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With nearly three-fourths of the S & P 500 reporting second-quarter results, the earnings picture for the back half of the year is looking unusually complicated. It's been a 'meh' quarter so far We have the usual beat on bottom-line earnings, but revenue beats are below expectations. Most companies are beating on earnings estimates but are declining to hike full-year guidance beyond the beat. Plenty of complaints about a slowing China consumer A weak China economy has been a significant headwind for a number of global companies this season. Procter & Gamble's China sales tumbled 8% from a year ago as consumer spending slowed.
Persons: It's, Sherwin, Williams, Lockheed Martin, Chipotle, Isaac, CDW, Clorox, – Hershey, Kraft Heinz, Mondelez, General Mills, Smucker, McDonald's, Wendy's, Bob, Wyndham, Mills, Marriott, LVMH, haven't Organizations: GE Aerospace, Hasbro, Lockheed, Verizon, Mattel, IBM, Juniper Networks, Enphase Energy, NXP Semiconductors, Accenture, Oracle, Procter, Gamble, PepsiCo, ConAgra Brands, Bank of America, MGM Resorts, Comcast, Marriott, Airlines, Allegiant, Ryanair, Gamble's, Starbucks, Visa, Nike, Vegas Sands Locations: J.M, Atlantic City, China, Gamble's China, Greater China, Japan, Macao, Marina, Sands, Singapore
IHOP is bringing back $5 all-you-can-eat pancakes
  + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Erika Tulfo | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
CNN —It’s a summer for single-digit dollar deals as IHOP and Denny’s join other big-name food chains in offering value menu options. IHOP announced this week that it is bringing back its $5 all-you-can-eat pancake deal. IHOP announced the same promotion with much fanfare around the same time last summer as part of its 65-year anniversary. He says that IHOP’s dine-in only deal is meant to spur customers into returning to stores. “As a restaurateur, you hope that they’re not just taking advantage of the deal, they’re buying extras, they’re adding on sausages or some other breakfast meat.”
Persons: CNN —, Denny’s, IHOP, Taco, , David Henkes, Henkes, IHOP’s, they’re Organizations: CNN, Taco Bell, KFC, McDonalds Locations: Technomic
The stock market is facing several issues: a tech re-rating, a slower economy, a seasonally weak period and an uncertain presidential outcome. Big cap tech is getting re-rated This is what happens when the market gets top-heavy in technology. Prices for megacap tech stocks have run up dramatically in hopes of outsized earnings. Regardless, investors have been re-rating tech stocks for many weeks now. Technology stocks have been toppy for some time.
Persons: Sundar Pichai, he'd, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Matt Bartolini, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, Trump Organizations: Technology, Cloud Computing, Semiconductor, P Technology, X Social Media, Semiconductors, Micron, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, State, Trump, Democratic Locations: SPDR Americas
Understanding the Federal Reserve's role in mortgage ratesThe Federal Reserve's actions are a big influencer in where mortgage rates head. In the time since the Fed began raising rates, mortgage rates have climbed steadily. The Fed's impact on mortgage rates FAQsHow does the Federal Reserve affect mortgage rates? The Federal Reserve influences mortgage rates by setting the federal funds rate, which impacts borrowing costs, investor activity, and market conditions. When the Fed raises interest rates, mortgage rates often increase as well, making borrowing more expensive.
Persons: Michael Gifford, Fannie Mae's Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, it's, Mortgage Bankers Association, Reserve, Chevron Locations: lockstep
Like other consumer rates, mortgage rates are impacted in large part by what's going on in the economy. This allowed mortgage rates to drop as low as they did, with 30-year mortgage rates reaching an all-time low of 2.65% in January 2021, according to Freddie Mac. Because mortgage rates are still so high, some hopeful homebuyers have decided to wait for lower rates to start shopping for homes. Mortgage rates in 2024: FAQsWill mortgage rates go down in 2024? All consumer interest rates, including mortgage rates, should start to ease as soon as inflation slows further.
