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Strategist Michael Wilson sees the S & P 500 reaching 6,500 in 2025. The sector is already up 6.8% since the Nov. 5 election, outperforming the other 10 S & P 500 sectors. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield is up more than 80 basis points (0.8 percentage point) since the Fed began cutting rates. While Wilson's base case sees the S & P 500 rising to 6,500, his most optmistic bullish scenario takes the benchmark all the way to 7,400 — 26% above Friday's close. However, his initial 2024 S & P 500 target proved too conservative at 4,500.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, Wilson, Donald Trump, Baird Organizations: Fed Locations: Washington, Friday's
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller built a sizable position in regional banks and made one health-care name his biggest position last quarter — two bets that have been rallying since the election of President-elect Donald Trump two weeks ago. The regional banking exchange-traded fund has climbed 12% this month alone, while Natera has jumped nearly 26% in November. KRE YTD mountain SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF The widely followed investor was recently applauded for his big win on key artificial intelligence player Nvidia . During the third quarter, Duquesne added a small bet on Broadcom, worth $41 million, as another AI play. Druckenmiller shot to fame after helping make a $10 billion bet against the British pound in 1992.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Donald Trump, George Soros, Duquesne, Banks, Trump, Natera, Druckenmiller, bullish, Jensen Organizations: Quantum Fund, Duquesne Family Office, Regional Banking, Trump, Republican, GOP, Representatives, Regional Banking ETF, Nvidia, Duquesne, Broadcom, Duquesne Capital Management
Top Morningstar strategist David Sekera says there's one sector that "deserves a place in everybody's portfolio" right now — the energy sector. Stocks Sekara is betting on within the energy theme include Exxon Mobil and Devon Energy . Morningstar has a four-star rating on Devon Energy and says it is trading at a 22% discount to fair value. The investment research company gives stocks a rating of between one and five stars, with a top rating indicating that the shares are undervalued. Sekera says that U.S. stocks are now trading around 6% higher than their fair value.
Persons: David Sekera, George Bull, Sander Morris, Aaron Dunn, Donald Trump's, Morningstar, Trump, Sekera, Sekara Organizations: Morgan, Value, Exxon Mobil, Devon Energy, Exxon Mobile, U.S, Trump, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Morgan Stanley's
It's hard to imagine much more upside for the current stock market, according to Bank of America. "The S & P 500 is statistically expensive on almost every metric," Savita Subramanian, the firm's equity and quant strategist, wrote Friday. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 "Overall, we see limited near-term upside to the cap-weighted S & P 500 and prefer the equal-weighted index, but our bear market signposts — the triggers that typically precede an S & P 500 peak — are not signaling elevated risks of an imminent bear market," she wrote. The strategist updated her S & P 500 year-end target to 6,000. The S & P 500 was last trading around 5,880.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Donald Trump's, It's Organizations: Bank of America
Robinhood is slated for more gains under a second Trump term, according to Needham. His $40 price target implies nearly 24% upside from Friday's close. Piper Sandler analyst Patrick Moley has also grown more bullish on the stock amid bitcoin's price surge, upping his price target by $6 to $36. Eight of 17 covering the stock have a buy or strong buy rating on the name, while the remaining ones have hold or underperform ratings. The average price target also points to 17% downside.
