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☆ Rent a car for a road trip, or drive your own? 5 things to consider
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

For some car owners, it might be more financially savvy to rent a vehicle for a road trip than use their own, experts said. Drivers would need to compare total rental costs — the daily rental rate and potential add-ons like insurance — versus those of operating their own car. "Most people will be shocked at what it actually costs to own and operate their car," Brannon said. The cost of rental car insurance might add $30 to $61 to the daily rate, depending on insurance type, according to Allianz Travel, citing MarketWatch data. Car owners may already get full coverage on a rental via their own car insurance policies, or may have some coverage through credit-card benefits, Brannon said.

Persons: Patchareeporn, Greg Brannon, Brian Moody, Autotrader, Moody, Brannon, Hopper, Alistair Berg, Digitalvision, Kelley, KBB, Autotrader's Moody Organizations: AAA, Toyota, Allianz Travel, Finance, Car, Getty, Allianz, State

☆ Citi fined $78 million after a European trader's fat-finger trade caused a flash crash in stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

A trading mistake at Citigroup in 2022 has led to a $78 million fine against the bank. The "fat-finger" trade caused a brief flash crash in European stocks in May 2022. The brief flash crash caused by the mistaken trade briefly wiped out $322 billion in market value. A trader in Citigroup's London unit entered one too many zeros in a trade in May 2022, sparking a short-lived flash crash in European stocks. AdvertisementThe $78 million fine from UK regulators is in addition to about $50 million Citigroup lost on the trade, bringing the total cost of the fat-finger trade to about $130 million.

Persons: — Organizations: Citigroup, Service, Bloomberg, Bank of England's Prudential Regulatory Authority Locations: Citigroup's London, Stockholm

☆ These are the top business-development execs competing to hire elite portfolio managers at hedge fund giants Citadel, Millennium, Point72, and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Alex Morrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +34 min

Unlike business development in corporate America, which focuses on growing a company's prospects with partners and clients, hedge fund BD teams specialize in scouting, evaluating, and wooing investment talent. AdvertisementFew have been involved in hedge fund BD longer than Jennifer Blake, Balyasny's global head. The fund's BD department remains in close contact with PMs after they join as a resource and advisor. Vernon Yuen/Getty Images$61 billion AUM2,200+ employeesAdvertisementKen Griffin's Citadel has outperformed not just its immediate rivals but every other hedge fund. He runs a team of about 20 as head of business development in the Americas, the largest region of the largest player in this space.

