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☆ Oil prices steady, with investors focusing on Fed decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices steadied on Wednesday, after rising in the previous two sessions, as investors await the U.S. Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cut, with the potential for more violence in the Middle East supporting the market. "Markets have calmed down as concerns over hurricane damage and escalating tensions in the Middle East have been factored in," said Mitsuru Muraishi, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities. "Now, investors are focusing on the Fed's rate cuts which could revitalize U.S. fuel demand and weaken the dollar," he said, predicting that oil prices are likely to maintain a bullish tone after Brent hit its lowest since 2021 last week. Traders kept bets the Fed will start an expected series of interest rate cuts with a half-percentage-point move downward on Wednesday, an expectation that may itself put pressure on central bankers to deliver just that. Oil stockpiles rose by 1.96 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 13, according to market sources citing the API figures, but gasoline and distillate stocks both rose by about 2.3 million barrels.

Persons: Hurricane Francine, Mitsuru Muraishi, Brent, Biden Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, Brent, Fujitomi Securities, Traders, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, U.S . Energy Locations: U.S ., U.S, Israel, Lebanon, Beirut

☆ The more markets price in a jumbo rate cut, the more likely the Fed is to deliver, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Traders see heightened odds of a big initial rate cut from the Federal Reserve this week. As markets price in rising odds of a 50 basis point cut, the Fed may be more likely to deliver, BMO's Ian Lyngen says. He says markets pricing an 80% chance of a big rate cut could sway the Fed. AdvertisementInvestors have been pricing in rising odds of a 50 basis point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. And as the market increasingly positions for a jumbo cut, the Fed may be more likely to deliver, according to BMO's head of US rates strategy Ian Lyngen.

Persons: BMO's Ian Lyngen, —, Ian Lyngen, we'll, Lyngen Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Business

☆ Stock futures rise as traders weigh Fed’s super-sized rate cut: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. stock futures rose Wednesday night as traders digested the Federal Reserve's earlier decision to lower interest rates by a half percentage point. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 100 points, or 0.2%. Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 climbed 0.4% and 0.5%, respectively. Both the S&P 500 and 30-stock Dow initially rallied to new record highs right after the Fed announced its interest rate cut decision. "The market was thinking to itself, if you go 50, another 50 has a high likelihood.

Persons: Tom Porcelli, that's, he's, Porcelli, homebuilder Lennar Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Fed, Dow, Darden, FedEx, homebuilder, Traders Locations: U.S

☆ Traders see small caps and short-term bonds as big winners from likely Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Frank Holland | In Frank-Holland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Traders and investors are debating if the Federal Reserve will cut 25 basis points or 50 basis points when the decision comes at 2pm eastern time. "25 or 50 (basis points), we see a credible case for either. "The Fed is likely to adjust policy by 200 to 250 basis points over the coming year. Garewal also said this rate cut was part of a "normalization" cycle and shared research that yields on the 2-year fall 65 basis points on average after a first Fed cut.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Mark Smith, Wells, stagflation, Smith, Craig Johnson, Piper Sandler, Russell, Johnson, Goldman Sachs, Garewal, Piper Sandler's Johnson, Huntington, Kevin Murphy Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Traders, Federal Reserve, Advisors, Worldwide Exchange, Blackstone, Mastercard, Visa, Ameris Bancorp, Fed, Ferguson Enterprises

☆ These are the stocks that do best immediately after the first Fed rate cut of a cycle
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first rate cut in just a few short hours, so CNBC Pro took a look at what stocks historically do best immediately after the start of an easing cycle. CNBC Pro searched for the stocks set to gain the most following a Fed rate cut, using data from prior easing cycles going back to 1984. Historically, Apple is up about 16% on a median basis three months after an initial cut from the Fed. Technology names tended to do well immediately after a Fed rate cut, with digital storage company Western Digital the top-performing stock, and semiconductor equipment company Lam Research the second-best performing one. Three months after a Fed rate cut, Western Digital gained more than 26% on a median basis, while Lam Research advanced more than 22%.

Persons: — Organizations: Federal, CNBC Pro, Dow Jones, Apple, Western Digital, Lam Research, Kroger

☆ I take quiet vacations from my $300,000 Wall Street job because the work isn't fulfilling. Here's how I get away with it.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Robin Madell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Read previewThis as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with a 42-year-old vice president at a Wall Street bank in New York City. I work in tech for a Wall Street bank, and I quiet vacation. I do the bare minimum work for my Wall Street job because the pay and bonuses aren't as good as they used to beI wanted to work on Wall Street because of the money. Even on Wall Street, it seems like once people fall into a way of thinking, they stick with it their entire lives. On Wall Street, it's more important not to make any mistakes than to see how many hours someone can sit in an office.

