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Dollar on a roll after U.S. jobs data and Middle East flare-up
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Bank notes of the Chinese yuan, Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar. Japan's yen fell to its lowest in nearly two months and other major currencies too were grappling with losses early on Monday as the dollar extended a rally sparked by Friday's strong U.S. jobs data and an escalation in the Middle East conflict. But that came on top of a more than 4% decline last week, its biggest weekly percentage decline since early 2009. Yields dipped early last week when investors bought safe-haven Treasuries after Iran launched more than 180 missiles against Israel in escalating geopolitical tensions. Market expectations have swung to the extreme for the Federal Reserve to do just a 25 bps cut in November, rather than 50 bps, following the jobs data.
Persons: Friday's, Chris Weston, haven't, Brent, underperformance, Shigeru Ishiba, Sterling, Huw Pill, Andrew Bailey, BoE Organizations: U.S ., Federal, U.S, Treasuries, Federal Reserve, Bank of England Locations: China, East, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Iran, Japan
October is off to a rocky start, but a strong period of seasonality is only just beginning – particularly for select dividend-paying stocks, Bespoke Investment Group found. Dividend-paying stocks have been especially strong when it comes to fourth-quarter returns over the past 10 years, Bespoke found. In addition to having seasonality in their favor, dividend stocks are also expected to benefit from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cutting cycle. Tapestry also has a dividend yield of 3%. The stock has a total return of more than 21% in 2024, as well as a dividend yield of nearly 5%.
Persons: Matthew Boss, Tabby, Boss, Coach's, it's, Piper Sandler, Scott Siefers, Siefers, Wells, Michael Brown, Brown, Lamb Weston Organizations: Investment, New, JPMorgan, BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America Locations: Brooklyn, BlackRock, Wells Fargo
Over time, riskier assets have outperformed cash and cash alternatives, said Brian Rehling, its head of global fixed income strategy. Different types of fixed income Investors can benefit from different types of fixed income in their portfolios, Citi said. But since then, both stocks and high-yield fixed income have increased in price. "Investors should consider taking advantage of any pullbacks in these asset classes to reposition overallocations to short-term fixed income," it said. Meanwhile, it likes U.S. intermediate term taxable fixed income, as it prefers bonds with maturities of between three and seven years.
Persons: Steven Wieting, Brian Rehling, Wells Fargo, overallocations Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Citi, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Securities . Investment Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells
Gold and crude oil rallied, while the 10-year Treasury yield dropped. On the economic data front, job openings rose unexpectedly in August. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Traders elected to crowd into safe-haven assets like gold as Iran launched a barrage of missiles toward Israel on Tuesday. AdvertisementAs oil rallied, so did gold and the bond market, with investors piling into risk-off assets.
Persons: , Helima Croft, Quincy Krosby, Bill Adams Organizations: Treasury, Service, Traders, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, Global, LPL, Labor, Comerica Bank Locations: Israel, Iran, Lebanon
ETF Edge with State Street's Matt Bartolini
  + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailETF Edge with State Street's Matt BartoliniMatt Bartolini, State Street managing director and head of SPDR Americas Research, joins CNBC's Bob Pisani on the 'Halftime Report' to discuss whether investors would flee Treasuries as yields drop and more.
