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☆ Pressure grows for US regulatory intervention as bank rout deepens
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

"Investors are clearly continuing to focus on remaining players that are deemed the weakest," wrote UBS banking analyst Erika Najarian on Thursday. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. did not respond to a request for comment. Critics say increasing deposit insurance could encourage risk-taking, and note regulators have fewer tools to rescue banks following the 2008 financial crisis. The latest crisis began in March when runs on Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank led to their abrupt closures, leading depositors to move their cash to bigger banks. To stem the contagion, regulators took emergency steps to reimburse all customers at the two banks, while the Fed offered lenders additional liquidity.

☆ Apple's quarter eases concerns about mobile device demand, with a China sales beat to boot
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Revenue in Apple's fiscal second quarter of $94.84 billion dropped 3% year-over-year but beat expectations of $92.96 billion. Bottom line Apple bounced back nicely from the supply-constrained December quarter to deliver record March quarter results across a few key categories and metrics. It's hard to tell if Apple's results were enough to send shares in the near term back to all-time highs of about $176 each, set back in August. In its March quarter, Apple returned $23 billion via the repurchase of 129 million shares valued at $19.1 billion and $3.7 billion in dividends. For the current June quarter, Apple expects year-over-year revenue performance to be similar to the March quarter result, assuming no worsening macro outlook.

☆ Spirit AeroSystems takes $110 million in charges, profit hit on Boeing 737
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Valerie Insinna | Abhijith Ganapavaram | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Inc on Wednesday took a hefty $110 million loss in reach-forward charges on Airbus and Boeing jet production and expects a further hit of $31 million to full-year gross profit from disruptions related to a Boeing 737 MAX fuselage production problem. Slideshow ( 2 images )The company announced $110 million in charges on the Airbus A220, Airbus A350 and Boeing 787 during its first-quarter results. Spirit now expects cash burn of about $100 million to $150 million in 2023 due to the risk of lowered 737 fuselage deliveries. The company has also started to build and deliver production-conforming 737 fuselages under a revised process, it said. Cash burn was $69 million in the first quarter, compared with a cash burn of $298 million a year ago.

☆ The Debt Limit Standoff is a New Economic Headwind for the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Alan Rappeport | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The Federal Reserve’s decision about whether to continue raising interest rates comes at a fraught economic moment for the United States, with President Biden and Republicans in Congress locked in a standoff over how to raise the nation’s debt limit. High inflation and instability in the banking system continue to weigh on the United States economy, but a more pressing concern is the prospect of a default. Analysts and economists have increasingly warned that a default could send financial markets plunging and tip the United States, and perhaps the global economy, into a recession. A Treasury official pointed to the debt limit as a top risk facing the economy, saying that failure to raise the borrowing cap would cause a financial crisis of “historic proportion” and a sharp economic contraction that would leave millions of Americans facing unemployment. It would also probably trigger a spike in borrowing costs and prevent Social Security and Medicare beneficiaries from receiving their benefits.

The company for the first time broke out financial results for its Ford Blue, Ford Pro and Ford Model e units. Ford Blue earnings before interest and taxes doubled to $2.56 billion, a margin of 10.4%, and Ford Pro EBIT nearly tripled to $1.4 billion, a margin of 10.3%. For 2023, the automaker expects full-year EBIT for Ford Blue to climb slightly to $7 billion, while Ford Pro EBIT could nearly double, to almost $6 billion. Its combustion-vehicle business, Ford Blue, averaged pretax profit of $3,715 a vehicle, while the Ford Pro commercial business earned $4,053 per vehicle, based on the company's financial data. Most of the pricing improvement Ford achieved during the quarter came from the company's Ford Pro commercial vehicles.

☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls of the day: Apple, Ferrari, Dell, Tesla, Chegg, Penn & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-02 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

"We initiate coverage of AMRC shares with a Buy rating and $60 PT implying ~45% upside potential." Barclays downgrades Shoals to underweight from equal weight Barclays said in its downgrade of the solar company that shares of Shoals are overvalued. Morgan Stanley upgrades Dell to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley says it's getting more constructive on shares of the PC giant. " Barclays initiates Ferrari as equal weight Barclays said in its initiation of the stock that it's waiting for a better entry point. Cowen reiterates Target and Walmart as outperform Cowen said it's standing by its outperform rating on the big box giants.

