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☆ North Carolina Presidential Election Results 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Nate Cohn | Chief Political Analyst | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

How votes compare with 2020The map below shows how votes cast in this race compare with votes cast in the 2020 presidential election in the same area. Only areas that have reported almost all of their votes are shown.

☆ Florida Presidential Election Results 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Nate Cohn | Chief Political Analyst | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

☆ Wisconsin Presidential Election Results 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Nate Cohn | Chief Political Analyst | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

The state is a key component in Ms. Harris’s clearest path to victory — wins in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. It has the potential to be the winning candidate’s “tipping-point” state (like it was in 2020), putting him or her over the top in the Electoral College.

Organizations: Electoral College Locations: Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania

Voting has now wrapped up in all seven swing states and most others. But no swing states have been called, and the race will hinge on their results. Bomb threats roiled polling places in swing states, including Georgia, Arizona and Michigan. Though the election is by no means over, Mr. Trump is showing strength, winning states like Texas and Florida easily. Democrats will have to run the tables in the Republican states of Ohio and Montana to maintain their one-seat control of the Senate.

Persons: Lisa Blunt Rochester, Angela Alsobrooks, Donald J, Trump, Kamala Harris, Jonathan Weisman, Harris, —, Ms, Rick Scott, Larry Hogan, Jim Justice, Joe Manchin III, “ Organizations: Electoral, Mr, Republican, Senate, Republicans, Democratic National Committee, Washington , D.C Locations: Delaware, Maryland, Ohio, Montana, — Arizona , Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Florida, Mar, Washington ,

Live Virginia forecastOur current best estimate is that the race leans toward Harris. Trump leads in the reported vote, but we think the remaining vote favors Harris. We’ll continue to adjust our estimate as more votes are reported. Read more about how it works.

Persons: Harris, Trump, We’ll, Read Locations: Virginia

☆ Pennsylvania Presidential Election Results 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Nate Cohn | Chief Political Analyst | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

With Pennsylvania expected to be a close and crucial state in the 2024 race for the presidency, it's unusual election laws are again under the microscope. Election experts say Pennsylvania's laws make it fertile ground for rigged election claims to flourish. “The Pennsylvania legislature had multiple opportunities to clarify and improve the state’s election law,” said Nate Persily, an NBC News election law expert and professor at Stanford Law School. Vance, was "voter fraud" perpetrated by Democrats. Trump supporters on county boards across the country have sought to block the certification of election results by delaying or voting against the certification in the past.

Persons: it's, —, ”, Nate Persily, Donald Trump, J.D, Vance, Al Schmidt, “ They’ve, they’ve, ‘, ” Trump, Wendy Weiser, Weiser, isn’t, “, Michael Morse, Morse, Trump Organizations: Pennsylvania, NBC, Stanford Law School, Brennan Center for Justice, NYU Law School, NBC News, Trump, University of Pennsylvania Law, Court of, Electoral Locations: Pennsylvania, Bucks County, Lancaster, Lancaster County , Pennsylvania, ”, Court of Pennsylvania

Ms. Harris starts out with 226 likely electoral votes compared with 219 for Mr. Trump, with 93 votes up for grabs. Scenario 6 Or by winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and either Georgia … Or by winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and either Georgia … Scenario 7 … or North Carolina. Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump have been campaigning hard and often there, and Democrats hope that the favorable governor’s race could help them. Scenario 5 … like Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin … … like Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin … Scenario 6 … or Arizona, Nevada and Pennsylvania. The Harris campaign is taking a similar approach, focusing on white college-educated women, who currently favor Ms. Harris by 29 points.

