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Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: UBS reiterates Nvidia as buy UBS said it's sticking with Nvidia shares heading into earnings later this month. Wolfe downgrades Qualcomm to peer perform from outperform Wolfe said Apple's internal modem use is finally having an effect on Qualcomm. Jefferies upgrades Par Technology to buy from hold Jefferies said it's bullish on shares of the "pure-play" restaurant tech platform. " Deutsche Bank upgrades Eli Lilly to buy from hold Deutsche upgraded the stock following earnings last week. Bank of America upgrades Churchill Downs to buy from neutral Bank of America said it likes the racing company's growth pipeline.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Disney, it's, Wolfe, Qualcomm, Wedbush, it's bullish, Jefferies, Walmart Evercore, Piper Sandler, Piper, HOOD, Goldman Sachs, Mills, Goldman, Canaccord, Mizuho, Cummins, Wells, PRU, Eli Lilly, Churchill, Jim Anderson Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, RBC, Ardent Health, Ardent Health Partners, Inc, Qualcomm, Jefferies, Technology, Walmart, HSBC, GE Vernova, GE, Micron, MU, Elliott, Bank of America, Liberty Global, underperform Bank of America, Liberty, Prudential, Allstate, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, of America, " Bank of America Locations: Asia, Cupertino, Wells, Churchill
While keeping his outperform rating, Vijay Rakesh chopped $10 off his price target to $145. The Oreo maker should see above-average earnings growth, Jordan said, and the stock itself is a high-quality core holding. — Alex Harring 5:50 a.m.: UBS lays out earnings expectations for Nvidia UBS is remaining bullish on Nvidia heading into the artificial intelligence giant's earnings report. Analyst Timothy Arcuri reiterated his buy rating and $150 price target heading into earnings expected later this month. His price target of $23, up from $20, implies a gain of 28.3% over the next 12 months.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Vijay Rakesh, Rakesh, Alex Harring, Shaun Kelley, Kelley, — Alex Harring, Eli Lilly, Eli Lilly's, James Shin, Shin, Jefferies, Samad Samana, Samana, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Mills, Leah Jordan, Jordan, Kraft Heinz, Timothy Arcuri, Arcuri, Patrick Moley, Morley, HOOD, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, UBS, Mizuho, Micron, Seagate Technology, Western, Bank of America, Gaming, Consumer, Terre Haute, Kentucky Derby, Deutsche Bank, Par Technology, Jefferies, Conagra Brands, Hershey, Nvidia UBS, Nvidia Locations: Churchill, Northern, Northern Virginia, Kentucky, Robinhood
"If economic fears continue to fade and the market becomes more micro-driven in coming months, then the recent sell-off represents an attractive opportunity to buy stocks with healthy fundamentals at valuation discounts," wrote Goldman chief U.S. equity strategist David Kostin and team in a note to clients Friday. Goldman screened for stocks that have seen their earnings estimates ratchet up since the start of the third quarter, but posted weak relative returns during the last week. Goldman noted that cyclical stocks underperformed defensive names last week, showing that "macro" is driving equity returns. Once investors' focus returns to normal, stocks with strong fundamentals and valuations like those on this list will start to benefit, the firm argues. "If the data confirm our economists' optimistic view, investors will likely pivot back to focusing on alpha opportunities rather than market betas."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman Organizations: Goldman, Micron, Systems
The deal will help improve Key's balance sheet, Jim Cramer said. Robinhood : Shares rose more than 4% after Piper Sandler upgraded the brokerage firm's stock to a buy rating. Prologis : Shares fell a little over 1% after Bank of America downgraded the stock to a hold rating. Qualcomm shares were down about 1% Monday. General Mills : Shares were slightly lower despite Goldman Sachs initiating coverage of the stock with a buy rating.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Piper Sandler, Cramer, Jim, I'm, General Mills, Goldman Sachs, Mills Organizations: CNBC, Club, Canada's Scotiabank, Bank of America, Qualcomm, Wolfe Research, Apple, Mondelez Locations: Cleveland
Social media keeps catching Wall Street off guard
  + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +11 min
In 2015, he created TickerTags, a social media data aggregator that tracks company mentions, and sold it to Jefferies' M Science. To be fair…Speculating and making decisions based on social media trends is a risky wager. Wall Street doesn't always respond to social media trends that could negatively drive fundamentals because there aren't tools to understand the impacts, McKeown noted. In the event a social media trend is mentioned, it's not factored into their valuation model, Ober added. How social media sentiment plays into a thesis should depend on an investor's time horizon.
