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The data also points a spotlight on the economic platform of Vice President Kamala Harris, who is poised to accept the Democratic presidential nomination this month amid signs of a slowing economy. But her economic views are less defined, maintaining broad references to strengthening the middle class, even as her record investigating Wall Street and her farther-left 2019 primary campaign platform have executives and investors on edge. According to those close to Harris, advisers and administration officials, Harris’ economic views were described as “pragmatic,” “centrist,” and even “pro-business,” with a goal of leveraging private-sector friendships for better outcomes at the ground level. Personnel as policyHarris has two staffers who manage economic and domestic policy issues, and she was briefed by staff on the most recent jobs data. “He is as close to Harris and the second gentleman as almost anyone in the administration,” said an official close to Harris.
Persons: Harris, Kamala Harris, , Mike Pyle, Don Graves, David Turk, Wally Adeyemo, Janet Yellen, Pyle, Brian Deese, Rohini Kosoglu –, Brian Nelson, Nelson’s, Nelson, “ That’s, Jason Furman, Barack Obama, Rohit Chopra, Massachusetts Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Biden, Vermont Sen, Bernie Sanders, , , she’s, Tom Vilsack, Vilsack, Ray McGuire, Lazard, Blair Effron, Jamie Dimon, “ She’s, Lina Khan, Harris “, Lina Organizations: CNN, Biden, Federal Reserve, Democratic, National Security Council, National Economic Council, , Commerce, Energy, Consumer Financial, Bureau, Vermont, Democratic Party, White, Commerce Department, Department of Agriculture, Wall Street, Centerview Partners, JPMorgan Chase, Naval Observatory, Meta, Target, Citigroup, eBay, Federal Trade Commission Locations: Massachusetts, Columbus , Ohio, Syracuse , New York, Georgia, Central America, Columbia, California
"A 50 basis point Fed cut in September is clearly justified as the labor market is now showing clear signs of softening," said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management. The firm, which has long been saying the Fed will need to cut aggressively this year, expects another 50 basis point cut in November by a 25 basis point cut move in December. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. The S & P 500 lost more than 2.5% and Treasury yields plummeted, sending the policy-sensitive 2-year note down more than a quarter percentage point to 3.91%. "It's very possible the Fed alters its inter-meeting communications on the balance of risks to remove all doubt [of] a September rate cut."
Persons: Yung, Yu Ma, David Donabedian, Preston Caldwell, David Rosenberg, Jerome Powell, Jamie Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Labor Statistics, BMO Wealth Management, Wall, Citigroup, CIBC Private Wealth, Morningstar, Rosenberg Research, Harris Financial
Goldman Sachs adds 4 new stocks to its conviction buy list
  + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Goldman Sachs added four new stocks to its conviction list going into August for equity investors looking to capitalize on the bull market. Dollar General , Philip Morris International , S & P Global and Woodward were the newest addition to the Wall Street firm's coveted stock list. For Dollar General, Goldman analysts believe the worries around low income consumer discretionary spend and competition are overdone. Meanwhile, Goldman said the market is underappreciating the growth opportunity for Philip Morris as the company innovates around its smoke-free alternatives to cigarettes. Both S & P Global and Woodward have recorded solid gains so far this year, rising 11% and nearly 17%, respectively.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman's, Philip Morris, Woodward, Goldman Organizations: Dollar, Philip Morris International, P Global, Royal Caribbean Cruises, Ally Financial, Citigroup, Amazon, Nvidia
The U.S. labor market may have cooled some in July, as a gradual slowdown in the economy and Hurricane Beryl are expected to have taken some of the steam out of hiring. Still, even if the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls report for July, to be released Friday at 8:30 a.m. "You're seeing just modest on-the-margin weakness in the labor market that [isn't likely to] spiral out of control into a negative feedback loop." Citigroup projects an even lower number — 150,000 on payrolls and a tick higher in the unemployment rate to 4.2%. Should the unemployment rate keep climbing, it could raise fears that the so-called Sahm Rule is in danger of being triggered.
