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For many Americans, the most important focus heading into a presidential election is how the winner will impact their wallet. Related storiesFor drug prices, Harris has promised to expand two provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act, allowing Medicare to negotiate the prices of some drugs. HarrisHarris' planned policy includes the construction of 3 million new housing units, as well as an expansion to the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit. TrumpTrump has also proposed expanding the child tax credit, which currently provides up to $2,000 per child. In August, the vice presidential candidate JD Vance floated a child tax credit proposal that would include $5,000 per child for families of all income levels.
Persons: Harris, Trump, Trump's, Joe Biden's, Biden, Trump Trump, — Trump, Harris Harris, , Vance, hasn't Organizations: Trump, Federal Reserve, White, Trump Trump Locations: Americas
Stock futures were little changed in overnight trading ahead of Tuesday's high-stakes U.S. presidential electionFutures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 20 points. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures inched about 0.1% higher. The latest poll from NBC News suggests the race is "neck and neck" between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. The results could heavily affect where stocks end the year, but investors may want to brace for some near-term choppiness. Traders are pricing in 98% odds of a quarter-point cut following September's half-point reduction, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Stocks, Dow, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Adam Parker, Jerome Powell Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, NXP, U.S, Treasury, NBC News, Congress, Republicans, CNBC, Super Micro, Yum Brands
But the true implications for investors monitoring the election may lie in which party controls Congress, rather than who will sit in the White House. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The importance of whichever party controls Congress was highlighted by Trump's recent trips outside battleground states such as New Mexico , a state that hasn't voted for a GOP presidential nominee in roughly 20 years. On the other hand, Evercore ISI's Emanuel expects a Harris victory, with a Democratic sweep of Congress, could result in the S & P 500 falling to roughly 5,700. The S & P 500 slid 1%, while the Nasdaq dipped 0.5%. Earnings season continues with about 100 S & P 500 companies confirmed to report.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson, I'm, Abuhoff Jacobson, hasn't, Brian Burrell, Jay Hatfield, Harris, Hatfield, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's Emanuel, Jerome Powell's, Ralph Lauren, Warner, Alex Harring Organizations: NBC, Congress, House, Democratic, Republican, Hartford Investments, GOP, Thornburg Investment Management, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Senate, Wednesday, Regional Banking, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, National, Marriott International, Diamondback Energy, Wynn Resorts, Palantir Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Petroleum, Brands, Technology, Computer, CVS, Howmet Aerospace, Gilead Sciences, Labor, Consumer, Moderna, Molson Coors Beverage, Halliburton, Hershey Co, Warner Bros, Expedia, Akamai Technologies, Paramount Locations: New Mexico, Albuquerque, Santa Fe , New Mexico, Hartford, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Michigan
The lower capital gains tax rate was increased to 18% from 10%, while the higher rate climbed to 24% from 20%. Reeves said the increases will help bring in £2.5 billion ($3.2 billion) of additional capital to the public purses. Still, Reeves said the U.K. would still have the lowest capital gains tax rate of any European G7 economy. watch nowReeves announced that the rate of tax on carried interest, which is charged on capital gains, would rise to 32%, up from 28% currently. She nevertheless urged the government to look seriously at mandating that pension funds diversify their allocation to riskier assets like venture capital — a common ask from VCs to boost the U.K. tech sector.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Reeves, BADR, Paul Taylor, Taylor, Haakon Overli, Dawn Capital, Overli, Anne Glover, Glover, Clarity, Steve Hare, Sage, Sean Reddington, Reddington Organizations: Labour Party Conference, ACC Liverpool Convention Center, Anadolu, Getty, LONDON, Labour, CGT, National Insurance, Unicorn Council, Nvidia, Dawn, NVIDIA, Amadeus Capital, Wealth, Norway's, Fund Global, Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund Locations: Liverpool, British, Britain, VCs
The S&P 500 enjoyed a compound annual growth rate of 12.1% from Trump’s surprise election in November 2016 through Biden’s 2020 victory, according to CFRA. “The Trump market was so strong because of a combination of very low inflation, very low interest rates and tax cuts,” said Stovall. The S&P 500’s growth rate under Democrats is 10% compared with 6.7% under Republicans, according to CFRA. In those six years since 1945, where such a dynamic has been in place, the S&P 500 has enjoyed a sizzling growth rate of 16.8%. In fact, the market has generally performed better during times of higher, not lower, tax rates across changes in all three categories, BMO found.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, ” Trump, Biden, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Bill Clinton, Kamala Harris, “ Biden, ” Stovall, Trump, Clinton, , , Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, CFRA, ” Brian Belski, Richard M, Nixon, George W, Bush, . Bush, , Richard Nixon, Bush –, ” Belski, Gridlock, Harris, BMO’s Belski Organizations: New, New York CNN, Biden’s, CFRA Research, Biden, Trump, Wall, , Democrats, Republicans, Gross, Democratic, BMO Capital Markets, Clinton, Congress, Investors, Republican, White, BMO Locations: New York
Beware of legal and tax complications for common assets such as houses and retirement funds. You can also liquidate the business, which will convert business assets into cash. Like a family business, these assets might have a lot of sentimental value but might not be easily passed down. Donating collections can be an effective way to circumvent capital-gains and estate taxes. Confront disagreements about assets like a house early on, and provide details about complex assets like a family business.
