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The move prompted Wall Street giants Barclays and Citi to adopt a more optimistic stance on global cyclical stocks. Barclays believes the Federal Reserve's actions are "clearly designed to pull out all the stops to achieve a soft landing" for the economy. Barclays strategists noted that "cyclicals typically rebounded steadily after the Fed started its rate cut cycle ... as long as it was not followed by a recession." Citi strategists share a similar outlook for European stocks. "The scale of the downgrades has become so extreme of late that we're now approaching a point where negative ERI may be a useful contrarian indicator," the Citi strategists said.
Persons: Emmanuel Cau, Beata Manthey, we're, Safran, Atlas, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Barclays, Citi, Fed, Siemens, BBVA, ING, Holcim, ASM Locations: United States
A box of Ozempic made by Novo Nordisk is seen at a pharmacy in London, Britain March 8, 2024. Novo Nordisk 's blockbuster diabetes drug Ozempic may decrease the risk of opioid overdoses in certain patients, demonstrating its potential as an alternative treatment for opioid use disorder, according to a new study released Wednesday. The active ingredient in Ozempic, semaglutide, was associated with a "significantly lower" opioid overdose risk than other diabetes medications in people diagnosed with both Type 2 diabetes and opioid use disorder, said the paper published in JAMA Network Open. Around 3,000 people were prescribed semaglutide injections, while the remaining patients received treatments that ranged from insulins to older GLP-1s for diabetes. That reflects a 58% lower risk of opioid overdose in patients who took semaglutide, Xu said.
Persons: Dr, Rong Xu, Eli Lilly, Lilly's, Xu Organizations: Novo Nordisk, JAMA, Case Western Reserve University, Centers for Disease Control, National Center for Drug, U.S, National Institutes of Health, Novo Nordisk's Victoza Locations: London, Britain, Novo
Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 265 shares of META, decreasing its weighting to 4.4% from 4.56%. As a result, the market is now overbought, with the S & P Short-Range Oscillator climbing to 7.36% as of Tuesday's close. (Anything above a plus 4% indicates the market is overbought; anything below a minus 5% indicates the market is oversold.) META YTD mountain Meta Platforms YTD We're inclined to do some profit-taking. We upgraded Meta shares to a 1 rating on Aug. 2, and they are up roughly 17% since then.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, it's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Danaher, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Justice, Google, CNBC Locations: China
The UK announced on Tuesday that it was sending 700 troops to Cyprus to prepare for a possible emergency evacuation of British citizens from Lebanon if one becomes necessary. The US State Department has also repeatedly warned US citizens to leave Lebanon while commercial travel options are still available. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Wednesday that the US is “working tirelessly” on diplomatic efforts to prevent an “full-blown war” between Israel and Lebanon. A US official told CNN on Monday that “we are the closest we’ve been to spiraling to a regional war” since Hamas’ October 7 attack. Tehran has not intervened yet, but they will if they believe they are about to lose their most powerful proxy force, Hezbollah, the official added.
Persons: Pat Ryder, Yiannis Antoniou, , Keir Starmer, Israel, Antony Blinken, ” Blinken Organizations: CNN, Hezbollah, Pentagon, Reuters, British, US State Department, Ramat David, Wednesday, Israel Defense Forces, Gulf Cooperation Council, UN, Assembly Locations: Cyprus, Israel, Lebanon, Beirut, Ramat, Haifa, Tel Aviv, Gulf, New York, Iran, Tehran
Read previewBuying a home could get much more affordable, but Americans might have to wait a while. AdvertisementHere's how Goldman Sachs expects this to play out. To be sure, predicting the future of the US housing market is no easy task, and housing affordability levels will continue to vary by city and state. But if Goldman Sachs is right — and these three developments come to pass in line with the bank's projections — buying a home could become much more affordable for Americans. Viswanathan said Goldman Sachs expects US home prices to rise 4.4% in 2025, up from a 3.2% projection in April.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Vinay Viswanathan, Viswanathan, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve
China's new stimulus measures helped boost Bernard Arnault's net worth by $6.2 billion in a day. LVMH shares surged 4% on the news. Bernard Arnault, the chairman of LVMH, saw his net worth soar $6.2 billion on Tuesday, according to data from Bloomberg, as shares of the luxury goods maker surged 4%. At one point in March, Arnault was the richest person in the world, but since the start of the year, he slipped in the net worth rankings as LVMH stock struggled and a huge mega-cap tech rally boosted the net worth of tech CEOs. AdvertisementArnault's net worth now stands at $183 billion, just ahead of Oracle cofounder Larry Ellison's $179 billion and behind the $200+ billion fortunes of Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, and Elon Musk.
