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Anheuser-Busch InBev is approaching a margins inflection point, supporting a stock rerating for the world's largest beer maker, according to Bank of America. The analyst added that the permanent profit hit, estimated to exceed $1 billion, from the Bud Light backlash in the U.S. this year is now part of the base case. Without the Bud Light issue, Pistacchi estimates Anheuser-Busch could have expanded its margins by more than 30 basis points above its current forecasts. U.S.-listed shares of AB InBev are down more than 10% this year as Bud Light sales took a hit. BUD YTD mountain BUD in 2023 —CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Persons: Andrea Pistacchi, Pistacchi, Bud, BUD YTD, BUD, , Michael Bloom Organizations: Anheuser, Busch InBev, Bank of America, ABI, Argentine, Bud, Busch, InBev, Bud Light Locations: U.S, LatAm, . U.S
Analysts at UBS have detailed how to play a volatile Chinese market in the short term. Chinese internet giant Alibaba is on UBS' list, with the bank expecting it to grow faster than the overall Chinese stock market. "Potential stock price catalysts include growth from the cloud business, overseas expansion and greater operational discipline," the analysts wrote. Insurers with full pension licenses, such as Ping An, will likely enjoy a first mover advantage," the analysts wrote. Consumer stocks In consumer stocks, UBS likes Topsports International , which is Adidas ' largest retail partner globally, the bank said.
Persons: Gina Raimondo, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Baidu, Ping An Insurance, Consumer, Topsports, Adidas, Shenzhou, Nike, KFC, China Longyuan Power, China Resources Power Locations: Asia, China
Here are Friday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by its overweight rating on shares of Apple. JPMorgan reiterates Netflix as overweight JPMorgan said it's standing by its overweight rating on Netflix shares. Morgan Stanley upgrades DigitalOcean to equal weight from underweight Morgan Stanley said in its upgrade of the software company that its thesis on DigitalOcean has largely played out. Morgan Stanley reiterates Carvana as underweight Morgan Stanley said the company still has "alot to prove." Wells Fargo reiterates Chevron as overweight Wells said it's standing by its overweight rating on shares of Chevron.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Apple, it's, hasn't, pushback we've, Mizuho, Coinbase, Redburn, DigitalOcean, Nio, Carvana, Wells, Wells Fargo, BJ, JPMorgan, Krispy Kreme, Krispy, Stephens, Wolfe downgrades Stanley Black, Decker, Wolfe, Argus Organizations: Apple, iPhone, Services, JPMorgan, Netflix, ARM, Walmart, Credit Suisse, HOOD, " Bank of America, Oncology, Bank of America, Citi, Cisco Citi, Cisco, Arista, Juniper, Enterprise, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Chevron, FedEx, Garden Entertainment Locations: Coinbase, 2Q, HOOD
We are buying 100 shares of GE Healthcare Technologies (GEHC) at roughly $73.76. Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 850 shares of GEHC, increasing its weighting in the portfolio to 2.16% from 1.91%. The medical device group has been in a steady decline lately as the aversion to health-care stocks this year continues, and we are using this weakness to buy a little more of GE Healthcare. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, , Peter Arduini, Eli Lilly Eli Lilly, Lilly, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jim Cramer Rob Kim Organizations: GE Healthcare Technologies, GEHC, GE Healthcare, GE, Novo Nordisk, Jefferies, pharma, CNBC Locations: Lilly
Analyst Gary Yu upgraded shares of the Chinese internet stock to overweight from equal weight and raised his price target by $30 to $190. That's because of its full-stack AI capabilities, commercial use cases, willingness to continue research and its development investments in the AI space. An early advantage and relatively lower regulatory hurdles should also help the company lead the pack, he said. "We believe China's AI evolution is at an inflection point, and BIDU is the best play to capture the US$7.4tn AI internet opportunity," Yu said in a note to clients Monday titled "The Best AI Play in China." Baidu shares are up nearly 27% year to date.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Gary Yu, Yu, Baidu, That's, , Michael Bloom Organizations: Baidu Locations: China
