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Stock Market Today: What to Watch
  + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Index futures are nudging higher as the week gets under way. Earnings season continues after Friday's rush of bank earnings, with Charles Schwab and State Street due to post results before the market opens Monday. What we're reading:
European markets are heading for a higher open Monday as investors look ahead to a major earnings week on Wall Street that will shed more light on the state of the U.S. economy. U.S. financials are in focus at the start of the week, with Charles Schwab reporting quarterly earnings on Monday, Bank of America on Tuesday and Morgan Stanley on Wednesday. Investors have been keeping a close eye on the banking sector after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank last month spurred a liquidity crisis. Wall Street futures ticked higher on Sunday, while Asia-Pacific traded mixed overnight.
SHANGHAI, CHINA - MARCH 7, 2023 - The Oriental Pearl Tower, Shanghai Tower, Jinmao Tower and World Financial Center are seen on Lujiazui Street, Shanghai, China, March 7, 2023. Asia-Pacific traded mixed on Monday, as Wall Street looks ahead to another major earnings week, including the likes of Charles Schwab, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley. The quarterly earnings reports would shed light into the overall health of the financial sector in the U.S. following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and how that would shape the U.S. Federal Reserve's tightening cycle. China's gross domestic product report is slated to be released on Tuesday, with economists polled by Reuters expecting to see a 4% rise year-on-year for the first quarter of 2023, higher than the final quarter of last year. That would mark the biggest rise in nearly a year.
U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Monday as investors assessed the outlook for the U.S. economy after last week's economic data suggested inflation could be easing and as bank earnings season continues. ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was down by less than a basis point to 3.5166%. The 2-year Treasury yield remained above 4% and was trading at 4.1139% after rising by over one basis point. The 2-year Treasury yield breached the key 4% level on Friday even though data published throughout the week indicated that inflationary pressures could be easing. The central bank had previously hinted that if data suggested a cooling of the economy, rate increases may be halted shortly.
Futures subdued as investors eye bank earnings, Fed cues
  + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
SummarySummary Companies Futures up: Dow 0.07%, S&P 0.10%, Nasdaq 0.01%April 17 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were largely flat on Monday as investors awaited more bank earnings and views from Federal Reserve policymakers that could shape expectations around when the central bank will pause its monetary policy tightening. Wall Street ended lower on Friday as a barrage of mixed economic data appeared to affirm another Fed interest rate hike in May, dampening investor enthusiasm after a series of big U.S. bank earnings launched the first-quarter reporting season. U.S. central bank officials including New York Fed President John Williams and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester are scheduled to speak later this week. ET (1230 GMT) is expected to show business conditions in New York state improved in April after slumping in the previous month. ET, Dow e-minis were up 24 points, or 0.07%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.10%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 1 point, or 0.01%.
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCharles Schwab is guiding lower and their stock is stabilizing, says JMP Securities' Devin RyanDevin Ryan, JMP Securities senior research analyst, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Charles Schwab's modest earnings beat and more.
Three investors on how to protect your portfolio
  + stars: | 2023-04-16 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
New York CNN —Wall Street has been hit with a barrage of complex signals about the economy’s health over the past month. From banking turmoil to weakening jobs data to slowing inflation, and now the start of earnings season, investors have remained largely resilient. So, how should investors protect their portfolios? Investors say there isn’t one asset that Wall Street should pile all their bets on, but there are fundamentals that should underlie their investment strategies. Doug Fincher, portfolio manager at Ionic Capital Management, says investors should brace their portfolios against inflation.
Tuesday Johnson & Johnson is set to report earnings before the open, followed by a call with management at 8:30 a.m. Goldman Sachs is set to report earnings before the open, followed by a call at 9:30 a.m. What history shows: Bespoke data shows Goldman tops earnings expectations 86% of the time. Netflix is set to report earnings after the bell, followed by a call with management at 6 p.m. Friday Procter & Gamble is set to report earnings before the open, with a conference call also slated for 8:30 a.m.
