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☆ Trump’s promises would spike inflation and wipe out jobs, study finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

The paper represents the most comprehensive analysis to date on the combined impact of Trump’s trade, immigration and Fed proposals. In that scenario, employment would be 9% lower than baseline by 2028 and inflation would surge to 9.3% by 2026. “So-called economists and experts doubted President Trump’s economic plans in his first term. That means the same factory workers Trump says he is trying to help would be hurt the most. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who was nominated by Trump in 2017, cautioned against any effort to interfere with Fed independence.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, “, Warwick McKibbin, Megan Hogan, Marcus Noland, they’ll, ” Karoline Leavitt, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Trump, McKibbin, Mark Zandi, ”, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, We’re Organizations: CNN, Republican, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, Trump, Security, ”, Peterson, Moody’s, Bloomberg Locations: United States, China, America, Georgia, Michigan, outflows

☆ Ron Insana: China's stock rally won't last because its economic problems run too deep
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

China's stock market has recently rebounded on the promise of further economic and market stimulus. The measures include cuts to a variety of interest rates , as well as support for China's flagging real estate sector . China's stimulus efforts The Shanghai Composite has rallied sharply in the aftermath of those moves but remains about 50% below its all-time high of nearly 6,000, last seen in 2007. These moves have failed to boost growth or lead to a durable and sustainable stock market rally. The U.S. stock market accounted for roughly 60% of global stock market valuation in 2023.

Persons: David Tepper, Let's, Ron Insana Organizations: Bank, Atlanta, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, European Union, U.S . Energy, Administration, The, U.S, Olympus, CNBC Locations: United States, China, It's, Shanghai, U.S, Beijing, Europe, Canada, European, The U.S, Russia, Iran, North Korea

☆ Veteran investor Dietze names the sectors — and stocks — he likes right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Favorable valuations Small-cap stocks are one area Dietze is watching closely, given that they are trading at a "discount." Interest in small-cap stocks picked up in July and while the outlook has been mixed, he likes that "valuations are favorable" right now. Emerging markets Another popular segment Dietze is focusing on is emerging markets, thanks to the potential from their rapidly growing population numbers. Countries classified as emerging markets include China, India, South Korea, Taiwan and Brazil. Year-to-date, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is up 0.56%.

Persons: Dow Jones, David Dietze, CNBC's, Dietze's, Russell, Jerome, Dietze, Hershey, —, Jesse Pound Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, mull, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, CNBC, Myers Squibb, BHP Group Locations: U.S ., U.S, China, India, South Korea, Taiwan, Brazil, Bristol

☆ Gold lingers near record highs, Powell's speech eyed for rate cues
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices were steady on Thursday, hovering close to record highs, on expectations of another big U.S. rate cut this year, although gains were limited ahead of remarks by key Federal Reserve policymakers later in the day. Gold prices were steady on Thursday, hovering close to record highs, on expectations of another big U.S. rate cut this year, although gains were limited ahead of remarks by key Federal Reserve policymakers later in the day. Bullion has risen nearly 29% so far in 2024 and hit record highs several times this year, largely fueled by monetary policy easing by major global banks and geopolitical concerns. Last Wednesday, the Fed delivered a 50-basis-point rate cut, with traders seeing a 62% chance of an additional half-percentage-point reduction in November, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Additionally, U.S. jobless claims data on Thursday and the core personal consumption expenditure index — the Fed's preferred inflation — on Friday, will be eyed for further rate cues.

Persons: Tim Waterer, Bullion, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Michael Barr, Nicholas Frappell Organizations: U.S ., KCM, Fed, New York Fed, ABC Refinery Locations: .

☆ It's refinancing time: Americans are already capitalizing on lower rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The Mortgage Bankers Association's refinancing index jumped 20.3% last week to its highest in two years. That comes as the 30-year fixed mortgage rate dipped 2 basis points to 6.13% last week. Mortgage rates have fallen recently amid Federal Reserve easing and expectations for further rate cuts. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! The surge in refinancing activity comes as mortgage rates fall as the market prices in expected easing from the Federal Reserve.

