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NEW YORK, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said on Friday that the economy's current path appears to indicate that further interest rate increases will not be required. "My outlook is that we are going to stay on that slow and steady [growth path] and if we continue to do that, then I think where we are now will be sufficiently restrictive to get us to the 2% level for inflation," Bostic said in an interview on Bloomberg's television channel. Even so, he said, "There's still a lot that’s going to happen between now and even the next meeting. We're going to get a couple of jobs numbers, we're going to get a couple of readings for inflation, and that'll tell us and give us more signals as to what's going on in the economy." Reporting by Michael S. DerbyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Raphael Bostic, Bostic, We're, Michael S Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Derby, Thomson
Gen Z workers expect to change careers three times in their lives. It found that 73% of Gen Z are not afraid to take a pay cut to pursue a more fulfilling career. AdvertisementAdvertisementGen Z workers are known for their job-hopping tendencies, and a new survey has found that they expect to change their careers at least three times over their lifetimes. It found that Gen Z plans to switch careers at least three times over their working life, which is once more than any other generation before them. Gen Z are more likely to prioritize their wellbeing and happiness than other generations.
Persons: , Gen, Gen Z, X, Gen X, Kristen Buckheit, Zers, Oliver Wyman, they're, Z, doesn't, Nick Bunker, Jeff Hyman, Rockstars, they've Organizations: Resource Solutions, Service, Solutions, Boomers, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, North America, Indeed's, New York Times Locations: Millennials, Chicago
Current CEO Stuart Sopp finds almost half of the firm's payment customers have more than one job. "If you're having a paycheck over the past year, 20, 25% of paycheck depositors have at least one extra job. From DoorDash to Shopify to side businesses, Sopp finds the number is higher than prior years because money doesn't go as far. Sopp launched Current, which provides mobile banking without monthly fees and offers secured credit cards, in 2015. "They're being forced into risks like risky credit cards," noted Sopp, a former Morgan Stanley trader.
Persons: Stuart Sopp, Sopp, CNBC's, doesn't, He's, They're, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Shopify, America, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Many Texas manufacturing businesses are struggling amid economic uncertainty. AdvertisementAdvertisementMany Texas manufacturing businesses are not happy about how the economy is doing. The survey of 94 Texas manufacturers detailed how many Texas manufacturing firms are struggling. Still, the survey's production index, which measures Texas' manufacturing conditions, improved in October, despite a decline in the new orders index. Comments included in the report showed that across manufacturing, businesses are unsure about how to prepare for the future.
Persons: , Raymond James, Larry Adam, Harley Bassman, I'm, there's, David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, we've Organizations: Dallas Fed, Service, Texas Manufacturing, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Companies, Bloomberg, Management Locations: Texas, China, U.S, Ukraine
A view shows the logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. Central banks in Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Great Britain and the United States held no rate setting meetings. That compares to September, where three major developed central banks delivered a last-gasp set of rate hikes, which took 2023 the year-to-date tally for G10 central banks to a total of 1,150 bps across 36 hikes. Emerging markets interest rate moves in Oct 2023Meanwhile, diverging rate trajectories continued to be on display in emerging economies where 12 out of the 18 central banks in the Reuters sample held meetings in October. Central banks in Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, Thailand, Malaysia and Czech Republic did not meet in October.
Persons: Heiko Becker, Fabiana Fedeli, Barnaby Martin, Karin Strohecker, Sumanta Sen, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of New, Bank of Canada, Fed, Bank of England, G Investments, U.S . Federal, Reuters, BofA Securities, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Central, America, Europe, Asia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Great Britain, United States, Chile, Hungary, Poland, Indonesia, Philippines, Russia, Turkey, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, Thailand, Malaysia, Czech Republic
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession risks have receded in the last six to 12 months, says former Richmond Fed presidentJeffrey Lacker, former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his expectations for the Federal Reserve's upcoming decision, what pressures will soon hit the consumer, and the market's expectations for the Fed's rate decisions going forward.
