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Policymakers meet eight times a year to decide on the bank's monetary policy position, updating its economic outlook at every other meeting. At these meetings, the BOJ policymakers decides on its monetary policy position, which then dictates how the central bank taps the money market. To absorb funds, the Japanese central bank issues and sells bills. Here's how the Bank of Japan conducts its monetary policy. "The objective of the Bank's monetary policy is achieving price stability, which is its mission as stipulated by law.
Persons: Javier Ghersi, it's, , Price, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Getty Images Bank of Japan, Investors, Bank of Japan, Bank of, of, Japan Society of Monetary Locations: Japan, Tokyo, Bank of Japan
The BOJ remains a global outlier having maintained ultra-loose monetary stimulus even as major central banks elsewhere rapidly raised interest rates to fight rampant inflation. Meanwhile, rising U.S. bond yields are pulling their Japanese counterparts higher, complicating the BOJ's task of keeping local interest rates low. Among ideas that could be discussed would be to raise the ceiling for the 10-year bond yield beyond 1.0%, or steps that water down the BOJ's commitment to defend a set yield level, the sources said. "If the 10-year JGB yield rises to around 0.9%, the BOJ may need to take action," such as by raising the 1% cap, she added. In a Reuters poll in September, most analysts said they expect the BOJ to abandon YCC by the end of 2024.
Persons: Issei Kato, BOJ, YCC, Kazuo Ueda, Naomi Muguruma, Mitsubishi UFJ, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley, Ueda, Leika Kihara, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Treasury, Nikkei, Mitsubishi, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, YCC, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, TOKYO
Japanese national flag is hoisted atop the headquarters of Bank of Japan in Tokyo, Japan September 20, 2023. The benchmark JGB yield climbed to 0.845% right at the start of the trading day, its highest since July 2013, after revisiting peaks the previous day as well. But it eased immediately after the BOJ announcement, and was last 1.0 basis point (bp) lower than Thursday's closing level at 0.83%. The BOJ caps the 10-year yield at 1% under its yield curve control (YCC) policy, after doubling it in a surprise move at the end of July. "If the yen crosses 150, it would of course be more difficult for the BOJ to intervene in the JGB market.
Persons: Issei Kato, Masayuki Kichikawa, YCC, Fumio Kishida, Brigid Riley, Kevin Buckland, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Rights, Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S
[1/2] A man walks past a signboard of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group and MUFG Bank at its headquarters in Tokyo, Japan April 3, 2018. Globally bonds have been heavily sold for weeks - prompting the Bank of Japan to step in to steady the JGB market - as investors reckon on interest rates around the world staying elevated. The lingering concerns, coupled with the prospect of further central bank policy tweaks, are likely to keep investors on guard against buying JGBs," he said. Even if the BOJ raises short-term rates, it will probably have to maintain the YCC framework to avoid any abrupt rise in long-term interest rates, Seki said. The BOJ will have no choice but to engage with long-term rates "because the complete removal of a target band could cause volatility in yield curve and sharp spikes in long-term interest rates," he said.
Persons: Toru Hanai, Hiroyuki Seki, Seki, Makiko Yamazaki, Ritsuko Shimizu, Leika Kihara, Muralikumar Organizations: Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, MUFG Bank, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of, Bank of Japan, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S
FILE PHOTO: Japanese national flag is hoisted atop the headquarters of Bank of Japan in Tokyo, Japan September 20, 2023. Under yield curve control (YCC), the BOJ guides short-term interest rates at -0.1% and the 10-year bond yield around zero. A Reuters poll in September forecast that the central bank will end its negative interest rate policy some time next year and YCC by end of 2024. “Even if the BOJ were to terminate its negative interest rate policy, this can be considered as continuation of monetary easing if real interest rates remain negative. But he has also said the BOJ will consider an exit when sustained, stable achievement of its price target is in sight.
