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Generally, a Trump win is seen as positive for financials given a higher likelihood of deregulation for companies in the space. Traditional oil and gas names are also likely to benefit under a second Trump presidency. One is made up of stocks that benefit after a Harris win; the other would outperform under a second Trump presidency. However, a Harris win is expected to keep current regulation measures in place, and possibly introduce new ones. Private equity giants KKR and Blackstone would also benefit under a Trump win.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Paul Gallant, Cowen, Gallant, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Daniel Clifton, Strategas, Andrew Garthwaite, Trump, Garthwaite, TAN, we've, Biden, Wells, Ike Boruchow, Boruchow, , Russell, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, Crypto, isn't, Nic Puckrin, bitcoin, Marcelli, Financials, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Lazard Organizations: Congress, U.S ., Trump, U.S . Trump, GOP, Democratic, CNBC Pro, Wall, Strategas, Enterprise, of America, Ford, UBS, Apple, Enphase Energy, Technologies Enphase, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, Cadence Bank, Viking Therapeutics, Bureau, CNBC, Wolfe Research, Lazard, Private, KKR, Blackstone, Evercore Locations: Washington, of America Cleveland, Cleveland, China
Bitcoin, an asset tied to a Trump victory given the candidates courtship of the industry, soared to a record $75,000 . Heading into the election, investors and analysts pointed to several stocks and sectors that could benefit from a Trump win. Here's a roundup of some of those: Steel stocks If Trump regains the presidency, JPMorgan expects steel stocks to outperform . Related stocks that could outperform under a Trump victory include Nucor , Cleveland-Cliffs , Kaiser Aluminum and MP Materials , according to Peterson. Supporters of Trump have also used the stock as a way to invest in a Trump victory.
Persons: Donald Trump ., Trump, Kamala Harris, Here's, Bill Peterson, Peterson, UBS's, Goldman Sachs, Strategas, Lazard, Wolfe, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Marion Laboure, bitcoin, Nic Puckrin, David Zerzos, Zerzos, Marcelli, Seth Seifman, Russell, Joe Biden, IWM, , Halliburton, Trump's, ULTA, Michael Bloom, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh Organizations: U.S, NBC, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Trump, JPMorgan, Aluminum, Financials Bank of America, of America, UBS's Trump, UBS, Swiss, Citigroup, Citizens, Wolfe Research, GOP, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, ISI, Deutsche Bank, Investors, Jefferies, Military, Strategas, Gas Energy, Evercore ISI, Exxon Mobil, Halliburton, Companies Locations: Nucor, Cleveland, U.S, China, U.S . Southern
They have also considered the impact of potential tariffs proposed by former President Donald Trump. Some on Wall Street view a Harris win as a potential obstacle for antitrust and megacap technology stocks. "Regulatory scrutiny will probably help a lot of M & A activity under Trump — Harris, it'll be a little more of the status quo," said Jay Woods, chief global strategist at Freedom Capital Markets. This could "slow the pace of the AI revolution," he said in a recent post to X that also called a Harris win "more bullish" for the industry. Some investors also view Tesla as a likely winner under a Trump administration, given CEO Elon Musk's close ties to the former president.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Roger McNamee, Harris, Trump, Trump — Harris, it'll, Jay Woods, McNamee, Vivek Arya, Joe Rogan, Arya, Ed Mills, Raymond James, of America's Brad Sills, Raymond James ' Mills, Dan Ives, Trump's, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Capital's, Wolfe, Chris Senyek Organizations: Elevation Partners, Tech, Antitrust, Google, Justice Department, Trump, Freedom Capital, Bank of America, PHLX Semiconductor, Democrat, Republican, SOX, Devices, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, Texas Instruments, Intel, of America's, Microsoft, Oracle, Wedbush Securities, Investors Locations: stoke, Taiwan, China, Washington
10-year Treasury yield rises with all eyes on the U.S. election
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The 10-year Treasury yield traded 7 basis points higher at 4.6%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was also up by 6 basis points to 4.27%. Treasury yields rose in early trading Tuesday evening as investors awaited results from the tight presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. "I expect them to be worried that Trump would enact all those tax cuts, and I think bond yields would rise." The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield surged 50 basis points in October, marking the biggest monthly increase since September 2022.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Trump, Harris, Stephanie Roth, Siegel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Treasury, Trump, Republican, White, Senate, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailElection 2024: Breaking down the sector winners of a Trump or Harris victoryBTIG’s Isaac Boltansky and Wolfe Research’s Tobin Marcus, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the election day impact on sectors in the markets.