Persons: —, I've, he'd, I'm, Lauryn Haas Organizations: Service, Business, Microsoft, lhaas Locations: New York City, Virginia, Atlantic City, Ocean City

☆ Traders got their big-rate-cut wish and markets still couldn't rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Wall Street got the big rate cut it wanted, but markets failed to sustain a rally. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut its key overnight lending rate by a half percentage point . Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, noted that the half-point cut suggests slowing growth is increasingly concerning Fed policy makers. "The Fed is likely worried that labor demand would weaken more, causing additional stress points in the labor market." "A larger cut probably was not needed out of the gate, but that should support risk-on asset allocation."

Persons: Ryan Sweet, Sweet, Nancy Tengler, Tengler, Scott Helfstein, Jeff Cox, Michelle Fox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, Fed, Global

☆ Thursday's big stock stories: What's likely to move the market in the next trading session
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jason Gewirtz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on September 18, 2024 in New York City. Stocks @ Night is a daily newsletter delivered after hours, giving you a first look at tomorrow and last look at today. Sign up for free to receive it directly in your inbox. Here's what CNBC TV's producers were watching as the Federal Reserve slashed rates by a half point on Wednesday and what's on the radar for the next session.

Persons: what's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Federal Reserve Locations: New York City

And yet an unusual air of uncertainty overhangs this week's meeting: It’s unclear just how large the Fed’s rate cut will be. Wall Street traders and some economists foresee a growing likelihood that the central bank will announce a larger-than-usual half-point cut. Many analysts foresee a more typical quarter-point rate cut. This week's move is expected to be only the first in a series of Fed rate cuts that will extend into 2025. Over time, Fed rate cuts should lower borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans and credit cards, as well as for business loans.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Jerome Powell, —, Powell, Jackson, Freddie Mac Organizations: WASHINGTON, —, Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Companies, Associated Press Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Your favorite stocks may soon be quoted in half-penny increments – which could cut trading costs
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on September 05, 2024 in New York City. Michael M. Santiago | Getty ImagesInvestors may soon see their favorite stocks quoted in half-penny increments. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission will vote Wednesday to change the minimum pricing increment for many large-cap stocks, likely to allow for pricing increments of a half-cent. Currently, the minimum pricing increment — or tick size — for most stocks is one cent. In 1997, the minimum tick size went from an eighth of a dollar to a sixteenth, or 6.25 cents.

Persons: Michael M, That's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty, U.S . Securities, Exchange Locations: New York City

☆ Charts suggest traders should wait before they keep chasing utilities — the hottest trade of the year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Traders instantly react to the data (sometimes wildly so), especially when the actual numbers are distinctly different than estimates. Thus, historically, XLU has been correlated with the direction of treasury bonds (which move in the opposite direction of bond yields). Here's a chart with XLU and the TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, which we're using since it's the most widely traded treasury bond ETF. From 2022 through 2023, XLU and TLT moved in the same direction more often than not. Another reason is simply that investors are aggressively seeking yield producing instruments, with the understanding that bond yields were destined to fall.

Persons: XLU, That's, TLT, We're Organizations: Federal Reserve, PPI, Utilities, Treasury Bond ETF, Bollinger, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: XLU

☆ Watch Wednesday's full episode of Fast Money — September 18, 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Wednesday's full episode of Fast Money — September 18, 2024"Fast Money" is America's post-market show. Hosted by Melissa Lee and a roundtable of top traders, "Fast Money" breaks through the noise of the day, to bring you the actionable news that matters most to investors.

Persons: Melissa Lee

☆ UK inflation holds steady in August, matching expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Anadolu | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. inflation held steady during the month of August, data from the Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday, and matched analyst expectations. Headline CPI had come in at 2% in May and June, in line with the Bank of England's target rate. Services inflation — which is closely watched by the BOE, given its dominance within the U.K. economy and its reflection of domestically-generated price rises — rose to 5.6% in August from 5.2% in July. Core inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, came in at 3.6%, up from the 3.3% recorded in July. "Despite recent data showing a stagnation in UK economic output and easing wage growth, core inflation remains sticky, with services inflation rising from 5.2% to 5.6% which will weigh heavily on the BOE's decision-making," Carter said in a note.

