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Read previewThis as-told-to essay is based on a transcribed conversation with Armand Arton, 47, president of Arton Capital, a financial advisory firm, about golden visas and passports. We advise them about golden visas and golden passports — government programs that offer residency or citizenship rights to foreign investors. AdvertisementDuring the COVID-19 pandemic, many American investors couldn't enter Europe, so they are now looking for residency programs in European countries. After this year's elections in France and the UK, we're also seeing millionaires in those countries looking to relocate. I'd advise wealthy migrants to get in on programs sooner rather than laterThe number of applicants for golden visas increases every year.
Persons: , Armand Arton, couldn't, we're, haven't, I've, It's, Brexit, We've, who've, Irma, Maria, it's, I'd Organizations: Service, Arton, Arton Capital, Business, Caribbean Locations: Europe, France, Hungary, Portugal, Spain, Property, Greece, Italy, England, Germany, UAE, Antigua, Barbuda, Bulgaria, Ireland
The Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut since 2020 helped drive the week's gains. The anticipation and delivery of the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut since 2020 helped drive the gains this week. The Fed issued a jumbo 50 basis point interest rate cut to "recalibrate" monetary policy, as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell put it nine times during his FOMC speech on Wednesday. US stocks soared on Thursday after declining slightly on Wednesday, as investors had more time to digest the Fed's interest rate decision. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both hit record highs on Thursday.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Raymond James, Larry Adam, Adam Organizations: Dow, Federal, Investors, Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Fed, Dow Jones Industrial
It also means lots of talk from the experts about "normalizing the yield curve" in the bond market — meaning getting back to a setup where bonds with longer maturities yield higher rates than those with shorter-term maturities. That's referred to as "yield curve inversion," which has historically signaled an upcoming recession. Currently, however, the yield curve looks more like a check mark than a gradually rising hill. An inverted Treasury yield curve messes with that dynamic. Everyone, from private citizens to multinational corporations benefits from a normalized yield curve because normal means less uncertainty, which means more predictability.
Persons: Jerome Powell, shouldn't, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, CNBC, Federal, Getty Locations: U.S, Washington , DC
BMO's Brian Belski raised his S&P 500 price target to 6,100, signaling 7% upside by year-end. In a note on Thursday, Belski raised his S&P 500 price target for 2024 to 6,100, representing potential upside of 7% over the next three months. Belski's prior 2024 price target for the S&P 500 was 5,600. AdvertisementBelski also finds it encouraging that recent stock market gains have not been concentrated in just the mega-cap technology stocks. AdvertisementBased on Belski's 6,100 price target, that implies a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.4x, which is above historical averages.
Persons: Brian Belski, , Belski, Belski's Organizations: Service, BMO, Wall, Federal, Fed
Today is triple witching expiration , the quarterly expiration of single stock and index options, and index futures. It's occurring at an unusual moment: the S & P 500 is at an historic high. Week after triple witch: poor Unfortunately, the week after the September triple witch is historically among the weakest of the year. S & P 500 rebalancing today The S & P 500 will see three new entrants at the close today, each of which will begin trading as part of the S & P on Monday: Dell Technologies , Erie Indemnity and Palantir Technologies . Finally, while the S & P 500 is at a new high, the Russell 2000 smallcap index is not far behind.