Persons: Homebuyers, homebuyers, what's, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lawrence Yun, that's Organizations: Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics, NAR, National Association of Realtors, CNBC, Federal Housing Finance Agency, Veterans United, Loans, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association Locations: Chevron
Mega-cap tech stocks have a lot to prove with upcoming second-quarter earnings results. The long-term outperformance of mega-cap tech relative to small-cap stocks is being tested by slowing revenue growth. AdvertisementThe mega-cap tech rally hit a wall in recent weeks as investors turned their attention to small-cap stocks in a historic way. That's in stark contrast to the dominance of mega-cap tech stocks relative to small-cap stocks over the past one-, three-, five-, and ten-years. Investors will get their first taste of mega-cap tech earnings on Tuesday, with Tesla and Alphabet set to release their second-quarter results after the market close.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Russell, David Kostin, Kostin, That's Organizations: Service, Vanguard, Growth, Tech, Investors, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Nvidia, Big Tech, Trump
The four best-performing stocks in the S & P 500 year to date were down an average of 13.5% last week. .SPX 5D mountain The S & P 500's performance in the past five trading days. The anchoring effect of a persistently strong half-dozen $1-trillion to $3-trillion companies atop the S & P 500 while most stocks wallowed had the effect of suppressing index volatility. The S & P 500 is now about 3% off its record, and the Nasdaq 100 is in a roughly 5% retreat from its high. History says when the S & P 500 has been up more than 10% in the first half of a year , as in 2024, it has gone to further highs by year's end nearly every time.
Persons: Russell, Donald Trump, Cash, Parag Thatte, Thatte, Goldman Sachs, wallowed, Cantor Fitzgerald Organizations: Axonic Capital, Deutsche Bank, Nasdaq
While mortgage rates are most closely linked to 10-year Treasury bonds, they tend to move in tandem with the Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate. Consequently, a rate cut is likely to lower mortgage rates later this year. That's potentially good news for homebuyers, since interest rate cuts would likely make monthly mortgage payments a bit more affordable. Most major housing organizations expect mortgage rates to drop by the end of the year. Mortgage rate forecasts for the end of 2024 differ slightly.
Persons: Fannie Mae, Wells, Kevin McLoughlin Organizations: Federal, Traders, Mortgage, Association ., Federal Reserve Locations: Virginia
Regional bank stocks are breaking out, and they may be able to continue to climb even if second-quarter earnings results are modest. The SPDR S & P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) has risen for six straight trading sessions, and on Monday it closed at its highest level since December. KRE 1Y mountain This regional bank ETF is at its highest level since December. The group still trades below historical valuations more than a year after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, Bank of America said. Notable regional bank earnings reports this week include Citizens Financial Group on Wednesday, M & T Bank on Thursday and Fifth Third Bancorp on Friday.
