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☆ Chinese finance minister hints at increasing the deficit at highly anticipated briefing
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

BEIJING — China's Minister of Finance Lan Fo'an told reporters Saturday during a press briefing that the central government has room to increase debt and the deficit. Economists have said China needs additional fiscal support, but Beijing has yet to announce any. He did not name specific figures and noted supporting real estate required multiple policies. In a meeting in late September, led by Chinese President Xi Jinping, authorities had called for strengthening monetary and fiscal policy support. China's retail sales grew only modestly over the last few months, and the country's real estate slump has shown few signs of turning around.

Persons: Lan Fo'an, Zheng Shanjie, Pan Gongsheng, Finance Lan Fo'an, Lan, Finance Liao Min, Xi Jinping, Ting Lu Organizations: National Development, Reform Commission, People's Bank of China, National People's Congress, BEIJING —, Finance, Nomura, National Bureau, Statistics Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING

☆ Inflation reports from this week should allow the Fed to stay on track with rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors who fear stubborn inflation, if not an outright rebound, got a bit of a salve on Friday morning. Wholesale prices showed no change month over month for September, coming in below expectations. The producer price index report may help offset some of the slight concerns about Thursday's consumer price index report, which was a bit hotter than expected. The personal consumption expenditures price index for September will be released on Oct. 31. "We think the Fed is really still on track to cut 25 [basis points] at each of the next two meetings," Seif added.

Persons: David Seif, Seif, Wells Organizations: Nomura Securities, Fed, PPI, Traders, JPMorgan Chase, BNY Mellon Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ China released a blitz of stimulus measures to boost its economy. Now begins the balancing game.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementVarious Chinese ministries and local governments are likely to roll out a variety of stimulus measures in the coming weeks — useful or not, they added. China still has a massive property problem that's unlikely to be solved with one set of stimulus measures. China's stock markets, which are dominated by retail investors fixated on social media, are blistering hot. China's stock markets are closed for weeklong National Day public holidays and are set to reopen on Tuesday. "Stimulus measures could add more fuel to the fire when stock markets are already heated.

Persons: —, it's, Nomura, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Ben Harburg, Larry Hu, Hu, Magdalena Polan, Polan, China's Organizations: Service, Global Data.TS, —, MSA, Macquarie Group, CSI, Nomura Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, Beijing, Harburg

SHANGHAI, CHINA - MARCH 7, 2023 - The Oriental Pearl Tower, Shanghai Tower, Jinmao Tower and World Financial Center are seen on Lujiazui Street, Shanghai, China, March 7, 2023. China stocks will keep rising after markets in the mainland reopen following the Golden Week break, analysts predicted. Beijing's announcements of economic support last week have fueled China's CSI 300 blue-chip index to rally over 25% in a nine-day winning streak. Then, Hong Kong stocks dropped on Thursday, ending a 6-day winning streak and sparking fears that China's stimulus rally could have started to fizzle out. Beijing's recent stimulus blitz coupled with higher participation from retail investors will likely fuel a longer rally, he said.

Persons: Eugene Hsiao, Shehzad Qazi, Qazi, Shaun Rein, it's, Rein, Ting Lu Organizations: Financial, CSI, of China Equity, Macquarie Capital, China Market Research Locations: SHANGHAI, CHINA, Shanghai, China, Hong Kong

☆ Nomura: Japan economy still doing well, foresee BoJ December rate hike
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura: Japan economy still doing well, foresee BoJ December rate hikeYujiro Goto of Nomura expects the dollar-yen cross to trade between 140 and 145 as concerns over new Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's policies dissipates. Japanese businesses remain resilient, paving the way for a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan in December 2024.

Persons: Goto, Nomura, Shigeru Organizations: Email Nomura, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan

☆ China optimism is surging. Why some investors are cautious
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A shareholder at a securities hall in Hangzhou, the capital of Zhejiang province in east China, on Sept. 24, 2024. "Markets should place more emphasis on the specifics of the stimulus," Lu said. The People's Bank of China this week cut major interest rates, and announced plans to lower rates for existing mortgage holders. Questions about scaleFor some investment institutions, that's still not enough to move the needle on their China outlook. A survey in September of more than 1,200 companies in China by the U.S.-based China Beige Book found that corporate borrowing declined, despite historic lows in the costs to do so.