Persons: —, Griffin's, Izzy Englander's, Goldman Sachs, Headcount, execs, Dmitry Balyasny, Brendan McDermid, Jennifer Blake, Balyasny's, Morgan Stanley, Dmitri Balyasny's, Blake, it's, Federico Chavarria, Balyasny, Dave Matz, Smith Hanley, Alistair Jacobs, Dave Black, Peter Appel, Federico Chavarria MD, Andrew McHugh, Jules Biolsi, Michael Platt, he's, BlueCrest, Michael Grad, Grad, Jake Lindsay, Mungo Strachan, BlueCrest's, Brevan Howard Brevan Howard, Alan Howard, Ringo Chiu, Brevan Howard, Alan Howard's, Aran Landy, Brevan, Abu, It's, Landy, Howard, Peter Hornick, David Abbou, Jonathan Candy, Gregoire Vidal, Vidal, Tim Williams, Andy Silver, Gautam, Ken Griffin, Vernon Yuen, Ken Griffin's, Griffin, Matt Giannini, Giannini, headhunter, Matt, I've, — Thomas DeAngelis, Lindsay Previdi, Rice, Dore, Eleanor Sharkey, Melinda Urban, Mark Hansen, Julian Ulmer, Mathur, Adam Sharkie, Michael Page, Eisler, Edward Eisler, Sam Wisnia, Chris Milner, Milner, Hilary Curran, Hilary Curran Global, Rebecca Zisser, Michael Gelband, Hornick, Jeff Gelband, Mike Tiano, Eric Han, Garrett Berg, Liu, APAC Blackstone, Euan Shand, Kevin Carroll, Emily, Needham, Ostendorf, Ben Levine, Stefan Renold, LMR, Marcus Fairhurst, He'd, LMR's, Izzy, Ronda, Singh, Mark Meskin, Justin Gmelich, Steve Keller, Benjamin Williams, Madhvani, Paritosh Singh, Ben Williams, Kristina Tully, Steven Cohen, Point72, Shayanne, Steve Cohen's, Harry Schwefel, Chandler, Steve Cohen, JT Shields, They're, Schwefel, Alyssa Friedman —, Chandler Bocklage, Reid Murphy, Jae Yang, Japan Goldman Sachs, Alyssa Friedman, Jackie Dai, Gabriel Sanders, Ajay, Steven Schonfeld, Michael Nagle, Steve Schonfeld's, Ryan Tolkin, Schonfeld, doesn't, Akshay Aggarwal, Alex Burns, Ryan McCort, Colin Lancaster, Mitesh, Sameer Buch, Brittany Lynch, DMFI, Goldman, Verition, Nicholas Maounis, Josh Goldstein, Brian Townes, Townes, Elizabeth Xiang MD, Vir, Steve Satenstein, Chris Svoboda, Will England, Thomas DeAngelis, DeAngelis, Jonathan Brenner, hasn't, Maureen Reed, John Sullivan, Brenner, Walleye's Organizations: Service, Management, Wall, Business, Balyasny, Balyasny Asset Management, Quadra Advisors, SAC, Macquarie, BD, UBS, Grad, Financial Times, Michael, Lascaux, Howard BD, Brevan, Argentum Advisors, BH Digital, McKinsey & Company, JPMorgan, Ken Griffin's Citadel, Citadel, Citadel's, decamping, Chicago, Citadel BD, Walleye Capital, of Surveyor, Millennium, Capital, Credit, Ashler, Rice, Deutsche Bank, LMR Partners, London, Dore Partnership, Soros, Soros Fund, Ronda Churchill, Bloomberg, Getty, Guggenheim, Industry, MLP, Americas Guggenheim, Americas Citadel, SAC Capital, SEC, Point72 Academy, Citigroup, BD Energi, Japan, EMEA, APAC BNP, Schonfeld, PAAMCO, KKR, DMC Partners, Topwater, LinkedIn, New, New Holland Capital, BD —, Walleye, Lehman Brothers, Hutchin, Putnam Investments, ~$ Locations: America, Asia, Balyasny, Blackstone, New Holland, Abu Dhabi, BlueCrest, Europe, Graticule, ExodusPoint, Hornick, Freestone, New York, Schonfeld, Brevan, he's, Aberdeen, Hong Kong, Zurich, Glasgow, Dubai, Americas, Point72, quant, Verition, London, Greenland, Minnesota, Citadel

☆ Wall Street Cruel Summer: Stock Market Crash, Inflation Ends Vacation
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-05 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

Inflation canceled that, and now it's almost certain that Wall Street's summer is canceled, too. That means Wall Street's fantasies of decamping to the Hamptons for the summer have shattered. You can see why this tug-of-war will keep Wall Street on its toes and off Georgica Beach. There is a certain set on Wall Street that does not get to "rosé all day" on Hamptons summer water when currencies trade that way. The simplicity that Wall Street hoped for is one of the few options that's no longer on the table.

Persons: —, Justin Simon, decamping, Jerome Powell, opportunistically, Jamie Dimon, Torsten Slok, Slok, Powell, we'd, David Lefkowitz, dory, McDonald's, Silas Myers, Wall, Zuck, Simon, they're, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Jasper Capital, Nasdaq, Hamptons, JPMorgan, Fed, Pepsi, Mar Vista Investments, Wall, Nvidia, Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, EU Locations: Georgica, Japan

☆ Stocks could have further to fall in May after this month’s market woes
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 is down by more than 3% this month, though it has still registered a more than 6% advance for the year. But many investors worry stocks have further to go before finding a durable bottom. They say stocks look overvalued even after the recent pullback, and they cite troubling headwinds for equities. 'Sell in May and go away' May has a reputation as a historically weak month for stocks. Carson Group's Ryan Detrick noted that stocks have actually been higher in May during the last nine out of 10 years.