Persons: Bernard Arnault's, , Bernard Arnault, Arnault, Louis Vuitton, LVMH, Pan Gongsheng, Larry Ellison's, Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk Organizations: Consumers, Service, Bloomberg, Dior, Tiffany, TAG Heuer, People's Bank of China, Oracle Locations: China
Read previewIt's official: The labor market vibes are not great. It's the largest tumble in sentiment since August 2021 — and workers' experiences with and expectations for the labor market are partially to blame. A weaker jobs market — although one that's still historically strong — is warping Americans' beliefs about the economy. Even so, though, it'll take a little while for new monetary policy to trickle into daily life and the labor market. Are you having trouble finding a job, or is the job market making you feel bad?
Persons: , It's, Jerome Powell, Wells, Shannon Seery Grein, Jeremiah Kohl, Dana M, Peterson, it'll, Julia Pollak Organizations: Service, Conference, Business, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, Conference Board's, New York Federal Reserve's Survey, Consumer, Survey, Labor
While housing affordability remains a challenge for many buyers in the U.S., conditions are somewhat improving due to lower mortgage rates. Buyers need to earn $115,000 to afford the typical home in the U.S., according to a new report by Redfin, an online real estate brokerage firm. Both declines stem from lower mortgage rates, said Daryl Fairweather, chief economist at Redfin. "The only reason mortgage payments are down is because of the rate effect," Fairweather said. While housing overall continues to be unaffordable for most buyers, "this is as good as it gets," said Orphe Divounguy, senior economist at Zillow, as the market is generally seeing lower mortgage rates, more inventory and low buyer competition.
Persons: Redfin, Daryl Fairweather, Freddie Mac, Fairweather, Orphe Divounguy Organizations: Finance, Federal Reserve, Vanguard Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's inflation fight may be a bigger battle than we thought, says Morgan Stanley's Jim LacampJim Lacamp, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management senior portfolio manager, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the market's fundamentals, what Lacamp is telling clients about equities, and if it was wrong for the Federal Reserve to cut rates by half a percentage point.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Jim Lacamp Jim Lacamp, Morgan Organizations: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Federal Reserve
Fintech stocks have been in a rut since 2021. Wolfe Research technical strategist Rob Ginsberg pointed out the Global X FinTech ETF (FINX) is close to reaching the $30 level for the first time since 2022. The FINX ETF illustrates this well. This year, the ETF has made some progress, rising more than 9%, as the Fed begins its policy easing campaign. FINX mountain 2021-11-01 FINX since Nov. 2021 A breakout could have broader implications outside of fintech.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, It's, Tim Long, HPE Organizations: Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow Jones, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Barclays, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Juniper Networks Locations: fintech
Gold touches record high on rate-cut bets, weaker U.S. dollar
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars sit in a vault at the Perth Mint Refinery, operated by Gold Corp, in Perth, Australia, on August 9, 2018. Gold hit a record high on Wednesday, boosted by a softer U.S. dollar and hopes of more interest rate cuts, while investors looked for new signals for the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory. Spot gold was steady at $2,658.08 per ounce, as of 0557 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,670.43 earlier. On Tuesday, China announced a slew of support measures including outsized rate cuts, after the U.S. Fed cut rates by 50 basis points last week. Inflows to gold exchange-traded funds, particularly from Western investors, will rise in the coming months, providing further support for record-high bullion prices, analysts said.
Persons: Gold, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, Wong, Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell's, heightening Organizations: Perth Mint Refinery, Gold Corp, U.S, Fed, Asia Pacific, Traders Locations: Perth, Australia, China, Beirut
GM was lowered to underweight from equal weight, with the price target cut to $42 from $47. Additionally, Jonas lowered his rating on EV maker Rivian to equal weight from overweight, cutting his price target to $13 from $16. F GM 5D mountain F and GM fall Ford Motor shares have struggled in 2024, losing more than 10%. These headwinds, coupled with "peak earnings" and electric vehicle and regulatory risks, will also send GM shares lower. On Rivian, Jonas said, "The downgrade reflects our incorporation of the capital intensity of [autonomous vehicles] which may be required to fulfill the technological underpinnings that attracted Volkswagen as a JV partner."
