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☆ S&P 500 grinds higher to further record highs, finding little to fear in October
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

This time of year typically tests nerves, more so when — as now — an election is onrushing and the S & P 500 was already up 20% for the year. Since June 30, the equal-weighted S & P 500 has gained 9.5%, more than triple the Nasdaq 100's rise. A buyer at the mid-July S & P 500 peak of 5667 sustained a quick 8% tumble in three weeks. Goldman Sachs calculated VIX being this elevated with the S & P 500 calmly clicking to record highs is essentially unheard-of. Cash that's still yielding well more than inflation and bonds holding their value allow investors to shoulder higher equity exposures rather than rotating out.

Persons: isn't, it's, Goldman Sachs, Cash, Friday's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, American Association of, Deutsche, –, Bank

☆ IBM shares are the most stretched in 20 years so it may be time to sell, says Carter Worth
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Carter Braxton Worth | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

IBM is up twice as much as the market the past 12 months (and, per chance, twice as much as the S & P 500 Technology Sector and the NASDAQ 100 Index). And those engaged in the business of short selling, IBM is judged to be a good candidate. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL'S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Business Machines, IBM, Technology, NASDAQ, –, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Why health care could be a winner heading into year-end
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Health care may be the answer, if history is any indication. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) has posted a November gain in eight of the last 10 years. Health care trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.2, while the S & P 500 has a multiple of 24. The optimism around health care comes as the sector lags the broader market. Some health care names poised to do well, according to Krinsky, are Masimo and Viking Therapeutics .

Persons: What's, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky Organizations: iShares Biotechnology, Viking Therapeutics, Viking, Politan, Citi, UPS, Amazon Logistics, Walmart Locations: China

☆ Bitcoin is flipping in and out of 'bear' mode but could still reach $100,000 this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bitcoin investors are grappling with a demand dearth that has pushed the cryptocurrency into bear market territory at times. (In the first quarter, bitcoin ETFs bought about 9,000 BTC daily on average, following their January launch.) In the fourth quarters of 2012, 2016, and 2020 — the previous Bitcoin halving years — bitcoin prices rose by 9%, 59%, and 171%, respectively. The most recent halving — the supply cutting event that takes place every four years — happened this April. BTC.CM= YTD mountain Bitcoin (BTC) year-to-date Bitcoin is set up well for the final quarter , but it's still working through a supply overhang from the U.S. and German governments as well as Mt.

Persons: It's, John Todaro, Needham, uptrend, it's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Owen Lau, Oppenheimer Organizations: CNBC, BTC, Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: China, U.S

☆ 3 bullish catalysts could keep the bull rally alive and boost stocks 13% in the coming year, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The two-year-old bull market in stocks could last for another year, NDR strategists said. Median gains in the third year of a bull market are about 13%, the firm said in its analysis. AdvertisementThe latest bull market in stocks may still have a long life ahead of it, according to Ned Davis Research. In one instance, the bull market ended after the Fed reversed its rate cut decision, spooking investors. The S&P 500 has gained 60% since the index entered bull market territory in October 2022.

Persons: That's, —, Ned Davis Organizations: Service, Ned Davis Research, NDR Locations: Europe

☆ Nike stock chart is showing signs of a bottom and a turnaround ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Before this week's downside price gap, it's worth noting that Nike was testing a major resistance level into last week. To add to this "confluence of resistance," we can also see the 200-day moving average looming large, currently sitting just above $91. The weekly chart can provide some additional context as to what the recent upswing means relative to the long-term trend for Nike. The long-term trend has been decidedly negative for NKE, with price remaining below the 150-week moving average since Q2 2022. Nike also sits below a downward-sloping 40-week moving average, which is essentially the same as the 200-day moving average on the daily chart.