Persons: Trump, Harris, Isaac Boltansky, Wolfe Research’s Tobin Marcus
The bond market, which has already seen dramatic moves leading up to the U.S. presidential election, could see even bigger price action depending on the outcome. One big theme investors are considering is the possibility of a Donald Trump win and higher bond yields that could follow. "I expect them to be worried that Trump would enact all those tax cuts, and I think bond yields would rise." US10Y 3M mountain 10-year Treasury The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield surged 50 basis points in October, marking the biggest monthly increase since September 2022. "There is room for rates to move in either direction depending on [the] election outcome."
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Kamala Harris, Stephanie Roth, Roth, Siegel Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, White, Republican, Senate, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Trump, Wolfe Research
How a Trump or Harris victory could impact the market
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow a Trump or Harris victory could impact the marketChris Senyek, Wolfe Research chief investment strategist, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss how to play stocks based on different election outcomes.
Persons: Trump, Harris, Chris Senyek, Wolfe Organizations: Wolfe Research
A handful of stocks have momentum behind them heading into their quarterly results next week. With roughly 64% of S & P 500 companies reporting results thus far, they've collectively posted earnings growth of more than 9%. Analysts have increased their earnings forecasts for DuPont by more than 23% over the past six months and 29% over the past six months. Of all the stocks, analysts are most optimistic on Constellation Energy . Earnings forecasts over the past three months have surged 215%, faster than the 163% increase seen in the trailing six months.
Persons: they've, Wolfe, Chris Parkinson, Parkinson, JPMorgan Chase, Jeremy Tonet, Tonet Organizations: Analysts, DuPont, Constellation Energy, CNBC Pro, Wolfe Research, PFAS, JPMorgan, Howmet Aerospace, Emerson Electric
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Thursday: Goldman Sachs reiterates Microsoft as buy Goldman says the stock remains extremely attractive following earnings on Wednesday. Bank of America reiterates as Meta as buy Meta remains a "top AI pick" following earnings on Wednesday. Deutsche Bank downgrades Kraft Heinz to hold from buy Deutsche says it sees "reduced growth" following earnings. BTIG upgrades Wingstop to buy from neutral BTIG said investors should buy the dip following earnings on Wednesday. "We are upgrading shares of Wingstop to Buy from Neutral with a $370 price target following the post-earnings selloff in shares yesterday."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Al, Oppenheimer, Wolfe, Bernstein, it's, JPMorgan downgrades Brinker, Morgan Stanley downgrades Biogen, Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank downgrades Kraft Heinz, KBW, Wells, Wells Fargo, L3Harris Organizations: Microsoft, Bank of America, Meta, JPMorgan, Chili's, Corp, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Walmart, Technologies, of America Locations: Robinhood, 4Q24, OW
Following Thursday's trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 525 shares of DHR, increasing its weighting to 3.67% from 3.5%. With expectations more reasonable, Danaher is in a better position to beat next year, which should lead to a higher stock price. Our Club price target on Danaher is $305 per share, a tad higher than Wolfe's, and it implies 26% upside to Wednesday's close. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Danaher, Wolfe, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: DHR, Wolfe Research, CNBC Locations: Danaher
Wall Street is in the thick of earnings season, and some companies that have already reported could outperform going forward, Wolfe Research found. Following the bank's latest earnings report on Oct. 15, Wells Fargo reiterated its overweight rating on shares of Goldman Sachs. Shares rallied nearly 18% on Thursday after the health-care company posted earnings and revenue beats. Molina Healthcare earned an adjusted $6.01 per share, while the LSEG consensus estimate called for $5.81 in earnings per share. ServiceNow shares are up more than 35% year to date.
