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That's the concern plaguing aspiring investment bankers across the country as they watch the banking crisis unfold. "I think there's definitely a sense of unease in finance," said Asif Rahman, co-founder of Wall Street career coaching company Office Hours. Over at SVB's investment banking arm, incoming first-year analysts have been told that their jobs are secure. "We've reached out to all of our incoming analysts and interns. "The incoming summer interns are worried about low return offer rates," the professor said.
In the wake of recent market volatility and steep share price falls, Morgan Stanley cautioned that the European banking sector is "not as attractive as it was." Morgan Stanley strategists cautioned that although the banking sector is now cheaper, news flow surrounding earnings upgrades and cash return expectations may fade or reverse. On a top-down basis, Morgan Stanley recommended the following overweight-rated (a buy equivalent rating) stocks to navigate this environment with a defensive exposure. Stocks in traditionally defensive sectors, such as health care and utilities, are being recommended by Morgan Stanley. However, Morgan Stanley said the banking sector's problems have shifted this perspective, as the outperformance of European banks has been closely tied to the broader European market.
In this article 0H7D-GB Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTA general meeting of Deutsche Bank Arne Dedert | picture alliance | Getty Imageswatch nowDeutsche Bank underwent a multibillion euro restructure in recent years aimed at reducing costs and improving profitability. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz told a news conference in Brussels Friday that Deutsche Bank had "thoroughly reorganized and modernized its business model and is a very profitable bank," adding that there is no basis to speculate about its future. 'Just not very scary' Some of the concerns around Deutsche Bank have centered on its U.S. commercial real estate exposures and substantial derivatives book. To be crystal clear - Deutsche is NOT the next Credit Suisse." 'Fresh and intense focus' on liquidity Credit Suisse's collapse boiled down to a combination of three causes, according to JPMorgan.
Wall Street is downgrading European banks after stresses in the sector led to the emergency merger of the two largest lenders in Switzerland. The bank's strategists said — in a report titled "A dozen stocks in case markets turn sour" — their list of 12 buy-rated stocks would prove resilient during broad market sell-offs. The list includes companies such as Nokia , Sodexo , and SAP among others that strategists at Deutsche Bank Research said could outperform broader markets during recessionary environments. Meanwhile, they said that Sodexo's defensive growth profile is also expected to lead to top-line growth of 8-10% this year. Deutsche strategists Maximilian Uleer and Caroline Raab added that the German tech giant SAP had finished its costly cloud investments and is now starting to see benefits from the transformation.
ISTANBUL, March 24 (Reuters) - Scores of foreign investors are returning to Istanbul and Ankara after years in the cold for a flurry of meetings to understand whether Turkish elections could bring a tidal change for its economy and financial markets. President Tayyip Erdogan's unorthodox policy approach, including aggressive rate cuts in the face of soaring inflation, left the economy and markets heavily state-managed and spurred an exodus of foreign investors over the last five years. Investors seek to understand "who will win, who will hold key positions and what the programme will be." Wall Street bank Citi said it held two days of meetings in Istanbul earlier this month for its bond and equity investors. "It may be a good opportunity to rethink Turkey's currently significant 'underweight' positioning among peer markets," the investor said.
March 24 (Reuters) - Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) is redeploying employees in wealth management and lending to other roles within the company, a source familiar with the matter said on Friday, as higher interest rates continue to weigh on the businesses. Less than 200 employees are being moved to product specialist positions within the company's global operations organization, the source told Reuters. Based on current market conditions, we are re-aligning talent to support these areas," a Bank of America spokesperson said. The move highlights the broader weakness in Wall Street banks' mortgage and wealth management businesses in a rising interest rate environment. Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) slashed hundreds of jobs in its mortgage business across the U.S., Bloomberg News reported in December.
Factbox: Warren Buffett's investments in financial firms
  + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
[1/2] Warren Buffett, CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Inc, pauses while playing bridge as part of the company annual meeting weekend in Omaha, Nebraska U.S. May 6, 2018. Here is history on Buffett's involvement with banks and current holdings in his investment portfolio. The investment gave Berkshire preferred stock that paid a 10% along with warrants to pay $5 billion for 43.5 million Goldman shares at $115 each. Berkshire has financial services investments in other countries. Reporting by Jonathan Stempel in New York Editing by Nick ZieminskiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
But combining Credit Suisse into UBS could take much longer, potentially months, because the deal needs approval from regulators in tens of countries, the people said, seeking anonymity given the sensitivity of the matter. Spokespeople for UBS and Credit Suisse declined to comment. The longer the deal takes to close, the harder it will be for Credit Suisse to hold on to its business as the uncertainty erodes confidence in the lender. Bank of America's electronic stocks desk had halted trading with a desk at Credit Suisse that uses computer-led strategies, an email seen by Reuters on Monday said. Bloomberg News reported on Thursday that Wall Street banks and European firms are lifting hiring freezes to lure staff from Credit Suisse.
