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"The most serious outcome for crude is that the conflict escalates into a more devastating proxy war which could affect crude supply," said Rebecca Babin, senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth US. Israel's port of Ashkelon and its oil terminal have been shut in the wake of the conflict, sources said. Goldman Sachs said the conflict reduced the likelihood of normalization of Israel's relations with Saudi Arabia, and the associated boost to Saudi production over time. The conflict is likely to lead to higher volatility and speculation in oil markets, the CEO of Brazil's Petrobras (PETR4.SA) said. High oil price due to the conflict could bolster inflation, analysts said, forcing rate hikes that could dampen demand.
Persons: recouping, Brent, WTI, Israel, Rebecca Babin, Agustin Marcarian, Goldman Sachs, Caroline Bain, Saxo Bank's Ole Hansen, Nicolas Maduro, Arathy Somasekhar, Natalie Grover, Andrew Hayley, Emily Chow, Kirsten Donovan, Lisa Shumaker, David Gregorio Our Organizations: HOUSTON, . West Texas, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Hamas, CIBC Private Wealth, Israel, REUTERS, Saudi, Analysts, Capital Economics, U.S, Petrobras, PETR4, Thomson Locations: Saudi, Israel, Ashkelon, Israel US, Venezuela, Palestinian, Gaza, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Riyadh, Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Moscow, U.S, Iran, Russia, Caracas, Mexico, Tel Aviv, Houston, London, Beijing, Singapore
Oct 9 (Reuters) - Fears of a widening conflict in the Middle East are threatening more volatility for investors after a painful stretch in U.S. markets. Investors were on guard for the potential of the conflict spreading to embroil other countries, including Iran, and a continued spike in oil prices. Prices for gold, a popular destination for investors during uncertain times, were up 1.2% at $1,854.10 per ounce. Among those is the potential of a rebound in oil prices that could weigh on U.S. economic growth and endanger the so-called soft landing narrative that has helped boost stocks this year. “The worst-case scenario from a geopolitical risk perspective would be a full-scale confrontation between Israel and Iran,” said Tina Fordham, geopolitical strategist and founder of Fordham Global Foresight.
Persons: Brent, , Mohit Kumar, Tina Fordham, Paul Nolte, Emmanuel Cau, Althea Spinozzi, Naomi Rovnick, Lewis Krauskopf, Dhara Ranasinghe, Davide Barbuscia, Noel Randewich, Marc Jones, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Jefferies, Fordham Global Foresight, Federal Reserve, Murphy, Sylvest Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Treasury, Barclays, Mobileye, Intel, Solaredge Technologies, East, Saxo Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Gaza, Iran, Europe, London, Israel, United States, Germany
Oct 9 (Reuters) - Fears of a widening conflict in the Middle East are threatening more volatility for investors after a painful stretch in U.S. markets. Investors were on guard for the potential of the conflict spreading to embroil other countries, including Iran, and a continued spike in oil prices. Prices for gold, a popular destination for investors during uncertain times, were up 0.9% at $1,849.40 per ounce. Among those is a potential rebound in oil prices that could weigh on U.S. economic growth and endanger the so-called soft landing narrative that has helped boost stocks this year. “The worst-case scenario from a geopolitical risk perspective would be a full-scale confrontation between Israel and Iran,” said Tina Fordham, geopolitical strategist and founder of Fordham Global Foresight.
Persons: Brent, , Mohit Kumar, Tina Fordham, Paul Nolte, Murphy, Emmanuel Cau, Althea Spinozzi, Naomi Rovnick, Lewis Krauskopf, Dhara Ranasinghe, Davide Barbuscia, Marc Jones, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Jefferies, Fordham Global Foresight, Federal Reserve, Sylvest Wealth Management, Treasury, Barclays, Mobileye, Intel, Solaredge Technologies, East, Saxo Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Gaza, Iran, Europe, London, Israel, United States, Germany
Brent crude was up $3.24, or 3.8%, to $87.85 a barrel by 11 a.m. ET (1500 GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $86.19 a barrel, up $3.40 or about 4.1%. Oil rigs are seen at Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas drilling, in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina January 21, 2019. Analysts suggested the implications of the conflict could include a potential slowdown in Iranian exports, which have grown significantly this year, despite U.S. sanctions. Any production and export disruption would exacerbate supply tightness as most analysts expect markets to be in a deficit in the second half of the year.