Persons: BOE, Richard Carter, Cheviot, Carter Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Office, National Statistics, Headline CPI, Bank of, U.S . Federal Reserve

☆ Treasury yields inch higher as investors look to Fed rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.6046% after adding over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Wednesday as all eyes were on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision expected for later in the day. The focus on Wednesday will be on the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision and guidance for the monetary policy outlook. While a interest rate cut is all but guaranteed, traders are divided about the size of the rate reduction. Investors are also hoping for hints about what Fed interest rate policy could look like for the remainder of the year and if more cuts are on the horizon.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investors

☆ Stock market today: Indexes edge up ahead of major Fed interest rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

US indexes edged higher as investors waited for a likely interest rate cut from the Fed. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as traders readied for what's likely to be the Federal Reserves's first rate cut in four years. "Though consensus is leaning toward a 50 basis point move, we look for the Fed to cut by 25 basis points today. AdvertisementFollowing the interest rate decision, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who will deliver prepared remarks during a press conference. "While the market has usually bounced immediately following the 2 PM rate decision, the sell-off usually starts at or near the end of Powell's post-FOMC press conference."

Persons: Jerome Powell's, —, John Lynch, José Torres, Jerome Powell, Powell, shouldn't Organizations: Fed, Traders, Service, Federal, Comerica Wealth Management, Interactive, Deutsche Bank, Investment

☆ European markets set for lower open as investors weigh UK inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Italy's FTSE MIB meanwhile was set to fall by around 39 points to 33,784. LONDON — European markets were headed for a lower open on Wednesday as investors considered key data from the region and looked to the U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decision. In Europe, U.K. inflation figures for August were published Wednesday, coming in at 2.2% according to data from the Office for National Statistics. The data comes ahead of the Bank of England meeting and interest rate policy decision scheduled for later this week. The Fed is all but guaranteed to announce an interest rate cut on Wednesday, which would be its first since it started hiking rates in March 2022.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, LONDON, U.S . Federal, Office, National Statistics, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, Traders Locations: Europe, Asia, Pacific

☆ Richard Bernstein's Michael Contopoulos says Fed rate cut could risk reaccelerating inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRichard Bernstein's Michael Contopoulos says Fed rate cut could risk reaccelerating inflationRichard Bernstein's Michael Contopoulos joins the 'Fast Money' traders with reaction to today's Federal Reserve rate decision.

Persons: Richard Bernstein's Michael Contopoulos Organizations: Federal

☆ Dollar catches footing ahead of Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar steadied on Wednesday as stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales had traders slightly trimming bets that the U.S. easing cycle will begin with an outsized interest rate cut. The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first interest rate cut in more than four years at 1800 GMT, which will be followed by a news conference half an hour later. A rate cut is fully priced, with interest rate futures implying a 63% chance of a 50 basis point cut, after flirting with 70% a day earlier. Traders say the Fed's tone as well as the size of the rate cut will drive the next moves in the foreign exchange market. China's stock, bond and currency markets resume trade on Wednesday after the mid-autumn festival break, though it is a holiday on Wednesday in Hong Kong.

Persons: Nathan Swami, Swami Organizations: Federal, Traders, Citi, Australian, New Zealand, Sterling, Bank of, ANZ Bank Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Asia, U.S, Japan, Atlanta, Singapore, Hong Kong, Bank of England

☆ Watch Wednesday's full episode of Mad Money with Jim Cramer — September 18, 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Wednesday's full episode of Mad Money with Jim Cramer — September 18, 2024"Mad Money" host and former hedge fund manager, Jim Cramer, provides stock traders with all manner of investing advice.

Persons: Jim Cramer —, Jim Cramer

But a series of data points showing worsening economic conditions has made some analysts believe a 0.5% cut is more likely — and perhaps even necessary. “We do not seek or welcome further cooling in labor market conditions,” Fed Chair Jay Powell said in a speech last month. “A (0.5%) cut is usually done in emergencies,” like the Covid-19 pandemic, said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s financial group. Mortgage interest rates have hit their lowest level since February 2023, while auto loan rates are also falling. A 0.5% cut would more directly affect rates tied to the fed funds rate, including credit cards, home equity lines of credit and small-business loans.

