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"Even if the fighting spreads beyond Israel and the Palestinian territories, it is unlikely to result in a prolonged oil price spike" they predicted. "There are tangible signs that high oil prices amplified by surging borrowing costs and depreciating EM currencies began to erode fuel consumption." In addition, oil prices rarely experienced long-term turmoil during most of Israel's past conflicts, JPMorgan said. "Eventually, oil prices tended to gradually stabilize and decline, resulting in Brent actually trading at a discount to its fundamentally-derived fair value. Only the 1973 Yom Kippur war saw longer lasting impacts, given that it led to a Saudi oil embargo against the US.
Persons: , Brent, JPMorgan doesn't, haven't Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, UAE haven't Locations: Israel, Taiwan, Thailand, Japan, South Korea, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, 4Q23, Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Saudi, Northern Iraq
BUENOS AIRES, Argentina (AP) — Argentina’s firebrand populist presidential candidate Javier Milei, the front-runner to win the election later this month, is coming under fire from his rivals who blame him for a sharp depreciation of the local currency in the parallel market. Milei has continued to tout his controversial plan for dollarization of the South American country’s economy. With a little less than two weeks to go before the Oct. 22 presidential election, the Argentine peso has sharply depreciated over the past week. Milei, an anti-establishment candidate who admires former U.S. President Donald Trump, has said he wants to replace the peso with the dollar and says Argentina’s Central Bank should be abolished. Milei’s opponents in the presidential race sharply criticized his words, saying he’s fomenting a run on the peso.
Persons: , Javier Milei, Milei, Donald Trump, , ” Ramiro Marra, Milei’s, Sergio Massa, ” Patricia Bullrich, , ” Milei Organizations: Argentine, U.S, Bank, Buenos, , Union, Homeland, United Locations: BUENOS AIRES, Argentina, Argentine, Buenos Aires, Milei’s, Massa
Attractive returns and the breadth of opportunities are among the many reasons the U.S. has long reigned supreme for investors. In terms of countries, Japan looks to offer the best combination of earnings growth, cheap valuations and policy support," Tom Stevenson, investment director at Fidelity International, told CNBC Pro. "Japanese shares are trading on around 15 times this year's expected earnings and 14 times earnings two years out," he said. "There has been some increase in this multiple during the recent rally in Japanese shares, but they remain relatively cheap compared to the U.S. which trades on around 20 times earnings." Among his choices is the Baillie Gifford Japanese Fund, which he describes as a "growth-focused fund run by an experienced manager."
Persons: Tom Stevenson, Daniel Hurley, Rowe Price, Stevenson, TRP's Hurley, Fidelity's Stevenson, Hurley, Baillie Gifford Organizations: Fidelity International, CNBC, CNBC Pro, Japan, Tokyo Exchange Group, Stock, Japan's, Bank of Japan, Sony, Astella Pharmaceuticals, Fund, Schroder Japan Trust, SoftBank, SBI Holdings, Hitachi, Nippon Gas, Toyota, Japan IMI Locations: Japan, U.S
[1/2] A South Korea won note is seen in this illustration photo May 31, 2017. South Korean companies repatriated a record $33.13 billion of overseas earnings during the January-July period, 6.3 times the amount a year earlier, central bank data on current account balances showed. "The coming home of earnings retained abroad has been a big help for the won," a government official in charge of foreign exchange market said, asking not to be named due to internal policy. The automaker said on June 12 it plans to invest 7.8 trillion won ($5.82 billion) of retained earnings from overseas operations this year in electric car factories at home. The surge in repatriation also comes ahead of trading reforms planned for next year, when South Korea will extend onshore trading hours until 2 a.m. to improve access for foreign investors.
Persons: Thomas White, Yoon Suk, Hong Sung, kook, Min Gyeong, 1,340.7400, Jihoon Lee, Cynthia Kim, Joyce Lee, Heekyong Yang, Vidya Ranganathan Organizations: South, REUTERS, Rights, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor, Kia Corp, Reuters Graphics Bank of Korea, Woori Bank, Hyundai, Hyundai Motor Group, Shinhan Bank, Yena, Thomson Locations: South Korea, Rights SEOUL, Korea
Gold prices edge up ahead of likely Fed rate pause
  + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Bars of gold are seen at Krastsvetmet, one of the world's largest producers of precious metals, in Moscow, January 31, 2023. Gold prices edged higher on Monday as investors priced in a pause in interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve at its policy meeting this week, with a focus on the U.S. central bank's rate outlook. Asian shares fell, making gold more attractive for investors ahead of policy decisions by the Fed on Wednesday, Bank of England on Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday. Gold, which offers no yield, tends to fall out of favor among investors when interest rates rise. Chinese gold prices hit record highs last week, extending a months-long rally as consumers snap up the safe-haven asset to offset a depreciating yuan.