☆ Warren Buffett's business partner warns of a credit crunch in commercial real estate - and says it's a tough time to be an investor
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-02 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Charlie Munger warned of a nationwide pullback in lending to the commercial real estate industry. Warren Buffett's partner said investors face stiff competition and an interest-rate headwind. He flagged that many of them have suffered painful blows to their loan portfolios from declines in real estate prices, and pointed to office buildings and shopping centers as particular headaches. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic Bank in recent weeks has stoked concerns of a wider credit crunch. Real estate investors rely heavily on debt, which has grown more costly thanks to rising interest rates.

☆ Stocks making the biggest premarket moves: Uber, Pfizer, Chegg, Dell & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-02 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Chegg — Chegg shares tumbled 42% in premarket trading after CEO Dan Rosensweig said he expects artificial intelligence is "having an impact on our new customer growth rate." However, its adjusted earnings per share and revenue for the first quarter beat estimates, per Refinitiv. NXP Semiconductors — Shares of the chip maker jumped about 5% after the company beat analysts' expectations for first-quarter revenue and operating income. However, its first-quarter revenue beat analysts' expectations, according to Refinitiv. The company is also planning an up to $2 billion share buyback after its annual general meeting.

☆ Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet deliver slower cloud growth. Here's how AI could reverse that trend
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

As more and more businesses of all sizes continue their digital transformations, Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet aim to be there to provide cloud solutions. However, those gains quickly evaporated as the post-earnings call got underway and Wall Street learned of slowing cloud growth in April , the first month of Q2. The company is now using AI as a tool to accelerate cloud growth and gain share. The Club's take: Microsoft demonstrated impressive cloud growth given the difficult macroeconomic backdrop for the quarter. We hope to see a reacceleration in cloud growth along with profitability momentum.

☆ Australia's home prices rise again in sign of market bottom
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SYDNEY, May 1 (Reuters) - Australian home prices rose for a second straight month in April, in a further signal that the nation's property market may have hit a floor ahead of a central bank rate decision on Tuesday. Figures from property consultant CoreLogic released on Monday showed prices nationally rose 0.5% in April from March, when values were up 0.6%, indicating Australian home prices may have bottomed out after slumping 9.1% from May 2022 to February. We now expect home prices to rise by 3% in 2023 and forecast a further increase of 5% in 2024." Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP, also no longer expects a top-to-bottom fall of 15-20% in housing prices, citing "a far worse property demand and supply imbalance" with immigration levels surging and supply remaining tight. PropTrack data on Monday showed that home prices rose 0.14% in April, bringing the cumulative increase this year to 0.75%.

☆ Buy these 16 high-cash-returning stocks to secure the best chance at outperformance as the economy keeps slowing
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-30 | by ( Marley Jay | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

David Kostin at Goldman Sachs says investors should buy stocks that return a lot of cash. With the economy apparently losing steam, he wrote that companies that return cash to their shareholders will become appealing investments in the months to come. But Kostin wrote that today's economic climate is going to change all that. "During the last decade, stocks paying high and stable dividends have outperformed those with the largest buybacks when underlying dividend growth was stronger than buyback growth," Kostin wrote. Still, he says conditions will favor cash-returners broadly, and the following 16 stocks return cash to shareholders at a far greater rate than their peers.