Persons: It's, Bud Light's, influencer Dylan Mulvaney, BUD, Kirk McKeown, Chris Camillo, Jefferies, Camillo, Bud, didn't, Paul Johnson, Laxman Narasimhan, misperception, Sara Senatore, I've, Senatore, Chipotle, Keith Lee, dollies, Brian Niccol, Goldman Sachs, They're, Matt Ober, they're, I'd, McKeown, it's, Ober Organizations: Service, Business, Anheuser, Busch, Wall Street, Pew Research Center, Molson, TAP, Starbucks, Nicusa Investment, Columbia Business School, of America Locations: Palestine, Gaza, SBUX
Read previewThis as-told-to essay is based on a transcribed conversation with Pranshu Dwivedi, 35, from New Delhi, about quitting his job at Goldman Sachs to be a stay-at-home dad. Business Insider verified his employment at Goldman Sachs with documentation. I joined Goldman Sachs as an intern in 2011, and in 2012 I got a full-time job as an analyst working in their Bengaluru office. AdvertisementI loved my experience at Goldman Sachs. I joined Goldman Sachs full-time in 2012, working on the equity research team.
Persons: , Pranshu Dwivedi, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, I've, Hong Kong Goldman, We'd, wouldn't, She's, I'm, there's Organizations: Service, Goldman, Business Locations: New Delhi, Bengaluru, Hong Kong, Delhi, India
JPMorgan's message has become the talk of Wall Street as everyone from recruiters to junior bankers tries to figure out what it might mean for them. Here are 4 ways JPMorgan's missive could impact Wall Street, from private-equity recruiting to junior bankers who fear of losing their jobs and more. But JPMorgan's warning that coming forward could get one fired leaves junior bankers in a damned-if-you-do-damned-if-you-don't scenario. Advertisement"I think probably the biggest impact is going to be on current bankers and prospective bankers," he said. Do you work on Wall Street?
Persons: , Chase, it's, JPMorgan, It's, Anthony Keizner, who's, Keizner, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, I'd, Emmalyse, Reed Alexander Organizations: Service, Business, JPMorgan, Wall, Search, Bankers, BI, Citigroup, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Barclays Locations: Instagram, New York
In today's big story, turns out being a venture capitalist can be really hard, and some VCs want out . The big storyWe were promised big returnsiStock; Rebecca Zisser/InsiderFor venture capitalists, when the going gets tough, the tough get going…toward the exits. Some VC workers are reconsidering their future as the industry goes through a rough patch, writes Business Insider's Sri Muppidi. The ink was barely dry on a deal before startups were raising another round, doubling their VCs' investment (on paper) along the way. One Bay Area partner told Sri junior investors need to meet dozens of companies a week.
Persons: , Rebecca Zisser, It's, That's, VCs, dobi, Goldman Sachs, duMond, Chip Somodevilla, Alyssa Powell, Jamie Dimon, we're, Jamie, David Zalubowski, Chelsea Jia Feng, Meta's Instagram, Grzegorz Wajda, Elon Musk, Musk's X, he's, Grimes, Sam Altman, Kamala Harris, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, VCs, Tiger Global, Area, JPMorgan, YouTube, Dell, Getty, Elon, Federation, Global Alliance, Responsible Media, UK Prime, Democratic, Trump, Disney Locations: Patagonia, Dimon, Anaheim , California, North Carolina, Virginia, New York, London
Global markets reached levels of turbulence rarely seen this week, but traders at Goldman Sachs are unfazed and don't believe it is a sign of a big danger lurking. The S & P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday suffered their biggest one-day declines since 2022. The market then roared back with the S & P 500 posting its biggest gain since 2022 on Thursday. After the late-week comeback, the S & P 500 is only down for the week by about half a percent. .VIX 5D bar Wild week for VIX Goldman traders expect gains going forward, but they see the path higher as a "choppy" one.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Wall Street's, Goldman, VIX Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Eli Lilly, LLY Organizations: Goldman, Dow Jones, Monday, JPMorgan, pharma
Goldman Sachs has added a number of stocks to its lists of top picks for August. These lists are the bank's "curated and active" picks of between 15 and 30 top buy-rated stocks for each region. Goldman gave the stock a price target of 2,499 pence ($31.79), or about 34% upside. Goldman gave the stock a price target of 13.98 Hong Kong dollars ($1.79), or about 46% upside. Goldman gave the stock a price target of 125 Chinese yuan ($17.51), or nearly 61% upside.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Goldman, Lenovo, Hong Locations: United States, Europe, Asia, London, U.K, Hong Kong
JPMorgan raises 2024 recession odds to 35%
  + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The bank raised its probability for a U.S. or global recession to 35% by year end, chief global economist Bruce Kasman told clients in a Wednesday note. Meanwhile, JPMorgan kept its odds for a recessionary period by the second half of 2025 at 45%. But traders got better news on the labor market front on Thursday, with the volume of weekly jobless claims coming in lower than economists expected. To be sure, despite raising his odds, Kasman said investors should not assume all signs point to a recession. In fact, Kasman described his increase to near-term recession risk as modest.