Persons: recouping, Brent, WTI, Tudor Pickering, Matt Portillo, Agustin Marcarian, Saxo Bank's Ole Hansen, Caroline Bain, Arathy Somasekhar, Natalie Grover, Andrew Hayley, Emily Chow, Kirsten Donovan, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: U.S, West Texas, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Saturday, REUTERS, Israel, White, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: Saudi, Israel, HOUSTON, Palestinian, Holt, Gaza, Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Riyadh, Moscow, Russia, U.S, Iran, Houston, London, Beijing, Singapore
REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/Illustration Acquire Licensing RightsOct 9 (Reuters) - The rouble rebounded after slumping to a more than 18-month low against the dollar on Monday in a volatile session, still hampered by reduced foreign currency supply but eventually latching on to higher oil prices to gain ground. By 1500 GMT, the rouble was 0.7% stronger against the dollar at 99.75 , recovering from hitting 102.3450 earlier, its weakest point since March 23, 2022. The Russian currency tumbled to a record low 121.5275 in the weeks after Moscow's February 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The rouble had gained 0.5% to trade at 105.24 versus the euro and firmed 0.6% against the yuan to 13.64 . The rouble-based MOEX Russian index (.IMOEX) was 0.9% higher at 3,172.2 points, earlier reaching a near one-month high.
Persons: Maxim Shemetov, rouble, Alexei Antonov, Alexander Marrow, Angus MacSwan, Mark Potter, Gareth Jones Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Russia, Reuters, Brent, Thomson Locations: Moscow, Russia, Ukraine
Oil prices jump as Middle East turmoil roils markets
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Natalie Grover | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Oil rigs are seen at Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas drilling, in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina January 21, 2019. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Oct 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices surged more than 3% on Monday as military clashes between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas ignited fears of a wider conflict in the Middle East. While the underlying supply-demand balance is unaffected, said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM, "any rise in tension in the Middle East usually leads to an increase in oil prices and it is no different this time around". "If the conflict envelopes Iran... up to 3% of global oil supply is at risk. And if a wider conflict eventuates that ends up impacting transit through the Strait of Hormuz, around 20% of global oil supply could be held hostage," energy analyst Saul Kavonic told Reuters.
Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Brent, WTI, Tamas Varga, Saul Kavonic, Natalie Grover, Andrew Hayley, Emily Chow, Miral Fahmy, Jason Neely Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, West Texas, Saturday, Israel, White, Citi, Reuters, International Energy Agency, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Israel, Palestinian, Gaza, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Riyadh, Saudi, Moscow, Iran, Hormuz, London, Beijing, Singapore
A view shows a Russian one rouble coin in front of a screen in this illustration picture taken August 22, 2023. By 1125 GMT, the rouble was 1.8% weaker against the dollar at 102.18 , its weakest point since March 23, 2022. The Russian currency tumbled to a record low 121.5275 in the weeks after Moscow's February 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The rouble had lost 1.9% to trade at 107.76 versus the euro and shed 2.1% against the yuan to 14.01 . The rouble-based MOEX Russian index (.IMOEX) was 1.3% higher at 3,184.6 points, a near one-month high.
Persons: Maxim Shemetov, rouble, Alexei Antonov, Alexander Marrow, Angus MacSwan, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Russia, Reuters, Brent, Thomson Locations: Russian, Israel, Gaza, Ukraine
Middle East violence rattles markets, oil jumps
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Reuters Staff | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
MARKET REACTION:- Oil prices surged, with Brent crude trading at $87.25 a barrel - up over 3% on the day. COMMENTS:MOHIT KUMAR, CHIEF EUROPE ECONOMIST, JEFFERIES, LONDON:“The coming days are likely to be driven by geopolitical risks, rather than fundamentals. “Second, OPEC countries do have spare capacity that they restrict willingly to maintain oil price at above $80 (per barrel), but they don’t necessarily think of tripling oil prices – which would only accelerate the energy transition. “This being said, potential retaliation against Tehran is a serious upside risk for oil prices. We will keep an eye on developments, but don’t speculate on a full-blast rise in oil prices for now.”
