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President Donald Trump meets business leaders at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, in November, 2017. Donald Trump's victory in U.S. elections has raised the specter of higher tariffs on China — but it may not be the only Asian country that faces this predicament, according to Goldman Sachs. Meanwhile, Vietnam's trade surplus with the U.S between January and September stands at $90 billion. U.S. data shows that the U.S. trade deficit with China narrowed to $279.11 billion in 2023, from $346.83 billion in 2016. Regardless of tariffs, Goldman still expects continued pressure for the relocation of certain supply chains from China to Southeast Asia, India or Mexico in particular.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Goldman Sachs, Trump, Andrew Tilton, Tilton, Mr Trump, Trump's, Brian Tan, Mari Pangestu, Pangestu, Goldman Organizations: of, People, Pacific, Trump, U.S, United, Emerging Asia, Barclays Bank, FT Commodities Locations: Beijing, China, U.S, Asia, Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, South, United States, India, Japan, Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia, Mexico, Indonesia, Trump, Southeast Asia
Oil slips as U.S. storm threat eases, China stimulus disappoints
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices extended declines on Monday as the threat of a supply disruption from a U.S. storm eased and after China's stimulus plan disappointed investors seeking fuel demand growth in the world's No. Oil consumption in China, the world's driver of global demand growth for years, has barely grown in 2024 as its economic growth has slowed, gasoline use has declined with the rapid growth of electric vehicles and liquefied natural gas has replaced diesel as a truck fuel. Oil prices have also eased after concerns about supply disruption from storm Rafael in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico subsided. More than a quarter of U.S. Gulf of Mexico oil and 16% of natural gas output remained offline on Sunday, according to the offshore energy regulator. Looking ahead, uncertainty from policies under U.S. President-elect Donald Trump have clouded the global economic outlook although expectations that he could tighten sanctions on OPEC producers Iran and Venezuela and cut oil supply to global markets partly caused oil prices to gain more than 1% last week.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Rafael, Donald Trump, refiners Organizations: Brent, West Texas, National People's Congress, ANZ, Central Economic Work Conference, U.S Locations: U.S, China, U.S . Gulf, Mexico, Iran, Venezuela
An Airbus A350-941 from Singapore Airlines is preparing to take off on the runway at Barcelona-El Prat Airport in Barcelona, Spain, on May 1, 2024. SINGAPORE — Shares of Singapore Airlines dropped after the city-state's flag carrier reported a fall of almost 50% in net profit for its first half April to September period, citing lower yields and growing competition. Net profit in the first half of the fiscal year came in at 742 million Singapore dollars ($559.12 million), 48.5% lower than the SG$1.44 billion in the same period a year ago. Singapore Airlines said in a release that the fall in operating profit was due to "increased capacity and stronger competition in key markets," which led to a fall in yields and ultimately, profit. However, SIA will not "hold back on capacity growth just because there's competition in the market," Lee added.
Persons: Lee Lik Hsin, Goh Choon Phong, Lee Organizations: Airbus, Singapore Airlines, El, SINGAPORE —, Singapore, SIA Locations: Barcelona, Spain, SINGAPORE, Singapore
Asia-Pacific markets were set to fall Monday after China's October inflation numbers came in lower than expected, prompting concerns over the recovery in the world's second-largest economy. The country's inflation rate declined to 0.3%, missing expectations of 0.4% and also lower than the 0.4% seen in September. On Monday, China will also kick off its Singles' Day — the equivalent of Black Friday in the country. A note from ING on Friday said that Singles' Day will show how consumption was faring in China. "We suspect that given the shift toward value-for-money purchases and online shopping, we'll continue to see solid growth numbers from the event that should comfortably outpace the overall consumption growth momentum."