Persons: Chris Murphy, Jeff Hirsch, Dow Industrials, Hirsch, Dell, Russell Organizations: Stock, Nasdaq, Dell Technologies, Erie, Palantir Technologies, Etsy, Rad Laboratories, American Airlines Group Locations: Susquehanna
The Federal Reserve's big interest rate cut this week has reintroduced the notion of the " Fed put " into the stock market, longtime bull Tom Lee said. That means, the Fed's mandate is now primarily supporting a strong labor market," Lee wrote to clients Friday. Broadly speaking, the "put" refers to the desire of the Fed to loosen financial conditions, which in turn supports risk assets like stocks. In particular, he cited "an important lifeline" to three sectors that Lee said actually are in a recession: durable goods, auto sales and housing. This is a long winded way of saying the Fed is not 'pushing on a string ,'" Lee wrote.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee Organizations: Federal, Fundstrat Global Advisors, Fed
Small-cap stocks are poised for a significant rally, Goldman Sachs' Greg Tuorto said. The portfolio manager pointed to lower interest rates and a promising economic backdrop for small-caps. The presidential election could also be a positive catalyst, leading to a catch-up rally, he said. That's according to Greg Tuorto, a portfolio manager at Goldman Sachs Asset Management who says he sees a big "catch-up" rally coming for small-cap stocks. AdvertisementThe Russell 2000 surged 2% after the Fed cut interest rates on Wednesday, with the small-cap index up 12% year-to-date.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Greg Tuorto, , Tuorto, it's, Fundstrat's Tom Lee Organizations: Service, Goldman Sachs, Management, CNBC, Atlanta Fed
Stifel warns of a sharp stock market correction by year-end, with the S&P 500 potentially dropping 12%. "Our instruments tell us to expect an S&P 500 correction to the very low 5,000s by 4Q24," Bannister said. AdvertisementInvestors should prepare for a sharp and quick correction in the stock market before the end of the year, according to Stifel. In a note on Thursday, chief equity strategist Barry Bannister of Stifel warned that the S&P 500 could trade 12% lower in the fourth quarter. "Our instruments tell us to expect an S&P 500 correction to the very low 5,000s by 4Q24," Bannister said.
Persons: Stifel, Barry Bannister, Bannister, Organizations: Service
But that means investors once again exposed to risks of a tech bubble inflating anew. Hartnett says investors should allocate to bonds and gold to hedge bubble risk. But it means investors will have to chase the stock market surge as bubble risks bounce back, he added. AdvertisementHartnett has previously warned of the potential for a tech bubble as investment in AI has soared. Amid further AI investment and easing policy, Hartnett says the best way to position portfolios is with allocations to bonds and gold, which hedge against growth and inflation risks.
Persons: BofA's Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, , Michael Hartnett Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Nvidia, Broadcom, ASML, Meta, Treasury
US stocks traded slightly lower as investors pressed pause on the rally to record highs. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit record highs on Thursday after the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut. Heavy trading is expected on Friday due to option expirations and S&P quarterly index rebalancing. AdvertisementUS stocks traded sightly lower on Friday as investors pressed pause on the ongoing rally to record highs. The so-called triple witching day occurs when there is a simultaneous expiration of stock options, index options, and index futures contracts.
Persons: Dow Jones, , Thursday's, Jerome, Brian Belski, Michael Reinking, Reinking Organizations: Federal, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, NYSE, Here's
That rally may not be sustainable, based on the venerable " Dow Theory ." The century-old Dow Theory looks at the relationship between the Dow Industrials and the Dow Transports , and argues that market trends must be confirmed by both groups. In other words, if the Dow Industrials are going lower, then Transports most also be falling to confirm a prolonged negative run. Right now, investors are presented with the Dow Industrials at all-time highs and Transports barely positive for the year. FDX 5D mountain FDX year to date To be sure, other market trends paint a more positive picture.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Mark Mahaney Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Dow Transports, Transports, FedEx, UPS, Tech, Energy, NBA
By 2017, he decided he had to pivot and elected to give stock trading a try. "You're going to panic-sell at the lows; you're going to panic-buy at the highs. You're going to trade when the stock is zigging and zagging and get chopped up. Related storiesOn a chart, it can often look like a wide space between two candles after the stock's price opens significantly higher than where it was in premarket hours. AdvertisementOn January 19, during pre-market hours, the stock's price spiked, causing a gap up on the opening.
Persons: Christian Flanders, Flanders, Norman Zadeh, it's Organizations: Service, Business, US, IT Solutions Locations: Flanders, he's
WASHINGTON — As president, Donald Trump slashed a lucrative tax break enjoyed by coastal donors and suburban swing-state voters. What shifted more than the economy is Trump's needs, said Caroline Bruckner, managing director of American University's Kogod Tax Policy Center. The reversal is one of a flurry of freebies that Trump and his rival, Vice President Kamala Harris, are offering voters in the stretch run before Election Day. Trump’s proposal to repeal the SALT cap, which is set to expire next year if Congress takes no action, would reduce federal revenue by $1.2 trillion over a decade, according to CRFB’s estimate. But many voters in those counties would stand to benefit considerably from a repeal of the SALT cap.
