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London CNN —The Bank of England downgraded its forecasts for UK economic growth Thursday and kept interest rates unchanged, even as it warned that the Israel-Hamas war could push up energy prices and inflation won’t return to target for another two years. “There are increasing signs that higher interest rates are weighing on economic activity and we see that in weaker activity data and in a range of business surveys,” Governor Andrew Bailey told reporters. Inflation is still too high,” Bailey said, also pointing to the risk that the Israel-Hamas war could lift energy prices. “We will keep interest rates high enough for long enough to make sure we get inflation all the way back to the 2% target,” he added. Inflation still a concernThe Bank of England expects inflation to continue easing, but warned of risks to that outlook.
Persons: Andrew Bailey, ” Bailey, , Rishi Sunak, Bailey, , Martin Beck Organizations: London CNN —, Bank of England, The, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, of England, Office, National Statistics, The Bank of England, UK Locations: Israel, United Kingdom
Labor costs show surprise decline in the third quarter
  + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The cost of labor unexpectedly declined in the third quarter, providing at least some relief on the inflation front, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Unit labor costs, a measure of hourly compensation against productivity, fell 0.8% for the July-through-September period at a seasonally adjusted rate. On a 12-month basis, unit labor costs increased 1.9%. The developments come as the Federal Reserve is seeking to tamp down inflation through a series of interest rate increases. Continuing claims, which run a week behind, totaled 1.82 million, an increase of 35,000 and higher than the 1.81 million FactSet estimate.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve Locations: Manhattan , NY
New York CNN —US stocks soared higher again on Thursday as investors bet that the Federal Reserve’s current round of economically painful rate hikes might be over. Both the S&P 500 and Dow are on track to notch their largest weekly gains this year and the Dow closed its best day since June. Tech stocks pulled markets higher Thursday, with shares of Tesla up nearly 6.3% and shares of Nvidia up about 2.8%. While all 11 sectors of the S&P 500 were trading higher on Thursday, there were some notable outliers. Shares of Airbnb were down 3.3% after the company beat on third-quarter revenue earnings but lowered its forward guidance.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Louis Navellier Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Navellier, Associates, Labor, Labor Department, Apple, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Facebook Locations: New York
By Steve GarmhausenThe Federal Reserve’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged Wednesday means your savings accounts will continue to enjoy decades-high yields of 5% or more. The question of how long interest rates will remain robust matters to those making decisions about how to save. Savings accounts are attractive because balances are readily available for emergencies or planned expenses like a home down payment—but their interest rates can change quickly in response to Fed actions. Savings accounts vs. CDsThe best savings accounts and CDs were paying around half a percentage point of annual interest before the Fed started raising rates last spring. Safe, liquid alternatives to bank accounts include Treasury bonds—the one-year T-bill was recently yielding 5.4%—and money-market mutual funds, which yield a hair less.
Persons: Steve Garmhausen, it’s, , , James Thorne, Brooke May, Daniel Wilson, Adam Stockton ,, you’ll Organizations: Wellington, Altus Private Wealth, Fed, City Locations: Altus, Indianapolis, Ind, Auburndale
Tucker Carlson sent an email to his staff after his ousting from Fox News, a new book says. "I've never worked with better people in my life," Carlson said, according to Brian Stelter's new book. In April, Fox made the bombshell announcement that the network and Carlson "agreed to part ways." In a text message to Insider on Wednesday when asked for comment on Stelter's book and the alleged farewell email he sent to his staff, Carlson said: "Ha! "For a moment, he thought about saying yes; maybe he did want the breakup to sound mutually beneficial," Stelter says in his book, according to the published excerpt.
Persons: Tucker Carlson, I've, Carlson, Brian Stelter's, Fox, , Stelter, Stelter's, Suzanne Scott, Scott, Elon Musk's, Donald Trump, Bill O'Reilly Organizations: Fox News, Service, Fox, CNN, Fox News Media, Elon, Twitter
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a meeting of the Economic Club of New York in New York City, U.S., October 19, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 2 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The MSCI World equity index rose just over 1%, its best day since August while the Nasdaq jumped 1.6%, its fourth rise in a row, for its best day since August too. Malaysia's central bank is expected to keep its key interest rate at 3% and through 2024, despite a weakening ringgit, amid stable domestic inflation and a steady growth outlook. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, Jamie McGeever, Wall, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Evergrande, Josie Kao Organizations: Economic, of New, REUTERS, Treasury, Bank of, Nikkei, Nasdaq, South, South Korea CPI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: of New York, New York City, U.S, Malaysian, Asia, Hong Kong, South Korea, July's, Malaysia, Australia
Prices increased by 0.9% from September when they had risen by a marginal 0.1%, Nationwide said. It was the biggest monthly increase since August 2022. Economists polled by Reuters had expected prices to fall by a monthly 0.4% and by 4.8% year on year. "The uptick in house prices in October most likely reflects the fact that the supply of properties on the market is constrained," Nationwide Chief Economist Robert Gardner said. "While some buyers are able to accept higher mortgage payments, helping to prop up house prices, their number is dwindling as shown by the drop in mortgage approvals in September," Pattison said.