Persons: Brandon Bell, Harris, immovably, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, Trump, Trump’s, Harris –, Trump’s resiliency, Harris’s, William Frey, Michael Dukakis, Josh Shapiro, JD Vance, Mr, Bill McInturff, there’s, –, Joe Rogan’s, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton Organizations: Trump, Electoral, Democrats, Republicans, Democratic, Mr, Sun, Electoral College, NBC, Black, Brookings Institution, Michigan, …, Republican, Biden Locations: Virginia, Minnesota, Georgia, Arizona , Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wis, Mich, Pa, Nev, N.C, Ariz . Ga, Ariz ., Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin . Pennsylvania, …, … Georgia, Arizona , Michigan, Pennsylvania , Michigan

Trump supporters spread videos on Tuesday of long lines in Buck County, Pennsylvania, where voters were waiting to request a mail-ballot in person. Election officials allow voters to request, fill out and return their mail ballots in person at the county elections office, casting a mail ballot early. Trump and his supporters have pointed to other incidents in Pennsylvania in recent days to advance a narrative of election fraud. Trump claimed on Monday night that there were thousands of fake ballots and fraudulent mail ballot applications in two Pennsylvania counties, Lancaster and York. Whatley, the RNC chairman, also posted a photo Monday of a woman being arrested at a voting service center in Delaware County, Pennsylvania.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, James Blair, ” Blair, Elon Musk, James O’Malley, Michael Whatley, “ I’m, Vance, ”, Nate Persily, Kamala Harris, “ It’s, ” Persily, ” Trump, Whatley, Val Biancaniello, Donald J, Josh Shapiro, Shapiro Organizations: Trump, Republican National, Bucks, NBC News, Stanford Law School, RNC, Pennsylvania, Democrat Locations: Pennsylvania, Buck County , Pennsylvania, Bucks County, Allentown, Bucks, Lancaster, York, PENNSYLVANIA, Delaware County , Pennsylvania, Delaware, Delaware County, “ Pennsylvania

☆ What's behind the latest odds in 2024 presidential election: Nate Silver
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat's behind the latest odds in 2024 presidential election: Nate SilverNate Silver lays out all the reasons he thinks Donald Trump is more likely than Kamala Harris to win the election in an interview with CNBC's Jon Fortt at Tuesday's CNBC Technology Executive Council Summit in New York City.

Persons: Nate Silver Nate Silver, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, CNBC's Jon Fortt Organizations: CNBC Technology Locations: New York City

☆ Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Eric Rosenbaum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Silver told Fortt that his current model shows the odds favoring Trump, who holds a 55% to 45% win probability advantage over Harris. Most people no longer even have the landline phones which past election cycle polling history relied on. Why the betting markets may be all 'vibe and chatter'The betting markets show a much bigger edge for Trump, with major wagers placed on Polymarket, Robinhood jumping into the action, and presidential election contracts surging in popularity. Critics have raised concerns that the election betting markets are potentially being manipulated. But Silver, who is a consultant to one of the leading prediction markets, Polymarket, says he wouldn't pay much attention to the betting markets data right now, as they simply may not be very accurate at this moment in the election cycle.

Persons: Nate Silver, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Silver, Trump, CNBC's, Jon Fortt, Fortt, Harris, Ken Griffin, Stanley Drunkenmiller, Critics Organizations: New York Times, CNBC Technology, CNBC, Trump, Trump Media Locations: New York City

You’ve probably heard a lot about the gender gap in presidential politics by now. And this most of all: In modern presidential politics, the gender gap has never been wider, but it gets particularly large when we break out gender by educational attainment. KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris Trump +40 Dem. KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris Trump +40 Dem. The story of this election could well be the gender gap between those Americans who went to college and those who didn’t.

Persons: You’ve, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton’s, —, Trump’s, JD Vance, ”, Vance, Biden, Ronald Reagan, Reagan, Joe Rogan’s, Joe Rogan, Brené Brown, Wade, Joe Biden’s, Amanda Iovino, Glenn Youngkin’s Organizations: Trump, Harris, women, Pew, Mr, Pew Research, Facebook, Democratic, Pew Research Center, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris Trump, ., Election, Republicans, Republican Party, Democratic Party, America, Lake Research Partners, Democratic National Committee, WPA Intelligence, Republican, Republican National Convention, Democratic National Convention, YouTube Locations: American, New York, Roe

☆ Betting on the election is the hottest new trend. But can prediction markets keep the momentum going?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The big storyPresidential betsChris duMond; Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BIWe're less than a week from election day, but one group can already claim victory: betting markets. Kalshi's legal victory in October over the CFTC to offer election betting paved the way for the trend. iStock; Rebecca Zisser/BIThe betting market's biggest tests might come after the election. Betting markets have Trump as a heavy favorite, whereas traditional polls indicate a tight race. AdvertisementShould Trump win in a landslide, it could strengthen the case for using betting markets as a key tool for election analysis.

