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Exterior of the Turkish Central Bank, known as Turkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankasi in Ankara. In volatile trade after the announcement, the embattled Turkish lira gained ground against the U.S. dollar and euro. Ongoing firm inflation rates pushed the central bank to recently revise its inflation forecast for the year-end from 22.3% to 58%. On Thursday, the bank said it expected year-end inflation to sit in the "upper bound of the forecast range." The central bank on Thursday attributed the ongoing stickiness of national inflation to strong domestic demand, wage pressures, exchange rates, persistent services inflation and tax regulations.
Organizations: Turkish Central Bank, Reuters, Turkish, U.S . Locations: Ankara, Turkey's, London, Turkish
[1/3] Euro currency bills are pictured at the Croatian National Bank in Zagreb, Croatia, May 21, 2019. The services component sank to 48.3 from 50.9, its first time below the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction this year. The single currency weakened after the German data, hitting its lowest level against the dollar since June 15 at $1.0805. "The decline in services activity was a sharp move and we've seen a soft euro environment," said Niels Christensen, chief analyst at Nordea. The spot yuan opened at 7.2870 per dollar on Wednesday and was last changing hands at 7.2899.
Persons: Antonio Bronic, Niels Christensen, Martin Beck, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Nordea's Christensen, Colin Asher, Samuel Indyk, Ankur Banerjee, Kim Coghill, Mark Potter, Chizu Organizations: Croatian National Bank, REUTERS, P, European Central Bank, PMI, Bank of England, Reuters, Federal, Japan's Ministry of Finance, Mizuho, Thomson Locations: Zagreb, Croatia, Britain, July's, U.S, Europe, tenterhooks, Tokyo, London, Singapore
Delegates walk past the logos of the BRICS summit during the 2023 BRICS Summit at the Sandton Convention Centre in Johannesburg, South Africa on August 23, 2023. WHY DOES LULA WANT A BRICS CURRENCY? A BRICS currency "increases our payment options and reduces our vulnerabilities," he told the summit's opening plenary session. In July, India's foreign minister said, "there is no idea of a BRICS currency". WHAT ARE THE CHALLENGES OF SETTING UP A BRICS CURRENCY?
Persons: GIANLUIGI, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, LULA, doesn't, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Lesetja Kganyago, you've, Kganyago, Herbert Poenisch, Putin, Rachel Savage, Ethan Wang, Marcela Ayres, Gabriel Stargardter, Naomi Rovnick, Libby George, Marc Jones, John Stonestreet Organizations: REUTERS Acquire, Rights, Mercosur, South, Zhejiang University, Federal Reserve, FX, International Monetary Fund, Bank of International, Thomson Locations: Sandton, Johannesburg, South Africa, Rights JOHANNESBURG, Brazil, Russia, India, China, Russian, videolink, African, Ukraine, Beijing, Brasilia, Rio de Janeiro, London
Argentina should peg the peso to Brazil's real, not the US dollar, to deal with exchange-rate instability and hyperinflation, an economist said. "If Argentina wants a currency peg so badly - Dollarization is after all just a peg - peg to Brazil," Robin Brooks said. "If Argentina wants a currency peg so badly - Dollarization is after all just a peg - peg to Brazil. AdvertisementAdvertisementSome market experts have also backed the idea of Argentina potentially adopting the US currency – economist Steve Hanke recently called for the nation to mothball its central bank and dollarize. Brooks' latest comments come after he suggested earlier that Argentina needs a recession to fix its crashing currency, not dollarization.
Persons: Robin Brooks, Brooks, Javier Milei, Steve Hanke Organizations: Service, Institute of International Finance, South, greenback Locations: Argentina, Brazil, Wall, Silicon, South American
And more businesses are accepting dollars as payment as the peso crashes. AdvertisementAdvertisementE-commerce giant MercadoLibre, consulting firm Accenture, software developer Globant, and fintech firm Ualá offer partial pay in greenbacks, according to reports. In addition to staff salaries, the private sector is increasingly accepting dollars as a form of payment as well. For example, US website firm GoDaddy stopped accepting Argentinian peso payments in June, changing to dollars. He also suggested Argentina would be better off pegging its currency to the Brazilian real instead of the greenback.