Carrier Global 's long-term potential is currently overshadowed by a catalyst-free near term, Morgan Stanley warned. Analyst Joshua Pokrzywinski downgraded the HVAC stock to equal weight from overweight and cut his price target by $2. "But view the lack of near-term catalysts and relative resilience vs. other HVAC names as an opportunity to focus elsewhere for the next few quarters." Pokrzywinski said recent portfolio announcements put the company on track for "significant growth acceleration and rerating potential" in the next one to two years. Still, he said a pure-play HVAC business could rerate as high as Trane levels, which would mean an upside of 18% to Carrier's valuation.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Joshua Pokrzywinski, Pokrzywinski, Emerson, He's, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Carrier, Viessmann, Fire, Security, General Electric, European Commission
Utility stocks are poised to capitalize on a clean energy future, according to Goldman Sachs. The shift to clean energy will require a "significant" amount of capital investment, which will contribute to attractive earnings and rate base growth, Davenport said. Among the names Goldman rated a buy are American Electric Power, NextEra Energy, Sempra and Southern Co. American Electric Power and NextEra Energy both hit several of Goldman's themes. NextEra Energy offers more than 21% upside to Goldman's price target, plus a 2.5% dividend yield. Meanwhile, Sempra is also an attractive growth opportunity, Davenport said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, enablers, Carly Davenport, Davenport, Goldman, Sempra, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Utilities, Fund, Industry, American Electric Power, NextEra Energy, Sempra, Southern Co . American Electric Power, NextEra, Florida, Electric, LNG, Infrastructure, Southern Co Locations: United States, Southern, FPL, Texas
"We upgrade ALLY to Neutral (from Underperform) and raise our PO to $28 from $24, implying ~8% upside potential." Goldman Sachs reiterates Apple as buy Goldman said in its Apple earnings preview note that "solid iPhone demand to offset Mac weakness." Wells Fargo names Disney a top pick in media Wells said in a note on Monday that Disney is the "best opportunity in media." JPMorgan reiterates Ford & General Motors as overweight JPMorgan said in an earnings preview note that it's standing by both automakers heading into earnings tomorrow for GM and next week for Ford . Mizuho initiates Tencent Music Entertainment as buy Mizuho said in its initiation of the China music company that the stock has upside potential. "
UBS is upgrading Taiwanese foundry United Microelectronics from "neutral" to "buy." The Swiss investment bank raised its price target on the stock from 37 Taiwan dollars ($1.20) to NT$75, representing a potential upside of nearly 50% from its closing price on Wednesday. UMC's year-to-date rerating reflects the "increasing optimism" about the semiconductor industry's recovery and the greater profitability of the stock, the analysts said. UBS isn't the only bull UBS isn't the only bank bullish on United Microelectronics. In a note on April 19, the bank maintained its "outperform" rating on the stock and raised its price target on the stock to NT$60.
Nvidia has undoubtedly been one of the sector's biggest winners this year, but Bank of America is doubling down on a lesser-known chip stock. That's significantly higher than the average potential upside of 16.1% given by analysts covering the stock, according to FactSet data. Bank of America described the firm as a "top pick" among European auto semiconductors and said the stock remains cheaper than its peers. The bank said it believes concerns about the company's poor track record and high Apple concentration are "likely to fade over the course of the next 12-18 months" as it improves gross margins and operating margins. Apple's share of the firm's revenue is also likely to drop to around 10% by end-2024, the bank added.
Aerial view of shipping containers sitting stacked at Yangshan Deepwater Port, the world's biggest automated container terminal, on May 21, 2021 in Shanghai, China. Policy support"China could at least be a relative 'safe haven' given its growth premium, financial soundness, policy discipline and the new political economy cycle," Citi economists said. The RRR is a measure of how much cash banks in China need to have on hand. Since the pandemic started, mainland China has kept relatively easy monetary policy while not announcing major stimulus packages — such as large cash handouts to consumers. "With the unintended and undesirable from aggressive interest rate hikes surfacing abroad, capital inflows into China could resume after the reopen trade if the recovery thesis plays out and political rerating is steadily ongoing," Citi economists wrote.