Organizations: ING Locations: Nanjing, East China's Jiangsu, Asia, Pacific, China
With the S & P 500 trading around record highs and hanging around 6,000, one Wall Street firm revised its year-end S & P 500 price target, expecting more gains before the end of the year. We use the S & P 500 Short Range Oscillator as our guide to when the market is overbought or oversold. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Donald Trump administration's, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Eaton, Trump's, Oppenheimer, Wells, Tyson, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Honeywell, BlackRock, Tyson Foods, AstraZeneca, Club, Disney, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Dover, Wells Fargo
Recession risk has jumped to 75% due to the potential for a trade ware under Trump, BCA Research said. Trump's proposed tariffs could lower household income and depress corporate investments. In a Friday note, Berezin increased the probability of an economic recession to 75% from 65%, citing the risk of a new trade war under Trump. On the campaign trail, Trump proposed implementing universal tariffs of 10%-20% on goods imported into the country and a 60% tariff on goods from China. Berezin cited a study from the Budget Lab at Yale that estimates Trump's proposed tariffs could reduce real disposable income for the median US household by $1,900-$7,600.
Persons: Trump's, , Peter Berezin, Donald Trump's, Berezin, Trump Organizations: Trump, BCA Research, Service, Yale Locations: China
Europe could fall into recession in 2025 under Trump's economic proposals, a major EU bank said. AdvertisementThe eurozone economy faces the possibility of a looming recession as tariffs promised by President-elect Trump look set to dampen growth, according to analysts at a Dutch bank. Trump pledged on the campaign trail to impose a fresh era of trade tariffs, building on policies he enacted during his first term as president. European Union economic growth is already struggling, and has lagged behind the US in recent years. He said Europe's economic challenges, including high energy costs, sluggish economic growth, and geopolitical instability, would only get worse in the event of a tariff battle with the US.
Persons: , Trump, James Knightley, Nigel Green, Green Organizations: ING, Service, Trump, deVere Locations: Europe, China, Europe's, Ukraine, NATO
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Wall Street firm Jefferies boosted its Salesforce price target to $400 per share from $350, implying 40% updside from Friday's close. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jeff Marks, Jefferies, Marks, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Devices, Broadcom, Nvidia, Wall Street, Federal Reserve, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Friday's
Critics of the proposed tariffs say the policy could lead to higher prices for U.S. consumers. That leaves Asia and Europe having to quickly consider ways to mitigate the future impact of export tariffs, and whether to retaliate or to try to negotiate a get-out deal. But economists also say that the EU could try to use the carrot instead of the stick with the U.S., suggesting there are three other ways Europe might try to stop, limit or avoid Trump's likely tariff policy altogether. German Chancellor Angela Merkel deliberates with U.S. President Donald Trump during the G-7 summit in Canada on June 9, 2018. Jesco Denzel | Bundesregierung | Getty ImagesWhether there Europe can reach consensus on how or whether to do a deal with Trump is debateable, however.
Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Reuters Donald Trump's, Europe scrabbling, Trump, Flach, Donald Trump, Jean, Claude Juncker, Andrew Kenningham, Didier Lebrun, Photonews, Mujtaba Rahman, Ursula von der, Von der, Joe Biden, Kenningham, Angela Merkel deliberates, Denzel, Carsten Brzeski, Emmanuel Macron, Angela Merkel, There's Organizations: Reuters, Trump, ING, Germany's, International Economics, Germany, U.S, EU, Capital Economics, European Union, Getty, Eurasia Group, Sustainable Steel, US Trade, Technology Council, Bundesregierung Locations: Upper Bay, New York, U.S, Europe, EU, China, Asia, Germany, Ukraine, Canada, France
Bitcoin hits new record topping $88k for first time
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBitcoin hits new record topping $88k for first timeMeltem Demirors, Crucible Capital general partner, joins 'Fast Money' to discuss why Bitcoin is on its way to becoming a consensus trade and an institutional asset.
Organizations: Crucible Capital
Demand for Asia equities likely to remain high, says strategist
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDemand for Asia equities likely to remain high, says strategistSuresh Tantia, APAC Strategist for UBS Global Wealth Management, says the threat of tariffs is unlikely to reroute demand for Taiwan & South Korean equities or products.
Persons: Suresh Tantia Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Taiwan & South Locations: Asia, Taiwan
Trump Trade boosts crypto stocks
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Mackenzie Sigalos | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump Trade boosts crypto stocksCNBC's MacKenzie Sigalos joins CNBC's 'Halftime Report' to discuss Donald Trump's policy promises to the crypto sector and the jump in stocks pegged to digital asset prices.