Persons: Steve Liesman, Jay Powell, Bill Dudley, ” Dudley, Preston Mui, Mui, ”, “, Mark Zandi, Greg McBride, ” McBride Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Wall, Minneapolis Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg News, Fed, Bankrate Locations: Minneapolis, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, America

☆ New details of Trump family crypto project released, including who can buy in
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Mackenzie Sigalos | Christina Wilkie | Mackenzie Sigalos Is A Technology Reporter For Cnbc With A Focus On Cryptocurrency | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

For over a month, the former president and his family have been pumping up a project called World Liberty Financial, promising that it will do many things at once. He’s also part of the small group of World Liberty Financial founders, according to an internal report on the project obtained by CoinDesk. Witkoff was seated to Trump’s right during Monday night’s spaces, and described how he brought the Trump family together two crypto entrepreneurs. Alongside Trump and Witkoff, founders include Donald Trump Jr., Eric Trump and Barron Trump, as well as Witkoff’s son, Zach Witkoff, according to a person briefed by a member of the group’s founding team. CNBC reached out to Eric Trump and Witkoff to ask about their leadership roles within World Liberty, and didn’t immediately receive a reply.

Persons: Donald Trump’s “, Zak Folkman, Folkman, Trump, Gary Gensler, Steve Witkoff, Witkoff, Trump’s, He’s, “, Chase Herro, I’ve, ”, ‘, Eric, Don Jr, Let’s, We’ve, Donald Trump Jr, Eric Trump, Barron Trump, Zach Witkoff, CoinDesk, Barron, ” Eric, Donald Jr, didn’t, Donald Trump Organizations: Republican, Trump, Liberty Financial, Securities, Exchange, Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, Trump International Golf Club, FBI, World Liberty Financial, CoinDesk, Witkoff, Trump Media Technology Group, NBC, ”, Bloomberg, Trump Organization, Liberty, CNBC, GOP Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida, Nashville

☆ Stock futures are little changed as Wall Street anticipates a long-awaited Fed rate cut: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A trader works, as a screen broadcasts a news conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell following the Fed rate announcement on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on June 12, 2024. Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Tuesday as Wall Street anticipated a long-awaited rate cut from the Federal Reserve following an aggressive multiyear hiking campaign aimed at tamping down hot inflation. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 28 points, while S&P 500 futures hovered near the flatline. Investors remain on high alert ahead of the first expected rate cut from the Fed at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting Wednesday. CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows traders pricing in a 63% chance of a 50 basis point cut, and 37% odds of a 25 basis point move.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Peter Cecchini, Axonic, CNBC's Organizations: Federal, New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Fed

☆ The Fed's biggest interest rate call in years happens Wednesday. Here's what to expect
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The meeting wraps up Wednesday afternoon, with the release of the Fed's rate decision coming at 2 p.m. "I hope they cut 50 basis points, but I suspect they'll cut 25. Here's a breakdown of what's on tap:The rate waitThe FOMC has been holding its benchmark fed funds rate in a range between 5.25%-5.5% since it last hiked in July 2023. The 'dot plot'Perhaps just as important as the rate cut will be the signals meeting participants send about where they expect rates to go from here. In June, FOMC members penciled in just one rate cut through the end of the year.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Harnik, they'll, Mark Zandi, that's, Tom Simons, Zandi, Robert Kaplan, There'll, Seema Shah, FOMC, Moody's, Goldman Sachs, Powell presser, Goldman, Simons Organizations: Federal Reserve, Committee, Moody's, Wall, Jefferies, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Asset Management Locations: Washington , DC

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are down and hovering near 5.60%, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates have decreased and are hovering below 5%, according to Zillow data. Last month, 30-year refinance rates averaged 6.59%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.90%. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.

Persons: it's, you'll, Freddie Mac, they've, They'll, refinance Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron

☆ Asia-Pacific markets trade mixed as investors look ahead to Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Containers are loaded on the premises of the port operator PSA, the Port of Singapore Authority (PSA), at the Port of Singapore on 14 June 2022. Most Asia-Pacific markets were mixed Tuesday, following a mixed trading session on Wall Street as investors prepare for the Federal Reserve to kick off its monetary loosening cycle. The Fed is expected to announce its first interest rate cut since March 2022, but markets are split over the size of the reduction from the two-day policy meeting which begins Tuesday. U.S. retail sales data is also set to take center stage as investors monitor the health of the consumer in the lead up to the Fed's meeting. Chinese appliance maker Midea Group is slated to debut in Hong Kong, with shares priced at 54.80 Hong Kong dollars apiece, in what would be the city's largest listing in more than three years.

Organizations: Singapore Authority, Port, Federal Reserve, Traders, Midea, Hong Locations: Port, Port of Singapore, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong

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