Persons: , who've, Snow, who's, They'll, Roth, We've Organizations: Service, Business, Cresset
A way to get around this is to split the overall estate balance equally instead of divvying up individual assets, Snow recommended. You can also liquidate the business, which will convert business assets into cash quickly. AdvertisementSimilar to a family business, these assets might hold a lot of sentimental value but might not be easily passed down. Donating collections can be an effective way to circumvent capital gains and estate taxes. Confront potential disagreements over assets like a house early on, and make sure to provide details on complex assets like a family business.
Persons: , Snow, who's, They'll, Roth, We've Organizations: Service, Business, Cresset
It roughly doubled the standard deduction, adjusted the individual income tax brackets and lowered most of the rates. The legislation also applied a $10,000 cap on the state and local tax deduction, and it roughly doubled the estate tax exemption (it now sits at $13.61 million for an individual). In certain cases, it may also make sense to harvest capital gains, Bigge said. Gain harvesting, just like loss harvesting, is for your taxable account. You get an immediate tax deduction in the year you make your donation, and you can spread out the grants to your favorite charities over time.
Persons: it's, Stephen Bigge, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Bigge, We're, we're, Tim Steffen, Steffen Organizations: Keebler, Associates, Baird Locations: Green Bay , Wisconsin, China, Washington, Milwaukee
Investment banks also suggested that stocks that had dipped ahead of the budget are likely to now gain on better-than-expected outcomes. "The U.K. budget was a clear signal that the new govt. Banks Investors in U.K. bank stocks will also be relieved as no new tax measures were applied to lenders specifically. RBC Capital Markets analysts echoed the view, saying the budget "included no major surprises relevant to the wealth sector." Any changes to the rules were a "relatively benign outcome for the sector" and removed an "event risk" for stocks, the investment bank said.
Persons: Roberta Ciaccia, Balfour Beatty, Rachel Reeves, Jefferies, Graham Hunt, Balfour Beatty's, AJB's, Genuity, Canaccord Genuity, Alex Brooks, Brooks Macdonald Organizations: Labour, City, Investment, Infrastructure Civil, U.K . Finance, Jefferies, Rail, Defence, Banks, RBC Capital Markets, AIM, London Stock Exchange's, Ashtead Tech, Aquis, FactSet, RBC, Tatton Asset Management Locations: Transport, Britain, Quilter
watch nowLONDON — U.K. bond yields spiked sharply Thursday after the ruling Labour Party unveiled a sweeping package of tax hikes and increased borrowing. Yields had already risen on Wednesday shortly after the budget announcement by Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, which contained plans for £40 billion ($52 billion) worth of tax hikes and committed to substantially higher borrowing in the coming years. Despite the big moves this week, the gilt market is remaining relatively stable compared to September 2022, when the U.K. suffered its so-called "mini-budget crisis." Analysts had said ahead of the October 2024 budget that such bond market volatility was unlikely to repeat itself, largely because the U.K. inflation has dropped sharply since the Truss era. Analysts at Goldman Sachs said Thursday it would "reduce the urgency for sequential cuts in the near term."
Persons: Rachel Reeves, We've, Liz Truss, Truss, Reeves, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, Andrew Sheets, BOE, Sterling Organizations: Labour Party, Labour, ING, Budget, Conservative Party, Bank of England, Goldman, CNBC, U.S Locations: London
Traders sit in front of trading screens at ETX Capital in central London on January 3, 2017. LONDON — European markets were heading for a lower open Thursday as investors look ahead to the latest euro zone inflation data. The preliminary reading for October will be closely watched as it will inform the European Central Bank as to the trajectory of expected interest rate cuts. Flash economic data published Wednesday showed that the euro zone economy grew 0.4% in the third quarter of 2024, above the 0.2% rise expected by economists polled by Reuters. There are more earnings Thursday with Shell , Stellantis , Maersk , AB Inbev and Carlsberg reporting.
