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New York Community Bank 's ongoing struggles have increased investors' anxiety around the regional bank sector. Official short-selling data from the exchanges that would encompass the latest regional bank fallout has not yet been released. The short crowding on NYCB shares surged to 70% in the week ended Feb. 2, up from 45% the prior week. S & T Bancorp 's short crowding score has jumped to 83% in the week ended Feb. 2, which marks a 37% increase from the prior week. and CrossFirst Bankshares ' short crowding scores have risen 30% each to 69% and 71%, respectively.
Persons: Hong Li, Li, Simmons, CrossFirst, Norman Lowery, , Michael Bloom Organizations: York Community Bank, Citi Research, Citi, T, P Global, T Bancorp, LSEG, Financial Corp, CrossFirst, Financial, CFB Locations: Midwest, CFB YTD
PayPal shares tumbled more than 10% Thursday after a disappointing forecast added to uncertainty around the payments giant. While the company posted beats on most metrics for its fourth quarter on Wednesday, PayPal guided for earnings that were well below expectations. He called 2024 a transition year and told CNBC in a phone interview that the company was staying "conservative" on guidance. 'Show me' stock PayPal's CEO faced criticism for over-promising before its Jan. 25 product event . Leading up to that, Chriss told CNBC PayPal planned to "shock the world."
Persons: Alex Chriss, FactSet, it's, Wells, Andrew Bauch, Chriss, Gordon Haskett, Don Bilson, Bilson, Bryan Keane, Michael Bloom Organizations: PayPal, Apple, CNBC, Intuit, CNBC PayPal, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Thursday: Jefferies reiterates Walmart as buy Jefferies sees a $20 billion AI and automation opportunity for Walmart. Goldman Sachs upgrades Roblox to neutral from sell Goldman upgraded the stock following its earnings report and sees "margin momentum." Needham upgrades Disney to buy from hold Needham upgraded the theme park operator after its earnings report, seeing "strong" earnings per share growth. Morgan Stanley downgrades American Express to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley downgraded the credit card stock mainly citing valuation. Wells Fargo reiterates Disney as overweight Wells says it's standing by its overweight rating on the stock following earnings on Wednesday. "
Persons: Jefferies, Morgan Stanley downgrades Hertz, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Needham, Ally, it's, Wells, Macquarie, BABA, Oppenheimer, Davidson, NYCB, Guggenheim, TD Cowen, Wedbush, Wolfe, Baird, Tesla Organizations: Walmart, Discover, DFS, Barclays, PNM Resources, New, Express, DIS, Six, York Community Bancorp, Guggenheim, UBS downgrades Air Products, UBS, Products, Deutsche Bank, AstraZeneca, Deutsche, Apple, Nvidia Locations: New Mexico, Texas, OW, North America, China, GPRO
As China's property market and deflation woes continue to rattle investors, India's growth outlook appears all the more impressive. Last year's annual report attributed strong revenue growth partially to expansion in the Middle East, India, and Asia, Krishna wrote. "More than revenue, India is an important area for sourcing talent" as well, Krishna wrote. Growth potential For investors looking to gain exposure to the domestic stock market, Indian equities themselves aren't especially cheap though. "You're paying for the growth potential in India, certainly.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Chetan Ahya, Ahya, Bernstein, , Narendra Modi, Bill Fitzpatrick, Fitzpatrick, Quincy Krosby, Venu Krishna, Aecom, Krishna, Tim Long, Long, Simon Coles, Krosby, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, CNBC's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investment, Logan Capital Management, Modi, Infrastructure Pipeline, Aecom, Barclays, Cisco Systems, Juniper Networks, India —, Semiconductor, Micron Technology, Qualcomm, Logan Capital Locations: India, China, Asia, Philadelphia, South Carolina . U.S, Dallas, East, Asia Pacific, Japan, Coles , U.S, U.S, IShares
Evan Spiegel, CEO of Snap Inc., speaks onstage during the Snap Partner Summit 2023 at Barker Hangar on April 19, 2023 in Santa Monica, California. Snap shares tanked 30% in Wednesday morning trading, a day after the company missed revenue estimates and issued light guidance in its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report. Snap reported revenue of $1.36 billion for the quarter, slightly below the $1.38 billion expected by analysts, according to LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv. They noted that strong ad improvements and impression growth at Meta and Amazon could represent another headwind for Snap's ad revenue. "Stepping back, 4Q was a mixed bag, but the acceleration in 1Q gives us confidence that things are getting back on track," the analysts wrote.