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Ford, Jonas, Rivian Organizations: U.S, Ford Motor, General Motors, GM, Rivian, Ford, Volkswagen, Magna International, Federal Locations: China
The rally in US stocks took a breather on Wednesday as traders looked ahead to coming economic data. Major indexes wobbled and bond yields were slightly higher. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Major stock averages pulled back slightly after notching a series of record-highs since last week's rate cut, while bond yields edged up slightly. "Traders will be curious to hear more thoughts on the rate cut and any guidance on further monetary policy easing."
Persons: , Powell, Hogan, Riley Wealth Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, US Treasury Market Conference, Federal
Lee cites declining margin debt and a dovish Fed as key resons to be bullish on stocks. "We really haven't seen tops until margin debt actually starts to really rollover," Lee said. That "firepower" refers to the fact that FINRA margin debt declined in August to $797 billion, well below its October 2021 peak of $936 billion. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 surged 14% in the first half of 2024, putting this into play. The data shows that since 1950, the S&P 500 has delivered an average second-half gain of 9.8% under such circumstances, with an 83% win ratio.
Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, , Tom Lee, there's, Lee crunched, Volcker Organizations: Fed, Service, Federal Reserve
Gold, traditionally perceived as a haven, has climbed roughly 30% this year, outperforming the benchmark S&P 500 index’s 20% gain. Fresh consumer confidence data on Tuesday indicated that Americans are feeling pessimistic about the US economy and future of the job market. JPMorgan Chase researchers said in a note on Monday that they expect the yellow metal to continue running toward their 2025 target price of $2,850 an ounce as the Fed brings down rates. Silver, another precious metal that tends to move in tandem with gold, has jumped roughly 34% this year, outperforming the yellow metal. New moves from China to revive its economy also has the potential to lift precious metals, said Rhind.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Kristina Hooper, JPMorgan Chase, “ There’s, Will Rhind, Rhind Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Traders, JPMorgan, Treasury, GraniteShares, Citi Locations: New York, China, Turkey, India, China’s
Australian, New Zealand dollars scale new highs on China boost
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
An Australian one-hundred dollar banknote, top, and a New Zealand one-hundred dollar banknote are arranged for a photograph in Hong Kong, China, on Thursday, March 13, 2014. The Australian and New Zealand dollars scaled multi-month peaks on Wednesday while sterling hit its highest in more than two years against a weaker dollar, as China's aggressive stimulus package provided the latest shot in the arm for risk appetite. Data on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly fell in September, amid mounting worries over the health of the labor market. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar last stood at 100.28, languishing near a more than one-year low of 100.21. The dollar index had fallen more than 0.5% in the previous session, its largest one-day percentage fall in a month.
Persons: Sterling, Carol Kong, Wells Organizations: New, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, greenback, Markets Locations: Australian, New Zealand, Hong Kong, China, Bank of England, U.S, Wells Fargo
The Chinese yuan has weakened sharply against the U.S. dollar in the last several weeks as the greenback strengthens and investors worry about China's economic growth. China's yuan hit its strongest level in over 16 months on Wednesday after Beijing unveiled a slate of stimulus measures to shore up the slowing economy on Tuesday. The Chinese offshore yuan strengthened briefly to 6.9946 per dollar, the strongest since May 2023. China's onshore yuan is currently trading at 7.0319 against the greenback, also holding at the strongest levels since last May. China bonds rallied after the PBOC announcement with 10-year and 30-year yields hitting record lows.
Persons: Ben Emons, Edmund Goh, Zerlina Zeng, CreditSights, Pan Gongsheng, Emons, Hong, — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: U.S, Beijing, greenback, Fed Watch, BNP, U.S ., Asia Credit, People's Bank of China Gov, CSI Locations: China, abrdn, Hong Kong, London, Singapore, New York
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. How much will oil demand grow? Oil demand will experience "robust medium-term growth," reaching 112.3 million barrels per day in 2029 from 102.2 million barrels per day in 2023, according to OPEC's 2024 World Oil Outlook report. The International Energy Agency thinks oil demand will level off at 106 million barrels per day by the end of the decade.
Persons: Stocks, Consumer's, September's, Dow, Goldman, Denis Coleman, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, U.S . Federal, JPMorgan, International Energy Agency
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOECD chief economist: Still see a very strong, resilient economy in the U.S.OECD Chief Economist Alvaro Pereira says that whilst there is a slight slowdown in the U.S. economy, it still remains strong and resilient with very good labor market indicators. Pereira also said lower inflation stateside gives margins to further rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in the coming months.
