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Gold holds ground on dovish Fed-speak, Mideast concerns
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices steadied on Tuesday after surging to a record high in the previous session, following broadly dovish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Bullion hit a record high of $2,635.29 on Monday. "Gold prices continue to be well-supported amid a series of dovish Fed rhetoric overnight," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. Chicago Fed Bank President Austan Goolsbee said there are "lots of cuts" to come over the next 12 months, while Fed President Neel Kashkari noted that the actual path would depend on incoming data. "Tensions in the region will likely be kept high for longer, which could see gold prices retain its bullish bias."
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Austan Goolsbee, Neel Kashkari Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Chicago Fed Bank, Hezbollah Locations: U.S, ., Israel, Lebanon
Democratic presidential nominee and Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to members of the media upon her arrival at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland on Sept. 22, 2024. More than 400 economists and former White House policy advisors announced their support for Vice President Kamala Harris over former President Donald Trump in an open letter Tuesday. "It is a choice between inequity, economic injustice, and uncertainty with Donald Trump or prosperity, opportunity, and stability with Kamala Harris." Some on the list, such as Biden's former National Economic Council Director Brian Deese, have already been advising the Harris campaign behind closed doors. Sean O'Keefe was deputy director of the Office of Management and Budget in former President George W. Bush's White House.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Jason Furman, Roger Altman, Clinton, Penny Pritzker, Obama, Alan Blinder, Brian Deese, Harris, Sean O'Keefe, George W, Bush's, Phillip Braun, Ronald Reagan's Organizations: Democratic, Base Andrews, White, Republicans, Harvard, of Economic, Obama, Federal Reserve, Federal Trade Commission, Consumer Financial, Bureau, CNN, Economic, Republican, Management, Economic Advisers Locations: Maryland, U.S
Property stocks in Hong Kong rally on homes mortgage stimulus
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Chinese property stocks rallied on Tuesday after top financial regulators vowed a range of monetary easing measures to provide some relief for millions of families and boost a recovery in the real estate market. During a high-level press conference Tuesday morning, People's Bank of China Gov. Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index surged as much as 5% when Hong Kong markets opened shortly after the announcement was made. Chinese policymakers have been ramping up support to reduce household's financial burden and shore up the troubled real estate sector. Homeowners could also be allowed to refinance with a different bank for the first time in years, the outlet reported.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Pan, William Wu, Bruce Pang, Pang Organizations: People's Bank of China Gov, Mainland Properties, Longfor Group Holdings, China Overseas Land & Investment, Daiwa, Bloomberg Locations: Beijing, Hang, Hong Kong, China, JLL
For the third quarter, the S & P 500 has popped 4.7%, while the Dow is higher by 7.7%. "The bond market has the fed funds rate being cut below 3% in 2025," Johnston, the firm's head of derivatives and cross asset strategy, wrote in a note Monday. On Monday, S & P Global said its U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers' index fell to a 15-month low in September — while its services sector gauge showed expansion. He likes put spreads on the SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) expiring Oct. 31. If history is any guide, it'll most likely be the bond market.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, Johnston Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Dow, P Global, Trust Locations:
Investors are parsing through data and Fed commentary to determine future rate cuts. On Tuesday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman explained why she dissented against a deep cut in September. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! Both indexes closed at all-time highs on Monday amid rising outlooks that the Federal Reserve will deliver another half-point interest rate cut in November. To better understand where monetary policy may be headed after the Fed's first rate cut in four years, investors are tuning into Fed commentary and parsing through incoming data.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, , dovish, Michelle Bowman's, Bowman Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Fed, Richmond, Here's Locations: Kentucky
Starbucks — The coffee house chain moved 1.6% lower after Jefferies downgraded the stock to underperform from hold and cut its price target. BioNTech — U.S.-listed shares of the German biotechnology company rose 2.7% on the heels of a Morgan Stanley upgrade to overweight from equal weight. Pinterest — The image sharing company rose more than 1% after Oppenheimer initiated coverage of the stock with an outperform rating. GE Vernova — Shares gained nearly 1% after Guggenheim initiated coverage of GE Vernova with a buy rating, saying that it is "still in the early stages of a multi-year improvement in profitability." Analyst Joseph Osha's $300 price target implies a roughly 19% increase from Monday's closing price for the stock.