Persons: —, Chris duMond, Chip Somodevilla, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Matthew Fox, Donald Trump, Polymarket, iStock, Rebecca Zisser, Nate Silver, Tesla, Zuckerberg, Citadel's, Justin Lubell, Lubell, Steve Schwarzman, Ken Griffin, Trump, Tyler Le, Harris, Sundar Pichai, Elon Musk, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Apple, CFTC, Trump, TikTok, Meta Connect, Meta, Bank of America, Blackstone, Republican, Amazon, AWS, Five Apple Intelligence, Google, The Washington Post, Street, Microsoft, Starbucks Locations: French, New York, London

☆ NFL Power Rankings Week 9: Bills up, Cowboys down, plus Something Scary for every team
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Josh Kendall | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +22 min

In a nod to the nation celebrating Halloween this week, the Power Rankings have searched far and wide for Something Scary for each team. ETLast week: 7Sunday: Beat Seattle Seahawks 31-10Something Scary: The turnover marginRight now, it’s great. ETLast week: 11Sunday: Beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-26Something Scary: The pass rush curseBaker Mayfield threw 50 passes Sunday. Arizona Cardinals (4-4)Last week: 21Sunday: Beat Miami Dolphins 28-27Something Scary: The scoring defenseArizona’s opponents are averaging 2.64 points per drive. Dallas Cowboys (3-4)Last week: 16Sunday: Lost to San Francisco 49ers 30-24Something Scary: The run gameEzekiel Elliott led the Cowboys with 10 carries for 34 yards on Sunday.

Persons: Jared Goff, DeAndre Hopkins, He’ll, Patrick Mahomes, Hopkins, He’s, Bo Nix, Andy Dalton, Gardner Minshew, Deshaun Watson, Love, Josh Allen, Allen, C.J, Stroud, Cedric Tillman, Jason Miller, Mike Macdonald, Zach Orr, There’s, Dean Pees, Winston, Jayden Daniels, Daniels, Caleb Williams, didn’t, Mary, That’s, Turner, Brian Flores, haven’t, George Kittle, Lachlan Cunningham, Brandon Aiyuk, Baltimore, Buffalo’s James Cook, Baker Mayfield, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Rakim Jarrett, Jaleel McLaughlin, Nate Adkins, Morgan Engel, Sean Payton, Jim Harbaugh, Justin Herbert The, Harbaugh, who’s, Herbert, Williams, Sunday’s, Cooper Kupp, Puka, Sean McVay, Cooper, Tua Tagovailoa, Anthony Richardson’s, TruMedia, Richardson, Joe Flacco, Colts HC Shane Steichen, Anthony Richardson, — James Boyd, Ezekiel Elliott, Jerry Jones, Derrick Henry, Henry, Jameis Winston, Cleveland, Watson, Justin Herbert, Nathan Shepherd, Bradley Bozeman, Shepherd, pic.twitter.com, 2ybL6tK9YL — Nate Tice, Tyrone Tracy, Alexander Mattison, Drake, Maye, They’ve, Aaron Rodgers, Mike McDaniel, McDaniel, Christian Kirk, Brian Thomas Jr, Kirk, Thomas, Calvin Ridley, Lloyd Cushenberry, Chidobe, Tony Pollard, Kenneth Murray, Ridley, it’s, Bryce Young, Steph Chambers Organizations: Lions, Panthers, Beat Tennessee Titans, Green Bay Packers, Las Vegas Raiders, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Chiefs, Beat Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Detroit Lions, Beat Seattle Seahawks, Bills, 49ers, Miami Dolphins, Beat Indianapolis, Texans, EPA, AFC, New York Jets, Trenton Simpson, Ravens, Browns, Cleveland Browns, Denver Broncos, Beat Chicago Bears, Washington, New York Giants, Los Angeles Rams, Rams, Indianapolis Colts, Vikings, Beat Cincinnati Bengals, Bengals, Eagles, Philly, Jacksonville Jaguars, Beat New York Giants, Cowboys, San Francisco 49ers, Beat Dallas Cowboys, Seattle Seahawks, Buffalo Bills, Seahawks, Seattle, Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, Atlanta Falcons, Tampa Bay, Atlanta, Bucs, Kansas City Chiefs, Broncos, Sunday, Beat Carolina Panthers, Denver, Baltimore Ravens, Beat New Orleans Saints, NFL, Los, Chicago Bears, Bears, Arizona Cardinals, Beat Minnesota Vikings, Beat Miami Dolphins, Cardinals, Dolphins, Cincinnati Bengals, Philadelphia Eagles, Houston Texans, Indianapolis, Colts, Minnesota Vikings, Colts HC, Dallas, Giants, Steelers, Cowboys isn't, Beat Baltimore Ravens, Los Angeles Chargers, New, New Orleans Saints, Chargers, Carolina Panthers, Bradley, Pittsburgh Steelers, Raiders, Beat New York Jets, Patriots, Tennessee Titans, New England Patriots, Jets, Miami, Green Locations: Detroit, Green, Buffalo, Baltimore, Chicago, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Washington, Cincinnati, New Orleans, Las Vegas, New England, New York, Tennessee