Persons: Hurricane Beryl, nonfarm, Mike Reynolds, Dow Jones, Goldman Sachs, Beryl Organizations: Amerant, Hurricane, Labor, Federal, department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Citigroup Locations: Florida, Sunrise , Florida, The U.S, department's, Texas, Houston
New York CNN —Bill Ackman, billionaire hedge fund manager and chief executive of Pershing Square Capital Management, is seeking $2 billion to take the company’s investment fund public. In a letter to strategic partners last week, Ackman said that he expected to raise between $2.5 billion to $4 billion. The company will offer 40 million shares priced at $50 apiece, according to a Tuesday filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. That would be an additional $300 million value for the investment fund, Pershing Square USA. Pershing Square officially hung up its activist megaphone in 2022, opting to work with a small group of companies behind the scenes.
Persons: Bill Ackman, Ackman, ” Ackman, Pershing, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Pershing, Capital Management, Wall, US Securities and Exchange Commission, Underwriters, Citigroup, Bank of America, Jefferies, USA, New York Stock Exchange, Herbalife, Trump Locations: New York, Israel
ChatGPT creator OpenAI on Thursday announced a prototype of its search engine, SearchGPT, in an effort to directly compete with Google Search. "Not really seeing any decline in web traffic away from web search" despite the popularity of AI chatbots," Marks said Friday. Alphabet's efforts to incorporate generative AI into Google Search — dubbed "AI Overviews" — are resonating with users, CEO Sundar Pichai said on the conference call. He added that people are looking for help with complex topics are engaging more and keep coming back for AI Overviews. To be sure, the AI threats to Google Search is not the only question on Alphabet investors' minds.
Persons: OpenAI, Jeff Marks, It's, Marks, OpenAI's SearchGPT, Bing, That's, Rosenblatt, Alphabet's, Sundar Pichai, Pichai, There's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Idrees Abbas Organizations: Google, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Investor, Rosenblatt, Bing, Bank of America, Citigroup, Citi, Management, CNBC, Getty
AdvertisementETF enthusiasmInstead of single stocks, clients across the board are putting their money into ETFs. Bank of AmericaEven though clients sold off individual small-cap stocks, they're not shying away from that size segment of the market at all. Clients invested more money in small-cap ETFs than large-cap ones, providing small-caps with the biggest boost since May of this year. Similarly, while individual tech stocks experienced a sell-off, tech ETFs saw the largest capital inflow out of all sectors last week. Small-cap ETFs include Vanguard Small-Cap Index (VSCIX) and Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Revenue ETF (RWJ).
Persons: , Jill Carey, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Bank of America's, Bank of America, Equity, Business, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Big Tech, Health, Bank of America Investors, Communication, Fidelity MSCI Information Tech, NYSE Technology, Vanguard Infomation Technology, Vanguard
LONDON — European markets are set to open lower on Wednesday as earnings season ramps up. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 was last expected to open 25 points lower at 8,137, while Germany's DAX was set to shed 76 points to 18,472 and France's CAC 40 was expected to open 54 points lower at 7,540. Italy's MIB index was set to to open 62 points lower at 34,799. Deutsche Bank , UniCredit, BNP Paribas and Banco Santander are among the European banks reporting earnings on Wednesday, alongside Easyjet , Iberdrola and Orange. On the data front, flash purchasing managers' index data is due to be released in the U.K. and the euro zone.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Easyjet Organizations: Citigroup Inc, State Street Corp, Barclays Plc, HSBC Holdings Plc, CAC, Deutsche Bank, BNP, Banco Santander Locations: Wharf, UniCredit, Iberdrola, Orange, Germany
In general, steak houses are a popular place for a power lunch. The interior of Keens still feels like an old-school social club. Rachel AskinasiWhat is a power lunch? And when you think about a place ripe for flexing a corporate card with no spending limit, any of New York City's legendary steak houses come to mind. Plus, the history of an old New York social club adds to its exclusive allure.