Persons: Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Jeff Hirsch, he's, It's, Hirsch, Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, we've Organizations: Investors, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Treasury Bond ETF

☆ 'Sell in May and go away' is a catchy adage, but probably not a good idea
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It's not just that it has been a down month (down 3.0% for the S & P 500, breaking a 5-month win streak). However, weaker does not mean down. The S & P, even in the weakest five months, was still up almost 2%. The bottom line: market timing is always a tricky affair. Many of these timing maxims could be trumped by an even better one: "It's time in the market that matters, not market timing."

Persons: It's, Nicholas Colas, Jeff Hirsch, it's Organizations: Dow, Stock Locations: It's, DataTrek

☆ How Hedge Funds Are Betting on Electricity and the Changing Power Grid
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Alex Morrell | Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +19 min

A onetime commodities backwater, congestion trading has become a growing business in recent years as the demand for electricity and volatility on the power grid in the US has soared. The financial category, which includes specialized power-trading companies, banks, hedge funds, and large proprietary trading firms, dominates the market, in part because the physical power firms typically operate in only one or two regions. He launched three congestion trading teams for the firm, including in California and Texas after those states introduced congestion trading in 2008 and 2010, respectively. Citadel, along with Susquehanna International Group and Tower Research, has been involved in FTR trading since the market's infancy. Volatility has been increasing on the power grid, in part because of changing weather patterns, Jeev added.

Persons: Kumar Jeev, Jane Street, Richard Roseblade, who's, There's, Roseblade, Bill Clark, Jeev, DC Energy's Tyler Kuhn, DRW, California Al Seib, Brevan Howard, Jane, Stephanie Staska, Staska, couldn't, Joe Biden's, It's, Meredith Angwin, Angwin Organizations: Business, Capital, Midwest, Citadel, Tower Research, Yes Energy, Energy, Anadolu, Getty, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, FERC, Nasdaq, York Stock Exchange, Nvidia, Johns Hopkins University, DC Energy, Wayfair, Squarepoint, Appian, Boston Energy, Susquehanna International Group, DC, Bloomberg, Commodities, Traders, Wall Street, Workers, GreenHat Energy, JPMorgan, Hill Energy Resource & Services, P, Grid, & $ Locations: Wall, East Coast, DRW, Susquehanna, FTRs, New York, Canada, Texas, Virginia, California, Berlin, Chicago, Oregon, California Al, Ukraine, Russian, Uri, Northern Virginia

☆ March in a presidential election year may kick off a weak period. Here's why that could be a buying opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Seasonally speaking, stocks could be in for a pullback as the calendar turns to March in a presidential election year. In every March since 1950, the S & P 500 historically rises 1.1%, but the same month in presidential election years scores a smaller 0.4% advance on average. Currently, the S & P 500 is trading around the 5,100 level. But Hirsch advised investors to watch S & P 500 support levels closer to 4,800, the prior all-time high, or 4,600, the high from the summer of 2023. That's because Hirsch anticipates the S & P 500 will rise to 5,500 by year end, so any dips may prove a buying opportunity for investors.

Persons: Jeffrey Hirsch, Russell, Hirsch, it's, you've, —, Hirsch isn't, Katie Stockton, Sam Stovall, Stovall Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, CFRA Research

☆ Something unusual is happening with the S&P 500, and it could mean more gains ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 is about to do something unusual that has typically been followed by strong gains ahead. There have been only been 28 instances in which the S & P 500 has risen over the first two months of the year. The S & P 500 hit record highs in recent weeks, prompting questions about whether it can continue advancing or is due for a correction. With last week's advance, the S & P 500 officially finished 15 of the last 17 completed trading weeks in the green. The S & P 500 went on to finish that year up by a whopping 27.3%.