Persons: downtrend, NKE, David Keller Organizations: Nike Inc, Nike, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Stock market typically cools off in October following a really strong third quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The stock market typically cools off in October following a really strong third quarter, but any weakness could prove to be a potential buying opportunity for year-end, according to Piper Sandler. On Tuesday, the first day of the month , the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S & P 500 fell, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped more than 1%. Those losses come after the S & P 500 advanced 5.5% in the three months ended September. Since 1928, following the 34 instances when third-quarter returns were greater than 5%, the S & P 500 then slid 1% on average in October, the technician said. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 Many investors agree that the bias into year-end is to the upside, after some near-term seasonal weakness.

Persons: Piper Sandler, Stocks, Hurricane Helene spooked, Craig W, Johnson, Tom Lee, we've, Lee Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Fundstrat Global Advisors Locations: U.S, Hurricane

☆ Energy ETF setting up for a breakout of a two-decade range, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) was the worst performing sector ETF in September. The XLE ETF (and many of its holdings) has been trying to etch out a bottom for a number of weeks, and the charts we're reviewing today suggest that momentum finally could be turning positive. XLE has been making lower lows and lower highs since peaking in March. Both prior times, eventually logging a higher low gave XLE the firepower it needed to finally punch through a key downtrend line. Recently, the higher lows have been marginal, but considering that we haven't seen a material lower low in nearly five years, it's noteworthy.

Persons: it's, XLE, It's, XLE's downtrend, We've, Said, we're, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ An options trade that wins if the stock market and this key sector cool off in October
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

When a stock or ETF becomes overbought, it can maintain that condition for an extended period. In the one-year daily chart of Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) below, I've highlighted two similar instances from the past. RSI (Relative Strength Index): As a stock rises, the relative strength index (RSI) measures the strength of the trend. Once in overbought territory, it's advisable to wait until the RSI falls back below 70 before considering a contrarian trade. The trade To benefit from a pullback in XLY, the trade structure I am going to use is called a "bear put spread".

Persons: Nishant Pant Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: overbought

☆ Levels to watch on the Nvidia chart from Katie Stockton after a poor third quarter for AI leader
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.

Persons: Katie Stockton Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: NVDA

☆ A world-champion quant trader with a 491% annual return shares an easy pattern that's profitable in 72% of test samples and can be manually executed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-28 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

He's a quant fund manager who uses hundreds of models to execute trades across multiple assets. And he's good at what he does: in the 2023 World Cup Championship of Futures Trading, Scherman finished first with a 491.4% return, according to competition records. I was trading in the Argentina market," Scherman said. This is because a trader can't predict the next market regime and must prove that their thesis can survive changes. "I need to have the capital to recover from that loss," Scherman said.

Persons: Ivan Scherman, —, Scherman, hadn't, David Aronson, shouldn't, it's Organizations: Futures, Service, New York Stock Exchange, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, University of Buenos, Argentine Financial Markets Institute Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, University of Buenos Aires

☆ A key chart breakout by this materials stock suggests more upside to come
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

But improved price action this week suggests Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. (FCX) may be poised for further upside into the fourth quarter. So with a bearish momentum reading at the May peak, then a bullish momentum reading at the August and September lows, FCX was primed for an upside breakout. The breakout in March 2024, leading to the May peak, suggested a new uptrend as the price exited this basing pattern. The stock gapped higher on Tuesday, pushing above short-term resistance around $46 as well as a trendline using the May and July highs. The stock did become overbought this week, with the RSI popping just above the 70 level on the recent breakout.

Persons: FCX, David Keller Organizations: Inc, Freeport, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Freeport, McMoRan

☆ A poker player turned trader up 253% this year details how he picks which stocks to target — and the event-driven strategy he uses to maximize gains
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

By 2017, he decided he had to pivot and elected to give stock trading a try. "You're going to panic-sell at the lows; you're going to panic-buy at the highs. You're going to trade when the stock is zigging and zagging and get chopped up. Related storiesOn a chart, it can often look like a wide space between two candles after the stock's price opens significantly higher than where it was in premarket hours. AdvertisementOn January 19, during pre-market hours, the stock's price spiked, causing a gap up on the opening.