Persons: Rachel Reeves Organizations: London's FTSE, European Central Bank, Reuters, Shell, Maersk, AB Inbev, Carlsberg, Labour Locations: London, London's
As a former acting U.S. trade representative who also served on the National Security Council, I’ve engaged in international economic policymaking firsthand. Trump’s main economic idea is to indiscriminately impose tariffs on U.S. trading partners, but it is American importers, exporters and consumers who will pay the price. When Trump last levied tariffs, the EU, Canada, China and other trading partners imposed their own tariffs in retaliation. While President Joe Biden left most of Trump’s tariffs against China in place, he managed to negotiate agreements that led to the easing of many retaliatory measures. As president, Harris would lead an economy that helps everyone, not just those at the very top.
Persons: you’re, it’s, you’ve, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, I’ve, Harris, Shawn Fain, , ” Harris, Harris ’, Trump, Smoot, Hawley, Mitch McConnell, “ I’m, Trump’s, Davidson, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: National Security Council, United Auto Workers, Democratic Party, Republican, Foundation, European Union, Pennsylvania Farm Bureau, , Harley, EU Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, America, China, U.S, EU, Canada
Rachel Reeves, UK chancellor of the exchequer, outside 11 Downing Street ahead of presenting her budget to parliament in London, UK, on Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2024. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — British businesses are smarting after Finance Minister Rachel Reeves' bumper tax-rising budget, with analysts warning that the measures could slow hiring and push up inflation. Under the new rules, employer NI will rise by 1.2 percentage points to 15% from April 2025, while the level at which employers start paying NI for workers will drop from £9,100 to £5,000. Rain Newton-Smith, chief executive of the Confederation of British Industry, a business interest group, described it as a "tough budget for business." That is because businesses could pass on the additional costs to consumers by increasing the price of their products.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Reeves, , Roger Barker, Barker, Mike Kemp, Andrew Martin, Newton, Smith, Morgan, Andrew Sheets, CNBC's, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, LONDON, National Insurance, Labour, Conservative, Institute of, Institute of Directors, of British Industry, Corporation, Insurance, CNBC, Bank of, Morgan Locations: London, City of London, United Kingdom
Trump's plans could mean tax hikes for lower earners; Harris' proposals would target higher earners. This is the fourth in a five-part series about the impacts either a Trump or a Harris presidency could have on US consumers. Trump has proposed extending his slew of tax cuts from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 — also known as the "Trump tax cut." But another part of Trump's tax policy — his plan to levy universal tariffs on all US imports — could end up undercutting this positive impact. AdvertisementTrump has floated lifting the $10,000 cap on the State and Local Tax deduction, known as SALT, from his 2017 tax bill.
Persons: Trump's, Harris, , you'll, Trump, He's, Garrett Watson, Harris hasn't, she's, Benjamin Page, Biden, Walz, Ernie Tedeschi, Watson, Tedeschi Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, Social Security, Taxation, Economic, Tax Foundation, State and, Urban, Brookings Tax, Yale Budget Lab, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Finance Locations: California , New Jersey, New York, Congress
UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves makes a speech during the Labour Party Conference that is held at the ACC Liverpool Convention Center in Liverpool, UK on September 23, 2024. LONDON — Nearly four months after taking office, the U.K.'s Labour government is set to unveil its debut budget on Wednesday, with markets braced for a major fiscal shake-up. "There's a huge amount of interest in this budget," Amanda Tickel, head of tax and trade policy at Deloitte U.K., told CNBC on Tuesday. Tickel forecast £35 billion ($45.4 billion) worth of tax rises and £5 billion in spending cuts to plug what Finance Minister Rachel Reeves says is a "big gap" in the budget. We haven't had a Labour government for 14 years, and they're going to want to make their mark on the tax system," she said.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Amanda Tickel, haven't, we've, Reeves Organizations: Labour Party Conference, ACC Liverpool Convention Center, LONDON, Labour, Deloitte, CNBC Locations: Liverpool, London
The outcome of this year's presidential election could bode well for different parts of the stock market, according to Evercore ISI. "Trump will be positive for US-only retailers (which have higher tax rates vs retailers with int'l exposure)," Evercore ISI said. Under a Harris win, these stocks could benefit, per Evercore ISI: Evercore ISI forecasts Harris winners to be renewable energy and EV companies, as that administration is expected to maintain the Inflation Reduction Act and other clean energy policies. Discount retailers such as Burlington and Ross Stores are another likely beneficiary of a Democratic win, according to Evercore ISI. A slew of tech companies, namely Apple , Dell and Hewlett Packard Enterprise , could fare well with a Harris win given the risk of lower tariffs.
