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Axos Financial fell as much as 15% on Tuesday after Hindenburg Research announced a short position. The short bet stems from Axos' large exposure to commercial real estate. In a note, the research firm outlined that it's taken a short position in the lender, citing Axos' rising exposure to commercial real estate. AdvertisementTo compare with Axos, the noted cited that the average direct commercial real estate exposure among regional banks is 16.5% on loan books. CEO Greg Garrabrants also previously told Bloomberg that commercial real estate fears are overdone, and the risk is already reflected by Axos' stock price.
Persons: Axos, Hindenburg, , Hindenburg's, Greg Garrabrants, Donald Trump Organizations: Axos, Hindenburg Research, Service, Securities and Exchange, Bloomberg, Trump Locations: California, Florida
That's helping establish a new millennial milestone for some: Ditching roommates, moving out from the family home, and landing on living alone. Business Insider's analysis of American Community Survey microdata from IPUMS found that 10.5% of millennials lived alone in 2022. Per BI's analysis of American Community Survey data via IPUMS, 16% of millennials lived with at least one parent as of 2022. (The data doesn't specify if that means they're living with their parents or if their parents are living with them.) Subsidized solo livingSome lower-earning millennials are able to get assistance reaching the solo-living milestone — but it's not always easy.
Persons: Jess Munday's, Jess Munday's San Francisco, Munday, " Munday, I'm, it's, IPUMS, millennials, Bella DePaulo, they've, DePaulo, she'd, Jess Munday, Dara Feller, Aria Velasquez, they're, " Velasquez, Velasquez, Erica Charles, she's, Charles, Rick Fry, Fry, She'd, She's, Clibborn, Sydney Krantz, He's, , homeownership Chaz Zimmer, Chaz Zimmer, Adrianna Newell, Tomasz Piskorski, Piskorski, Zimmer hasn't, Zimmer, he's, James Paniagua, Paniagua, snagging, Julia Mazur, Kathy Pierre, Pierre Organizations: Business, American, Survey, Pew, BI Garak, BI, Subaru, Columbia Business School Locations: Jess Munday's San, Francisco's, San Francisco, Chicago, Washington ,, IPUMS, Florida, California, Waverly , New York, homeownership, Oakland , California, Los Angeles, Oakland, London, Austin, Charlotte , North Carolina, Charlotte
We lived in San Diego for a few years after college, and then we moved to San Francisco in 2018. Matine: San Francisco is amazing. But San Francisco was apocalyptic. We had a three-story, four-bedroom place for half the price of our condo in San Francisco. The facility we're currently in is only a little more expensive than my rent in San Francisco, and this is 20,000 square feet.
Persons: , John Yuksel, Matine Yuksel, I've, He's, Matine, Francisco, COVID, Beltways, John, Matine Yuksel John, There's, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Walmart, Apple Locations: San Francisco, Dubuque , Iowa, Cincinnati, Northern Kentucky, Arizona, San Diego, Francisco, Istanbul, Midwest, Iowa, Dubuque, Mississippi, Mount Adams, It's, California, Tucson
The Texas couple were staring down more than $100,000 in debt, much of which they had poured into WiFi Money. Those who give their money to WiFi Money are often encouraged to sign up other people in return for a cut of their profits — and perhaps, one day, a chance to become part of the WiFi Money crew. As the money poured in, WiFi Money gained a patina of mainstream credibility. AdvertisementThrough WiFi Money, Moeller and Frederick had created a virtuous cycle of money and influence. The same month investors took WiFi Money to court over the stores, DBC announced it was closing down.