Persons: Xi Jinping, Ting Lu, Lu, Nomura's Lu, that's, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Shehzad Qazi, Qazi Organizations: Getty, BEIJING, Shanghai, Nomura, People's Bank of, Finance, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, U.S Locations: Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China, Beijing, People's Bank of China, Wells Fargo, U.S . Federal, U.S

☆ French tycoon gains $17 billion from China’s economic stimulus push
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Juliana Liu | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

But by the end of the day, his net worth jumped by $17 billion to $201 billion, the index reported, calling it his third-biggest daily increase ever. That market, which accounted for 31% of total revenue last year, is dominated by China. Hong Kong’s benchmark Hang Seng index has added just over 12% so far this week, while mainland China’s blue-chip CSI300 has gained more than 15%. However, experts urged investors to be cautious as officials must still come up with ways of stabilizing the property market, which once accounted for as much as 30% of economic activity. It began to cool in 2019 and fell into a deep trough about two years later, after a government-led clampdown on developers’ borrowing.

Persons: Bernard Arnault isn’t, Arnault, LVMH, “, Nomura, Xi Jinping, Pan Gongsheng, Pan Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, LVMH, Bloomberg, Markets, People’s Bank of China Locations: China, Hong Kong, LVMH, Paris, Asia, “ Beijing

☆ China central bank releases slate of support measures amid a deepening economic slump
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | Evelyn Cheng Is A Senior Correspondent With Cnbc. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

Lynn Song, chief economist for greater China ING, called the repo rate cut announcement “the most important” move made during the news conference. “If we see a large fiscal policy push as well, momentum could recover heading into the fourth quarter.”The headquarters of the People’s Bank of China in Beijing. During his first news conference as central bank governor in January, Pan said the PBOC would cut the reserve requirement ratio. Unlike the Fed’s focus on a main interest rate, the PBOC uses a variety of rates to manage monetary policy. Pan has indicated he would like the 7-day rate to become the main policy rate.

Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Lynn Song, ”, “, Jiang Qiming, ” Edmund Goh, Goldman Sachs, Li Yunze, Li, Nomura Organizations: People’s Bank of China Gov, China ING, “, U.S . Federal Reserve, People’s Bank of China, China News Service, Getty, Pan, National Financial Regulatory Administration Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing, abrdn

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Fedspeak reassures markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets regain momentumU.S. markets rose Monday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average notching fresh closing highs. Asia-Pacific stocks mostly climbed Tuesday, with the Chinese and Hong Kong markets popping over 3% on Beijing's announcement of policy easing measures. PBOC policy easingThe People's Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng on Tuesday announced a cut to banks' reserve requirement ratio.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, The Beverly Hilton, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, The Beverly, CNBC, Dow Jones, People's Bank of China, Boeing, Tech, Big Tech, Companies, Nomura Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, China, Beijing

☆ China just released aggressive measures to boost its economy — but some analysts say it's still not enough
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

"Today's policy measures are bold by historical standards," Betty Wang, the lead economist at Oxford Economics, wrote in a note on Tuesday. Stimulus measures don't address consumptionDespite the fanfare, analysts are divided over whether the moves that ease monetary policy constitute a massive "bazooka" stimulus. AdvertisementMost say the monetary easing policies don't address the lack of confidence contributing to depressed consumer spending. China has pulled out multiple support measures this year to shore up its economy and stock markets, but any kneejerk optimism has been shortlived. Advertisement"Overall, we feel today's measures are a step in the right direction, especially as multiple measures have been announced together rather than spacing out individual piecemeal measures to a more limited effect," Lynn Song, the Greater China chief economist at ING bank, wrote on Tuesday.