Persons: Javier Milei, fintech's, GoDaddy, ZonaProp, Robin Brooks Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Accenture Locations: Wall, Silicon, greenbacks, Buenos Aires, Argentina
U.S. Dollar and Chinese Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration taken January 30, 2023. Rising U.S. Treasury yields, with benchmark 10-year yields hitting 16-year highs on Tuesday, and unease over China have boosted the dollar this month. "What we're seeing is a bit of a pause," said Fiona Cincotta, senior markets analyst at City Index, in London. The U.S. dollar index - which measures the currency against six major counterparts, was a touch softer at 103.30, holding below Friday's 10-week highs at 103.68. The Australian dollar was 0.4% firmer at $0.6441 as global risk appetite recovered.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Bond, Powell, Jackson, Fiona Cincotta, We've, Kazuo Ueda, Jerome Powell, Sterling, Lee Hardman, Dhara Ranasinghe, Kevin Buckland, Angus MacSwan, Bernadette Baum Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, City Index, Bank of Japan, Federal, Thomson Locations: China, London, , Wyoming, U.S, Toyko
The rupee closed at 82.9350 per U.S. dollar, 0.2% stronger than its close of 83.1075 on Monday. "Inflows for initial public offerings and presence of the central bank around 83.10 levels ensured some strength in the rupee after nearly two weeks of fall," said Anil Bhansali, head treasury at Finrex Treasury Advisors. The easing of the dollar index also aided in helping the rupee strengthen past the 83 mark, a trader with a private bank said. "A large foreign bank was mainly on the selling side," the private bank trader added. India's central bank ensured the rupee did not depreciate significantly despite immense dollar-buying pressure from oil companies, Bhansali said.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Anil Bhansali, Vishnu Prakash R, Jerome Powell's, Jackson, Bhansali, Swati Bhat, Janane Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Companies, Aeroflex Industries, Vishnu, U.S, Traders, Jackson, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India
The Japanese yen , which is on intervention watch, weakened 0.55% versus the greenback at 146.21 per dollar, with analysts now seeing the threshold for intervention at around 150 per dollar. Meanwhile, the offshore yuan , also on watch for intervention, rose 0.3% versus the greenback at 7.2853 per dollar. Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank in London, said a firm dollar is problematic for both central banks since "it threatens to expose both currencies to undesirable weakness." His comments may set the direction for U.S. Treasury yields, which have driven the rise in the dollar in recent weeks. "If Powell stays on the theoretical side of things, that might lower implied volatility of the dollar and lead to a smaller reaction."
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jackson, Sahota, Jane Foley, Jerome Powell, Karl Schamotta, Christine Lagarde, Powell, Laura Matthews, Samuel Indyk, Tom Westbrook, Kirsten Donovan, Mark Potter, Will Dunham, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, U.S . Federal, FX, Fed, Reuters, Rabobank, Treasury, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S ., , Wyoming, San Francisco, China, London, United States, Wyoming, Toronto, New York, Singapore
Coins and banknotes of China's yuan are seen in this illustration picture taken February 24, 2022. Tightening up offshore yuan liquidity could also act to stabilise the yuan, one of the sources said. Following the state bank move, the offshore yuan rallied and was last trading at around 7.2834 per dollar, up around 0.3% on the day. The cost of shorting the yuan jumped, the state bank sources told Reuters, as seen from sudden rises in offshore yuan tomorrow-next forward points . During London trade, offshore yuan forwards jumped across the board amid signs of yuan liquidity tightness, with several banking sources attributing the liquidity squeeze to the activity by banks.