Persons: Bruce Kasman, Kasman, Goldman Sachs Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Fed Locations: U.S
China's pet population will be close to double that of its young children by 2030 as young Chinese remain unwilling to start new families, Goldman Sachs said in a recent note. The country's urban pet population is set to hit over 70 million by the end of the decade, while the number of children four and under will dwindle to less than 40 million, according to Goldman Sachs research that cited data from the National Bureau of Statistics. In 2017, the situation was just the opposite — there were 90 million children aged four and under, compared to the urban pet population of around 40 million. "We expect to see stronger momentum in pet ownership amid a relatively weaker birth rate outlook and higher incremental household pet penetration from the younger generation," the investment bank's equity analyst Valerie Zhou wrote. New births in the country are projected to fall at an average rate of 4.2% until 2030, largely driven by a decline in the population of women aged 20 to 35 years, and as the younger generation is less inclined to have children, the report stated.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Valerie Zhou Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics
A contractor carries a SunRun solar panel on the roof of a home in San Jose, California, U.S., on Monday, Feb. 7, 2022. Sunrun stock jumped 11% on Wednesday as the rooftop solar installer sees an opportunity to snag market share after competitor SunPower filed for bankruptcy this week. "This presents an opportunity for Sunrun to continue our industry leadership and gain share in a financially disciplined and measured way," Powell told analysts on the company's second-quarter earnings call Tuesday. Sunrun has hired two former SunPower executives, Matt Brost and Ellen Struck, to lead the company's new homes business. Sunrun's stock is up about 50% over the past month, though shares are down about 6.7% so far this year.
Persons: SunPower, Mary Powell, Powell, Sunrun, Matt Brost, Ellen, Goldman Sachs, Brian Lee Organizations: Wall Locations: San Jose , California, U.S
Disappointing economic data recently generated worries that the Fed missed an opportunity at its meeting last week to, if not cut rates outright, send a clearer signal that easing is on the way. In the past, the Fed has implemented just nine such cuts, and all have come amid extreme duress, according to Bank of America. Lacking a catalyst for an intermeeting cut, the Fed is nonetheless expected to cut rates almost as swiftly as it hiked from March 2022-July 2023. Why wait?”LaVorgna, though, isn’t convinced the Fed is in a life-or-death battle against recession. Still, any quakes in the data, such as Friday’s downside surprise to the nonfarm payrolls numbers, could ignite recession talk quickly.
Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Steven Blitz, , Andrew Hollenhorst, , ’ ”, Michael Gapen, Powell, Joseph LaVorgna, , “ They’ll, isn’t, Goldman Sachs, David Rosenberg Organizations: Federal Reserve, TS Lombard, Fed, Citigroup, Bank of America, Nikko Securities, Rosenberg Research Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Nikko
Stock futures pointed to a mild market bounceback following a significant sell-off Monday that left major indexes with their worst day in nearly two years. ET Tuesday, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures, S&P 500 futures, and and Nasdaq futures were each up about 0.4%. The recovery comes as Japan's Nikkei stock index, which saw its worst day in a generation Monday, rallied for its best day since 2008, surging 10.2%Still, Tuesday's gains are unlikely to make up for the losses stocks suffered Monday. Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management, said in a note Tuesday that the economy remains in decent shape. "If the economy were crashing, default rates would be spiking higher, and that is not what the data shows.” he wrote.