Persons: — Organizations: Mortgage, Reserve, Service, Fed, Federal Reserve, Business

☆ David Tepper says the Fed has to cut rates at least two or three more times to keep credibility
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Appaloosa Management's David Tepper said investors should believe the Federal Reserve when it says it will lower interest rates because the central bank has now to keep credibility. "Probably two or three interest rates, 25 basis point cuts, they have to do, or they lose credibility," Tepper said. You know, another 25, 25, 25 seems like it's going to have to be done." The super-sized rate cut last week came despite most economic indicators looking fairly solid. "It was around the 90s in that market where the where the Fed cut rates into Y2K in a good economy," he said.

Persons: David Tepper, Tepper, " Powell, Jerome Powell, Rich, " Tepper Organizations: Federal Reserve, Gross, Atlanta Fed, U.S, National Football League's Carolina Panthers Locations: U.S, China

☆ Here's why Wells Fargo is our top performer Thursday — plus, 3 things we want from Costco's earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Chipping away: Shares of Wells Fargo popped around 5% on signs of progress in its multiyear journey to clean up its operations and have its Federal Reserve-mandated asset cap removed. In addition, this news pushes back on the idea that Wells Fargo recently suffered a regulatory setback. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Wells, Wells Fargo, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Micron, Street, Department of Justice, AMD, Starbucks, Chipping, Reserve, Bloomberg News, Fed, Bloomberg, Currency, Club, Costco, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: China, Wells

☆ Hedge fund billionaire David Tepper says he's loading up on Chinese stocks after the nation's stimulus bazooka
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

David Tepper is growing even more bullish on Chinese stocks amid the nation's new fiscal stimulus measures. Tepper views China's stock market as more attractive than the US stock market due to valuation differences. AdvertisementIt's a buy "everything" moment for Chinese stocks after the country launched a fiscal stimulus bazooka this week, according to billionaire investor David Tepper. But Tepper believes Chinese stocks have plenty of room to run higher, even after the recent surges. On US markets, Tepper said he is not following his buy "everything" mantra with Chinese stocks and is being more selective in buying US stocks.

Persons: David Tepper, Tepper, —, Pan Gongsheng, Donald Trump, he's Organizations: Service, CNBC, Fed, Federal, People's Bank of China, PDD Holdings, Tencent Holdings, Management, Wynn Resorts, Vegas Sands, Baidu, China Internet Locations: China, Vegas

☆ These real estate stocks top Bank of America’s buy list
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Investors looking to get in on the recent rise in real estate stocks should focus on quality, according to Bank of America. The real estate sector of the S & P 500 has been moving higher over the past month or so and is now up 10% year to date, after being in the red earlier this year. Real estate investment trusts are also an income play, often paying out attractive dividends. .SPLRCR YTD mountain S & P 500 Real Estate Sector The Federal Reserve started its rate-cutting cycle last week, slashing the federal funds rate by 50 basis points. Health-care real estate is a play on the aging of America , which will see more people seeking medical services and senior housing, Hall said.

Persons: Jill Carey Hall, REITs, Hall, Jeffrey Spector, Welltower, Spector Organizations: Bank of America, Real, Federal Reserve, Communities, American, Federal Realty Investment Trust Locations: America, U.S

☆ Elusive orca group hunts dolphins off Chile, new images reveal
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Mindy Weisberger | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The scientists had previously documented orcas (Orcinus orca) in the region chasing both dusky dolphins and long-beaked common dolphins (Delphinus capensis). Dusky dolphins measure about 7 feet (2 meters) long and weigh up to 187 pounds (85 kilograms). The Humboldt Current orcas weren’t eating dolphins exclusively; they hunted leatherback sea turtles, South American fur seals and Humboldt penguins, according to the study. But Humboldt Current orcas have a smaller white eye patch than known Type A orcas. A similar interaction was previously documented in Australia between an orca and a diver, but had never been observed in the Humboldt Current.