Persons: Needham, John Todaro, HOOD, Robinhood, Donald, Piper Sandler, Patrick Moley, Moley, bitcoin Organizations: Trump, Securities and Exchange Commission, LSEG Locations: HOOD
Goldman Sachs' Sung Cho is bullish on software in 2025
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman Sachs' Sung Cho is bullish on software in 2025Sung Cho, Goldman Sachs co-head public tech investing, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the tech trade and earnings.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Sung Cho
Investors may like AT & T for its juicy dividend, but the underlying shares also have "significant upside" ahead, according to Goldman Sachs. The Wall Street investment bank sees a number of factors at play that should boost returns for the Dallas-based telecom giant, which pays a dividend yield of 4.89%. Overall, Schneider anticipates sustained EBITDA growth of 3%, which is 100 to 200 basis points faster growth than Wall Street is currently modeling, he said. That sustained improvement on EBITDA growth should warrant a higher multiple over time, he added. The stock, which hit a 52-week high on Monday, is up 37% year to date, excluding the dividend.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, James Schneider, Schneider, T's Organizations: Dallas, Verizon, Mobile Locations: United States
Accelerating earnings growth should drive shares of Futu Holdings higher, according to Morgan Stanley. The investment bank upgraded the fintech stock to overweight from equal weight and raised its price target by $45 to $115. Specifically, the analyst pointed to substantial client asset growth in the company's third-quarter results, forecasting a year-over-year increase of 38%. Beyond that, Huang expects earnings to see year-over-year growth of 19% in both 2025 and 2026 overall. FUTU YTD mountain FUTU, year-to-date Shares rose more than 2% in the premarket on Monday following the call.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, It's, Chiyao Huang, Huang Organizations: Futu Holdings Locations: Singapore, Japan
Stocks still have significant gains in front of them heading into 2025, at least according to BMO Capital Markets. Although bull markets over the past 50 years have averaged about six years in length, the current bull market is just starting its third year but, unfortunately, the third year of past bull markets have been the weakest of the bunch, he cautioned. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 is little changed on Monday, but has gained about 23% in 2024. Heading into 2024, the S & P 500 had advanced more than 24% in 2023. The latter envisions the S & P 500 ending 2025 at 5,500, or about a 6% decline from the index's current price, mostly as a result of inflation picking up steam.
Persons: Stocks, Brian Belski, Belski, Belksi Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, Federal Reserve, & $ Locations: Canadian
AdvertisementVivek Ramaswamy, cohead of DOGE, said he expects to recommend the wholesale closure of some agencies. Vivek Ramaswamy said to expect the abolishment of entire federal agencies as part of a sweeping restructure envisioned by DOGE. AdvertisementOn Sunday morning, Ramaswamy appeared on Fox News and was asked about DOGE's plans for the future of federal agencies. Maria Bartiromo, the Fox host interviewing Ramaswamy, mentioned the Department of Education as a possible cut, but Ramaswamy instead answered in general terms. Eliminating federal agencies could be a hard ask though.
Persons: Vivek Ramaswamy, cohead, Ramaswamy, Elon Musk, Trump, Donald Trump, Maria Bartiromo, Jack Newsham Organizations: Department of, President, Fox News, of Education, Fox, Republican, Congress, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, FBI
Trump Media & Technology Group — Shares in President-elect Donald Trump's media company pulled back roughly 5%. Although the stock has been increasingly volatile in the wake of Trump's election, it has gained more than 52% in 2024. Redfin — The online real estate company's stock slipped 3.4% following a downgrade at Goldman Sachs to sell from neutral. CVS Health — Shares of the drugstore operator jumped nearly 6% following a decision to add four new board members in a deal with Glenview Capital. Moderna — Shares of the biotech company jumped more than 5% after HSBC upgraded the stock to buy from hold and said it views the stock as being undervalued.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Donald Trump, Chris Wright, Wright, Baird, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Needham, Piper Sandler, , Alex Harring, Sean Conlon, Hakyung Kim, Pia Singh, Michelle Fox Organizations: Spirit Airlines —, Trump Media & Technology, Liberty Energy, Goldman, CVS, Glenview Capital, Aetna, U.S . Securities, Exchange, Nasdaq, Moderna —, HSBC, Warner Bros, , National Basketball Association Locations: Wells Fargo
Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Oppenheimer reiterates Netflix as outperform Oppenheimer said the Jake Paul-Mike Tyson fight "demonstrates [the] ability for meaningful" live event viewership for Netflix. Goldman Sachs initiates Ingram Micro as buy Goldman said the IT solutions provider is well positioned. Goldman Sachs initiates Gatx as buy Goldman said it's bullish on the railcar company. Baird upgrades Roku to outperform from neutral Baird said in its upgrade of Roku that it sees an "attractive long-term opportunity." Needham upgrades Robin Hood to buy from hold Needham said the stock is a beneficiary of the Trump election.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Jake Paul, Mike Tyson, it's bullish, Goldman Sachs, Ingram, Goldman, Baird, Morgan Stanley, Raymond James, Wells, Needham, Biogen, it's, Robin Hood, Trump, Donald Trump's, Bernstein, Tesla Organizations: Netflix, Citi, Astera, Ingram, GATX Corporation, RBC, UBS, Franco, Wheaton Precious Metals, WPM, HSBC, Moderna, Air Products, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Enterprise, Aetna, Bank of America, Nvidia, " Bank of America, DOJ, Google, BMO, SEC, EV Locations: Nevada, Asia
The generative AI boom has inspired bold AGI predictions ranging from this happening in 2025, 2026, or maybe 2027. AdvertisementThat's the main reason for huge gains in recent years in the performance of AI models. AdvertisementHorowitz noted several factors that are holding back AI model improvements, including a lack of new high-quality human data and problems sourcing the extra energy needed to power AI data centers. AGI questionsIf the main tried-and-true method for improving AI models is no longer working, we are unlikely to get AGI anytime soon. Altman's bold AGI predictions may also be an effective rallying cry for hard-working OpenAI employees.