Persons: Jefferies, Piper Sandler, Lowe's, Oppenheimer, Morgan Stanley, BioNTech, Joseph Osha's, , Sarah Min, Michelle Fox, Pia Singh, Sean Conlon, Jesse Pound, Fred Imbert Organizations: Thor Industries, Arlo Technologies, Visa, Bloomberg, Justice Department, Citi, Mastercard, Federal Reserve, GE, Guggenheim Locations: U.S, China,
"Today's policy measures are bold by historical standards," Betty Wang, the lead economist at Oxford Economics, wrote in a note on Tuesday. Stimulus measures don't address consumptionDespite the fanfare, analysts are divided over whether the moves that ease monetary policy constitute a massive "bazooka" stimulus. AdvertisementMost say the monetary easing policies don't address the lack of confidence contributing to depressed consumer spending. China has pulled out multiple support measures this year to shore up its economy and stock markets, but any kneejerk optimism has been shortlived. Advertisement"Overall, we feel today's measures are a step in the right direction, especially as multiple measures have been announced together rather than spacing out individual piecemeal measures to a more limited effect," Lynn Song, the Greater China chief economist at ING bank, wrote on Tuesday.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Betty Wang, Wang, it's, Nomura, Lynn Song Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Analysts, Oxford Economics, CSI, Nomura, ING Locations: Beijing, China, Greater China
Over 400 economists and ex-officials endorse Kamala Harris
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
New York CNN —More than 400 economists and former high-ranking US policymakers are endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris and her vision for the American economy, according to a document announcing the endorsement seen by CNN. “The choice in this election is clear: between failed trickle-down economic policies that benefit the few and economic policies that provide opportunity for all,” the endorsement document reads. Harris plans to roll out new policies on what she calls the “opportunity economy” during a speech in Pennsylvania, another key battleground state, on Wednesday. Several notable economists threw their weight behind Harris, including University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers and Claudia Goldin, who won the Nobel Prize last year for tracking women’s labor participation and the evolving wage gap. The endorsement argued that Harris has a “proven track record of economic leadership,” crediting her with efforts as vice president to lower costs, cut taxes and raise wages.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump’s, Brian Deese, Obama, Jason Furman, Bill Daley, Penny Pritzker, Clinton, Robert Reich, Alan Blinder, Donald Trump, , Trump, Sean O’Keefe, George W, Justin Wolfers, Claudia Goldin, Marty Walsh, Deval Patrick, Larry Summers, Robert Rubin, Mark Cuban, James Murdoch, he’s, Bill Ackman, Peter Thiel, Tesla, Elon Musk, ” Harris, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Sonnenfeld Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, Federal Reserve, Management, NASA, University of Michigan, House, Labor, Massachusetts Gov, Democratic, JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, Wall Street, Trump, Yale, That’s Locations: New York, Georgia, Pennsylvania, United States, America, Dimon
At $1.14 trillion, Americans’ credit card debt is at a record high, according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. “While working Americans catch up, we’re going to put a temporary cap on credit card interest rates,” Trump said at a rally last week. You may not be able to count on your credit card for purchasesThe average American has racked up $6,500 in credit card debt, according to Experian data from the third quarter of last year. The reason: Interest rates are how credit card companies manage the risk that a customer won’t pay their credit card bill on time. Your favorite credit card rewards could be jeopardizedEven if you don’t currently have any credit card debt and have a top-tier credit score, you could be left worse off from a 10% credit card fee cap.
Persons: New York CNN —, Donald Trump’s, ” Trump, Republican Sen, Josh Hawley, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio, Matt Schulz, , Schulz, Karoline Leavitt, ” Leavitt, Banks, Joe Biden’s, ” Schulz, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Republican, CNN, Trump Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Congress, Alexandria, Cortez
An acceleration of US economic growth is a major risk for investors, says economist Steven Blitz. Blitz warns a "no landing" scenario could lead to inflation rebound and Fed rate hikes. The fed funds rate should be around 4% due to economic resilience, Blitz advises. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAn acceleration of economic growth in the US might be the stock market's worst-case scenario, according to GlobalData TS Lombard chief economist Steven Blitz.
Persons: Steven Blitz, , Blitz Organizations: Service, GlobalData, Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week's half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite. In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed's twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment. Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week's meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman Organizations: Federal Locations: Kentucky
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we've, Jensen Huang, Huang, Oppenheimer, , We've, Cintas, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, China, Tech, Nvidia, Devices, Broadcom, Jim Cramer's Charitable
Stock futures were calm on Tuesday evening as Wall Street looks to extend its September gains. Nasdaq 100 futures ticked up less than 0.1%, and futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.1%. The moves come after the S&P 500 and Dow closed at record highs after gaining 0.25% and 0.20%, respectively. "I'm a buyer of this rally until unemployment claims start rising, until earnings start declining, really until growth's a problem. Investors will also be paying close attention to commentary from companies, especially as earnings season ramps up early next month.
Persons: Lauren Goodwin, We're, Scott Welch Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal Reserve, New York Life Investments, CNBC Locations: New York City
Rows of new energy vehicles are parked at Changan Automobile's vehicle distribution center in Chongqing, China, on January 14, 2024. Shares of Chinese automakers climbed Tuesday, shrugging off a U.S. government proposal to ban certain types of vehicles equipped with car parts from China and Russia, amid a broad rally after Beijing announced policy easing. The Joe Biden administration has cited national security risks for its latest measure aimed at curbing Chinese auto industry's influence and reach in the U.S."Cars today have cameras, microphones, GPS tracking, and other technologies connected to the internet. U.S. proposal to ban Chinese auto parts may not have a direct negative impact on the Chinese auto industry as the sales volume of Chinese auto exports to the U.S. markets are "very small" and limited, Wu said. Additionally, Chinese parts companies have already set up factories in South America, which can be exported directly to U.S. markets under the U.S.-Mexico Tariff Agreement, he added.