Persons: Alvaro Pereira, Pereira Organizations: OECD, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
The average American has thousands of dollars of credit card debt. As a whole, Americans hold a record $1.14 trillion in credit card debt as of the second quarter of this year, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's August report. "Credit card debt is easy to get into and hard to get out of," Rossman says. Carrying credit card debt can cost youCarrying a balance from month to month can make your credit card debt more expensive in the long run due to accruing interest. How to pay off your credit card debt
Persons: Ted Rossman, Bankrate, Rossman, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, CNBC Locations: LendingTree
The board’s Consumer Confidence Index slid to 98.7, down from 105.6 in August, the biggest one-month decline since August 2021. By contrast, the index had a reading of 132.6 in February 2020, a month before the Covid pandemic hit. Each of the five components the organization samples fared worse on the month, with the biggest fall coming among those aged 35-54 and earning less than $50,000. “Consumers’ assessments of current business conditions turned negative while views of the current labor market situation softened further. Consumers were also more pessimistic about future labor market conditions and less positive about future business conditions and future income,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board.
Persons: Dow, , Dana Peterson, Stocks, ” Peterson Organizations: Conference Board, Treasury, Federal Reserve
A national interest rate cap requires CongressUnder current federal law, nationwide limits on credit card interest rates are scarce, consumer advocates say. Likewise, federal credit unions are typically restricted to an 18% interest rate on their credit cards. “A president cannot set a cap on credit card interest rates,” said Rust. A 10% interest rate cap could backfireFinancial experts on both sides of the debate expressed concerns that a 10% interest rate cap could backfire on consumers in various ways. “Otherwise, it is a game of whack-a-mole.”In 2022, credit card issuers charged $14 billion in late fees, he noted.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , Kamala Harris, It’s, Trump’s, Ted Rossman, ” Rossman, Karoline Leavitt, ” Harris hasn’t, Biden, Adam Rust, Rust, , ” Rust, Lauren Saunders, Nicholas Anthony, they’re, ” Anthony, Rossman, Saunders, “ Banks Organizations: Social Security, Republican, Democratic, Federal, Bankrate, CNBC, Consumer Financial, Consumer Federation of America, Bank Act, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Consumer Financial Protection, National Consumer Law, Cato Institute’s Center, Monetary, Bureau, U.S . Chamber of Commerce Locations: New York, South Dakota, Delaware, Utah, U.S, Bankrate
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week’s half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite. In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed’s twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment. Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week’s meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Organizations: Federal Locations: Kentucky
Lynn Song, chief economist for greater China ING, called the repo rate cut announcement “the most important” move made during the news conference. “If we see a large fiscal policy push as well, momentum could recover heading into the fourth quarter.”The headquarters of the People’s Bank of China in Beijing. During his first news conference as central bank governor in January, Pan said the PBOC would cut the reserve requirement ratio. Unlike the Fed’s focus on a main interest rate, the PBOC uses a variety of rates to manage monetary policy. Pan has indicated he would like the 7-day rate to become the main policy rate.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Lynn Song, , , Jiang Qiming, ” Edmund Goh, Goldman Sachs, Li Yunze, Li, Nomura Organizations: People’s Bank of China Gov, China ING, , U.S . Federal Reserve, People’s Bank of China, China News Service, Getty, Pan, National Financial Regulatory Administration Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing, abrdn
"Today's policy measures are bold by historical standards," Betty Wang, the lead economist at Oxford Economics, wrote in a note on Tuesday. Stimulus measures don't address consumptionDespite the fanfare, analysts are divided over whether the moves that ease monetary policy constitute a massive "bazooka" stimulus. AdvertisementMost say the monetary easing policies don't address the lack of confidence contributing to depressed consumer spending. China has pulled out multiple support measures this year to shore up its economy and stock markets, but any kneejerk optimism has been shortlived. Advertisement"Overall, we feel today's measures are a step in the right direction, especially as multiple measures have been announced together rather than spacing out individual piecemeal measures to a more limited effect," Lynn Song, the Greater China chief economist at ING bank, wrote on Tuesday.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Betty Wang, Wang, it's, Nomura, Lynn Song Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Analysts, Oxford Economics, CSI, Nomura, ING Locations: Beijing, China, Greater China
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