Persons: Mohammed Salem, Israel’s shekel, MOHIT KUMAR, JEFFERIES, , ” CHRIS BEAUCHAMP, Brent, WTI, CAROL KONG, JPY, ” MICHAEL HEWSON, ALVIN TAN, Blinken, , ” IPEK OZKARDESKAYA, Israel Organizations: Oil, REUTERS, Brent, U.S, Treasury, British Airways, LONDON, Russo, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF, CMC, U.S ., OF, OF ASIA FX, RBS, SWISSQUOTE BANK Locations: Israel, Gaza, Egypt, Yom, EUROPE, Iran, Ukrainian, SYDNEY, Asia, Japan, Straits, Hormuz, OF ASIA, ” “, GENEVA, OPEC, U.S, Tehran
"Increasing geopolitical risk in the Middle East should support oil prices ... higher volatility can be expected" analysts from ANZ Bank said in a client note. An increase in Saudi output would have helped to relieve supply tightness after months of supply cuts from key producers Saudi Arabia and Russia. A normalisation of Saudi-Israeli relations would likely freeze recent moves toward detente between Saudi Arabia and Iran. "For this conflict to have a lasting and meaningful impact on oil markets, there must be a sustained reduction in oil supply or transport," Vivek Dhar, an analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said in a note. "If Western countries officially link Iranian intelligence to the Hamas attack, then Iran’s oil supply and exports face imminent downside risks," Dhar said.
Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Brent, WTI, Iran's, Vivek Dhar, Dhar, Andrew Hayley, Jamie Freed, Sonali Paul Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Hamas, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Saturday, ANZ Bank, Israel, White, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Rights BEIJING, Palestinian, Israel, Gaza, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Riyadh, Saudi, Russia, Iran, Lebanon
New York CNN —This month marks the first time in more than three years that federal student loan borrowers will be required to make monthly repayments. Before the Bell spoke with Betsy Mayotte, president and founder of The Institute of Student Loan Advisors, to talk about what that could mean for the economy. Before the Bell: When exactly do student loan payments resume? The last time I checked, there were more than 40 million federal student loan borrowers. That’s the policy discussion that has to be had in order to permanently fix the student debt crisis.
Persons: Trump, Bell, Betsy Mayotte, they’re, ’ It’s, we’ve, It’s, ’ I’m, I’ve, hasn’t, David Goldman, Michelle Toh, Brent, ” Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Landsdown, “ We’re, , , Fraser Engerman Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Biden, Payments, Wall Street Journal, The, Student Loan Advisors, Hargreaves, Walgreens, Pharmacy, CNN, Employees Locations: New York, California , New York, Massachusetts, Israel, East, Gaza, Iran, United States, Kansas City
Israel retaliates after Hamas attacks, deaths pass 1,100
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +10 min
Israeli military spokesperson Lieutenant Colonel Jonathan Conricus said the country had called in around 100,000 soldiers. Iran is an ally of Hamas and while it congratulated Hamas on the attack, its mission to the United Nations said Tehran was not involved in the attacks. Several international air carriers have suspended flight services with Tel Aviv in light of the Hamas attack, saying they are waiting for conditions to improve before resuming. In Gaza, Hamas spokesperson Hazem Qassem condemned the U.S. announcement as "an actual participation in the aggression against our people" and said the group would not be intimidated. The United States led Western denunciations of Hamas' attack, with Biden issuing a blunt warning to Iran and others on : "This is not a moment for any party hostile to Israel to exploit these attacks."