Persons: Florence Lo, Masayuki Kichikawa, Alvin Tan, Kevin Buckland, Ed Osmond, Angus MacSwan Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, greenback, Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management, Reuters, People's Bank of China, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, UBS, Shanghai Newsroom, Thomson Locations: China, London, Asia, Tokyo
Dollar retreats from 2-month high, yuan turns higher
  + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Samuel Indyk | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar index , which measures the currency against six other majors, was last down 0.2% at 103.18, but still close to Friday's two-month high of 103.68. Ten-year yields rose 14 basis points last week and touched a 10-month high of 4.328%, within a whisker of a 15-year high. The offshore yuan had fallen to the weak side of 7.3 per dollar before firming after Reuters reported that state-owned Chinese banks were seen actively mopping up offshore yuan liquidity, a move that raised the cost of shorting the currency. China's currency reversed course in the offshore market and was last up 0.2% to 7.2909 per dollar. Sterling rose slightly to $1.2756 and the Swiss franc was just above a six-week low hit last week at 0.8793 per dollar.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jackson, Michael Brown, I'm, Brown, Jerome Powell, Vishnu Varathan, Adam Cole, Sterling, Samuel Indyk, Tom Westbrook, Kirsten Donovan, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, Trader, Wall, Treasury, Mizuho Bank, New Zealand, Authorities, RBC Capital Markets, Reuters, Swiss, Thomson Locations: Europe, Wyoming, Singapore, China, London
Slumps in the ruble, yuan, and Argentine peso underscore how the US dollar is a more reliable currency, an expert told Insider. In the past week alone, the Chinese yuan, Russian ruble, and the Argentine peso plunged, forcing the countries' central banks to take drastic measures to calm markets. The Chinese currency fell Thursday to its weakest level this year amid investor anxiety over the deepening slowdown in the world's second-largest economy. Last month, Russian president Vladimir Putin said more than 80% of his country's trade with China is settled in the yuan and ruble. "The recent decline and volatility in the Chinese Yuan, the Russian Ruble, and to a lesser extent the Argentine Peso, will only add further challenges to the idea of de-dollarization," Zain Vawda, market analyst at DailyFX, said.
Persons: Slumps, Vladimir Putin, Yuan, Zain, Vawda, Paul Krugman, Larry Summers, It's Organizations: Service, Argentine, International Monetary Fund Locations: Argentine, Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Argentina, Moscow, Beijing, Russian, China
But the US itself poses the biggest threat to the buck's dominance, according to Benn Steil. Debt-ceiling standoffs and “growing weaponization” could undermine the currency, he said. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. "The biggest threat to the dollar's dominance comes not from competitive alternatives, but from the US government itself," Steil, who's the director of international economics for the Council on Foreign Relations, wrote. "Just as the overuse of antibiotics fuels antimicrobial resistance, excessive use of sanctions prompts targeted countries, as well as potential targets, to reduce their engagement with the US financial system," Steil wrote.
Persons: Benn Steil ., Benn Steil, Biden, Fitch, heightening, Vladimir Putin, that's, Elon Musk, Steil Organizations: Service, Project Syndicate, Council, Foreign Relations, International Monetary Fund, European Union Locations: China, Russia, Wall, Silicon, US, Ukraine
Global shares were stuck around two-month lows and Wall Street indexes closed nearly flat and narrowly mixed. Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries stepped back after flirting with 16-year highs earlier in the week. Investors expected the Fed may hold interest rates higher for longer as the U.S. economy continued to show strength. Attention now turns to the Fed and other top central banks' annual gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Investors will scrutinise a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell next Friday for clues about the interest rate outlook.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jackson Hole WASHINGTON, Treasuries, Blake Emerson, Jerome Powell, Powell, Brent, Toby Chopra, Mark Potter, Nick Macfie, Diane Craft, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Jackson, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Global, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, JP Morgan Private Bank, Federal, Securities, U.S, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Jackson Hole, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Japan
U.S. Dollar and Chinese Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 14, 2022. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) set a much stronger-than-expected daily fixing, lifting the yuan from a 9-month low hit on Thursday. The yuan weakened against the dollar to 7.3060 in offshore trading after the PBOC set the official mid-point at 7.2006, more than 1,000 pips stronger than Reuters' estimate. China's economic troubles have deepened, with property developer China Evergrande (3333.HK) seeking Chapter 15 protection in a U.S. bankruptcy court. The Japanese yen strengthened 0.38% versus the greenback at 145.29 per dollar after reaching a nine-month low of 146.56 on Thursday.
Persons: Florence Lo, Joe Manimbo, it's, we've, Joseph Trevisani, that's, Hannah Lang, Joice Alves, Kevin Buckland, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, People's Bank of China, Reuters, China, HK, U.S, Federal, Thomson Locations: U.S, Convera, China, Washington, London, Tokyo
Crude oil was set to snap a seven-week winning streak as China's slowing economic growth clouded the picture for demand. Jason Da Silva, director, global investment strategy at Arbuthnot Latham, said stock markets were paying the price for bond yields soaring as economic data from the United States smash expectations, despite all the rate hikes so far. Euro zone government bond yields also eased on Friday as concerns about the global economy nudged investors into safe-haven government bonds and further signs emerged that euro zone inflation has peaked. The U.S. dollar recovered from an earlier dip and was standing tall near a two-month top at 103.42 against its major peers. Brent crude futures eased 0.5% to $83.67 and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were off 0.4% at $79.99.