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on March 15, 2023 in New York City. Wall Street futures ticked higher on Sunday, with investors eying the health of corporate America ahead of a crucial earnings week. Futures tied to the S&P 500 gained 0.2%, or 7 points, while Nasdaq-100 futures added 0.1%. Trader attention will turn toward an important week of quarterly earnings reports from financials, including Charles Schwab on Monday, Bank of America on Tuesday and Morgan Stanley on Wednesday. The Dow was positive overall last week for the fourth straight time, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both had their fourth week in the green in five.
Corporate earnings won't have to share the spotlight with major inflation data in the week ahead as they did during this past week's up-and-down market. From Morgan Stanley, we suspect Friday's bank earnings foreshadow a good release. This past week, we spoke about the importance of listening to what industry players aside from those you're invested in as a way to analyze the competitive landscape. Here are some of those other earnings reports and the economic numbers out in the week ahead. Club trades of the week We made just one trade this past week, in a market that was overbought , purchasing 25 shares of Palo Alto Networks (PANW).
Companies in the consumer discretionary spending sector reporting next week include Tesla Inc (TSLA.O), Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) and AutoNation Inc (AN.N). Reuters GraphicsGrowing recession fears over the last year have already prompted many consumer discretionary companies to cut costs to boost margins, which may lead to positive earnings surprises this quarter, Melson said. Part of that expected growth comes from a job market that has remained robust, helping buoy consumer spending, said Jamie Cox, managing partner for Harris Financial Group. Meanwhile, U.S. consumer sentiment inched up in April, but households expected inflation to rise over the next 12 months. Sandy Villere, a portfolio manager at Villere & Co, has winnowed his holdings of consumer discretionary stocks in anticipation of a recession later this year.
Wells Fargo fared less favorably, down 0.3%, and regional banks including Zions (ZION.O) and First Republic (FRC.N) fell. Net interest income, a measure of how much a bank earns from lending, surged 49% to $20.8 billion. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo set aside $1.21 billion in the quarter to cover for potential loan losses, compared to a release of $787 million a year earlier. "While most consumers remain resilient, we've seen some consumer financial health trends gradually weakening from a year ago," Mike Santomassimo, Wells Fargo finance chief, told analysts. More banking results are due over the coming week, including Bank of America (BAC.N) and Goldman Sachs (GS.N) on Tuesday and Morgan Stanley (MS.N) on Wednesday.
A top investor in Charles Schwab sold its entire stake amid turmoil in the banking sector in March. GQG told the Financial Times it had ditched its $1.4 billion stake in the lender. A top investor in Charles Schwab dumped its entire $1.4 billion stake as the brokerage fell victim to turmoil in the banking sector, according to the Financial Times. "With all the inflows to money-market funds Charles Schwab is losing deposits revenue," said Barker. Like SVB, Charles Schwab pumped billions of dollars into US Treasury securities at a time when interest rates were near-zero levels.
Next week's market action could be dictated by how well the latest quarterly reports from corporate America are received. Expectations about the immediate earnings outlook have been down for so long, the actual numbers themselves could look like up to investors. Earnings for all financials in the S & P 500 are actually expected to expand in the first quarter by 4.3%. ET: NAHB Housing Market Index (April) Earnings: Charles Schwab, M & T Bank, State Street, J.B. Hunt Transport Tuesday 8:30 a.m. ET: Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker speaks on the economic outlook Earnings: AT & T, American Express, D.R.
Here are Friday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating on the stock. "Our Buy rating is based on: 1) positive feedback from our proprietary Sleep survey that points to healthy underlying US volumes, 2) lingering pent-up demand due to US staffing shortages." William Blair reiterates Charles Schwab as outperform William Blair said it's standing by its outperform rating on the stock heading into earnings next week. Barclays reiterates Disney as equal weight Barclays said it sees slowing streaming growth heading into Disney earnings in early May. " Stifel reiterates Microsoft as buy Stifel said it's standing by its buy rating on Microsoft heading into earnings later this month.