Persons: CNBC's MacKenzie Sigalos, CNBC's, Donald Trump's Organizations: Trump Trade
Investment bank Nomura has screened for Japanese stocks with "high bitcoin price sensitivity," following a surge in the cryptocurrency's price. It comes as analysts say bitcoin prices could hit $100,000 by the end of the year following President-elect Donald Trump's victory . The bank said it conducted multiple regression analyses of stocks to identify which have a high bitcoin price sensitivity. Those covering Micronics give it an average price target of 7,033.33 Japanese yen ($46.05) — indicating almost 83% upside potential. Analysts give Towa Corp an average target price of 3,466.67 Japanese yen, or 67.5% upside potential, according to FactSet.
Persons: Donald Trump's, bitcoin, Bitcoin Trump, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nomura, BTC, Towa Corporation, Towa, SoftBank Locations: Japan, FactSet
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan to double tourist arrivals to 60 million by 2030: 'We are prepared' says Tourism Board CEOTo move travelers beyond Tokyo and Kyoto, Japan's tourism board is promoting new destinations and new forms of tourism, from gastronomy to adventure tourism, to diversify interest in the country, CEO Eijiro Yamakita told "Squawk Box Asia" on Monday.
Persons: Eijiro Yamakita Organizations: Japan, Tourism Locations: Tokyo, Kyoto
There's a struggling auto parts stock where a notable activist is involved that could be ripe for a turnaround... but it may take some time. Although Advance Auto was the smallest of the three at the end of 2021, these companies, ostensibly selling similar products, were within the same order of magnitude as of 2021. AAP 1Y mountain Advance Auto Parts, 1 year Between the company's poor operating performance and the stock's sharp declines, it is unsurprising that sell-side analysts aren't enthusiastic. Advance Auto Parts seems a good candidate, and scanning the holders of AAP, it seems some well-known activists, such as Third Point agree . While the activist's strategy may be sound, it might be challenging to implement due to market conditions or capital constraints.
Persons: There's, O'Reilly, Autozone, Russell, Shane O'Kelly Organizations: Parts, Autozone, O'Reilly Automotive, AAP, Advance, Auto, Advance Auto, Carlyle Group, Home, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Jan
Crypto stocks — Crypto stocks extended last week's gains as investors basked in the honeymoon period between election day and inauguration day. Coinbase shares jumped 20% and were trading above $300 for the first time since 2021. Wells Fargo jumped 4%, while Bank of America and Morgan Stanley each rose more than 2%. Valley National Bank — Shares popped almost 5% after JPMorgan upgraded the New York-based regional bank to overweight from neutral. Cboe Global Markets — Shares advanced nearly 2% on the back of Deutsche Bank's upgrade to buy from hold .
Persons: Tesla, Trump, Elon Musk, Ernst & Young, MARA, Morgan Stanley —, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Donald Trump, Tom Homan —, Trump's, Cigna, RadNet, Anthony Elian, Alex Harring, Tanaya Macheel, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin, Lisa Kailai Han, Michelle Fox Organizations: Bristol, Myers Squibb, Super, MARA Holdings, Bank of America, Geo, U.S, Immigration, Customs, Trump Media & Technology, Trump, Humana, GE HealthCare, Bank, JPMorgan, Cboe, Deutsche, Deutsche Bank Locations: Wells Fargo, York
The potential fallout from Trump's proposed tariffs
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe potential fallout from Trump's proposed tariffsWendy Cutler, vice president at the Asia Society Policy Institute, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss how president-elect Trump's proposed tariffs could impact trade, potentially hurt consumers, and more.
Persons: Wendy Cutler, Trump's Organizations: Asia Society Policy Institute
A crucial catalyst for shares of Club holding Wells Fargo may be around the corner, according to one Wall Street firm. Bank of America also raised its price target on Wells Fargo to $84 a share from $75, and reiterated its buy rating on the stock. Bottom line We've long called out the asset cap removal as a big catalyst for Wells Fargo — and it's been central to our overall investment thesis for the stock. That's because once these restrictions are lifted, Wells Fargo can finally grow its balance sheet past that nearly $2 trillion threshold again. Wells Fargo bank signage is seen on Broadway on April 12, 2024 in New York City.