Persons: Evan Spiegel, Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Jonathan Vanian Organizations: Snap Inc, Barker, Meta, Barclays, 4Q, SNAP, JPMorgan, CNBC PRO Locations: Santa Monica , California
The near-term growth story for Nvidia remains promising amid ongoing demand for artificial intelligence processors, according to Morgan Stanley. The Wall Street investment bank raised its price target to $750 from $603 and reiterated an overweight investment rating ahead of the dominant AI chipmaker's quarterly earnings release set for Feb. 21. The new price target suggests about 10% upside from Nvidia's current levels. Nvidia remains in a strong position and is comfortable with the competitive dynamic in the chips market, according to Moore. "Longer term, cloud commentary is encouraging, but we do continue to budget for a plateau in 2025," Moore said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Joseph Moore, Moore, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, NVDA
Now some on Wall Street believe Tesla no longer deserves to be among the coveted " Magnificent 7 ," and are suggesting alternatives that could replace Elon Musk's company. "The Magnificent 7 now looks more like the Magnificent 6 as Tesla falls from the crowd," billionaire investor Leon Cooperman , CEO of the Omega Family Office, said on CNBC's " Squawk Box " Tuesday. Meanwhile, there are now 29 companies that contributed more to S & P 500 earnings than Tesla, according to Strategas Securities. The research firm identified three companies with both market cap weighting and earnings contributions (for the next 12 months) larger than Tesla — Berkshire Hathaway , Broadcom and Eli Lilly . "Berkshire spent last year fliting with the top seven, but Broadcom and Lilly have steadily gained share," Strategas said in a note.
Persons: Tesla, Elon, Leon Cooperman, Berkshire, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Strategas, Warren, Eli Lilly's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Elon Musk's, Omega, Strategas Securities, Berkshire Hathaway, Broadcom, Berkshire, JPMorgan Locations: Warren Buffett's Berkshire
Jefferies initiates Sprout Social as buy Jefferies said the social media software provider is a market leader. Morgan Stanley names Huntington Bancshares a top pick Morgan Stanley said it likes the regional bank's low exposure to commercial real estate. Morgan Stanley reiterates Nvidia as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Nvidia to $750 per share from $603. Morgan Stanley downgrades Aptiv to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said it sees slowing growth for the automotic tech company. Jefferies initiates ZoomInfo as buy Jefferies initiates the software data company with a buy and says it sees new customer growth.
Persons: Redburn, Key, it's, Gordon, Gordon Haskett, Jefferies, Steven Madden, Morgan Stanley, Huntington, Morgan Stanley downgrades Aptiv, Piper Sandler, Piper, Davidson, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, DA Davidson, it's bullish, Oppenheimer Organizations: Services, Bank of America, Google, Leerink, SPT, Citi, JPMorgan downgrades New York Community Bancorp, JPMorgan, Jefferies, Nvidia, Crown Holdings, Holdings, Civitas Resources, Corp, Vans, VF Corp, Bank of America downgrades, York Community Bancorp, New, Apple, Apple's Locations: F24E, New York
Elanco Animal Health's decision to sell its aqua division will narrow its focus on pet health and livestock sustainability, as management prepares to launch several new products this year. ELAN 1Y mountain Elanco stock over the past year. One area it identified is pet health, a $15 billion market that has benefited from increasing pet ownership, especially among people who see their pets as family and value their animals' health care. 'Flexibility' to invest behind launches The product launches will also give Elanco a chance to prove itself. The pet health business is very competitive and, once approved, Zenrelia will compete directly with rival Zoetis' Apoquel.
Persons: Elanco, Jeff Simmons, Simmons, Credelio, Cornell University's Richard P, FactSet, Chris Schott, ELAN, Schott, Jefferies, Glen Santangelo, Eli Lilly, Jasper Hellweg, Hellweg, Zenrelia, Zoetis, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Merck, CNBC, ELAN, Riney Canine Health, JPMorgan, Argus Locations: U.S
"The market is too narrow and policy is too tight," Seaport macro strategist Victor Cossel wrote Tuesday. Cossel said the current market breadth for the S & P 500 , the Nasdaq 100 and the Russell 2000 is rolling over into the new year. Stocks have slipped to start the week after both the S & P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at fresh record highs Friday . Tech stocks have led the charge that has driven the overall market higher, boosted by earnings results from Amazon and Facebook parent Meta Platforms . But the outperformance of tech stocks may come at a price to the broader market, Cossel said.