Persons: Matt Bartolini Matt Bartolini, Bob Pisani Organizations: State Street, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research Locations: SPDR Americas
Gold, traditionally perceived as a haven, has climbed roughly 30% this year, outperforming the benchmark S&P 500 index’s 20% gain. Fresh consumer confidence data on Tuesday indicated that Americans are feeling pessimistic about the US economy and future of the job market. JPMorgan Chase researchers said in a note on Monday that they expect the yellow metal to continue running toward their 2025 target price of $2,850 an ounce as the Fed brings down rates. Silver, another precious metal that tends to move in tandem with gold, has jumped roughly 34% this year, outperforming the yellow metal. New moves from China to revive its economy also has the potential to lift precious metals, said Rhind.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Kristina Hooper, JPMorgan Chase, “ There’s, Will Rhind, Rhind Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Traders, JPMorgan, Treasury, GraniteShares, Citi Locations: New York, China, Turkey, India, China’s
Here's where to invest $1 million, according to the pros
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
If you had as much as a spare $1 million to invest right now, what should you buy? Balanced-to-medium risk profile With as much as $1 million to invest with, investors can buy individual securities instead of being restricted to funds, said David Dietze, managing principal and senior portfolio strategist at Peapack Private Wealth Management. "A much smaller amount leaves an investor forced to invest in funds to get adequate diversification. With one million, one could say invest $20K in fifty different stocks and be well diversified," he said. More aggressive risk profile Gambles says that taking on a more aggressive stance would mean an "all in commitment" on the themes he expects will perform, and removing any hedges against those trades.
Persons: Paul Gambles, David Dietze, Dietze, Bristol Myers, Gambles Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Family, Yen, Wealth Management, Bristol, BHP Group, Hershey, BHP Locations: China, Australian
Khurana thinks what has made boomers the wealthiest generation — stocks and housing — also makes them a risk to economic stability. AdvertisementSuch a scenario is an '"underappreciated risk," he said, given how much boomers' spending habits have fueled economic growth in recent years. The demographic spends around $548 billion a year, more than any other generation, according to a report from marketing research firm Epsilon. AdvertisementBroken down by each generation's holdings of property and stocks, boomers accounted for 42% of all real estate ownership and 54% of all corporate equity and mutual fund ownership. That's not to say boomers will cause the next recession, but the risk during a recession is dialed up under the current paradigm, Khurana said.
Persons: , America's, Brij, Khurana, boomers, they've, John Hussman, That's Organizations: Service, Wellington Management, Business, McKinsey & Company, New York Fed, Epsilon, New, Boomers, Federal Reserve, Governors Boomers, Governors Locations: New, New York, Florida and Texas
The Fed cut interest rates in its September meeting, which is the first cut in years. Experts say not to rush to action with your cash savings — but start doing some research. But, the Fed finally cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its meeting on September 18 — the first rate cut since March 2020. This is true now, but it will be just as true if the Fed continues to drop the federal funds rate in the future. However, interest rate increases could lead to having to sell the note on the secondary market at a loss.
Persons: Robert Farrington, Paul Miller, Andrew Crowell, D.A, Davidson, Joseph DiSanto, DiSanto, doesn't, Holly Johnson Freelance, Holly Johnson, Johnson Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, The, Investor, Miller & Company, Barclays, U.S . News, Club Locations: U.S
Introduction to the federal funds rateDefinition and purpose of the federal fund rateThe federal funds rate, or fed funds rate, is the interest rate set by the Federal Open Markets Committee. The Federal Reserve lowered the federal fund rate on September 19, 2024, to stop aggressive inflation and prevent a recession. Today, the federal fund rate is 5.00%, with the federal fund target rate being 4.75% to 5.00%. How the federal funds rate worksThe federal funds rate, or the overnight rate, is the interest commercial banks charge when they lend money to one another for extremely short-term periods — literally, overnight. Federal funds rate FAQsWhat happens when the federal funds rate is high?