Persons: Wolfe, we're, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Mike Mayo, Molina, ServiceNow, Brad Sills Organizations: Wolfe Research, U.S, Molina Healthcare, . Software, Bank of America
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. We will hear more about this broader strategy on the company's earnings call Wednesday night. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Wolfe, Oleato, Brian Niccol's, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Jeff Greenberg Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Treasury, Honeywell, We're, Wolfe Research, Bloomberg, Starbucks, GE Healthcare . Caterpillar, Humana, Brinker International, Trane Technologies, Otis, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Universal, Getty Locations: Dover, Illinois, Atlanta , Georgia
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Trump accuses Taiwan of stealing businessFormer U.S. President Donald Trump accused Taiwan of stealing the country's chip business, he said on "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast. Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon told CNBC the idea of Taiwan stealing the U.S.'s chip industry is "ridiculous." [PRO] Tech might be in trouble, chart showsThe bursting of the 2000 dot-com bubble was one of the worst moments ever for tech stocks.
Persons: Thomas Schäfer, Trump, Donald Trump, Joe Rogan, Bernstein, Stacy Rasgon Organizations: CNBC, Big Tech, Philips, Volkswagen, U.S, New York Stock Exchange, bourse, Intercontinental Exchange, Tech, Wolfe Research Locations: New York City, China, Germany, Taiwan
Tech stocks could be in for a reckoning, this chart shows
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Since then, the XLK is down 6% relative to the broad market index. "The level it peaked at almost exactly coincides with where the Tech ETF peaked on a relative basis in 2000. Not exactly what you want to see if you're an investor putting new money to work within Tech," he wrote. The SMH closed Friday at $252.96, and the strategist expects the $233 level to be tested near term. "We still exercise some degree of caution when we view Technology stocks, as short term trends and near-term momentum appear to be stalling," O'Hara wrote.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Roth MKM, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, Wells Organizations: Wolfe Research, Tech ETF, VanEck Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple Locations: Wells Fargo
Lux Capital co-founder talks investing in AI and defense
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLux Capital co-founder talks investing in AI and defenseJosh Wolfe, Lux Capital co-founder, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk defense technology, the AI arms race, and more.
Persons: Josh Wolfe Organizations: Lux, Lux Capital
Morgan Stanley initiates FrontView REIT as overweight Morgan Stanley said the commercial real estate investment trust company is well positioned. " Morgan Stanley downgrades Global Foundries to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees rising competition for the semis company. " Morgan Stanley upgrades Nutanix to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the cloud computing software company is well positioned. " Morgan Stanley downgrades Ciena to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees a more balanced risk/reward for the networking and systems software company. Wedbush adds Roblox to the best ideas list The firm said it sees robust revenue growth ahead.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald, Morgan Stanley, FrontView, Baird, AAON, Canaccord, Tesla, Jefferies, NTNX, Wells, Raymond James downgrades, Wolfe, DOV, Morgan Stanley downgrades Ciena, Piper Sandler, Bowlero, Piper, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish, Marcellus, Bernstein, SARO, Stifel downgrades, Oppenheimer, Monness Crespi Hardt, Coinbase, Stifel, it's Organizations: Nvidia, Broadcom, MU, JPMorgan, Apple, Dell, Cisco, Spotify, Honeywell, Walmart, " Bank of America, Antero Resources, Bank of America, Macquarie, China EV, Stifel downgrades Colgate, Palmolive, Colgate, Commerce, ~$ Locations: AVGO, 1H25, Dover, Appalachia, Utica, West Virginia
Robinhood — The fintech stock rose less than 3% after it said Monday that users will have the chance to trade a Kamala Harris or Donald Trump contract ahead of next week's presidential election. ON Semiconductor — The semiconductor product maker rose 5% after third-quarter earnings and revenue topped analyst estimates. Nutanix — The cloud infrastructure stock rose 4% following an upgrade to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley. Moderna — Shares jumped after Moderna and Merck said they initiated a phase 3 trial investigating a treatment for non-small cell lung cancer. Moderna shares advanced 3.9%, while Merck was slightly higher.