Persons: Victor Cossel, Cossel, Russell, Eli Lilly, Jerome Powell, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Seaport Research Partners, Nasdaq, Federal, Dow Jones, Tech, Amazon, Facebook, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft
While the tech giant joins other megacap dividend payers such as Microsoft and Apple , many other large names still pay no dividend, including Alphabet and Amazon . Alphabet has estimated consensus sales growth of 11% for 2024, while Amazon has a consensus estimate of 12% sales growth. RH has a consensus estimate of 4% sales growth for 2024 and a 37% last-twelve-month buyback yield. It has a consensus estimate of 6% sales growth for 2024 and a last-twelve-month buyback yield of 9%. Lastly, Charter Communications has a consensus estimate that predicts 1% sales growth for 2024 and a last-twelve-month buyback yield of 5%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Ryan Hammond, buybacks, Hammond, Sarat Sethi, That's, Sethi, Goldman, financials, Russell, Meta's, DCLA's Sethi, RH, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Amazon, AutoZone, Communications, StreetAccount Locations: Goldman's, DCLA
Artificial intelligence took the investing world by storm in 2023, and was behind much of Big Tech's gains for the S & P 500. The S & P 500 jumped a whopping 24% or so last year, with much of the increase coming from the "Magnificent Seven." The health-care sector is one example it cited, with AI set to be used across multiple areas such as biopharma, medical devices and services. Over the long term, it will be integral to drug discovery and clinical trial design processes, Goldman said. Here are some names in its basket of long-term AI beneficiaries whose earnings per share Goldman said might get a boost from a rise in sales and margins.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, ChatGPT, , haven't, CNBC's Michael Bloom Locations: Big
Jefferies is eying a collection of stocks that could be poised for a breakout, and analysts are already increasing their earnings estimates for them. Stocks have seen higher 2024 earnings estimates over the past three months. SN YTD mountain SharkNinja stock. Analysts remain optimistic on the stock, however, with estimates rising on average by roughly 5% over the past three months. Earnings estimates have risen on average by more than 15% over the past three months.
Persons: Jefferies, Stocks, SharkNinja, Guggenheim, Steven Forbes, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal, Jefferies Equity Research, Jefferies, Wall, GMC, Chevy, Motors, Entertainment Locations: LSEG
Deutsche Bank initiates Flywire as buy Deutsche said it sees an attractive entry point for the payments company. " "We are initiating coverage of Sprinklr with a Buy rating and a $16 price target. UBS upgrades UPS to buy from neutral UBS said in its upgrade of the stock that it sees "attractive EPS growth." Deutsche Bank reiterates Disney as buy Deutsche said it's sticking with its buy rating on Disney heading into earnings on Wednesday. "We are downgrading TSLA stock rating to 3/Neutral from 2/Outperform as we see corporate governance concerns aggravating already tough financial conditions in 2024."
Persons: Rosenblatt, Sprinklr, Bernstein, Tesla, underperform Bernstein, Morgan Stanley, Apple, it's bullish, Daiwa, Piper Sandler downgrades Chegg, Piper, Myers, Redburn, Northcoast, JPMorgan Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Li Auto, Deutsche, Education, Healthcare, UBS, Disney, OI, company's, Tesla, JPMorgan, Broadcom, Bank of America, Tyson Foods, underperform Bank of America, Citi, UFC, WWE, Global Locations: McDonald's, PLTR
New York University's Aswath Damodaran said Nvidia is overpriced, even when compared with the rest of the so-called " Magnificent Seven " companies. "And today's prices, I mean, all of the stocks looked overpriced, but I think Nvidia stands out as particularly overpriced." NVDA 1D mountain Nvidia Nvidia is one of the seven stocks that have continued to rise as a group in 2024 after leading the S & P 500 in 2023. Together, the seven stocks are up about 9% for the year. Instead, Damodaran favors Apple and Tesla in the Magnificent Seven group of companies, saying they are more attractive after their recent declines.