Persons: Karen Fernandez Tessa Campbell, Tessa Campbell, Tessa, she’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Federal Open Markets, Fed, Market, Fed's, Governors, Federal Reserve Bank, Susquehanna University
How to make the Fed rate cut work for you
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jeanne Sahadi | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
In its August survey of car shoppers, a majority (64%) said a Fed rate cut likely would affect the timing of their purchase. But here’s the thing: Car loan rates are pretty high — the average is 7.1% for new cars and 11.3% for used cars, according to Edmunds. If you do buy a home this year and are considering buying down points to reduce your mortgage rate, crunch some numbers first, Diodato advised. That’s because you will pay thousands of dollars to buy down your mortgage rate now, and then thousands more in fees to refinance. What to do if you’re not near retirement: Reconsider how much money you’re keeping in cash or cash-equivalent investments.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, , , Greg McBride, McBride, Chris Diodato, Jessica Caldwell, ” McBride, Caldwell, We’re, Diodato, you’ll, won’t, Kathy Jones, Jones Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Bankrate.com, Fed, Treasury, FDIC, Schwab Center, Financial Research, AAA, Bond Locations: Edmunds, Schwab.com
One of the main takeaways was that the biggest threats to dollar dominance are swelling US debt levels and fiscal deficits, which officials in Washington could step up to tackle. "The biggest challenge to US dollar dominance is the US itself given the mounting public debt levels and elevated fiscal deficits," JPMorgan said, in a note summarizing the webinar. For instance, many alarmists have focused on the dollar's share in foreign reserve holdings, often pointing out that the foreign central banks have piled into gold as an alternative. But this fixation omits the fact that bank deposits, sovereign wealth fund assets, and other dollar instruments have been on the rise among reserve holdings, JPMorgan said. "In China's case, it has had an explicit target to bring down dollar holdings in FX reserve but has shifted USD holdings to state-owned entities.
Persons: , Peter G, Mark Sobel —, Trump, Sobel Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, US, Peterson Foundation, Treasury, Monetary, Financial, greenback Locations: Washington, China
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. ET each day) Worldwide Exchange Word of the Day: Fed Mimi Duff from GenTrust said the Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday will dominate the market action this week. Even as the Fed is expected to enter a rate cutting cycle, Duff sees the biggest opportunities in defensives like consumer staples and healthcare. INTC 1D mountain Intel, 1 day Intel continues to be a laggard in the chip space with shares down 60% year to date.
Persons: Mimi Duff, GenTrust, Duff, Jerome Powell, Big Tech Alan McKnight, Jackson, mMoney, McKnight Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Federal, Big Tech, Regions Bank, Big, Intel, Bloomberg, Pentagon
The bulls on Wall Street have been largely right about the stock market over the past two years. Business Insider asked three bullish stock strategists what they consider the biggest risks. Yet, those economists have been largely wrong about what could sink the stock market and economy. "In May/June, when you had a lot of bears or those that had been late to jump on the bull parade all of a sudden switch their forecasts and kind of chase markets up, which is pretty, I mean pretty, pretty, pretty classic," Belski told Business Insider. The second risk is, similar to Belski's concern, a 1990's type melt-up in the stock market.
Persons: , Brian Belski, Belski, Yardeni Research's Eric Wallerstein Eric Wallerstein, Wallerstein, that's, Carson, Sonu Varghese Sonu Varghese, Varghese Organizations: Business, Service, BMO, Nvidia, Yardeni Research, Carson Group, Federal Locations: Russia, Ukraine, China, Taiwan
MicroStrategy shares jumped more than 8% on Friday after founder Michael Saylor said the company purchased another $1.1 billion worth of bitcoin. The stock jumped 24% for the week and is now up 124% this year. MicroStrategy's stash of 244,800 bitcoins is worth $14.6 billion. Founded in 1989, MicroStategy has a business in enterprise software and cloud-based services, but its value is now almost entirely tied to its bitcoin ownership, effectively making the company a proxy for the world's biggest cryptocurrency. It is the biggest corporate holder of the asset, according to Bitcoin Treasuries.
Persons: Michael Saylor, Saylor, MicroStategy, Bitcoin
As crypto investing becomes more mainstream and institutionalized with bitcoin ETFs, Wyoming is already pushing into the next phase of growth for crypto: consumer payments. The visionWyoming is currently vetting potential partners and vendors with more tech expertise to help build the stable token. From there, it should be just another payment method for everyday things, said Flavia Naves, a commissioner at the Wyoming Stable Token Commission. "This is a public token as well so as with any public service, all the information is available." The commission invites the public virtually to its meetings on the stable token and posts the minutes to its website afterward.