Persons: Wells, Steven Cahall, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Israel, FactSet, Eugene Hsiao, Wolfe, Roy Jakobs, Nutanix, Morgan Stanley, Meta Marshall, Merck, Timothy Wojs, Aaon, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Sarah Min, Pia Singh Organizations: Spotify, U.S . Occidental Petroleum, Exxon, BP —, Citi, McDonald's, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Huawei, Reuters, The U.S, Delta Air Lines, CrowdStrike, Honeywell —, Philips —, , Moderna, Merck, Baird Locations: China, Atlanta
The Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) and the iShares Global Clean Energy ETF (ICLN) have tumbled more than 9% and 10%, respectively. While Trump's platform says he wants to unleash production from all sources, the document specifically calls out oil, gas and nuclear. How voters perceive the two candidates' energy policies could end up playing an influential role in the outcome of the election altogether. While the election will bring short-term volatility, the solar industry remains well positioned for long-term growth, according to Bank of America. About 25% of oil and 10% of natural gas production is on federal land and waters, according to the bank.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, fracking, Barack Obama, Trump, Steve Fleishman, Roger Read, Read, Biden, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Trump, Republican, Green New, Clean Energy, Bank of America, Keystone State, GOP, Republicans, Democratic, Wolfe Research, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities . Oil, Biden, CNBC, Exxon, Chevron Locations: Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, China, Trump, Wells Fargo, U.S, New Mexico, Gulf of Mexico, Alaska, Iran, Tehran
Against this backdrop, Wolfe Research released a basket of stocks that might be impaired under a Trump presidency. These companies would be at risk either under a 10% universal duty or 60% China tariffs. Beauty and cosmetics manufacturer Estée Lauder , down about 40% this year, could also face repercussions under a Trump win. Analyst Angel Castillo's revised price target of $332, down from $349, is approximately 14% lower than where shares closed on Wednesday. Other than these stocks sensitive to tariffs, Wolfe Research also suggested a few other ways to play the election.
Persons: Donald Trump, Wolfe, Trump, Estée Lauder, Rambourg, Morgan Stanley, Angel, Goldman Sachs, Patterson, Kamala Harris, Wolfe's Organizations: Republican, Wolfe Research, Democratic, Eagle Outfitters, Eagle, Bank of America, Trump, HSBC, Caterpillar, UTI Energy, NextEra Energy, Centene, AES Corp Locations: China, Greater China
CNN —Multiple people were killed, including a child, when a helicopter slammed into a communications tower behind homes in Houston’s Second Ward on Sunday night, causing a fiery explosion and toppling the structure, Mayor John Whitmire said. Officials did not clarify how many were killed, but there were four people onboard the privately-owned Robinson R44 helicopter, according to Houston Police Chief Noe Diaz. The aircraft appears to have departed the Ellington Airport, which is about 17 miles south of the crash site, but its destination is unclear, the mayor said. Photos shared by the fire department show the mangled tower draped across a dirt clearing behind a line of homes. Some homes near the crash site lost power, Whitmire said.
Persons: John Whitmire, Whitmire, Noe Diaz, ” Diaz, ” Whitmire, Manuel Arciniega, ” Arciniega Organizations: CNN, Ennis, Robinson, Houston Police, Ellington Airport, KPRC, Federal Aviation Administration Locations: Houston’s, Engelke
CNN —Texas death row inmate Robert Roberson sat praying in a cell Thursday night, just feet from the execution chamber where he was set to die by lethal injection for the “shaken baby” death of his toddler. Just over 90 minutes before Roberson’s execution was set to begin, the House committee was able to secure a temporary restraining order against the state, pausing the execution. Roberson’s case is called into questionAdvocates for Roberson insist the diagnosis that his daughter died from shaken baby syndrome is inaccurate and has been discredited. Shaken baby syndrome is accepted as a valid diagnosis by the American Academy of Pediatrics and supported by child abuse pediatricians who spoke with CNN. Since 1992, courts in at least 17 states and the US Army have exonerated 32 people convicted in shaken baby syndrome cases, according to the National Registry of Exonerations.