Persons: Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu's, Yoav Gallant, Jonathan Conricus, Brent, Ebrahim Raisi, they're, They're, Yoni Asher, Uri David, Mohammed Salem, Attar, Daniel Hagari, Netanyahu, Aaron David Miller, Joe Biden, Lloyd Austin, Gerald R, Hazem Qassem, Lebanon's, Peacemaking, Ismail Haniyeh, Gazans, Maayan Lubell, Ari Rabinovitch, Nidal, Ammar Anwar, Henriette Chacar, Emily Rose, Dan Williams, Ali Sawafta, Steven Scheer, James Mackenzie, Angus McDowall, Andrew Cawthorne, Matt Spetalnick, Stephen Coates, Michael Perry Organizations: Fighters, United Nations, Nasdaq, Sunday, REUTERS, White, National Security, Islamic, Carnegie Endowment, International, . Defense, Ford Carrier Strike Group, Palestinian, West Bank, Palestinian Authority, Jerusalem, United, Biden, Thomson Locations: Gaza, JERUSALEM, GAZA, Israel, Egypt, Yom, Ofakim, Iran, Tehran, Tel Aviv, Lebanon's Iran, Palestine, Gaza City, Palestinian, U.S, Saudi Arabia, United States, Jerusalem, Sderot, Ramallah, Modiin, Washington
U.S. stock indexes closed higher Monday after the breakout of the Israel-Hamas war shook global markets. Lockheed Martin shares rose nearly 9% and Northrop Grumman shares rose more than 11%. Israeli bonds sold off. Oil prices rallied. The safest European bonds rallied.
Persons: Stocks, Lockheed Martin Organizations: Columbus, Defense, Lockheed, Northrop Grumman, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Brent Locations: Israel, Haven
The fighting caused an expected rise in U.S. and global oil prices. Reaction in the U.S. bond market, which was closed Monday for Columbus Day, will have to wait another day. The market does not know how to factor in what's happening in the Mideast, Jim Cramer said Monday afternoon. Concern about wider fallout from the Hamas-Israeli conflict is likely to put a floor under oil prices for the time being. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Brent, Jim Cramer, Jim, Stocks, Jim Cramer's, Yahel Gazit Organizations: Hamas, West Texas, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Columbus, Ukraine, U.S, Wells, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, AFP, Getty Locations: Israel, U.S, Saudi, United States, Gaza, Iran, Wells Fargo, Tel Aviv
BANGKOK (AP) — Crude oil prices surged and share prices were mostly lower on Monday after the Israeli government declared war following deadly attacks by Hamas from the Gaza Strip. Oil prices fell back slightly after gaining more than $3 a barrel. Conflict in the Middle East often pushes oil prices higher given the risk of disruptions to supplies. Wall Street hates high interest rates because they hurt prices for all kinds of investments. It means the economy is still doing well despite high rates, which could support corporate profits.
Persons: ” Stephen Innes, Brent, Germany's DAX, Australia's, India's Sensex, Lloyd Austin, GM, JPMorgan Chase, Jon Gambrell Organizations: Management, New York Mercantile Exchange, Israel’s, Bank, U.S ., CAC, Dow, U.S . Defense, Ford, Wall Street, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Fed, General Motors, United Auto Workers, Detroit’s, Delta Air Lines, JPMorgan, UnitedHealth Group Locations: BANGKOK, Gaza, Tel, Paris, London, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Bangkok, Tokyo, Palestinian, Israel, Jerusalem
Smoke rises in the aftermath of rocket barrages that were launched from Gaza, in Ashkelon, Israel October 7, 2023. REUTERS/Amir Cohen/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLAUNCESTON, Australia, Oct 9 (Reuters) - Crude oil prices spiked higher in the wake of a massive Hamas attack on Israel, but the relatively modest increase masks the risk of an escalating Middle East conflict. These reactions from two key leaders in the Middle East underscore just how the Hamas attacks are likely to upend relationships in the Middle East. Overall, what the attacks by Hamas have likely achieved, for now at least, is place a pause on moves to normalise political relationships across the Middle East. There is no certainty as to how the current situation will play out, but uncertainty and heightened risks are likely bullish for crude oil prices.