Persons: Toby Melville, bitcoin, Thursday's, Jason Da Silva, Arbuthnot Latham, Da Silva, Jerome Powell, HSI, China Evergrande, Toby Chopra, Mark Potter Organizations: London Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies, Jackson, Global, Nasdaq, ING, Treasury, Federal Reserve, CHINA SHADOW, HK, Japan's Nikkei, Bank of, U.S, Brent, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: Canary Wharf, London, Britain, Japan, U.S, China, United States, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, CHINA, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, Beijing, Bank of Japan
The Kremlin's top brass are trying to pass the buck over the ruble's collapse. Russia's central bank governor, Elvira Nabiullina, said the weak ruble is due to changing trade flows. "A weak ruble complicates the economy's structural transformation and negatively influences real household earnings. "Blaming the central bank is like a drunkard's search — looking for the guilty where the light is," she said, the Financial Times reported earlier this week. The Kremlin, Russia's central bank, and Capital Economics did not immediately respond to requests for comment from Insider.
Persons: Putin's, Elvira Nabiullina, Maxim Oreshkin, Vladimir Putin's, Oreshkin, Nabiullina —, , Liam Peach, Putin, Max Seddon, you've Organizations: Service, TASS, Financial Times, Capital Economics Locations: Wall, Silicon, Russian, Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Surgut
The yuan midpoint is a reference point for trading, and caps the range between +2% and -2%. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconFriday's move comes after the onshore yuan fell to a 16-year low against the greenback on Wednesday, trading at 7.2981. The onshore yuan strengthened 0.1% against the greenback at 7.2836 on Friday, and the offshore yuan weakened marginally to 7.3057. The onshore yuan is traded on the mainland and referred to as the CNY, while the offshore yuan — traded in markets like Hong Kong and Singapore — is referred to as the CNH. It vowed to "maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level, and resolutely prevent the risk of exchange rate overshoot."
Persons: Vishnu Varathan Organizations: Nurphoto, People's Bank of, U.S, Reuters, Mizuho Bank Locations: Fuyang city, East China's Anhui, People's Bank of China, Hong Kong, Singapore, Asia, Oceania
[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 24, 2023. Benchmark 10-year yields reached 4.312% in trading and tested October's 4.338%, before moving lower to 4.29%. Tighter credit conditions will eventually dampen economic activity and markets are choppy from the uncertainty," said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for LPL Financial. Wall Street was mixed in the first half of the trading day before accelerating losses as the session ended. Brent crude was up over 1% earlier in the day before settling up 0.35% at $83.74 a barrel.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Yen, Jeffrey Roach, Bill Adams, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Alun John, Anisha, Sonali Paul, Angus MacSwan, Chizu Nomiyama, Nick Macfie, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal, LPL Financial, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S . Labor Department, Comerica Bank, Zhongzhi Enterprise Group, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, CHINA, China, China's, Singapore, London, Bengaluru
The U.S. dollar index was 0.097% higher on the day at 103.56, after hitting a two-month high of 103.59. The greenback has drawn support from a recent run of U.S. economic data reinforcing the view that interest rates will remain high for some time. The Australian dollar was last 0.44% lower at $0.64, having tumbled more than 0.9% to a trough of $0.6365 following the employment data release. The Norwegian crown rose from six-week lows against the dollar and the euro on Thursday after Norges Bank raised interest rates, as expected, and said it was likely to hike again in September. Against the dollar , the Norwegian crown was last up 0.22% to 10.60, having hit 10.66 earlier in the session.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Adam Button, it's, Kathy Lien, Sterling, BoE, Hannah Lang, Joice Alves, Rae Wee, Angus MacSwan, Kirsten Donovan, Alexandra Hudson, Sandra Maler Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Investors, U.S, Fed, Bank of Japan, Zealand, Norges Bank, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Norwegian, Washington, London, Singapore
India bought 1 million barrels of oil from the United Arab Emirates using its own currency instead of US dollars. The Indian Oil Corp settled a payment in rupees with the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company. Nations including India, Russia, and other BRICS members have been pushing to de-dollarize. Monday's deal marked India's first crude oil payment to the UAE in rupees. Leaders from BRICS nations — a bloc that includes Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa — have made a particular push for their own non-dollar currency.