Persons: Rachel Askinasi Organizations: New York, Sixth, Citigroup, CBS, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: New, midtown, Midtown Manhattan, New York
Real estate, with its large transaction sizes and frequent use of wire transfers, has proven to be an especially lucrative target for criminals. In early July, Robillard told CNBC she had no idea whether she would ever see her money again. Courtesy: Rana RobillardRobillard says she decided to publicize her story to boost awareness of real estate wire fraud, besides being a last-ditch attempt at getting her money back. "This is not what I thought my public representation would look like, which is that I've lost all this money," Robillard said. While Martinez, California-based Compass Mortgage denies being hacked, it acknowledged that the email with wire directions wasn't from them, according to Robillard.
Persons: Rana Robillard, she'd, Robillard, HackerOne, Fraudsters, Naftali Harris, Harris, Charles Schwab, she's, , Robillard Robillard, I've, it's, should've, Kristy Aichinger, Aichinger, Kent Donahue, Donahue didn't Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, CNBC, Citigroup, Ally Bank, San, FBI, JPMorgan, Federal Trade Commission, Consumer Financial, Bureau, Chase, FTC, OS National, Opendoor, Robillard, Compass Mortgage Advisors, Mortgage Locations: Oakland, Orinda ,, California, Orinda, San Francisco, Real, Martinez
In general, steak houses are a popular place for a power lunch. The interior of Keens still feels like an old-school social club. Rachel AskinasiWhat is a power lunch? And when you think about a place ripe for flexing a corporate card with no spending limit, any of New York City's legendary steak houses come to mind. Plus, the history of an old New York social club adds to its exclusive allure.
Persons: Rachel Askinasi Organizations: New York, Sixth, Citigroup, CBS, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: New, midtown, Midtown Manhattan, New York
Verizon : Shares dropped 6% after the telecom giant's quarterly revenue missed Wall Street estimates. "Buy T-Mobile ," Jim Cramer said. Buy T-Mobile." Lennar : Shares fell more than 1% after Goldman Sachs downgraded the homebuilder to a neutral rating following the stock's recent outperformance. "That's a big run, but if you think the Fed is doing a soft landing, you should just stay long this stock," Cramer said.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Abercrombie, Cramer, Goldman Sachs Organizations: CNBC, Club, Verizon, Fitch, JPMorgan, Micron, Citigroup, Stifel
Namely, millennials invest in exchange-traded funds more than any generation before them, according to State Street Global Advisors' 2024 ETF Impact Survey. AdvertisementOverall, State Street, which manages $4.3 trillion in assets, found that boomers are doomers when it comes to the overall economic outlook. State Street Global AdvisorsMillennials across the world are also more likely than any other generation to hold ETFs in their portfolios. AdvertisementETFs also offer easy liquidity, especially when compared to the mutual funds that are popular with older demographics. Investors can't trade mutual funds intraday because trades are executed once a day after the 4 p.m. market close.