Peer Citigroup sees a smaller 25 bps hike, down from a 50 bps hike forecast earlier in the month. The brokerage started with a 50 bps hike and then changed to a pause following the collapse of SVB Financial. It now sees a 25 basis points hike. Nomura expects a 25 bps rate cut at the end of the Fed's two-day meeting on Wednesday. Major investment banks now expect the ECB to deliver a 25 bps hike in May.
Barry Norris, fund manager at Argonaut Capital, said Saturday morning that he still expects Credit Suisse 's stock to become worthless. "If this happens we would expect [Credit Suisse] equity holders to get zero, deposit holders guaranteed and probably but not certain that bond holders will be made whole." Norris' Argonaut Absolute Return Fund fund delivered 11.3% in returns last year amid a year of losses for the broader stock market. Credit Suisse has had tumultuous few years, battling various scandals and controversies . Credit Suisse had invested heavily in Greensill and marketed its funds to clients, but the firm collapsed in 2021, leaving Credit Suisse and its customers with $1.7 billion in losses and reputational damage.
[1/2] A person walks past a First Republic Bank branch in Midtown Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., March 13, 2023. REUTERS/Mike SegarMarch 17 (Reuters) - Shares of First Republic Bank (FRC.N) lost almost 33% on Friday, totaling a loss of around 80% in the last 10 sessions, despite a rescue package with $30 billion in deposits injected by large U.S. banks. Founded in 1985, First Republic had $212 billion in assets and $176.4 billion in deposits as of the end of last year, according to its annual report. The rescue package came less than a day after Swiss bank Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) clinched an emergency central bank loan of up to $54 billion to shore up its liquidity. The ratings agency had downgraded its outlook on the U.S. banking system to negative earlier this week.
[1/2] A person walks past a First Republic Bank branch in Midtown Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., March 13, 2023. REUTERS/Mike SegarMarch 17 (Reuters) - Shares of First Republic Bank (FRC.N) extended losses to 32% in afternoon trading on Friday after being briefly halted as $30 billion in deposits injected by large U.S. banks failed to quell investor worries about the beleaguered lender. First Republic suspended its dividend and disclosed it has $34 billion in cash excluding the new deposit injection. Founded in 1985, First Republic had $212 billion in assets and $176.4 billion in deposits as of the end of last year, according to its annual report. The ratings agency had downgraded its outlook on the U.S. banking system to negative earlier this week.
March 17 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs and two other banks expect the European Central Bank to deliver a smaller quarter-point hike in May as it grapples with stress in the banking sector and high core inflation. Goldman earlier expected the ECB to deliver a 50 bps hike in May. The Wall Street bank's terminal rate forecast now stands at 3.5%, down from 3.75% previously. Traders see the ECB rate peaking at around 3.23% by September or October. Meanwhile, J.P.Morgan, Deutsche Bank and Swedish Bank SEB expect the ECB to deliver a 50 bps hike in May but warned of downside risks to their forecasts given current market volatility and inflation remaining well above the central bank's target.
The bank crisis that started with Silicon Valley Bank last Friday continues to unfold with what feels like to-the-minute developments. First Republic Bank branch on Park Avenue in New York City. In light of the bank runs, bank failures, and bank stock volatility, those odds are now at 35%, strategists said Thursday, citing "increased near-term uncertainty" surrounding the effects of small bank stress. Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank marked the second and third largest bank failures in history, respectively, behind only Washington Mutual in 2008. She explained why you should be prepared for more interest-rate volatility as fears of a financial crisis rise.
[1/4] A combination of photographs shows people using automated teller machines (ATMs) at Australia's "Big Four" banks - Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (bottom R), Commonwealth Bank of Australia (top R), National Australia Bank Ltd (bottom L) and Westpac Banking Corp (top L). REUTERS/StaffSYDNEY, March 17 (Reuters) - An A$300 billion ($201.21 billion) refinancing task for Australia's biggest banks is about to get harder, say analysts, as appetite for new debt shrinks across global markets roiled by concerns about bank stability and liquidity. "Now major banks don't have to hit markets everyday... but ultimately banks can't stay out of the market forever." Refinancing today would add extra 5 to 10 basis points to banks' costs versus a week and a half ago, he added. ($1 = 1.4910 Australian dollars)Reporting by Lewis Jackson and Scott Murdoch; Editing by Simon Cameron-MooreOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Bill Ackman is sounding the alarm on Wall Street's $30 billion show of faith in First Republic. The billionaire investor fears the move has put other banks at risk and could endanger the economy. Here's why he's worried and wants a temporary blanket guarantee on bank deposits. JPMorgan, Bank of America, and nine other banks said on Thursday that they would make uninsured deposits totaling $30 billion in First Republic Bank (FRB) for at least 120 days. "Three dominoes have fallen and another is on its way," Ackman said in an earlier tweet, referring to Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and Silvergate.