Persons: Robert Gardner, BoE, Gardner, Imogen Pattison, Pattison, William Schomberg, Jason Neely Organizations: Nationwide, Reuters, Royal Institution, Chartered Surveyors, Bank of England's, Capital Economics, Thomson
CHICAGO (AP) — As the first blast of wintry weather hit Chicago, dozens of migrant families without a place to live were moved off snowy city streets and into the basement of Good Shepherd Lutheran Church in a nearby suburb. The last-minute, temporary solution around 1 a.m. Wednesday, coordinated by volunteers and suburban Oak Park officials, came as Chicago has struggled to house the growing population of asylum-seekers ahead of the deep winter months. City officials have been scouting locations for winterized tents, but City Council members have criticized Johnson's administration for a lack of details. This week, the city publicized its winter efforts, including providing 16 “warming buses” at police stations during overnight hours, and winter coats for new arrivals. Last month, the city touted its partnerships with several outside organizations to provide food, clothing and hygiene items.
Persons: Brandon Johnson, , Annie Gomberg, Greg Abbott, They’re, tarps, Gleicy Martinez, ” Martinez, Johnson, Joe Biden, Ronnie Reese, Kathy Nolte, Good Shephard, , Melissa Perez Winder Organizations: CHICAGO, Good Shepherd Lutheran Church, Republican Texas Gov, Volunteer, Wednesday, Chicago, City, Associated Press Locations: Chicago, Good, Oak, Venezuela, United States, , Oak Park
An aerial view shows an oil factory of Idemitsu Kosan Co. in Ichihara, east of Tokyo, Japan November 12, 2021, in this photo taken by Kyodo. Brent January crude futures rose 0.3%, or 28 cents, to $85.30 a barrel by 0330 GMT, after falling more than 1% on Tuesday. Brent December futures settled 4 cents lower at $87.41 a barrel at the contract's expiry on Tuesday. Interest rate hikes aimed at taming inflation can slow economic growth and reduce oil demand, while rate cuts to spur spending could increase oil consumption. The Fed, which will end its meeting on Wednesday, is expected to hold rates steady, according to a poll by CME's Fedwatch tool.
Persons: Brent, Edward Moya, CME's, Goldman Sachs, Antony Blinken, Mohi Narayan, Emily Chow, Jamie Freed Organizations: Kyodo, U.S . Federal Reserve, . West Texas, Treasury, Federal, Market, American Petroleum Institute, Central Bank, Bank of England, Israel, Thomson Locations: Idemitsu, Ichihara, Tokyo, Japan, DELHI, Israel, ., U.S, Europe, China, East, Gaza, New Delhi, Singapore
Overseas sales last month by Asia's fourth-largest economy rose 5.1% year-on-year to $55.09 billion, trade data showed on Wednesday. By destination, exports to the United States gained 17.3%, the most since May 2022, while China-bound shipments fell 9.5%, the least in 13 months. Exports of cars rose 19.8%, extending gains to a 16th straight month, while petroleum products also jumped 18.0%, after seven straight months of decline. Semiconductor shipments fell for the 15th consecutive month, but the 3.1% drop in October was the smallest in the streak. In October, South Korea's factory activity contracted for the 16th straight month, but the decline in new export orders softened, another survey showed on Wednesday.