Persons: Alex Moeller, influencer, Jasmine Sadry, Joey Martin, Martin, Moeller, Chris Frederick, Casa Moeller Martinez, MentorCI, Kim Kardashians, Gary Vee, Uber, Etsy, Farnaz Ghaedipour, Frederick, Jay Gatsby, Scott Fitzgerald's, Brandon Celi, There's, Billy, Chris Casey, There's Todd Cahill, Liz Friesen, Tana Mongeau, Kardashian, , James Ragano, BI Moeller, wouldn't, Kyle McDougal, Sadry, Kyncey, McDougal, hustlers, Kevin O'Leary, Jordan Belfort, Ronaldinho, Glenn Beck, I've, he'd, Daemon, I'm, they'd, It's, Chris Costello, Francis, Ashley, Costello, Gatsby, Casey, Avery Williamson, Victor Bermudez, DBC, They're, Instagram, Rolex Submariner Organizations: WiFi, Lamborghini, McLaren, Fox News, YouTube, Invest, Stanford University, PBS, BI, Social, Yahoo Finance, Business, Times, Piccadilly Circus, Fort, DMs, Kyncey Investments, Amazon, Kyncey, Investors, CNN, Fox Business, Big Tech, Florida Tropics Soccer Club, Royce, WiFi Money, Federal Trade Commission, WifiMoney, IRS, NFL, Dallas, Rolex Locations: Instagram, Mexico, Texas, Dallas, Quito, Ecuador, @amoeller, Florida, pecs, Maryland, Europe, Illinois, Mita, Burj, Fort Worth, dropshipping, Brazilian, New York City, ensconced, Minnesota, Los Angeles, Munich
Fears of a potential banking crisis are on the rise as interest rates stay elevated. Interest rates are now at their highest levels since 2001 as the Fed keeps an eye on inflation. Markets have already seen 1 regional bank fail this year, according to FDIC data. According to Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi, the longer interest rates stay high, the more the Fed risks damaging the economy. "That's the kind of thing I'm worried about in the context of persistently high interest rates."
Persons: , Mark Zandi, That's, Barry Sternlicht, Sternlicht, Daniel Pinto Organizations: Fed, Service, Analytics, Yahoo Finance, Bank, Regulators, First Bank, Fulton Bank, Stanhope Capital, Bloomberg Locations: Philadelphia, America
(For example, federal student loan borrowers can pause their payments if they become unemployed, return to school or get cancer.) But advocates have fresh warnings now as the Biden administration reforms the federal student loan system. Millions more federal student loan borrowers could receive debt forgiveness in the coming months if Biden's revised relief package survives legal challenges this time. PSLF allows certain not-for-profit and government employees to have their federal student loans cleared after 10 years of on-time payments. (The rates on federal student loans for the 2024-2025 academic year will range from roughly 6.5% to 9%.)
Persons: Biden, Joe Biden, Biden's, who've, PSLF, I've, they'd refinanced, , Yu, Mark Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz Organizations: U.S . Department of Education, Education Department, Public, Art Institute, Art, Education Management Corp, Valuable Education Locations: Mayotte, Iowa , Massachusetts, Pennsylvania
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. That's if Freddie Mac secures approval from its regulator to operate in the market for secondary mortgages, also commonly known as home equity loans. If greenlighted, the scheme would be equivalent to a huge stimulus injection, but without a cent added to the national deficit, the "Oracle of Wall Street" explained. As Freddie Mac is a massive provider of mortgage market liquidity, the move could encourage more banks to extend this financing to customers. The proposal noted that options are limited for homeowners who want to tap their equity, meaning that few are benefiting from the housing market's appreciation.
Persons: , Meredith Whitney, Whitney, Freddie Mac, Freddie Mac's, Freddie, Fannie Mae, Ginnie Mae Organizations: Service, Business
While Red Lobster increased traffic somewhat, people coming in to chow down on all-you-can-eat shrimp was a money bleeder. But the story about what's gone wrong with Red Lobster is much more complicated than a bunch of stoners pigging out on shrimp (and, later, lobster) en masse. Red Lobster first opened in Lakeland, Florida, in 1968 and was acquired by the food conglomerate General Mills in 1970. "What's truly happened with Red Lobster is that the consumer base has changed and Red Lobster hasn't," he said. "Red Lobster isn't losing to a competitor in their space — they're losing to competitors outside their space."
Persons: It's, what's, Jonathan Maze, Mills, General Mills, Olive, Darden, Red, Eileen Appelbaum, isn't, they've, it's, Keith Bedford, Darren Tristano, John Gordon, Kim Lopdrup, Red Lobster's, He's, Jonathan Tibus, Gordon, Tristano, You've, Emily Stewart Organizations: Bloomberg, Restaurant Business, Olive Garden, LongHorn, Darden, Golden Gate, American Realty, Lobster, Center for Economic, Policy Research, Thai Union, Seafood Alliance, Thai, Fortress Investment Group, Reuters, Business Locations: chow, Lakeland , Florida, San Francisco, Thai, Thailand, Thai Union, Golden, San Diego
One of them sent me an advertisement for CalHFA's ADU grant program that gives eligible Californians $40,000 to cover blueprints, permits, and closing costs to build an ADU on their property. In 2022, I began the process of getting approved for the CalHFA's ADU grant, which was pretty easy. As a result, my mortgage, including my main house and ADU, increased by $1,500 a month — from $1,200 to $2,700. There are two renters living in the main property and my son and I moved into the ADU. Living in the ADU with my son, I only pay $520 of the $2,700 mortgage.