Persons: Issei Kato, Kazuo Ueda’s, Governor Ueda, Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Reuters, Bank Locations: TOKYO, Tokyo, Japan, YCC
A pedestrian walks past the Bank of Japan (BoJ) building in central Tokyo on July 28, 2023. Richard A. Brooks | Afp | Getty ImagesThe Bank of Japan announced it's increasing its bond purchases at Wednesday's auction, as a spike in government bond yields tests its resolve to defend its yield curve control policy. Yields on 10-year Japanese government bonds hit as much as 0.775% Monday, its highest since September 2013 and nearing the BOJ's hard 1% cap. The Japanese yen shed nearly 0.3% to about 149.73 yen against the dollar, nearing the 150 yen level that prompted BOJ intervention last year. Hawkish comments in the minutes of a lively BOJ September policy meeting released earlier Monday reignited expectations the BOJ is slowly laying the groundwork for the end to negative interest rates.
Persons: Richard A, Brooks, it's, BOJ, Hawkish, Kazuo Ueda's, Ueda's Organizations: Bank of Japan, Afp, Getty, of Japan Locations: Tokyo
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda speaks at a group interview with media in Tokyo, Japan, May 25, 2023. "The objective of the Bank's monetary policy is achieving price stability, which is its mission as stipulated by law. "A central bank's ability to conduct monetary policy is not impaired by a temporary decrease in its profits and capital, provided that it conducts appropriate monetary policy," he said. Some academics have warned the BOJ's huge balance sheet will make an exit from ultra-loose policy difficult by exposing it to massive losses that could put its credibility on the line. But he has also said the BOJ will consider an exit when sustained, stable achievement of its price target is in sight.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Kim Kyung, Ueda, Haruhiko, Leika Kihara, William Mallard, Sonali Paul, Michael Perry Organizations: Japan, REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Japan Society of Monetary, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, TOKYO
Japanese national flag is hoisted atop the headquarters of Bank of Japan in Tokyo, Japan September 20, 2023. One member said there was "still a significantly long way to go" before the BOJ can revise its negative interest rate policy, the minutes showed. One member said inflation could overshoot expectations as a tight job market prod firms to hike pay. But the BOJ has maintained its dovish guidance on the view a premature exit from ultra-loose policy could hurt a fragile recovery, and push Japan back into economic stagnation. Reporting by Leika Kihara; Editing by Jacqueline Wong and Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Issei Kato, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Leika Kihara, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Companies, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Europe, TOKYO, United States
With inflation exceeding 2% for more than a year, markets are rife with speculation the BOJ will raise short-term interest rates from the current -0.1% as early as the end of this year. Ending negative interest rates likely won't hurt the economy much as inflation-adjusted real borrowing costs will remain low, said Sakurai, a former BOJ board member who retains close ties with incumbent policymakers. "Ending negative rates will be largely a symbolic move, but the BOJ probably wants to time it very carefully," Sakurai said. Even if the central bank were to end negative rates, it will likely describe the move as a modest adjustment to the degree of monetary stimulus, he said. In July, it raised a hard cap for the 10-year yield to 1.0% from 0.5% to allow long-term interest rates to rise more freely reflecting higher inflation.
Persons: Issei Kato, BOJ Sakurai, Sakurai, Sakurai TOKYO, Makoto Sakurai, Leika, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan
watch nowThe Bank of Japan could be forced into hiking rates sooner than expected, if the Japanese yen weakens beyond 150 to the dollar. The BOJ stands as an outlier as major central banks have hiked rates aggressively to combat burgeoning inflation. Decades of accommodative monetary policy in Japan — even as other global central banks tightened policy in the last 12 months — have concentrated carry trades in the Japanese yen. The Japanese yen slipped about 0.4% to around 148.16 against the dollar on Friday after the BOJ kept its negative rates unchanged, after the yen tested its lowest in almost 10 months at 148.47 per dollar Thursday. While a weaker yen makes Japanese exports cheaper, it also makes imports more expensive, given that most major economies are struggling to contain stubbornly high inflation.