Persons: Sam Altman, there's, that's, Oren Etzioni, Etzioni, Ilya Sutskever, Noam Brown, Google hasn't, Marc, Ben, Marc Andreessen, Ben Horowitz, Andreessen, Horowitz, we're, OpenAI, Altman, we've, AGI, Elon Musk, It's Organizations: YouTube, Allen Institute, Tech, Reuters, Orion, Bloomberg, Google, AGI, Microsoft, Intel, Computer, Artificial Intelligence Locations: Seattle
Recommendations from Wall Street can help them make informed decisions on stocks and seek solid long-term returns. Top-rated analysts pay attention to multiple aspects when selecting stocks of companies with solid fundamentals and strong execution. Bearing that in mind, here are three stocks favored by the Street's top pros, according to TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. See Amazon Stock Charts on TipRanks. Mahaney thinks UBER will gain from autonomous vehicle rollouts, given its position as the largest ride-sharing demand aggregator.
Persons: Brian White, White, TipRanks, Mark Mahaney, Mahaney, Andrew Harte, Jack Dorsey, Harte Organizations: Web Services, Amazon, Technologies, Uber's, Business, Uber Technologies, BTIG Locations: AMZN
People always ask me why I dislike parabolic moves. In other words, parabolic moves force you to be a trader. I will fight no one who wants to buy Palantir because I sense that one will be the last name to go down. But parabolic moves are intoxicating. If we just had the 10-year bond move to 5%, I wouldn't even bother addressing the hidden dangers behind parabolic moves.
Persons: , it's, Nvidia disappoints, Elon Musk, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, that's, Buffett, Warren, didn't, Fox, Richard Nixon, there's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Alex Karp, Stefani Reynolds Organizations: York Stock Exchange, Nvidia, GameStop, SpaceX, RFK Jr, Health, Human Services Department, Apple, Amazon, Fox News, Republicans, Justice Department, Nuclear ETF, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, U.S, Senate, Intelligence, Capitol, Washington , D.C, Afp, Getty Locations: There's, Washington, Washington ,
Crypto super PACs spent heavily on Republicans as well as key Democrats, including two who won open seats in the US Senate, Elissa Slotkin in Michigan and Ruben Gallego in Arizona. How Washington regulates the industry has enormous consequences for this burgeoning sector, along with the 52 million Americans who now hold digital assets. “The strategy is to have as many conversations with as many people in the Trump orbit as possible so that everyone has an understanding of what the crypto industry is most interested in,” she said. They also helped finance Fairshake, a crypto industry super PAC launched last year that was active in congressional contests. An industry super PAC spent $40 million to back to Republican Senate candidate Bernie Moreno in Ohio, who ousted three-term Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown.