Persons: , Blanca Barragan, They've, Barragan, I've, I'm Organizations: Service, Business, Habitat, Humanity, Tiny Locations: Sacramento, Blanca, California
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell holds a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, U.S., March 20, 2024. The U.S. economy could be headed for stormy waters in 2025 if the Federal Reserve does not take action soon on interest rates, State Street's head of investment strategy in EMEA said Tuesday. "The traditional transmission policy mechanism has broken, or doesn't work as well," Kassam told "Squawk Box Europe." As such, the impact of, for example, sustained higher interest rates may not be felt until further down the line when they come to refinance. "For now, consumers and corporates aren't feeling the pinch of higher interest rates," he added.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Altaf Kassam, Kassam Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Fed Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S
Thanks to those high mortgage interest rates, refinance activity in 2023 was at the lowest level in 30 years. In the first and second quarters of 2023 there was only $75 billion and $80 billion, respectively, in mortgage refinance originations nationally, according to Freddie Mac, a government-sponsored entity that buys mortgages from banks. "We're just in a much higher interest rate situation with the economy," she said. "We've been so accustomed to mortgage rates as a baseline being at 2% or 3%," said Veronica Fuentes, a certified financial planner at Northwestern Mutual. Some lenders may require a higher interest rate if you finance closing costs, plus you'll be paying interest on those expenses for the life of the mortgage.
Persons: Freddie Mac, Jeff Ostrowski, Chen Zhao, Zhao, We've, Veronica Fuentes, that's, Ostrowski, CoreLogic's Organizations: Westend61, Getty, Federal Reserve, Northwestern Mutual
Billionaire Don Hankey's company underwrote a $175 million appeal bond for Donald Trump. The 80-year-old oversees Hankey Group, which employs over 3,400 people and whose assets are worth around $22.5 billion, per Forbes. Axos Bank CEO Greg Garrabrants has previously donated around $50,000 to Republican campaigns since 2012, with $9,600 in support of Trump, according to Federal elections records. Related storiesHankey's net worth is estimated at $7.4 billion, according to Forbes — and it's nearly doubled within the last three years. The mansion ended up auctioning for less than half of its expected $500 million worth.
Persons: Don Hankey's, Donald Trump, Hankey, , Don Hankey swooped, It's, that's, Trump, refinanced, Greg Garrabrants, Forbes —, Ford, Westlake, Niami, David Sucsy, Niami's, Allen J, Schaben, Getty Hankey, Debbie Hankey Organizations: Bel, Service, Hankey Group, Forbes, Hankey's, Specialty Insurance, Bloomberg, Axos Bank, Axos, Trump, Westlake Financial Services, Hankey Investment, Bel Air, Los Angeles Business Journal, University of Southern Locations: Southern California, Bel Air Los, Bel, University of Southern California, Malibu
Is the breakout from resistance likely and should you consider allocating exposure to this basket of 2000 small capitalization stocks? I think the breakout should occur, but I don't think we should increase exposure to the Russell 2000 for two reasons. Ideally the rotation was going to carry through into the upper-right green quadrant indicating confirmed outperformance relative to the S & P 500. I'm not saying we shun small caps all together and continue to focus on the large caps. We need to focus on fundamentally sound small cap companies and we can do so through the Pacer US Small Cap Cash Cows 100 ETF (CALF) .
Persons: Russell, Powell, Gordon, POWL Organizations: Federal Reserve, Powell Industries, Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management
That's because aggressive Fed rate hikes haven't been fully felt across the economy. AdvertisementA wave of layoffs could be coming as companies deal with the reality of higher interest rates, economists say. The peak unemployment rate during the Great Recession was 10% in 2009. Following revisions to the prior two months' figures, the unemployment rate also rose to 3.9% in February, its highest level in two years. The unemployment rate is a classic lagging indicator."