Persons: Bob Michele, Michele, Kazuo Ueda's, Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, Morgan Asset Management, CNBC, Afp, Getty, Yomiuri Shimbun Locations: Bank, Japan, Tokyo, Central
Yen stands tall, dollar finds floor ahead of US inflation
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. The Japanese currency was last marginally lower at 146.61 per dollar, after scaling a one-week top of 145.91 in the previous session. Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar reversed some of its close to 0.5% loss against a basket of currencies on Monday. The U.S. dollar index , which ended last week with an eight-week winning streak, rose 0.03% to 104.60, after falling 0.46% in the previous session. The offshore yuan found some support near Monday's one-week high and last bought 7.3020 per dollar.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Chris Weston, we've, Tony Sycamore, Sterling steadied, bitcoin, Ether, Kyle Rodda, Rae Wee, Sam Holmes Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, New Zealand, Fed, Capital.com, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, United States, U.S, Tony Sycamore ., Monday's, China
Yen stands tall, dollar finds floor ahead of U.S. inflation
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Photo taken on April 20, 2022 shows the Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes in Tokyo, Japan. The Japanese currency was last marginally lower at 146.61 per dollar, after scaling a one-week top of 145.91 in the previous session. Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar reversed some of its close to 0.5% loss against a basket of currencies on Monday. The U.S. dollar index, which ended last week with an eight-week winning streak, rose 0.03% to 104.60, after falling 0.46% in the previous session. The offshore yuan found some support near Monday's one-week high and last bought 7.3020 per dollar.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Chris Weston, we've, Tony Sycamore, Sterling steadied, bitcoin, Ether, Kyle Rodda Organizations: U.S, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, New Zealand, Fed Locations: Tokyo, Japan, United States, U.S, Tony Sycamore ., Monday's, China
As a result, it was hard to say when inflation could hit the bank's 2% inflation target in a sustainable manner, she said. "But we're not at a stage where we can judge that Japan has achieved our price target in a stable, sustainable fashion." The BOJ has defined sustainable inflation as price rises driven not by rising raw material costs, but strong domestic demand accompanied by continued wage increases. But she laid out in detail the conditions for ending negative rates. "When we see many people share prospects that wages will keep rising, we may be able to exit (negative rates)," she added.
Persons: Androniki, Nakagawa, Bank of Japan policymaker Junko Nakagawa, Haruhiko Kuroda, We're, Kazuo Ueda, Leika Kihara, Tom Hogue, Kim Coghill, Emelia Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Japan, Tokyo, KOCHI, Kochi
MUMBAI, Sept 4 (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan (BOJ) will be able to gradually shift away from its easy monetary policy only after ensuring its 2% inflation goal has been sustainably achieved, former board member Goushi Kataoka said on Monday. Kataoka expected the Spring 2024 wage negotiations to be key for the BOJ's inflation mission, Kataoka, currently chief economist at PwC Japan, told the Reuters Global Markets Forum. Once it begins exiting policy, Kataoka expects the BOJ to first remove the peg on the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield, then exit its negative interest rate policy, and finally scrap the YCC policy. "Allowing the guide rate to effectively go as low as 1% would not be possible until the 2% (inflation) target is achieved," Kataoka said. "I'm worried about the stance of Kishida cabinet," he said, describing the previous administrations' tax hikes in 2014 and 2019 as undermining the Kuroda's bold monetary policy experiment.
Persons: Goushi Kataoka, Kataoka, Haruhiko Kuroda, BOJ, I'm, Divya Chowdhury, Savio Shetty, Anisha, Christina Fincher Organizations: Bank of Japan, Reuters Global Markets, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Mumbai, Bengaluru
A man walks at the headquarters of Bank of Japan in Tokyo, Japan, January 18, 2023. The central bank would take time to determine whether it can raise interest rates as it waits for evidence that a sustained economic recovery will eradicate Japan's deflationary mindset, he said. "The key is for the economy to keep recovering," Nakamura told a news conference, when asked about the conditions for ending negative interest rates. We therefore need more time before shifting to monetary tightening," he said, adding the key was to determine whether companies' growth expectations were heightening. Markets are divided on whether the BOJ could remove the yield cap before raising short-term rates, ditch both simultaneously, or keep the yield cap when ending negative rates as a precaution against an abrupt rise in long-term yields.