Persons: Tim Waterer, won't Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Fed, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, KCM Trade, Securities Locations: Moscow
Spot gold was flat at $1,923.40 per ounce by 09:59 a.m. EDT (1359 GMT). Non-yielding gold tends to fall out of favour among investors when interest rates rise. [USD/Chinese gold prices hit record highs last week, extending a months-long rally as consumers snap up the safe-haven asset to offset a depreciating yuan. "While the developments in China are worth watching, we currently do not believe that this will change the outlook for the gold market," said Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke. Reporting by Brijesh Patel and Anjana Anil in Bengaluru; Editing by Krishna Chandra EluriOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Edward Moya, CME's, Kazuo Ueda, Julius Baer, Carsten Menke, Brijesh Patel, Anjana Anil, Krishna Chandra Organizations: Wednesday, U.S . Federal Reserve, The Bank of, U.S, Treasury, Thomson Locations: requisitions, The Bank of England, China, Bengaluru
But by January of this year, faced with rising rent, increased taxes and financing constraints, he closed it down. The government of Nicolas Maduro relaxed currency controls in 2019, allowing more transactions in dollars despite U.S. sanctions. The move led to a slight recovery in 2021 and 2022 after eight years of economic collapse and the migration of some 7.3 million Venezuelans. 'NO BUYING CAPACITY'Other businesses which have survived said they were slashing prices, salaries and profit margins to stay afloat. "Structural economic problems like scarce credit, an absence of recovery in public utilities, among others, were not resolved."
Persons: Enrique Perrella, Nicolas Maduro, Maduro, Yaner Fung, Fung, Ecoanalitica, Jesus Palacios, Migdalia Uviedo, Ivan Puerta, restaurateurs, Giulio Gallucci, Mayela Armas, Keren Torres, Tibisay Romero, Johnny Carvajal, Julia Symmes Cobb, Vivian Sequera, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: Venezuelan Finance Observatory, Retailers, Restaurants, Thomson Locations: CARACAS, Caracas, Barquisimeto, Valencia, Ecoanalitica, Mexican
Ruined rice crops in India's Haryana state. More than three billion people worldwide rely on rice as a staple food and India contributed to about 40% of global rice exports. India's rice stock is piling up as a result of the ban. Vijay Bedi/CNNAt one of New Delhi’s largest rice trading hubs, there are fears among traders that the export ban will cause catastrophic consequences. “The export ban has left traders with huge amounts of stock,” said rice trader Roopkaran Singh.
Persons: India CNN — Satish Kumar, “ I’ve, , Kumar, Vijay Bedi, Niño, ” Kumar, ” Satish Kumar, Ukraine —, ” Arif Husain, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, ” Husain, , CNN Surjit Singh, Harayana, , El Niño, Roopkaran Singh, Husain Organizations: India CNN, CNN, United Nations Food, Agriculture Organization, India wasn’t, United Nations, Food Programme, ” Workers, Thai Rice, Association, India’s Ministry of Agriculture, Monetary Fund, Farmers, Reuters, Meteorological Organization Locations: Harayana, India, India’s Haryana, , India's Haryana, Ukraine, Global South, United States, Russia, Rice, New Delhi, CNN Nepal, Vietnam, Thailand, Thai, Singapore, Indonesia, Philippines, El, India’s, West Africa
The numbers portray a stalling economy, but there is a far more profound concern. Chinese consumers and businesses are losing confidence that their government has the ability to recognize and fix the economy’s deep-seated problems. If President Xi Jinping’s government doesn’t tackle this fundamental issue, any other measures will have little impact in arresting the downward spiral. This confidence problem is apparent in the tepid private investment and weak household consumption over the past year. The worrying cognitive dissonance between the government and entrepreneurs became apparent during a recent trip I took to China.