Ad views per household For presidential and non-presidential TV ads, Aug. 1 to Oct. 25 Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem. Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Alaska Fla. Other Dem. Hawaii Ad views per household For presidential and non-presidential TV ads, Aug. 1 to Oct. 25 Other Rep. ads Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem. Alaska Fla. Hawaii Ad views per household For presidential and non-presidential TV ads, Aug. 1 to Oct. 25 Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem. TV ad views Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem.

Persons: Harris, Idaho Conn, Mo ., Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, outspending Mr, Trump, ”, Lynn Vavreck, Ruben Gallego, Republican Kari Lake, Ted Cruz, Colin Allred, ’, Erika Franklin Fowler, ” Fowler, FiveThirtyEight, Vavreck, John Sides, Christopher Warshaw, David Broockman, Ms, Willie Horton, George H.W, Bush, Hillary Clinton Organizations: Won, Harris Ads, Trump Other, ., Ind, Delaware ., W.Va, Trump Alaska Fla, AdImpact, Comscore, Democratic, Republican, Google, Wesleyan Media, Democrat, Democrat Independent, Neb . Ohio Texas Ariz, Democrats ’, Senate, Wesleyan University, Democrat Republican, Pa, Colo ., Colo, Iowa, Health, Harris Trump Immigration, Security, ’, Republicans, Mr Locations: Maine, . Vt, Minn, N.Y, Conn, Mich, Wis . Iowa Ohio, . Pa, R.I . Ill, Del, Mo, Ky . Va . Md, N.C, Tenn, Ark, New Jersey, Delaware, S.C . Miss ., La, Fla, Georgia, Trump . Montana, Mont, N.D, Ore . Idaho, Neb, Nev . Utah Colo, Calif, Kan, Ariz . Texas Alaska Hawaii Montana, N.H . Vt, Ore, Idaho, S.D, Wis, Wyo, R.I . Iowa Ohio, Delaware . Ind, Ill . Utah Colo, Mo . Kan . Va . Ky . Md, N.M, Okla . Tenn, . Ala, Texas, Trump . Hawaii, Mass, S.D . Mich, Wyo . Iowa Ohio, Nev . Ill, Ind . Utah Colo, Mo . Kan, Texas La, Alaska Fla, Hawaii, Ala, Ariz . Texas Alaska Hawaii, Trump’s, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, — Montana , Ohio, Pa . Wis . Ohio, . Texas, Nev, Neb . Ohio, Pa, Arizona, Alaska, Iowa, Va, Berkeley, Siena

“Just to both of us getting frustrated.”Therein lies the problem: Gentle parenting is proving to be too hard on many parents. One study published in July found that over 40% of self-identified gentle parents teeter toward burnout and self-doubt because of the pressure to meet parenting standards. A wave of think pieces called gentle parenting “too gentle” of a practice that required a parent to turn into a “self-renouncing, perpetually present humanoid.”The gentle parenting philosophy, said Pezalla, is largely a social media trend with no scholarship to back it up. Enter gentle parenting. In theory, gentle parenting has great values to apply to parenting practices — speak kindly and honor connections.