Persons: Christian Flanders, Flanders, Norman Zadeh, it's Organizations: Service, Business, US, IT Solutions Locations: Flanders, he's

☆ Rallying Microsoft shares could be forming the troubling 'bear flag' chart pattern
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The foundation of Dow's work was based on the analysis of price trends, comparing swing highs and swing lows to define and track the trends over time. An initial look at the chart of Microsoft (MSFT) may suggest a consistent uptrend of higher highs and higher lows. And while this short-term uptrend is a valid observation, this also means Microsoft may be forming the dreaded "bear flag" pattern, which often precedes a major downdraft. A bear flag pattern occurs when you have an initial downtrend, in this case, the drop from $470 to $385 from early July to early August of this year. If MSFT would drop below $410 in the coming weeks, that would complete the bear flag pattern, and would also push the price back below the 200-day moving average.

Persons: Charles Dow, Downside, David Keller Organizations: Microsoft, MSFT, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A growth stock showing signs of a breakout even as investors rotate out of group before Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

I wonder if this is collectively the same group that doubted the bull market when it was rallying on narrow breadth led by the Mag 7. Today we'll revisit Meta (META) , the second largest market cap name in the sector behind Alphabet. I currently hold a 7% target allocation in my Tactical Alpha Growth (TAG) portfolio and a 2% target allocation in my Strategic Income & Growth (SIG) portfolio at Inside Edge Capital. -Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: ( Gordon owns META in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Elliott, I'm, Zuckerberg, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Netflix, Spotify, CNBC Pro, Alpha, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Apple shares are breaking down and could be under pressure for months, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Persons: AAPL, Headwind, — Katie Stockton Organizations: Apple, AAPL, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: AAPL

☆ S&P 500 rallies back to old highs, setting up Fed meeting to be make or break moment
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The market's turn toward treating good economic news as positive for stocks is pictured here in a chart from Citi strategists, showing the three-month correlation between the S & P 500 and the Citi U.S. Economic Surprise index has turned sharply higher. The S & P 500's low for the week was Wednesday morning, right at the 5400 level where it previously hit a low a week ago Friday after a tepid employment report. Forward 12-month S & P 500 earnings forecasts continue to rise smartly, now approaching $270. But, thanks to the past two months of sideways churn, that's down from 21.7 when the S & P first hit its current level in July. And the rally last week could well have front-run any potential positive inference from the Fed's move next week.

Persons: Ally Financial, Ed Hyman, Loretta Mester, William Dudley, John Kolovos Organizations: Citi, Citi U.S, Fed, Ally, CPI, Wall Street, Financial Times, Treasury, National Association of Active Investment, American Association of

☆ This tech stock ETF just posted one of its best weeks of the past few years
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Leading technology stocks led an eye-popping rebound rally the past five days, driving a key ETF texchange traded fund to one of its best weeks in years. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) surged 8.2% this week, the most since Nov. 11, 2022, when the fund gained 10.04%. XLK YTD mountain Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) performance this year. Investors can thank a bounce back in megacap technology and semiconductor stocks this week that lifted all three major U.S. stock indexes. That alone suggests semiconductor stocks have lost their leadership status, at least for now, Turnquist said.

Persons: ChatGPT, Jensen Huang, Blackwell, Goldman Sachs, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist Organizations: texchange, Microsoft, Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Apple Watch, Semiconductor, Broadcom, LPL Financial, PHLX Semiconductor Locations: XLK

☆ Solar stocks get a Harris bump. What the charts say about whether the rally is for real
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But the stock quickly dropped to find new support around $210, eventually settling into a trading range between $200 and $240. This price range lines up well with previous resistance from 2023, adding further conviction to the importance of these levels. But if RUN can finally break above the $24 level, that would mean clear skies ahead from a technical perspective. While solar stocks still have much to prove, their technical configurations suggest investors should watch this space closely leading into the November elections. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Kamala Harris, FSLR, it's, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, Inc, Sunrun Inc, CMT, Sierra Alpha Research, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Stocks won't hit new highs anytime soon and 3 things mean the market is fairly valued, Wells Fargo says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 probably isn't hitting fresh highs anytime soon, according to Wells Fargo. AdvertisementThe stock market's long winning streak may be done for now, Wells Fargo said. That's because to a trifecta of headwinds will cap gains for the S&P 500. "For these reasons, we find it unlikely that the S&P 500 Index will reach meaningful new highs in the coming months." Since then, growth fears have overshadowed excitement about rate cuts, and questions about the sustainability of the AI rally have dented tech bullishness.

