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—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: AVGO, Katie Stockton Organizations: Broadcom Inc, Nvidia, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: AVGO
Investors are currently reveling in the 'better', as an ongoing eight-month melt-up once again pushed the S&P 500 to fresh highs this week. But sooner or later, the 'worse' will come, warns David Rosenberg, the founder of Rosenberg Research, who famously called the 2008 recession while working as Merrill Lynch's chief economist. AdvertisementAnother sign the market is out over its skis is the performance divergence between the market cap-weight and the equal-weighted S&P 500 indexes. On June 12, the Dow underperformed the S&P 500 by 0.94%, one of only 71 trading days since 1982 where that's happened, according to Rosenberg's technical analysis consultant, Walter Murphy. AdvertisementIn addition to concerning market technicals, fundamentals could also be in a troubling place in the form of labor market weakness, Rosenberg said.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch's, Rosenberg, Bob Farrell, Walter Murphy, Murphy, — Rosenberg, it's, Louis Fed, Piper Sandler Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Tech, Dow Jones, Dow, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Federal Locations: lockstep
Elon Musk kicked off the Tesla (TSLA) annual meeting thanking shareholders on Thursday. I want to express a bullish view now that this issue is in the rearview mirror for Tesla. TSLA YTD mountain Tesla, YTD Tesla has been an emotionally charged stock as Elon continues to run several companies and be involved in several more. The $56 billion pay package first approved in 2018 being reneged on Musk raised doubts about his future with Tesla this year. DISCLOSURES: (Long Tesla and this call spread) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .
Persons: Elon Musk, TSLA, Elon Musk's, Tesla, Cathie, Musk Organizations: Elon Locations: Delaware, Texas
Emerging markets investors have had a bumpy week after surprising election results seem to have caught at least some traders off guard. Between now and Nov. 5 are almost all negative potential risks in Mexico," Joshi added. Elsewhere in the world There are other lingering political issues that could affect emerging market investing. And for investors in broad emerging markets funds, even positive developments in some of these countries can be overshadowed by what happens in China. "It's a very large weight so it's going to drive the emerging market index quite a bit.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Modi, Aastha Gudwani, Angus Shillington, Shillington, Adam Turnquist, We've, Turnquist, Claudia Sheinbaum, Andres Manual Lopez, Morgan Stanley's Nikolaj Lippmann, Arif Joshi, Joshi, Sheinbaum, Lopez, Claudia, Polina Kurdyavko, Javier Milei, Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, Grindal, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Indian, Bank of America India, CNBC, LPL, Lazard Asset, RBC Global Asset Management, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Federal Reserve Locations: India, Mexico, South Asia, VanEck, U.S, Morena, South Africa, Argentina, China
While most of the S & P 500 has reported first quarter earnings, three notable names — where the options trade quite actively — have yet to report. Signs of improvement in this area showed up with their last earnings report on March 11th. The stock was flat when they reported earnings in June of 2023, but it fell double digits when they reported in September and December last year. ORCL YTD mountain Oracle, Year-to-date A more cautious approach to a bullish bet on Oracle could be to buy call options. One could offset a portion of this cost (and the volatility crush that generally follows an earnings report) by selling a June 14th weekly $130 call.
Persons: aren't Organizations: Oracle, Oracle Corp, Broadcom Inc, Adobe Inc, Broadcom, Adobe, Gamestop, Microsoft, Amazon, AWS, Morningstar
Yasir Al-Rumayyan, chairman of Saudi Arabian Oil Co. (Aramco), speaks during a news conference in Dammam, Saudi Arabia, on Sunday, Nov. 3, 2019. Crude oil futures rebounded slightly Wednesday but hovered near a four-month low as a decision by OPEC+ to increase production later this year continued to weigh on the market. U.S. crude oil and global benchmark Brent are down more than 4% this week after eight OPEC+ members agreed Sunday to gradually phase out 2.2 million barrels per day in production cuts. OPEC+ won't start increasing production until October, and the global oil balance sheet will tighten beforehand, Patterson said. Here are today's energy prices:"The technicals also suggest that the oil market is entering oversold territory," Patterson told clients in a research note on Wednesday.
Persons: Yasir Al, Rumayyan, Warren Patterson, Patterson, Bob Yawger, Yawger Organizations: Saudi Arabian Oil Co, Aramco, OPEC, Brent, ING, Mizuho Securities Locations: Dammam, Saudi Arabia, .
Despite the wild ride from a performance and volatility perspective, over the last six months, BTC has continued to do one thing very well – adhere to the technicals. It never violated the breakout zone from October'23 and hit the target by early March. Each prior falling wedge pattern breakout was accompanied by its RSI moving to overbought territory. Two Bullish Patterns on One Chart The second and third bullish formations appear on this chart. To reiterate, these targets are attained simply by adding the height of each pattern to the breakout points.