Persons: Jeffrey Lacker Organizations: Richmond Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Federal
REUTERS/Daniel Munoz/file photo Acquire Licensing RightsSYDNEY, Oct 30 (Reuters) - Australian retail sales rose at the fastest pace in eight months in September, suggesting some resilience in consumer spending which would add to the case for an interest rate hike as soon as next week. The Australian dollar rose 0.4% to $0.6360, while three-year government bond yield hit a fresh 12-year high of 4.388%. "Downside risks to household consumption have been a key focus of the RBA, but those do not look to have been realised so far." The broad softening in consumer spending has been one major reason that the RBA has left interest rates unchanged for four straight months now. However, a sustained rebound in housing prices could lend some support to household consumption.
Persons: Daniel Munoz, Ben Dorber, Taylor Nugent, Downside, Stella Qiu, Tom Hogue, Edwina Gibbs, Miral Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank of, Australian Bureau of Statistics, National Australia Bank, Thomson Locations: Sydney's, Australia, Reserve Bank of Australia, Queensland
Reuters GraphicsNEARING THE PEAKMany tenants, particularly in the most expensive city Sydney, have already been priced out of houses. PropTrack data showing house rents nationally were unchanged at A$550 per week, or about A$2,380 ($1,508) per month, in the September quarter. Apartment rents nationally jumped 4% during the quarter, double the June quarter rate of increase, to an average of A$520 per week, making them almost as costly. Prices across Australia's entire rental stock rose 7.6% in the third quarter from a year ago, the largest increase since 2009, according to official data, and similar to gains seen in the U.S. where rental costs have also surged. ($1 = 1.5780 Australian dollars)Reporting by Stella Qiu; Editing by Wayne Cole and Jamie FreedOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Lara Weeks, Weeks, Cameron Kusher, Michele Bullock, Christian Postiglione, Tim Beattie, Beattie, Stella Qiu, Wayne Cole, Jamie Freed Organizations: REA, Reuters Graphics, Reserve Bank of Australia, Nationwide, ANZ, Housing, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, Sydney, U.S, Bondi, Australia, Western Australia, Adelaide
[1/2] The entrance to The Federal Reserve Bank of New York is seen in New York City, U.S., March 13, 2023. The New York Fed agreed to keep the bank's master account open until Koeltl ruled on the preliminary injunction motion. The New York Fed declined to comment. In 2019, the New York Fed said it would stop approving new master accounts for Puerto Rican offshore banks because of sanctions aimed at ousting Venezuela's socialist President Nicolas Maduro. The case is Banco San Juan Internacional Inc v Federal Reserve Bank of New York et al, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, No, 23-06414.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, John Koeltl, BSJI, Koeltl, Nicolas Maduro, Jonathan Stempel, Diane Craft, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, REUTERS, District, Banco San Juan Internacional, New York, New, Fed, New York Fed, Venezuela's, Banco San Juan Internacional Inc, Reserve Bank of New, Court, Southern District of, Thomson Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City, U.S, Puerto Rican, Venezuela . U.S, Manhattan, Venezuela, OPEC, Reserve Bank of New York, Southern District, Southern District of New York, New York
Despite broad success in bringing inflation down from its highs - the easier bit - prices are still rising faster than most central banks would prefer and hitting their inflation targets is likely to be tough. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which often leads the interest rate cycle, was also forecast to wait until July-September 2024 before cutting. The majority backing no cuts until the second half of 2024 has also grown stronger for the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank Indonesia and the Reserve Bank of India. Even the Bank of Japan, the outlier sticking to ultra-loose policy through this entire round of inflation, is now expected to abandon negative interest rates next year. Crucially, most economists agree the first easing steps will not be the beginning of a rapid series of cuts.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Christine Lagarde, Douglas Porter, it's, Nathan Sheets, Hari Kishan, Ross Finley, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, ECB, Fed, BMO, Reserve Bank of New, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank, Reserve Bank of India, Bank of Japan, Citi, Thomson Locations: Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, BENGALURU, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Bank Indonesia, Bengaluru, Buenos Aires, Cairo, Istanbul, Johannesburg, London, Shanghai, Tokyo
"Accepting deposits from and providing financial services to a financial institution with BSJI's record of noncompliance exposes the FRBNY and the financial system to risk," Koeltl wrote. The New York Fed agreed to keep the bank's master account open until Koeltl ruled on the preliminary injunction motion. The New York Fed did not immediately respond to similar requests. In 2019, the New York Fed said it would stop approving new master accounts for Puerto Rican offshore banks because of sanctions aimed at ousting Venezuela's socialist President Nicolas Maduro. The case is Banco San Juan Internacional Inc v Federal Reserve Bank of New York et al, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, No, 23-06414.