Persons: orcas, Luis Aguilar, CETALAB, Sarah Teman, ”, Teman, “, Ana Maria García Cegarra, Alexander von Humboldt, García Cegarra, ‘, García, ” Teman, Mindy Weisberger Organizations: CNN, Northern, Southern Hemisphere, Marine Science, Humboldt, of, Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Alexander von Humboldt Institute of Natural Sciences, Chile’s University of Antofagasta, Research, Humboldt Penguin National Reserve, Hemisphere, International Union for, Chile’s Ministry of, Scientific Locations: Chile, South America, South, Antarctica, North America, Strait, Gibraltar, Scotland, Humboldt, Seattle, orcas, California, Argentina, New Zealand, Washington, British Columbia, Canada, American, Chilean Patagonia, Australia

☆ I'm a teacher and a mother of 4 who hates mornings. Doing these 3 things makes them bearable.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Nicole Johnson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Now, a few decades later, I'm a mother of four, ages 19, 18, 13, and 11, and getting a head-start in the mornings has become necessary. While I may never love rising with the sun as my grandparents did, I have found a few things that help to make my mornings both successful and, more importantly, bearable. I've learned that preparation is everythingBenjamin Franklin said, "If you fail to prepare, you prepare to fail." I alternate between night and morning showers so that I can sleep a bit later on my no-shower mornings. Mornings have always been hard, but with a few simple steps, I have figured out how to make them bearable.

Persons: I'm, I've, Benjamin Franklin Organizations: Service

☆ 'Big Short' investor Michael Burry bet half of his portfolio on Chinese stocks. It's finally starting to pay off.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Famed "Big Short" investor Michael Burry is benefiting from the recent surge in Chinese stocks. Burry began aggressively buying Chinese stocks in the fourth quarter of 2022, and it seems to finally be paying off. AdvertisementBurry also has 12% of his portfolio invested in Baidu, and another 12% of his portfolio invested in JD.com. Billionaire investor David Tepper said on Thursday that it's a buy "everything" moment for Chinese stocks. Tepper believes there's more upside to be had in Chinese stocks due to their depressed valuations.

Persons: Michael Burry, —, Burry, Alibaba, David Tepper, Tepper, there's Organizations: Scion, Management, Service, Scion Asset Management, Baidu, People's Bank of China, Alibaba, CNBC Locations: JD.com, China, HedgeFollow, China's

☆ Australia's inflation rate has come within its target range, but rate cuts likely won't come anytime soon
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Australia's inflation rate has come within the RBA's target range in the month of August, easing from 3.5% in July to 2.7%., according to a Wednesday release from the country's Bureau of Statistics. The drop puts the rate below the Reserve Bank of Australia's target range of 2%-3% for the first time since August 2021. He said that while the relief programs will bring headline inflation to the top of the RBA's target range, the RBA will be "looking through" these subsidies and focusing on core inflation. He writes, "the path of core inflation back to the target range has stalled somewhat, and it is hard to see a major improvement in the near term. We think the bank will need to see three more inflation prints before they are comfortable embarking on an easing cycle."

Persons: Australia's, Michelle Bullock, Bullock, Sean Langcake, Langcake Organizations: Statistics, Reserve Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, ., Australia's Locations: SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA, Sydney, Australia, country's, Oxford

☆ CNBC's Inside India newsletter: Can India grow as fast as China did?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Yet, India's central bank appeared to dismiss the negativity earlier this month and reiterated its bullish view of India's growth rate, still expecting the economy to grow by 7.2%. However, when prompted on whether India's growth rate could compete with what China has already achieved for over two decades, the governor was less buoyant. But if you are looking at 10-plus growth, before I venture into that, I have to really do my homework much more," Governor Das said. This week, China's central bank, President Xi Jinping and other top leaders announced plans to boost the country's economy and attract investment. If India intends to grow as fast as China did, it may have to get a move on.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Shaktikanta Das, Das, Narendra Modi, he's, –, Xi Jinping, David Tepper, he'd, Kaanhari Singh Organizations: Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Reserve Bank of India, CNBC, Bank, Appaloosa Management, Barclays Locations: Wall, India, China