Persons: Donald Trump, Gary Gensler, Biden, Crypto, Elissa Slotkin, Ruben Gallego, Sam Bankman, “ Crypto, ” Kristin Smith, we’ll, that’s, ” Smith, , Smith, Dan Gallagher, Paul Atkins, Atkins, Gallagher, Bitcoin, Trump, , It’s, Barron, Steve Witkoff, multibillionaire Elon Musk, Cantor Fitzgerald Howard Lutnick, Carlos Barria, Reuters Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Marc Andreessen, Ben Horowitz –, Sergio Gor, Andreessen, , Tyler, Cameron Winklevoss, Musk, Katie Porter, Massachusetts Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Porter, Adam Schiff, Bernie Moreno, Democratic Sen, Sherrod Brown, Brown, Moreno, Colin McLaren, ” Robert Weissman, Andreessen Horowitz, Kara Calvert, CNN’s David Wright Organizations: CNN, Trump, Securities, Exchange Commission, Industry, Crypto, Blockchain Association, SEC, Token Alliance, Liberty, Liberty Financial, of Government, Republican, Reuters, Venture, Biden, PAC, Democratic Rep, Democratic, Banking Committee, Commodities Futures Trading Commission, Cedar Innovation Foundation, Consumer, Public Citizen Locations: Washington, Michigan, Arizona, Madison, New York City, U.S, America, Bitcoin, Massachusetts, California, Ohio
He said comparisons to the dot-com peak in 2000 are fair. Advertisement"This looks and feels like the year 2000 to me," Arnott told Business Insider on November 11. But Arnott believes AI optimism, which has driven the lion's share of the rally, is already fully priced in. At 37 times earnings, just below the late-2021 peak of 38, before the market fell by 25%, and the 2000 peak of 43, right in front of a 50% loss. "This is a really, really, really pricey environment, but it doesn't necessarily make me bearish.
Persons: Rob Arnott, he's, Arnott, , Donald Trump, Trump, disruptors, There's, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, David Einhorn, Einhorn Organizations: Nvidia, Intel, Chief US, Business, Goldman Sachs Bank of America's Global, Equity, Bank of America, CNBC's, Alpha Locations: irrelevance
The main control room of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant in Middletown, Pennsylvania, Oct. 30, 2024. (Take a deeper look inside the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant here.) Part of a control panel at the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant in Middletown, Pennsylvania, Oct. 30, 2024. A cooling tower at the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant in Middletown, Pennsylvania, Oct. 30, 2024. The turbine deck of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant in Middletown, Pennsylvania, Oct. 30, 2024.
Persons: Danielle DeVries, Trevor Orth, Chris Crane, Constellation, Bryan Hanson, Hanson, Holtec, Mike Goff, Thomas Mehaffie, Tom Mehaffie, Mehaffie, Mehaffie's, PJM, Mark Christie, Alistair Speirs, Speirs, Ryan Levine, Levine, CNBC Hanson Organizations: CNBC MIDDLETOWN, Constellation Energy, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Constellation, NRC, CNBC, Crane Clean Energy, Microsoft, Google, U.S . Unit, Energy Solutions, Unit, of Nuclear Energy, Department of Energy, Pennsylvania, Construction, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, CNBC Federal, Nuclear Regulatory, Citi, General Electric Locations: Middletown , Pennsylvania, Pa, United States, U.S, Baltimore, Exelon, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Harrisburg
.SPX 1M mountain S & P 500, 1 month The S & P is still about 3-4% above levels where chart readers would start to get more concerned about the underlying trajectory. Even in Friday's 1.3% slide in the S & P 500, only two-thirds of all stocks were down on the day and the equal-weight S & P was off a modest three-quarters of a percent. It makes sense that the market wasn't able to summon a sustained thrust of exuberance after the election anxiety evaporated, given the somewhat demanding starting point. A more mature economic and risk cycle and vulnerability to higher rates among smaller, lower-quality stocks mean they aren't likely to lead from here, Pies says. Is the market presciently foretelling an unleashing of transactional fervor that will return Wall Steet's middlemen to their former glory?
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, Jay Powell, Warren Pies, Goldman Organizations: Nasdaq, KBW, ICE, Trump, Federal Reserve, Investors, Bank, 3Fourteen Research, Wall Street Locations: Friday's
Inside Microsoft's struggles with Copilot
  + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Ashley Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +23 min
In September 2023, Microsoft's famously soft-spoken CEO, Satya Nadella, unveiled the company's flagship AI product, Copilot, with sweeping fanfare. Some of Microsoft's own employees and executives are privately concerned that Copilot won't be able to deliver on its ambitions. Copilot's struggles have created an opening for Microsoft's rivals, some of whom have seized on the opportunity to promote their own agendas. "Now, when Joe Blow logs into an account and kicks off Copilot, they can see everything," said one Microsoft employee familiar with customer complaints. As complaints and questions over Copilot mount, so does the pressure to justify Microsoft's unprecedented level of spending on AI.