Persons: Lee Jae, Asia's, Lee Jeong, Jihoon Lee, Christian Schmollinger, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Sonali Paul Organizations: Busan New, REUTERS, Rights, Overseas, United States, Eugene Investment Securities, Trade, Thomson Locations: Busan, Busan New Port, Seoul, Rights SEOUL, United States, China, United, Israel, South
Morning Bid: Fed, financing and jobs greet November
  + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
Despite the U.S. Treasury forecasting a lower fourth-quarter borrowing need than previously flagged, the tension in the bond market remains ahead of its detailed future refinancing plans due later on Wednesday. With the Federal Reserve widely expected to hold policy rates steady again on Wednesday, the Treasury plans may end up getting more bond market attention. But U.S. consumer confidence has softened, oil prices are falling again and the overseas demand picture is weakening. Another heavy day of U.S. corporate earnings is topped by big insurers and the likes of PayPal and Kraft Heinz. On Tuesday, shares in heavy-machinery maker Caterpillar (CAT.N) sank almost 7% as signs of slowing demand overshadowed a quarterly earnings beat.
Persons: Mike Dolan, Masato Kanda, it's, Japan's, China Evergrande, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Kraft Heinz, Estee Lauder, Kraft, Ingersoll Rand, Nick Macfie Organizations: Wednesday's, Bank of Japan, Japan's Nikkei, Japan, U.S, U.S . Treasury, Federal Reserve, Treasury, HK, White House, Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation, Wall, PayPal, Kraft, Caterpillar, Edison, AIG, Prudential Financial, MetLife, Qualcomm, Mckesson, Kraft Heinz, Allstate, Congnizant, Boston Properties, Water, Garmin, CVS, Brands, Humana, Reuters Graphics Reuters, US National Retail Federation, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, United States, China, Hong Kong, San Francisco, Tokyo, Marathon, Boston
China October factory surveys disappoint, weigh on Q4 momentum
  + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5 in October from 50.6 in September, marking the first contraction since July and missing analysts' forecasts of 50.8 by a large margin. A slowdown in Chinese manufacturing will also soften China's imports. Following the release of the gloomy data, China shares (.SSEC) eased 0.15%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (.HSI) fell 0.75%. PMI surveys track business conditions and offer the first monthly snapshot of China's economic performance. New export orders for Chinese manufactured goods have shrunk for four consecutive months amid a relatively sluggish global economic climate.
Persons: China's, Hong, HSI, Bruce Pang, Jones Lang Lasalle, Goldman Sachs, Ellen Zhang, Ryan Woo, Kim Coghill, Lincoln Organizations: P Global, PMI, Manufacturers, London Metal Exchange, Jones, Goldman, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, Japan, South Korea, China, Guangzhou
The US economy is surging, with growth coming in at a hotter-than-expected 4.9% for the third quarter. But problems elsewhere could still be bad news for big US companies, including Apple and Tesla. China's slowing economy and the war between Israel and Hamas are both potential headwinds, according to analysts. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe China challengeThat's bad news for mega-cap US firms such as Apple and Tesla, which count the Asian nation as a major market. On balance, risks to global growth continue to be skewed to the downside," the International Monetary Fund said in its Global Financial Stability report published last month.
Persons: , Ukraine — that's, headwinds, Goldman Sachs, GfK, Michael Field, it's, Tom Donilon, Susan Li, Li Organizations: Apple, Service, Nvidia, Intel, Nike, China —, Morningstar Research, stoke, of America, DuPont, Procter, Gamble, International Monetary Fund Locations: Israel, China, Ukraine, Beijing, BlackRock, Iran
Asian stocks stutter ahead of Fed, frail yen in focus
  + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Passersby are reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. "Once again market players have been left frustrated by the lack of urgency shown by the BOJ, and either closed yen longs or flipped into outright yen shorts." The yen strengthened 0.27% to 151.26 per dollar following the comments but remained close to one-year lows of 151.74 it touched on Tuesday. FED AWAITSOvernight, Wall Street's main indexes ended higher, with investors looking ahead to the Fed policy decision later in the day, when the central bank is expected to stand pat on interest rates. Oil prices inched higher ahead of the Fed decision, with the market keeping a close eye on the latest developments in the Israel-Hamas conflict.
Persons: Issei Kato, HSI, Chris Weston, Masato Kanda, Jerome Powell, Erik Weisman, Powell, Sterling, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Japan's Nikkei, China, Bank of, ING, Traders, MFS Investment Management, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Rights SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Israel
Summer Science Program, a nonprofit with an annual budget of about $2 million, sent about 200 high school juniors to six-week intensive research courses at universities this year. Summer Science Program learned last year that one of its alumni, Franklin Antonio, a co-founder of chipmaker Qualcomm, had granted the organization 20% of his estate, said CEO Frank Steslow. The program intends to double the number of students enrolled next summer to more than 400 and increased its annual budget to over $7 million. Summer Science Program has already received a first payment of $65 million, and the funds are unrestricted. But he added, “it seems unusual at first until you realize that the organization itself is almost like a gift restriction, because they’re very specific in what they do,” referring to Summer Science Program.