It's time to consider shares of VF Corp . after its recent dividend cut, according to Stifel. Analyst Jim Duffy upgraded VF Corp. shares to buy from hold, saying the stock looks compelling after investors sold it in the wake of a dividend cut. "The dividend cut and resulting dislocation in shares present an attractive entry point and we recommend capitalizing on elevated volume to build positions. VF shares added 1.8% in Friday premarket trading. VFC 5Y mountain VF Corp shares have been on the decline for the past three years.
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Citi reiterates Disney as buy Citi said it's bullish heading into Disney earnings Wednesday. Goldman Sachs downgrades Tyson Foods to neutral from buy Goldman downgraded the poultry company after its earnings report on Monday and said it sees cyclical headwinds for Tyson. Jefferies reiterates Target as buy Jefferies said it sees "comp sales upside" ahead for Target. Wells Fargo initiates iRhythm Technologies as overweight Wells initiated the digital health care cardio company and said it sees upside and share gains. Goldman Sachs reiterates Pinterest as buy Goldman said it's standing by shares of Pinterest after its earnings report on Monday.
It's time to jump back into the Spotify bandwagon, according to Wells Fargo. Analyst Steven Cahall upgraded the audio streaming stock to to overweight from equal weight, saying the company is now "off margin probation." An expected price hike could also further improve gross margins for Spotify's Music division, according to Cahall. Additionally, Spotify received an upgrade to overweight by Atlantic Equities, which is optimistic about the company's gross margin expansion and advertising outlook. The stock has jumped 53.4% in 2023, as part of the tech stock rally .
Certain names will surprise to the upside in 2023, according to Credit Suisse, in what's expected to be another volatile year for the stock market. Credit Suisse predicts Carnival will see upside to estimates for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in 2023 and 2024. Carnival has 47% upside to Credit Suisse's $16 price target, as of Wednesday's close. CCL mountain 2020-01-26 Carnival's performance since late January, 2020 Meanwhile, FedEx had a challenging 2022 but could rally nearly 27%, according to Credit Suisse's $238 price target. Nvidia shares have more than 8% upside to Credit Suisse's $210 price target.
Ark Invest's Cathie Wood said her conviction in Tesla remains strong as ever as she kept buying the dip in the electric vehicle company. "Just from electric vehicles there could be... it is almost a fivefold increase in this stock during the next five years," Wood said during an investor webinar on Thursday. Wood previously predicted that the shift to electric vehicles will be drastic, resulting in 60 million EVs sold in five years. The innovation investor has been a longtime Tesla bull, seeing shares hitting a split-adjusted level above $1,500 by 2026. Wood revealed Thursday that she took some profits in Exact Sciences and put much of those profits into Tesla.
Bank of Japan keeps yield control policy unchanged
  + stars: | 2023-01-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
MARKET REACTION:The Japanese stock market cheered the BOJ's decision with the Nikkei share average (.N225) jumping more than 2% after the midday break. Therefore, among equities, we think Japanese financials sector will have a rerating of valuations over the next 3-6 months." That could escalate when the new governor of the bank will be announced and towards the policy meeting in March." MOH SIONG SIM, CURRENCY STRATEGIST, BANK OF SINGAPORE, SINGAPORE"The can has been kicked down the road and the attention will shift to the next meeting. CHARU CHANANA, MARKET STRATEGIST, SAXO MARKETS, SINGAPORE:"I think the speculations will still continue.
Here are the Thursday's biggest calls Wall Street: Credit Suisse upgrades AECOM to outperform from neutral Credit Suisse said the company is a key beneficiary of infrastructure stimulus. UBS reiterates Apple as buy UBS said it's sticking with its buy rating on the stock but is concerned about App Store revenue declines. Credit Suisse upgrades Boeing to neutral from underperform Credit Suisse said in its upgrade of Boeing that it sees "stronger aircraft deliveries." RBC names Meta a top 2023 pick RBC said it sees "multiple expansion" on the horizon for Meta shares. " Rosenblatt reiterates Disney as buy Rosenblatt said activist investor Nelson Peltz's push for a Disney board seat could help shares.