Persons: Long, Gordon, Washington's, Mark Gordon, it's, Flavia, we've Organizations: CNBC, treasuries, Treasurys, State, U.S ., Treasury, Federal Reserve, Atlantic Council Locations: United States, Wyoming, Jackson, Jackson , Wyoming, Solana
A "Buy Treasury bonds" poster is seen at a bank in Haian, East China's Jiangsu province, Aug 1, 2024. "We remain actively bullish," said a bond fund manager, undeterred by unprecedented government moves to cool the sizzling treasury market and arrest a plunge in yields, which move inversely to prices. Falling yields also complicate the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) efforts to stabilize the weakening yuan. Unlike the West, "China's financial markets, including the bond market, are subject to top-down regulation," said Ryan Yonk, economist with the American Institute for Economic Research. Late on Friday, the central bank said it will gradually increase the purchase and sale of treasury bonds in its open market operations.
Persons: Wang Hongfei, Ryan Yonk, Pan Gongsheng, Kiyong Seong, Tan Yiming Organizations: Bank of China's, American Institute for Economic Research, Societe Generale, Minsheng Securities Locations: Haian, East China's Jiangsu, Beijing, Shanghai, China, Asia
To be sure, the carnage on Wall Street and in equities markets around the world was real. But Monday’s panic was the Wall Street equivalent of a tantrum from a kid who just got told they can’t have ice cream for dinner. But don’t let the stock market drama fool you: The US economy is still in good shape, despite some turbulence. “And I’m not too worried about Wall Street becoming poor.”Stocks looked to bounce back Tuesday. Wall Street worked itself into a lather when ChatGPT came out two years ago.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Stocks, Dow, Wall, don’t, Rana Foroohar, That’s, it’s, Goldman Sachs, , Jan Hatzius, ” Goldman, There’s, Beryl, , Beryl didn’t, Aaron Sojourner, ’ ”, ChatGPT, Rob Haworth, ” Haworth Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, CNN, Nikkei, of Labor Statistics, Coast, BLS, WE Upjohn, Employment Research, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Fed, Federal, Markets, Big Tech, Nvidia, Microsoft, Wall, Bank of Japan, US Bank Locations: New York, Japan
Given the many ways lower rates can affect your finances, here are some things to consider when deciding what steps to take in response. Here’s how lower rates may affect key areas of your financial life, along with tips on what to do about it. If that proves difficult to get, see if you can transfer your balance to a credit card from a credit union or local bank that offers lower rates than the biggest banks. And because many variables determine what that factor will be, it will be hard to figure out the impact of lower interest rates. His advice: Don’t keep more than six months’ to a year’s worth of living expenses in cash or cash equivalents.
Persons: , Greg McBride, ” McBride, , Chris Diodato, Diodato, you’ll, McBride, ” Dodiato, Collin Martin, don’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Bankrate, Schwab Center, Financial Research, AAA Locations: New York, Schwab.com
Certain areas of the stock market that benefit from lower rates could see a boost. AdvertisementInstead, plug some money into longer-duration bonds to lock in higher returns while they're still around, Milan said. In addition to tying down solid returns, longer-duration bonds could also appreciate when rates fall, he said. AdvertisementLook at rate-sensitive areas of the stock marketCertain areas of the stock market should also benefit from Fed rate cuts. But investors should keep their eye on the labor market the more the Fed cuts rates, Young Thomas said.