☆ Treasury yields hold steady as investors look to economic data, Fed speaker comments
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by less than one basis point to 3.7791%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.5653% after rising by over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Thursday as investors looked to fresh economic data and remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Economists polled by Dow Jones are expecting weekly initial jobless claims to come in at 223,000 for the most recent period. Elsewhere, the Swiss National Bank on Thursday cut its key interest rate by a quarter point, marking the third reduction this year.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Swiss National Bank Locations: U.S

☆ Janet Yellen didn't name Trump in her big speech, but her fears of his anti-regulation stance loomed large
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewSpeaking at the US Treasury Market Conference on Thursday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen referenced her predecessors — and their mistakes — often. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. "In January 2021, I stepped into a Treasury Department whose focus on financial stability had all but disappeared," she said. "Put simply, we were without crucial tools to identify and help respond to risks to financial stability," she said. Related storiesThere's nothing indicating that a second Trump administration would bring a different attitude toward regulation than his first.

Persons: —, Janet Yellen, Donald Trump, Yellen, Trump's, Trump, Steven Mnuchin, Jon Hilsenrath, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, US Treasury Market Conference, Business, Treasury Department, Federal Reserve, Securities, Exchange, Politico, Trump, Wall Street Locations: Basel III, mull

☆ Harris and Trump want to make stuff in America again. That’s really hard to do
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

And it’ll be tough for either Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump to turn that around if elected, no matter their grandiose campaign promises. Put together, such investments have resulted in a sharp pick-up in construction spending by manufacturers, according to government data. Manufacturing’s main pain points are sluggish demand and elevated interest rates, according to recent manufacturing surveys by the Institute for Supply Management and S&P Global. And, of course, there are issues specific to certain sectors of the manufacturing industry. It could get better, but it’s not clear whenIt’s not all doom and gloom for the manufacturing industry.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Biden, haven’t, hasn’t, Harris, ” Harris, Trump, ” Chris Williamson, ” Timothy Fiore, There’s, ” Lauren Goodwin, ” Organizations: Washington CNN, Act, Congress, Private, Manufacturers, Labor Department, Institute for Supply Management, P, P Global Market Intelligence, ISM’s Manufacturing, Survey, P Global, Boeing, Federal, New York Life Investments Locations: America, Pittsburgh, Savannah, China, Pennsylvania, Korea, North Carolina, Germany, Georgia

☆ Swiss central bank cuts rates by a quarter point in third trim this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Ruxandra Iordache | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A view of the headquarters of the Swiss National Bank (SNB), before a press conference in Zurich, Switzerland, March 21, 2024. It was the first major Western central bank to reduce interest rates back in March. Domestically, Swiss inflation remains subdued, with the latest headline print pointing to a 1.1% annual increase in August. Further cuts in the SNB policy rate may become necessary in the coming quarters to ensure price stability over the medium term," it added. He added that the central bank may nevertheless have to reduce rates again to retain inflation in the 0-2% target range.

Persons: exacerbation, Swissmem, SNB, Kyle Chapman, Chapman, Thomas Jordan, Jordan, Adrian Prettejohn, Prettejohn Organizations: Swiss National Bank, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Swiss, U.S ., ING, Ballinger Group, Reuters, Capital Economics Locations: Zurich, Switzerland, Swiss, Europe

☆ How rate cuts impact the housing market
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow rate cuts impact the housing marketDon Peebles, Peebles Corp chair and CEO, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss Peebles' thoughts on the Federal Reserve's moves, why they may need to do more, and if the economy needs a series of bigger rate cuts still.

Persons: Don, Peebles Organizations: Peebles Corp, Federal Locations: Don Peebles, Peebles

☆ Employment data points to two 25bps cuts to end the year, says PIMCO's Richard Clarida
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEmployment data points to two 25bps cuts to end the year, says PIMCO's Richard ClaridaRichard Clarida, PIMCO global economic advisor and former Federal Reserve vice chairman, joins CNBC's 'Closing Bell' to the Fed's path for rate cuts moving forward, the validity recession fears, and more.