Persons: Franklin Antonio, Frank Steslow, ” Steslow, Antonio, Steslow, MacKenzie Scott, Jeff Bezos, Scott, Gabrielle Fitzgerald, Fitzgerald, Russell James, ” James, James, Joan B Organizations: Science, Science Program, Qualcomm, Indiana University ,, Indiana University , Bloomington , New Mexico State University, Las, University of Colorado, Panorama, Global's, Texas Tech University, Salvation Army, National Public, Lilly Endowment Inc, AP Locations: Indiana University , Bloomington , New, Las Cruces, University of Colorado Boulder
China rate scare reminds watchdogs of hidden risks
  + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Chan Ka Sing | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Overnight borrowing rates for some Chinese financial institutions spiked to 50% on Tuesday, according to official interbank data, far in excess of the average rate of roughly 3.6%. In 2012, a national audit confirmed that local governments had amassed up to 10 trillion yuan in debts. Those have since swelled to 92 trillion yuan, per Reuters. The latest liquidity squeeze is a reminder that short-term dangers will complicate any attempts at more drastic surgery on China’s financial system. CONTEXT NEWSOvernight borrowing costs for some Chinese financial institutions jumped to as high as 50% on Oct. 31.
Persons: Xi Jinping’s, Xi Jinping, Li Qiang, Peter Thal Larsen, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Traders, People’s Bank of, Financial Work, Central Financial Work Conference, Xinhua News Agency, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, People’s Bank of China, Beijing
The uneven nature of economic activity in turn makes it a challenge to assess the likely toll on emissions in the world's largest polluter. RIPPLE EFFECTIn addition to retail sales and factory output data, statistics on China's air travel volumes also offer a gauge on broader economic activity and emissions potential. In turn, greater emissions from both the airlines themselves as well as from China's world-leading refining sector can also be expected. China’s exports of an array of goods – from toys to diesel – are risingThe pace of some of those exports may slow over the near term if China's domestic demand improves and helps tighten producer inventories. But if greater output in China helps to depress goods prices, then international consumer demand can be expected to recover, which may further boost China's economic recovery, as well as the emissions that go with it.
Persons: Thomas Peter, Gavin Maguire, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, National Energy Administration, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Wu'an, Hebei province, China, LITTLETON , Colorado, Beijing
CNBC Daily Open: Market bounce may not last
  + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The BOJ also revised its inflation outlook for Japan higher, forecasting core CPI to hit 2.8% and 1.7% for the fiscal years 2024 and 2025. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at the close of its two-day meeting Wednesday. But the Fed has been notoriously off the mark when it comes to predictions about monetary policy, writes CNBC's Jeff Cox.
Persons: Elon Musk, Jeff Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow, Industrial, China's, Bank of Japan, Samsung Electronics, Panasonic, Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, Asia, Pacific, China's Shanghai, Japan
The Education Department fined for-profit Grand Canyon University $37 million over accusations of misleading behavior. It said Grand Canyon mispresented the costs of its doctoral programs, leading to high student debt. AdvertisementAdvertisementA major for-profit school just got hit with a fine over accusations of misleading thousands of its students. A senior department official told reporters on a Tuesday press call that this is the largest penalty the Education Department has ever enforced on a school. "Rather than the Department protecting students, we are being forced to protect our students from this targeted and unwarranted government overreach."