Persons: , Daniel Milan, they're, Ed Mahaffy, Mahaffy, Robert Phipps, Bernstein, Liz Young Thomas, Shmuel Shayowitz, Kristy Kim, Young Thomas Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Cornerstone Financial Services, Treasury, ClientFirst Wealth Management, Corporate, Per Stirling Capital Management, Bloomberg, Bond, Index, Fed, Vanguard, ®, Schwab, Fidelity Locations: Michigan, Milan, TreasuryDirect, TomoCredit
At a time when China's economy is facing headwinds, and growth has been slowing, where are the Chinese ultra-rich, whose numbers are expected to swell to 144,897 by 2028 from 98,551 in 2023, parking their wealth? However, the country's high-end property market remains a favored asset. Luxury real estate"There has been a noticeable increase in transactions within Shanghai's luxury real estate sector," said James Macdonald, head of China research at global real estate firm Savills, attributing it to a recent policy easing by the government. That said, China's luxury real estate market is still primarily concentrated in the core areas of first-tier cities, said Li. Other local investment classes, such as the wider property market and China-listed stocks are not as popular among the ultra rich, experts told CNBC.
Persons: Weiquan Lin, Frank, James Macdonald, Savills, Stephen Pau, Sam Xie, CBRE's, Xie, Arbour, Tian Di, Knight Frank Head of, Pacific Research Christine Li, Li, Nick Xiao, Xiao, Yongyuan Dai, Pau, defensiveness Organizations: CNBC, Pacific Research, Overseas, Domestic Institutional Investors, Domestic Limited, Hywin Locations: China, Shanghai, Lujiazui, Knight Frank Head of Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, Yongyuan, Pau
What to do when the Fed starts cutting interest rates
  + stars: | 2024-07-27 | by ( Jeanne Sahadi | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
New York CNN —Over the past couple of years, the Federal Reserve aggressively raised its key interest rate to a 23-year high to beat down inflation. But, realistically, how much you’ll save when the Fed lowers rates will depend on how quickly it cuts and by how much each time. Since loan amounts are substantial, this is one area where even small cuts in interest rates could make a meaningful difference in what a homebuyer will pay. A couple of quarter-point rate cuts from the Fed won’t make it meaningfully cheaper, McBride said. A few rate cuts won’t make much of a dent in today’s record-high average rate of 20.7%.
Persons: , Greg McBride, ” McBride, , Chris Diodato, McBride, Diodato, you’re, ” Dodiato Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Bankrate, Fed Locations: New York
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: Lockheed Martin, TE Connectivity, U.S. 2 Year Treasuries and the XLUThe Investment Committee give you their top stocks to watch for the second half.
Persons: Lockheed Martin Organizations: Lockheed, Investment
Global markets rise after Biden exit
  + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN —Global markets made solid gains after President Joe Biden dropped out of the 2024 presidential election Sunday and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee. European markets were higher, and Asian markets closed mostly lower. But “the fact that Biden endorsed Kamala Harris reduces uncertainty,” said Jay Hatfield, CEO at Infrastructure Capital Advisors. “Markets are increasingly focused on the US presidential election in November,” wrote Deutsche Bank’s Henry Allen in a research note on Monday. Stocks tumbled toward the end of last week as a turbulent election cycle and a global tech outage rocked technology stocks in particular.
Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, unwind, Harris, Biden, , Jay Hatfield, Trump, ” Hatfield, Deutsche Bank’s Henry Allen, Lyndon Johnson, Stocks Organizations: New, New York CNN — Global, Democratic, Dow, Nasdaq, Trump, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Deutsche Bank, , Deutsche Locations: New York
He's steering clear of Big Tech stocks, and for now he's only bullish on "dull, boring, and predictable" names. Tech stocks now account for highest portion of the S&P 500 since the early 2000s, according to an analysis from Société Générale. AdvertisementAnother risk to stocks lies in interest rates, Blain said, as borrowing costs look poised to stay higher for longer. "There is an awful lot of people in the financial markets who just don't understand that zero interest rates and ultra-low interest rates are not normal," Blain added. AdvertisementThe final risk Blain is eyeing is the upcoming presidential election, which contains a handful of uncertainties that could batter stocks, Blain said.
Persons: Bill Blain, Blain isn't, , that's, Blain, Biden, he's, Générale, John Hussman, I've, eyeing, We've, Morgan Stanley, Stifel, Richard Bernstein Organizations: Big Tech, Service, China, Nasdaq, Tech, stoke, Richard Bernstein Advisors
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