Persons: Dedollarization, Stephen Jen Organizations: United, Indian Oil Corp, Abu, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, Nations, Service, UAE, Eurizon Locations: United Arab Emirates, Abu Dhabi, India, Russia, Wall, Silicon, UAE, China, France, Israel, Brazil, South Africa, Argentina
Asia stocks fall as weak China data weigh
  + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Kane Wu | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
China reported weaker than expected July activity data Tuesday, accompanied by news that Beijing would no longer publish youth unemployment data. Wong said he was most concerned about month-to-month decline of China's retail sales and weak infrastructure investments, which suggested lack of funding from local governments. China's industrial output and retail sales growth both slowed from a month earlier to a year-on-year pace of 3.7% and 2.5% respectively, missing expectations. If the decline begins to accelerate, it will feed back on weaker consumer confidence and weigh on already feeble retail sales growth. All three major U.S. equity indexes ended Tuesday lower, after a stronger-than-expected report on U.S. retail sales data.
Persons: Issei Kato, HONG KONG, Australia's, Redmond Wong, Wong, Hang, John Milroy, Ord Minnett, Tina Teng, Ord Minnett's Milroy, Brent, Kane Wu, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Japan's Nikkei, Saxo Markets, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Fed, New Zealand, CMC, Canada, BHP, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG, Asia, Asia Pacific, China, Beijing, Greater China, Wedneday
That's thanks to a trifecta of inflation, rising interest rates, and currency depreciation against the US dollar. But inflation, rising interest rates and currency depreciation caused a reversal in 2022," UBS analysts wrote in a note. That's sparked an aggressive policy reaction from central banks, which have hiked interest rates sharply over the past year. Higher inflation and interest rates tend to chip away at consumer spending power, eating away at individual savings and wealth. According to UBS, local currency depreciation against the greenback also played a big role in eroding global wealth.
Persons: That's Organizations: UBS, Service, Federal, greenback, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon, Europe, North America, Asia, Pacific, Ukraine
REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsAug 17 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Asian market sentiment on Thursday will again be a mix of caution and nervousness, with familiar roots: a supercharged dollar and rising U.S. bond yields, tightening financial conditions, and deepening concern over China. Goldman Sachs's financial conditions indexes show that Chinese and aggregate emerging market financial conditions have tightened sharply this month, by more than 100 basis points, and are both now the tightest this year. But the pressure on Beijing to do more to support the creaking economy can be seen in the 10-year yield's slide to its lowest since May 2020. Remarkably, China's 10-year yield is now 170 basis points below the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, the widest gap since 2007.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jamie McGeever, Goldman, Brent, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, People's Bank of, Treasury, Thomson, Reuters Locations: China, U.S, Asia, Hong Kong, Philippines, Tokyo, People's Bank of China, Beijing, Japan, Australia
The China gloom saw the Australian and New Zealand dollars, often used as liquid proxies for the yuan, tumbling to their lowest levels since November in early Asia trade. The Aussie bottomed at $0.6440, while the kiwi slid to a low of $0.5939, ahead of a rate decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand later on Wednesday. "But where we are at the moment, I think the jawboning will continue but I'm not convinced that we'll see intervention." The greenback predictably rode Treasury yields higher, with the dollar index eking out a slight gain to 103.22. The euro was little changed at $1.0902, while sterling dipped 0.05% to $1.2696, ahead of U.K. inflation data due later on Wednesday.
Persons: Aninda Mitra, Shunichi Suzuki, Ray Attrill, I'm Organizations: New, Reserve Bank of New, People's Bank of, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Finance, National Australia Bank, Federal Reserve, Treasury Locations: Asia, Beijing, China, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, People's Bank of China, Japan
Banknotes of Japanese yen are seen in this illustration picture taken September 22, 2022. The Aussie bottomed at $0.6440, while the kiwi slid to a low of $0.5939, ahead of a rate decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand later on Wednesday. "But where we are at the moment, I think the jawboning will continue but I'm not convinced that we'll see intervention." The greenback predictably rode Treasury yields higher, with the dollar index ekeing out a slight gain to 103.22. The euro was little changed at $1.0902, while sterling dipped 0.05% to $1.2696, ahead of UK inflation data due later on Wednesday.
Persons: Florence Lo, Aninda Mitra, Shunichi Suzuki, Ray Attrill, I'm, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, New, Reserve Bank of New, People's Bank of, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Finance, National Australia Bank, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Asia, Beijing, China, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, People's Bank of China, Japan
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