Persons: Microsoft's, Satya Nadella, Gartner, Copilot, it'll, Copilot's, Marc Benioff, Benioff, Goldman Sachs, Marc Andreessen, Andreessen Horowitz, Ethan Miller, Jared Spataro, Spataro, , Joe Blow, Joe, Nadella, Gary Marcus, Marcus, Wile, Coyote, Brontë, Judson Althoff, Jason Zander, Zander, We've, OpenAI, Tasos Katopodis, Steve Jobs Organizations: Microsoft, Venture, Getty, Goldman, BI, Fortune, Excel, Lumen Technologies, Honeywell, Gartner, Wall Street, Initiative, Department of Homeland Security, Employees, San Francisco, Software, Apple, Jobs Locations: Microsoft's, Copilot, New York City
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBullish on the consumer despite slow traffic at the start of November, says TD Cowen's John KernanJohn Kernan, TD Cowen managing director and retail analyst, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how important Chinese exposure is for retail companies, how to distinguish between retail winners and losers, and much more.
Persons: Cowen's John Kernan John Kernan, TD Cowen
Bloom Energy may be due for massive gains on the heels of its recent supply agreement with American Electric Power , according to Piper Sandler. Analyst Kashy Harrison upgraded the stock to overweight from neutral and raised his price target by $10 to $20. BE YTD mountain BE, year-to-date On Thursday, Bloom Energy announced that it reached an agreement with AEP to power artificial intelligence data centers and supply up to 1 gigawatt of its products. The company also said that AEP has ordered 100 megawatts of fuel cells, with more orders expected next year. "Given the endorsement of BE's technology from a large utility, agreements with other large players could materialize."
Persons: Piper Sandler, Kashy Harrison, it's, Harrison, Aman Joshi Organizations: Bloom Energy, American Electric Power, BE, AEP
What exactly President-elect Donald Trump's second term means for the stock market will be the question investors continue to grapple with in the week ahead. Nvidia earnings results will also be on deck as investors deal with stubbornly high interest rates as well. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged past 44,000 for the first time ever, and the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite similarly posted new records. Sales of Blackwell and Grace Blackwell are expected to start to show up in results next year. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF has surged 11% this month.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Jimmy Chang, Jensen Huang, CNBC's, Blackwell, Grace Blackwell, Harsh Kumar, Piper Sandler, Kumar, Jensen, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Novavax, Ken Mahoney, Trump, There's, Mahoney, Rockefeller's Chang, Chris Rupkey, Jerome Powell Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Rockefeller Global Family, Treasury, Nvidia, Blackwell, Health, Human Services Department, Moderna, Asset Management, Regional Banking ETF, Federal, White, FWDBONDS, Housing, Walmart, Lowe's, Palo Alto Networks, Philadelphia Fed, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Ross Stores, Intuit, Deere, PMI, PMI Manufacturing, PMI Services Locations: China, U.S, NAHB, . Kansas, Michigan
A number of catalysts could drive gains for Teladoc Health in the coming months, according to Goldman Sachs. Analyst David Roman initiated coverage on the name with a buy rating, and his price target of $14 implies 56.3% upside from Thursday's close. Looking ahead to next year, he anticipates that the virtual health care company's results will be driven by slightly better-than-expected top-line growth in its Integrated Care segment. But that didn't quite come to fruition as the pandemic eased with patients returning to in-person visits and larger health care players developing their own telehealth solutions. Among the 27 analysts covering it, only six in total have a strong buy or buy rating.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Roman, Roman Organizations: Teladoc Health
Club holdings Alphabet and Amazon found themselves on the fault line. Battleground tech GOOGL YTD mountain Alphabet (GOOGL) year-to-date performance Third Point, the hedge fund run by Dan Loeb, sold its entire nearly $333 million position in Alphabet last quarter. Third Point trimmed its Amazon holdings by nearly 28%. A fund's holdings may very well have changed by the time the previous quarters' filings are revealed. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Wall, Dan Loeb, David Tepper, Seth Klarman, Philippe Laffont's Coatue, Bill Ackman's Pershing, Daniel Sundheim, Coatue, Donald Trump's, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Jim Cramer, Sebastien Bozon Organizations: Management, Group, D1, Amazon, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Health, D1 Capital, GE Healthcare, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, AFP, Getty Locations: 13Fs, Danaher
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