Persons: David Rosenberg, , what's, Steve Briggs, Briggs, Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Briggs, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fitch
Washington CNN —Americans are in the throes of the worst housing affordability crisis in decades. If inflation keeps coming down, mortgage rates will come down as well. The first is a $10,000 refundable credit for middle-class homebuyers – essentially an interest rate buy-down. So, when inflation is too high, the only thing the Fed can do is jack up interest rates to slow demand. “We’ll still have the underlying housing shortage and and it’s going to be causing upward pressure on housing prices,” he said.
Persons: Joe Biden, I’m, , Biden’s, Biden, David Dworkin, ” Dworkin, , Ed DeMarco, Jerome Powell, Freddie Mac, Powell, ” Powell, “ We’ll Organizations: Washington CNN, National Housing Conference, Council, Federal, Senate, Fed Locations: Thursday’s State, America
FHA loan borrowers struggling to keep up with their mortgage may soon be able to reduce their payments by as much as 25%. The FHA launched the Payment Supplement option in response to high mortgage rates. Lenders can offer the Payment Supplement starting May 1, and they have to start offering it by January 1, 2025. FHA loan borrowers who are struggling to keep up with their mortgage payments will soon have a new option to help them avoid losing their homes to foreclosure. Called the Payment Supplement, this new option can temporarily lower a borrower's monthly payment so they can get back on their feet after a financial hardship.
Persons: , forbearance, Charles Williams, Percy, you'll, Julia Gordon Organizations: FHA, Service, Finance, Federal, Administration
Homeowners who recently purchased properties with interest rates as high as 8% face much higher monthly mortgage payments than those seen a few years ago. Of course, interest rates will not return to 3% anytime soon, but homeowners don't need rates to drop much to see a big difference in their bank accounts. Homeowners with high-interest mortgage loans are expected to quickly refinance when rates drop. While mortgage interest rates started to fall in late 2023, they were above 7% for much of the year, peaking near 8% in October, and recently climbed back above 7%. Win McNamee/Getty ImagesWhenever cuts happen, a drop in rates would save existing and new homeowners money each month.
Persons: , Michele Raneri, Raneri, Eric Audras, Raphael Bostic, Jerome Powell, Win McNamee Organizations: Service, Business, TransUnion, Atlanta Fed, CNN, . Federal Reserve Locations: TransUnion
Conventional wisdom dictates that retiring with debt — especially a debt as large and significant as a mortgage — is financially dicey at best and potentially ruinous at worst. “It just doesn’t make any sense at all to pay off the house,” he said. Mr. Lindmeier, 80, a retired purchasing and inventory manager, and his wife, Cindy, who retired from the local public school system, refinanced their home in Orange, Calif., at the end of 2020. They rolled over their balance into a new 30-year loan and slashed their interest rate in half to a rate below 3 percent. Mr. Lindmeier called the move a “no brainer.”“The money I’d have to take out of my savings or out of my investments is yielding higher interest than the interest I’m paying on the loan,” he said.
Persons: That’s, Brian Lindmeier, , Lindmeier, Cindy Locations: Orange, Calif
Helen Boxwill, 77, refinanced her home to build an accessory dwelling unit on her New York property. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Their rent has helped me almost pay off my 30-year mortgage, and has covered property taxes and escrow. I keep rent pretty affordableI charge my tenants $1,100 a month in rent, which is very low for New York. I don't want to deal with kicking somebody out if they haven't paid rent or if they damage the home.
Persons: Helen Boxwill, refinanced, Boxwill, , I’ve, weren't, There’s, I've, I'm, it's Organizations: Service Locations: New York, Ethiopia, Burundi, Huntington , New York, ADUs, Huntington, Long
US commercial real estate is headed for a $2 trillion wall of maturing debt in the next few years. America's office market is in flux and prices have further to fall amid "secular" challenges facing the sector, Morgan Stanley analysts said in a note. Commercial real estate pain has been a source of anxiety for the US banking sector, and regional banks in particular. Thus, the challenges facing CRE in general and office loans in particular are intricately linked to the regional banking sector." Real estate pros have been sounding the alarm on commercial real estate since early 2023 when the sector was in the spotlight following a spate of regional bank failures.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, That's Organizations: Real Capital, National Association of Realtors, Mortgage, Association, New York Community Bank
Credit expanded by just 0.4% in the month, according to the Federal Reserve’s monthly credit report released Wednesday. And it still leaves consumers with record levels of credit card debt. Of that, credit card balances grew by $212 billion to $1.13 trillion, while mortgage balances rose by $112 billion to $12.25 trillion. “Credit card and auto loan transitions into delinquency are still rising above pre-pandemic levels,” said Wilbert van der Klaauw, economic research advisor at the New York Fed. Average card balances rose by 10% from a year ago to $6,360, a record.