Persons: , aren't, Scott Chronert, Chronert, millennials, Michael Arone, Vanguard Russell, Russell, That's Organizations: Service, Street Global Advisors, Business, State Street Global Advisors, Mutual, Citigroup, Bank of America, State, Trust, Vanguard, Nasdaq, Boomers, Bond, Bond Market, State Street, Galaxy Asset Management, Street Locations: Australia, Singapore, Japan
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Meanwhile, the Wall Street analysts argued that hedge funds have become more bearish on fellow portfolio name Advanced Micro Devices . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, clawing, Estee Lauder, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, Jim, She's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Club, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Citigroup, Broadcom, VMware, Wall Street, Devices, Citi, AMD Locations: Silicon Valley
Investment banking was the rock star of big bank earnings this season. For Club stock Morgan Stanley, investment banking revenues surged 51% year over year with equity underwriting fees jumping over 56%, and advisory fees increasing over 30% from the year-ago period. Wells Fargo's investment banking revenues, which fall underneath its corporate and investment banking (CIB) division, jumped 38% year over year. "The investments we have been making allowed us to take advantage of the market activity in the quarter with strong performance in investment advisory, trading and investment banking fees." And good news for investors, it doesn't look like the rebound in investment banking is slowing anytime soon.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Wells, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan, We've, Morgan Stanley's, NII, Charlie Scharf, Ted Pick, we're, David Solomon, Donald Trump, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, JPMorgan Organizations: JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, Citi, Investment, IB, Federal Reserve, Wells, CNBC, CIB, Morgan, Wall, Citibank, JPMorgan Chase, Reuters Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, U.S
Citi lost 17 bankers from its successful workplace-wealth group to BMO. from its successful workplace-wealth group to The exodus follows the exit of unit head Naz Vahid and at least 24 other senior wealth executives. The best-in-class unit lost 17 bankers on Friday to Bank of Montreal, two former senior executives told Business Insider. The exodus includes the head of the law firm business and interim head of Wealth at Work, Joe Ryan. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Naz Vahid, Andy Sieg, , , Joe Ryan Organizations: Citi, BMO, Service, Citigroup, Bank of, Business Locations: Bank of Montreal
Wells Fargo says it's time to buy banks as a Trump trade
  + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Banks are headed for a significant period of outperformance in the near term as the "Trump Trade" heats up, according to Wells Fargo. The analyst replaced health care with banks in the firm's recommended sector barbell under the belief the group will outperform under an improved regulatory environment. Harvey added that banks' macroeconomic backdrop is already improving with the Treasury curve beginning to steepen, the pace of mergers and acquisitions accelerating, and consumer credit in line with expectations. Bank stocks are trading at a "significant discount," Harvey noted. That kind of move implies roughly 15% of outperformance over the next one to three months.
Persons: Banks, Saturday's, Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Christopher Harvey, Harvey Organizations: Trump, Republican, Fund, Traders, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: Wells Fargo
Now, the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump has injected even more uncertainty into the US political landscape. 3 trades for political riskFirst, cash remains king. Within the financial sector, Landsberg recommends that investors allocate part of their portfolio to insurance companies, which can benefit from inflation by raising premiums. While concentration isn't always a cause of concern, increased volatility due to political turbulence can lead market conditions to change quickly. Don't try to predict the FedOverall, Landsberg cautions investors against trying to time the market and predict the Fed's next move.
Persons: Donald Trump, Michael Landsberg, Landsberg Bennett, Landsberg, It's, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Wells, — Landsberg, Powell Organizations: Service, Wealth Management, Forbes, Business, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Big Tech Locations: India, Japan
Morgan Stanley to report second-quarter earnings
  + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
In this articleTed Pick, co-president of Morgan Stanley, speaks during a Bloomberg Television interview in New York, US, on Thursday, Oct. 26, 2023. Morgan Stanley is set to report second-quarter earnings before the opening bell Tuesday. The bank's massive wealth management business will be helped by high stock market values, which inflates the management fees the bank collects. On top of that, investment banking activity has picked up after a dismal 2023, which should provide a tailwind to the bank. Last week, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup each topped expectations for revenue and profit, a streak continued by Goldman Sachs on Monday, helped by a rebound in Wall Street activity.
Persons: Ted Pick, Morgan Stanley, StreetAccount Morgan Stanley, Wells, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bloomberg Television, LSEG Revenue, Wealth, Investment, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup Locations: New York, Wells Fargo
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record highThe Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at an all-time high after former President Donald Trump survived an assassination attempt. Trump's VP pickDonald Trump has chosen Senator JD Vance of Ohio as his vice presidential running mate for the 2024 election. Fed may not waitPowell said the central bank will not wait until inflation reaches its 2% target to cut interest rates. Fink believes bitcoin can offer uncorrelated returns and act as a hedge against currency debasement caused by excessive deficits.