Persons: Ebrahim Poonawala, Banks, Poonawala, Goldman, Ryan Nash, Nash, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: P Regional Bank ETF, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bank of America, Silicon Valley Bank, Western Alliance, WAL, York, Citizens Financial Group, T Bank, Fifth Third Bancorp Locations: Silicon
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley names Taiwan Semiconductor a catalyst driven idea Morgan Stanley said it said shares of the semis company have more room to run. " Morgan Stanley upgrades Chegg to equal weight from underweight Morgan Stanley said the risk/reward is balanced for the education company. Morgan Stanley upgrades Sweetgreen to equal weight from underweight Morgan Stanley said the restaurant chain's stock is starting to become compelling. Evercore ISI downgrades Yum and Starbucks to in line from outperform Evercore said in its downgrade of Yum and Starbucks that trends are softening. Evercore ISI reiterates Netflix as outperform Evercore said it's cautious heading into earnings later this week but that it's sticking with its outperform rating.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Wolfe, it's, Jefferies, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Baird, Tesla, Bernstein, TD Cowen, Lamar, Cowen, Goldman, Piper Sandler, Piper, Evercore, IBM Evercore, Shopify, Jeff Hoffmeister, Mizuho downgrades Palantir, PLTR, Oppenheimer, we'd Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor, Microsoft, Nvidia, Lamar Advertising, Nasdaq, TAM, Starbucks, Yum Brands, IBM, " Bank of America, of America, Mizuho, Bank of America, Broadcom, Evercore, Netflix, Bulls Locations: China
The US is still coming to grips with the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump. In today's big story, we examine the scrutiny the Secret Service is facing and what former special agents are saying about the tragedy . But that's not to say the Secret Service has avoided controversy over the last 40-plus years since the Reagan shooting. Secret Service agents converge on former President Donald Trump onstage at his Pennsylvania campaign rally. AdvertisementUltimately, another former Secret Service agent said the entire event represents a failure for Trump's security detail , BI's Matthew Loh and Cameron Manley report.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Joe Biden, Insider's Brent D, Griffiths, Katherine Tangalakis, Lauren Edmonds, Saturday, Ronald Reagan, that's, Reagan, Brent, Jabin, Thomas Matthew Crooks, BI's Rebecca Rommen, Crooks, BI's Laura Italiano, Kenneth Niemeyer, Matthew Loh, Cameron Manley, Trump, Corey Comperatore, Kirill Kudryavtsev, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Goldman Sachs, Michael M, Tyler Le, Jensen Huang, Elon Musk, Sam Altman's, Altman, Rebecca Zisser, Mickey Mouse, Hannah Montana, David, Nvidia's Goliath, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Lisa Ryan, Jack Sommers, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Secret Service, Washington, Getty, FBI, UC Berkeley, NDR, Nvidia, Elon, European, Swedish, Disney, YouTube, GOP, Convention Locations: Colombia, Pennsylvania, Trump, Russia, New York, London
Mortgage rates dropped last week and remain low today. This should remove a lot of upward pressure off of mortgage rates and allow them to trend down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates inched down to 6.17% last week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates increased dramatically over the last two years, but they're expected to go down at some point this year.
Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: May's, Chevron
Second quarter earnings season could trigger the most painful stock correction since 2022, according to NDR. AdvertisementHere's what investors should look out for during the second quarter earnings season, according to NDR. Therefore, it's not a matter of whether analysts will cut their second-half earnings growth estimates but rather by how much they will cut. "Management teams have guided the Q2 year/year growth rate down to 5.7% from 7.0% at the end of May. "Analysts are banking the Mag 7 to continue to drive earnings growth, but the rest of the market to participate more.
Persons: , Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Clissold Organizations: NDR, Service, Ned Davis Research, Management, Nvidia, Amazon
Average 30-year mortgage rates fell to 6.89%, down six basis points from the week before, according to Freddie Mac. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to trend down. This would remove a significant amount of upward pressure off of mortgage rates, allowing them to finally trend down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit.
