhereIt's no secret that the US immigration system is flawed. Remote work makes it possibleRemote work makes it all possible, says Job Van Der Voort, founder of Remote, a startup that helps companies hire workers internationally.
"This mix is generally a net negative for emerging markets." A recent Barclays analysis showed a 50 basis point Fed rate hike would increase interest rate volatility, which "would be more destabilizing initially, as it typically comes with EM FX underperformance, which could trigger a further leg up in EM rates." Analysts at JPMorgan expect the dollar to weaken once the terminal rate stabilizes, but a 50-basis point Fed hike "would be a regime-shift in favor of outsized USD-strength." A 6% Fed rate environment alongside still-hot inflation does make short-term rates in Chile and India as well as Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary most vulnerable, UBS found. Chinese equities could provide a safe haven in a 6% fed funds rate scenario, UBS said.
US stocks could plummet as much as 30% over the next two months, Larry McDonald said. "The Bear Trap Report" founder sees higher interest rates choking demand and hammering the economy. McDonald also predicts investors will swap stocks for bonds to earn higher yields. McDonald estimated that every 1% increase in rates translates into a $50 billion rise in costs for middle-class Americans. He noted that interest rates on US auto loans are approaching 14%, and nearly 20% of those loans cost over $1,000 each month.
He stood up for Adidas' performance innovation pipeline while taking a shot at NikeAdidas is always compared to its larger rival Nike. But Gulden took issue with criticisms that Adidas is not innovating enough in its performance business. The Yeezy business is not coming backAdidas has not made a decision on what to do with its stockpile of Yeezys. Given Lorenzo's popularity, the underperformance of the Ivy Park line, and the end of Adidas' Yeezy business, Lorenzo could give the company a needed spark. Gulden took the stage Wednesday in front of a backdrop that featured Jesse Owens and Muhammad Ali, two sports icons and former Adidas athletes.
The Nasdaq has outperformed the S&P 500 to start the year by a significant margin. When the Nasdaq beats the S&P 500 by 5 points or more over 50 days, underperformance has followed. In 2023, the Nasdaq is up roughly 10.6%, while the S&P 500 is up about 4%. In every instance, the Nasdaq then went on to underperform the S&P 500, they said. They've had a great relative run versus the S&P 500, "but +12 years of market history says it is time to be more cautious," DataTrek said.
Active vs. passive managers: 2022 was a surprisingly good year for active management. On the plus side for active managers: for large-cap equity fund managers (the largest and most closely-watched category), 51% underperformed their benchmarks last year. Here's the bad news for active managers Active managers often say that while passive investing may often outperform, during periods of high volatility they will have a chance to shine. For example, S & P 500 Growth was down 29%, but S & P 500 Value was down only 5%. "A manager selecting a random stock would have had a 59% chance of beating the S & P 500 and a 30% chance of outperforming the S & P 500 by 20% or better," the authors wrote.
NEW YORK, March 6 (Reuters) - Activist investor Legion Partners Asset Management is pushing for four new directors to join Primo Water Corp's (PRMW.N) board, arguing they could help the water company's share price triple over five years. Legion nominated experts in water delivery, beverage operations, marketing and capital allocation as director candidates for election to the U.S.-Canadian company's 10-person board to help reverse "chronic underperformance," according to a letter seen by Reuters. "Substantial shareholder-driven change in the boardroom is long overdue and necessary at the 2023 Annual Meeting in order for Primo to achieve its full potential," Legion's managing directors, Chris Kiper and Ted White, wrote to fellow Primo Water shareholders. Legion, which helped place directors onto boards at Bed Bath & Beyond and Kohl's, said it owns a 1.5% stake in Primo Water and has been an investor in the past. Primo Water offers home and office water delivery, water exchange, where customers return their empty water jugs and buy new ones at retailers, and water refill, its most affordable offering, where customers refill jugs themselves.
The years-long push for an exchange traded fund that tracks bitcoin will finally get its day in court this week. Several different firms tried to bring a spot bitcoin ETF to market in the U.S. without success, but Grayscale Investments is taking it a step further for the future of its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) . The largest of those funds, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) , now has nearly $800 million in assets under management. Over the past year, the market price of a GBTC share has fallen by roughly 60%, according to Grayscale's website. Crypto winter The excitement around a bitcoin ETF has cooled considerably along with the prices for crypto markets in general.
Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as a best idea JPMorgan says it's standing by its overweight rating on the stock. " Jefferies reiterates Tesla as buy Jefferies raised its price target on the stock to $230 per share from $180 and says it's standing by its buy rating. JPMorgan upgrades Vir Biotechnology to overweight from neutral JPMorgan said it likes the biotech company's product pipeline. JPMorgan reiterates General Electric as neutral After a change in analyst coverage, JPMorgan said GE's transformation continues but there's still more "work to do." Jefferies initiates Merck as buy Jefferies initiated the pharmaceutical company with a buy and said it has room for growth.
Terniun is expected to perform better in the year ahead, helped in part by moves to bring supply chains closer to the U.S., according to Morgan Stanley. Analyst Carlos De Alba upgraded the stock to overweight from equal weight and increased his price target to $52 from $34. "We think TX shares will continue to work as profitability inflects higher," he said in a note to clients Sunday. "We believe Ternium's profitability has reached an inflexion point, which historically has proven a good entry point for the stock." Going forward, he said the stock will be a beneficiary as companies try to bring their supply chains closer to where they are located, a trend dubbed "nearshoring."
David Einhorn's hedge fund crushed the stock market last year, returning 37% compared to the S&P 500's loss of almost 20%. These are three stocks Einhorn is bullish on as he seeks to continue his outperformance in 2023. Einhorn's $1.4 billion hedge fund delivered a return of nearly 37% last year, trouncing the S&P 500's loss of just under 20%. These are the three stocks Einhorn owns and pitched as long positions in a recent CNBC interview, as he seeks to continue his trend of outperformance in 2023. AFP/Getty ImagesTicker: CEIXPercentage of portfolio: 8.2%Change in shares last quarter: +99,830 (+5%)Bullish thesis: "Everybody hates coal, so here's the story.
SYDNEY/BENGALURU, March 3 (Reuters) - Adani shares surged on Friday after a $1.87 billion investment in the group by GQG Partners Inc eased concerns about the group's ability to attract funding, while the conglomerate lined up more road shows to shore up investor confidence. Adani Group will hold road shows this month in London, Dubai and several cities in the United States, according to a document seen by Reuters. Overall, Adani group firms' net debt totalled $24.1 billion as of September 2022. Adani Green Energy and Adani Transmission jumped 5% each. Dollar bonds issued by Adani entities also rallied, with Adani Green Energy's 2024 bond adding 2.3 cents on the dollar to trade at 85.5 cents, while most bonds issued by Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone, Adani Transmission and Adani Electricity Mumbai rose by more than 1 cent.
Club holding Costco (COST) was a little disappointing Thursday evening, with an earnings beat overshadowed by some softer February trends. Analysts outline five "underappreciated catalysts" that they think will drive a re-rating of the Club holding in the next twelve months. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
UBS thinks Ormat Technologies , a little-known geothermal and renewable energy company, could see big earnings growth in the coming years, creating a promising buying opportunity for investors. UBS sees multiple tailwinds ahead for the company, such as new geothermal, solar and storage capacity additions, as well as improving backlog and margins. Ormat is also anticipated to benefit from state and federal policy support for renewable energy. However, he said that "the recent underperformance provides investors with a buying opportunity ahead of the coming growth recovery." Windham raised his price target to $105 from $103, implying a 24.2% upside from the stock's closing price on Tuesday.
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Stay bullish on China Stick with Eli Lilly Watch P & G 1. If investors continue to put their cash in Treasuries and yields rise, P & G stock could come under further pressure. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Now is the time to buy Procter & Gamble , according to UBS, which says the company's recent underperformance is "unwarranted." Analyst Peter Grom upgraded the stock to buy from neutral and raised his price target for Procter shares to $163 from $157. The analyst also noted that Procter shares are trading slightly below their average five-year valuation, making "the risk/reward at current levels is attractive." Grom added that a return to share gains, premiumization and a China reopening are leading to estimates of nearly 5% growth in organic revenue in 2024. P & G shares have fallen more than 9% in 2023, while the S & P 500 is up 3.4% in that time.
Bank of America says it's time to buy Union Pacific after the company announced its current CEO, Lance Fritz, would be stepping down this year. Analyst Ken Hoexter upgraded the railroad operator's shares to buy from neutral. Hoexter said the leadership change shows the company is prioritizing an operational fix after it was flagged for poor service by the Surface Transportation Board last year. The firm expressed optimism for the frontrunner for Fritz's replacement — former Union Pacific COO Jim Vena — citing his strong track record at the company. Hoexter raised his price target to $241 from $218, implying a 25% upside from Friday's closing price.
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