Persons: Lauren Eaton Spencer, Noah, Spencer, ”, ” Spencer, There’s, Annie Pezalla, Emily Oster, Vivek Murthy, Sarah Ockwell, Smith, gentleparenting, “, Dr, Kenneth Ginsburg, overindulgent, Ginsburg, it’s, Diana Baumrind, —, Becky Kennedy’s, disciplining, Mariah Maddox, Maddox, Nate, we’re, Loly Spencer, ” “, Pezalla, “ We’ve Organizations: Macalester College, Star, Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Parent, NBC News, Pew, University of North Locations: Katy , Texas, influencers, U.S, Lucas County , Ohio, University of North Texas, “

☆ Newest 'Queer Eye' Fab Five member Jeremiah Brent went from being homeless to a successful interior designer
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Olivia Singh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Interior designer Jeremiah Brent will star in season nine of "Queer Eye," premiering in December. AdvertisementJeremiah Brent is a renowned interior designer, TV personality, author, podcaster, and now, one of the Fab Five on season nine of Netflix's "Queer Eye." After working as a styling associate for Zoe, Brent launched his own design firm, Jeremiah Brent Design (JBD), in 2011. Brent said there's 'no drama' with his 'Queer Eye' costarsBrent was already friends with "Queer Eye" fashion expert France prior to landing a spot on the show. In an interview with House Beautiful, published in March, Brent spoke positively about his experience with his "Queer Eye" costars.

Persons: Jeremiah Brent, Brent, Rachel Zoe Project, —, Bobby Berk's, Jonathan van Ness, Karamo Brown, Antoni Porowski, Tan, Kelly Clarkson, Oprah Winfrey, Drew Barrymore, Zoe, Stefanie Keenan, Rachel Zoe, Jeremiah Brent Design, He's, Nate Berkus, Berkus, Poppy, Oskar, there's, Berk, Porowski, I've Organizations: Service, Covenant, Covenant House, Entertainment, Netflix Locations: LA, Tan France, Las Vegas, Modesto , California, Los Angeles, Covenant House Los Angeles, California, Hollywood, NYC, Manhattan, surrogates, France, Porowski

☆ Goldfish is changing its name to ‘Chilean Sea Bass.’ Here’s why
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( Jordan Valinsky | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Goldfish crackers are synonymous with hungry kids, but the company is betting that a sophisticated name change could expand that audience. The Pepperidge Farm snack brand is tweaking its name for a limited time to “Chilean Sea Bass,” a more grown-up title, the Campbell’s Company announced Wednesday. So, as a playful reminder, we went ahead and gave our iconic cheddar cracker a new, fun, grown-up name,” Danielle Brown, vice president of Goldfish, told CNN. But the Chilean Sea Bass snacks won’t appear on shelves: Bags featuring the branding are only being sold online beginning Wednesday and just for one week. Pepperidge Farm launched Goldfish in the United States in 1962 initially aimed at adults as a bar snack.

Persons: Gen Z, ”, they’re, ” Danielle Brown, Nate Rosen, Campbell, snacking, ” Rosen Organizations: New, New York CNN, Campbell’s Company, CNN, Express Locations: New York, snacking, Chilean, United States, upstarts, Utah

Elon Musk’s daily $1 million lottery for registered swing state voters who sign his super PAC’s petition falls into a legal gray area and could potentially violate election law, three experts told NBC News. Paying someone to vote or to register to vote is explicitly illegal under federal law. “This is at best very questionable legally,” said Michael Morse, an assistant professor of law at the University of Pennsylvania Carey Law School. But none of the experts who spoke with NBC News believed law enforcement is likely to stop the lottery or fine Musk before the election. “You can only register to vote in Pennsylvania until today.