Persons: bitcoin, Let's, it's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: SEC, BTC Locations: bottoming
Back in April we covered the breakout in Southern Copper (SCCO) from $116 a share. I think it can hold that support again and, along with underlying copper futures, mount another attack on the highs. Copper demand just recently exceeded 25 million metric tons this year and with the explosion in AI and with the move towards clean energy, copper demand is expected to reach 40 million metric tons in the next 15 years. Turning to our focus stock, Southern Copper (SCCO), the chart is also pulling back into a very similar correction with anticipated support in the $115-$105 zone. Southern Copper beat their top and bottom line earnings estimates for Q1 in April, and looking ahead the growth is expected to continue.
Persons: Jensen Huang, We're, Todd Gordon, Gordon, SCCO Organizations: Nvidia, Elliott, Edge, . Southern, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management Locations: South America, China, .
With equities ending May higher, Piper Sandler says everything is going right for a handful of stocks. M & T Bank Regional bank M & T made the Piper Sander list, with analyst Frank Schiraldi highlighting the stock's reversal of a long downward trend and its fresh 52-week high reached on May 15. The analyst added that Oracle has yet to fully capitalize on a growing artificial intelligence tailwind. Tractor Supply Shares of retailer Tractor Supply have surged more than 32% in 2024. "Tractor Supply Company possesses the attributes that the macro select model is targeting as prime for the current backdrop," the analyst said.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Piper Sander, Frank Schiraldi, Schiraldi, Brent Bracelin, Bracelin, Peter Keith, Keith Organizations: Piper, Federal, T Bank Regional, T Bank, Oracle, Oracle Corporation, ", Tractor Supply, Tractor Supply Company
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLook at the financials and technicals before getting into meme stocks, says Trade-Ideas' Michael NaussMichael Nauss, Trade-Ideas chief market strategist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the meme stock surge and Roaring Kitty.
Persons: Michael Nauss Michael Nauss
After the first sign this week of potential profit taking in Nvidia (NVDA) since it's monster post-earning pop, now might be the time to hedge for further downside in the semiconductor space. I want to utilize SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) to express my protective and bearish strategy. However, I do have concern about the stock's "over ownership" and investors who have become conditioned to NVDA's massive earnings beats. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia (NVDA), YTD The protective trade strategy I want to implement is to define upside risk while seeking to finance the whole option strategy which will profit if we indeed see Semi's move lower. This also serves as a short-term hedge to any and all exposure you may have to the AI theme.
Persons: SPDR, NVDA Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Semiconductor
Tools of the trade: Salesforce, Wells Fargo and Oracle
  + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTools of the trade: Salesforce, Wells Fargo and OracleEva Ados, ERShares COO, Carter Worth, Worth Charting CEO and David Boole, Baycrest managing director, join 'Power Lunch' to offer the fundamentals, technicals and options for three stocks.
Persons: Oracle Eva Ados, Carter, David Boole, Baycrest Organizations: Oracle, Worth Locations: Wells Fargo, Carter Worth
That's not a lot of wiggle room if the stock reacts negatively to earnings: if the stock undercuts $915 (and stays below it), the breakout would be nullified. In other words, if an upside gap is filled this time instead, the market could be telling us that something has changed. In other words, NVDA has had many years of success both as a company and as a stock. It would take a lot more than a reaction to a single earnings report to change that. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: it's, we're, That's, NVDA, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Nvidia
You can't argue with a market making new record highs, though it's fair game to interrogate the tape about its assumptions and intentions. With the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing above 40,000 for the first time Friday and the S & P 500 settling above 5,300 after hitting a fresh all-time high Wednesday, the advice of history suggests not overthinking it. Keith Lerner, strategist at Truist, marks up a long-term S & P 500 chart to show times when it was at an all-time high. Brian Belski, strategist at BMO, last week lifted his year-end S & P 500 target to a Street-high 5,600 . And, quite remarkably, the stock market low of October 2022 occurred at an S & P 500 forward P/E above 15, with unemployment below 4% and in mid-economic expansion.
Persons: Stocks, Keith Lerner, Ned Davis, Brian Belski, Leuthold, Doug Ramsey Organizations: Treasury, Dow Jones, Dow, Ned Davis Research, Investment, Bank, Federal, BMO, Citi U.S, Vegas, Fed, Leuthold Locations: U.S
How to buy a put spread on the Nasdaq as a portfolio hedge
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
I want to focus on the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) tracking the Nasdaq 100 as the majority of this year's gains in the S & P 500 are derived from Magnificent 7 constituents. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 has more beta than the S & P 500 and has the potential to increase rewards if this downside protective trade pays off. This trade is looking for roughly a 5% pullback to cover the cost of owning this put spread. The Trade Bought the 6/28/24 $437 put for $3.50 Sold the 6/28/2024 $420 put for $1.45 Total cost of this debit spread is $2.05 or $205 per one lot spread In the event the Nasdaq 100 continues to make new all-time highs, this spread will expire worthless But hopefully the Nasdaq 100 exposure you have in your portfolio will more than cover the cost of this hedge. DISCLOSURES: (Kilburg owns this spread) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .
Persons: Kilburg Organizations: Nasdaq
Celsius (CELH) is an energy drink company that emerged from small cap status in 2020 to a $21 billion market cap company today. The stock carries a hefty valuation, but with the recent breakout following earnings last week I think it can rally even higher. I first wrote about Celsius here on Jan 17 as the stock was gearing up to break through the $63 and $69 resistance levels. The fundamental case Even so, last week's Q1 earnings report was met with some confusion. The chart below shows CELH quarterly revenue growth with the most recent quarter showing a slight lower-high based on that $355 million top line figure.
Persons: Red Bull, we'll, Todd Gordon, Gordon, CELH Organizations: Red, Monster Beverage, Elliott, Pepsi, Tactical Alpha, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGold is a good trend and expect higher prices for the miners, says BTIG's Jonathan KrinskyJonathan Krinsky, BTIG chief market technician, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the technicals in the market and opportunities in precious metals.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky Jonathan Krinsky
Apple (AAPL) topped estimates on both revenue and earnings per share, but the $110 billion buyback was the catalyst for Friday's pop. Although I believe Apple is back on its road to recovery, I want to take some profits after getting long pre-earnings . AAPL YTD mountain Apple, YTD Buybacks have been a consistent and persistent theme for Apple over the years and should truly stabilize the iPhone maker short-term. Meaning if Apple settles above $190, my profits on these back-to-back Apple trades are the $15 dollars between the $175 strike and the $190 strike, plus the 69 cents I collected on this new call spread. DISCLOSURES: (Long Apple, sold spread) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .
Persons: Bob Pisani Organizations: Apple
Is the company re-inventing itself as one of the premier players in the AI server business? But there are headwinds that have the analyst community concerned about a moderate pullback in AI infrastructure spend by corporate management teams. Let's examine the weekly Relative Rotation Graph of 3 key hardware stocks Apple (AAPL), Super Micro Computer (SMCI), and Dell (DELL). Turning to the technical price chart of Dell, we see this chart falling into an triangle consolidation pattern, which according to the Elliott Wave principle has 5 swings of lower-highs and higher-lows. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Dell, SCMI, Elliott, Todd Gordon Organizations: Dell Technologies, Apple, Micro, Dell, DELL, Inside Edge
Today, I'm focusing my attention on minerals used in modern technology and presenting a way to use options to play a lithium miner. The strategy gives a lower-risk way to get somewhat long this beaten-up miner without going all-in, and generating some income in the process. Lithium is used, as the name suggests, in lithium-ion batteries which are crucial for portable electronics, energy storage, and electric vehicles. Combined with understandably elevated options premiums this could set as a spot to begin entering a partial position, with some options overlays. Or, if the stock falls, would add to the long position at the short-put strike.
Persons: Tesla, Elon Musk, Albemarle Organizations: Albemarle Corporation, Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes, Hyundai, GM, Ford, Toyota, Kia, Renault, Nissan Locations: Charlotte , NC, U.S, Albemarle, ALB
Macro Risk's John Kolovos: S&P 500 undergoing a correction
  + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacro Risk's John Kolovos: S&P 500 undergoing a correctionJohn Kolovos, Macro Risk Advisors chief technical market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell'to discuss his market outlook and what he's seeing in the technicals.
Persons: John Kolovos
Big tech earnings reports have put investors on quite the roller coaster. Alphabet , Microsoft and Tesla have all moved higher post earnings, while Meta and IBM had opposite reactions by dropping precipitously. Inside of this recent technology, I think it is time to add to a nearly forgotten Magnificent Seven laggard: Apple . Apple is down 11% year to date, and I want to add exposure in a zero-cost manner ahead of its earnings release next Thursday. Investors are anticipating a year-over-year decline in both earnings and revenue for this former tech favorite, but I believe this is already priced into the stock.
Organizations: Microsoft, Tesla, Meta, IBM, Apple, Big, mojo
Tools of the trade: Netlfix & Meta
  + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTools of the trade: Netlfix & MetaBK Asset’s Boris Schlossberg, Fairland’s Katie Stockton and Kelly Intelligence’s Kevin Kelly join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the fundamentals, technicals and options for Netflix and Meta.
Persons: Boris Schlossberg, Katie Stockton, Kelly Intelligence’s Kevin Kelly Organizations: Meta BK, Netflix, Meta
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors need to respond to every short-term pop, says JPMorgan's Jason HunterJason Hunter, JPMorgan head of technical strategy, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss what he sees in the market technicals and if there's more downside for stocks.
Persons: JPMorgan's Jason Hunter Jason Hunter, JPMorgan
Technical Support: PG, AXP & NFLX
  + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTechnical Support: PG, AXP & NFLXJessica Inskip, Options Play director of product, joins 'Power Lunch' to give the read on chart technicals for a few stocks.
Persons: Jessica Inskip
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