Persons: Xi Organizations: Chinese Communist Party, Technology, Ant, Entrepreneurs Locations: China, United States, Beijing
FILE PHOTO: A board showing currency exchange rates of the U.S. dollar and euro against Russian rouble is on display in a street in Moscow, Russia, August 12, 2023. By 1510 GMT, the rouble was 1% stronger against the dollar at 98.45 , firming back below the 100 threshold. Stocks on Monday briefly hit their highest since before Moscow launched what it calls a “special military operation” in Ukraine, before falling back. The rouble-based MOEX Russian index was 0.1% higher at 3,157.1 points. A trader at a large Russian bank told Reuters the market was confused: “Everyone is ready for the inflow of revenues from expensive oil, but it seems to be hanging somewhere, and our regulators are somehow indifferent, there is nothing to rely on.”
Persons: Evgenia, Vladimir Putin’s, , firming, Stocks, Yulia Goldina, ” Goldina, , Brent Organizations: Reuters, U.S ., Russian, REUTERS, Investments, Sinara Investment Bank, BCS Locations: Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Russian
Brian Trautman has spent the past 14 years living on a 53-foot sailboat, sailing to 46 countries. I gave my business partners my year's notice in 2008 and started selling everything to buy a sailboat. Starting my lifelong sailing adventureI bought SV Delos, a 53-foot Amel Super Maramu sailboat, for $390,000 in 2008. We left the boat with my brother and his girlfriend, who continued to sail Delos across the Atlantic to Antigua. When she was 4 months old, all three of us flew back to Antigua to reboard Delos and sail the Caribbean.
Persons: Brian Trautman, Trautman, I'd, Karin, Trautman's, SV Delos merch, we've, We've, Delos merch, Brian Trautman Karin, Karin's, Sierra Trautman, reboard Delos, we'd, Sierra Organizations: Service, Microsoft, SV Delos, Delos, YouTube Locations: Wall, Silicon, Seattle, Caribbean, Redmond, New Zealand, Auckland, South, Fiji, Sweden, Delos, Antigua, Florida, reboard, Mexico, Fatu, Polynesia, Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Madagascar
Japan market rally fails to mask Nomura’s woes
  + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
It also powered a near-fivefold increase in pre-tax earnings at the bank’s retail unit from the same period last year. Nomura’s own stock has also benefitted, though its 20% rise this year to a two-year high lags the broader market. And the rally did nothing to fix the abysmal underperformance at its mainstay wholesale division. Revenue at the unit that comprises the volatile investment banking and trading businesses fell 4% to 191 billion yen ($1.3 billion). They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Nomura, Morgan Stanley, Kentaro Okuda, Steve Cohen, Antony Currie, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Revenue, Global, Twitter, Sequoia, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, India
The principle is that nature is an unpaid worker providing services, like carbon sequestration, soil retention, water filtration, replenishing raw materials and more. It is providing an invisible subsidy to world economies. Take carbon pricing. Poor countries that have abundant natural resources are loaning their economic resources, like the carbon-sequestering value of their rainforests, to rich countries without compensation. Why add such a pricing structure when economies can exploit nature for free?
Persons: John Kerry, ” It’s Organizations: Democratic, Resilience Locations: Democratic Republic of, Congo
A second metric the firm uses is the difference in weighted compete score, which measures the direction the market is trending in. It's based on a year-over-year change in the overall compete score. A good way to look at the data is by considering both the overall score and the changing score. Marr says investors should pay more attention to the difference in the compete score, and specifically, areas that are facing steep increases versus declines. Below is a list of June's year-over-year difference in weighted compete score listed from lowest to highest positive change and the overall weighted compete score.
Persons: Taylor Marr, Marr, it's Organizations: MLS, Boston Locations: East, Redfin, It's, Lake County , Illinois, Chicago, Austin, Nashville, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Montgomery County, Columbus, Baltimore, Elgin, IL, Louis, Camden, NJ, Akron, York, NY, Providence, RI, Madison, WI, Haven, Newark , NJ, Bridgeport, County, Hartford, Milwaukee, Cincinnati
Reuters GraphicsBut the boost in the bonds belies the difficulties both nations face implementing major reforms once new leaders arrive after upcoming elections. Pakistan's 11th hour deal for $3 billion from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), after months of talks got official approval this week. Saudi Arabia and the UAE followed with $2 billion and $1 billion infusions. This fresh cash means Pakistan is unlikely to default on its debt in the next six to nine months, said de Sousa. Investors and pollsters said the tough times could force Pakistan and Argentina's leaders to reckon with needed fiscal reforms.