Persons: , Wilbert van der, TransUnion, Michele Raneri, Scott Haymore, “ Deleveraging, Wells Fargo Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Auto, New York Fed, millennials, TransUnion, TD Bank Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Wells Fargo
'Big Short' traders told CNBC that investors are too complacent, although the economy is healthy. But traders should still keep their eyes on pockets of risk, such as commercial real estate, the others said. As to today's economy, Eisman considers it relatively healthy, essentially dismissing Wall Street's concerns that a consumer spending drawdown guarantees a coming slowdown. AdvertisementSome on Wall Street are nervous this could trigger a massive real estate default wave, with billions at risk. Still, markets shouldn't be too complacent, as the commercial real estate industry has seen "fits and starts" crop up, Moses said.
Persons: Steve Eisman, , Neuberger, Danny Moses, Vincent Daniel, Porter Collins, Wall, Collins, Moses, Eisman Organizations: CNBC, Service, Consumers, Seawolf, Moses Ventures, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg
Roughly $2.1 trillion of debt connected to commercial real estate assets, including office properties, apartment buildings, hotels, and retail spaces, will come due between now and the end of 2025 in the US, according to the real estate services firm JLL. The wave of maturities and the enormous equity shortfalls have raised concerns that a growing number of commercial real estate debts will fall into distress, forcing banks and other lenders to suffer losses. His group tracked about $15 billion of commercial property debt sales during the year, roughly three times the volume from 2022. Commercial real estate loans differ from residential mortgages taken by homeowners in that most are interest-only or pay down their principal balance minimally and span a decade or less. More banks are exploring loan salesBanks and other lenders generally aren't eager to seize the real estate assets that collateralize their debt.
Persons: Jerry, Stephen Scouten, Piper Sandler, it's, Kevin Aussef, Aussef, David Tobin, Marcus, Millichap, Synovus, Tobin, David Frosh, they're, Frosh, Fitch, David Blumberg, we'd, Blumberg, Daniel Geiger, Rob Verrone, Banks, You've, Bliss Morris, Morris Organizations: Amerant Bank, Business, Banking, CIBC, Mission, PacWest, HSBC, Fidelity, Funding Inc, Blackstone, Bloomberg, Broadway, Aon Center, 601W Companies, Iron Hound Management, First Financial Locations: Coral Gables , Florida, Houston, Canadian, Brookfield, Los Angeles, Columbus, Manhattan, Midland, Chicago, Oklahoma City, New York
For investors looking for high-quality income with the potential for significant total return, agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) may be the answer. Fitting MBS into your portfolio In fact, Atluri believes agency MBS are more attractive than investment-grade corporate right now. In addition, agency mortgage-backed securities also trade defensively if the economic outlook were to worsen, he added. About 25% of core bond fund holdings are in mortgage-backed securities, according to Morningstar. "Mortgage-backed securities didn't do as well [as investment grade] last year," said Wei Li, BlackRock's global chief investment strategist.
Persons: Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Jason Smith, Neuberger Berman, Smith, Michael Kessler, Kessler, Pramod, Atluri, Morningstar, Wei Li, Albion's Kessler Organizations: Agency MBS, U.S ., MBS, Mortgage News, Albion Financial Group, Federal Reserve, Capital Group, Fund of America, BlackRock
Permits were 1.9% more than the upwardly revised 1.47 million November number and at an annual level of 1.5 million. Housing starts fell 4.3% from the November annual rate of 1.53 million, a reading that was revised downward from the robust 1.56 million originally estimated. Both permits and starts were higher than a year ago, by 6.1% and 7.6%, respectively. The Best Cartoons on the Economy View All 178 Images“Falling mortgage rates should jump-start the demand for housing in the coming months,” said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. On Wednesday, the National Association of Home Builders said its January survey found builder confidence surged as mortgage rates for the benchmark 30-year fixed rate loan dipped to 6.75%.
Persons: , Jeffrey Roach, Alicia Huey, Kelly Mangold Organizations: Census Bureau, Department of Housing, Urban, Housing, LPL, National Association of Home Builders, ” Builders, Real Estate Consulting Locations: Birmingham , Alabama, U.S
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