Persons: bode, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Emanuel, Halliburton, Trump, ULTA, Dave Kimbell, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Harris, BURL, LSEG, Ross, Biden Organizations: ISI, Democratic, Republican, NBC, Trump, Halliburton, Exxon Mobil, Exxon, Care, NextEra, Harris . Discount, Ross Stores, Burlington, Apple, Dell, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Palo Alto Networks Locations: U.S, China, Burlington
Maja Smiejkowska | ReutersLONDON — U.K. borrowing costs on Wednesday touched their highest level since Labour took office, after Finance Minister Rachel Reeves unveiled a vast package of tax hikes in her first budget. The yield had cooled to a 3 basis point rise to 4.35% by 4:00 p.m. U.K. time (12:00 p.m. The yield on 2-year bonds, which in the U.K. are known as gilts, were over 6 basis points higher at 4.33% after rising by as much as 10 basis points. The Treasury separately said it would raise gilt issuance by £22.2 billion ($28.9 billion) to £299.9 billion for the fiscal year to meet its net financing requirement. Those included the facts that many key policies had already been announced, and that any increase in borrowing would be to fund public investment.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Maja Smiejkowska, Reeves, Liz Truss Organizations: Reuters LONDON, Labour, Treasury, Conservative Party, Bank of England Locations: London, Britain
Donald Trump proposed mass deportation to lower housing costs and boost job opportunities. AdvertisementThe mass deportation of people living in the US illegally has been one of the cornerstones of the Republican presidential ticket leading up to the November election. Many Democrats say mass deportations would hurt businesses and employment opportunities for all Americans, in addition to separating families and displacing millions of people. She told BI that a mass deportation would devastate the agriculture, construction, and hospitality industries. AdvertisementHow much a mass deportation would cost the governmentThe Trump campaign has talked little about how mass deportations could be implemented and on what scale.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, Harris, Douglas Nicholls, Nicholls, Regina Romero, Romero, " Romero, Duncan Braid, Braid, Davis, Chloe East, Taylor Rogers, Trump's, Rogers, hasn't, Marcus Noland Organizations: Service, Republican, Pew Research Center, Business, Pew Research, Trump, Immigration, Customs, American Compass, University of California, Brookings Institution, ICE, New York Times, American Immigration, Taxation, Economic, Manhattan Institute, FEMA, RNC, Peterson Institute for International Economics, American Immigration Council, Peterson Institute Locations: Los Angeles, Springfield, Aurora, Ohio, Colorado, Arizona, Yuma , Arizona, Mexico, Yuma, Tucson, Reading , Pennsylvania, US, Aurora , Colorado
UK budget to be driven by tax rises, Deloitte UK's Tickel says
  + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUK budget to be driven by tax rises, Deloitte UK's Tickel saysAmanda Tickel, head of tax and trade policy at Deloitte UK, weighs in on the U.K. budget, saying that she expects the vast majority of the spending gap to be plugged with tax rises.
Persons: Deloitte UK's Tickel, Amanda Tickel Organizations: Deloitte
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRep. Suzan DelBene: We need people in Congress who are interested in governingDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chair and House Ways and Means Tax Policy Subcommittee member Rep. Suzan DelBene (D-Wash.) joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the 2024 election, Capitol Hill's balance of power, whether Democrats can take back control of the House and keep its Senate majority, future of tax policy, and more.
Persons: Suzan, Suzan DelBene Organizations: Democratic Congressional, Capitol Locations: Congress
UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves makes a speech during the Labour Party Conference that is held at the ACC Liverpool Convention Center in Liverpool, UK on September 23, 2024. LONDON — U.K. Finance Minister Rachel Reeves will deliver the government's hotly awaited debut budget on Wednesday, putting to bed weeks of uncertainty over potential tax hikes and spending cuts. Reports suggest that the Treasury could target public sector net financial liabilities (PSNFL) in the U.K.'s measure of debt, rather than public sector net debt. The PSNFL measure takes in a wider account of the government's balance sheet, including financial assets and liabilities, than public sector net debt. In a note Friday, Goldman Sachs estimated that the changes could increase the government's fiscal headroom by around £50 billion ($65 billion).