Persons: Wells, Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Charlie Scharf's, Scharf, it's, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael M Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Bank, Wells Fargo, Bloomberg News, CNBC, Broadway, Santiago, Getty Locations: Wells, Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo —, New York City
The package could include 60 F-35 fighter jets and 400 Patriot missiles, the FT reported. According to the Financial Times, the package could include 60 F-35 fighter jets, four Advanced Hawkeyes, 10 retired warships, and 400 Patriot missiles. "Taiwan is thinking about a package to show that they are serious," one former Trump administration official told the Financial Times. Blandin added that it's highly unlikely the US would send troops to defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese attack. AdvertisementIn 2022, Biden vowed to defend Taiwan in case of a Chinese attack.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, Benjamin Blandin, Blandin, Sari Arho Havrén, Biden, Karoline Leavitt Organizations: Patriot, Service, Financial Times, Hawkeyes, Lockheed, Aegis, Business, Reuters, Institute for Economics, Peace, Bloomberg, Yokosuka Council, Pacific Studies, Trump, Taiwan, Royal United Services Institute, Air Missile Systems, White, British Locations: Taiwan, China, United States, Yokosuka, Asia, Singapore, Philippines, London, Taipei
Deliberations are in very early stages, however, the sources said, and any formal negotiations for an acquisition of a stake in a Malaysian bank would need approval from the Malaysian central bank, or Bank Negara Malaysia. "We do not comment on market rumors and speculation," said a spokesperson for DBS, Southeast Asia's biggest lender by assets. Alliance Bank, the second smallest listed bank in Malaysia by total assets, and Bank Negara Malaysia did not respond to requests for comment after business hours on Friday. DBS is the only Singaporean bank without a retail banking presence in Malaysia. Local rivals Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation and United Overseas Bank both have retail banking operations in Malaysia.
Persons: Piyush, Gupta, Tan Su Shan, Anwar Ibrahim Organizations: DBS Group Holdings, DBS, Alliance Bank Malaysia Bhd, Kuwait Finance House's, Bank Negara Malaysia, Temasek, Alliance Bank, Kuwait Finance House, Local, Oversea, Chinese Banking Corporation, United Overseas Bank, Gupta, Malaysian Locations: Malaysia, Singapore, Temasek, Kuwait, Malaysian, Bank, China, India, Indonesia, Taiwan
Two major countries’ approach to climate change has turned upside down Down Under. Critics argue that both countries are falling short as they head to this year’s United Nations Climate Change Conference, or COP29, which starts Monday in Azerbaijan. “Standing shoulder to shoulder with Pacific Island nations seems not to mean doing anything Pacific Island leaders have asked,” Hemming said. Albanese’s office and the office of his minister for climate change and energy, Chris Bowen, did not respond to requests for comment. Australia came in for special criticism last month at the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting in the Pacific Island nation of Samoa.
Persons: , Anthony Albanese, Christopher Luxon, Jacinda Ardern, Luxon, , Antonio Guterres, Manaui Faulalo, “ We’re, Ralph Sims, ” Sarah Clement, Albanese, Penny Wong, Polly Hemming, ” Hemming, Chris Bowen, Wong Organizations: United Nations, Labor, Conservative, Radio, Getty, Organization for Economic Cooperation, Development, Massey University, Change, Australian National University, Australia Institute, Commonwealth Locations: Australia, New Zealand, South Pacific, Asia, Pacific, Palau, Tuvalu, Kiribati, Anthony Albanese . New Zealand, Samoa’s, AFP, Azerbaijan, Samoa, Vanuatu, Fiji, Canada, Britain
China has published baselines for a contested shoal in the South China Sea it had seized from the Philippines, a move that’s likely to increase tensions over overlapping territorial claims. Both China and the Philippines claim Scarborough Shoal and other outcroppings in the South China Sea. The statement added that one of the laws signed by Marcos, the Philippine Maritime Zones Act, violates China’s sovereignty in the South China Sea. This photo taken on February 15, 2024, shows an aerial view of over Scarborough Shoal in the disputed South China Sea. China stakes claim to almost the entirety of the South China Sea.