Persons: Jonathan Stempel, John Koeltl, BSJI, Koeltl, Nicolas Maduro, Diane Craft Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, District, Banco San Juan Internacional, New York, New, Fed, New York Fed, Venezuela's, Banco San Juan Internacional Inc, Reserve Bank of New, Court, Southern District of Locations: U.S, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Puerto Rican, Venezuela . U.S, Manhattan, Venezuela, OPEC, Reserve Bank of New York, Southern District, Southern District of New York, New York
Nearly 75% of economists, 25 of 33, said spending during this year's festival season, which lasts from October through December, will be higher compared to last year. Among those, 21 said slightly higher and four said significantly higher. "From a year-on-year growth rate perspective, it may not be a substantial upside so to speak." Economists generally agree India needs an even higher growth rate to generate enough jobs for millions of young people who enter the workforce every year. When asked what was India's potential economic growth rate over the next 2-3 years, economists returned a median range of 6.0%-7.0%.
Persons: Anushree, Dhiraj Nim, Alexandra Hermann, Milounee Purohit, Anant Chandak, Susobhan Sarkar, Veronica Khongwir, Hari Kishan, Ross Finley, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, Reserve Bank of, ANZ Research, Oxford Economics, Thomson Locations: Delhi, India, Reserve Bank of India
Anita A. Summers, an economist at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania who injected quantitative rigor into a wide variety of public policy topics, including zoning, education and tax incentives, died on Sunday at her home in Gladwyne, Pa. She was 98. Her son Lawrence H. Summers, the economist and former secretary of the Treasury, confirmed the death. Though she spent much of her career in academia, Mrs. Summers was far from a hidebound intellectual. She was the founding chairwoman of Wharton’s public policy and management department, the first of its kind at a business school. (It is now called the department of business economics and public policy.)
Persons: Anita, Summers, Lawrence H Organizations: Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Treasury, Wharton, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Locations: Gladwyne, Pa
Big central banks hit pause, with rate cuts far off
  + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
On Oct. 23, Fed Chair Jay Powell said a strong economy and tight jobs market could warrant more rate rises. Interest rate futures show traders believe the BoE will not cut rates, now at their highest since 2008, until at least June 2024. "The Governing Council’s past interest rate increases continue to be transmitted forcefully into financing conditions," the ECB said, adding it would follow a "data-dependent" approach and future decisions would be based on incoming data. Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Stoere told parliament last week interest rates may have peaked. Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics8) AUSTRALIAThe Reserve Bank of Australia held rates steady at 4.1% for a fourth meeting in October.
Persons: Jonathan Ernst, Jay Powell, BoE, Jonas Gahr Stoere, Michele Bullock, Naomi Rovnick, Harry Robertson, Alun John, Yoruk Bahceli, Samuel Indyk, Chiara Elisei, Kripa Jayaram, Pasit, Riddhima, Sumanta Sen, Vineet, Amanda Cooper, Giles Elgood Organizations: . Federal, REUTERS, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, UNITED, Reuters, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, BRITAIN, Bank of Canada, BoC, ECB, Norges Bank, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Washington, Japan, hawkish, dovish, NORWAY, SWEDEN Sweden, SWITZERLAND, Swiss, Gaza, JAPAN
Savings accounts are low interest rate-bearing deposits offered by Indian banks, forming a third of their total deposits. Public sector banks offer interest rates between 2.70% to 4% on savings deposits, while large private banks offer rates between 3% to 4.50%. Savings deposits rate of banks vs RBI's repo rateThe RBI has been nudging banks at meetings to raise savings deposit rates and may need to push them again if required, the same source said. The RBI said in its monetary policy report that while the increase in term deposit rates in the current tightening cycle has exceeded that in lending rates, savings deposit rates have remained almost unchanged. Yes Bank (YESB.NS), Kotak Mahindra Bank (KTKM.NS) and IndusInd Bank (INBK.NS) are among lenders that have recently said they have no plans to raise savings deposit rates.