☆ Top cloud providers Amazon, Microsoft and Google face ongoing spending cuts by clients
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-30 | by ( Jordan Novet | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The result is slowing revenue growth at the cloud divisions run by Amazon , Microsoft and Google . AWS saw deceleration in the third and fourth quarters, and last quarter Microsoft finance chief Amy Hood spooked analysts with comments about a slowdown in December that she expected to persist. Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said "what we're seeing is enterprises continuing to be cautious in their spending in this uncertain time." At Google, cloud growth slowed to 28% from a year earlier in the first quarter from 32% in the prior period. WATCH: Ongoing deceleration in IT spending not reflected in tech earnings

☆ Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley say these chip stocks have more upside — giving one nearly 50%
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC Pro trawled through Wall Street research to look for semiconductor stocks that Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley expect will grow in value. Morgan Stanley In an April 24 note, Morgan Stanley said it expects a "headwind for most broad based companies" toward the second half of the year. Wolfspeed : Morgan Stanley said execution "will be key" as the company creates new manufacturing capacity. ON Semiconductor : Morgan Stanley said the company could have an earnings stream that is "likely more recession proof than the higher end analog names." Goldman Sachs Goldman named two buy-rated semiconductor stocks in an April 23 report: KLA Corporation and Impinj .

Caterpillar shares turn around CAT YTD mountain Caterpillar YTD Dow component Caterpillar delivered a blowout first quarter. Caterpillar revenue in Q1 increased 16.7% year over year to $15.86 billion, exceeding estimates of $15.26 billion, according to Refinitiv. Better-than-expected operating margin of 17% was so strong, due mostly to manufacturing costs that were not as high as expected as well as higher prices. Bottom Line on CAT This was a very strong quarter from Caterpillar as business continues to benefit from pricing power that outweighs costs. Even with oil down in the quarter, Caterpillar continues to see a lot of activity and strength in new engine sales to customers.

☆ Here's the outlook for bitcoin as the cryptocurrency struggles to reclaim the all-important $30,000 technical level
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The price of bitcoin is testing a pivotal level that could determine whether strength or weakness is ahead. The cryptocurrency needs to decisively clear $30,000 to test its $35,200 resistance level, according to Fairlead Strategies. If bitcoin can decisively clear that threshold, Stockton expects the cryptocurrency to trend toward its key resistance level at $35,900, representing potential upside of 24%. While Stockton is bearish on bitcoin in the short term and bullish on bitcoin in the intermediate term, she remains neutral on the cryptocurrency for the long term, proving just how mixed the technical outlook for bitcoin is. "We are long-term neutral despite improved intermediate-term momentum given the additional hurdle from the monthly cloud... the cloud is now a headwind, acting as long-term resistance," Stockton said.

☆ This video game stock could struggle after the blocking of Microsoft's Activision Blizzard takeover, BMO says
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

BMO Capital Markets thinks Electronic Arts could be negatively impacted from the blocking of the Microsoft - Activision Blizzard deal. The firm downgraded EA stock to market perform from outperform Thursday. But BMO says because the UK Competition and Markets Authority's stopped Microsoft's takeover attempt of Activision Blizzard , the failure will be a cautionary tale for company's seeking large deals in the space. EA YTD mountain Shares of Electronic Arts could face more pressure after the fallout of the takeover deal from Microsoft of Activision Blizzard. However, the regulatory body did stipulate that Microsoft could make Activision games exclusive to cloud gaming platform Xbox Game Pass.

☆ A CIO overseeing $399 billion explains why it's imperative that investors make sure they're globally diversified in 2023 to avoid 'home country bias' — and where the banking crisis has created investi
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Going forward, Smigiel also believes that value-oriented assets will be the next market leaders. Despite starting 2023 off strong, the stock market has struggled to maintain its rally this year in the face of a potential recession, a dire banking crisis, and fears of rising interest rates. But that doesn't mean the stock market will be in the clear anytime soon. Value names will the next market leadersTo capture returns going forward, Smigiel isn't focused on the direction of stock market movements. This is especially true for US investors, Smigiel said, since US assets already make up such a large portion of global cap-weighted indexes.

CHICAGO, April 26 (Reuters) - A U.S. default is highly unlikely, but negotiations around the debt ceiling are expected to be protracted, Daniel Ivascyn, chief investment officer at U.S. bond giant Pacific Investment Management Co (PIMCO), said on Wednesday. Speaking at a Morningstar investment conference in Chicago, Ivascyn said prolonged uncertainty around the U.S. debt ceiling could be a headwind for the economy, tightening credit conditions and accelerating the current economic slowdown. On Wednesday, former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said the odds that the U.S. government could face a technical debt default were at around 2% to 3%, but that any default would be fixed quickly. "You're introducing a debt ceiling standoff at a time where there's just lots of other uncertainty," Ivascyn said, adding this could translate into a further reduction in risk-taking from households and corporates, which could exacerbate economic weakness. Ivascyn said he was seeking to maintain high liquidity to withstand potentially more volatility in financial markets caused by the borrowing limit standoff.