Persons: Rachel Reeves, — Labour's, , Keir Starmer, Reeves, Goldman Sachs, Goldman sachs Organizations: Labour Party Conference, ACC Liverpool Convention Center, LONDON, Finance, Sky News, Financial Times, Treasury Locations: Liverpool
CNN —Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris have laid out a broad array of ideas aimed at making life more affordable and strengthening the economy, which rank at the top of voters’ concerns. Both Trump and Harris have rolled out pricey provisions without specifying how they would cover the cost. Though his campaign hasn’t released details on the proposal, Trump has indicated that he would eliminate both federal income taxes and payroll taxes, which fund Social Security and Medicare. Around half of beneficiaries – mainly those with higher incomes – pay federal income tax on their Social Security payments. Harris’ plan would also accelerate the speed of Medicare’s drug price negotiations so that the costs of more medications come down faster.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, hasn’t, Harris, Harris ’, Trump, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Sen, JD Vance, Trump’s, ” Harris, USMCA, ” Trump, He’s, Elon Musk, John Deere, ” Vance Organizations: CNN, Trump, Yale University, Security, Social Security, Center, Social, Rescue, Medicare, GOP, Biden, Republican Party, ” Invest, America, Federal Reserve, American Locations: Nevada, Las Vegas, Mexico, Canada, Texas, Florida, Harris, Midwest
Washington CNN —Former President Donald Trump’s late-campaign television ads are littered with deceptively edited and misleadingly described quotations. Multiple Trump ads omit critical words from quotes by and about Vice President Kamala Harris on the subject of tax policy. One Trump ad misleadingly depicts comments about fracking from Trump’s campaign and administration as if they were comments from independent news organizations. Tactic: Cutting out key wordsOne Trump ad deletes critical words from two separate quotes on Harris’ tax policies. Those ads feature on-screen text saying “Harris would raise taxes,” attributing those words to a CBS News article.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Karoline Leavitt, , , “ Harris, Joe Biden, Harris –, Dan Brouillette, , Biden, can’t, “ Biden, Organizations: Washington CNN, Trump, Biden, Customs, , AdImpact, New York Times, Times, CBS, Reuters, E, Energy, Welfare, illegals, NBC, Newsweek, Customs Enforcement, CNN, ICE Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan
Consistent with U.S. policy, Harris has also declined to say whether she would use military force to defend Taiwan. Instead she emphasizes the importance of military communications with China and supporting Taiwan’s ability to defend itself. Tariff talkThough Trump talks far more about China on the campaign trail than Harris does, neither of them have said much about how they would manage ties with Beijing. Biden has maintained and in some cases expanded tariffs on Chinese imports that Trump introduced as president, citing national security concerns. If she wins, Harris is expected to continue Biden’s targeted tariffs and restrictions on key Chinese tech sectors.
Persons: Trump, Xi, Harris, Biden, Wu Xinbo, Organizations: Washington, Wall Street, United States ’, Beijing, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Center for American Studies, Fudan University, , Asia Society Policy Institute Locations: Taiwan, China, Ukraine, Washington, Asia, Shanghai, U.S
Here are some of the ways Bank of America analysts think the upcoming election results could affect the stock market. Harris presidency, split government A victory for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in the White House, plus a Republican-controlled Congress, could be "the best outcome" for online media companies, according to Bank of America analyst Justin Post. He noted that Harris is likely to enforce a potential ban on TikTok — which could boost Meta Platforms and Snapchat . Trump president, split government A win for Republican candidate Donald Trump and a split government would be the best-case scenario for bank stocks, per analyst Ebrahim Poonawala. On the other hand, a Trump presidency would be viewed positively by gig-economy companies, including Uber and Lyft, according to analyst Post.
Persons: , Harris, Kamala Harris, Justin Post, Lorraine Hutchinson, Donald Trump's, , Athletica, Joanna Gajuk, Gajuk, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Ehrlich, Jason Kupferberg, Kupferberg, Dick Durbin's, Donald Trump, Ebrahim Poonawala, Poonawala, Republicans —, Dimple, Trump, Uber, Craig Siegenthaler, Siegenthaler, Rafe Jadrosich, Trump's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Bank of America, of America, Democratic, Republican, Democrat, Department of Justice, Eagle Outfitters, Urban Outfitters ., Health, Tenet Healthcare, Universal Health Services, Democrats, Agilon, Humana, Big Tech, House, Trump, Republicans, Oscar Health, Centene, GOP, Securities, Exchange, Entertainment, Packaging Corporation of America, American Eagle Outfitters Locations: Hutchinson, U.S, China, Washington
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