Persons: Anushree, Siddhi Nayak, Swati Bhat, Nivedita Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, REUTERS, Rights, Savings, Reuters, Yes Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, IndusInd Bank, Siddhi, Thomson Locations: New Delhi, India, Rights MUMBAI
A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsMUMBAI, Oct 25 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee rose marginally on Wednesday, helped by retreating oil prices and U.S Treasury yields, while the dollar/rupee cash swap rate indicated that dollar liquidity was less than sufficient. The rupee was at 83.1500 to the U.S. dollar at 11:53 a.m. IST, up from its previous close of 83.1925 but slightly below its open at 83.0650. Meanwhile, USD/INR swap rate for today over tomorrow was at 0.15 paisa following the expiry of the Reserve Bank of India's $5 billion swap on Monday. At 0.15 paisa, the imputed rupee lending rate for raising dollars is 6%, which is 80 basis points below the rupee call rate.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Brent, Morgan Stanley, Nimesh Vora, Varun Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, U.S, Reserve Bank, India's, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, Asia, U.S
SYDNEY, Oct 26 (Reuters) - The head of Australia's central bank on Thursday said the strong third-quarter inflation report was around policymakers' expectations, and they were still considering whether it would warrant a rate rise. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock warned earlier this week that the central bank will not hesitate to raise interest rates further if there is a "material" upward revision to the outlook. Bullock noted that goods inflation is coming down as desired, but services inflation is higher than what policymakers were comfortable with. The third quarter inflation was higher than what the central bank had forecast in August, which raised concerns about whether the RBA can get inflation back to the target band of 2-3% in late 2025, an already protracted path compared with other major economies. Reporting by Stella Qiu; Editing by Leslie Adler, Sonali Paul and Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Michele Bullock, Bullock, Stella Qiu, Leslie Adler, Sonali Paul Organizations: SYDNEY, Reserve Bank of Australia, Thomson
[1/3] A woman passes by The Federal Reserve Bank of New York in New York City, U.S., March 13, 2023. The New York Fed foray into the topic comes as the central bank has retreated from the climate issue after facing heat from some members of Congress. Meanwhile, the central bank formally joined in late 2020 with other major central banks in efforts to shore up the financial system against climate-related disruptions. Some in Congress have seen the Fed’s climate work as a sign of a politicized central bank. That said, the Fed has not ruled out thinking about how climate disruptions affect the full measure of the economy.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, there's, Jerome Powell, Loretta Mester, John Williams, ” Williams, Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, REUTERS, , New York Fed, Fed, Cleveland Fed, Queens College, Thomson Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City, U.S, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Puerto Rico, Congress
Markets are wagering both the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are done with hiking. HAWKISH MESSAGINGThe recent messaging from the central bank has been on the hawkish side. The biggest contributors to the third quarter inflation were fuel, rents, and electricity. Fuel prices rose 7.2% from a year ago, reversing two quarters of price falls, with the conflict in the Middle East potentially set to further stoke inflationary pressures. The central bank forecast in August that inflation was only projected to return to the top of the bank's target band of 2-3% in late 2025.
Persons: David Gray, Worryingly, Adam Boyton, Gareth Aird, Michele Bullock, Woolworths WOW.AX, Taylor Nugent, Stella Qiu, Wayne Cole, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank of Australia, Australian Bureau, Statistics, Wednesday, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, ANZ, Economics, CBA, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Woolworths, National Australia Bank, NAB, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Australia
Asia markets mixed ahead of Australia's inflation figures
  + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
An aerial view of the central business district and Sydney Opera House on February 17, 2023. David Gray | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets are mixed as investors prepare for Australia's third-quarter inflation figures, which will give clues to the Reserve Bank of Australia's monetary policy decision when it meets on Nov. 3. Economists polled by Reuters expect the headline inflation rate to come in at 5.3%, lower than the 6% seen in the second quarter. In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 extended gains from Tuesday, climbing 0.32% in the morning session. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 17,480, pointing to a rebound after the HSI ended at its lowest level since Nov. 10.