Persons: shrugging, Li, Nio, Leapmotor, Joe Biden, Gina Raimondo, Ivan Wu, Pan Gongsheng, Wu Organizations: Beijing, Guotai, People's Bank of China Gov, U.S, China Automobile Dealers Association Locations: Chongqing, China, U.S, Russia, Hong Kong, South America, Mexico
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailZentner: If the economy does better than expected... you have to have yields come up. Ellen Zentner, Chief Economic Strategist and Global Head of Thematic and Macro Investing at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, discusses the current economic landscape and the implications of potential Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Persons: Ellen Zentner Organizations: Global, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Goldman SachsWage growth is down from 6% in August 2022 to 3.9%, according to Goldman Sachs. Still, Goldman Sachs thinks the US unemployment rate will drift down to 4% in 2025, which would be a healthy figure. An influx of immigrants may have affected this trend, Goldman Sachs economists say. Goldman SachsLabor costs rose 7% in 2023 for S&P 500 companies and 5% for firms in the Russell 2000, Goldman found. Goldman Sachs shared a sector-neutral list of 50 stocks in the S&P 500 that have high labor costs, which should disproportionately benefit as wage inflation slows as raises become rarer.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Russell, Goldman Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Goldman, Chief US, Goldman Sachs Labor, Companies Locations: Goldman Sachs
Now that the Fed has cut rates, mortgage rates have generally held steady. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates have been holding steady at around 5.70%, according to Zillow data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. Now that the Fed has cut rates, mortgage rates may not drop further for the rest of the month.
Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've Organizations: Federal, Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, We're, Jefferies, Brian Niccol, Piper Sandler, Jeff Marks, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, GE Healthcare, Danaher, DuPont, Starbucks Locations: China, DHR
September consumer confidence falls the most in three years
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The board's Consumer Confidence Index slid to 98.7, down from 105.6 in August, the biggest one-month decline since August 2021. By contrast, the index had a reading of 132.6 in February 2020, a month before the Covid pandemic hit. "Consumers' assessments of current business conditions turned negative while views of the current labor market situation softened further. Consumers were also more pessimistic about future labor market conditions and less positive about future business conditions and future income," said Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board. The last time the confidence index dropped more came as inflation was just beginning a climb to what ultimately was the highest level in more than 40 years.
Persons: Dow, Dana Peterson, Stocks, Peterson Organizations: Conference Board, Treasury, Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. on track for a soft landing after Fed’s jumbo interest rate cut, Goldman CFO saysDenis Coleman, chief financial officer at Goldman Sachs, discusses the U.S. economic outlook and the Federal Reserve’s recent move to deliver a jumbo interest rate cut.
Persons: Goldman, Denis Coleman, Goldman Sachs
New all-time highs in the S & P 500 have been welcomed by investors in the wake of the Federal Reserve going big on their first rate cut. The SPDR S & P 500 (SPY) is up nearly 20% year to date, I want to spend some of my remarkable 2024 profits on downside protection in the event a breather to the rally or a downturn is imminent. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, year-to-date Measuring risk is always a challenge, specifically when various headwinds exist at the same time. Additionally, this is the richest valuation we have seen in quite some time with the S & P 500 trading at 24 times. I will look to potentially buy the $591 call if we see a 2% move lower in the S & P 500.
Persons: Jamie Dimon Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailActivist investor Jonathan Litt sees real estate boost from rate cuts, with some exceptionsJonathan Litt, Land & Buildings founder & CIO, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the state of commercial real estate following the Federal Reserve's announcement it is lowering interest rates.
Persons: Jonathan Litt Organizations: Buildings
The relatively rare high-level press conference was scheduled after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week. That kicked off an easing cycle that theoretically gives China's central bank further room to cut its rates and boost growth in the face of deflationary pressure. Pan became PBOC governor in July 2023. He then told reporters in March, alongside China's annual parliamentary meeting, there was room to cut the RRR further. China's government system also means that policy is set at a far higher level than that of the financial regulators speaking Tuesday.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Gongsheng, Pan Organizations: People's Bank of China, BEIJING — People's Bank of China Gov, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Shanghai, China, BEIJING
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA CEO Brian Moynihan: Fed should keep making sure they 'stay ahead' to get soft landingBrian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss his reactions to the Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates by 50 basis-points, whether he thinks inflation should continue to be at the forefront for the central bank, and more.
Persons: Brian Moynihan Organizations: Bank of America, Federal
Here’s what could knock the stock market’s momentum
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The S & P 500 also reached an all-time high last week and posted a weekly advance of 1.4%. Here's a look: Valuations The S & P 500 trading near record highs is a double-edged sword, as valuations are also at historically high levels. "The S & P 500 is already trading a little above where it deserves to at year-end 2024." Scott Chronert of Citi also noted that six of the 11 S & P 500 sectors have "valuation composites near/at top decile levels." The S & P 500 has averaged a 2.3% loss in September over the past 10 years, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Stocks, it's, Lori Calvasina, Scott Chronert, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Gonzalo Asis, RBC's Calvasina, Citi's Chronert Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, RBC Capital Markets, Citi, NBC, Presidential, PCE, Bank of America
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