Persons: Robert Roberson, Nikki, Roberson, God, , , Amanda Hernandez, Robert Roberson –, Gretchen Sween, Joe Moody, Jeff Leach, Jennifer Roberson, Robert, “ It’s, Brian Wharton, Wharton, ” Wharton, “ We’ve, ” Roberson, , Moody, Leach, Greg Abbott, Ken Paxton, pediatricians, Nikki Curtis, Nikki “, Dr, Sandeep Narang, Antoinette Laskey Organizations: CNN, Texas Supreme, Texas House, Texas Department, Criminal, Texas, US, Appeals, Criminal Justice, Division, Texans, Huntsville Unit, Texas Capitol, Texas Gov, American Academy of Pediatrics, US Army, National Registry, American Academy of Pediatrics ’, Child Locations: Texas, Palestine , Texas
"As evidenced by XLV [Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund], price is back through the 50 day [moving average] on this relief rally," he said. "Not yet overbought, it looks to us like the early innings of a reacceleration back towards the highs. XLV YTD mountain Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund year to date On top of that rally is the added benefit of dividend payouts on many health care stocks. At least 51% of the Wall Street analysts who cover each stock rates it a buy, according to FactSet data. CI YTD mountain Cigna year to date Cigna beat earnings and revenue estimates in its second quarter when it reported results in August.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Abbott, Robert Ford, Dickinson, Cigna, Lina Khan, Merck Organizations: Wolfe Research, SPDR, CNBC Pro, Wall Street, nab, Abbott Laboratories, Company, Cigna's, Federal Trade Commission, CVS Health, UnitedHealth, Merck, Co Locations: . Connecticut
Supino: Netflix can rightly claim it won the streaming wars.
  + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSupino: Netflix can rightly claim it won the streaming wars. Peter Supino, Managing Director & Senior Analyst at Wolfe Research, discusses Netflix's subscriber growth and engagement trends. While subscribers are up, he notes that engagement has declined due to the impact of the paid sharing program, which has led some password sharers not to convert to subscriptions.
Persons: Peter Supino Organizations: Netflix, Wolfe Research
CNN —A 22-year-old man has been arrested and charged with murder in connection with three cases in Birmingham, Alabama, last month, including a mass shooting that left four people dead and 17 others wounded in the city’s lively entertainment district, police announced. “Today was a major step toward justice,” said Birmingham Mayor Randall Woodfin in a statement following the arrest. Then, within 24 hours of the mass shooting, police say McDaniel was connected to the shooting death of Jamarcus McIntyre, who was found fatally shot on a sidewalk. After the mass shooting, the mayor said gun violence has reached an “epidemic level” in Birmingham. The archive, like CNN, defines a mass shooting as one in which at least four people are shot, excluding the shooter.
Persons: Damien McDaniel, , Scott Thurmond, McDaniel, Anitra, Tahj Booker, Carlos McCain, Roderick Patterson Jr, Thurmond, , Birmingham Mayor Randall Woodfin, , ” “, ” McDaniel, Diontranet Brown, Brown, Jamarcus McIntyre Organizations: CNN, Birmingham Police Department, Police, Anitra Holloman, , Birmingham Mayor, FBI, Birmingham Locations: Birmingham , Alabama, Jefferson, Birmingham, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNo evidence to show tariffs aren't passed to consumers, says Capital Alpha's James LucierJames Lucier, Capital Alpha Partners managing director, and Tobin Marcus, Wolfe Research politics and policy head, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss outlooks on former President Trump's economic proposals, what companies would benefit from higher tariffs, and more.
Persons: James Lucier James Lucier, Tobin Marcus, Wolfe, CNBC's, Trump's Organizations: Capital Alpha Partners, Wolfe Research
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