Bill Ackman said a plan to deposit $30 billion into First Republic Bank creates a "false sense of confidence." "Spreading the risk of financial contagion to achieve a false sense of confidence in FRB is bad policy," he said. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, New York has rattled the banking sector, sparking fears of a contagion that could lead to the next global financial crisis. First Republic has been assuring customers of its liquidity since the implosion of Silicon Valley Bank — which in turn triggered concerns about the financial health of regional banks. First Republic Bank's shares closed 10% higher at $34.27 apiece on Thursday and were 6% lower in pre-market trade at 5.41 a.m. on Friday.
Yields, which move opposite price, were rising Thursday morning after the European Central Bank raised rates by a half percentage point. Yields moved even further after his report. Bleakley Financial's Peter Boockvar said the futures market moved to price in even higher odds of a Fed rate hike. On Wednesday, odds were about 50% for a quarter point rate hike, but in Thursday afternoon trading the odds jumped up to 86%. "Rate hike expectations have been rising all morning.
Where is Silicon Valley's J. Pierpont Morgan?
  + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Anita Ramaswamy | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
After withdrawals lashed the banking system in 1907, financier J. Pierpont Morgan corraled his peers into using their own money to calm the crisis. The contrast with Silicon Valley – which is also embroiled in the ongoing firestorm – couldn’t be more stark. Startup and technology firms’ cash crunch precipitated the fall of Silicon Valley Bank and its parent SVB Financial (SIVB.O), which in turn sparked panic in the financial system. Silicon Valley is fragmented and built on an individualistic ethos. Real, toothsome regulation might force Silicon Valley’s great minds to realize how interconnected their ecosystem is.
"Not only are these big banks not sitting around and waiting for the phone to ring, they are also being proactive." Amid the nation's most troubling turmoil in banking since the global financial crisis nearly 15 years ago, the big banks are flexing their collective muscle. The 2008 financial crisis humbled the banking behemoths; the 2023 crisis of regional banks has now only cemented their power. For an increasingly stretched financial system, the big banks provide a needed stability. The flight to safety that is benefiting the big banks will have a cost, however.
JPMorgan and 10 other banks are depositing $30 billion in First Republic Bank. A white knight has arrived to First Republic Bank's rescue. A consortium of America's biggest banks including JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs are depositing a collective $30 billion in First Republic. This $30 billion lifeline may not be enough to reassure investors and depositors, and it may be a stopgap measure before a sale. The $70 billion lifeline from JPMorgan announced on Sunday did little to quell investors' concerns, Dahiya noted.
First Republic Bank will receive a $30 billion deposit from larger rivals. JPMorgan earlier estimated the Fed's emergency loan program may inject $2 trillion into the US banking system. Stocks reversed earlier losses as reports about a liquidity deal for First Republic Bank rolled in. First Republic Bank shares soared after plunging in recent days. "Big Short" investor Steve Eisman says it'll be bad news for stocks if the Fed pauses rate hikes because of the banking panic.
New York CNN —First Republic Bank, facing a crisis of confidence from investors and customers, is actively discussing options for a lifeline — including a takeover, according to the Wall Street Journal. Participating in the discussions Thursday are massive Wall Street banks, including JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley, the Journal reported. Both Fitch Ratings and S&P Global Ratings downgraded First Republic Bank’s credit rating on Wednesday on concerns that depositors could pull their cash from the bank. Many regional banks, including First Republic, have large amounts of uninsured deposits above the $250,000 FDIC limit. To make money, banks use a portion of customers’ deposits to give out loans to other customers.
[1/2] The logo of Swiss bank UBS is seen at an office building in Zurich, Switzerland October 25, 2022. REUTERS/Arnd WiegmannMarch 16 (Reuters) - UBS Group AG (UBSG.S) and Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN.S) are opposed to a forced merger, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday, citing people with knowledge of the matter. UBS and Credit Suisse declined to comment on Reuters' requests for comment. Wall Street bank JPMorgan on Wednesday said that Credit Suisse's takeover by another lender, probably UBS, was the most likely scenario for the embattled bank. Reporting by Urvi Dugar in Bengaluru Editing by Mark Potter and Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
A group of Wall Street banks led by JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup are set to deposit $30 billion into embattled First Republic Bank. The move comes after fears of depositors pulling funds from the lender ignited a steep sell-off in the bank's stock following Silicon Valley Bank's implosion. Silicon Valley Bank was seized after clients pulled funds after learning a jump in interest rates spurred billions in losses in SVB's bond holdings. First Republic had 68% of its deposits unprotected by the FDIC's insurance limit of $250,000 per account, according to the bank's latest 10-K filing. Silicon Valley Bank had about 94% of its total domestic deposits uninsured, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data.
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