Persons: Freddie Mac Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed Locations: May's, Chevron
A 15% year-to-date total return in the S & P 500 is the 21 st best run through June since 1900, according to Goldman Sachs. The S & P 500 since the October 2023 correction low is up 33% for an annualized total return pace of 56%. The S & P has gone eight sessions without a move of as much as half a percent. True in magnitude: The market-cap-weighted S & P 500 has outgained its equal-weighted version by more than ten percentage points this year. Not only haven't up days been broadly inclusive, the direction of the S & P 500 has been running inverse to the daily breadth over the past month.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Sharpe, it's, we'd, I've, What's, Jeff deGraaf, Trump, We've, Poor's, what's Organizations: Nvidia, Walgreens, Nike, Apple, Technology, Communication Services Locations: hiccups
The third quarter starts on Monday with corporate earnings trends largely intact, but showing early signs of trouble in tech land. The good news: for the big-cap tech companies that are truly dominating the market ( Apple , Microsoft , Alphabet , Nvidia , etc.) Still no recession, in the economy or in earnings So far, we have a deceleration in big-cap tech earnings and clear signs the consumer wants lower prices. Earnings trends for tech may still be rising (even if it is decelerating), but the rest of the market is generally flattish on earnings. Earnings: rising Positive Tech earnings: rising but decelerating Negative Job growth: strong but moderating Positive Interest rates: moderating Positive Inflation: moderating Positive Consumer: increasingly cautious Negative
Persons: Jensen, Nick Raich, it's, Raich, Lori Calvasina, We've, I've, you've, Levi Strauss, General Mills, Tim Wentworth, Taco Bell, Mills Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Big, Meta, Jensen Huang's, Scout, U.S, Equity, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, Nike, Walgreens, Micron, FedEx, General, . Companies, Southwest Airlines, Pool Corp, Urban Outfitters, Yum Brands
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Wednesday: Stifel initiates Tesla at buy Stifel said it's bullish on Tesla for the long term. JPMorgan upgrades FedEx to overweight from neutral JPMorgan upgraded the shipping giant following earnings on Tuesday. Jefferies reiterates Alphabet as buy Jefferies said its survey checks show Alphabet is top of mind for consumers when it comes to AI. Citi reiterates Nvidia as buy Citi raised its price target on Nvidia to $150 per share from $126. Morgan Stanley downgrades Accenture to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said shares of the IT company are "no longer" attractive.
Persons: Tesla, Stifel, it's, Piper Sandler, Piper, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Mark Clouse, Carrie Anderson, Rebecca Gardy, Wolfe, HOOD, Warnick, Shopify, Rosenblatt, Nike's, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, GOOGL, Stephens, Wells, BTIG, Northrop, Rivian, Piper Sandler downgrades Aptiv Organizations: JPMorgan, FedEx, Campbell, Barclays, Nu Holdings, BMO, Steel, Nippon, US Steel, X, Digital Realty, Citi, U.S, Caterpillar, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Android, UBS, Nike, Nvidia, Davidson, Home, Bank of America, " Bank of America, shipper, UPS, Cruises, Northrop Grumman, VW, JV, Accenture Locations: 1Q24, Mexico, Brazil, China, Houston, U.S, Rivian
JMP Securities reiterated its market outperform rating on CoStar Group, with its price target implying upside of nearly 50%. Canaccord Genuity, meanwhile, raised its price target on Elf Beauty. Elsewhere, JPMorgan raised its price target on Apple to $245 from $225. ET: JPMorgan raises Apple price target Apple's AI announcements could lead to bigger iPhone sales, according to JPMorgan. Analyst Michael Lavery reiterated his overweight rating and $90 price target on shares, which suggests a 50% gain from Monday's close.
Persons: Canaccord Genuity, Goldman Sachs, Alexander Duval, Duval, — Hakyung Kim, Samik Chatterjee, Chatterjee, Fred Imbert, Piper Sandler, Michael Lavery, Lavery, Canaccord, Susan Anderson, Anderson, Nicholas Jones, Jones, monetizing Homes.com, CSGP Organizations: CNBC, JMP Securities, JPMorgan, Apple, Walmart Locations: underperformance . U.S, Monday's, Canada
The S & P 500 has made an all-time high on nearly thirty days this year, four of them this past week. The main S & P is up more than 3% in the second quarter while its median stock is off 5% quarter to date. .SPX mountain 2024-03-29 S & P 500 quarter to date The S & P 500 has added $5.5 trillion in market capitalization in 2024, with roughly half kicked in by the Big Three. Wall Street strategists as a group project no upside for the S & P 500 in the second half , their average and median targets both below Friday's closing level. The weekly American Association of Individual Investors survey shows the spread between bulls and bears narrowing lately even with the S & P grinding higher.