Persons: Dow, Goldman Sachs, Torsten Slok, Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nikkei, Federal, Citibank, Federal Reserve, Citi, Fed, Apollo Global Management Locations: U.S
Big Tech companies became less known for one particular product. Instead, Big Tech became obsessed with a series of half-baked boondoggles that seemed revolutionary, yet in practice, were either not reliable enough to be trusted or simply not that useful. Big Tech has become sullen, entitled, and lazy, believing that nobody else could snatch away its precious customers. Related storiesEven when tech companies aren't trying to shove AI down our throats, they fall into a similar trap. AdvertisementWhen the public eventually walks out, I don't believe Big Tech is even capable of making the adjustments necessary to win them back.
Persons: Smart, surly, Apple, Meta, Tesla, Elon Musk, Musk, , Goldman Sachs, Jim Covello, Sundar Pichai, it's, Tech's, Satya Nadella Organizations: Google, Microsoft, Apple, Big Tech, Siri, Amazon, Meta, Tech, Facebook, cryptocurrency, Porsche, Microsoft Windows Locations: America
Thursday brought more negative news from the jobs market: unemployment insurance claims for the week ending July 27 were up by 14,000 from the previous week to 249,000. Stepping back from last week's weak data, chief investment officers and top strategists say the market is overreacting, and they're using this as a buying opportunity. Related storiesSimilarly, the manufacturing data is not as foreshadowing as it seems on the surface. "But the ISM manufacturing data can be a leading indicator of S&P earnings, particularly the new order number." "If you look at non-US stocks and you look at their valuations, they're trading at about 13 times earnings," Calcagni said.
Persons: Dow, we've, Philip Straehl, Morningstar, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Alicia Levine, Levine, it's, what's, Morningstar's Straehl, Simeon Hyman, Hyman, Donald Calcagni's, Calcagni Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Institute for Supply, Business, BNY, Big Tech, Mercer Advisors Locations: Americas
To be sure, the carnage on Wall Street and in equities markets around the world was real. But Monday’s panic was the Wall Street equivalent of a tantrum from a kid who just got told they can’t have ice cream for dinner. But don’t let the stock market drama fool you: The US economy is still in good shape, despite some turbulence. “And I’m not too worried about Wall Street becoming poor.”Stocks looked to bounce back Tuesday. Wall Street worked itself into a lather when ChatGPT came out two years ago.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Stocks, Dow, Wall, don’t, Rana Foroohar, That’s, it’s, Goldman Sachs, , Jan Hatzius, ” Goldman, There’s, Beryl, , Beryl didn’t, Aaron Sojourner, ’ ”, ChatGPT, Rob Haworth, ” Haworth Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, CNN, Nikkei, of Labor Statistics, Coast, BLS, WE Upjohn, Employment Research, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Fed, Federal, Markets, Big Tech, Nvidia, Microsoft, Wall, Bank of Japan, US Bank Locations: New York, Japan
Market correction has more room to run, says Goldman Sachs
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Tuesday's market rebound doesn't mean the market is yet in the clear — instead, investors should brace for more market volatility following Monday's global sell-off, according to Goldman Sachs chief global equity strategist Peter Oppenheimer. The S & P 500 rose 1.04% on Tuesday in a broad relief rally that lifted all 11 of its sectors. Nonetheless, the correction hasn't yet fully run its course, Oppenheimer told CNBC's " Squawk on the Street " on Tuesday. However, Oppenheimer doesn't necessarily think the correction is bad for the market. According to Strategas strategist Todd Sohn, Monday's spike in the volatility index could be a positive omen for equities in the medium term.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Peter Oppenheimer, Oppenheimer, CNBC's, We're, He's, Todd Sohn, Sohn Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow
Goldman Sachs said the decline in the S&P 500 is historically a good buying opportunity for investors. AdvertisementThe S&P 500's 6% decline over the past three days represents a great buying opportunity for investors, according to a note from Goldman Sachs strategist David Kostin. However, despite the decline, the S&P 500 is still up nearly 10% year-to-date and the sell-off sparked a reset in valuations, with the index's forward price-to-earnings multiple falling to 20x. Advertisement"Historical experience shows that investors typically profit when buying the S&P 500 index following a 5% sell-off," Kostin said. The crux of whether a 10% correction in the S&P 500 represents a solid buying opportunity for investors is whether the economy is on the verge of a recession.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , David Kostin, Warren Buffett, Kostin, Goldman Organizations: Apple, Service
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman's Peter Oppenheimer: this correction is healthy and somewhat inevitable but may not be overPeter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs chief global equity strategist, and CNBC's Michael Santoli join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the strategist's thoughts on the recent global equity market performance, what the discount on the Nasdaq's multiple means for investors, and much more.