Persons: Carlos de Sousa, de Sousa, JPMorgan, Roberto H, Sifon Arevalo, refinance, Jimena Blanco, pollsters, Alejandro Catterberg, Sergio Massa, Horacio Rodriguez Larreta, Patricia Bullrich, Javier Milei, Shamaila Khan, Libby George, Jorgelina, Rodrigo Campos, Karin Strohecker, Toby Chopra Organizations: JPMorgan, Vontobel Asset Management, International Monetary Fund, UAE, Elections, Pakistan, P, Reuters, Peronist, Asia Pacific, UBS Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Pakistan, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Beijing, Buenos Aires, Asia, Rosario
Morning Bid: Bland China data leaves market hungry for stimulus
  + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The Q2 GDP number of +0.8% q/q just pipped forecasts, but y/y undershot at 6.3% suggesting revisions somewhere to the past. The market reaction was disgruntled with Chinese shares down and the yuan easing. The data underlined the need for much more serious fiscal spending but Beijing seems in no hurry to satiate market wishes this time. The central bank left one-year rates unchanged on Monday, and analysts seem resigned to wait for a Politburo meeting later this month for fresh steps. Goldman Sachs says passive funds that track NDX will rebalance their portfolios but the 2011 special rebalance experience suggests the stock-level impact will be limited.
Persons: Wayne Cole, BofA, Goldman Sachs, Fabio Panetta, Christine Lagarde, Frank Elderson, Philip R, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Investors, Aussie, Tesla, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Finance Ministers, Central Bank Governors, ECB, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Manufacturing Survey, Thomson Locations: Wayne, China, Beijing, 4ppt, Gandhinagar, India, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
July 14 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Together, the fall in the dollar's value and U.S. bond yields is a potent loosening of financial conditions for global markets, particularly emerging markets. MSCI's World stock index jumped more than 1% on Thursday to its highest since April last year. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also hit fresh 15-month highs, and the MSCI Asia ex-Japan index jumped more than 2%. The broadest index of Asia and Pacific shares is now up 5% this week, firmly on course for its best week since November.
Persons: Jamie McGeever, Premier Li Qiang, Josie Kao Organizations: Investors, Nasdaq, Premier, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Singapore, Asia, Japan, Pacific, Japanese, China, Beijing, India
A jump in the number of people working part-time for economic reasons also suggested a weaker labor market, but the pace of job growth remains strong and with inflation still double the Fed's target rate, a rate hike this month is likely. "The Fed is being hawkish and that prevents the dollar from depreciating too much. After the jobs data, futures pointed to an 88.8% probability that the Fed hikes in three weeks. Adding a tailwind to the rally in the yen was some position-squaring among speculators, who have built up sizeable bearish positions, Hardman said. The Australian dollar rose 0.8% to $0.6681, but it is still battered by weak Chinese economic data and broad risk aversion.
Persons: Joe Manimbo, We're, Thierry Wizman, They've, Lee Hardman, Hardman, YEN, Herbert Lash, Amanda Cooper, Rae Wee, Sam Holmes, Mark Potter, Barbara Lewis, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Federal Reserves, Labor Department, Treasury, ECB, Strong U.S, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: U.S, Japan, New York, London, Singapore
In some ways, China and Japan are joined at the hip. As beggar-thy-neighbor foreign exchange depreciation pressures bubble up across Asia, the attraction of a weaker exchange rate grows. In terms of bilateral trade between China and Japan, the attraction is equally clear. China is Japan's largest trading partner, Japan is China's third-largest individual nation trading partner, and bilateral trade is worth around $370 billion annually. Remarkably, the yen has depreciated 25% against the yuan over the last three years, giving corporate Japan a substantial competitive advantage over China Inc.
Persons: Steven Englander, Brad Setser, Jamie McGeever Organizations: Reuters, U.S, Asian Development Bank, Standard Chartered, Finance, Bank for International, China Inc, of Foreign Relations, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, Japan, China, Asia, East Asia, Beijing
Our experts answer readers' credit card questions and write unbiased product reviews (here's how we assess credit cards). Credit card usage is on the rise as inflation lingers and consumers lean on credit to make ends meet. In response to this increased usage, credit card issuers are stepping up their offerings in anticipation of increased originations. Before you add a credit card to your wallet, ask yourself these questions to make sure a credit card is right for you. Credit card debt can be the most expensive debt that you carry.