Persons: Aswath Damodaran, Damodaran, CNBC's, it's, Tesla, Chris Verrone, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Nvidia Nvidia, Microsoft, Tesla, Apple Locations: York
Citi's target price for Mineral Resources: 71 Australian dollars ($46.8), implying nearly 20% upside. Citi's target price for Stockland: AU$5.10, or around 12% potential upside. Citi's target price for Intuitive Surgical: $428, or around 11.5% potential upside. Prosus Citi says Amsterdam-listed investment group Prosus is one of the European stocks most exposed to China and is set to be a "beneficiary of improving sentiment" to China. Citi's target price for Prosus: 42.50 euros ($46.2), implying 52.5% upside.
Persons: Stockland, Prosus, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, Mineral Resources Citi, Mineral Resources, Stockland, Prosus Citi Locations: United States, Europe, Asia, Australia, Amsterdam, China
Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs reiterates Nvidia as buy Goldman raised its price target on the stock to $800 per share from $625. "So, since our price target is > $135, we must necessarily believe that Tesla's OTHER businesses will emerge to drive upside. JPMorgan downgrades Mattel to neutral from overweight JPMorgan said in its downgrade of Mattel that the Barbie boost was short-lived for the toy company. JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as overweight JPMorgan said it's standing by top idea Amazon. " JPMorgan reiterates PayPal as overweight JPMorgan said it's standing by PayPal heading into earnings later this week.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, it's, Piper Sandler, Tesla, Piper, Riley downgrades, Redburn, TD Cowen, Smith Douglas, it's bullish, JPMorgan downgrades, Barbie, Evercore, , Moffett, Guggenheim, Davidson downgrades Clorox, cyberattack Organizations: Nvidia, Bank of America, Apple, Apple's, Vision, Tesla Energy, Cedar Fair, SIX, Citi, JPMorgan downgrades, JPMorgan, Broadband, Companies, Smith, Smith Douglas Homes, JPMorgan downgrades Mattel, Mattel, Guggenheim, Inc, DA, PayPal Locations: United States
Chinese stocks have given up much of their recent gains as investors debate whether the bottom is really in. They screened for names with more than $1 billion in capitalization and expectations for earnings growth in the next two years. Such signals come at a time when Chinese stocks have sold off sharply. Chinese stocks – whether measured by those that trade in the mainland, Hong Kong or U.S. – have fallen for more than two years. "In the past Chinese companies grew rapidly, many companies' results grew exponentially," he said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC.
Persons: Evercore, Rachel Wang, Clocktower, Ye Yuhua, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: People's Bank of China, Seng Index, Shanghai, Morningstar, CNBC, Baidu, Li Auto Locations: U.S, Beijing, Hong Kong, China, Shanghai, Guangzhou
The stablecoin market cap is growing again, which is a good sign for crypto market liquidity, but it hasn't fully recovered and could face regulatory challenges this year, according to JPMorgan. Stablecoins expanded by $60 billion between their May 2022 peak and their October 2023 low of $122 billion. But as investors anticipated the Securities and Exchange Commission's approval of spot bitcoin ETFs in the U.S., the market expanded by $9 billion between October 2023 and January 2024. This is generally a "positive sign" for crypto, according to JPMorgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. Despite bitcoin's stellar 157% gain in 2023 and nearly ideal setup for 2024, the crypto market has been struggling with low liquidity since last year.