Persons: David Gray, Kospi, HSI Organizations: Sydney Opera House, Getty, Reserve Bank, Reuters, Nikkei Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia
[1/2] U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Against the dollar, the euro was last 0.05% higher at $1.0595, having declined 0.75% on Tuesday. The euro is the most heavily weighted currency in the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six peers. "By contrast, the U.S. Federal Reserve could continue to raise interest rates just because the economic data looks strong." Pressure is mounting on the Bank of Japan to change its bond yield control as global interest rates rise.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Tina Teng, Matt Simpson, Bitcoin, John Glover, Rae Wee, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Wednesday, European Central Bank, CMC Markets, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Australia, Wednesday .
REUTERS/Issei Kato/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 26 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Asian markets on Thursday are set to open on the defensive, with sentiment battered by one of the biggest selloffs of the year in U.S. tech stocks and a renewed spike in longer-dated U.S. Treasury bond yields the day before. The fog of uncertainty descended further over China's embattled property sector after it was reported on Wednesday that China's largest private lender Country Garden has defaulted on a U.S. dollar bond for the first time. But the broader tone in Asia on Thursday will be set by another decline in U.S. stocks and bonds. The global market moves represented a familiar pattern since the flare-up in Middle East violence nearly three weeks ago - higher bond yields, a 'bear steepening' of the U.S. yield curve, a stronger dollar, and higher oil and gold prices.
Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, Michele Bullock's, Bullock, Josie Kao Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Treasury, Reserve Bank of Australia, Central Bank, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Singapore, Asia, East, Korean, Korea
The dollar was on the front foot on Wednesday, drawing support from yet another resilient U.S. economic data reading, while the euro struggled to make headway on the back of a darkening growth outlook in the bloc. Against the dollar, the euro was last 0.05% higher at $1.0595, having declined 0.75% on Tuesday. The euro is the most heavily weighted currency in the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six peers. "By contrast, the U.S. Federal Reserve could continue to raise interest rates just because the economic data looks strong." Pressure is mounting on the Bank of Japan to change its bond yield control as global interest rates rise.
Persons: Tina Teng, Matt Simpson, Bitcoin, John Glover Organizations: Wednesday, European Central Bank, CMC Markets, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia's Locations: Bogota, Australia, Wednesday .
Oct 25 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Upbeat U.S. economic data often fuels Fed rate hike expectations, dragging stocks and other asset markets lower. In Asia on Wednesday, South Korea's LG Display is expected to show a fall in quarterly revenue when it reports results. On the economic data front, annual consumer inflation in Australia is expected to slow to 5.3% in the third quarter from 6.0% in the April-June period. The Australian dollar liked what it heard, bucked the global trend of widespread weakness against the U.S. dollar, and goes into the inflation data on the front foot around $0.6360.
Persons: Jamie McGeever, Michele Bullock, Lan Foan, Xi Jinping, Josie Kao Organizations: Microsoft, Google, South, LG, Apple, Reserve Bank of Australia, U.S ., South Korea LG, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Asia, Australia, China, Beijing, South Korea
A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. Non-deliverable forwards (NDFs) indicate the rupee will open at around 83.16-83.18 to the U.S. dollar, compared with 83.1225 in the previous session. The rupee on Friday managed a small relief rally on aggressive intervention by the RBI in NDFs and spot. Its looks like the intervention "will not prove too sticky" and the rupee "will be back under pressure", a forex trader at a bank said. The RBI's swap maturity has promoted concerns about a dollar crunch and the central bank, like last week, may once again be a provider of dollars, according to traders.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Nimesh Vora, Sonia Cheema Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank, India's, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Fed, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, NDFs
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