Persons: what's, Henry Allen, Allen, Madonna Organizations: Carson Group, Deutsche Bank, Bretton Locations: U.S

☆ Jim Chanos discusses his legendary Enron short bet more than two decades later
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-20 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Short seller Jim Chanos is best known for calling the collapse of Enron, the world's largest energy trading company at the time. "Because the news got worse and worse and worse, and every piece of incremental bad news was much worse than what we've been through." Here's one thing that might come as a surprise: Enron was not the only stock Chanos shorted and profited from during the episode. However, Chanos saw a big red flag in Dynegy that make him bet against the stock, which eventually plunged 90%. Watch the full video above to learn about Chanos' legendary Enron bet.

Persons: Jim Chanos, Chanos, Dynegy, Jeffrey Skilling, Warren Buffett's, —, Michael Burry, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Enron, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, CNBC, Warren, Warren Buffett's Berkshire, Nvidia, There's

☆ A software consultant who also day trades stocks gained 805% in 2023. He shares a chart indicator he uses to trade volatile small-cap and penny stocks.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-03 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

After a few years of attempting to swing trade, Gajjala searched for an approach where he could feel more in control of his trades. For this trade, Gajjala has less time for analysis and needs to execute within the first and second bull flags. The red circle in the chart below demonstrates what a bull flag pullback looks like on a chart. Bull flag pullback chart pattern. By the time he did notice it, it had begun to form the second bull flag pattern.

Persons: Goverdhan Gajjala, Mark Minervini, Gajjala, hadn't, Norman Zadeh, Zadeh Organizations: Business, Nextplay Technologies, Bionomics Ltd

☆ Wall Street is on pace to finish January higher. Why that could be good news for the rest of the year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

That's according to the "January barometer" from the "Stock Trader's Almanac," which argues that "as the S & P 500 goes in January, so goes the rest of the year." The S & P 500 has managed to trade above the 4,900 level already this month and is currently up 3.3% in the new year. That's enough to put the broad market index trading above Wall Street strategists' average 2024 target of 4,914, according to the CNBC PRO Market Strategist Survey. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2024 Election Year Notably, 2024 is a U.S. presidential election year. By comparison, the S & P 500 typically gains 15% in those years with a higher January.

Persons: Stocks, Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, Sam Stovall, Outperformers, Dow, Stovall, What's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wall, CNBC, Market, Survey, Bank of America, Dow Jones Locations: U.S

☆ A software consultant who day trades stocks gained 805% in 2023. He shares 3 chart indicators that led him from consistent losses to becoming profitable.
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-20 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

He joined his private access program, a paid educational platform for trading stocks, where he spent a year learning the content. The stock's price should pull back organically, meaning the volume parallel to the downward price move should be gradual. On a daily chart like the one above, it's based on the past nine days. If the stock's price doesn't fall below it or forms a support line, it signals that the price could likely retrace and increase. Instead of entering five to 10 trades daily, he now keeps it at two to three.

Persons: Goverdhan Gajjala, William O'Neil, Gajjala, Mark Minervini, It's, Minervini's, Norman Zadeh, Zadeh Organizations: Service, Investor's Business Daily, US, EMA, Health Intelligence Locations: Dallas

☆ First the Santa Claus Rally failed, now the First Five Days indicator is also negative
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-09 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Despite a huge rally Monday led by tech stocks that drove up the S & P 500 by 1.4%, a second seasonal indicator is flashing red. First the Santa Claus Rally failed. Now the First Five Days indicator is also negative. The S & P 500 is down 0.1% in the first five trading days of the year. The Santa Claus Rally and the First Five Days indicator have failed together 9 times since 1969, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac.

Persons: Jeff Hirsch, Hirsch, There's Organizations: Santa Claus, Stock

☆ The ‘Santa Claus rally’ is in trouble, and that may signal weaker stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-03 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Santa Claus rally is in trouble. With one day left in the trade, the S & P 500 is down 0.1% in the past six days. Fortunately, a negative Santa Claus rally period doesn't happen very often, only 12 times since 1969 — less than 25% of the time. "That is 16 out of 16 years, which includes years with recessions, like 2020," Clifton notes. The outperformance is notable: The S & P tends to be stronger by 1.3% on average.