Persons: “, ”, John Fortier, Elon Musk, Michael Swensen, Michael Morse, ” “ I’ve, Nate Persily, it’s, Musk, Rick Hasen, Hasen, Justice Department’s, it’s “, Josh Shapiro, Morse, Trump, Kristine Fishell, Penn Organizations: Elon, NBC News, Musk’s America PAC, America PAC, American Enterprise Institute, NBC, University of Pennsylvania Carey Law School, “, Stanford Law School, Musk’s PAC, UCLA School of, Democracy, Justice, ”, ” Pennsylvania Gov, Press Sunday, Department, Justice Department, Pennsylvania, Federal, Trump, Republican, New York Times Locations: Pittsburgh, ” Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Michigan

☆ We are 15 days from the 2024 presidential election. Here's where things stand.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

The presidential race remains razor close, with control of the White House at a coin-flip. AdvertisementIn just over two weeks, Election Day 2024 will be here — a final cap to a wild, at times unprecedented presidential fight that, for the moment, remains far too close to call. Noted election forecaster Nate Silver's model now shows Trump with an extremely slight lead in what continues to remain a toss-up race. Harris trolled Trump on Friday for being "exhausted," referencing a string of interviews he has reportedly walked away from. In the overwhelmingly conservative state, there's a swing district, the Omaha-based Nebraska 2nd.

Persons: —, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, iecuUVyJ5e, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Harris, Mark Robinson, Nate Silver's, Harris trolled Trump, Trump, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, She's, Mark Cuban, Liz Cheney, Obama, Bruce Springsteen, Clinton, Bon Jovi, He's, It's, Melania Trump, night's Al Smith, Mike Pence, cohosts, Nikki Haley, Elon Musk, Musk, Spencer Platt, Mary, there's, There's, Biden, Trump's, Warren Buffett's Organizations: Service, White, Labor, RCP, Trump, Gov, The New York Times, Democrats, GOP, Capitol, Fox, Tesla, PAC, Getty, Pennsylvania, North Carolina —, Democratic, Electoral, Nebraska, Nebraska Republicans Locations: North Carolina, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Siena, Georgia, Des Moines , Iowa, Philadelphia, New York, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Maine , Nebraska, Omaha, Minnesota , New Hampshire, New Mexico, Arizona

“The polls — public and private — are closer in this election than any I have ever seen,” said Dan Pfeiffer, a former aide to Barack Obama. Republican pollster Frank Luntz summed up the election with a single gif: A coin flip. The Trump era brought a return of uncertainty after most pollsters and prognosticators missed his 2016 victory, and 2024 is the narrowest polling election of all three of his runs. In 2020, the data correctly predicted Joe Biden’s victory, but Trump came much closer than many expected. “This race is remarkable for its closeness but also the insane stability of polls here in the closing weeks,” said Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson.

Persons: James Carville, ”, “, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Dan Pfeiffer, Barack Obama, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, Tim Malloy, ” “ It’s, ” Nate Silver, Republican pollster Frank Luntz, Matt Gorman, “ It’s, Bush, Gore, Gorman, “ There’s, Hope, decamping, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama’s, John McCain, Trump, prognosticators, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden’s, Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray, ” Murray, Obama, underestimating Harris, gaffes, pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, Harris, Carville Organizations: Democratic, NBC, Republican, Quinnipiac University, Supreme, Trump, Monmouth University, Electoral College Locations: Manhattan, Florida, Erie County, Pennsylvania

☆ Man's death initially reported as bear attack investigated as 'vicious' homicide
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Marlene Lenthang | Marlene Lenthang Is A Breaking News Reporter For Nbc News Digital. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +3 min

A gruesome death that was initially reported to be a bear attack is now being investigated by Montana authorities as a vicious homicide. The Gallatin County Sheriff’s Office in Montana received a call around 10 a.m. Saturday regarding the discovery of a dead man in a tent 2.5 miles up Moose Creek Road. The caller indicated that the death may have been caused by a bear attack. Evidence gathered through an autopsy further indicated that this was a homicide,” the sheriff’s office said. Authorities described the incident as a “vicious attack” and said detectives are working to develop and track down leads.