Persons: Donald Trump, he's, Trump, ransoming, Caroline Bruckner, Bruckner, Kamala Harris, Peter Zay, Harris, She’s, , , Charlie Dent, ” Dent, ” Donald Trump, Jeff Kowalsky, Marc Goldwein, ” Goldwein, ” Harris, , Donald Trump won’t, James Singer, Joe Biden’s, I’ve, it’s, Mark Cuban, Jackson, Biden —, Dent Organizations: WASHINGTON, Trump, Getty, Social, Foundation, Social Security, Democratic, CNBC, Tax Foundation, NBC News, Tax Locations: Washington, Anadolu, AFP, South Carolina, Mississippi, Harris, Manhattan, San Francisco, Silicon, Valley , Idaho, Aspen , Colorado, , Wyoming, Westchester County , New York, Fairfield County , Connecticut, Maricopa County, Arizona's, Philadelphia, Wilmington , Delaware, Montgomery, Chester, Delaware, Allegheny County
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSanchez: The Fed's rate cut benefits small caps and the stock marketGina Sanchez, Chantico Global CEO, discusses investment opportunities following a larger-than-expected Fed rate cut. She also recommended Home Depot for its strong dividend yield and McDonald's for its stability and potential demand growth.
Persons: Sanchez, Gina Sanchez Organizations: Chantico Global, Depot
AI stocks surged after the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 soared nearly 3% on Thursday, while the underlying AI trade saw even bigger gains. Investors in the stock market's AI trade can thank Fed chairman Jerome Powell for Thursday's risk-on surge in tech, according to Wedbush analyst Dan Ives. AdvertisementIves said that while the AI trade has mainly been focused on Nvidia and Microsoft, other companies are starting to join in on the fun.
Persons: Dan Ives, , Jerome Powell, Ives Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Service, Federal Reserve, Investors, Big Tech, Microsoft, Oracle, Dell, IBM, APple Locations: Asia
Franklin Templeton's Yi Ping Liao describes the South Asian country as "a fertile hunting ground to identify stocks." And if this continues, you can potentially see lower equity risk premiums for the market," the assistant portfolio manager told CNBC Pro on Sept. 12. She likes that the Indian market offers the "opportunity to identify good stocks," following an improvement in its breadth. Among the names Liao is betting on is automaker Tata Motors . Elsewhere, in the tourism and hospitality industry, the portfolio manager likes hotel chain Indian Hotels — the company behind premium brands like Taj, Vivanta and Ginger.
Persons: Franklin Templeton's Yi Ping Liao, Liao, Franklin, Morgan Stanley, China's, Vivanta, Ginger, India's financialization Organizations: CNBC Pro, Templeton, Growth, IMI, Bombay Stock Exchange, World Economic, Bain & Company, Tata Motors, Tata, Apollo, Max Healthcare Institute, Insurance, Taj, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank Locations: India, Asia, China, U.S
Tom Lee is not sold on the stock market's rally after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates. The S & P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average popped to fresh records Thursday, a day after the Fed lowered rates by a half percentage point. Many investors expected the central bank to lower rates by just a quarter percentage point. Lee was correctly bullish heading into 2024 and has nailed several bold short-term calls on the market. Despite the mixed backdrop, Lee said small-cap and cyclical stocks, such as industrials and financials, stand to benefit from lower rates.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Fundstrat Global Advisors, U.S
But after Wednesday's big 50 basis point cut, Lee says he sees uncertainty looming ahead of the election. AdvertisementProminent stock market bull Tom Lee has long called for a big rally after the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. But after a big 50 basis point cut on Wednesday, Lee says he's feeling cautious ahead of the November election. That rally would happen regardless of a 25 or 50 basis point cut, he said, if the Fed suggested future cuts are likely. With election-related volatility ahead, Lee recommends investing in cyclical stocks in areas like industrials, financials, and small caps.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, , SoFi's Liz Young Thomas Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Fundstrat Global Advisors, CNBC, Fed, Business
Indexes rallied Thursday as investors continue to digest Wednesday's jumbo rate cut from the Fed. The Fed cut rates by 50 basis points in its first rate cut in over four years. AdvertisementUS stocks soared on Thursday in a late reaction to the Federal Reserve's jumbo interest rate cut. On Wednesday, the Fed issued its first interest rate cut since 2020, cutting its benchmark rate by 50 basis points. Bank of America analysts said after the meeting that they see 75 basis points of cuts in the fourth quarter and 125 basis points next year.