Persons: Santa Claus, Jeff Hirsch, Tom McClellan, Hirsch, Dan Clifton, Clifton, Biden, Jason Trennert, Strategas, There's Organizations: Santa, Treasury, Bloomberg Locations: Santa, Santa Claus, U.S, Strategas, Mexico, India, Taiwan, Pakistan, Indonesia, South Africa, Tunisia

☆ Santa Claus rally period starts on Friday with an average gain of about 1% the next 7 trading days
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-22 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Friday is the official start of the Santa Claus rally. What the Santa Claus Rally is, and isn't Over the years, Jeff Hirsch of the Stock Trader's Almanac has repeatedly told me the key to understanding the Santa Claus rally is that it is not a trading strategy, it is an indicator. Fortunately, a negative Santa Claus rally period doesn't happen very often, only 12 times since 1969 (less than 25% of the time). In the years when the Santa Claus period is negative, the S & P is up an average of only 5.0%, versus an average gain of 9.1% in all years. You can see this very clearly in this chart: The common explanation is that: 1) markets are stronger with a sitting president because a sitting President can pull levers to help the economy, and 2) markets tend to be weaker with no sitting president because of increased uncertainty around economic outcomes.

Persons: Santa Claus, Yale Hirsch, Ryan Detrick, I've, Jeff Hirsch, Hirsch Organizations: Carson Group, Santa Locations: Santa

☆ One year after the December 2022 Fed meeting and stock investors are almost back to even
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-13 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P ended last December down almost 6% and ended all of 2022 down almost 20% (19.4% to be exact). 2 022 was an odd duck Last year was an unusual one — unusual because market declines of 20% don't happen very often. And the S & P 500? The S & P dropped 25% from the January 2022 closing high of 4,793 to the bottom of 3,577 in October 2022. Three-quarters of the time, the S & P 500 goes up from one year to the next.

Persons: Stocks, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Down

☆ Signs of a sector rotation — plus 2 more themes to watch in the stock market
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-02 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Historically, November is the best month of the year for the stock market, and December is third, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. Under the surface this week, we also saw signs of a possible market rotation in the works. Rotation watch : We must look to next week's trading for confirmation that we're in the grips of a rotation or simply a head fake. Signs of the former were on display this week as the two of the biggest sector winners of the year, communication services and technology , trailed the market. Jobs, jobs, jobs : The most important release of the week comes Friday in the form of the November nonfarm payrolls report.

Persons: Jerome Powell, That's, Locker, it's, Hock Tan, We'll, Joann, JOAN, JM Smucker, OLLI, Campbell Soup, Brown, Forman, LULU, Smith, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Wall, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Broadcom, Marvell Technology, Cisco Systems, VMWare, Club, PMI, Labor, Signet Jewelers, SIG, Brands, Toll, Thor Industries, Natural Foods, GameStop, Vail Resorts, MTN, Smith & Wesson, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Asana, ASAN, New York City

☆ Here’s what the S&P 500’s summer hot streak can teach us about the late 2023 rally and its staying power
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-02 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

In the final run-up to the late-July peak in stocks this column surveyed the rally , and asked, "Enough for now? .SPX YTD line The S & P 500's year-to-date performance Yes, the market is overbought by various technical measures. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo and Barclays are seeing the S & P 500 as dead money next year, at best. The virtues of owning the S & P 500 passively have always been low cost, tax efficiency, low turnover and broad exposure to the asset class. While 2021 was a Nasdaq 100 melt-up year, 2022 was the mirror image: Big Tech got blasted and the equal-weight S & P 500 held up better.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Jack Bogle, Alan Greenspan's Organizations: Federal, Deutsche, Deutsche Bank and Bank of America, Barclays, Hamas, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Microsoft, Big Tech, matchless, Treasury Locations: Wells Fargo, Israel

☆ Wall Street will try to keep the November momentum going in the final month of 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Wall Street will endeavor to keep the November momentum going in the final month of 2023, as investors look for a broadening out of the rally that has been dominated this year by a handful of tech names. It also marked the best monthly performance for the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite since July 2022. While the S & P 500 cap-weighted index climbed more than 18% this year, the equal-weighted index is up by just over 4%. They highlight the attractive relative valuation of value stocks compared to growth stocks, as well as the significant underweighting of value names in portfolios by traders. And the question is, is it going to be in 2024, is it going to be 2025 or in 2026?