Retail traders are beginning to buy the dip in some financial stocks that were hit hard during the banking crisis, according to JPMorgan. Strategist Peng Cheng said in a note to clients Wednesday evening that, while retail traders are pulling back from individual stocks in general, two financial names are surprisingly popular: Charles Schwab and Truist . "At the single stock level, retail traders net sold -$1.8B this past week. However, half of Wall Street analysts who cover Truist have a hold rating on the stock, according to Refinitiv. The majority of analysts who cover Schwab have a buy or strong buy rating on the stock, according to Refinitiv.
The inflation data came on the heels of last Friday's employment report, which showed a solid pace of job growth in March and the unemployment rate falling back to 3.5%. In Europe, stock markets rose after the U.S. data and the broad STOXX 600 index was last up 0.5% (.STOXX) and holding near one-month highs. BONDS UP, DOLLAR DOWNU.S. bonds yields fell after the CPI numbers. Rate-sensitive two-year Treasury yields were last down 12 basis points at 3.93% , while U.S. 10-year yields fell 6 bps to 3.37%. The dollar fell with an index measuring the U.S. currency against six rivals down 0.4% at 101.72.
US March CPI comes in on the cool side
  + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Year to date, the CPI increased 5.0%, the smallest 12-month gain since May 2021. "The data was a little bit better than what was expected, so that tells me that the bond market is saying that the probability of this next rate hike has decreased just a little bit." "The other number that's important is the PPI number that comes out this week. That will probably change a little bit today as people digest this data, maybe even within the next half an hour or so." It weakens the argument for a pause.”“Futures are going up based on the topline number, that’s what markets are focusing on.”“Inflation is cooling down.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets still aren't pricing in a recession, says NewEdge Wealth's DawsonKevin Gordon, Charles Schwab senior investment strategist, and Cameron Dawson, NewEdge Wealth chief investment officer, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss what's priced into the markets, Wednesday's price action and more.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Charles Schwab's Kevin Gordon and NewEdge Wealth's Cameron DawsonKevin Gordon, Charles Schwab senior investment strategist, and Cameron Dawson, NewEdge Wealth chief investment officer, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss what's priced into the markets, Wednesday's price action and more.
Hopes that the Fed will soon end its aggressive monetary policy tightening campaign spurred a rebound in the S&P 500 this month after the collapse of two U.S. mid-sized lenders sparked a selloff in March. Analysts expect first-quarter profits at S&P 500 companies to fall 5.2% year-on-year, the worst contraction since the third quarter of 2020 and a stark reversal from the 1.4% annual growth forecast at the beginning of the year, according to Refinitiv IBES data. Remarks later on Tuesday from voting members of the Fed's rate-setting committee will be parsed for more clues on the central bank's policy moves. Seven of the 11 major S&P sectors rose, with gains in material (.SPLRCM) and energy (.SPNY) shares offsetting losses in technology (.SPLRCT) stocks. The S&P index recorded six new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 43 new highs and 72 new lows.
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets in the U.S. reopened Monday but seemed to retain a post-holiday sluggishness as investors digested multiple signs of a slowing — but still strong — economy. Traders will certainly pore through those reports, but they'll also want to see what the U.S. consumer price index and producer price index say about the economy. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
There's an area of the stock market that will outperform amid higher interest rates, Charles Schwab said. Their outperformance could continue if interest rates stay high, Charles Schwab said. That's thanks to rising short-term interest rates, with central bankers hiking rates over 1,700% in the past year to control inflation. Markets initially raised the odds that the bank's failure would spur the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this year. But central bankers have signaled the opposite, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell warning that interest rates would stay elevated through the rest of the year.
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets in the U.S. reopened Monday but seemed to retain a post-holiday sluggishness as investors digested multiple signs of a slowing — but still strong — economy. Traders will certainly pore through those reports, but they'll also want to see what the U.S. consumer price index and producer price index say about the economy. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
The bellwether S&P 500 ended the session nominally higher. Of the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, six ended the session higher, led by industrials (.SPLRCI). "When the Fed repeats time after time what their priorities are and what they’re going to do, they’re going to do it." As of Friday, analysts expected aggregate S&P 500 earnings down 5.2% year-on-year, a stark reversal from the 1.4% annual growth expected at the beginning of the quarter, according to Refinitiv. The S&P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 155 new lows.
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