Persons: Donald Trump, Russell, Jerome Powell, Trump's, JD Vance, Ohio, Trump, Vance, Biden, Powell, you've, Larry Fink, Fink, bitcoin, CNBC's, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Denis Coleman, Colin Langan Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Truth, Trump, Republican, BlackRock, Goldman, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wall Locations: U.S, Wells
CEOs from left, Charles Scharf, Wells Fargo, Brian Moynihan, Bank of America, and Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, testify during the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee hearing titled "Annual Oversight of Wall Street Firms," in Hart Building on Wednesday, December 6, 2023. Bank of America on Tuesday said second-quarter revenue and profit topped expectations on rising investment banking and asset management fees. Net interest income slipped 3% to $13.86 billion, essentially matching the StreetAccount estimate. Executives have told investors in April that net interest income would bottom in the second quarter. Wells Fargo shares fell on Friday when it posted disappointing NII figures, showing how much investors are fixated on the metric.
Persons: Charles Scharf, Wells, Brian Moynihan, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bank of America, JPMorgan, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs Committee, Wall Street Firms, Revenue, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup Locations: Wells Fargo, Hart
Jim Cramer's daily rapid fire looks at stocks in the news outside the CNBC Investing Club portfolio. Macy's : Shares tumbled 13% after the retailer announced it was ending buyout talks with an activist investor group. "This is a good chance to buy Macy's," said Jim, who has generally been positive on CEO Tony Spring's turnaround plan. Cleveland-Cliffs : Shares were roughly flat after the company announced a deal to buy Canadian steelmaker Stelco for $2.8 billion. Jim noted that Cleveland-Cliffs says the acquisition is immediately additive to earnings per share, "which means buy it."
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Goldman Sachs, , Jim Cramer, Jim, Tony Spring's, there's Organizations: CNBC, Club, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Electronic Arts, Citigroup, AMD Locations: Cleveland
Several stocks due to report earnings this week could see large moves in the wake of those numbers. This week will see a larger group of corporate earnings, including streaming giant Netflix and chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor . NFLX YTD mountain Netflix stock. Analysts polled by LSEG expect Netflix to report earnings per share growth of about 40%. The firm is set to report results for the fiscal third-quarter ended June 30 this coming Thursday.
Persons: Horton, D.R Organizations: Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo, Netflix, chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor, CNBC, LSEG, Taiwan Semiconductor, Bank of America, United Airlines
Several stocks could get a boost if former President Donald Trump wins the presidency and the GOP secures control of Congress, the odds of which have increased since the weekend, according to Wolfe Research. Here is a selection of stocks Wolfe expects to reap the benefits of a Trump reelection: Trump Media & Technology Group shares could benefit from a Trump win — and traders have already been piling into the stock since Saturday's event. Trading in Trump Media, which is the parent of social media platform Truth Social, has been volatile in recent months. The stock plunged about 50% in the three weeks after Trump was convicted on 34 felony counts on May 30. Other stocks Wolfe Research expects to benefit from a Trump win include UnitedHealth Group , Halliburton and Emerson Electric .
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Chris Senyek, Wolfe, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, bitcoin Organizations: GOP, Wolfe Research, Investors, Trump, Republican National Convention, Republican, Federal Reserve, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media, White House, Evercore, Citigroup, UnitedHealth, Halliburton, Emerson Electric Locations: Pennsylvania, Milwaukee, Technology
Goldman Sachs is scheduled to report second-quarter earnings before the opening bell Monday. Here's what Wall Street expects:Earnings: $8.34 per share, according to LSEGRevenue: $12.46 billion, according to LSEGTrading Revenue: Fixed Income of $2.96 billion, Equities of $3.17 billion, per StreetAccountInvesting Banking Revenue: $1.80 billion, according to StreetAccountExpectations have been set high for Goldman Sachs, with Wall Street businesses in the midst of a rebound after a dismal 2023. That's because out of the six biggest U.S. banks, Goldman is the most reliant on investment banking and trading to generate revenue. On Friday, rivals JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup both topped expectations thanks to surging investment banking fees and better-than-expected equities trading results. Bank of America and Morgan Stanley report results on Tuesday.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Solomon, Morgan Stanley Organizations: LSEG Revenue, Trading, Wall, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America
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