Persons: —, Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Betty Wang, Wang, it's, Nomura, Lynn Song Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Analysts, Oxford Economics, CSI, Nomura, ING Locations: Beijing, China, Greater China

☆ Nomura: India and China both 'very investable' but India is better in the long term
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura: India and China both 'very investable' but India is better in the long termGareth Nicholson of Nomura discusses opportunities in Indian and Chinese markets, and explains why he believes India has better long-term prospects than China.

Persons: Gareth Nicholson, Nomura Organizations: Email Nomura Locations: India, China

☆ These 4 Asian stocks are set to pop on an AI server cooling boom, Nomura says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

That's liquid cooling, a cooling technology used in data centers which helps to improve power and cost efficiency. "As air cooling is approaching the limit of its cooling capacity, the importance of liquid cooling is getting increasingly more pronounced … liquid cooling [is] becoming a must-have for GB200," said the bank. Nomura estimates the liquid cooling penetration rate in Nvidia's AI servers is set to rise from 8% in 2024 to 43% in 2025, and 47% in 2026. Liquid cooling systems are the solution to "power shortage pressures" in data centers, Morgan Stanley said in a previous report . Against that backdrop, Jefferies is bullish on four Asian stocks it says will be "key beneficiaries" of the liquid cooling trend.

Persons: Nomura, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, it's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Nomura, Tech, Jefferies, Nvidia's G200, Micro Computer, Quanta's CDU, Microsoft, Meta, Web Services Locations: Taiwan, Delta

☆ China stimulus calls are growing louder — inside and outside the country
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Local residents with umbrellas walk out of a metro station in rain during morning rush hour on September 20, 2024 in Beijing, China. China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesBEIJING — More economists are calling for China to stimulate growth, including those based inside the country. His presentation Saturday at Renmin University's China Macroeconomy Forum was titled: "A basket of stimulus and reform, an economic revitalization plan to substantially expand domestic demand." "The elephant in the room is the property market," said Xu Gao, Beijing-based chief economist at Bank of China International. To restore confidence and stabilize the property market, Xu said that policymakers should bail out the property owners.

Persons: Liu Shijin, Liu, Goldman Sachs, China's, Xu Gao, Xu, Nomura, Gabriel Wildau, Teneo, Yi Gang, Wildau, Yi Organizations: China News Service, Getty, Development Research, State Council, CNBC, China Macroeconomy, Goldman, Bank of China International, Center for, People's Bank of China Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING, Renmin, Center for China, U.S

☆ Goodbye Louis Vuitton. China’s Gen Z leans into ‘dupe economy’ as growth prospects stall
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Juliana Liu | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Mainly a print model, Zheng used to rake in 30,000 yuan ($4,230) a month when she began working two years ago. Some are virtually indistinguishable from the real thing, while others are inspired by the original design and offer morecolors or textures. The popularity of this product category is soaring as consumer confidence in China nears a historic low, according to analysts. Shoppers are sitting on the sidelines due to a combination of falling stock prices, capital flight and “tepid” wage growth, the economists said. A Hong Kong court ordered the liquidation of the Chinese property giant on on January 29.

Persons: Zheng Jiewen, Zheng, “, ”, Louis Vuitton, Chanel, Laurel Gu, Lulu, dupes isn’t, Nomura, Xinxin, Greg Baker, Nicole Hal, “ I’ve, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, CNN, Prada, Reuters, Shoppers, Barclays, Hong, Getty, Goldman Locations: China, Hong Kong, Guangzhou, Shanghai, Asia, Japan, Chongqing, Beijing, AFP, Europe, “

☆ Appreciation of the yen could slow the pace of BOJ rate hike, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAppreciation of the yen could slow the pace of BOJ rate hike, economist saysTakahide Kiuchi, executive economist at Nomura Research Institute, expects that the Bank of Japan will hike rates in January 2025.