Persons: , Jerome Powell's, Dow, today's 50bp, Goldman Sachs, Powell, Gen Z's Organizations: Fed, Service, Federal, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Labor Department, SEC
Read previewMorgan Stanley has some disappointing news for investors: your taxes are probably going up in the next few years. But one strategist at Morgan Stanley says it's not that simple. Despite these differences, Morgan Stanley expects tax rates to increase no matter who takes office. And a divided Congress, which Morgan Stanley predicts is very likely in November, will only further reduce the likelihood of dramatic change. Typically, the stock market is more influenced by the business cycle than tax policy or political party, according to Morgan Stanley.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Trump, Kamala Harris, it's, Monica Guerra, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's, Harris, Biden, There's, haven't, Guerra isn't, Guerra Organizations: Service, Business, Morgan Stanley Wealth, US, Trump, Republican, Democratic, Treasurys, New, Equity Locations: New York City
The S & P 500 gave up post-Fed gains Wednesday and closed modestly lower. Morgan Stanley should have a decent pop when trading opens because lower interest rates should boost parts of its business , including investment banking. MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD We thought Morgan Stanley's share price was too low to sell when we held our September Monthly Meeting last week. Based on premarket prices, Morgan Stanley shares were hovering around $101, representing a much better level to take some off. One more factor behind our trim is that the S & P Short Range Oscillator remained in overbought territory after Wednesday's close.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Stocks, Morgan Stanley's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley YTD, We'll, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC
The Fed's big rate cut won't stop a recession, economist David Rosenberg says. Rosenberg's bearish call comes one day after the Federal Reserve delivered a jumbo 50 basis point interest rate cut, the Fed's first rate cut since 2020. AdvertisementBut Rosenberg isn't backing down, likening 2024 to 2007, right before the economy slowed and entered a painful recession. He added: "Half the country is in recession right now when we apply data science to the commentary." AdvertisementAs for the soaring stock market, Rosenberg says investors should heed the warning signs coming out of the bond market.
Persons: David Rosenberg, He's, Rosenberg, , Rosenberg's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, BLS
The Fed looks like it's following the same path it did in 1995, according to TS Lombard. It's also great news for stocks, as the S&P 500 more than doubled in value that decade. AdvertisementThe Fed is following a 30-year-old playbook with its interest rate moves — and that's good news for the US economy, according to TS Lombard. Stocks soared a day after the big rate cut. Despite wobbling in the hours after the Fed's rate move, the major indexes hit fresh records in Thursday trades.
Persons: It's, , Dario Perkins, Perkins, Stocks Organizations: TS Lombard, Service, Fed, American Institute for Economic Research, Cleveland Fed
Introduction to the federal funds rateDefinition and purpose of the federal fund rateThe federal funds rate, or fed funds rate, is the interest rate set by the Federal Open Markets Committee. The Federal Reserve lowered the federal fund rate on September 19, 2024, to stop aggressive inflation and prevent a recession. Today, the federal fund rate is 5.00%, with the federal fund target rate being 4.75% to 5.00%. How the federal funds rate worksThe federal funds rate, or the overnight rate, is the interest commercial banks charge when they lend money to one another for extremely short-term periods — literally, overnight. Federal funds rate FAQsWhat happens when the federal funds rate is high?
Persons: Karen Fernandez Tessa Campbell, Tessa Campbell, Tessa, she’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Federal Open Markets, Fed, Market, Fed's, Governors, Federal Reserve Bank, Susquehanna University
The price of bitcoin was recently higher by 3.5% at $62,417.48, according to Coin Metrics, building on a rally underway before the central bank decision Wednesday. Stocks tied to the price of bitcoin climbed in early trading Thursday. MicroStrategy , widely used as a high beta play on the price of bitcoin, gained 5%. It isn't out of the woods yet, however, said Yuya Hasegawa, crypto market analyst at Japanese bitcoin exchange Bitbank. "Bitcoin has some time until the BOJ makes the decision and could extend its gain during Thursday's U.S. session.
Persons: bitcoin, Stocks, Yuya Hasegawa, Bitcoin Organizations: Metrics, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Bank of, Thursday's U.S
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