Persons: Amir Cohen, Brent, Benjamin Netanyahu, Ebrahim Raisi, Joe Biden, Biden, Sonali Paul Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Brent, Hamas, Gaza, United Arab Emirates, U.S, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Gaza, Ashkelon, Israel, Rights LAUNCESTON, Australia, Israeli, Iran, Saudi Arabia, IRAN, Tehran, East, U.S, Saudi, Russia
BANGKOK (AP) — Share prices were mixed on Monday after the Israeli government declared war following deadly attacks by Hamas from the Gaza Strip. U.S. futures were lower and oil prices gained more than $3 a barrel. Conflict in the Middle East often raises the specter of higher oil prices given the risk of disruptions to supplies. Wall Street hates high interest rates because they knock down prices for all kinds of investments. It means the economy is still doing well despite high rates, which could support corporate profits.
Persons: ” Stephen Innes, Brent, India's Sensex, SET, Lloyd Austin, GM, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Management, New York Mercantile Exchange, Shanghai, U.S . Defense, Ford, Wall Street, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Fed, Workers, General Motors, United Auto Workers, Detroit’s, Delta Air Lines, JPMorgan, UnitedHealth Group Locations: BANGKOK, Gaza, Tokyo, Australia, Hong, Palestinian, Israel
Israel flashes geopolitical warning at shaky time
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( George Hay | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The Kingdom’s rulers have historically supported Palestinian rights and opposed Israel, while waging proxy wars against Iran. Indeed, one motivation of the Hamas attacks may have been to provoke an Israeli response that derails those negotiations. At a time when the global economy needs inflationary geopolitical risks to simmer down, more are flashing red. In response, Israeli air strikes hit housing blocks, tunnels, a mosque and homes of Hamas officials in Gaza, killing more than 400 people, Reuters reported. President Joe Biden said on Saturday that Israel had the right to defend itself and issued a warning to Iran and other countries hostile to Israel not to exploit the attacks.
Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu’s, Joe Biden, Netanyahu, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Biden, toughening, Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, , Brent, Peter Thal Larsen, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Hamas, Iran, Saudi Crown, Sunday, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, United States, China, Israel, Gaza, Iran, Jerusalem, Tehran, Saudi Arabia, U.S, Saudi, Germany, Italy, Britain
Stock futures declined and haven assets gained after the worst attack on Israel in decades sent jitters through global markets. Benchmark oil and gas prices jumped , driven by concerns that the conflict could spill over into the broader Middle East region. Oil and gas prices rallied. The most actively traded contract for Brent crude rose more than 3% and a European benchmark for natural gas jumped more than 12%. The safest European bonds rallied.
Persons: Dow Organizations: Street Journal, Nasdaq, Defense, Tel, Brent, Columbus Locations: Israel, Iran, Hamas, Haven, Tel Aviv, Europe, U.S
Why Oil Prices Have Jumped After Attacks on Israel
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: +1 min
Oil prices jumped after the surprise weekend attack on Israel by Hamas and the Israeli response risked stoking instability in the petroleum-rich Middle East. Iranian security officials helped plan Hamas’s surprise attack on Israel and gave the green light for the assault at a meeting in Beirut last Monday, The Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday. The violence jeopardizes President Biden’s Middle East agenda: establishing formal relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel while containing tensions with Iran. Riyadh had signaled to the U.S. that it was willing to raise oil output to help secure a deal with Israel, while the U.S. had backed away from some actions meant to stop Iran’s oil shipments. Analysts said the diplomatic repercussions of the Hamas attack could squeeze those two additional sources of oil supply.
Organizations: Hamas, Brent, Texas, Analysts, Street, Biden’s, U.S . Locations: Israel, Gaza, Beirut, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Riyadh, U.S
The war in the Middle East could lead to higher inflation for longer as it puts upward pressure on oil prices, according to Strategas' Jason Trennert. On Saturday, militant group Hamas attacked Israel, leading to the deadliest offensive attack Israel has experienced in 50 years . Oil prices spiked following the attack, with Brent crude futures rising nearly 4% to $87.94 a barrel. "There is likely to be natural tendency to buy Treasurys and the U.S. dollar, but wars are generally inflationary." Rising oil prices could put even more pressure on inflation.