Persons: Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Panigirtzoglou, Panigirtzaoglou, confidentially, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Securities, Exchange, U.S ., Bank, U.S Locations: U.S, Silicon, SVB, Europe, Crypto, USDC
Palo Alto Networks Analyst Hamza Fodderwala said the firm's recent security checks show cyber threats remain a top priority for IT. That bodes well for Palo Alto in 2024 and beyond, according to Fodderwala. Further, Palo Alto is better positioned for AI than investors believe, Fodderwala added. Palo Alto is scheduled to report earnings in late February. But investor skepticism remains leaving Hettenbach to pound the table for RCM shares.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, James Faucette, Faucette, Hamza Fodderwala, Fodderwala, Craig Hettenbach, Hettenbach, Docebo Organizations: CNBC, Palo Alto Locations: Palo Alto, Docebo, Tenable, Palo, Hettenbach
Goldman Sachs reiterates Amazon as buy Goldman said it's sticking with its buy rating after the company's robust earnings report on Thursday. " Bank of America reiterates Apple as buy Bank of America said investors should keep buying shares of Apple after its earnings report on Thursday. "We are downgrading the shares to HOLD and lowering our price target to $7." Bank of America reiterates Roblox as buy Bank of America said it's bullish on the stock heading into earnings next week. " Citi reiterates Disney as buy Citi said it's standing by the stock heading into earnings next week. "
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Meta, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Evercore, Oppenheimer, Baird, Wells, Roblox, it's bullish, Chipotle, it's Organizations: North America, Bank of America, Apple, Nvidia, Global Payments, Costco, Citi, Sea, Deutsche Bank downgrades New York Community Bancorp, Deutsche, New, Community Bancorp, Comerica, CMA, TFC, Barclays, Nike, Disney, UBS, ~$ $ Locations: North, China, Singapore, KeyCorp, F1Q23
The bank's Tokyo-listed shares fell for a second day, tracking losses in U.S. regional lenders overnight. Aozora Bank shares hit near three-year lows Friday, as investors continued to hammer the Japanese commercial lender after it downgraded its annual outlook to a loss on bad U.S. commercial real estate loans. "U.S. real estate lending for around 10% of (its) total lending with a CET1 ratio of below 7% due to unrealized losses on securities has no precedent." Aozora's update came shortly after U.S. regional bank New York Community Bancorp announced a surprise net loss of $252 million for the fourth quarter. "However, higher losses tied to commercial real estate office exposure, increase in criticized loans tied to multi-family CRE [commercial real estate] are a reminder of ongoing credit normalization that we are likely to witness across the industry," Bank of America U.S. banking analysts wrote.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Aozora, Masahiko Sato, Sato, NYCB, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Aozora Bank, Japan's Aozora Bank, Nikkei, Equity, SMBC Nikko Securities, New, New York Community Bancorp, Signature Bank, Bank of America, Bank of America U.S Locations: Tokyo Japan, Tokyo, U.S, New York
Microsoft, Nvidia & *now* Meta Leading in AI Era," Raymond James analyst Josh Beck said in a note to clients. META NVDA,MSFT YTD mountain MnM portfolio Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Nvidia and Tesla – referred to as the Magnificent 7 –recently replaced the popular FANG acronym coined about a decade ago. Apple shares are now down about 3% on the year and another 3% in premarket trading Friday. Now, Raymond James believes that "MnM" could take the baton from FANG and Magnificent 7 to become the next hottest tech portfolio on Wall Street. Nvidia shares have climbed another 27% this year following a whopping 238% rally last year.
Persons: FANG, Raymond James, Josh Beck, Beck, Apple, Mark Zuckerberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla, Apple Locations: China, U.S
Biotech company Arvinas could see its shares rally from a potential medium- to long-term commercial opportunity, according to Goldman Sachs. The firm initiated coverage on Arvinas with a buy rating and price target of $70. That suggests 68.7% upside potential from where shares closed Wednesday. According to analyst Paul Choi, breast cancer drug vepdegestrant (ARV-471), which is being co-developed by Arvinas and Pfizer , presents an "underappreciated" commercial opportunity. Arvinas has a "differentiated protein degrader platform that could expand several major markets," Choi wrote in a Thursday note.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Paul Choi, Arvinas, Choi, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Biotech, Arvinas, Pfizer
Investment bank Jefferies has revealed its top stock picks that are exposed to major themes like innovation, new products, and emerging markets. The investment bank forecasts Prudential shares will rise 118% to 18,000 British pence over the next 12 months. The investment bank expects Hong Kong-listed shares of Alibaba to rise to 128 Hong Kong dollars ($17), which implies an 84% upside potential. The investment bank expects shares to rise 57% over the next 12 months. The investment bank believes ASML's current valuation of 33 times forward earnings is too low since it forecasts 49% earnings growth over the next two years.
Persons: Jefferies, Prudential Jefferies, Prudential's, Anil Wadhwani, Eddie Wu, Wu, Alibaba's, Joe Dickerson, Dickerson, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Prudential, Jefferies, Hong, U.S, HSBC Jefferies, HSBC, ASML Semiconductor, DexCom Locations: U.K, Asia, China, India, Africa, Hong Kong, Alibaba
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