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An employee views a FTSE share index board in the atrium of the London Stock Exchange Group Plc's offices in London, U.K., on Thursday, Jan. 2, 2020. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — The biggest risk to the U.K. stock market is avoiding a widely anticipated recession, according to Roger Lee, head of U.K. equity strategy at Investec. The Bank of England has projected that the U.K. has already entered its longest recession on record. Higher interest rates are negative for growth-oriented stocks as the value of their future earnings is diminished in today's money. Growth stocks contribute a far higher proportion of the U.S. market than in the U.K.watch now
There is good news on several fronts, but the market has moved fast, and earnings forecasts are not cooperating. The problem is that while the S & P 500 has been advancing, earnings have been declining. The S & P is up 11% since its October low, but earnings growth for the fourth quarter is now expected to be negative 0.1%. Remove them, and the overall earnings outlook greatly improves. S & P 500: Q4 earnings estimates Q4: down 0.1% Ex-Amazon, Intel, Meta: up 3.9% Ex-Exxon, Boeing, Chevron: down 3.1%
Active user jump Where analysts see the potential for optimism in Coinbase's report is in its reported active monthly users. While active monthly users dipped in the quarter to 8.5 million from 9 million, the company handily beat Wall Street's expectations of 7.84 million monthly active users. Budish also lowered his price target after management's guidance but maintained his equal weight rating on the Coinbase. The result was that lower trading volume drove Coinbase trading revenue to the lowest level since becoming a public company." Cowen has an outperform rating on shares of Coinbase and a $75 price target, albeit down from an earlier $85.
Here are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley reiterates Amazon as a top pick Morgan Stanley said shipping and fulfillment remain "key profit drivers" heading into the e-commerce giant's earnings next week. Headwinds from the interest rate spike on financing costs and valuation are tough to ignore despite strong demand growth from IRA and rising utility rates. UBS reiterates McDonald's as buy UBS said the fast food chain is "defensive." UBS reiterates Nike as buy UBS said its recent survey checks give the firm "increased" conviction in the stock. Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said Tesla's earnings report on Wednesday was strong but that the outlook for 2023 is still "at risk."
Ally Financial 's weak third-quarter results were enough for analysts at two major Wall Street shops to downgrade the auto lender. "We believe ALLY shares will trade at a discount to tangible book value, as used car prices decline and [net interest margin] moderates around Fed rate hikes," Fandetti said. Ally's stock also got hit with a downgrade to equal weight and an earnings per share forecast cut from Morgan Stanley. "These include rate hikes ending, bottoming of used car prices, and credit quality stabilizing." Ally shares have tumbled more than 44% this year.
Here are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Wells Fargo initiates Coinbase as underweight Wells said in its initiation of the crypto company that it sees too many headwinds for shares of Coinbase. Cowen initiates CyberArk as outperform Cowen said it sees "growth and profitability" for the company. Stifel reiterates Marvell as buy Stifel said Marvell is one of the resilient stocks in the firm's coverage. Rosenblatt upgrades Apple to buy from neutral Rosenblatt said that its survey checks show consumers love the latest iPhone products. "We upgrade Apple to Buy from Neutral, and move our price target up $29 to $189.
Stocks are in for more pain as corporate earnings are likely to weaken, Charles Schwab said. It pointed to a low rate beat-rate and low earnings growth estimates in the S&P 500 as cause for concern. Shares of companies that missed earnings estimates were down about 4% in the last quarter. "We believe the weakness in expected earnings growth is early in its trip to an ultimate negative (year-over-year decline) destination," analysts said in a note on Monday. "If higher interest rates continue to dent those stocks' value, and earnings growth slows, there is less upside for profit margins … largely ahead is a further rerating of earnings estimates and likely continued volatility in stocks," the analysts warned.
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