Persons: Dustin Mitchell Kjersem, ”, “, Kjersem, Nate Kamerman, Kamerman, It’s, Sheriff Dan Springer, Springer, ” Springer, Jillian Price Organizations: Gallatin County Sheriff’s, Moose, Montana Department of Fish, Montana Department of Fish , Wildlife, Parks, Authorities, Sheriff, Gallatin County Sheriff's Locations: Montana, Gallatin County, Belgrade , Montana, Montana Department of Fish ,, Moose, Bozeman

☆ Opinion | The 21 Slivers of America That Could Decide the Election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Patrick Ruffini | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +7 min

Opinion Guest Essay The 21 Slivers of America That Could Decide the Election Sebastian Siadecki for The New York TimesIn almost every presidential battleground state, polling suggests something close to a dead heat between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. For Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump, each could be a crucial building block in a winning swing-state coalition. In 2016, with Mr. Trump in the race, these areas began to march to national trends: Rural areas trended Republican, while Milwaukee’s well-off, close-in suburbs zoomed left. Still, loyalties remain potent in Wisconsin, from Democratic-leaning, ancestrally Scandinavian voters in the state’s rural west to middle-class suburban Republicans outside Milwaukee. Mr. Trump lost Nash County by just 0.2 points in 2020 and Wilson County by three points.

Persons: Sebastian Siadecki, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump ., Harris, Trump, Nate Silver’s, Joe Biden, Badger State . Arizona Battlegrounds, Mark Kelly, Biden, Trump’s, Patrick Ruffini Organizations: The New York Times, Pennsylvania, Keystone, Philadelphia, Democratic, Milwaukee —, Washington, Mr, Republican, Republicans, Milwaukee, Badger State, Senate, Northampton, “ Party of, Populist Coalition Locations: America, Pennsylvania, Appalachia, Philadelphia, Philadelphia’s, . Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Milwaukee — Waukesha, Ozaukee, Badger, Badger State . Arizona, Arizona, Phoenix, Florida and Texas, . North Carolina, North Carolina, Southern, Nash, Rocky, Wilson, Wilson County, Nash County, Northampton, Erie, Bethlehem, Georgia, Brown County, Green Bay, Outagamie County, Appleton, Winnebago County, Oshkosh, Maricopa County

☆ GOP megadonors open their wallets for Trump: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +10 min

Three Senate Democratic candidates — Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown, Maryland’s Angela Alsobrooks and Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin — raised more than four times as much as their Republican opponents during that period. In 2016, Trump lost the core Democratic states by 22 points, and in 2020, he lost them by 24 points. In this most recent poll, Trump was losing the core Democratic states by only 13 points. In 2016, Trump won the core GOP states by 18 points, and in 2020, his margin in the red states was 16 points. Read more → Follow live coverage from the campaign trail →That’s all from the Politics Desk for now.

Persons: Ben Kamisar, Bridget Bowman, Chuck Todd, Ben Kamisar Republican megadonors, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Miriam Adelson, Sheldon Adelson, Elon Musk, Marc Andreesen, Ben Horowitz, Ike Perlmutter, Richard Uihlein, Adelson, Harris, Musk, Trump, Horowitz, Perlmutter, Lara, Uihlein, Read, Ben →, lissa, ince, arris, huck, rena, huck →, hal, bate, Ted C Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Electoral, Trump, Ben Kamisar Republican, Dallas Mavericks, Tesla, Marvel, Preserve, America, America PAC, Restoration PAC, Wisconsin Senate, Congressional, Trump MAGA Inc Locations: Preserve America, Maine, ried, ote

In the most recent NBC News poll, 54% of respondents say they disapprove of the job Biden is doing. In fact, Biden is now more personally unpopular than either Harris or Trump. Between now and Election Day, I do expect Harris to find more ways to differentiate herself from Biden. If that’s a Biden “hangover” that ends up hurting Trump more than Biden, it means team Harris effectively weaponized his age. In this most recent poll, Trump was losing the core Democratic states by only 13 points.

Persons: Biden, Joe Biden’s, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, —, couldn’t, Biden isn’t, it’s, Let’s, Harris, haven’t, “, ”, John Kerry, Kerry, George W, Trump, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Richard Nixon, Hubert Humphrey, Al Gore, Gore, Humphrey, Nixon, that’s, Nate Cohn Organizations: White House, Biden, NBC, GOP, Democratic, Trump, The New York Times, Electoral College, Electoral Locations: Iraq, George H.W .

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