Persons: , Joe Biden's, GCU, Richard Cordray, GCU's, Aaron Ament, they'll Organizations: Education Department, Canyon University, Service, Joe Biden's Education Department, Grand Canyon University, Federal, Aid, Department, Federal Student Aid, The Education Department, University of Phoenix, Student Defense, of Education
REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 1 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. But Asian markets' first chance to react to that will be Thursday. But if the yuan is under pressure, it is nothing compared to the onslaught Japan's yen is facing. The currency and bond market reactions to the BOJ's policy tweak could not have been more different - the yen fell the most since April, while Japanese bond yields surged to a fresh decade-high. World, U.S. and Asian stocks all fell for a third month in a row, bond yields surged and financial conditions tightened significantly.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Jamie McGeever, China's Organizations: National Printing Bureau, Bank of Japan, REUTERS, U.S . Federal, U.S, Treasury, PMI, Tuesday, China PMI, Indonesia CPI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, India, South Korea, Indonesia, Korean, Hong Kong, China
European markets are heading for a mixed open as investors look ahead to key data releases in the region, particularly preliminary euro zone inflation data for October and gross domestic product for the third quarter. Yesterday, German gross domestic product recorded a 0.1% quarterly fall, slightly better than the 0.3% decline forecast in a Reuters poll of economists. Inflation in the country was at an estimated 3.8% for October, the lowest since August 2021. Overnight in Asia-Pacific markets, Japan stocks trimmed losses after the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision, while other regional markets fell as manufacturing activity unexpectedly contracted in China. Meanwhile, U.S. stock futures edged lower early on Tuesday after the major averages climbed in a relief rally.
Organizations: Bank Locations: EU, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China
Growth in the eurozone contracted unexpectedly this summer, as rising interest rates cooled momentum in Germany and France, the region’s two biggest economies, Europe’s statistics agency reported Tuesday. The downturn reflected the challenges facing policymakers at the European Central Bank, who last week paused their campaign of interest rate increases to fight inflation amid signs the region’s economy has weakened. Data showed the eurozone’s inflation rate in October eased to 2.9 percent, another sign of the impact of the central bank’s higher interest rates. Compared with a year ago, economic growth was up just 0.1 percent. Europe’s anemic growth pace is in sharp contrast to the United States, where the economy has surged despite a steep hike in interest rates by Federal Reserve to tame inflation.
Organizations: European Central Bank, Data, Federal Reserve, Gross Locations: Germany, France, United States
China Daily via REUTERS/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Oct 31 (Reuters) - China's manufacturing activity unexpectedly contracted in October, an official factory survey showed on Tuesday, underlining the challenge facing policymakers trying to engineer a durable economic recovery. Recent indicators pointed to encouraging signs of stabilising in the world's second-largest economy, supported by a flurry of policy support measures, although a protracted property crisis and soft global demand remain major headwinds. "Although there are signs of exports bottoming out, a strong recovery in external demand is probably elusive," he added. But analysts say more policy support may be needed to ensure the economy reaches Beijing's annual growth target of about 5%. "The additional 1 trillion yuan will help in November and December," Economist Intelligence Unit's Xu said.
Persons: Xu Tianchen, Dan Wang, Nomura, Unit's Xu, Joe Cash, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, National Bureau, Statistics, PMI, Economist Intelligence Unit, Hang Seng Bank China, JPMorgan, Moody's, Thomson Locations: Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China, Rights BEIJING
Hong Kong CNN —China’s massive manufacturing sector has contracted once again amid weak demand, fueling calls for stronger policy support to boost growth. Fewer working days in October due to the Golden Week holiday, which spanned September 29 to October 6, affected the manufacturing PMI, according to the NBS. “The unexpected decline of manufacturing PMI shows the recovery in China is a bumpy road as domestic demand is still quite weak,” said Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist for Pinpoint Asset Management. The NBS survey showed that new factory orders declined in October from the previous month, pointing to a drop in demand. Overall, “the weak PMI reinforces the case for stronger fiscal policy support,” Zhang said.
Persons: , Zhiwei Zhang, ” Zhang, Xi Jinping, , Zhaopeng Xing Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, National Bureau of Statistics, PMI, Nomura, Authorities, ANZ Research, Bank of Locations: Hong Kong, China, Beijing, Hangzhou, Liuzhou, Bank of China
Six of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors were trading lower, with information technology (.SPLRCT) leading losses. Pfizer's shares (PFE.N) fell 1.5% after the drugmaker reported its first quarterly loss since 2019. U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month in the red, with the S&P 500 (.SPX) and the Nasdaq (.IXIC) on course for their worst October since 2018. The Fed kicks off a two-day monetary policy meeting on Tuesday. The Fed's commentary on Wednesday would be crucial in assessing how long monetary policy could stay restrictive amid recent signs of economic strength.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Andrew Hunter, Amruta Khandekar, Shashwat Chauhan, Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Shounak Dasgupta, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Corp, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Nvidia, Microsoft, Caterpillar, Chicago PMI, Capital Economics, Dow Jones, PDD Holdings, VF Corp, Vans, Arista Networks, Sarepta Therapeutics, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Bengaluru
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