Persons: Issei Kato, Nakamura, Toyoaki Nakamura, Japan's, we're, Naoki Tamura, Kazuo Ueda, Leika Kihara, Christian Schmollinger, Navaratnam, Gerry Doyle Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Hitachi Ltd, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, GIFU, Gifu
Tightening monetary policy before rising prices are accompanied by higher wages would hurt domestic demand and corporate profits, Nakamura said. We therefore need more time before shifting to monetary tightening," Nakamura said in a speech to business leaders in the city of Gifu in central Japan. "Close scrutiny of (economic) conditions and cautious decision-making are required when modifying monetary policy," he said, warning against shifting policy too hastily. Governor Kazuo Ueda has said the BOJ must maintain ultra-low rates until there is more evidence that Japan's inflation can sustainably hit 2% backed by solid consumption and wage growth. Reporting by Leika Kihara; Editing by Christian Schmollinger and Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Issei Kato, Nakamura, Toyoaki Nakamura, Naoki Tamura, Kazuo Ueda, Leika Kihara, Christian Schmollinger Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Nakamura Overseas, Hitachi Ltd, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Gifu
The remarks are the strongest signal to date by a Bank of Japan (BOJ) policymaker that rising inflation and wages could prod the bank to take bolder steps towards phasing out its radical stimulus. "About a decade has passed since the BOJ began efforts to sustainably and stably achieve its 2% inflation target. For now, the BOJ must sustain monetary easing to scrutinise wage and price developments, said the former commercial banker. "Abandoning negative rates will obviously be among options" if the BOJ were to normalise policy, he said. "Even if the BOJ were to end negative rates, it won't be scaling back monetary easing as long as it can keep interest rates low."
Persons: Issei Kato, Tamura BOJ, KUSHIRO, Naoki Tamura, Tamura, Kazuo Ueda, Shinichi Uchida, Ueda, Leika Kihara, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan
[1/2] A man walks at the headquarters of Bank of Japan in Tokyo, Japan, January 18, 2023. The Financial Services Agency (FSA) "will monitor how potential changes in the financial markets and client situations will affect regional banks' profits and health," the regulator said in its annual policy outlook released on Tuesday. Large banks have shortened the duration of their bond portfolios in anticipation of higher yields, but analysts say some smaller, regional banks do not have such flexibility. The FSA said in the policy outlook that it would "encourage regional banks to take necessary steps ahead of time" to address potential changes in the financial and economic situations. The policy outlook, set yearly, lays out guidelines for the FSA's supervision and direction of banks and other financial firms.
Persons: Issei Kato, Makiko Yamazaki, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Rights, Financial Services Agency, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan
Only one of 22 economists, or 5%, expected the BOJ to start unwinding its ultra-easy policy this year, the Aug 15-23 poll found, significantly down from 50% in a July survey. Four said the BOJ will start unwinding in January-March 2024, five chose April-June, six selected July-September and another six opted for October-December. A separate question showed 73% of economists expecting the BOJ to end YCC next year, up from 50% in July. A question about when the BOJ ends its negative short-term interest rate policy showed 41% of economists anticipating it in 2024, down from 54% in a May poll. Economists raised their projection for Japan's fiscal 2023 GDP growth to 1.8% from 1.1% in the previous poll.
Persons: Issei Kato, Takumi Tsunoda, YCC, Kazuo, Ueda, Hiroshi Namioka, Kantaro Komiya, Satoshi Sugiyama, Susobhan Sarkar, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Rights, Shinkin Central Bank Research Institute, D, Management, U.S, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan
New Governor of Bank of Japan Kazuo Ueda meets Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida at prime minister?s official residence in Tokyo, Japan, April 10, 2023. The discussions took place in the wake of the dollar's recent ascent above 145 yen, a level that in September 2022 triggered Japan's first yen-buying operation since 1998. "There wasn't anything in particular discussed today," Ueda told reporters after the meeting, when asked whether the two held talks on recent exchange-rate volatility. Ueda also said he explained to Kishida the Bank of Japan's decision last month to loosen its grip on long-term interest rates. It was the second such meeting since Ueda assumed the top BOJ post in April.
Persons: Bank of Japan Kazuo Ueda, Fumio Kishida, Kimimasa, Ueda Yen, Kazuo Ueda, Japan's, Ueda, Haruhiko, Shunichi Suzuki, Tetsushi Kajimoto, Satoshi Sugiyama, Chang, Ran Kim, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS Acquire, Ueda, Bank of, Soaring U.S, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, TOKYO
Ministry of Finance (MOF) data out Thursday showed Japanese exports fell 0.3% in July year-on-year, compared with a 0.8% decrease expected by economists in a Reuters poll. However, manufacturers are braced for core orders to slide during the current quarter, partly due to the impact from weak offshore demand. Japan exports fall for first time since 2021However, the spectre of a sharper global slowdown and faltering growth in its major market China have raised concerns about the outlook. GLOOMY OUTLOOK TO KEEP BOJ ON HOLD"The Bank of Japan must be aware of downside risks from the global economy. Separate data showed Japan's core machinery orders rose 2.7% in June from the previous month.