Persons: —, Wells Fargo, Stocks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Service, Federal, Fed, Investor Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Buy levels for 3 industrial stocks that benefit from the AI boom and sector megatrends
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Like Thursday's look at buy levels for our four 1-rated megacaps — Amazon , Meta Platforms , Microsoft , and Nvidia — we like the business prospects of those industrial names and think their stocks will move higher over time. Here's a look at key technicals in their stock charts that signal attractive buy levels. By now, members likely know that the two levels we are always going to watch are the 50-day moving average and the 200-day. That puts a first buy level at just over $80 apiece , right at the 50-day moving average and around current levels. That said, a move below $170 would represent a breakdown below the 200-day moving average.

Persons: Eaton, we've, Jim Cramer's, DOV, ETN, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jason Marz Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, DuPont, Dover, CNBC Locations: Dover

☆ A trade that wins if the drop in Chipotle after CEO jumps to Starbucks is overdone
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) shares are getting wrecked after its CEO Brian Niccol left to try and turn around Starbucks. With a positive outlook on CMG, I see this pre-market drop as an opportunity to invest in a company that seems almost recession-proof. The trade To initiate a bullish position on CMG, I plan to use a strategy known as a "bull call spread." This trade was written assuming Chipotle was trading around $51 a share. If CMG trades at or above the short strike by the expiration date, this trade could yield a return of 100% on the amount risked.

Persons: Brian Niccol, let's, Chipotle Organizations: Grill, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Chipotle

☆ How to determine if this comeback rally is for real, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks have made a nice comeback after testing support last week in the wake of a violent summer swoon tied to the yen carry trade. I run four equity portfolios at Inside Edge Capital, the most actively managed is appropriately named "Active Opps." In this article I'll cover the technical formation of the resistance zone as well as the option hedge we're using. If this is an ill-fated rally, or a so-called bear market rally, my bet is it will fail around this zone. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Nvidia's, Todd Gordon Organizations: Edge, Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ The bitcoin bounce could give way to a deeper pullback, chart analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Bitcoin has clawed back most of its weekly losses after an 11% rally late Thursday, but it is not out of the woods yet, according to chart analysts. "Bitcoin got nicely oversold after slicing through $53,000 [Monday], so a little relief is in order," Ron Ginsberg, a chart analyst at Wolfe Research, told CNBC. It now needs to hold that level on a consecutive weekly closing basis, Fairlead Strategies' Will Tamplin told CNBC. "Our intermediate-term metrics for bitcoin point lower, so we would look for a bounce to give way to a deeper pullback" to near $51,500, he said. "A cyclical uptrend remains in place for bitcoin, although long-term upside momentum behind the uptrend has slowed due to its corrective phase."

Persons: Bitcoin, Ron Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Will Tamplin Organizations: Metrics, Wolfe Research, CNBC

☆ Big tech stocks got clobbered on Monday — What investors are looking for before they buy more
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A sharp sell-off in 2024's winning tech giants has left investors wondering whether it's safe to scoop up the pummeled shares. At one point during Monday's rout, the "Magnificent Seven" stocks combined had lost nearly $1 trillion in value , later recovering some of the losses. To be sure, some investors on Wall Street are pumping the brakes after Monday's sell-off, cautioning others to hold off on buying the dip just yet. Many investors viewed the sell-off as a necessary pullback in what's been a seemingly endless uptrend in the market. Like many investors, he also views Monday's pullback as a small blip in the AI trade's record run.

Persons: That's, Jamie Meyers, Management's Paul Meeks, CNBC's, Tengler's Meyers, Kayne Anderson, Julie Biel, Adam Sarhan, Jay Woods Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investments, Wall, Broadcom, Microsoft, Tesla, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Freedom Capital Locations: U.S

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