Persons: Takahide Kiuchi Organizations: Nomura Research Institute, Bank of Locations: Bank of Japan

Stocks surged to open Thursday trading in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s announcement that it was lowering interest rates by half a percentage point. The Fed’s cut was widely expected, but came in larger than many analysts were forecasting. “The continued decline in mortgage rates is giving the mortgage market a much-needed boost,” Bob Broeksmit, the president and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association, said in a statement. At the same time, a growing set of indicators suggest economic growth may have begun heading in the wrong direction. “The Fed has signaled a high sensitivity to labor-market weakness,” Nomura Holdings financial group said in a note to clients Thursday.

Persons: Stocks, Jay Powell, ” Powell, It’s, “, Bob Broeksmit, ”, Powell Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Fed, Mortgage Bankers Association, ” Nomura Holdings, Wall Street, Bank of America Locations: U.S

☆ The Archegos disaster isn't over yet for banks as the feds reportedly revive criminal antitrust probe
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewFederal prosecutors are reexamining Wall Street banks that lost billions in the 2021 Archegos collapse, anonymous sources told Bloomberg. The revived probe follows just months after Archegos' founder Bill Hwang was convicted of fraud, racketeering, and market manipulation in July. AdvertisementHowever, this plot fell apart when the stocks fell in March 2021, sending Archegos's $150 billion in bets fell into freefall. After an agreement failed to materialize, banks such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley unleashed their shares onto the market. Sources told Bloomberg that the department has begun making inquiries, with special attention paid to the 2021 banks' emergency discussions.

Persons: —, Archegos, Bill Hwang, Hwang, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, US Department of Justice, Business, Credit Suisse, Nomura, UBS, DOJ Locations: freefall

☆ JPMorgan downgrades its opinion on China, but still likes these individual stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-08 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Instead, JPMorgan increased its overweight recommendations on other emerging markets. Even after the change, JPMorgan still holds 18 China stocks in its global emerging markets model portfolio. The JPMorgan analysts said uncertainties about the China economic outlook range from tensions with the U.S. to "lingering deflation pressure." During three periods of escalating U.S.-China trade tensions in 2018 and 2019, the MSCI China index fell each time, according to JPMorgan China Equity Strategist Wendy Liu. As part of its China stock downgrade, JPMorgan added shares of state-owned utility operator CR Gas , while removing shares of PDD, China Construction Bank and Kingdee International.

Persons: Pedro Martins, Chetan Seth, Jake Sullivan, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Harris, Donald Trump, Wendy Liu, ByteDance, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Wednesday, Sunday, Reuters, Nomura's, Nomura, JPMorgan China Equity, CR Gas, China Construction Bank, Kingdee International, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Hong Locations: China, U.S, Nomura's Asia, Japan, Beijing, PDD, Hong Kong, Thursday's

☆ Here are Friday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Peloton, Chewy, Uber, Burlington Stores, BJ's Wholesale Club, Roku and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan downgrades Peloton to neutral from overweight "Following Thursday's +35% appreciation (vs. SPX -1%) we are moving from Overweight to Neutral rated as PTON's return to growth in CF Subs & Revenue remains challenging, & visibility is limited given secular & macro pressures." Wells Fargo reiterates Burlington Stores as top pick "We reiterate BURL as our "Top Pick" and see a highly visible growth/margin bull case unfolding in real time. The combination of 1) comp acceleration and 2) margin unlocks should be powerful, and we raise 2Q/FY numbers above Street. Wells Fargo upgrades BJ's Wholesale Club to overweight from equal weight "Margin investment is the right strategic shift despite n/t pain, and supplements robust member gains. Valuation is tricky, but comp ramp/return to algo in '25 point to upside."

Persons: Piper Sandler, Warby Parker, Uber, Nomura, Wells, BURL, Goldman Sachs, Bill.com, Guggenheim Organizations: Nvidia, RBC, Westlake, JPMorgan, CF Subs, Revenue, Bank of America, Waymo, Tesla, Burlington Stores, Wholesale

☆ Nomura: China could deliver positive surprises in stimulus because investors are so pessimistic
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura: China could deliver positive surprises in stimulus because investors are so pessimisticRob Subbaraman of Nomura says consumer confidence in China is so low and impending U.S. administration could pose significant risk to Chinese exports.