Persons: PIMCO's Richard Clarida Richard Clarida Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ Dollar firm following sharp rebound as Fed speakers eyed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Earlier this week, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said policymakers "can't be behind the curve" if the economy is to have a soft landing. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said the central bank needn't go on a "mad dash" to lower rates. Later Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell gives pre-recorded remarks at a conference in New York, where New York Fed President John Williams also speaks. Boston Fed President Susan Collins and Fed Governors Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook take to the podium at various other venues as well. Minutes from the Bank of Japan's July meeting, when the central bank raised short-term interest rates, showed policymakers were divided on how quickly the central bank should raise interest rates further.

Persons: Adriana Kugler, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, I'm, it's, Kenneth Crompton, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Susan Collins, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, NAB's Crompton, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Reserve, Fed, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed, National Australia Bank, New York Fed, Boston, Weekly U.S, Traders, Bank of Japan's, Swiss Locations: New York

☆ The Fed slashed interest rates last week, but Treasury yields are rising. What's going on?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Treasury market, though, hasn't been paying attention. Watching the curveThe difference between the 10- and 2-year notes has widened significantly, increasing by about 12 basis points since the Fed meeting. That sentiment is evident in the "breakeven" inflation rate, or the difference between standard Treasury and Treasury Inflation Protected Securities yields. The 5-year breakeven rate, for instance, has risen 8 basis points since the Fed meeting and is up 20 basis points since Sept. 11. watch nowFed officials aim for a 2% inflation rate, and none of the principal gauges are there yet.

Persons: Anna Moneymaker, hasn't, Jonathan Duensing, — haven't, Robert Tipp Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, Treasury, Amundi, Fed, CME, Treasury Inflation Locations: Washington , DC

☆ These China stocks are favored by analysts no matter how the central bank stimulus pans out
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Stocks in China rose in response, with the CSI 300 Index climbing 4.3% Tuesday, its best day since July 2020. But whether or not the latest policy steps succeed, CNBC Pro screened for China stocks that analysts praise regardless of the pace of economic growth at home. About three quarters of analysts covering PDD rate it a buy, and the stock could climb roughly 43% based on analysts' consensus price target. On Tuesday, after the announcement of the latest policies to revive the flagging China economy, PDD shares in the U.S. jumped more than 11%. Other names on the list of favored China stocks included online learning and tutoring provider TAL Education Group and digital shipping platform Full Truck Alliance .

Persons: Hong, Morgan Stanley, Terence Flynn, Flynn, CoreValues, Ben Harburg, CNBC's, Harburg, Biden Organizations: People's Bank of China, CSI, CNBC Pro, China ETF, Therapeutics, YE25, U.S, TAL Education Group, Alliance Locations: China, Ph3, U.S

☆ Bitcoin rallied on Thursday, but recent history says this pop will fade as well
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bitcoin rallied on Thursday, but if trading this year is any guide, this pop will be one to fade. Bitcoin is down 13% from its March 13 record and ether has tumbled 34% in the same period. With a year-to-date gain of 50%, bitcoin is considered to be in a bull cycle that began in March 2023. The most recent Bitcoin halving took place in April, and the post-halving highs historically don't come until about 18 months after the supply cutting event . Between the popularity of bitcoin ETFs that launched in January, the slowing of the bitcoin supply and a slew of other macro and micro catalysts, many traders are holding out for a price surge.

Persons: Bitcoin, it's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg Organizations: Federal Reserve, BTC, Securities, Exchange, & $

☆ Rooney: The labor market drives the consumer, and the consumer drives the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRooney: The labor market drives the consumer, and the consumer drives the economyKathryn Rooney Vera, Chief Market Strategist at StoneX, discusses the significance of consumer data in relation to the labor market and Federal Reserve actions

Persons: Email Rooney, Kathryn Rooney Vera Organizations: Federal

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