Persons: Stocks, Hogan, Olivier Sarfati, GenTrust's Sarfati, Carlos Asilis, Asilis, FactSet, nonfarm payrolls, They're, TK, Nonfarm Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Riley, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, Expedia, Paramount Global, Russell, Glovista Investments, PMI, Services PMI, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit, Broadcom Locations: U.S, Michigan

☆ After an extraordinary November for stocks, December has a lot in its corner. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market is boring right now, and that is not a bad thing. There's a strong backdrop going into December. The S & P 500 was up 8.9%, its best month since July 2022, and the fourth-best November since 1950. If it doesn't seem that way, it's because the S & P has been flat for the past week and a half. There will be lots of complaints about high valuations, and the cynics will be right: The S & P is approaching 19-times 2024 earnings.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, let's Organizations: Triple Witching, Treasury, Atlanta, Wall Street, Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, Capital Markets, Bank of America, Barclays, Goldman, UBS Global Wealth, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, JPMorgan, Dow, Revenue Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ 'It's beginning to look a lot like VIX-mas.' What Wall Street's fear gauge is saying right now
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"It's beginning to look a lot like 'VIX-mas,'" Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, wrote in a note Sunday. Wells Fargo's Chris Harvey on Monday wrote that a low VIX is historically a bad sign for markets entering a new year. .VIX 5Y mountain CBOE Market Volatility Index, 5 years "We think 2024 will be a 'trader's market,' not a buy-and-hold situation," Harvey wrote. "But we ultimately think, you know, beyond that, it's poised to go lower just given the low volatility cycle that's been in place." The question is whether we are entering a new period of low volatility as the norm starting in 2024.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, BTIG's Krinsky, Wells Fargo's Chris Harvey, Harvey, SPX, Will Tamplin, Tamplin, it's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, " Wald, Krinsky Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia Locations: U.S

☆ Don't fear December: Stocks usually see year-end gains, especially before a presidential election year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

December is the time of the season when investors seldom have to worry about stock market performance, particularly in years that come before a presidential election. "Trading in December is holiday-inspired and fueled by a buying bias throughout the month," Hirsch recently told subscribers. "However, the first part of the month tends to be weaker as tax-loss selling and yearend portfolio restructuring begins." December does even better for small-cap stocks, at least going back to 1979, delivering the year's second-highest monthly return. That small cap return is usually back end loaded, however, only starting around the middle of the month.

Persons: Jeffrey Hirsch, Hirsch, outsized, Dow Industrials, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, Microsoft Locations: Decembers

☆ Wells Fargo unveils 2024 target, warns of 'really, really sloppy' first half for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Stephanie Landsman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Wells Fargo Securities is officially out with its 2024 stock market forecast. The second half will be better, but the first half is going to be really, really sloppy." In his official 2024 outlook note, Harvey told clients to brace for a "trader's market" instead of a "buy-and-hold situation." We've seen the equity market pull back, and it's just not a great setup into 2024," Harvey added. He warns the higher cost of capital is an additional market problem because it prevents multiples from going higher.

Persons: Chris Harvey, CNBC's, Harvey, it's Organizations: Wells Fargo Securities Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ The turkey trade: These stocks have a history of doing well after Thanksgiving
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CNBC Pro screened for stocks that tend to rise following the Thanksgiving holiday. Wall Street likes the shares today: At least 55% of analysts polled by FactSet maintain buy ratings. Shares are also well liked by analysts with more than 69% of analysts polled by FactSet maintain a buy rating on CVS. CVS YTD mountain CVS stock. The stock has historically added 2.6% after Thanksgiving with holiday travel in full swing, and shares have climbed 9% in 2023.

Persons: Wall Organizations: Dow Jones, Stock Trader's, CNBC Pro, FactSet, Caesars Entertainment, Culinary Union, Pharmacy, CVS, Delta Locations: Atlanta

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