Persons: , TransUnion, delinquencies Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Within five years of moving to Europe, businessman Douglas Loewe "fell in love" with Barcelona, he said. The main living area of Loewe's apartment in Barcelona, called Aribau 133 Sobre Atic. In total, Loewe said he spent about 250,000 euros on the renovation. Douglas LoeweLocated "around the corner" of the apartment is tapas restaurant Paco Meralgo, which is "a Barcelona institution," Loewe said. Douglas Loewe
Persons: Douglas Loewe, Loewe, , Matthew Coe, Coe, , Leon Rosen, Paco Meralgo, " Coe Organizations: Macquarie, VistaFutura Associates, Pace, Familia, Foreigners Locations: Europe, Barcelona, Manhattan, Rosen's, Tibidabo, Spain, U.S, Denver, Chicago, Miami, Barcelona's, Asia, Pacific
He is missing and presumed dead, according to his brother, highlighting the perils faced by people who seek to enter Europe illegally. Cash-strapped Pakistan's $350 billion economy is in a meltdown, with inflation at a record 38%. Pakistan's information ministry did not respond to questions from Reuters about economic factors fuelling migration. 3 nationality registered in Italy coming from Libya, after Egyptians and Bangladeshis, a Frontex spokesperson told Reuters in an email. At least 209 Pakistanis were believed to be on board, according to official data based on information provided by relatives.
Persons: Muhammad Sarwar Bhatti, Hameed Iqbal Bhatti, Salahuddin, Bhatti, Hafeez Pasha, Muhammad Nadeem, Nadeem, Kosar Bibi, Bibi, Sarwar Warraich, Muhammad Zubair, Muhammad Nazim, Nazim, Muhammad Ali, Anish Raza, Haji Ilyas, Ilyas, puffing, Israr Mirza, Mirza, Gibran Peshimam, Ariba Shahid, David Crawshaw Organizations: Reuters, REUTERS, Cash, Federal Investigation Agency, FIA, OF, International Monetary Fund, Migrant Resource Centre, College, Thomson Locations: Greece, Khuiratta, Pakistan, Kashmir, Saudi Arabia, Europe, Libya, Italy, Gujrat, Italian, Ferrara, Turkey, Bhojpur, Gujrat district, Spain, EU, Lahore, Islamabad
China's yuan is at the lowest since 2022 by traditional metrics as economic growth has disappointed. But one measure of its real effective rate puts the currency at the lowest since 2014. "So valuation-wise, renminbi is starting to look cheap," a Macquarie foreign exchange strategist said. However, expectations of economic stimulus from Beijing could lift the yuan, Trang added. That's due in part to relatively low volatility in currency markets and the yuan's gradual slope downward, she said.
Persons: renminbi, , Trang Organizations: Macquarie, Service, China Foreign Exchange Trade, People's Bank of China, Bank of International, Macquarie Group, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, greenback Locations: Beijing, China
CNN —One golf fan has found an unusual way to bypass having to pay for beers at the PGA Championship this week – take a Joel Dahmen tee shot to the leg. When told each beer cost $17, Dahmen handed over $100 for some refreshments, McGuire said, with the tweet showing the duo posing for pictures with the bill. Shoutout to @Joel_Dahmen for hitting my calf with a tee shot today on hole #1! “I’m a middle of the road PGA Tour player,” Dahmen explained. 108 enjoyed a strong end to 2022 but has endured a tough start to the current season, missing the cut in four of his last seven PGA Tour appearances.
MUMBAI, May 17 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee hit a more-than-six-week low against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, in line with the decline in other Asian currencies that tracked the fall in the Chinese yuan after weak economic data. The rupee hit 82.4425 against the U.S. dollar, its lowest since April 3, during the session, before recovering to close up 0.21% at 82.38. The weak economic print from China has weighed on Asian currencies, said Dilip Parmar, research analyst at HDFC Securities. Parmar doesn't expect the Reserve Bank of India to intervene at the current levels as other Asian currencies have started depreciating and the dollar index is strengthening. Domestic economic data points like easing inflation and improved external currencies have mostly come in support of the local currency.
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