Persons: Toru Hanai, Takeshi Minami, Minami, Marcel Thieliant, Tetsushi, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Ministry of Finance, Norinchukin Research, Bank of Japan, Manufacturers, Cabinet, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, TOKYO, China, Europe, America, Asia
REUTERS/Yuya Shino/File PhotoSummary Wholesale inflation slowest since March 2021Govt subsidy on utility bills weighs on wholesale pricesEasing inflation may keep BOJ stimulus intact for nowTOKYO, Aug 10 (Reuters) - Japan's wholesale inflation eased for a seventh month in July as pressure from high global commodity prices eased, a development economists say is likely to encourage the central bank to keep its monetary stimulus in place. It was the slowest wholesale inflation since March 2021 when prices turned positive to mark 1.0% growth, Bank of Japan (BOJ) data showed. After peaking at 10.6% in December, wholesale inflation has decelerated for seven months in a row. On the month, wholesale prices rose 0.1%, up for the first time in three months. As domestic corporate goods prices continue to slow, consumer prices will also slow from autumn," said Takeshi Minami, chief economist at the Norinchukin Research Institute.
Persons: Yuya, Takeshi Minami, Tetsushi Kajimoto, Sam Holmes, Shron Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Norinchukin Research, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, TOKYO
Japan is expected to see a new phase where wages and services prices continue to increase," according to one opinion shown in the summary. Therefore, wages and selling prices could continue to rise at a pace that has not been seen in the past," another opinion showed. Governor Kazuo Ueda said the decision was a pre-emptive move against the risk of rising inflation pushing up long-term bond yields, and heightening volatility in financial markets. "If prices and inflation expectations continue to heighten, the effects of monetary easing will strengthen. On the other hand, strictly capping the 10-year bond yield at 0.5% could affect bond market function and market volatility," one opinion showed.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Kazuo Ueda, Leika, Chang, Ran Kim, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Bank, Japan, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, TOKYO
The Bank of Japan debated growing prospects of sustained inflation at their July meeting with one board member saying wages and prices could keep rising at a pace "not seen in the past," according to a summary of opinions released on Monday. "More firms have started to consider wage hikes for next fiscal year and beyond. Japan is expected to see a new phase where wages and services prices continue to increase," according to one opinion shown in the summary. Therefore, wages and selling prices could continue to rise at a pace that has not been seen in the past," another opinion showed. Governor Kazuo Ueda said the decision was a pre-emptive move against the risk of rising inflation pushing up long-term bond yields, and heightening volatility in financial markets.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Bank, Japan Locations: Japan
The BOJ's decision shook markets on Friday and contrasted sharply with Ueda's more cautious comments in recent months about the dangers of retreating too quickly from accommodative Kuroda-era policies. "There's also a small but probable risk of inflation overshooting in Japan, which gave the BOJ reason to act." NEW PRIORITIESThe BOJ's policy decision last week signalled to investors that it would now allow the 10-year government bond yield to move closer to 1% before it intervenes. 'BIT BY BIT'The shift in thinking gained momentum at the BOJ's June policy meeting, but not enough to turn the tide. It was a test case, or a preliminary exercise, toward future policy normalisation," said former BOJ board member Takahide Kiuchi.
Persons: Issei Kato, Kazuo Ueda, Haruhiko Kuroda, Fumio, accommodative Kuroda, Ueda, YCC, There's, Hirokazu Matsuno, Seiji Adachi, Asahi Noguchi, Ryozo Himino, Shinichi Uchida, Uchida, Masato Kanda, Kanda, Takahide, Leika Kihara, Takaya Yamaguchi, Takahiko Wada, Kentaro Sugiyama, Yoshifumi, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, TOKYO, Bank, Ueda, Reuters, BIT, Asahi, Nikkei, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan
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