☆ Visa earnings offer evidence of consumer strength and signals inflation is falling
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"Starting in March and through the summer, we will be lapping the peaks in fuel prices last year," Prabhu said. In 2022, fuel prices continued to rise through spring and peaked in June." Another reason ticket prices are lower: Retailers are discounting. Strong consumer. Lower inflation.

☆ US home prices rose slightly in February, snapping seven months of declines
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-25 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington, DC CNN —US home prices rose slightly in February, snapping a seven-month streak of month-over-month declines, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index, released Tuesday. The national composite index now stands 4.9% below its June 2022 peak. Miami again had the biggest year-over-year price gain in February, followed by Tampa, Florida; and Atlanta. Miami had a year-over-year price increase of 10.8%, followed by Tampa with a 7.7% increase and Atlanta with an 6.6% increase. In January, four West Coast cities — San Francisco; Seattle; San Diego; and Portland, Oregon — saw year-over-year price declines.

☆ The banking crisis is having a slow-burn impact on the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-25 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

That's a credit hit on Middle America, on Main Street," said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard. Watching growth aheadIn the immediate future, the reading on first-quarter economic growth is expected to be largely positive despite the banking problems. In fact, the most recent recession was just two years ago in the early days of the Covid crisis. Consumer spending has seemed to hold up fairly well in the face of the banking crisis, with Citigroup estimating excess savings of about $1 trillion still available. [The banking situation] is a headwind, but it's not a gale-force headwind, it's just kind of a nuisance."

Persons: Spencer Platt, Steven Blitz, Stocks, Robert Sockin, it's, Dow Jones, isn't, It's, Moody's, Mark Zandi, headwind, Covid, Jim Baird, Plante, Baird Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, TS Lombard, First, Bank, P Bank ETF, Citigroup, Commerce Department, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Moody's, Financial Advisors Locations: New York City, U.S, America, First Republic, Atlanta

☆ Jim Cramer: This is what I learned from the real first week of earnings season
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-23 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

"Simply stated we're in a freight recession." That line, uttered last Monday by Shelley Simpson, president of J.B. Hunt (JBHT), the fourth-largest trucking company in the United States, was the most memorable of the real first week of earnings season. If so, it would know that we're dealing with much more than a freight recession. It's not enough to offset the immense deflationary pressure emanating from the regional banks and the freight recession described by J.B. Hunt. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

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☆ Fed's Cook sees a less certain outlook for future of monetary policy
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-21 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Officials have signaled that they expect to raise rates by a quarter percentage point to between 5% and 5.25%, matching market expectations. But they are also unclear how much credit conditions might tighten and restrain growth as a result of the banking sector turbulence. In her remarks, Cook said that inflation has been moving down but underlying price pressures still remain strong and embedded in the economy. Cook also said the labor market remains strong but there are signs that’s also starting to slow down. “Wage growth has moderated somewhat from the rates reached about a year ago” and “indicators of hiring have slowed,” Cook said.

☆ Bleakley’s Peter Boockvar expects the SVB fallout to be an economic headwind
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBleakley’s Peter Boockvar expects the SVB fallout to be an economic headwindBleakley’s Peter Boockvar and G Squared’s Victoria Greene, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss their expectations for markets next week as many of the S&P 500 companies report earnings.

☆ P&G stock gets the respect it deserves after delivering a great quarter and outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-21 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Club holding Procter & Gamble (PG) reported fiscal third-quarter results that were better than expectations before the opening bell Friday. The fact that volumes were only down 3%, despite a 10% price increase, is a testament to Procter & Gamble's strong pricing power. This new target comes as management now expects all-in (non-organic) sales growth to be up 1%, an increase from the down 1% to flat range previously provided. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

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