Persons: Ferdinand Marcos Jr, Marcos, Sta Rosa Organizations: Foreign Ministry, Scarborough, Philippine, Ministry, United, Philippine Maritime, Getty Locations: China, South China, Philippines, Scarborough Shoal, Philippine, Luzon, Beijing, United Nations, AFP, Vietnam, Asia
Yet for all their importance, their missions would be impossible if not for the US Navy's unsung workhorses: replenishment ships. But replenishment ships also form the weakest link in the chain of American and Chinese carrier groups. Chow Chung-yan/South China Morning Post via Getty ImageChina's replenishment shipsThe US Navy has over 100 years of experience building and operating replenishment ships. Ultimately, the Chinese opted to pursue a new design for its next replenishment ships: the Type 903-class oiler. China has the largest shipbuilding industry in the world, however, enabling it to quickly build more oilers and convert some of its merchant ships into replenishment ships.
Persons: , Jason R, Henry J, Kaiser refuels, Kenan O'Connor, Kaiser, Lewis, Clark, Dwight D, Eisenhower, Cole Keller, John Lewis, Harvey Milk, Earl Warren —, USNS Robert F, Kennedy, Chow Chung, Michael Singley, Chaganhu, Benjamin Brimelow Organizations: Service, US, Supply, Military Sealift Command, US Navy, Military Sealift Command's Combat Logistics Force, MSC, FAS, USNS Supply, Navy, General Dynamics, USNS, General Dynamics's National Steel and Shipbuilding Company, China Morning, Soviet Navy, NATO, USS Supply, Japanese Ministry of Defense, Sealift Command, Big, Global Affairs, Fletcher School of Law, Diplomacy, Business, Modern, Institute Locations: China, Red, Getty, Ukraine, Gulf, Aden, Shandong, Taiwan, Guam, South China, Pacific, USNS Pecos, Israel, Iran, West
The Department of Commerce sent a letter to TSMC imposing export restrictions on certain sophisticated chips, of 7 nanometer or more advanced designs, destined for China that power AI accelerator and graphics processing units (GPU), the person said. The U.S. order, which is being reported for the first time, comes just weeks after TSMC notified the Commerce Department that one of its chips had been found in a Huawei AI processor, as Reuters reported last month. Tech research firm Tech Insights had taken apart the product, revealing the TSMC chip and apparent violation of export controls. TSMC suspended shipments to China-based chip designer Sophgo after its chip matched the one found on the Huawei AI processor, sources told Reuters last month. Reuters could not determine how the chip ended up on Huawei's Ascend 910B, released in 2022, viewed as the most advanced AI chip available from a Chinese company.
Persons: TSMC, Sophgo Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co, of Commerce, Commerce Department, Huawei, Reuters, Tech Locations: Krakow, Poland, China, U.S
Classic luxury, which Ralph Lauren encapsulates, is resonating with Chinese consumers. "I've said it before but it bears repeating in a volatile environment, Ralph Lauren is firmly on offense," Patrice Louvet, the CEO of Ralph Lauren, said on a conference call with analysts on Thursday. Ralph Lauren classics like Polo shirts and cable-knit sweaters are a hit with Chinese consumers. Ralph Lauren targets Chinese consumers in six key cities and on local Chinese social media platforms. Sebastian Ng/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesWith its brick-and-mortar stores, Ralph Lauren has prospered by doing more with less.
Persons: Ralph Lauren, , Ralph Lauren's, I've, Patrice Louvet, Xi Jinping's, Neil Saunders, Edward Berthelot, Martin, Louvet, Ralph Lauren doesn't, Zers, Sebastian Ng, Olivia Plotnick, Roll, Donald Trump's, It's Organizations: Service, New, GlobalData, McKinsey, Getty, Wai, China Locations: Asia, China, New York City, China China, Tokyo, Seoul, Shanghai, Milan, China —, Beijing, Chengdu
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