Persons: Rob, Nomura Organizations: Email Nomura Locations: China

☆ Nomura: we put 1-in-4 chance of recession risk in the U.S. which is fairly 'elevated'
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura: we put 1-in-4 chance of recession risk in the U.S. which is fairly 'elevated'Nomura’s Rob Subbaraman says we are in the "twilight zone" right now between a 25 and 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed this September.

Persons: Rob Subbaraman Organizations: Email Nomura Locations: U.S

☆ China’s slower growth hasn’t dragged down this consumer stock. Why it’s up 90% this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-04 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

"We expect 30 retail store openings this year in China and China market sales to grow 21% YoY in 2024." Raised target Morgan Stanley raised its price target to HK$52, up from HK$45 previously, after Pop Mart's profit alert. "Strong pickup in online channels and Pop Land were the key drivers, while offline sales growth also accelerated (driven by teens% [same-store sales growth])." Pop Land is a theme park that Pop Mart opened near a major city park in Beijing in September 2023. "The company is well-prepared to sustain its high sales growth momentum into 2H24F, in our view (we estimate 2H24F total sales growth of 39% y-y)," the Nomura analysts said.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Pop Mart, they've, Michael Bloom Organizations: Pop Mart, Pop, Mart, Disney, Hong, Apple, Starbucks, HK, China Renaissance, Nomura, U.S, Jefferies, Comcast, CNBC, NBCUniversal, NBC Sports, NBC Olympics, NBC, Games Locations: Hong Kong, China, Beijing, Pop, Thailand, NBCUniversal, U.S

Analyst Dan Dolev also increased his price target on shares to $31 from $17, suggesting shares could gain 19% from Tuesday's close. It also cut its price target to $24 from $38, implying downside of 16.7%. To be sure, he trimmed his price target to 21 euros from 24 euros. Analyst Joseph Moore named the chipmaker a top pick, reiterating his overweight rating and $144 price target. Nvidia shares have more than doubled this year.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Nomura, Dan Dolev, Dolev, UPST, Dole, — Hakyung Kim, Samik Chatterjee, Chatterjee, Hakyung Kim, Anindya Das, Das, Joseph Moore, Moore, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Mizuho, Holdings, underperform, JPMorgan, TAM, Nomura, America, Nvidia Locations: Mizuho, Tuesday's, North America, U.S, Europe

☆ Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Microsoft, Starbucks, McDonald's, Pinterest & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Bank of America reiterates Pinterest as buy Bank of America said it's sticking with Pinterest following the company's earnings on Tuesday. "We are raising our rating to Overweight (from Equal-weight); our new price target of $36 (up from $25) implies +43.4% one-year total return, including a 6.7% forward dividend yield." Bank of America upgrades RTX to buy from neutral Bank of America said demand is rising for the aerospace and defense company. " Bank of America adds Marriott to the US1 list Bank of America added the stock to its top picks list. "We initiate coverage of On Holdings (ONON) with an Outperform rating and a $46 price target.

Persons: Pinterest, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, it's, Albemarle, Nomura, Bernstein, Venmo, TD Cowen downgrades McDonald's, Cowen, 2Q's, Raymond James, Lockheed Martin, Jefferies, Woodward, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish Organizations: Bank of America, Barclays, AMD, Energy, JPMorgan, Mizuho, Nvidia, PayPal, Deutsche Bank, Corning, Deutsche, Citi, Navigator, Lockheed, of America, underperform Bank of America, Management, Starbucks, " Bank of America, Marriott, Holdings Locations: 2H24, Albemarle, Braintree, Switzerland

☆ BOJ decision on rates will be a 'very close call,' strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ decision on rates will be a 'very close call,' strategist saysYujiro Goto, head of FX strategy for Japan at Nomura, says wage data has been improving, but the Bank of Japan will be concerned about weak consumption.

Persons: Yujiro Goto Organizations: Nomura, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan

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