Persons: Strategas, Jason Trennert, Israel, , Trennert, Hess, Northrop Grumman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Energy, Halliburton, CF Industries, L3Harris Technologies, General Dynamics Locations: Israel
To be sure, even with Monday's advance, oil prices remain well off their late September peaks. In addition to receiving a lift from crude's gain, Coterra is benefiting from the continued strength in natural gas. On Monday, natural gas futures rose another 1%, to around $3.37 per million British thermal units. Last week, natural gas surged 14% to reach its highest price since late January. The stock's massive outperformance Friday means that any financial benefit Pioneer would receive from Monday's higher oil prices was already captured in the session prior.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Israel, Brent, WTI, John Kilduff, Jim Cramer, Jim, Pioneer's, CNBC's David Faber, Exxon's, Jim Cramer's, Richard Eden Organizations: Hamas, Natural Resources, Coterra Energy, West Texas, Brent, Gaza, CNBC, Energy, State Street Global Advisors, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Exxon Mobil, Journal, Club, Exxon, Denbury Inc, Silhouette, Getty Locations: Palestinian, Israel, U.S, Palestinian Territories, Houston, Midland , Texas
Oil Futures Surge on Concern Israel-Hamas Conflict to Escalate
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Oil prices surged after the conflict between Israel and Hamas intensified, and traders are watching for spillover effects on oil supply in the region. Futures for Brent crude, the global benchmark, rose about 4% to $87.97 a barrel, and West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 4.3% to $86.36 a barrel on Monday in Asia. The moves were a knee-jerk response from the market, said Kelvin Yew, a senior oil trader at the commodity-trading firm Ocean Leonid Investments. “There is very little oil production in that region, but the market is pricing in the possibility of an escalation,” Yew said. Iranian security officials helped plan Hamas’s attack on Israel, The Wall Street Journal has reported.
Persons: Kelvin Yew, ” Yew, Yew Organizations: Brent, West Texas, Investments Locations: Israel, Asia, U.S, Iran
Oil rigs are seen at Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas drilling, in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina January 21, 2019. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Oct 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices jumped more than $3 a barrel in early Asian trade on Monday, as dramatic military clashes between Israeli and Hamas forces over the weekend deepened political uncertainty across the Middle East. "Increasing geopolitical risk in the Middle East should support oil prices... higher volatility can be expected" analysts from ANZ Bank said in a client note. "For this conflict to have a lasting and meaningful impact on oil markets, there must be a sustained reduction in oil supply or transport," Vivek Dhar, an analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said in a note. "If Western countries officially link Iranian intelligence to the Hamas attack, then Iran’s oil supply and exports face imminent downside risks," Dhar said.
Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Iran's, Vivek Dhar, Dhar, Andrew Hayley, Jamie Freed Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Hamas, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Saturday, Israel, ANZ Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Rights BEIJING, Palestinian, Israel, Gaza, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Riyadh, Saudi, Iran, Lebanon
Stock futures were lower on Sunday as the attack on Israel by Palestinian militants adds geopolitical risk to an already fragile market dealing with inflation and surging interest rates. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 207 points, or 0.6%. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict escalated to full-blown war on Saturday after the militant group Hamas staged an invasion, to which Israel was seemingly caught off guard. WTI crude oil futures were up by 2% in early trading Sunday. The rising geopolitical tensions could have ramifications for the energy market, with some experts forecasting a "knee jerk surge" in oil.
Persons: Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Hamas, Brent, U.S . West Texas, OPEC, CNBC, Columbus, Treasury Locations: Israel, Palestinian, Hamas, stoke, U.S, Palestine, Russia, Saudi
New York/Hong Kong CNN —Oil prices surged and US stock futures fell on Sunday night in their first reaction to Israel’s war with Hamas. Although Israel is not a major oil producer, escalating tensions in the oil-rich Middle East spooked investors who have already been selling off oil in recent weeks. But on Sunday night, US oil prices surged 4% higher above $86 a barrel. In the equity markets, US stock futures, which surged Friday on a surprisingly strong American job market report, fell sharply Sunday night. Global investors fear prolonged tensions in the Middle East could hurt the fragile global economic recovery.
Persons: Brent, Stephen Innes, , Israel, Australia’s Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Management, Dow, Nasdaq, Shanghai Locations: New York, Hong Kong, Israel, East, Asia, China, Shenzhen, Japan, South Korea
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