Persons: we've, FANG, That's, It's, Jerome Powell's, Chris Verrone, I've Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Investment, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Citi U.S, CPI, Fed, American Association of
Last week, Sallie Mae boosted the annual percentage yield for its 12-month CD by 10 basis points, or 0.10% week over week, to 5.15%. Certificate of deposit rates have come a long way since the Fed started raising interest rates in March 2022. The average online bank APY has gone up by 4.14 percentage points to 4.79% since then, Wells Fargo analyst Michael Kaye said in a note Friday. Since banks generally follow the fed funds rate, interest rates on CDs and savings accounts are expected to fall in turn. "Broadly we still expect online bank deposit rates to decline," BTIG's Caintic said.
Persons: Sallie Mae, we're, Vincent Caintic, Wells Fargo, Sallie Mae's, APY, Wells, Michael Kaye, BTIG's Caintic, Morgan Stanley, BOK Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, New York Community Bancorp, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, FDIC, Bank, Bank of America Locations: Wells, Wells Fargo, company's
The S & P 500 made a new record high, its 25 th of the year. And on the surface, there is a stolid calm that suggests a system in comfortable equilibrium, the market achieving a kind of homeostasis. Four of the past five days last week, the S & P 500 moved less than 0.2%. The S & P 500 is up almost 2% since its closing peak at the end of the first quarter, perhaps the moment of maximum belief in a seamless soft economic landing. Three stocks together now account for fully 20% of the S & P 500 market value, mocking the notion of diversification and dashing most active investors' hopes of beating the bogey.
Persons: Keith Gill, Michael Mauboussin, Scott Chronert Organizations: Nvidia, GameStop, Apple, Microsoft, Federal Reserve, Investment, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Fed, Citi, CPI Locations: rebalancing, U.S
Lee called for the broad market index to reach 5,500 by the end of June. The S & P 500 finished Monday's trading session at 5,283.40 and is up about 3% over the past month. The broad market index fell more than 4% in April before surging nearly 5% in May to record highs above 5,300. I don't think one cut or three cuts makes [it] that much different for stocks," Lee said. "It all depends on inflation, really the edge coming off enough for the Fed to say we're comfortable cutting this year," he added.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, Lee's Organizations: Fundstrat Global, Federal Reserve
Investors should buy stocks ahead of next week's May jobs report, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. "We see high probability that stocks perform well into next week's May jobs report," Lee said. AdvertisementInvestors should buy the dip in stocks ahead of next week's release of the May jobs report, according to a Friday note from Fundstrat's Tom Lee. "Thus, we see high probability that stocks perform well into next week's May jobs report," Lee said. Such a report would match the April jobs report and likely put some pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates sooner than later.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, PCE, Housing
NEW YORK — New York Federal Reserve President John Williams on Thursday said inflation is still too high but he is confident it will start decelerating later this year. With markets on edge over the direction of monetary policy, Williams offered no clear signs on where he is leaning as far as possible interest rate cuts go. Williams called policy "well-positioned" and "restrictive" and said it is helping the Fed achieve its goals. But higher than expected inflation readings have altered that landscape dramatically, and current pricing is pointing to just one decrease, probably in November. Williams said he expects PCE inflation to drift down to 2.5% this year on its way back to 2% in 2026.
Persons: John Williams, Williams, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, York Federal, Economic, of New, Fed, Commerce Department Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York, York, of New York
Globant's key business fundamentals should give it a leg up over its peers, according to UBS. However, this updated price forecast still implies that Globant could rally 38% from its Friday close. Shares of Globant have slipped 29% year to date, but UBS analyst Leonardo Olmos attributed this underperformance to external factors outside of the company's control. GLOB YTD mountain GLOB YTD chart "Tainted by peers' guides reduction, GLOB is now trading at 15% discount to history. "We estimate the Digital Studios represents 70% of GLOB's sales and it could be a proxy for the relevance of digital transformation to GLOB," Olmos wrote.
Persons: Leonardo Olmos, GLOB, Olmos, Globant, " Olmos Organizations: UBS, Accenture, Digital Studios
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