Persons: Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's Michael Santoli
As U.S. markets opened for trading on Monday, tech's mega-cap companies lost about $1 trillion in market cap, deepening a downturn that sent the Nasdaq into correction territory last week. Nvidia shed more than $300 billion in market cap at the opening bell, though it quickly recovered about half of its loss. The company surpassed $3 trillion in market cap and briefly passed Microsoft and Apple to become the world's most valuable company. Its market cap now sits below $2.5 trillion. A widely-read Goldman Sachs note from June warned that the biggest-spending companies had little to show for their AI expenditures.
Persons: Bitcoin, It's, Mark Zuckerberg, Sundar Pichai, Goldman Sachs Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Nikkei, Google, Elliott Management Locations: U.S, Meta, cryptocurrency
Signs of a slowing U.S. economy sowed panic among investors on Monday, with a sell-off in markets that began last week turning into a global rout. The moves were a sharp reversal in major stock markets, which for much of the past year have risen to new heights, propelled by optimism about cooling inflation, solid labor markets and the promise of artificial intelligence technology. South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index fell more than 10 percent at one point. Japanese stocks have been on a tear for more than a year, fueled by a weak Japanese yen. Adding to the pressure, foreign investors have started selling off positions in Japanese stocks over the last few weeks.
Persons: , Andrew Brenner, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Jordi Basco Carrera, , Basco Carrera, Jitters, Jesper Koll, Koll, John Liu, Melissa Eddy Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, National Alliance Securities, Equity, Technology, Samsung Electronics, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, Intel, Allianz, Monex, Bank of Japan, Tokyo Stock Exchange Locations: Asia, Europe, Americas, Japan, U.S, Taiwan, Singapore, Australia, Hong Kong, China, Stocks, India, Netherlands, Switzerland, New York, Munich, , New, Seoul, Berlin
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementThe tech slide follows a dramatic sell-off in Asia, with Japan's main stock market index, the Nikkei 225, ending 12.4% lower and other AI heavyweights such as SoftBank slid hard. By the end of the year, the company expects to spend up to $40 billion on AI research and product development. That's because AI's been touted as a technology as revolutionary as the internet and smartphones by tech luminaries like Bill Gates. If others really start to believe that's the case, it could mark the beginning of the end for the AI rally.
Persons: , Jensen, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, SoftBank, Sundar Pichai, Susan Li, AI's, Bill Gates, Goldman Sachs, Jim Covello, Daron Acemoglu, it's, Blackwell, Elliott, Dan Ives Organizations: Service, Tech, Business, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Nikkei, Google, Big, Investors, Meta, Elliott Management, Financial Times Locations: Asia
Read previewChina's baby bust could see its urban pet population outnumbering the number of toddlers by 2030, investment bank Goldman Sachs wrote in a July 28 report. According to Goldman Sachs' forecasts, China will have more than 70 million urban pets by 2030. AdvertisementThe rise in pet ownership, the bank said, could help push China's pet food market to $12 billion by 2030. People having more pets than babies shouldn't be surprising considering how China is presently grappling with a demographic crisis. China's population shrank again in 2023, with the number of deaths exceeding the number of births by 2.08 million people.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Lin Zhang, Zhang, Zheng Mu, Zheng, Cash, haven't, Bihan Chen, Emily Huang, Huang, Ann, Hunter van Kirk Organizations: Service, Business, country's National Bureau of Statistics, University of New, Zhang, National University of Singapore, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Bloomberg Intelligence Locations: China, country's, University of New Hampshire, Europe, East Asia
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